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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On a momentous day in British politics the latest PB/Pollin

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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388

    Scott_P said:

    @KeirSimmons: Boris role not looking as good across the pond as you might have expected... https://t.co/KHoHtF5cam

    What is 'ameriblog'?
    Extreme progressive blog, hardly middle America.
    WashPo and NYT neutral on the appointment
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    JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Scott_P said:

    @PA: This is how @angelaeagle reacted the moment she found out Boris Johnson was the new foreign secretary

    #reshuffle
    https://t.co/1MPy3BsdHB

    Pissing off Labour AND foreigners - this is genius stuff.
    Why do you want to piss off foreigners?
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,384
    edited July 2016

    EPG said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    May has gone very brexit heavy in the 'outward facing' brexit related departments. The reasons for this could be:

    1) Scapegoating - she wants to ensure that any brexit FUBARs don't fall on her head.
    2) Compromise - she was never a europhile remainer anyway, so no ideological reason to be against brexit, so why choose that hill to die on? Give the Bastards their Brexit and she may be able to crack on with what she really cares about without too much pushback.
    3) Backsliding - A brexiteer can go for EU-lite in a way that a Remainer couldn't.

    Theory running on Twitter it gives her cover for a "Norway" deal in short order
    David Davis seems to favour 100% Brexit though?

    I'd be OK with Norway personally, but having David Davis in this role makes me think we're going go full Brexit?
    We at the very least need Norway with bells on. We're a way bigger market to the EU than they are. Someone needs to get rid of the 'mug' sign we have stuck to our national forehead.
    In his ConHome article he's hanging tough on free movement.

    "Once the European nations realise that we are not going to budge on control of our borders, they will want to talk, in their own interest."

    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2016/07/david-davis-trade-deals-tax-cuts-and-taking-time-before-triggering-article-50-a-brexit-economic-strategy-for-britain.html
    And it is unambiguously in the own interests of Paris, Frankfurt, Milan and even Dublin to exclude the UK from service sector passporting. Then the UK will be a happy little island alone.
    Not if they want any access to our waters for their fishing boats.
    Didn't the Brexiteers promise that Scotland will be given control of its fishing waters? I wonder how inflexible Holyrood will want to be towards the EU?
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    EPGEPG Posts: 6,079
    Sean_F said:

    EPG said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    May has gone very brexit heavy in the 'outward facing' brexit related departments. The reasons for this could be:

    1) Scapegoating - she wants to ensure that any brexit FUBARs don't fall on her head.
    2) Compromise - she was never a europhile remainer anyway, so no ideological reason to be against brexit, so why choose that hill to die on? Give the Bastards their Brexit and she may be able to crack on with what she really cares about without too much pushback.
    3) Backsliding - A brexiteer can go for EU-lite in a way that a Remainer couldn't.

    Theory running on Twitter it gives her cover for a "Norway" deal in short order
    David Davis seems to favour 100% Brexit though?

    I'd be OK with Norway personally, but having David Davis in this role makes me think we're going go full Brexit?
    We at the very least need Norway with bells on. We're a way bigger market to the EU than they are. Someone needs to get rid of the 'mug' sign we have stuck to our national forehead.
    In his ConHome article he's hanging tough on free movement.

    "Once the European nations realise that we are not going to budge on control of our borders, they will want to talk, in their own interest."

    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2016/07/david-davis-trade-deals-tax-cuts-and-taking-time-before-triggering-article-50-a-brexit-economic-strategy-for-britain.html
    And it is unambiguously in the own interests of Paris, Frankfurt, Milan and even Dublin to exclude the UK from service sector passporting. Then the UK will be a happy little island alone.
    The only thing you fear more than Brexit being a failure is Brexit being a success.
    Cry me a river, you won, now grow up and own it and make it work. Don't vote Brexit then cringe about the costs, or about nations looking after their own interests.
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    JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807


    That is going to go down like a bucket of cold sick with your working class voters NickP. But since the Labour party has abandoned its old core vote, so be it.

    First, the election at hand is among members, not voters in general. Working-class Labour members are generally pro-EU, like the TUC. Second, my recollection (correct me if I'm wrong) is that Labour-voting working class voters were evenly divided on Brexit.

    It's undoubtedly true that there are ex-Labour working-class voters who've defected to UKIP over immigraiton (less so over Brexit specifically). But Smith doesn't really need to address that problem right now.
    This must be some kind of contrarian theory, right?
    No. I have been one of his worse critics recently but this analysis is sound. Smith is trying to win a leader election. And the referendum is NOT an FPP race.
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,986

    Dromedary said:

    Dromedary said:

    When was the last time a Foreign Secretary was appointed who had no experience in government, in shadowing a government position, or in overseas affairs?..........

    and these Foreign Secys were so wonderful exactly when? Over recent decades the FO has gone down and down as it pushed its europhile line and is a shadow of its former position as a great department.
    That's not an argument for appointing someone with no experience either in government or in foreign affairs. Britain's role in the world can't be restored to what it was. I only hope Boris screws up and leaves sooner rather than later.
    I was involved in Government relations in the period 1980 to 1990 and can tell you how our standing in the world leaped under Thatcher. We went from a basket case to being admired. Trade doors opened just because we were a British company. Thatcher had not spent one day as even a junior FO minister prior to being our PM. Have you no sense of pride in your country? We are a great country with a great future ahead of us.
    You're saying that since you believe that Thatcher was a great PM despite lack of foreign affairs experience, it's positively desirable to appoint a Foreign Secretary without foreign affairs experience, and who was recently derided by the new PM for his lack of it?
    It's a view.
    No i am not. What I am saying is that it is not essential to have spent time in foreign matters. Now in Boris's case he actually has taken part in overseas trade and relations visits and is fluent in a couple of other languages etc.

    He is also widely regarded abroad as a clown. He will have to work very hard to change minds. A foreign secretary needs to be taken seriously. The job will either make him or break him. Having him on a plane suits the PM, no doubt, but may not be in the country's interests. We'll see.

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    nunununu Posts: 6,024

    Everyone in Europe knows Boris and he is widely regarded as a joke. He has insulted all major political figures in the US. It's not a very good appointment on the face of it. He'll have a lot of fences to mend.
    https://twitter.com/drscottthinks/status/746430170739810304

    Boris is like Clarkson, he offends foriegn governments but the public don't care they like him anyway.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,543

    ydoethur said:

    @HurstLlama (sorry, having trouble quoting);

    Yes, Mr Llama, that would be my dream. Where every teacher is ultimately answerable to the parents. Morgan, indeed, tried to make them more remote, for which I have not forgiven her.

    I do not like Gove, but equally I dislike the education establishment (says somebody who was interviewed for SLT a month ago after three years in teaching...). I don't give a stuff what they think. Sod them all and let's do what's best for the children so they get the best education and we can rebuild this country from there.

    How does that sound to you as an ex-teacher, Mr Llama? I didn't only go into teaching because of the recession in HE. If I didn't really believe I could do something worthwhile there, I'd quit and do something much less onerous and stressful. A politician who keeps out of my way would be a huge improvement.

    We are just about soul-mates, Doctor, well at least when it comes to education. I, perhaps being older and coming in for my third career, just would not put up with the shit you do. I love my subject and really wanted to communicate and spread that love (and get my pupils through their exams) but all I got was process. Everyone around me was focussed on process and getting the maximum number of pupils through the lowest standard that HMG had deemed acceptable, not about trying to ensure every pupil reached their potential.

