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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn’s hanging on but for how long?

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  • IcarusIcarus Posts: 1,010
    We export (well re-export as most made in Turkey) textiles to Kenya - He can't get £s to pay us because £ in free fall so banks won't provide any £s.
  • Patrick said:

    This morning I called Andy Burnham a shiny quacking robot in mascara. I should like to retract that statement. He is an empty cowardly shining quacking robot in mascara.

    I post this because Burnham is the living epitome of all that is so horribly wrong with our political elites. Why do people so vacuous try to become MPs in the first place? It must be pure vanity. I hope constituency party chairmen in both Labour and Conservatives get their guillotines out and simply remove this wave of human spam from the body politic. At least at the coming GE we might get to vote for people who believe something and will fight to achieve what they believe in if they come near power. I used to believe Dave was such a person. Why can't we be governed by decent, principled men like Daniel Hannan and not sons of Blair? The party mechanisms for selecting and retaining (or not) candidates for parliament needs a revisit.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,311
    weejonnie said:

    Interesting aside on how much the UK was (and still is currently) actually contributing to the EU.

    "EU commissoner sees 15% fall in EU budget post-Brexit

    Britain's exit from the EU will result in a 15% drop in the bloc's annual budget from 2020, Cornia Cretu, the EU Regional Policy Commissioner, said today"

    I wont believe that until I see it written on a bus.
    Well the 15% is not quite exact. The budget drops by 15% - but the money given back to the UK has to taken into account - so we are looking at a drop of 7.5% as a rule of thumb for the other countries.

    Of course if the 15% was the NET figure the UK paid to the EU then the £350 million a week sounds pretty close.
    Indeed. That makes our overall contribution to the 2015 budget £16.8 billion AFTER the rebate.

    This is more in line with the pink book numbers rather than the headline figures spouted about by each side in the campaign.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    GIN1138 said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Leadership vote concluded by 2nd Sept for Tories says Sky

    I really don't think the UK can drift for two months completely rudderless as the Tories are proposing (and we MUST get Letwin away from BREXIT ASAP)
    Totally agree - my only hope is that he's such a softy that it doesn't matter much.
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    edited June 2016
    taffys said:

    How is the fallout panning out in Wales?

    I am a London Welshman, but my impression talking to people back home is that Wales is hungry for change. It has spent decades in the doldrums, and wants to shift up a gear.

    I know how you feel, that last test defeat by 44-6 against New Zealand was just awful.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited June 2016
    felix said:

    You forgot the link. And what about those who are a little younger and will fall into negative equity. Really it's time for you people to stop pretending there are no downsides to what is happening right now. It would certainly give me some much needed hope for the future.

    As I said earlier, the economic illiteracy is staggering. None of the Leavers claiming that crashing house prices are a good thing seems to have put fifteen seconds' thought into why they'd be crashing.

    [Hint: It's not because it is easier for youngsters to get on the housing ladder...]
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    taffys said:

    How is the fallout panning out in Wales?

    I am a London Welshman, but my impression talking to people back home is that Wales is hungry for change. It has spent decades in the doldrums, and wants to shift up a gear.

    The closure of the Tata plant will certainly help.

    Oh, wait...
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,936
    Mike goes on holiday on the 5th of September.

    Gulp.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,731
    O/T I won't spoil the last episode of A Game of Thrones, but I will say that between them, Lena Headey and Natalie Dormer really knocked it out of the park.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    taffys said:

    How is the fallout panning out in Wales?

    I am a London Welshman, but my impression talking to people back home is that Wales is hungry for change. It has spent decades in the doldrums, and wants to shift up a gear.

    As shown by the recent Welsh assembly elections? when do we nationalize Tata steel with some that 350m wedge?
  • MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792
    taffys said:

    How is the fallout panning out in Wales?

    I am a London Welshman, but my impression talking to people back home is that Wales is hungry for change. It has spent decades in the doldrums, and wants to shift up a gear.

    The Welsh must be fed up with the whining spoilt brat Scots whose tantrums have been so revoltingly pampered.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    I've just gone for a United Kingdom special:

    England v Wales Euro final, Andy Murray to win Wimbledon and Rory for the Open golf.

