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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn’s hanging on but for how long?

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  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820

    surbiton said:

    £ = € 1.20

    talking to my brother who works in Germany he's rubbing his hands. The Euro is down against the dollar so he thinks his company will have a bumper year with US sales.
    Well the pound has fallen much more so International GB companies should be creaming it.
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    surbiton said:

    £ = € 1.20

    talking to my brother who works in Germany he's rubbing his hands. The Euro is down against the dollar so he thinks his company will have a bumper year with US sales.
    Tell your brother to get with the programme. This week, a falling currency is bad for the economy. Next he'll be singing in the bath FFS.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    weejonnie said:

    Libdem graph.
    Ironically, the Lib Dems might be the gainers now since they were completely off the news during the last few months.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,820

    Corbyn can't be around for much longer. Labour know they have the chance to utterly destroy the Tories.

    Which Labour? And which Tories?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Diana Johnson, Labour MP for Hull North has just resigned.

    Resigned as an MP?
    No, as a shadow foreign office minister.
    This is all happening far too quickly to attempt to keep up with it. 20 resignations now is it? It'll just be JC, McIRA and Diane left by the end of the day!
    Indeed, while you were writing that post, MP Ruth Smeeths resigned as a PPS and
    Roberta Blackman-Woods resigned as shadow housing minister. :lol:
    LOL. Is no-one here going to get any work done at all today? This is completely bonkers!
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Marvellous news for UK exporters. Might yet kickstart the stagnating economy.
  • MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792
    edited June 2016
    Pulpstar said:

    surbiton said:

    £ = € 1.20

    Remember these speculators are idiots. As their heavy betting on Remain recently reminded us.
    This isn't speculation. The results are in, this is the true position of the UK outwith the EU-US linkbridge.
    Luckily people like you are born every minute.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,046
    Blimey - it's almost as if we do need experts. Come on Govey, say it ain't so.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,428
    surbiton said:

    weejonnie said:

    Libdem graph.
    Ironically, the Lib Dems might be the gainers now since they were completely off the news during the last few months.
    Only one party standing unequivocally with the 48 ;)
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @DBanksy: OK. Prediction. No immediate #Brexit. BoJo loses Tory leadership. November election fought on EU. #Remain majority in Parly. No Brexit ever
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Mortimer said:

    Interim - why would it be a problem? Are we going to be passing any contentious legislation until there is a new full time leaer? PMQs can be deputised to an interim deputy - any ideas? Peter Lilly?

    As my MP may I just note that Peter Lilly has an interesting backstory that our generous spirited press will clearly enjoy.

  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    edited June 2016

    surbiton said:

    £ = € 1.20

    talking to my brother who works in Germany he's rubbing his hands. The Euro is down against the dollar so he thinks his company will have a bumper year with US sales.
    British exporters will be over the moon, their goods just got cheaper for everyone else to buy. Airbus, McLaren and JCB will all be happy about a fall in the pound.

    Those of us who get paid in US$ and have a mortgage in Sterling are also not complaining too much ;)
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    JohnO said:

    Wouldn't it have been easier for those Labour frontbenchers who are staying to write to Corbyn?

    Ha :)
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    OMG at Corbyn voting Leave. It's a plot twist which I guess everyone should have expected but....I'm still flabbergasted.

    @rottenborough I wouldn't be remotely surprised if Article 50 ended up being kicked into the long grass and in the end we end up not formally leaving the EU.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,820

    Pound plunges past Friday's lows to 31-year low of $1.3221

    Feeling a little sick yet Brexiteers?

    No.

    Markets hate change.

    Goldman Sachs assessment

    "While we do now expect the UK to enter a technical recession in the first half of 2017, it should be a mild one by historical standards."

    Given all the claims of doom by Remain prior to the vote this is much more in line with reasonable expectations.

    To be honest I am still on a high and very happy with our position right now.
    Markets love change. They hate uncertainty. So do CIOs.

    Reasonable expectations and a price worth paying = a "mild" recession next year. Did we hear that pre-vote?

  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,848
    surbiton said:

    weejonnie said:

    Libdem graph.
    Ironically, the Lib Dems might be the gainers now since they were completely off the news during the last few months.
    They can all proudly wear their "nothing to do with me, mate" T-shirts...
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024

    Diana Johnson, Labour MP for Hull North has just resigned.

