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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The EU referendum: An attempt to analyse the in-play bettin

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  • corporealcorporeal Posts: 2,549
    So many jokes about England leaving europe.
  • YellowSubmarineYellowSubmarine Posts: 2,740
    The thing is as an external observer who hates Football it seems obvious to me. We've the richest and most dynamic Premier League in the world. We secretly really like this or why else would we pay the huge Sky Subscription. Our Football mirrors England since Thatcher; Rich, free market, deregulated and global. We enjoy the benefits yet have a subconscious ' Brexit ' delusion. That one day via the England team winning a major tournament we'll return to prelapsarian football which was somehow stolen from us. The obvious problem being that in terms of money AND glory playing for England for English players is not the pinnacle of the game. In fact it's a tiresome distraction. Rather like spending Christmas dinner with family you hate. But convention says it has to be done. We moan about it as a nation but when push comes to shove we prefer our Sky Subscriptions rather than supporting the local version of Accrington Stanley. I suppose on the paradigm the Brexit vote is finally cancelling the Sky Subscription in protest at globalised Football but still expecting to be able to watch games.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,969
    We all pumped for Russia 2018?
  • corporealcorporeal Posts: 2,549
    edited June 2016
    (Wales proudly representing the home nations).

    (referendum on a uk football team anyone?)
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 31,118
    SeanT said:

    murali_s said:

    SeanT said:

    Jobabob said:

    EPG said:

    The Europeans have a word called Schadenfreude.

    I suspect all of our (former) friends colleagues and partners are rejoicing at the result. A fucking clusterfuck of a fortnight in a horribly diminished nation
    Nah. We told the fucking EU where to go. We did what no other European nation, I don't think, would dare to do, in an in-out referendum. We were bullied and menaced, and we still told them where to go.

    However you look at it, that is quite a gritty attitude from a fairly indomitable nation.

    It may turn out to be a disaster, sure: but you have to admire the gumption.
    In other words, we are idiotic. Nothing to be proud of. We've been humiliated - we feel small right now, licking our wounds and contemplating our stupidity.
    Speak for yourself! The EU is a corrupt, undemocratic mess - no one disputes that - a mess with aneamic growth, bad demographics, a refugee crisis, failing banks, and no real future unless it Federalises - no one disputes any of that, either. And we therefore made a calculated decision to leave.

    It will hurt. Maybe it will hurt too much. Maybe the union will shatter. But there is a very very good argument for what we did, setting aside the fact we simply cannot sustain unlimited immigration which is what staying entails.

    I'm known for my absurd bipolarity but really, the bizarre idea we have left Nirvana to go to hell is fecking idiotic. Leaving is risky, but staying was a very unpalatable alternative, too. So the people, in their inscrutable wisdom, have bravely taken that leap.

    Grow up. Grow a backbone.
    Showing some form.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,545
    John_M said:

    Why has pb turned into this endless pityfest?

    I think it's because we've trashed the currency and are trashing the economy and genuinely thinking about putting an adulterer with personality deficiencies into No 10 because he may be the only chance of getting a EEA/EFTA deal in place.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,786
    Jobabob said:

    Scott_P said:
    The Telegraph which was egging on this embarrassing clusterfuck. Ho fucking ho
    That doesn't mean all their staff may be on board, particularly a cartoonist. Or if he is, doesn't mean he can't see black humour in things.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,044
    SeanT said:

    Jobabob said:

    EPG said:

    The Europeans have a word called Schadenfreude.

    I suspect all of our (former) friends colleagues and partners are rejoicing at the result. A fucking clusterfuck of a fortnight in a horribly diminished nation
    Nah. We told the fucking EU where to go. We did what no other European nation, I don't think, would dare to do, in an in-out referendum. We were bullied and menaced, and we still told them where to go.

    However you look at it, that is quite a gritty attitude from a fairly indomitable nation.

    It may turn out to be a disaster, sure: but you have to admire the gumption.
    I hope that thought keeps you warm in the years to come Sean! Personally I don't see anything very brave at sticking two fingers up to everybody, particularly if we end up cutting our nose off to spite our face.
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486

    Eddie howe for me.

    A great pick, just because of what people can say when he inevitably quits in disgrace.

    And that's Howe... for now.
    I remember the How 2 episode when they asked if it was better to put a lidless pen in your pocket upright or face down. They concluded it was better to put the lid on. Trolls
  • steve_garnersteve_garner Posts: 1,019
    Read your own post. You said the effing morons won and voted us out. You called 17 million voters effing morons. If that's not nasty what is? Or do you stand by it?
    Jobabob said:

    Ca

    Yup.

    Jobabob said:

    You really are a nasty piece of work.

    Jobabob said:

    A sad fortnight to be English. First we get the fucking morons disgracing our country saying "fuck off Europe, we're voting out", then they win and vote us out, now we lose and are out.

    Was that aimed at me?
    Care to explain it?
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    MikeL said:

    If there is a referendum on the Brexit deal and the public says No then what happens?

    Negotiate a different deal? On what terms?

    We would still be leaving having triggered Article 50.

    Makes no sense.

    Hunt is saying we shouldn't trigger Article 50.

    Another one.

    No one wants to trigger Article 50.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,786
    edited June 2016

    dr_spyn said:
    He isn't suggesting what you think...
    The red lines that are emerging are being in the single market and restrictions on free movement. EEA/EFTA won't wash following a campaign based on immigration.