    Drove me up the wall, I quit and took myself off to training senior/strategic managers. It paid a lot more and there was no fecking ofsted idiot telling me I was doing it wrong
    I have hopes I may yet strike a happy medium. Maybe that's just a last gasp of youthful idealism. But we will see.

    On that, good night to all.
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    Time to finish some work. Good night all.
    :kiss:
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,986
    nunu said:

    Everyone in Europe knows Boris and he is widely regarded as a joke. He has insulted all major political figures in the US. It's not a very good appointment on the face of it. He'll have a lot of fences to mend.
    https://twitter.com/drscottthinks/status/746430170739810304

    Boris is like Clarkson, he offends foriegn governments but the public don't care they like him anyway.

    Boris needs to look after and enhance British interests abroad. He now has a very different constituency to impress. If he is not up to it, our standing will suffer.

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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,013

    John_M said:

    Dromedary said:

    Dromedary said:

    When was the last time a Foreign Secretary was appointed who had no experience in government, in shadowing a government position, or in overseas affairs?..........

    and these Foreign Secys were so wonderful exactly when? Over recent decades the FO has gone down and down as it pushed its europhile line and is a shadow of its former position as a great department.
    That's not an argument for appointing someone with no experience either in government or in foreign affairs.

    Britain's role in the world can't be restored to what it was. I only hope Boris screws up and leaves sooner rather than later.
    The sentimental attachment people have to a customs union with delusions of political grandeur is baffling. The EU is just one supranational organisation of many. We would do far better to help strengthen the WTO's mission.

    We will have plenty of opportunities to cooperate with Europe. May is, above all, a pragmatist.
    The EU is clearly not just like any other supranational organisation. It's a project to create a European federation and has no parallel with the likes of the WTO.

    If the EU were so interchangeable with other international organisations it wouldn't have created such deep and bitter political splits.
    It's clear that some people here are very hurt that we won't now be part of that European Federation, but they really ought to have been making the case for that Federation a long while back.
  • Options
    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    EPG said:

    Sean_F said:

    EPG said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    May has gone very brexit heavy in the 'outward facing' brexit related departments. The reasons for this could be:

    1) Scapegoating - she wants to ensure that any brexit FUBARs don't fall on her head.
    2) Compromise - she was never a europhile remainer anyway, so no ideological reason to be against brexit, so why choose that hill to die on? Give the Bastards their Brexit and she may be able to crack on with what she really cares about without too much pushback.
    3) Backsliding - A brexiteer can go for EU-lite in a way that a Remainer couldn't.

    Theory running on Twitter it gives her cover for a "Norway" deal in short order
    David Davis seems to favour 100% Brexit though?

    I'd be OK with Norway personally, but having David Davis in this role makes me think we're going go full Brexit?
    We at the very least need Norway with bells on. We're a way bigger market to the EU than they are. Someone needs to get rid of the 'mug' sign we have stuck to our national forehead.
    In his ConHome article he's hanging tough on free movement.

    "Once the European nations realise that we are not going to budge on control of our borders, they will want to talk, in their own interest."

    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2016/07/david-davis-trade-deals-tax-cuts-and-taking-time-before-triggering-article-50-a-brexit-economic-strategy-for-britain.html
    And it is unambiguously in the own interests of Paris, Frankfurt, Milan and even Dublin to exclude the UK from service sector passporting. Then the UK will be a happy little island alone.
    The only thing you fear more than Brexit being a failure is Brexit being a success.
    Cry me a river, you won, now grow up and own it and make it work. Don't vote Brexit then cringe about the costs, or about nations looking after their own interests.
    Theresa is going to make it a success why can't you join her?
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    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,913

    nunu said:

    Everyone in Europe knows Boris and he is widely regarded as a joke. He has insulted all major political figures in the US. It's not a very good appointment on the face of it. He'll have a lot of fences to mend.
    https://twitter.com/drscottthinks/status/746430170739810304

    Boris is like Clarkson, he offends foriegn governments but the public don't care they like him anyway.

    Boris needs to look after and enhance British interests abroad. He now has a very different constituency to impress. If he is not up to it, our standing will suffer.

    Oh dear.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @Ed_Miliband: .@theresa_may Congratulations on becoming PM. Good words in Downing Street. Time will tell. I have unused material...https://t.co/fiQfhpW4h3
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    EPGEPG Posts: 6,079
    SeanT said:

    EPG said:

    john_zims said:

    @Jonathan

    'With Boris Johnson our top diplomat,of course I'm bloody laughing. Everyone is laughing'.


    Mayor of London for 8 years & just led a successful referendum campaign unlike the three numpties that are competing to lead the Labour party who have achieved zilch.

    "Successful" in the sense of winning the most votes. But international diplomacy isn't about winning votes. It is about outcomes, and the outcomes of Brexit so far are not such to increase the opinion of other people about British political capacity.
    There haven't BEEN any outcomes yet, you malignant, appeasing, defeatist little traitor.
    http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=GBP&to=EUR&view=1M

    An outcome. British people are poorer. It will take a little while to affect every trade, but the sterling most people earn now buys them less. I'm sure you can think of some internationally-traded products with street prices that will be affected by this.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Didn't the Brexiteers promise that Scotland will be given control of its fishing waters? I wonder how inflexible Holyrood will want to be towards the EU?

    Nippy and fishermen are not exactly in tune on that one...
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    BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    nunu said:

    Everyone in Europe knows Boris and he is widely regarded as a joke. He has insulted all major political figures in the US. It's not a very good appointment on the face of it. He'll have a lot of fences to mend.
    https://twitter.com/drscottthinks/status/746430170739810304

    Boris is like Clarkson, he offends foriegn governments but the public don't care they like him anyway.
    For a country that has gone from Sarko to Hollande and maybe on to Le Pen I'd say they should be careful when mocking us Brits!
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,013
    EPG said:

    Sean_F said:

    EPG said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    May has gone very brexit heavy in the 'outward facing' brexit related departments. The reasons for this could be:

    1) Scapegoating - she wants to ensure that any brexit FUBARs don't fall on her head.
    2) Compromise - she was never a europhile remainer anyway, so no ideological reason to be against brexit, so why choose that hill to die on? Give the Bastards their Brexit and she may be able to crack on with what she really cares about without too much pushback.
    3) Backsliding - A brexiteer can go for EU-lite in a way that a Remainer couldn't.

    Theory running on Twitter it gives her cover for a "Norway" deal in short order
    David Davis seems to favour 100% Brexit though?

    I'd be OK with Norway personally, but having David Davis in this role makes me think we're going go full Brexit?
    We at the very least need Norway with bells on. We're a way bigger market to the EU than they are. Someone needs to get rid of the 'mug' sign we have stuck to our national forehead.
    In his ConHome article he's hanging tough on free movement.

    "Once the European nations realise that we are not going to budge on control of our borders, they will want to talk, in their own interest."

    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2016/07/david-davis-trade-deals-tax-cuts-and-taking-time-before-triggering-article-50-a-brexit-economic-strategy-for-britain.html
    And it is unambiguously in the own interests of Paris, Frankfurt, Milan and even Dublin to exclude the UK from service sector passporting. Then the UK will be a happy little island alone.
    The only thing you fear more than Brexit being a failure is Brexit being a success.
    Cry me a river, you won, now grow up and own it and make it work. Don't vote Brexit then cringe about the costs, or about nations looking after their own interests.
    Brexit is great. You're the one who's throwing his toys out of the pram.
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,986
    SeanT said:

    EPG said:

    EPG said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    May has gone very brexit heavy in the 'outward facing' brexit related departments. The reasons for this could be:

    1) Scapegoating - she wants to ensure that any brexit FUBARs don't fall on her head.
    2) Compromise - she was never a europhile remainer anyway, so no ideological reason to be against brexit, so why choose that hill to die on? Give the Bastards their Brexit and she may be able to crack on with what she really cares about without too much pushback.
    3) Backsliding - A brexiteer can go for EU-lite in a way that a Remainer couldn't.