    800/1

  • ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,844
    Which of Boris and May is more likely negotiate an EEA type deal for Brexit? May was for remain but was obviously no lover of the EU. Boris seems like he's tacking towards EEAish solution.
  • VerulamiusVerulamius Posts: 1,555

    weejonnie said:

    Interesting aside on how much the UK was (and still is currently) actually contributing to the EU.

    "EU commissoner sees 15% fall in EU budget post-Brexit

    Britain's exit from the EU will result in a 15% drop in the bloc's annual budget from 2020, Cornia Cretu, the EU Regional Policy Commissioner, said today"

    I wont believe that until I see it written on a bus.
    Well the 15% is not quite exact. The budget drops by 15% - but the money given back to the UK has to taken into account - so we are looking at a drop of 7.5% as a rule of thumb for the other countries.

    Of course if the 15% was the NET figure the UK paid to the EU then the £350 million a week sounds pretty close.
    Indeed. That makes our overall contribution to the 2015 budget £16.8 billion AFTER the rebate.

    This is more in line with the pink book numbers rather than the headline figures spouted about by each side in the campaign.
    Who pays for our rebate and what happens when we leave. Do those countries continue to put the money into the EU for use elsewhere or do they get it repaid?
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,908
    PlatoSaid said:

    Vote every Tues/Thurs until whittled down to two for members.

    If everybody is sensible it'll just be Boris and Theresa on the final ballot on Thursday. that way it can go out to party members immediately?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    felix said:

    when do we nationalize Tata steel with some that 350m wedge?

    After it closes
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    Sandpit said:

    If Corbyn wins this next leadership election, the entire non-corbynite PLP should simply split off and call themselves Real Labour or something. It would be about 180 MPs at least, and so wouldn't be SDPv2 because that was a small split. This would be the new official opposition. They have no hope with Corbyn - not because he's too left wing, but because he's useless.

    If Corbyn's determined not to resign (which seems likely, he has waited to 40 years to mold the party in his image) and the members continue to love him, one can imagine that the sensible wing of the PLP have little choice but to resign the whip and form SDP2. The trick is to have more than half the PMs go, such that SDP2 become the official Opposition. Given the current mood that's entirely possible.
    The trick there would be to have some big donors lined up.
    My thoughts precisely. Clearly it won't be the unions. But where did all those big private donors go?
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Wow. Tight. May vs Boris? No one else will have time?
    Why not? You only need a proposer and a seconder to get on the first-round ballot.

    However, I think the final two will probably be Theresa and Boris. In this chaos, it's either got to be the safest and most unifying figure you can find, or the one who has taken the political initiative (which is undoubtedly Boris, like it or not). But who knows? Surprises have happened before.
    The quick move is clearly designed to block the right. Stops a Corbyn effect from nutjob new members.

    Clever move.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited June 2016
    Patrick said:

    At least at the coming GE we might get to vote for people who believe something and will fight to achieve what they believe in if they come near power. I used to believe Dave was such a person.

    Err, Dave has just spent months fighting tooth and nail for what he believes in. He got a lot of flak for it. Didn't you notice?
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454

    felix said:

    You forgot the link. And what about those who are a little younger and will fall into negative equity. Really it's time for you people to stop pretending there are no downsides to what is happening right now. It would certainly give me some much needed hope for the future.

    As I said earlier, the economic illiteracy is staggering. None of the Leavers claiming that crashing house prices are a good thing seems to have put fifteen seconds' thought into why they'd be crashing.

    [Hint: It's not because it easier for youngsters to get on the housing ladder...]
    London property is an asset bubble, fuelled by capital appreciation which bails out the poor investor and self-perpetuates. There will be a degree of pain for those on the line, but most will be able to ride it out.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Memo to Labour plotters: If you can string it out till the 3rd September I'd be grateful, ta.


    Quite possible, Richard.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,046
    This really isn't good on top of an 8% fall on Friday:
    https://twitter.com/neiledwardlovat/status/747410856036663296
  • JonathanDJonathanD Posts: 2,400

    felix said:

    You forgot the link. And what about those who are a little younger and will fall into negative equity. Really it's time for you people to stop pretending there are no downsides to what is happening right now. It would certainly give me some much needed hope for the future.