    What if the easiest way to achieve that is a new deal within the EU?
    Then we're screwed, since they won't want us now at any price. Will just have to work hard at the outside options.
  • paulyork64paulyork64 Posts: 2,507
    I just hope our supporters dont embarrass us more than the players did by behaving like idiots.
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Has anyone started a "ban ITV from showing England games" petition yet?
  • OUTOUT Posts: 569
    England have just lost to a country with the same population as the capital of Wales.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited June 2016
    perdix said:
    Some anecdata:

    1) Working with a usually cheerful, but unusually downbeat Spanish nurse today. She is staying for the short term but no longer thinks she has a future in the NHS. She says the Facebook group of Spanish nurses are all saying the same, or have put plans to come to the UK off.

    2) The daughter of a friend of mine (him Welsh, wife Polish, been in the Midlands 5 years after marrying in Poland) abused in the school playground for her accent. "Poles and Blacks go home!" This was in a twee village not inner city.

    3) Spoke to an old friend, now senior in the FCO. He says it really is true. There is no frigging plan.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    S&P say Britain unlikely to go into recession. If that's right, it implies the pain is temporary (no less real, of course).
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    kle4 said:

    dr_spyn said:
    If it's not about reversing the first vote (political suicide, that), what's the point of a second referendum - the Leave campaign, being the establishment now, might find the people will give the 'wrong' answer again.
    Indeed. What happens if the deal is rejected in the referendum
    There will be a clamour to have a "don't leave after all" option on the ballot.
    It should be an option, not to leave. I think a range of options would be best, on the ballot.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,984
    Absolutely gutted

    Shellshocked

    :(
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,786
    Jobabob said:

    MikeL said:

    If there is a referendum on the Brexit deal and the public says No then what happens?

    Negotiate a different deal? On what terms?

    We would still be leaving having triggered Article 50.

    Makes no sense.

    Hunt is saying we shouldn't trigger Article 50.

    Another one.
    How is we proposing we get a deal to vote on before triggering article 50?
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941

    Lowlander said:

    Scott_P said:

    Is the Iceland manager not available after this tournament?

    Michael O'Neil is a remarkable manager. I think England might want to consider him.
    The idiots of the FA could have got him years ago & messed him about.
    The way Michael O'Neil sets his teams is beyond what I've seen from any other manager. They were utterly perfect against Wales and only an innate lack of talent stopped a solid win. Their record is phenomenal.

    With talented players I think O'Neil could make a real mark in management. I suspect some top European clubs are already considering him.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,536
    SeanT said:

    murali_s said:

    SeanT said:

    Jobabob said:

    EPG said:

    The Europeans have a word called Schadenfreude.

    I suspect all of our (former) friends colleagues and partners are rejoicing at the result. A fucking clusterfuck of a fortnight in a horribly diminished nation
    Nah. We told the fucking EU where to go. We did what no other European nation, I don't think, would dare to do, in an in-out referendum. We were bullied and menaced, and we still told them where to go.

    However you look at it, that is quite a gritty attitude from a fairly indomitable nation.

    It may turn out to be a disaster, sure: but you have to admire the gumption.
    In other words, we are idiotic. Nothing to be proud of. We've been humiliated - we feel small right now, licking our wounds and contemplating our stupidity.
    Speak for yourself! The EU is a corrupt, undemocratic mess - no one disputes that - a mess with aneamic growth, bad demographics, a refugee crisis, failing banks, and no real future unless it Federalises - no one disputes any of that, either. And we therefore made a calculated decision to leave.

    It will hurt. Maybe it will hurt too much. Maybe the union will shatter. But there is a very very good argument for what we did, setting aside the fact we simply cannot sustain unlimited immigration which is what staying entails.

    I'm known for my absurd bipolarity but really, the bizarre idea we have left Nirvana to go to hell is fecking idiotic. Leaving is risky, but staying was a very unpalatable alternative, too. So the people, in their inscrutable wisdom, have bravely taken that leap.

    Grow up. Grow a backbone.
    Indeed and if we come pleading to rejoin the EU they will only allow us back in if we join the Euro, Schengen and accept full integration, we would be humiliated on far worse terms than we have just left. We have made our bed and we must now lie in it, longer term I think it will be OK and hopefully we can negotiate some form of EFTA deal
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,921

    Absolutely gutted

    Shellshocked

    :(

    Talking about your vote for Leave?
  • Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307
    Lowlander said:

    Scott_P said:

    Is the Iceland manager not available after this tournament?

    Michael O'Neil is a remarkable manager. I think England might want to consider him.
    You can f**k away off.
  • corporealcorporeal Posts: 2,549
    Wales have got to the quarter finals, equalling England's best performance in a major tournament in the last 20 years.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 55,196
    kle4 said:

    dr_spyn said:
    He isn't suggesting what you think...
    The red lines that are emerging are being in the single market and restrictions on free movement. EEA/EFTA won't wash following a campaign based on immigration.

    What if the easiest way to achieve that is a new deal within the EU?
    Then we're screwed, since they won't want us now at any price. Will just have to work hard at the outside options.
    I'm not giving up hope yet.