    All these Labour MP's resigning, but couldn't get their own constitunents out to vote for Remain.
  • IcarusIcarus Posts: 1,010
    On Wednesday afternoon the Labour Party get to choose the subject for debate. Any one got any suggestions for Jeremy?
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    People on here like nunu speculating about Labour 200- etc etc fail to grasp what is happening here. About know they are utterly doomed under Corbyn so are taking their chance to destroy him. They'll sort the rest out later.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,428
    €110; $1020; $652; $658 invoicing this morning...
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,835

    surbiton said:

    £ = € 1.20

    talking to my brother who works in Germany he's rubbing his hands. The Euro is down against the dollar so he thinks his company will have a bumper year with US sales.
    The great irony is that Germany, Italy, Spain and even France are full of decent exporters, so they'll benefit from the fall of the Euro relative to the US Dollar.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,825

    Jonathan said:

    Meanwhile, out in the real world things are looking bearish.

    Nah, it is project fear.
    away from the bedwetting in London, here in the Midlands the people I have spoken to today are fairly sanguine

    1. they expect a bit of froth and then it will settle down
    2. they're fairly unrepentant saying London has ignored us for ages so now they have to sit up
    3. they expect HMG ( whats left of it ) will have to now do someting to help the rest of the economy instead of always worrying about the South East or the main parties will get massacred
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024

    Chilcot next week

    Lol. Blairites had to move now.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 10,030
    TOPPING said:

    Corbyn can't be around for much longer. Labour know they have the chance to utterly destroy the Tories.

    Which Labour? And which Tories?
    Once Corbyn is ditched Labour will unite and prove a massively effective force. The Tories are now there for the taking.
  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,081
    Scott_P said:

    @MichaelWhite: Osborne's upbeat 7am statement one of his better performances: first officer arrives on bridge of SS Titanic while Boris pleads with iceberg

    LOL!
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    JohnO said:

    Just wow. Fecking WOW

    Chris Bryant says 'I suspect that Jeremy Corbyn may have voted to leave'

    Revelation of the century!! And none of our media elite has asked him how he voted on Thursday?
    Has anyone asked Boris and Gove how they voted?
    Boris and Gove's position is: Single Market - 5% and Free Movement of People - 5%.

    They will take 10-15% of Leavers with them. The rest can scream and shout. They will say that is the "responsible" position now in this "turmoil".

    Who created the turmoil in the first place ?
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,277
    nunu said:

    Diana Johnson, Labour MP for Hull North has just resigned.

    All these Labour MP's resigning, but couldn't get their own constitunents out to vote for Remain.
    Yes. They're resigned to defeat.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @declancurry: Former Euro commissioner, banker, Irish govt minister ... Places his bets https://t.co/RlAdEL69BA
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,827
    Icarus said:

    On Wednesday afternoon the Labour Party get to choose the subject for debate. Any one got any suggestions for Jeremy?

    Bullying at work?
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024

    TOPPING said:

    Corbyn can't be around for much longer. Labour know they have the chance to utterly destroy the Tories.

    Which Labour? And which Tories?
    Once Corbyn is ditched Labour will unite and prove a massively effective force. The Tories are now there for the taking.
    Lol.
  • glwglw Posts: 10,393

    surbiton said:

    £ = € 1.20

    Remember these speculators are idiots. As their heavy betting on Remain recently reminded us.
    "They" expected Remain and were wrong, so really what should we take from current movements? They certainly aren't useful indicators of long-term outcomes.
  • IcarusIcarus Posts: 1,010
    I am reminded of the Chinese blessing for the newborn "May you live in interesting times"
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,107

    surbiton said:

    weejonnie said:

    Libdem graph.
    Ironically, the Lib Dems might be the gainers now since they were completely off the news during the last few months.
    They can all proudly wear their "nothing to do with me, mate" T-shirts...
    Apart from Clegg calling for an in out referendum and restoring the Tories to power, otherwise has nothing to do with them.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,311
    edited June 2016
    murali_s said:

    Pound plunges past Friday's lows to 31-year low of $1.3221

    Feeling a little sick yet Brexiteers?

    No.

    Markets hate change.

    Goldman Sachs assessment

    "While we do now expect the UK to enter a technical recession in the first half of 2017, it should be a mild one by historical standards."

    Given all the claims of doom by Remain prior to the vote this is much more in line with reasonable expectations.

    To be honest I am still on a high and very happy with our position right now.
    ...but for how long Richard, how long?

    Your victorious Leave team have already kicked Article 50 into the long grass - is it going to stay there forever?
    In all seriousness if they do there will be huge unrest. It will destroy this country politically. Given that I am one of the more moderate leavers for whom things like immigration are not an issue can you seriously imagine what would happen with all those millions of others if the decision was made to ignore the referendum? There would be bloodshed.
  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760

    TOPPING said:

    Corbyn can't be around for much longer. Labour know they have the chance to utterly destroy the Tories.