    As I said earlier, the economic illiteracy is staggering. None of the Leavers claiming that crashing house prices are a good thing seems to have put fifteen seconds' thought into why they'd be crashing.

    [Hint: It's not because it easier for youngsters to get on the housing ladder...]
    In another situation, falling house prices are possibly just about OK - it's the falling bank and builders share price that should give the game away.

  • rural_voterrural_voter Posts: 2,038

    Sandpit said:

    If Corbyn wins this next leadership election, the entire non-corbynite PLP should simply split off and call themselves Real Labour or something. It would be about 180 MPs at least, and so wouldn't be SDPv2 because that was a small split. This would be the new official opposition. They have no hope with Corbyn - not because he's too left wing, but because he's useless.

    If Corbyn's determined not to resign (which seems likely, he has waited to 40 years to mold the party in his image) and the members continue to love him, one can imagine that the sensible wing of the PLP have little choice but to resign the whip and form SDP2. The trick is to have more than half the PMs go, such that SDP2 become the official Opposition. Given the current mood that's entirely possible.
    The trick there would be to have some big donors lined up.
    Sainsbury.
    Nectar points?

    The new centre-left party (why not just be honest and call it New SDP?) had better make sure it gets the support of enough Tories for PR system or I predict H. of C. seats of roughly

    450 Tory
    Others 200
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Which of Boris and May is more likely negotiate an EEA type deal for Brexit? May was for remain but was obviously no lover of the EU. Boris seems like he's tacking towards EEAish solution.

    They are both pro-EEA, FOM I think. The snap election is a very clever move from the europhiles still running the party.
  • IcarusIcarus Posts: 1,010

    weejonnie said:

    Interesting aside on how much the UK was (and still is currently) actually contributing to the EU.

    "EU commissoner sees 15% fall in EU budget post-Brexit

    Britain's exit from the EU will result in a 15% drop in the bloc's annual budget from 2020, Cornia Cretu, the EU Regional Policy Commissioner, said today"

    I wont believe that until I see it written on a bus.
    Well the 15% is not quite exact. The budget drops by 15% - but the money given back to the UK has to taken into account - so we are looking at a drop of 7.5% as a rule of thumb for the other countries.

    Of course if the 15% was the NET figure the UK paid to the EU then the £350 million a week sounds pretty close.
    Indeed. That makes our overall contribution to the 2015 budget £16.8 billion AFTER the rebate.

    This is more in line with the pink book numbers rather than the headline figures spouted about by each side in the campaign.
    Clearly was cheap at twice the price!!!
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    As long as the alternative is not Liam F****** Fox, it's ABB for me...
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    The closure of the Tata plant will certainly help.

    Oh, wait...

    I imagine a much cheaper pound might help Tata, maybe, and government help will not now be illegal, but I'm not an expert on that.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Patrick said:

    At least at the coming GE we might get to vote for people who believe something and will fight to achieve what they believe in if they come near power. I used to believe Dave was such a person.

    Err, Dave has just spent months fighting tooth and nail for what he believes in. He got a lot of flak for it. Didn't you notice?
    The clear evidence from this site is that many so-called Tory supporters never grasped what an amazing asset they had in Cameron.
  • mattmatt Posts: 3,789
    edited June 2016
    taffys said:

    How is the fallout panning out in Wales?

    I am a London Welshman, but my impression talking to people back home is that Wales is hungry for change. It has spent decades in the doldrums, and wants to shift up a gear.

    Vote out. Demand central government top-ups equal to the amount spent from EU funds. Find it's all gone to the NHS. Or to make good the increased budget deficit following recession.



  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @JohnRentoul: Unofficial part of the 1922 Committee timetable: general election on 13 October.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    The good news is that as we bill mostly in US$ and Euros we are making a very tidy sum from the pound's collapse. It's at times like these when it's good not to have many UK customers.

    Good news.

    You've said that if you were younger you'd emigrate to Singapore or the US. Hopefully now that the UK is independent you'll be a happier citizen.

    Not emigrate, not Singapore. A few years away. Hong Kong is where I'd most have liked to go.

    I am a very happy citizen. Like you, none of this really affects me.

    I think both Singapore and Hong Kong would only be attractive residences if one travelled out of them regularly.