    Merkel is clearly happy to bide her time and see if Britain will reconsider. It's quite likely that Juncker will be forced out which could pave the way for a new negotiation to take place.
  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,081
    SeanT said:

    murali_s said:

    SeanT said:

    Jobabob said:

    EPG said:

    The Europeans have a word called Schadenfreude.

    I suspect all of our (former) friends colleagues and partners are rejoicing at the result. A fucking clusterfuck of a fortnight in a horribly diminished nation
    Nah. We told the fucking EU where to go. We did what no other European nation, I don't think, would dare to do, in an in-out referendum. We were bullied and menaced, and we still told them where to go.

    However you look at it, that is quite a gritty attitude from a fairly indomitable nation.

    It may turn out to be a disaster, sure: but you have to admire the gumption.
    In other words, we are idiotic. Nothing to be proud of. We've been humiliated - we feel small right now, licking our wounds and contemplating our stupidity.
    Speak for yourself! The EU is a corrupt, undemocratic mess - no one disputes that - a mess with aneamic growth, bad demographics, a refugee crisis, failing banks, and no real future unless it Federalises - no one disputes any of that, either. And we therefore made a calculated decision to leave.

    It will hurt. Maybe it will hurt too much. Maybe the union will shatter. But there is a very very good argument for what we did, setting aside the fact we simply cannot sustain unlimited immigration which is what staying entails.

    I'm known for my absurd bipolarity but really, the bizarre idea we have left Nirvana to go to hell is fecking idiotic. Leaving is risky, but staying was a very unpalatable alternative, too. So the people, in their inscrutable wisdom, have bravely taken that leap.

    Grow up. Grow a backbone.
    Don't worry about immigration. Soon folk will be begging to leave. Why would they want to live in an inward looking, bigoted and economically broken country?

    The sunlit uplands utopia is of course something we all yearn for but let's add a pinch of pragmatism please.
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    dr_spyn said:

    Perhaps the Icelandic players are promised fermented shark if they lose.

    They're in it for the dried puffin and whale stew.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,984

    We all pumped for Russia 2018?

    England v Scotland in the qualifiers...
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,786

    Has anyone started a "ban ITV from showing England games" petition yet?

    It's been done, I see

    https://petition.parliament.uk/archived/petitions/65807

    Petition to ban ITV from hosting any football matches in the future. Their coverage is absolutely appalling and is doing more to damage the image of football in this country than anything has done for the last 15 years.

    This petition has been archived

    It was submitted during the 2010–2015 Conservative – Liberal Democrat coalition government
    This petition has been rejected with the following reason given:

    Petitions cannot be used to request action on issues that are outside the responsibility of the government. This includes party political material; commercial endorsements including the promotion of any product, service or publication; issues that are dealt with by devolved bodies, eg The Scottish Parliament; correspondence on personal issues. E-petitions cannot be used for freedom of information requests.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,536
    No mention there that Iceland is also outside the EU
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 31,118
    Jobabob said:

    MikeL said:

    If there is a referendum on the Brexit deal and the public says No then what happens?

    Negotiate a different deal? On what terms?

    We would still be leaving having triggered Article 50.

    Makes no sense.

    Hunt is saying we shouldn't trigger Article 50.

    Another one.

    No one wants to trigger Article 50.
    I'll do it if they want. I'll even provide the stamp.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 55,196
    HYUFD said:

    SeanT said:

    murali_s said:

    SeanT said:

    Jobabob said:

    EPG said:

    The Europeans have a word called Schadenfreude.

    I suspect all of our (former) friends colleagues and partners are rejoicing at the result. A fucking clusterfuck of a fortnight in a horribly diminished nation
    Nah. We told the fucking EU where to go. We did what no other European nation, I don't think, would dare to do, in an in-out referendum. We were bullied and menaced, and we still told them where to go.

    However you look at it, that is quite a gritty attitude from a fairly indomitable nation.

    It may turn out to be a disaster, sure: but you have to admire the gumption.
    In other words, we are idiotic. Nothing to be proud of. We've been humiliated - we feel small right now, licking our wounds and contemplating our stupidity.
    Speak for yourself! The EU is a corrupt, undemocratic mess - no one disputes that - a mess with aneamic growth, bad demographics, a refugee crisis, failing banks, and no real future unless it Federalises - no one disputes any of that, either. And we therefore made a calculated decision to leave.

    It will hurt. Maybe it will hurt too much. Maybe the union will shatter. But there is a very very good argument for what we did, setting aside the fact we simply cannot sustain unlimited immigration which is what staying entails.

    I'm known for my absurd bipolarity but really, the bizarre idea we have left Nirvana to go to hell is fecking idiotic. Leaving is risky, but staying was a very unpalatable alternative, too. So the people, in their inscrutable wisdom, have bravely taken that leap.

    Grow up. Grow a backbone.
    Indeed and if we come pleading to rejoin the EU they will only allow us back in if we join the Euro, Schengen and accept full integration, we would be humiliated on far worse terms than we have just left. We have made our bed and we must now lie in it, longer term I think it will be OK and hopefully we can negotiate some form of EFTA deal
    We haven't left anything yet. All that's happened so far is that a rocket has been put up the UK establishment.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    SeanT said:

    murali_s said:

    SeanT said:

    Jobabob said:

    EPG said:

    The Europeans have a word called Schadenfreude.