    Which Labour? And which Tories?
    Once Corbyn is ditched Labour will unite and prove a massively effective force. The Tories are now there for the taking.
    that is laughable! how will they unite with the majority of the membership spitting feathers?
    Corbyn or one of his allies will win any leadership contest with ease.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    nunu said:

    Diana Johnson, Labour MP for Hull North has just resigned.

    All these Labour MP's resigning, but couldn't get their own constitunents out to vote for Remain.
    It's a fatal flaw in their argument - but given its all a proxy war, I don't think it matters any more.
  • currystarcurrystar Posts: 1,171

    MikeK said:

    Now that the main parties are tearing themselves apart would be a good time for UKIP to get their forces and house in order, and make headway in the country. But I bet they don't. Farage, who is too busy arguing in Strasburg, won't have the time, they need a new leader to exploit the moment. Quickly.

    I wouldn't bother with UKIP - that thing is surely finished. The very embodiment of the worst idea in British history.
    In 2018/19 when we leave the EU what will UKIPS purpose be, who will be trying to gain independence from?
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited June 2016
    weejonnie said:

    surbiton said:

    £ = € 1.20

    talking to my brother who works in Germany he's rubbing his hands. The Euro is down against the dollar so he thinks his company will have a bumper year with US sales.
    Well the pound has fallen much more so International GB companies should be creaming it.
    They are, which is why shares in companies like Diageo are up, and shares in companies like RBS which are dependent on the UK economy have tanked.

    Do keep up, any half-sane investment manager could and did tell you this before the referendum.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,428
    Brom said:

    TOPPING said:

    Corbyn can't be around for much longer. Labour know they have the chance to utterly destroy the Tories.

    Which Labour? And which Tories?
    Once Corbyn is ditched Labour will unite and prove a massively effective force. The Tories are now there for the taking.
    that is laughable! how will they unite with the majority of the membership spitting feathers?
    Corbyn or one of his allies will win any leadership contest with ease.
    Nandy vs McDonnell would be great for those who have just ousted Corbyn xD
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,329
    Every time I refresh now I half expect to see that Corbyn has quit.

    Interesting times indeed.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,411
    currystar said:

    MikeK said:

    Now that the main parties are tearing themselves apart would be a good time for UKIP to get their forces and house in order, and make headway in the country. But I bet they don't. Farage, who is too busy arguing in Strasburg, won't have the time, they need a new leader to exploit the moment. Quickly.

    I wouldn't bother with UKIP - that thing is surely finished. The very embodiment of the worst idea in British history.
    In 2018/19 when we leave the EU what will UKIPS purpose be, who will be trying to gain independence from?
    the EEA probably
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 10,030
    Boris was always a figure of fun but in an endearing way. Now it's in a contemptuous way. I'm starting to think he's finished.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    Jonathan said:

    Meanwhile, out in the real world things are looking bearish.

    Nah, it is project fear.
    away from the bedwetting in London, here in the Midlands the people I have spoken to today are fairly sanguine

    1. they expect a bit of froth and then it will settle down
    2. they're fairly unrepentant saying London has ignored us for ages so now they have to sit up
    3. they expect HMG ( whats left of it ) will have to now do someting to help the rest of the economy instead of always worrying about the South East or the main parties will get massacred
    Ditto in NE.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,825
    rcs1000 said:

    surbiton said:

    £ = € 1.20

    talking to my brother who works in Germany he's rubbing his hands. The Euro is down against the dollar so he thinks his company will have a bumper year with US sales.
    The great irony is that Germany, Italy, Spain and even France are full of decent exporters, so they'll benefit from the fall of the Euro relative to the US Dollar.
    Yes, quite. However I suppose the risk now is in Europe can the project hold together, you can already detect splits between some of the nation states and the EU commission. If it splits the biggest loser will be Germany industry.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,092
    currystar said:

    MikeK said:

    Now that the main parties are tearing themselves apart would be a good time for UKIP to get their forces and house in order, and make headway in the country. But I bet they don't. Farage, who is too busy arguing in Strasburg, won't have the time, they need a new leader to exploit the moment. Quickly.

    I wouldn't bother with UKIP - that thing is surely finished. The very embodiment of the worst idea in British history.
    In 2018/19 when we leave the EU what will UKIPS purpose be, who will be trying to gain independence from?
    It will have morphed into an anti-foreigner National Socialist Party.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    Icarus said:

    On Wednesday afternoon the Labour Party get to choose the subject for debate. Any one got any suggestions for Jeremy?