    Theory running on Twitter it gives her cover for a "Norway" deal in short order
    David Davis seems to favour 100% Brexit though?

    I'd be OK with Norway personally, but having David Davis in this role makes me think we're going go full Brexit?
    We at the very least need Norway with bells on. We're a way bigger market to the EU than they are. Someone needs to get rid of the 'mug' sign we have stuck to our national forehead.
    In his ConHome article he's hanging tough on free movement.

    "Once the European nations realise that we are not going to budge on control of our borders, they will want to talk, in their own interest."

    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2016/07/david-davis-trade-deals-tax-cuts-and-taking-time-before-triggering-article-50-a-brexit-economic-strategy-for-britain.html
    And it is unambiguously in the own interests of Paris, Frankfurt, Milan and even Dublin to exclude the UK from service sector passporting. Then the UK will be a happy little island alone.
    Is that such a great loss?

    "4) FX

    http://politicalbetting.vanillaforums.com/discussion/comment/1154756/#Comment_1154756

    Well yeah, of course the UK doesn't need to export financial services cheaply to the EU. Why didn't I read that one comment by a visitor to PB.
    Here in Switzerland they're taking the view that German industry will be desperate to maintain free trade with the UK, come what may, and will persuade less eager nations to do a deal on Free Movement.

    The price won't be passporting, it will be continuing significant UK contributions to the EU. We won't get that £350m back for the NHS.

    The people I have spoken are still amazed and perplexed, but pretty eager to get a good deal done. And confident pragmatism will win out as long as all sides are serious about securing a workable deal. Red lines need to be understood and appreciated.

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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,578
    nunu said:

    Everyone in Europe knows Boris and he is widely regarded as a joke. He has insulted all major political figures in the US. It's not a very good appointment on the face of it. He'll have a lot of fences to mend.
    https://twitter.com/drscottthinks/status/746430170739810304

    Boris is like Clarkson, he offends foriegn governments but the public don't care they like him anyway.
    Like you, initially I was distraught by this apparently foolish appointment.

    But I can see some buried genius in it, too.

    1. We have already pissed off a lot of world leaders with our Brexit vote; who better than Boris to go round the world and suck up the criticism?

    2. Boris's critical weakness is that he loves himself and his humour too much to stay sensible and diplomatic. So now he is in a job where diplomacy is at a premium. Either he knuckles down and, for the first time in his life, gets stuck in to a serious job. Or he messes up and drags the country into some gaffe or other, and he gets sacked and his future prospects are in ruins, with no scapegoat in sight for him to blame.
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    nunununu Posts: 6,024

    nunu said:

    Everyone in Europe knows Boris and he is widely regarded as a joke. He has insulted all major political figures in the US. It's not a very good appointment on the face of it. He'll have a lot of fences to mend.
    https://twitter.com/drscottthinks/status/746430170739810304

    Boris is like Clarkson, he offends foriegn governments but the public don't care they like him anyway.

    Boris needs to look after and enhance British interests abroad. He now has a very different constituency to impress. If he is not up to it, our standing will suffer.

    Not really. May has stripped his power to Fox et al.
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    anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746

    David Davis - Secretary of State for European Union Relations? - What kind of a title is that ?

    Minister for War would be too confrontational.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,960
    edited July 2016
    SeanT said:

    Dromedary said:

    Dromedary said:

    When was the last time a Foreign Secretary was appointed who had no experience in government, in shadowing a government position, or in overseas affairs?..........

    and these Foreign Secys were so wonderful exactly when? Over recent decades the FO has gone down and down as it pushed its europhile line and is a shadow of its former position as a great department.
    That's not an argument for appointing someone with no experience either in government or in foreign affairs. Britain's role in the world can't be restored to what it was. I only hope Boris screws up and leaves sooner rather than later.
    I was involved in Government relations in the period 1980 to 1990 and can tell you how our standing in the world leaped under Thatcher. We went from a basket case to being admired. Trade doors opened just because we were a British company. Thatcher had not spent one day as even a junior FO minister prior to being our PM. Have you no sense of pride in your country? We are a great country with a great future ahead of us.
    You're saying that since you believe that Thatcher was a great PM despite lack of foreign affairs experience, it's positively desirable to appoint a Foreign Secretary without foreign affairs experience, and who was recently derided by the new PM for his lack of it?
    It's a view.
    No i am not. What I am saying is that it is not essential to have spent time in foreign matters. Now in Boris's case he actually has taken part in overseas trade and relations visits and is fluent in a couple of other languages etc.

    He is also widely regarded abroad as a clown. He will have to work very hard to change minds. A foreign secretary needs to be taken seriously. The job will either make him or break him. Having him on a plane suits the PM, no doubt, but may not be in the country's interests. We'll see.

    Do you actually travel abroad, or just pretend to?

    Boris is one of the most visible of UK politicians in foreign countries. He's seen as amusing, smart, eccentric, occasionally silly and very British. He's also just won a referendum, against the odds, as many well know.

    He will be given wary respect, and will attract curiosity. The idea all these sophisticated foreigners will be laughing into their scented foulards is just a nonsense.

    Quite. The fact that our ForSec is actually known abroad before taking up the position marks him out above almost all his peers...
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    ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,819

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    May has gone very brexit heavy in the 'outward facing' brexit related departments. The reasons for this could be:

    1) Scapegoating - she wants to ensure that any brexit FUBARs don't fall on her head.
    2) Compromise - she was never a europhile remainer anyway, so no ideological reason to be against brexit, so why choose that hill to die on? Give the Bastards their Brexit and she may be able to crack on with what she really cares about without too much pushback.
    3) Backsliding - A brexiteer can go for EU-lite in a way that a Remainer couldn't.

    Theory running on Twitter it gives her cover for a "Norway" deal in short order
    David Davis seems to favour 100% Brexit though?

    I'd be OK with Norway personally, but having David Davis in this role makes me think we're going go full Brexit?
    We at the very least need Norway with bells on. We're a way bigger market to the EU than they are. Someone needs to get rid of the 'mug' sign we have stuck to our national forehead.
    In his ConHome article he's hanging tough on free movement.

    "Once the European nations realise that we are not going to budge on control of our borders, they will want to talk, in their own interest."

    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2016/07/david-davis-trade-deals-tax-cuts-and-taking-time-before-triggering-article-50-a-brexit-economic-strategy-for-britain.html
    It's not a bad article generally, but he is overstating our hand there. We will be offered Norway with at best some fig leaves on FoM (in return for something else, perhaps paying a higher contribution than we would otherwise). The EU will want a deal with us, but they will not actually back down on the 4 freedoms, it would do worse long term damage to the EU if they show that you can vote leave and get exactly what you want.
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    EPGEPG Posts: 6,079
    SeanT said:

    EPG said:

    SeanT said:

    EPG said:

    john_zims said:

    @Jonathan

    'With Boris Johnson our top diplomat,of course I'm bloody laughing. Everyone is laughing'.


    Mayor of London for 8 years & just led a successful referendum campaign unlike the three numpties that are competing to lead the Labour party who have achieved zilch.