    I suspect all of our (former) friends colleagues and partners are rejoicing at the result. A fucking clusterfuck of a fortnight in a horribly diminished nation
    Nah. We told the fucking EU where to go. We did what no other European nation, I don't think, would dare to do, in an in-out referendum. We were bullied and menaced, and we still told them where to go.

    However you look at it, that is quite a gritty attitude from a fairly indomitable nation.

    It may turn out to be a disaster, sure: but you have to admire the gumption.
    In other words, we are idiotic. Nothing to be proud of. We've been humiliated - we feel small right now, licking our wounds and contemplating our stupidity.
    Speak for yourself! The EU is a corrupt, undemocratic mess - no one disputes that - a mess with aneamic growth, bad demographics, a refugee crisis, failing banks, and no real future unless it Federalises - no one disputes any of that, either. And we therefore made a calculated decision to leave.

    It will hurt. Maybe it will hurt too much. Maybe the union will shatter. But there is a very very good argument for what we did, setting aside the fact we simply cannot sustain unlimited immigration which is what staying entails.

    I'm known for my absurd bipolarity but really, the bizarre idea we have left Nirvana to go to hell is fecking idiotic. Leaving is risky, but staying was a very unpalatable alternative, too. So the people, in their inscrutable wisdom, have bravely taken that leap.

    Grow up. Grow a backbone.
    Showing some form.
    As someone who thought Jo Cox was a false flag operation your views are best ignored.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    We'd only have lost to France in the QF, duh.
  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,081

    Absolutely gutted

    Shellshocked

    :(

    You regretting your leave vote?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,436

    Has anyone started a "ban ITV from showing England games" petition yet?

    The stats are clear...
  • Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307
    Just to point point out that one of Iceland's managers knows the game and how to match England very well. He is a Swede, Lars Lagerback.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,687
    edited June 2016
    I don't share SeanT's admiration for our amazing pluck in doing something really stupid. But I do like our cheerful, wry, self-mocking spirit when we lose something - both Twitter and this thread have both been really funny tonight. I've been around a lot and other countries don't do it half as well.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Read your own post. You said the effing morons won and voted us out. You called 17 million voters effing morons. If that's not nasty what is? Or do you stand by it?

    Jobabob said:

    Ca

    Yup.

    Jobabob said:

    You really are a nasty piece of work.

    Jobabob said:

    A sad fortnight to be English. First we get the fucking morons disgracing our country saying "fuck off Europe, we're voting out", then they win and vote us out, now we lose and are out.

    Was that aimed at me?
    Care to explain it?
    Not 17 million. I was suggesting that people of that mentality swung the vote. Which is true.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,786

    Jobabob said:

    MikeL said:

    If there is a referendum on the Brexit deal and the public says No then what happens?

    Negotiate a different deal? On what terms?

    We would still be leaving having triggered Article 50.

    Makes no sense.

    Hunt is saying we shouldn't trigger Article 50.

    Another one.

    No one wants to trigger Article 50.
    I'll do it if they want. I'll even provide the stamp.
    Apparently a speech will do it, so Cameron presumably has to somehow avoid saying the UK is leaving, or doing more than grunt non-committally if asked about it by an EU official.

    If they ask if they can get the door for you on the way out, don't say yes David, it's a trick!
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    edited June 2016
    murali_s said:

    SeanT said:

    murali_s said:

    SeanT said:

    Jobabob said:

    EPG said:

    The Europeans have a word called Schadenfreude.

    I suspect all of our (former) friends colleagues and partners are rejoicing at the result. A fucking clusterfuck of a fortnight in a horribly diminished nation
    Nah. We told the fucking EU where to go. We did what no other European nation, I don't think, would dare to do, in an in-out referendum. We were bullied and menaced, and we still told them where to go.

    However you look at it, that is quite a gritty attitude from a fairly indomitable nation.

    It may turn out to be a disaster, sure: but you have to admire the gumption.
    In other words, we are idiotic. Nothing to be proud of. We've been humiliated - we feel small right now, licking our wounds and contemplating our stupidity.
    Speak for yourself! The EU is a corrupt, undemocratic mess - no one disputes that - a mess with aneamic growth, bad demographics, a refugee crisis, failing banks, and no real future unless it Federalises - no one disputes any of that, either. And we therefore made a calculated decision to leave.

    It will hurt. Maybe it will hurt too much. Maybe the union will shatter. But there is a very very good argument for what we did, setting aside the fact we simply cannot sustain unlimited immigration which is what staying entails.

    I'm known for my absurd bipolarity but really, the bizarre idea we have left Nirvana to go to hell is fecking idiotic. Leaving is risky, but staying was a very unpalatable alternative, too. So the people, in their inscrutable wisdom, have bravely taken that leap.

    Grow up. Grow a backbone.
    Don't worry about immigration. Soon folk will be begging to leave. Why would they want to live in an inward looking, bigoted and economically broken country?

    The sunlit uplands utopia is of course something we all yearn for but let's add a pinch of pragmatism please.
    Are you the Guy who keeps bigging up Sri Lanka ?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,984
    edited June 2016
    murali_s said:

    Absolutely gutted

    Shellshocked

    :(

    You regretting your leave vote?
    I'm regretting the England team "leaving" Euro2016 :(
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 31,118
    Jobabob said:

    SeanT said:

    murali_s said:

    SeanT said:

    Jobabob said:

    EPG said:

    The Europeans have a word called Schadenfreude.