    Have to say, if you want city life, London and NYC are the only two for me. For country life, your options are much more extensive. Upcounty Montgomery County, MD is wonderful. But so would be Devon, Cornwall or any number of other wonderful British counties, the Dardogne and on and on.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    edited June 2016
    felix said:

    chestnut said:

    felix said:

    taffys said:

    ''Yup - every buyer will be thrilled and the sellers even more ecstatic at taking a big loss. In post-Brexit Britain everybody is just ticketyboo. ''

    Many conservatives are home owners of long standing who would be prepared to accept a 15% fall if it meant their sons, daughters and younger work colleagues had a chance to get on the property ladder sometime soon.

    Link? Isn't that the same one which says everyone is happy that everyone else pays more tax to fund the NHS? Any true conservative knows something about market forces and understands that a rapidly devalued currency is the smell arising form an economic garbage.
    Taffys is correct on house prices.

    A great many people are happy to see their house price fall for the benefit of their children trying to get on the ladder.

    You forgot the link. And what about those who are a little younger and will fall into negative equity. Really it's time for you people to stop pretending there are no downsides to what is happening right now. It would certainly give me some much needed hope for the future.
    If you haven't heard people saying it, it's because you haven't been listening.

    If you think people haven't understood that there are some ups and downs involved, it's because you have difficulty comprehending the way others see things.

    It's this failure to listen and comprehend that has made you a loser.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    MTimT said:

    Sandpit said:

    If Corbyn wins this next leadership election, the entire non-corbynite PLP should simply split off and call themselves Real Labour or something. It would be about 180 MPs at least, and so wouldn't be SDPv2 because that was a small split. This would be the new official opposition. They have no hope with Corbyn - not because he's too left wing, but because he's useless.

    If Corbyn's determined not to resign (which seems likely, he has waited to 40 years to mold the party in his image) and the members continue to love him, one can imagine that the sensible wing of the PLP have little choice but to resign the whip and form SDP2. The trick is to have more than half the PMs go, such that SDP2 become the official Opposition. Given the current mood that's entirely possible.
    The trick there would be to have some big donors lined up.
    My thoughts precisely. Clearly it won't be the unions. But where did all those big private donors go?
    Several said they wouldn't cough up for Corbyn - John Mills gave millions to LabourLeave. The unions want a pretty hard-Left leader - I'm not sure what's in play anymore.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,046
    Ouch. But Boris knows he'll need to have house prices as high as possible to keep Tory base happy, so it makes sense ...
    https://twitter.com/allihayman/status/747396103314735104
  • mattmatt Posts: 3,789
    Jobabob said:

    Patrick said:

    At least at the coming GE we might get to vote for people who believe something and will fight to achieve what they believe in if they come near power. I used to believe Dave was such a person.

    Err, Dave has just spent months fighting tooth and nail for what he believes in. He got a lot of flak for it. Didn't you notice?
    The clear evidence from this site is that many so-called Tory supporters never grasped what an amazing asset they had in Cameron.
    Some of did. I think you'll find the RSI posters dominate posting, if not original thought.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    edited June 2016
    Patrick said:

    Patrick said:

    This morning I called Andy Burnham a shiny quacking robot in mascara. I should like to retract that statement. He is an empty cowardly shining quacking robot in mascara.

    I post this because Burnham is the living epitome of all that is so horribly wrong with our political elites. Why do people so vacuous try to become MPs in the first place? It must be pure vanity. I hope constituency party chairmen in both Labour and Conservatives get their guillotines out and simply remove this wave of human spam from the body politic. At least at the coming GE we might get to vote for people who believe something and will fight to achieve what they believe in if they come near power. I used to believe Dave was such a person. Why can't we be governed by decent, principled men like Daniel Hannan and not sons of Blair? The party mechanisms for selecting and retaining (or not) candidates for parliament needs a revisit.
    Well said Patrick. We need principled people in Parliament, people with life experience and a clear view of their thinking, not the mushy sameness we have had for the last 25 years.

    You may not individually agree with someone's principles, but at least he has them and has thought them through, rather than some spotty SpAd who just sees Parliament as the next job for himself on the career ladder.