    "Successful" in the sense of winning the most votes. But international diplomacy isn't about winning votes. It is about outcomes, and the outcomes of Brexit so far are not such to increase the opinion of other people about British political capacity.
    There haven't BEEN any outcomes yet, you malignant, appeasing, defeatist little traitor.
    http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=GBP&to=EUR&view=1M

    An outcome. British people are poorer. It will take a little while to affect every trade, but the sterling most people earn now buys them less. I'm sure you can think of some internationally-traded products with street prices that will be affected by this.
    It's less than a month after the fecking vote, you snivelling little quisling. These are currency fluctuations, more volatile than normal, but not unprecedented.

    Get off the site. Your sort is no longer wanted here.
    Fluctuations and volatile mean it goes up and down, not that it goes down and finds a level. Which it has.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @PickardJE: Boris on Clinton, 2007: "Dyed blonde hair and pouty lips, steely stare, like a sadistic nurse in a mental hospital." https://t.co/bjimS239NT
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    MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    edited July 2016
    runnymede said:

    Look at this prime example of a twerp that is actually paid to write for the Economist.

    Jeremy Cliffe ‏@JeremyCliffe 2h2 hours ago
    "David Davis to lead Brexit negotiations. Has Eurosceptic bona fides, but actual knowledge of EU or other European capitals? Not so much."

    Cliffe, just could not bother to check out that Davis was our Europe Minister for almost 3 YEARS!!!! in Major's Govt and handled Maastricht through the HoC. Yet Cliffe posts endlessly on how badly this Brexit is going.... day after day after day...

    What is it about the Economist these days that they pay people to write such inaccurate misleading tripe? All Cliffe had to do was look it up on wikipedia....

    It's a pathetic magazine written by kids
    I know someone who works there, and says that while the staff are well-travelled and well-(or at least, expensively-)educated and erudite, and certainly "smart", a lot of the writing is done by such folk who are also very young! And obviously they have a buy-in to a certain viewpoint of the world, as seen from a particularly London-centric perspective. He reckoned it was one reason the Economist doesn't stick a byline on its pieces - would undermine reader respect.

    Having said that, I've heard other people who've known writers there comment that there really are guys that know their onions there too. Still, it's telling in one respect that Cliffe simply couldn't remember Davis having been Minister of State for Europe - and more troubling that he couldn't be bothered to look up the most basic biographical details.

    Guido hardly has an unbiased viewpoint of these things, but it's tricky to disagree with him on this one.
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    murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,045
    EPG said:

    SeanT said:

    EPG said:

    SeanT said:

    EPG said:

    john_zims said:

    @Jonathan

    'With Boris Johnson our top diplomat,of course I'm bloody laughing. Everyone is laughing'.


    Mayor of London for 8 years & just led a successful referendum campaign unlike the three numpties that are competing to lead the Labour party who have achieved zilch.

    "Successful" in the sense of winning the most votes. But international diplomacy isn't about winning votes. It is about outcomes, and the outcomes of Brexit so far are not such to increase the opinion of other people about British political capacity.
    There haven't BEEN any outcomes yet, you malignant, appeasing, defeatist little traitor.
    http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=GBP&to=EUR&view=1M

    An outcome. British people are poorer. It will take a little while to affect every trade, but the sterling most people earn now buys them less. I'm sure you can think of some internationally-traded products with street prices that will be affected by this.
    It's less than a month after the fecking vote, you snivelling little quisling. These are currency fluctuations, more volatile than normal, but not unprecedented.

    Get off the site. Your sort is no longer wanted here.
    Fluctuations and volatile mean it goes up and down, not that it goes down and finds a level. Which it has.
    GBP is heading towards $1.20 - I hope it stabilises there, it might go lower...
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    ChaosOdinChaosOdin Posts: 67
    Just saw Cameron's last PMQs and final little speech.

    A class act.
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,384
    edited July 2016
    Scott_P said:

    Didn't the Brexiteers promise that Scotland will be given control of its fishing waters? I wonder how inflexible Holyrood will want to be towards the EU?

    Nippy and fishermen are not exactly in tune on that one...
    Since the Gover was chief proponent of Scottish water for Scottish fisher folk, I fear the idea of any Scottish control of its waters is somewhat academic.
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    IanB2 said:

    nunu said:

    Everyone in Europe knows Boris and he is widely regarded as a joke. He has insulted all major political figures in the US. It's not a very good appointment on the face of it. He'll have a lot of fences to mend.
    https://twitter.com/drscottthinks/status/746430170739810304

    Boris is like Clarkson, he offends foriegn governments but the public don't care they like him anyway.
    Like you, initially I was distraught by this apparently foolish appointment.

    But I can see some buried genius in it, too.

    1. We have already pissed off a lot of world leaders with our Brexit vote; who better than Boris to go round the world and suck up the criticism?

    2. Boris's critical weakness is that he loves himself and his humour too much to stay sensible and diplomatic. So now he is in a job where diplomacy is at a premium. Either he knuckles down and, for the first time in his life, gets stuck in to a serious job. Or he messes up and drags the country into some gaffe or other, and he gets sacked and his future prospects are in ruins, with no scapegoat in sight for him to blame.
    It is an absolute genius move, which should neutralise Boris in terms of a leadership run in the future. He is pretty much bound to mess up.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,283
    Sean_F said:

    John_M said:

    Dromedary said:

    Dromedary said:

    When was the last time a Foreign Secretary was appointed who had no experience in government, in shadowing a government position, or in overseas affairs?..........

    and these Foreign Secys were so wonderful exactly when? Over recent decades the FO has gone down and down as it pushed its europhile line and is a shadow of its former position as a great department.
    That's not an argument for appointing someone with no experience either in government or in foreign affairs.

    Britain's role in the world can't be restored to what it was. I only hope Boris screws up and leaves sooner rather than later.
    The sentimental attachment people have to a customs union with delusions of political grandeur is baffling. The EU is just one supranational organisation of many. We would do far better to help strengthen the WTO's mission.

    We will have plenty of opportunities to cooperate with Europe. May is, above all, a pragmatist.
    The EU is clearly not just like any other supranational organisation. It's a project to create a European federation and has no parallel with the likes of the WTO.

    If the EU were so interchangeable with other international organisations it wouldn't have created such deep and bitter political splits.
    It's clear that some people here are very hurt that we won't now be part of that European Federation, but they really ought to have been making the case for that Federation a long while back.
    I quite agree... It's very sad but we'll have to make the best of it now.
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    ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,819

    Scott_P said:

    @KeirSimmons: Boris role not looking as good across the pond as you might have expected... https://t.co/KHoHtF5cam

    Has Theresa May just handed Trump a huge credibility boost? He can now repeat all of this as being the opinion of the British Foreign Secretary.
    I'm no fan of Boris's remarks on Obama's heritage, but he's not actually a 'birther' as the article claims, which is the idea that Obama wasn't born in the US. Boris just says that Obama has part-kenyan heritage.
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,986
    SeanT said:

    Dromedary said:

    Dromedary said:

    When was the last time a Foreign Secretary was appointed who had no experience in government, in shadowing a government position, or in overseas affairs?..........

    and these Foreign Secys were so wonderful exactly when? Over recent decades the FO has gone down and down as it pushed its europhile line and is a shadow of its former position as a great department.
    That's not an argument for appointing someone with no experience either in government or in foreign affairs. Britain's role in the world can't be restored to what it was. I only hope Boris screws up and leaves sooner rather than later.
    I was involved in Government relations in the period 1980 to your country? We are a great country with a great future ahead of us.
    You're saying that since you believe that Thatcher was a great PM despite lack of foreign affairs experience, it's positively desirable to appoint a Foreign Secretary without foreign affairs experience, and who was recently derided by the new PM for his lack of it?
    It's a view.
    No i am not. What I am saying is that it is not essential to have spent time in foreign matters. Now in Boris's case he actually has taken part in overseas trade and relations visits and is fluent in a couple of other languages etc.