    Bullying at work?
    :lol:
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,599

    Pulpstar said:

    This is simply astonishing by Corbyn. Good to admit I have some sneaking admiration for his stubborness :D

    He's certainly not like any other leader....He just defies political gravity.
    But only in the manner of Wile E Coyote, treading the thin air underneath him at the cliff's edge for a few second before......
  • pinkrosepinkrose Posts: 189
    If Labour elected Dan Jarvis they could win an election against the Tories.

    Daily Mail wouldnt be able to say he "hated his country"like Miliband now could they?
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,277

    Pulpstar said:

    This is simply astonishing by Corbyn. Good to admit I have some sneaking admiration for his stubborness :D

    The PLP has no authority to unseat the democratically elected leader.

    Simple as.

    SDP2 their only option IMO

    We all know that ends well for the splitters with years of Tory Government,

    I guess many of the plotters would prefer that to Corbyn.
    That fails to understand how a parliamentary democracy works.

    A government can only hold office with the confidence of parliament. A PM can only hold office with the confidence of his MPs (and, in a minority government or coalition, the passive or active support of a sufficient number of MPs of other parties). By extension, the LotO must also retain the confidence of his own MPs. Labour isn't a pressure group, it's a government in waiting and as such must be subject to the same constitutional constraints as the real government.
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024

    Jonathan said:

    Meanwhile, out in the real world things are looking bearish.

    Nah, it is project fear.
    away from the bedwetting in London, here in the Midlands the people I have spoken to today are fairly sanguine

    1. they expect a bit of froth and then it will settle down
    2. they're fairly unrepentant saying London has ignored us for ages so now they have to sit up
    3. they expect HMG ( whats left of it ) will have to now do someting to help the rest of the economy instead of always worrying about the South East or the main parties will get massacred
    Exactly. whenever pe
    Jobabob said:

    People on here like nunu speculating about Labour 200- etc etc fail to grasp what is happening here. About know they are utterly doomed under Corbyn so are taking their chance to destroy him. They'll sort the rest out later.

    The problem is if there's an early election they might not have time to sort things out.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,046
    DavidL said:

    Every time I refresh now I half expect to see that Corbyn has quit.

    Interesting times indeed.

    Corbyn will never resign, of that you can be absolutely certain.

  • glwglw Posts: 10,393
    Pulpstar said:

    surbiton said:

    £ = € 1.20

    Remember these speculators are idiots. As their heavy betting on Remain recently reminded us.
    This isn't speculation. The results are in, this is the true position of the UK outwith the EU-US linkbridge.
    It reflects current market sentiment — running around like Corporal Jones screaming "Don't panic!" — it doesn't tell us anything useful about the long-term outcome of leaving the EU.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,825

    Boris was always a figure of fun but in an endearing way. Now it's in a contemptuous way. I'm starting to think he's finished.
    excellent.
  • Sandpit said:

    surbiton said:

    £ = € 1.20

    talking to my brother who works in Germany he's rubbing his hands. The Euro is down against the dollar so he thinks his company will have a bumper year with US sales.
    British exporters will be over the moon, their goods just got cheaper for everyone else to buy. Those of us who get paid in US$ and have a mortgage in Sterling are also not complaining too much ;)
    I have had precisely zero faith in our political elites for years. They are as incompetent as they are venal - especially those tasked with overseeing our economy and monetary systems. Sooner or later reality and the people they purport to represent were going to come crashing in. I have been telling PBers to buy gold for ages. The global establishment is starting to have its denouement. Gold is only just getting going. I'm £42,000 pounds up as of 11:00 (£38,000 of that since Brexit) but will continue to hold in the expectation of a long bull market in gold getting going. Gold is money. Fiat currencies are not.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,825
    currystar said:

    MikeK said:

    Now that the main parties are tearing themselves apart would be a good time for UKIP to get their forces and house in order, and make headway in the country. But I bet they don't. Farage, who is too busy arguing in Strasburg, won't have the time, they need a new leader to exploit the moment. Quickly.

    I wouldn't bother with UKIP - that thing is surely finished. The very embodiment of the worst idea in British history.
    In 2018/19 when we leave the EU what will UKIPS purpose be, who will be trying to gain independence from?
    Scotland
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    edited June 2016

    Boris was always a figure of fun but in an endearing way. Now it's in a contemptuous way. I'm starting to think he's finished.