    I suspect all of our (former) friends colleagues and partners are rejoicing at the result. A fucking clusterfuck of a fortnight in a horribly diminished nation
    Nah. We told the fucking EU where to go. We did what no other European nation, I don't think, would dare to do, in an in-out referendum. We were bullied and menaced, and we still told them where to go.

    However you look at it, that is quite a gritty attitude from a fairly indomitable nation.

    It may turn out to be a disaster, sure: but you have to admire the gumption.
    In other words, we are idiotic. Nothing to be proud of. We've been humiliated - we feel small right now, licking our wounds and contemplating our stupidity.
    Speak for yourself! The EU is a corrupt, undemocratic mess - no one disputes that - a mess with aneamic growth, bad demographics, a refugee crisis, failing banks, and no real future unless it Federalises - no one disputes any of that, either. And we therefore made a calculated decision to leave.

    It will hurt. Maybe it will hurt too much. Maybe the union will shatter. But there is a very very good argument for what we did, setting aside the fact we simply cannot sustain unlimited immigration which is what staying entails.

    I'm known for my absurd bipolarity but really, the bizarre idea we have left Nirvana to go to hell is fecking idiotic. Leaving is risky, but staying was a very unpalatable alternative, too. So the people, in their inscrutable wisdom, have bravely taken that leap.

    Grow up. Grow a backbone.
    Showing some form.
    As someone who thought Jo Cox was a false flag operation your views are best ignored.
    I'd be delighted if you did - it's only fair, I've ignored your views (under any alias) for pretty much as long as I've been reading them.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,908
    edited June 2016
    MikeL said:

    If there is a referendum on the Brexit deal and the public says No then what happens?

    Negotiate a different deal? On what terms?

    We would still be leaving having triggered Article 50.

    Makes no sense.

    Indeed. Nobody but nobody will dare risk another EU referendum.

    This has to be done with a general election. The next Con leader needs to put his/her negotiating position to the electorate this autumn explaining exactly what kind of "relationship" we want after Brexit.

    Once they've achieved that mandate they trigger article 50 and then get on with it.

    Trouble arise's if the election result is "mixed" but it's a safer option that having another referendum.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,786
    Jobabob said:

    Read your own post. You said the effing morons won and voted us out. You called 17 million voters effing morons. If that's not nasty what is? Or do you stand by it?

    Jobabob said:

    Ca

    Yup.

    Jobabob said:

    You really are a nasty piece of work.

    Jobabob said:

    A sad fortnight to be English. First we get the fucking morons disgracing our country saying "fuck off Europe, we're voting out", then they win and vote us out, now we lose and are out.

    Was that aimed at me?
    Care to explain it?
    Not 17 million. I was suggesting that people of that mentality swung the vote. Which is true.
    Don't the stupid swing every election though?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,436
    kle4 said:

    Jobabob said:

    MikeL said:

    If there is a referendum on the Brexit deal and the public says No then what happens?

    Negotiate a different deal? On what terms?

    We would still be leaving having triggered Article 50.

    Makes no sense.

    Hunt is saying we shouldn't trigger Article 50.

    Another one.

    No one wants to trigger Article 50.
    I'll do it if they want. I'll even provide the stamp.
    Apparently a speech will do it, so Cameron presumably has to somehow avoid saying the UK is leaving, or doing more than grunt non-committally if asked about it by an EU official.

    If they ask if they can get the door for you on the way out, don't say yes David, it's a trick!
    At a stretch a speech in a council meeting would do it. I don't think Cameron saying "we will leave the EU" is enough.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @piersmorgan: My petition to have the game replayed: https://t.co/YSBJHk3MlY
  • mattmatt Posts: 3,789
    HYUFD said:

    No mention there that Iceland is also outside the EU
    As politician lines go it's not bad. Would an opinion poll help you reach a judgement?
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    perdix said:
    Some anecdata:

    1) Working with a usually cheerful, but unusually downbeat Spanish nurse today. She is staying for the short term but no longer thinks she has a future in the NHS. She says the Facebook group of Spanish nurses are all saying the same, or have put plans to come to the UK off.

    2) The daughter of a friend of mine (him Welsh, wife Polish, been in the Midlands 5 years after marrying in Poland) abused in the school playground for her accent. "Poles and Blacks go home!" This was in a twee village not inner city.

    3) Spoke to an old friend, now senior in the FCO. He says it really is true. There is no frigging plan.
    None of those three points surprise me. Point 2 is the most terrifying. And I have heard much similar. The racists think they have finally beaten the "metropolitan elite", and are justified.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,832

    We all pumped for Russia 2018?

    England v Scotland in the qualifiers...
    Visa requirements for Away fans?
  • No_Offence_AlanNo_Offence_Alan Posts: 5,036

    On the positive side if you've freezer space they'll be loads of cheap Barbeque meat and pizzas in the Supermarkets this week. Always worth using the price correction after an England departure.

    Head and Shoulders probably discounted too.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,984
    corporeal said:

    Wales have got to the quarter finals, equalling England's best performance in a major tournament in the last 20 years.