    He is also widely regarded abroad ascountry's interests. We'll see.

    Do you actually travel abroad, or just pretend to?

    Boris is one of the most visible of UK politicians in foreign countries. He's seen as amusing, smart, eccentric, occasionally silly and very British. He's also just won a referendum, against the odds, as many well know.

    He will be given wary respect, and will attract curiosity. The idea all these sophisticated foreigners will be laughing into their scented foulards is just a nonsense.

    Yep, when I travel abroad I tend to do so for business and speak to people in government and in boardrooms. Not top dogs by any means, but well informed, switched on people. Boris already has a reputation and will be well known to all foreign ministries as they have followed the referendum closely. They will also have had regular briefings from their London-based diplomatic missions. His previous utterings and exploits will all be well logged, so he'll artive in capitals with a reputation. The appointment will perplex. He will have to change minds. It's in our national intetest to have a well-regarded foreign secretary.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,218
    edited July 2016
    BBC poll on Brexit 66% prioritise free movement over controlling immigration (93% of Remain voters back this), 31% controlling immigration over free movement (56% of Leave voters back this, 42% back the single market). 52% expect the UK will stay in the single market with some limits on free movement
    https://twitter.com/BBCMarkEaston?lang=en-gb
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    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,843
    edited July 2016
    The problem with Boris Johnson is that I don't think he is much good at anything apart from showy PR gestures and opinion writing (which links to his first skill). He makes the most of these skills but he is really an empty fortress.Theresa May's comment that his diplomacy skills only extend to bringing home three slightly used water cannon is a bit catty, but has an element of truth.

    Still, he livens up a relentlessly gray government.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,533
    Evening all I'm sure it's all been said but

    WTF!
  • Options
    Well, Boris. Blimey. I guess we just have to give the May cabinet the benefit of the doubt for a year or so.
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    The great Heidi Alexander on Newsnight now.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,218
    Danny565 said:


    That is going to go down like a bucket of cold sick with your working class voters NickP. But since the Labour party has abandoned its old core vote, so be it.

    First, the election at hand is among members, not voters in general. Working-class Labour members are generally pro-EU, like the TUC. Second, my recollection (correct me if I'm wrong) is that Labour-voting working class voters were evenly divided on Brexit.

    It's undoubtedly true that there are ex-Labour working-class voters who've defected to UKIP over immigraiton (less so over Brexit specifically). But Smith doesn't really need to address that problem right now.
    Sorry Nick, but two-thirds of current Labour seats voted Leave (as well as most of their target seats). There's simply no case that it's in Labour political interests to run on a pro-EU ticket.

    https://www.buzzfeed.com/chrisapplegate/why-a-pro-eu-party-could-be-screwed-in-the-next-election
    UKIP were generally second in most Labour working class seats last May, it was mainly the UKIP vote which drove the Leave vote in such seats plus a 1/3 of the Labour vote on top
  • Options
    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    're a way bigger market to the EU than they are. Someone needs to get rid of the 'mug' sign we have stuck to our national forehead. In his ConHome article he's hanging tough on free movement.

    "Once the European nations realise that we are not going to budge on control of our borders, they will want to talk, in their own interest."

    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2016/07/david-davis-trade-deals-tax-cuts-and-taking-time-before-triggering-article-50-a-brexit-economic-strategy-for-britain.html

    And it is unambiguously in the own interests of Paris, Frankfurt, Milan and even Dublin to exclude the UK from service sector passporting. Then the UK will be a happy little island alone.Is that such a great loss?

    "4) FX

    http://politicalbetting.vanillaforums.com/discussion/comment/1154756/#Comment_1154756



    Well yeah, of course the UK doesn't need to export financial services cheaply to the EU. Why didn't I read that one comment by a visitor to PB.

    Here in Switzerland they're taking the view that German industry will be desperate to maintain free trade with the UK, come what may, and will persuade less eager nations to do a deal on Free Movement.

    The price won't be passporting, it will be continuing significant UK contributions to the EU. We won't get that £350m back for the NHS.



    The people I have spoken are still amazed and perplexed, but pretty eager to get a good deal done. And confident pragmatism will win out as long as all sides are serious about securing a workable deal. Red lines need to be understood and appreciated.



    Most Leavers know we won't get everything we want. We won't mind a classic British fudge on immigration as long as unskilled migration is curtailed e.g by a surcharge on NHS use like non E.U migrants have to pay.That means the city still gets their high skilled migrants. Remember southern Europe's economy is in a mess we could say we will accept your young skilled unemployed for short term work if you give us a good deal or something similar.


    Some will never be happy ofcourse but oh well....
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @DAaronovitch: I gather the £250k spent on Boris’s column is now to go to the NHS.

    :)
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:


    That is going to go down like a bucket of cold sick with your working class voters NickP. But since the Labour party has abandoned its old core vote, so be it.

    First, the election at hand is among members, not voters in general. Working-class Labour members are generally pro-EU, like the TUC. Second, my recollection (correct me if I'm wrong) is that Labour-voting working class voters were evenly divided on Brexit.

    It's undoubtedly true that there are ex-Labour working-class voters who've defected to UKIP over immigraiton (less so over Brexit specifically). But Smith doesn't really need to address that problem right now.
    Sorry Nick, but two-thirds of current Labour seats voted Leave (as well as most of their target seats). There's simply no case that it's in Labour political interests to run on a pro-EU ticket.

    https://www.buzzfeed.com/chrisapplegate/why-a-pro-eu-party-could-be-screwed-in-the-next-election
    UKIP were generally second in most Labour working class seats last May, it was mainly the UKIP vote which drove the Leave vote in such seats plus a 1/3 of the Labour vote on top
    Therefore, all those Labour seats would be likely losses if they take a hugely pro-EU stance.
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    JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    Who is the brunette on Newsnight?
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Jobabob said:

    Who is the brunette on Newsnight?

    Heidi Alexander, the Tory MP who saved tax credits.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,533
    Davis? Fox? Bojo?

    Theresa's was surely the shortest honeymoon in history.
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,986
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    Dromedary said:

    Dromedary said:

    When was the last time a Foreign Secretary was appointed who had no experience in government, in shadowing a government position, or in overseas affairs?..........

    and these Foreign Secys were so wonderful exactly when? Over recent decades the FO has gone down and down as it pushed its europhile line and is a shadow of its former position as a great department.
    That's not ar than later.
    I was involved in Government relations in the period 1980 to your country? We are a great country with a great future ahead of us.
    You're saying that since yrecently derided by the new PM for his lack of it?
    It's a view.
    No i am not. What I am saying is that it is not essential to have spent time in foreign matters. Now in Boris's case he actually has taken part in overseas trade and relations visits and is fluent in a couple of other languages etc.

    He is also widely regarded abroad ascountry's interests. We'll see.

    Do you foulards is just a nonsense.

