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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Smith backer, Don Brind is amused to find himself on the same

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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,956

    IanB2 said:

    Well worth a read, about Theresa's long term political strategy. It puts last week's advertisement for paid Tory organisers in a string of northern cities into context.

    http://www.totalpolitics.com/articles/opinion/james-frayne-theresa-mays-grand-plan-realign-british-politics

    Interesting read. It looks like an attempt to do Blairism properly. Cameron did it sort of okay, but he really only succeeded in making confirmed Labour supporters less frightened of the Tories and so willing to take a punt on the Greens. Actually aiming for a sizeable currently pissed off demographic is much potentially profitable. It will be interesting to see how it goes.

    The grammar school idea was obviously one that comes out of this approach. I have a feeling that one will fall flat because while it has the virtue of making the Tories appear to be supporting the aspirations of working class kids it has the vice of actually doing the opposite. Even the Tories can't stand truth on its head forever. But there are plenty of other policies that would work better available.
    We're a conservative nation - it's not exactly surprising that socialism didn't work here...
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    JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    JackW said:

    nunu said:

    619 said:

    NEW Monmouth national poll, likely voters:

    Clinton 50%
    Trump 38%
    Johnson 5%

    Analysis: Weeeelllllpppp

    I don't believe she can be so close in swing states and have a 12% lead.
    Monmouth is an outlier but the ORC/CNN 538 adjusted in more in line - Nevada C+4 .. North Carolina C+3 .. Trump OH +2

    Presently Clinton is +6/7 with a large EC lead. Obama in 12 led by less than 1% 3 weeks out.
    Yes, Hillary now in a much better position than Obama at the same stage in 2012. That said, the bet on Hillary +0-5% posted by @Sandpit downthread looks value, particularly those of us like me who are long on the Trumpet
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,068
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    Jobabob said:

    SeanT said:

    FFS. Some of them are clearly in their 20s. Even early 30s.

    I inagine most Brits had an image of vulnerable 8 year olds. I know I did.
    At least they've all had a shave so they look a bit younger.

    BTW, Am I the only PBer who has never seen any of the Godfather films?
    I haven't either. And I have no intention of watching them either.
    You are missing out. I resisted them for years, expecting like most fanboy cult films they would be hugely disappointing in the flesh. They weren't. They are beautifully made pictures, underpinned by brilliant character development and wonderful storytelling.

    See also Once Upon a Time in America.
    Okay, I might just do that when I get enough time without the little 'un (I'm currently having to watch episode after episode of Mr Tumble, which is surely a severe punishment).
    Believe it or not, when your kids get to 10 years old, like mine, you will start to look back at Mr Tumble quite fondly. And wistfully.
    You mean it gets worse? (shudder)

    A few years back, before the little 'un came along, I met a female friend who seemed really happy. She said she had just had the first day without watching any CBeebies in seven years, as her youngest son had just migrated on to CBBC.

    I now know how she feels.

    Still, as an antidote for all the TV I took him to the library for an hour this morning, picked a random book, and read him some.
    No, you will look back fondly and wistfully because that was when your kids were still adorable and young - and you were also younger. The best years are about 4-9.... When they are entirely without self-awareness, but also inquiring and curious and eager.

    From 10 on the first hints of teenagerness kick in. But they're still great, of course.
    16 to 18 is good too, because then you can date their friends.
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