    Dan Hannan is a good example of course, someone who has written books rather than brief policy papers. Hopefully he'll be involved in the EU negotiations as he knows their structure and policy inside out - then let's get him in the Cabinet one way or the other - as someone cheekily suggested the other day, maybe there will be a by-election in Witney next year?
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    Jobabob said:

    Patrick said:

    At least at the coming GE we might get to vote for people who believe something and will fight to achieve what they believe in if they come near power. I used to believe Dave was such a person.

    Err, Dave has just spent months fighting tooth and nail for what he believes in. He got a lot of flak for it. Didn't you notice?
    The clear evidence from this site is that many so-called Tory supporters never grasped what an amazing asset they had in Cameron.
    Lyin' Dave ?
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    So the stock prices of housebuilders = house prices ?

    Rolls eyes..
  • pinkrosepinkrose Posts: 189
    Wonder if the "surprising name" being touted for shadow cabinet position is Ed Miliband?
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Ouch. But Boris knows he'll need to have house prices as high as possible to keep Tory base happy, so it makes sense ...
    https://twitter.com/allihayman/status/747396103314735104

    Yep. Will lead to a massive restriction in supply of housing to preserve the L&SE market.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Scott_P said:

    @JohnRentoul: Unofficial part of the 1922 Committee timetable: general election on 13 October.

    So, no party conferences ?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,936
    edited June 2016

    As long as the alternative is not Liam F****** Fox, it's ABB for me...

    I'm voting for Boris, he promised us Brexit with no free movement and £350m a week to the NHS, I want to see him deliver it.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    taffys said:

    How is the fallout panning out in Wales?

    I am a London Welshman, but my impression talking to people back home is that Wales is hungry for change. It has spent decades in the doldrums, and wants to shift up a gear.

    Well we've got a 'Cardiff stays' event coming up. Certainly a fair number of people involved in getting EU funding are upset. There's also quite a bit of anger at the luddites in the Valleys who wanted out.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    taffys said:

    The closure of the Tata plant will certainly help.

    Oh, wait...

    I imagine a much cheaper pound might help Tata, maybe, and government help will not now be illegal, but I'm not an expert on that.

    I understand the most likely bidder has withdrawn.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,820
    MTimT said:

    The good news is that as we bill mostly in US$ and Euros we are making a very tidy sum from the pound's collapse. It's at times like these when it's good not to have many UK customers.

    Good news.

    You've said that if you were younger you'd emigrate to Singapore or the US. Hopefully now that the UK is independent you'll be a happier citizen.

    Not emigrate, not Singapore. A few years away. Hong Kong is where I'd most have liked to go.

    I am a very happy citizen. Like you, none of this really affects me.

    I think both Singapore and Hong Kong would only be attractive residences if one travelled out of them regularly.

    Have to say, if you want city life, London and NYC are the only two for me. For country life, your options are much more extensive. Upcounty Montgomery County, MD is wonderful. But so would be Devon, Cornwall or any number of other wonderful British counties, the Dardogne and on and on.
    You have to include Paris in that. HK/Sing you would be city-ish but would also have the feeling that it was all bypassing you and the action was happening elsewhere.

    London yes, NYC yes. Paris feels funnily enough more French than London feels British.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited June 2016
    15/18 of 1922 Committee are Brexiteers according to Sky. That's why they're compressing the timescale.

    May definite to stand
    Crabb a possible
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180

    This really isn't good on top of an 8% fall on Friday:
    https://twitter.com/neiledwardlovat/status/747410856036663296

    Wrong! In post Brexit Britain all is good - there is no downside. Rpeat rinse repeat - then tear your hair out.
  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 0
    edited June 2016

    Patrick said:

    At least at the coming GE we might get to vote for people who believe something and will fight to achieve what they believe in if they come near power. I used to believe Dave was such a person.

    Err, Dave has just spent months fighting tooth and nail for what he believes in. He got a lot of flak for it. Didn't you notice?
    He campaigned to become Tory leader on an overtly Eurosceptic ticket and made anti-EU noises from time to time thereafter. When he decided that what he really believed in was the EU and not the British then he should have done the honourable thing and resigned to fight that fight. He deceived his party and the country - and part of the reason we got a Leave result was an angry backlash against this decades long treachery by our political leaders.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,908
    Scott_P said:

    @JohnRentoul: Unofficial part of the 1922 Committee timetable: general election on 13 October.