    20 years ago England lost to Germany in the Euro '96 semis.
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    RodCrosby said:
    If Labour MPs cannot even feel safe under Corbyn - especially after Jo Cox's death - then that underlines even more what a tragedy his leadership of the Labour party is.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,921
    As many as 150 MPs will vote to oust Jeremy Corbyn on Tuesday, as the Labour leader threatened to recruit 100,000 hard-Left supporters to cling onto power.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/27/labour-coup-up-to-150-mps-to-vote-no-confidence-in-jeremy-corbyn/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
  • mattmatt Posts: 3,789
    SeanT said:

    perdix said:
    Some anecdata:

    1) Working with a usually cheerful, but unusually downbeat Spanish nurse today. She is staying for the short term but no longer thinks she has a future in the NHS. She says the Facebook group of Spanish nurses are all saying the same, or have put plans to come to the UK off.

    2) The daughter of a friend of mine (him Welsh, wife Polish, been in the Midlands 5 years after marrying in Poland) abused in the school playground for her accent. "Poles and Blacks go home!" This was in a twee village not inner city.

    3) Spoke to an old friend, now senior in the FCO. He says it really is true. There is no frigging plan.
    i think the plan right now is not to trigger Article 50, until we have a plan. And the plan then might be, not to trigger Article 50.
    You are Boris Johnson and I claim my cake. Then eat it.
  • TudorRoseTudorRose Posts: 1,683

    kle4 said:

    dr_spyn said:
    He isn't suggesting what you think...
    The red lines that are emerging are being in the single market and restrictions on free movement. EEA/EFTA won't wash following a campaign based on immigration.

    What if the easiest way to achieve that is a new deal within the EU?
    Then we're screwed, since they won't want us now at any price. Will just have to work hard at the outside options.
    I'm not giving up hope yet.

    Merkel is clearly happy to bide her time and see if Britain will reconsider. It's quite likely that Juncker will be forced out which could pave the way for a new negotiation to take place.
    Interesting point. So far no-one in the EU seems to think that Brexit is in any way their responsibility. Typical but telling.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    kle4 said:

    dr_spyn said:
    He isn't suggesting what you think...
    The red lines that are emerging are being in the single market and restrictions on free movement. EEA/EFTA won't wash following a campaign based on immigration.

    What if the easiest way to achieve that is a new deal within the EU?
    Then we're screwed, since they won't want us now at any price. Will just have to work hard at the outside options.
    Why the fuck did you vote Leave? You know full well that it's been the wrong outcome. Just admit it now.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,410
    It's saying something when the politics of Game of Thrones is looking more stable and settled than the politics of the U.K....
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,786
    GIN1138 said:

    MikeL said:

    If there is a referendum on the Brexit deal and the public says No then what happens?

    Negotiate a different deal? On what terms?

    We would still be leaving having triggered Article 50.

    Makes no sense.

    Indeed. Nobody but nobody will dare risk another EU referendum.

    This has to be done with a general election. The next Con leader needs to put his/her negotiating position to the electorate explaining exactly what kind of "relationship" we want after Brexit.

    Once they've achieved that mandate they trigger article 50 and then get on with it.

    Trouble arise's if the election result is "mixed" but it's a safer option that having another referendum.
    And since the only one's who will be standing on an implicit 'don't trigger article 50' platform will the LDs, as Labour dare not say otherwise, the Triggerers will win in some form, even if Tories do not.
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941

    We all pumped for Russia 2018?

    England v Scotland in the qualifiers...
    I hope Scotland don't qualify.

    This will be a bloody awful World Cup for fans.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    kle4 said:

    Jobabob said:

    Scott_P said:
    The Telegraph which was egging on this embarrassing clusterfuck. Ho fucking ho
    That doesn't mean all their staff may be on board, particularly a cartoonist. Or if he is, doesn't mean he can't see black humour in things.
    Yes I realise that
  • mattmatt Posts: 3,789

    S&P say Britain unlikely to go into recession. If that's right, it implies the pain is temporary (no less real, of course).

    They're a rating agency. How can they be right?
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    matt said:

    HYUFD said:

    No mention there that Iceland is also outside the EU
    As politician lines go it's not bad. Would an opinion poll help you reach a judgement?
    He gets the country wrong.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Richard Burgon, 35, now Shadow Lord Chancellor.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,204
    Burgon is shadow Lord Chancellor.

    Things can only get better!
  • YellowSubmarineYellowSubmarine Posts: 2,740
    edited June 2016

    It's saying something when the politics of Game of Thrones is looking more stable and settled than the politics of the U.K....

    The Referendum result does seem a bit like the death of Robert Baratheon. Triggering Article 50 will be the beheading of Ned Stark.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    SeanT said:

    perdix said:
    Some anecdata:

    1) Working with a usually cheerful, but unusually downbeat Spanish nurse today. She is staying for the short term but no longer thinks she has a future in the NHS. She says the Facebook group of Spanish nurses are all saying the same, or have put plans to come to the UK off.

    2) The daughter of a friend of mine (him Welsh, wife Polish, been in the Midlands 5 years after marrying in Poland) abused in the school playground for her accent. "Poles and Blacks go home!" This was in a twee village not inner city.

    3) Spoke to an old friend, now senior in the FCO. He says it really is true. There is no frigging plan.
    i think the plan right now is not to trigger Article 50, until we have a plan. And the plan then might be, not to trigger Article 50.
    Ha! Sharp
  • corporealcorporeal Posts: 2,549

    corporeal said:

    Wales have got to the quarter finals, equalling England's best performance in a major tournament in the last 20 years.