    Yep, when I travel abroad I tend to do so for business and speak to people in government and in boardrooms. Not top dogs by any means, but well informed, switched on people. Boris already has a reputation and will be well known to all foreign ministries as they have followed the referendum closely. They will also have had regular briefings from their London-based diplomatic missions. His previous utterings and exploits will all be well logged, so he'll artive in capitals with a reputation. The appointment will perplex. He will have to change minds. It's in our national intetest to have a well-regarded foreign secretary.
    I think foreign governments are a lot more pragmatic and grown up than you think, and will be intrigued to see what this victorious, well-known Brexiteer has to say. Any prior remarks will be seen as part of the knockabout of politics. Like "back of the queue" which worked so well for Obama he's now forgotten it entirely, as it was a clear lie.

    I think they will certainly be intrigued. Will he live up to his reputation or will he show previously hidden depths and skillsets? As I said previously, the job will make him or totally break him.

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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,960
    What time is the MPC decision published tomorrow, anyone?
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,087

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    May has gone very brexit heavy in the 'outward facing' brexit related departments. The reasons for this could be:

    1) Scapegoating - she wants to ensure that any brexit FUBARs don't fall on her head.
    2) Compromise - she was never a europhile remainer anyway, so no ideological reason to be against brexit, so why choose that hill to die on? Give the Bastards their Brexit and she may be able to crack on with what she really cares about without too much pushback.
    3) Backsliding - A brexiteer can go for EU-lite in a way that a Remainer couldn't.

    Theory running on Twitter it gives her cover for a "Norway" deal in short order
    David Davis seems to favour 100% Brexit though?

    I'd be OK with Norway personally, but having David Davis in this role makes me think we're going go full Brexit?
    We at the very least need Norway with bells on. We're a way bigger market to the EU than they are. Someone needs to get rid of the 'mug' sign we have stuck to our national forehead.
    In his ConHome article he's hanging tough on free movement.

    "Once the European nations realise that we are not going to budge on control of our borders, they will want to talk, in their own interest."

    http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2016/07/david-davis-trade-deals-tax-cuts-and-taking-time-before-triggering-article-50-a-brexit-economic-strategy-for-britain.html
    It's not a bad article generally, but he is overstating our hand there. We will be offered Norway with at best some fig leaves on FoM (in return for something else, perhaps paying a higher contribution than we would otherwise). The EU will want a deal with us, but they will not actually back down on the 4 freedoms, it would do worse long term damage to the EU if they show that you can vote leave and get exactly what you want.
    Quite so. We can get a deal which is good and works for the majority of citizens, but it simply is not possible to get everything, because while being punitive toward us is unhelpful to the EU, being too generous, or being seen to be too generous, only undermines the whole mess. It's the same reason there will be no offer from the EU that might justify asking us a second time to Remain, as it would tell every skeptic in the EU you can vote Leave, get a bunch of goodies, and then stay after all, they would held hostage. Giving us too much in negotiations would be the same sort of thing - they would rather take a hit from a less than optimal deal, than one that is best all around but undermines the project.
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    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    HYUFD said:

    BBC poll on Brexit 66% prioritise free movement over controlling immigration (93% of Remain voters back this), 31% controlling immigration over free movement (56% of Leave voters back this, 42% back the single market). 52% expect the UK will stay in the single market with some limits on free movement
    https://twitter.com/BBCMarkEaston?lang=en-gb

    That looks like remainders just expressing a view on the E.U ref, they are hurt and are trying to hit out.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    TOPPING said:

    Davis? Fox? Bojo?

    Theresa's was surely the shortest honeymoon in history.

    I have just gone in. Has Health been announced yet?
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,949
    edited July 2016
    FF43 said:

    The problem with Boris Johnson is that I don't think he is much good at anything apart from showy PR gestures and opinion writing (which links to his first skill). He makes the most of these skills but he is really an empty fortress.Theresa May's comment that his diplomacy skills only extend to bringing home three slightly used water cannon is a bit catty, but has an element of truth.

    Still, he livens up a relentlessly gray government.

    I think it'll work out that Boris's role is more "symbolic" but David Davis will have the power and it's his vision of Brexit that we need to watch.

    This is going to be more a more radical Brexit than most people expected... Certainly more radical than Boris on his own would have wanted...
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,960

    TOPPING said:

    Davis? Fox? Bojo?

    Theresa's was surely the shortest honeymoon in history.

    I have just gone in. Has Health been announced yet?
    No.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,087
    edited July 2016
    SeanT said:

    EPG said:

    SeanT said:

    EPG said:

    john_zims said:

    @Jonathan

    'With Boris Johnson our top diplomat,of course I'm bloody laughing. Everyone is laughing'.


    Mayor of London for 8 years & just led a successful referendum campaign unlike the three numpties that are competing to lead the Labour party who have achieved zilch.

    "Successful" in the sense of winning the most votes. But international diplomacy isn't about winning votes. It is about outcomes, and the outcomes of Brexit so far are not such to increase the opinion of other people about British political capacity.
    There haven't BEEN any outcomes yet, you malignant, appeasing, defeatist little traitor.
    http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=GBP&to=EUR&view=1M

    An outcome. British people are poorer. It will take a little while to affect every trade, but the sterling most people earn now buys them less. I'm sure you can think of some internationally-traded products with street prices that will be affected by this.
    It's less than a month after the fecking vote, you snivelling little quisling. These are currency fluctuations, more volatile than normal, but not unprecedented.

    Get off the site. Your sort is no longer wanted here.
    On the contrary, Mr T - a full range of optimists, realists, and pessimists adds to the gaiety of society and the site. Without that range, who will bear the brunt of scorn when one side or the other is proven wrong so decisively? As Lab and during the referendum the Tories have shown, when its only people formerly of the same side tearing into each other, it's just sad, not fun.
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    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    Danny565 said:

    Jobabob said:

    Who is the brunette on Newsnight?

    Heidi Alexander, the Tory MP who saved tax credits.
    No, Heidi Alexander is Labour's ex-Shadow Health Secretary. The one on Newsnight was Heidi Allen.
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    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    EPG said:

    SeanT said:

    EPG said:

    SeanT said:

    EPG said:

    john_zims said:

    @Jonathan

    'With Boris Johnson our top diplomat,of course I'm bloody laughing. Everyone is laughing'.


    Mayor of London for 8 years & just led a successful referendum campaign unlike the three numpties that are competing to lead the Labour party who have achieved zilch.

    "Successful" in the sense of winning the most votes. But international diplomacy isn't about winning votes. It is about outcomes, and the outcomes of Brexit so far are not such to increase the opinion of other people about British political capacity.
    There haven't BEEN any outcomes yet, you malignant, appeasing, defeatist little traitor.
    http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=GBP&to=EUR&view=1M

    An outcome. British people are poorer. It will take a little while to affect every trade, but the sterling most people earn now buys them less. I'm sure you can think of some internationally-traded products with street prices that will be affected by this.
    It's less than a month after the fecking vote, you snivelling little quisling. These are currency fluctuations, more volatile than normal, but not unprecedented.

    Get off the site. Your sort is no longer wanted here.
    Fluctuations and volatile mean it goes up and down, not that it goes down and finds a level. Which it has.
    I suggest you read this:

    https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/britain/british-pound-after-brexit/

    The real trouble is with the Italian Banks and Deustche Banks, not the UK. The descent of the euro is about to begin.
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    EPGEPG Posts: 6,079
    SeanT said:

    FF43 said:

    The problem with Boris Johnson is that I don't think he is much good at anything apart from showy PR gestures and opinion writing (which links to his first skill). He makes the most of these skills but he is really an empty fortress.Theresa May's comment that his diplomacy skills only extend to bringing home three slightly used water cannon is a bit catty, but has an element of truth.