    Last time we had an October election was 1974... And the result was pretty indecisive (though not as bad as Feburary 1974)

    Before that it was was 1964... And the result was indecisive.

    Before that 1959 and it was a Con landslide.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    taffys said:

    The closure of the Tata plant will certainly help.

    Oh, wait...

    I imagine a much cheaper pound might help Tata, maybe, and government help will not now be illegal, but I'm not an expert on that.

    I think we can all agree that you are not an expert.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,936

    NEW THREAD NEW THREAD

  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    JonathanD said:

    felix said:

    You forgot the link. And what about those who are a little younger and will fall into negative equity. Really it's time for you people to stop pretending there are no downsides to what is happening right now. It would certainly give me some much needed hope for the future.

    As I said earlier, the economic illiteracy is staggering. None of the Leavers claiming that crashing house prices are a good thing seems to have put fifteen seconds' thought into why they'd be crashing.

    [Hint: It's not because it easier for youngsters to get on the housing ladder...]
    In another situation, falling house prices are possibly just about OK - it's the falling bank and builders share price that should give the game away.

    Negative equity, all over again !
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341

    felix said:

    You forgot the link. And what about those who are a little younger and will fall into negative equity. Really it's time for you people to stop pretending there are no downsides to what is happening right now. It would certainly give me some much needed hope for the future.

    As I said earlier, the economic illiteracy is staggering. None of the Leavers claiming that crashing house prices are a good thing seems to have put fifteen seconds' thought into why they'd be crashing.

    [Hint: It's not because it is easier for youngsters to get on the housing ladder...]
    The economic illiteracy is the Remainian fantasy where there is never another recession and where house prices never fall.

    It's Brownian.

    No one over a certain age should be dumb enough to believe in it.
  • LennonLennon Posts: 1,812
    PlatoSaid said:

    15/18 of 1922 Committee are Brexiteers according to Sky. That's why they're compressing the timescale.

    May definite to stand
    Crabb a possible

    In a field of May, Crabb and Boris - I can see Crabb winning through the middle potentially - unlike the other 2 hasn't been around long enough to p*ss people off....
  • MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792
    edited June 2016
    felix said:

    This really isn't good on top of an 8% fall on Friday:
    https://twitter.com/neiledwardlovat/status/747410856036663296

    Wrong! In post Brexit Britain all is good - there is no downside. Rpeat rinse repeat - then tear your hair out.
    I guess you'll just have to remain in Spain. You're well out of it.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Quote of the day so far:

    Mervyn King: "The Remain campaign treated people like idiots"

  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    The good news is that as we bill mostly in US$ and Euros we are making a very tidy sum from the pound's collapse. It's at times like these when it's good not to have many UK customers.

    Good news.

    You've said that if you were younger you'd emigrate to Singapore or the US. Hopefully now that the UK is independent you'll be a happier citizen.

    Not emigrate, not Singapore. A few years away. Hong Kong is where I'd most have liked to go.

    I am a very happy citizen. Like you, none of this really affects me.
    Singapore's lovely, my favourite city. Not quite as mad busy as HK, more clean and tidy. Really expensive drinks being the only downside (£10-12 a pint, so everyone chases the happy hours!)

    No F1 in Hong Kong either! :)
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited June 2016
    Patrick said:

    He campaigned to become Tory leader on an overtly Eurosceptic ticket and made anti-EU noises from time to time thereafter. When he decided that what he really believed in was the EU and not the British then he should have done the honourable thing and resigned to fight that fight. He deceived his party and the country - and part of the reason we got a Leave result was an angry backlash against this endless 40 year long treachery by our political leaders.

    This is (like many criticisms of Cameron) a rewrite of history. He has never, ever been 'Eurosceptic' in the distorted sense which it now has acquired of being a BOOer. He's actually been very consistent all along: wanting the UK to remain in a reformed, more competitive EU, without signing up to ever-closer union.
  • YellowSubmarineYellowSubmarine Posts: 2,740
    Thank God we'll have a new PM by 2nd September. Knocking a month off the time table is the first piece of good news we've had since since Friday morning.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    Lennon said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    15/18 of 1922 Committee are Brexiteers according to Sky. That's why they're compressing the timescale.