    20 years ago England lost to Germany in the Euro '96 semis.
    Yes, but that semi final was on the 26th June. Making it 20 years and one day ago.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,536
    matt said:

    HYUFD said:

    No mention there that Iceland is also outside the EU
    As politician lines go it's not bad. Would an opinion poll help you reach a judgement?
    No it is pure trolling, much like the only comments you ever post!
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @SamCoatesTimes: Exc:Times / YouGov
    Best new PM and Tory leader

    All voters(Tory voters in brackets)

    Theresa May 19 (31)
    Boris Johnson 18 (24)
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,786
    edited June 2016
    Jobabob said:

    kle4 said:

    dr_spyn said:
    He isn't suggesting what you think...
    The red lines that are emerging are being in the single market and restrictions on free movement. EEA/EFTA won't wash following a campaign based on immigration.

    What if the easiest way to achieve that is a new deal within the EU?
    Then we're screwed, since they won't want us now at any price. Will just have to work hard at the outside options.
    Why the fuck did you vote Leave? You know full well that it's been the wrong outcome. Just admit it now.
    The outcome is not clear yet, it's been less than a week. I'd be happy with a deal with us outside which rolls back on the immigration rhetoric, I don't care about immigration, so the kind of deal I would like is still viable, even if the type many people thought they were voting for was not.

    So I cannot admit it now, because it's too soon to judge. If it is still chaos and incompetence in 6 months, yes, I'll have contributed to a terrible mistake and will have to bear that. But that outcome is not assured. Yet.

    As for why I voted leave, I really hesitated for about 30 seconds in the polling booth, applying the Wollaston test, how would I feel about each outcome. As it is I misjudged, in part, my own level of shock (despite predicting the outcome), and at present it's too soon to know what the future holds - it was always a risk, the question was about the price of remaining as well vs that risk.
  • paulyork64paulyork64 Posts: 2,507
    Hodgson not doing a corbyn.
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Donald Tusk ✔@donaldtusk
    UK-Iceland 1-2. Winter is coming

    I think that tweet alone ( if it is from the account of Tusk) tells you all you need to know about the EU and how anyone that's even considers " resisting the project" will be treated.

    At least I can vote him out....

    Oh wait
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,921
    That's a poll of Tory voters, not members.

    I has a big fat red next to Boris' name, so I share your sentiment
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    matt said:

    S&P say Britain unlikely to go into recession. If that's right, it implies the pain is temporary (no less real, of course).

    They're a rating agency. How can they be right?
    Yeah. I heard last week down the pub that experts are always wrong.
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    matt said:

    S&P say Britain unlikely to go into recession. If that's right, it implies the pain is temporary (no less real, of course).

    They're a rating agency. How can they be right?

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Credit_rating_agencies_and_the_subprime_crisis
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022

    It's saying something when the politics of Game of Thrones is looking more stable and settled than the politics of the U.K....

    If only we had the sex.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,436
    PB Tories 4 May out in force :p
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,315
    AndyJS said:

    Richard Burgon, 35, now Shadow Lord Chancellor.

    I just can't stop laughing at that. Didn't he do the interview that made Blinky in TTOI look like Blair at his smoothest? Is this what Corbyn meant by some surprising names?
  • Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307

    As many as 150 MPs will vote to oust Jeremy Corbyn on Tuesday, as the Labour leader threatened to recruit 100,000 hard-Left supporters to cling onto power.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/27/labour-coup-up-to-150-mps-to-vote-no-confidence-in-jeremy-corbyn/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

    About the least threatening Red Guard in history.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,832
    SeanT said:

    HYUFD said:

    SeanT said:

    murali_s said:

    SeanT said:

    Jobabob said:

    EPG said:

    The Europeans have a word called Schadenfreude.

    I suspect all of our (former) friends colleagues and partners are rejoicing at the result. A fucking clusterfuck of a fortnight in a horribly diminished nation
    Nah. We told the fucking EU where to go. We did what no other European nation, I don't think, would dare to do, in an in-out referendum. We were bullied and menaced, and we still told them where to go.

    However you look at it, that is quite a gritty attitude from a fairly indomitable nation.

    It may turn out to be a disaster, sure: but you have to admire the gumption.
    In other words, we are idiotic. Nothing to be proud of. We've been humiliated - we feel small right now, licking our wounds and contemplating our stupidity.
    Speak for yourself! The EU is a corrupt, undemocratic mess - no one disputes that - a mess with aneamic growth, bad demographics, a refugee crisis, failing banks, and no real future unless it Federalises - no one disputes any of that, either. And we therefore made a calculated decision to leave.

    It will hurt. Maybe it will hurt too much. Maybe the union will shatter. But there is a very very good argument for what we did, setting aside the fact we simply cannot sustain unlimited immigration which is what staying entails.

    I'm known for my absurd bipolarity but really, the bizarre idea we have left Nirvana to go to hell is fecking idiotic. Leaving is risky, but staying was a very unpalatable alternative, too. So the people, in their inscrutable wisdom, have bravely taken that leap.

    Grow up. Grow a backbone.
    Indeed and if we come pleading to rejoin the EU they will only allow us back in if we join the Euro, Schengen and accept full integration, we would be humiliated on far worse terms than we have just left. We have made our bed and we must now lie in it, longer term I think it will be OK and hopefully we can negotiate some form of EFTA deal
    We haven't left anything yet. All that's happened so far is that a rocket has been put up the UK establishment.
    And the EU establishment, let it be noted. No country has ever done this, let alone one as big as the UK. It is easy to forget what a shock Brexit is to Europe, just as it is to us.