    Still, he livens up a relentlessly gray government.

    The Boris you regard as "not very good" twice won the London mayoralty against the odds, and then played a very significant role in winning an historic EU referendum, entirely against the odds.

    If Boris was so rubbish, why was Cameron so terrified (and rightly) when Boris came out for LEAVE?

    Boris has the air of a buffoon. But he is weirdly good at winning votes. Strikingly good, in fact.


    He's good at winning votes. He's also been sacked repeatedly for making things up. One of these matters to international negotiators.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,960
    edited July 2016
    OT, but does Owen Smith realise you have to be elected to hold a referendum? Surely the deal will be ratified before 2020 by which time it'll be too late...
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @PadraigBelton: A FRIEND: Presumably PM just wrote F. Off next to Bojo's name and some civil servant misinterpreted it. https://t.co/XEKvyfN65I
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,949

    TOPPING said:

    Davis? Fox? Bojo?

    Theresa's was surely the shortest honeymoon in history.

    I have just gone in. Has Health been announced yet?
    No. Most of the cabinet posts remain unfilled.

    We've had

    PM (obviously)
    CoE
    Foreign
    Home
    Defence
    Brexit
    International Trade

    And Osborne was sacked (and skulked out via the back door)
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,960
    Hunchman - any idea if the descent of the euro will begin before my holiday in France (September)...
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    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,843
    SeanT said:

    FF43 said:

    The problem with Boris Johnson is that I don't think he is much good at anything apart from showy PR gestures and opinion writing (which links to his first skill). He makes the most of these skills but he is really an empty fortress.Theresa May's comment that his diplomacy skills only extend to bringing home three slightly used water cannon is a bit catty, but has an element of truth.

    Still, he livens up a relentlessly gray government.

    The Boris you regard as "not very good" twice won the London mayoralty against the odds, and then played a very significant role in winning an historic EU referendum, entirely against the odds.

    If Boris was so rubbish, why was Cameron so terrified (and rightly) when Boris came out for LEAVE?

    Boris has the air of a buffoon. But he is weirdly good at winning votes. Strikingly good, in fact.


    Agree with all that, actually. And he might not make a bad FM as long as it's a sinecure. I thought Theresa May might give him the job. Removing the bits that matter from his portfolio would be move of genius on the part of May, except I have serious doubts about the people she has given them to. That stuff will affect us.
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    brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    Mortimer said:

    OT, but does Owen Smith realise you have to be elected to hold a referendum? Surely the deal will be ratified before 2020 by which time it'll be too late...

    Of course he does, he just needs some gullible hacked-off remainer corbynistas to believe.
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    I think in the context of Boris's appointment as foreign secretary, it is probably worth remembering that it was little more than a couple of weeks ago that he was strong favourite to become Prime Minister. Given the choice of the two, i'll probably take the former.
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    JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    TOPPING said:

    Evening all I'm sure it's all been said but

    WTF!

    I've got it.

    May is keen on her industrial strategy, pro-regulation worker friendly capitalism stuff. With those three clowns arguing in the three foreign affairs briefs, she will be able to get on with it, while they concern themselves
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,667
    Mortimer said:

    What time is the MPC decision published tomorrow, anyone?

    Scheduled for midday.
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,160
    nunu said:



    Boris is like Clarkson, he offends foriegn governments but the public don't care they like him anyway.

    Problem is, that's a recommendation for Boris hosting Top Gear, not a recommendation for Foreign Secretary... :)
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,960
    MaxPB said:

    Mortimer said:

    What time is the MPC decision published tomorrow, anyone?

    Scheduled for midday.
    Thanks Max - I always mix up the timings for MPC and growth figures (9.30, IIRC?)
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    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Mortimer said:

    Hunchman - any idea if the descent of the euro will begin before my holiday in France (September)...

    These will give you some idea:

    https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/category/markets-by-sector/foreign-exchange/euro/

    August is certainly looking very interesting, particularly the week beginning August 8th. Lets see.
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    Mortimer said:

    MaxPB said:

    Mortimer said:

    What time is the MPC decision published tomorrow, anyone?

    Scheduled for midday.
    Thanks Max - I always mix up the timings for MPC and growth figures (9.30, IIRC?)
    ONS figures tend to be 9.30.
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    Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307
    That guy looks like a bit of psycho in the still image above.

    There, I said it.
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    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831

    Mortimer said:

    OT, but does Owen Smith realise you have to be elected to hold a referendum? Surely the deal will be ratified before 2020 by which time it'll be too late...

    Of course he does, he just needs some gullible hacked-off remainer corbynistas to believe.
    They will first have to work out who the hell Owen Smith is....
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,533
    edited July 2016
    Jobabob said:

    TOPPING said:

    Evening all I'm sure it's all been said but

    WTF!

    I've got it.

    May is keen on her industrial strategy, pro-regulation worker friendly capitalism stuff. With those three clowns arguing in the three foreign affairs briefs, she will be able to get on with it, while they concern themselves
    And she sends them on their first assignment on a practically unsinkable ship?

    Gotcha!
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,667
    Mortimer said:

    MaxPB said:

    Mortimer said:

    What time is the MPC decision published tomorrow, anyone?

    Scheduled for midday.
    Thanks Max - I always mix up the timings for MPC and growth figures (9.30, IIRC?)
    ONS is 9:30, MPC is midday.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,087
    Y0kel said:

    That guy looks like a bit of psycho in the still image above.

    There, I said it.

    I was thinking it. And a little like a dark haired Malfoy.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,218
    nunu said:

    HYUFD said:

    BBC poll on Brexit 66% prioritise free movement over controlling immigration (93% of Remain voters back this), 31% controlling immigration over free movement (56% of Leave voters back this, 42% back the single market). 52% expect the UK will stay in the single market with some limits on free movement
    https://twitter.com/BBCMarkEaston?lang=en-gb

    That looks like remainders just expressing a view on the E.U ref, they are hurt and are trying to hit out.
    Yes but add in 40% of Leave voters and you have a majority for the single market and some free movement
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,160



    I think they will certainly be intrigued. Will he live up to his reputation or will he show previously hidden depths and skillsets? As I said previously, the job will make him or totally break him.

    Unstupid question: what does a Foreign Secretary actually do? Because unless it's inappropriate sex, dressing badly, failing to prevent assaults or buying bicycles, I fail to see what abilities he brings to the role...

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    ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,819
    SeanT said:

    FF43 said:

    The problem with Boris Johnson is that I don't think he is much good at anything apart from showy PR gestures and opinion writing (which links to his first skill). He makes the most of these skills but he is really an empty fortress.Theresa May's comment that his diplomacy skills only extend to bringing home three slightly used water cannon is a bit catty, but has an element of truth.

    Still, he livens up a relentlessly gray government.

    The Boris you regard as "not very good" twice won the London mayoralty against the odds, and then played a very significant role in winning an historic EU referendum, entirely against the odds.

    If Boris was so rubbish, why was Cameron so terrified (and rightly) when Boris came out for LEAVE?

    Boris has the air of a buffoon. But he is weirdly good at winning votes. Strikingly good, in fact.


    I have to admit, as someone on the left, in London, I had always liked Boris, and voted for him in 2012 (also partly because the alternative was Ken). One of the most disappointing moments of the campaign for me was when he came out for Leave - first time in the campaign that I worried Leave could win. If he had come out for Remain they would have won as Boris takes the lead, Cam takes a back seat and toxic Osborne keeps quiet, Boris against Osborne in 2019 would have seen Bojo win in the membership.

