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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the day Chilcot was published the latest PB/Polling Matters podcast looks at the legacy of Iraq & asks whether Theresa May is now unstoppable
On this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran and Rob discuss the legacy of Iraq on British politics and the latest on the Tory leadership contest. This episode includes a detailed discussion on recent YouGov polling that shows Theresa May in a commanding position and Keiran argues that the Tories should consider crowning the Home Secretary as Prime Minister early.
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*This post is sponsored by my 200/1 betslip on Ed Miliband as next Labour leader*
Portugal are not marking him well.
In the end, he was passable at best. He fluffed too many of his pre-prepared lines. And his 'apology' had nothing to do with Labour and everything to do with his overwhelming need to virtue-signal and say 'I told you so'
He doesn't understand enough about international law to know that what he is seeking is not possible. And he clearly doesn't understand the report properly to be taking the lines he is.
A wasted day from a waste of space.
Agree with your no coronation point.
If Leadsom and Gove both fall, then perhaps it should be May v RON....
Larry is a bit of a Leftfie.
Home Secretary Theresa May has been criticised for claiming that an illegal immigrant avoided deportation because of his pet cat.
She told the Conservative conference the ruling illustrated the problem with human rights laws, but England's top judges said she had got it wrong.
Her Cabinet colleague Ken Clarke said he had been "surprised" by the claim and could not believe it was true.
And human rights campaigners said Mrs May should get "her facts straight".
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-15160326
http://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-07-04/the-2-8-million-non-voters-who-delivered-brexit
"With negative long-term real UK gilt yields, borrowing has never been cheaper, so we should create a Growing Britain Fund worth up to £100 billion to fund business-friendly infrastructure programmes alongside the private sector. That would not mean backing white elephants: each project would require a rigorous cost-benefit analysis from the independent National Infrastructure Commission."
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/07/05/my-economic-plan-for-britain-after-brexit/
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-06/furious-italian-prime-minister-slams-deutsche-bank-europes-most-insolvent-bank
Ken at No 11 too old.. needs a kip now and then...
Not two months though, there's too many things for the new PM to do!
http://www.parliament.uk/business/committees/committees-a-z/commons-select/treasury-committee/membership/
What about Steve Baker as Chancellor?
We May not be for turning
"Are we really confident that the membership won't vote for a fresh face who shares their attitudes about modern life?"
A historical metric of the younger voting demographic would be fascinating. Have they always been so flaky?
I was certainly never implored to vote back in the 80s to vote when I was 18.
Typical ITV game.
Got a receipt and everything.
We must just conclude there is ~ 20% of the population that won't vote, ever, on anything.
And we think we've got problems.
Renzi starting to lose his cool over Italian banks.
@paulwaugh: Lab source: Leader's office is "from now on going to appoint the shad cabinet's political advisers to ensure they're Corbyn loyalists"
Nothing from the rest.
There will probably only be a few thousand that would request an e-vote so it's probably cheaper to do it the old fashioned way. Labour had around 750k voters IIRC, the Tories have around 150k and a lot of them wouldn't know how to vote online unless their grandkids explained it to them!
Of course, the flip side is that now they are more aware, it's tough shit if they can't be arsed to get out and vote.
After oodles of campaigns to get them engaged - they managed a whole 36% - up to 35yrs old IIRC.
The younger voters are given more attention than any other group by a country mile. I was dead keen to vote when I turned 18. I simply don't get the apathy.
If you can't be bothered - you exclude yourself.
@andyburnhammp
We did it! Commons votes by 245-2 to secure status of EU nationals in the UK. Govt can't now retreat on this. Thanks to everyone who helped.
They live in a constituency that has always and will always elect a Conservative MP. The local council has always been and probably always been conservative controlled. Even the parish council, officially non-political, is run by the well to do types. In short their view doesn't matter and nobody gives a stuff about them.
The referendum changed that. They had, for many for the first time in their lives, a vote that counted and they, some for the first time in their lives, used it.
One senior Labour MP said: "It's finished" as it emerged that lengthy talks between union bosses and Tom Watson, the party's deputy leader, had failed to find a solution to the deadlock.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/07/06/defeated-labour-rebels-admit-its-finished-as-jeremy-corbyn-refus/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
No @ 4-7
And there was little tribalism - it's cut across all the old tropes. This really cheers me up. I've a great deal more in common with Brendan Chilcott, my local Brexit Labour man than dozens of Remain Tories.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=kYGqsER7kXQ
The amount of money required to sort out the Italian banking system is perhaps EUR30bn in total (because provisions have largely already been taken).
Renzi should just bite the bullet, recapitalise the banks (as we did in the UK). And argue it out with Merkel and the EU later.
I think the only way to get rid of the little perisher is if Leadsom wins.
You didn't answer my question.