    Italian banks had to seek emergency funding today.

    https://twitter.com/PurnL/status/747501091584081920
    Surprise, surprise. Limitless funds to bail out banks and the fatcats. Austerity for the rest of us.

    And they wonder why there is an anti establishment surge across Europe.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,536

    HYUFD said:

    SeanT said:

    murali_s said:

    SeanT said:

    Jobabob said:

    EPG said:

    The Europeans have a word called Schadenfreude.

    I suspect all of our (former) friends colleagues and partners are rejoicing at the result. A fucking clusterfuck of a fortnight in a horribly diminished nation
    Nah. We told the fucking EU where to go. We did what no other European nation, I don't think, would dare to do, in an in-out referendum. We were bullied and menaced, and we still told them where to go.

    However you look at it, that is quite a gritty attitude from a fairly indomitable nation.

    It may turn out to be a disaster, sure: but you have to admire the gumption.
    In other words, we are idiotic. Nothing to be proud of. We've been humiliated - we feel small right now, licking our wounds and contemplating our stupidity.
    Speak for yourself! The EU is a corrupt, undemocratic mess - no one disputes that - a mess with aneamic growth, bad demographics, a refugee crisis, failing banks, and no real future unless it Federalises - no one disputes any of that, either. And we therefore made a calculated decision to leave.

    It will hurt. Maybe it will hurt too much. Maybe the union will shatter. But there is a very very good argument for what we did, setting aside the fact we simply cannot sustain unlimited immigration which is what staying entails.

    I'm known for my absurd bipolarity but really, the bizarre idea we have left Nirvana to go to hell is fecking idiotic. Leaving is risky, but staying was a very unpalatable alternative, too. So the people, in their inscrutable wisdom, have bravely taken that leap.

    Grow up. Grow a backbone.
    Indeed and if we come pleading to rejoin the EU they will only allow us back in if we join the Euro, Schengen and accept full integration, we would be humiliated on far worse terms than we have just left. We have made our bed and we must now lie in it, longer term I think it will be OK and hopefully we can negotiate some form of EFTA deal
    We haven't left anything yet. All that's happened so far is that a rocket has been put up the UK establishment.
    Well the government can hardly turn around now and say, OK EU we have just voted out but we cannot stand the pressure, we are clearly too weak a nation to stand on our own, so we will stay in and accept everything you now throw at us!
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    Hodgson not doing a corbyn.

    Come on,you have to admire corbyn,a lesser leader would have Quit.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    corporeal said:

    corporeal said:

    Wales have got to the quarter finals, equalling England's best performance in a major tournament in the last 20 years.

    20 years ago England lost to Germany in the Euro '96 semis.
    Yes, but that semi final was on the 26th June. Making it 20 years and one day ago.
    Top pedantry!
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    As many as 150 MPs will vote to oust Jeremy Corbyn on Tuesday, as the Labour leader threatened to recruit 100,000 hard-Left supporters to cling onto power.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/27/labour-coup-up-to-150-mps-to-vote-no-confidence-in-jeremy-corbyn/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

    Failure of logic in the Times header: Labour crisis deepens as Corbyn set to lose confidence vote
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    I wouldn't believe any UK poll right now. They have been hilariously wrong on two massive occasions in the last year now. I would love May to be our next PM though - she's by far the best option out of an underwhelming bunch. Boris and Osborne shouldn't be anywhere near the Conservative leadership.

    On the game, I called it regarding this England team months ago. Qualifiers and friendlies cannot be used as a measurement of this team - they simply don't have a tournament mentality in the way teams like Germany and Italy do. Even the Welsh have been mentally stronger this year than us FFS. Rooney and Kane were totally dire tonight, and Kane has been terrible throughout this entire tournament. Roy should have started Rashford.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,786

    As many as 150 MPs will vote to oust Jeremy Corbyn on Tuesday, as the Labour leader threatened to recruit 100,000 hard-Left supporters to cling onto power.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/27/labour-coup-up-to-150-mps-to-vote-no-confidence-in-jeremy-corbyn/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

    If 100,000 people join Labour, more power to them, that would be quite impressive. If the current members don't leave and form their own party, hard as that is to contemplate or make succeed, then they accept those members' views as allied to theirs.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Scott_P said:

    @SamCoatesTimes: Exc:Times / YouGov
    Best new PM and Tory leader

    All voters(Tory voters in brackets)

    Theresa May 19 (31)
    Boris Johnson 18 (24)

    Boris may have won the battle but lost the war.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @SDMumford: Boris Johnson: we can still have access to the quarter-final without having to win our way there.
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Jobabob said:

    Scott_P said:
    The Telegraph which was egging on this embarrassing clusterfuck. Ho fucking ho
    Are you bobajob on by the way that frequented these premises during election 2015 ? Just wondering?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,786

    Hodgson not doing a corbyn.

    Come on,you have to admire corbyn,a lesser leader would have Quit.
    Sheer stubborness can be impressive and admirable, in its way.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    RobD said:

    PB Tories 4 May out in force :p

    All PB Remainers.

    ABB.
This discussion has been closed.