    He has lost his charm with myself and other remainers so won't be as much of a vote winner as before, but he is still relatively popular with the public, so it's probably a good idea to have him in government, especially as 'cathartic vengeance' was served on the fact that he didn't claim top prize in the end. FS seems an odd choice but I wouldn't read too much into initial bemused reactions from abroad. It will no longer be a story by tomorrow morning.
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    timmotimmo Posts: 1,469
    Gilts about to become relevant again.. Watch the yield curve tomorrow no matter what the MPC do.
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    BigIanBigIan Posts: 198
    Mortimer said:

    OT, but does Owen Smith realise you have to be elected to hold a referendum? Surely the deal will be ratified before 2020 by which time it'll be too late...

    They're still calling for a GE, at which they'll presumably sweep to power.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,960
    edited July 2016
    Today has been a good day. New PM for the nation, and personally agreed terms on a lease for a new and larger business premises.

    Who knows what tomorrow will hold. A new dawn will break, will it not?
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    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,843
    viewcode said:



    I think they will certainly be intrigued. Will he live up to his reputation or will he show previously hidden depths and skillsets? As I said previously, the job will make him or totally break him.

    Unstupid question: what does a Foreign Secretary actually do? Because unless it's inappropriate sex, dressing badly, failing to prevent assaults or buying bicycles, I fail to see what abilities he brings to the role...

    His main role might be to sell whatever fudge the Brexit team manage to cobble together to the British public.
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    GideonWiseGideonWise Posts: 1,123
    A wonderful day seeing Osborne sacked.
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    jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,261
    Just re-watched the Johanna Baxter interview on C4 and the amount of abuse she has gotten really has made my blood boil. Can't believe that absolute scum are getting away with behaviour like that and the so called Labour 'leader' is allowing it to happen.

    These Corbyn backers really need to take a long hard look at themselves and purge this evil from their party.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,960
    BigIan said:

    Mortimer said:

    OT, but does Owen Smith realise you have to be elected to hold a referendum? Surely the deal will be ratified before 2020 by which time it'll be too late...

    They're still calling for a GE, at which they'll presumably sweep to power.
    Do Labour Party members seriously believe that?
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    BigIanBigIan Posts: 198
    Mortimer said:

    BigIan said:

    Mortimer said:

    OT, but does Owen Smith realise you have to be elected to hold a referendum? Surely the deal will be ratified before 2020 by which time it'll be too late...

    They're still calling for a GE, at which they'll presumably sweep to power.
    Do Labour Party members seriously believe that?
    Apparently so. Incredible, isn't it?
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,960
    BigIan said:

    Mortimer said:

    BigIan said:

    Mortimer said:

    OT, but does Owen Smith realise you have to be elected to hold a referendum? Surely the deal will be ratified before 2020 by which time it'll be too late...

    They're still calling for a GE, at which they'll presumably sweep to power.
    Do Labour Party members seriously believe that?
    Apparently so. Incredible, isn't it?
    Absolutely. They'd lose another 35-45 seats on my reckoning...
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    JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    jonny83 said:

    Just re-watched the Johanna Baxter interview on C4 and the amount of abuse she has gotten really has made my blood boil. Can't believe that absolute scum are getting away with behaviour like that and the so called Labour 'leader' is allowing it to happen.

    These Corbyn backers really need to take a long hard look at themselves and purge this evil from their party.

    I heard her Radio 4 interview which elicited a similar reaction from me
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    JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    TOPPING said:

    Jobabob said:

    TOPPING said:

    Evening all I'm sure it's all been said but

    WTF!

    I've got it.

    May is keen on her industrial strategy, pro-regulation worker friendly capitalism stuff. With those three clowns arguing in the three foreign affairs briefs, she will be able to get on with it, while they concern themselves
    And she sends them on their first assignment on a practically unsinkable ship?

    Gotcha!
    :smiley:
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    BigIanBigIan Posts: 198
    Mortimer said:

    BigIan said:

    Mortimer said:

    BigIan said:

    Mortimer said:

    OT, but does Owen Smith realise you have to be elected to hold a referendum? Surely the deal will be ratified before 2020 by which time it'll be too late...

    They're still calling for a GE, at which they'll presumably sweep to power.
    Do Labour Party members seriously believe that?
    Apparently so. Incredible, isn't it?
    Absolutely. They'd lose another 35-45 seats on my reckoning...
    Don't suppose she will, but I'd love TM to call one soon.
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    JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    Mortimer said:

    BigIan said:

    Mortimer said:

    OT, but does Owen Smith realise you have to be elected to hold a referendum? Surely the deal will be ratified before 2020 by which time it'll be too late...

    They're still calling for a GE, at which they'll presumably sweep to power.
    Do Labour Party members seriously believe that?
    In fairness they also believe in the second coming
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    MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    jonny83 said:

    Just re-watched the Johanna Baxter interview on C4 and the amount of abuse she has gotten really has made my blood boil. Can't believe that absolute scum are getting away with behaviour like that and the so called Labour 'leader' is allowing it to happen.

    These Corbyn backers really need to take a long hard look at themselves and purge this evil from their party.

    Labour moderates did nothing when the loony left were attacking the Tories and UKIP.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @BBCNewsnight: @MatthewParris3:"She's appointed the geldings rather than the stallions of Brexit. They will never satisfy the ultras in the Conservatives."
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022
    MP_SE said:

    jonny83 said:

    Just re-watched the Johanna Baxter interview on C4 and the amount of abuse she has gotten really has made my blood boil. Can't believe that absolute scum are getting away with behaviour like that and the so called Labour 'leader' is allowing it to happen.

    These Corbyn backers really need to take a long hard look at themselves and purge this evil from their party.

    Labour moderates did nothing when the loony left were attacking the Tories and UKIP.
    Tory scum are fair game! :)
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022
    Scott_P said:

    @BBCNewsnight: @MatthewParris3:"She's appointed the geldings rather than the stallions of Brexit. They will never satisfy the ultras in the Conservatives."

    Remind me, who were the stallions? :p
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    Scott_P said:

    @PadraigBelton: A FRIEND: Presumably PM just wrote F. Off next to Bojo's name and some civil servant misinterpreted it. https://t.co/XEKvyfN65I

    Another BBC employee showing their usual partiality.
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    Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Scott_P said:

    @PickardJE: Boris on Clinton, 2007: "Dyed blonde hair and pouty lips, steely stare, like a sadistic nurse in a mental hospital." https://t.co/bjimS239NT

    So he does have an eye for detail after all... Thanks the confirm
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    A wonderful day seeing Osborne sacked.

    My William Hill account is £150 richer thanks to whoever tipped George ceasing to be CoE in 2016!

    On a more serious note, I could not help but notice this resemblance between two well known politicians:

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-3688798/Theresa-wears-yellow-black-ensemble-just-like-Hillary-Clinton.html

    And it is striking that both resemble the nautical signalling flag L

    http://www.marinewaypoints.com/learn/flags/flags.shtml

    Also used at sea to mean: "You should stop your vessel immediately"

    This edition of "Fun with Flags" is brought to you by Dr Foxy!
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Scott_P said:

    @PickardJE: Boris on Clinton, 2007: "Dyed blonde hair and pouty lips, steely stare, like a sadistic nurse in a mental hospital." https://t.co/bjimS239NT

    Nope. Still picturing Trump

    *innocent face*
This discussion has been closed.