    May definite to stand
    Crabb a possible

    In a field of May, Crabb and Boris - I can see Crabb winning through the middle potentially - unlike the other 2 hasn't been around long enough to p*ss people off....
    Winning through the middle with MPs? Really?

    There can of course be no winning through the middle in a two horse race with members.
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited June 2016
    Jobabob said:

    Wow. Tight. May vs Boris? No one else will have time?
    Why not? You only need a proposer and a seconder to get on the first-round ballot.

    However, I think the final two will probably be Theresa and Boris. In this chaos, it's either got to be the safest and most unifying figure you can find, or the one who has taken the political initiative (which is undoubtedly Boris, like it or not). But who knows? Surprises have happened before.
    The quick move is clearly designed to block the right. Stops a Corbyn effect from nutjob new members.

    Clever move.
    I'm not sure that's the thinking behind the quick contest - if it was, they could just pass a simple rule that only those who were members before DC's resignation can vote.

    I think the timing is basically down to;

    1. Keep Corbyn in place
    2. Make sure the Cameroons/remainers aren't able to stage a comeback if the economy goes seriously south before the contest gets going.
    3. Genuine concern about the sh*thole they've got themselves into.

    The fact it helps boris is probably the lesser evil in the eyes of the 1922
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,829
    Lennon said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    15/18 of 1922 Committee are Brexiteers according to Sky. That's why they're compressing the timescale.

    May definite to stand
    Crabb a possible

    In a field of May, Crabb and Boris - I can see Crabb winning through the middle potentially - unlike the other 2 hasn't been around long enough to p*ss people off....
    pls let May stand - i have been sitting on a bet on her for 3 years.
  • ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,844
    edited June 2016
    TOPPING said:

    MTimT said:

    The good news is that as we bill mostly in US$ and Euros we are making a very tidy sum from the pound's collapse. It's at times like these when it's good not to have many UK customers.

    Good news.

    You've said that if you were younger you'd emigrate to Singapore or the US. Hopefully now that the UK is independent you'll be a happier citizen.

    Not emigrate, not Singapore. A few years away. Hong Kong is where I'd most have liked to go.

    I am a very happy citizen. Like you, none of this really affects me.

    I think both Singapore and Hong Kong would only be attractive residences if one travelled out of them regularly.

    Have to say, if you want city life, London and NYC are the only two for me. For country life, your options are much more extensive. Upcounty Montgomery County, MD is wonderful. But so would be Devon, Cornwall or any number of other wonderful British counties, the Dardogne and on and on.
    You have to include Paris in that. HK/Sing you would be city-ish but would also have the feeling that it was all bypassing you and the action was happening elsewhere.

    London yes, NYC yes. Paris feels funnily enough more French than London feels British.
    Paris is great for city life. A world class city but as you say still unmistakably french. Cost of living massively lower than London or NY - you can still live in the center of Paris on a normal salary, and eating out/drinks etc can be had relatively cheaply if you avoid certain obvious areas. Quality of food and wine is still very good in the cheap-average price range - no need to go fancy.

    The parisians are also undeserving of their reputation in my experience (outside of some tourist waiters who do seem to always be scowling), not met an undeservedly rude one yet.
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039

    As long as the alternative is not Liam F****** Fox, it's ABB for me...

    I'm voting for Boris, he promised us Brexit with no free movement and £350m a week to the NHS, I want to see him deliver it.
    I seem to remember you were originally voting for Brexit as well :D
  • Patrick said:

    He campaigned to become Tory leader on an overtly Eurosceptic ticket and made anti-EU noises from time to time thereafter. When he decided that what he really believed in was the EU and not the British then he should have done the honourable thing and resigned to fight that fight. He deceived his party and the country - and part of the reason we got a Leave result was an angry backlash against this endless 40 year long treachery by our political leaders.

    This is (like many criticisms of Cameron) a rewrite of history. He has never, ever been 'Eurosceptic' in the distorted sense which it now has acquired of being a BOOer. He's actually been very consistent all along: wanting the UK to remain in a reformed, more competitive EU, without signing up to ever-closer union.
    So he's a naïve idiot then.
This discussion has been closed.