    That wasn't the worst part of that interview either
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    DavidL said:

    Every time I refresh now I half expect to see that Corbyn has quit.

    Interesting times indeed.

    Corbyn will never resign, of that you can be absolutely certain.

    No one resigns from politburo ! They are removed.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Jobabob said:

    People on here like nunu speculating about Labour 200- etc etc fail to grasp what is happening here. About know they are utterly doomed under Corbyn so are taking their chance to destroy him. They'll sort the rest out later.

    There is nothing much left to sort out.

    London Labour is alien to most of the country.

    The country passed judgement on Thursday, just as Scotland passed judgement on Scottish Labour in September 2014.

    Labour is a crap brand. Permanently fucked.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,092

    Icarus said:

    On Wednesday afternoon the Labour Party get to choose the subject for debate. Any one got any suggestions for Jeremy?

    Bullying at work?
    :-)
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,820

    murali_s said:

    Pound plunges past Friday's lows to 31-year low of $1.3221

    Feeling a little sick yet Brexiteers?

    No.

    Markets hate change.

    Goldman Sachs assessment

    "While we do now expect the UK to enter a technical recession in the first half of 2017, it should be a mild one by historical standards."

    Given all the claims of doom by Remain prior to the vote this is much more in line with reasonable expectations.

    To be honest I am still on a high and very happy with our position right now.
    ...but for how long Richard, how long?

    Your victorious Leave team have already kicked Article 50 into the long grass - is it going to stay there forever?
    In all seriousness if they do there will be huge unrest. It will destroy this country politically. Given that I am one of the more moderate leavers for whom things like immigration are not an issue can you seriously imagine what would happen with all those millions of others if the decision was made to ignore the referendum? There would be bloodshed.
    Quite apart from the fact that until Article 50 is invoked (and ofc two years afterwards) we are subject to all the awful things that the country has been subject to these past few decades.

    Had to laugh listening to Leaver Theresa Villiers yday on Pienaar..."our economy is very strong, unemployment is low, employment is high, manufacturing is strong, etc, etc"

    Made me wonder how awful having been in the EU actually has been, given how well we are doing....
  • IcarusIcarus Posts: 1,010
    Barnesian said:

    currystar said:

    MikeK said:

    Now that the main parties are tearing themselves apart would be a good time for UKIP to get their forces and house in order, and make headway in the country. But I bet they don't. Farage, who is too busy arguing in Strasburg, won't have the time, they need a new leader to exploit the moment. Quickly.

    I wouldn't bother with UKIP - that thing is surely finished. The very embodiment of the worst idea in British history.
    In 2018/19 when we leave the EU what will UKIPS purpose be, who will be trying to gain independence from?
    It will have morphed into an anti-foreigner National Socialist Party.
    Use of the Future tense is superfluous.
  • volcanopetevolcanopete Posts: 2,078
    Planned like a fireworks display,Angela Eagle is set to give the plotters a rousing end.She's still available at 25-1 but would have support from the LGBT community.Angela's no roman candle.Boom!
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,277
    Pulpstar said:

    This is simply astonishing by Corbyn. Good to admit I have some sneaking admiration for his stubborness :D

    Indeed. Reminiscent of Thatcher's "I fight on and i fight to win". Which came immediately before she threw the towel in after her entire cabinet told her the game was up.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 10,030
    currystar said:

    MikeK said:

    Now that the main parties are tearing themselves apart would be a good time for UKIP to get their forces and house in order, and make headway in the country. But I bet they don't. Farage, who is too busy arguing in Strasburg, won't have the time, they need a new leader to exploit the moment. Quickly.

    I wouldn't bother with UKIP - that thing is surely finished. The very embodiment of the worst idea in British history.
    In 2018/19 when we leave the EU what will UKIPS purpose be, who will be trying to gain independence from?
    The best scenario for everyone is that UKIP winds itself up. However, drunk on its recent 'success' I fear it will continue, sucking its lifeblood from the darker elements in society.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,936

    Jonathan said:

    Meanwhile, out in the real world things are looking bearish.

    Nah, it is project fear.
    away from the bedwetting in London, here in the Midlands the people I have spoken to today are fairly sanguine

    1. they expect a bit of froth and then it will settle down
    2. they're fairly unrepentant saying London has ignored us for ages so now they have to sit up
    3. they expect HMG ( whats left of it ) will have to now do someting to help the rest of the economy instead of always worrying about the South East or the main parties will get massacred
    There's a fair bit of bedwetting taking place in Manchester too.
  • David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    Is there any analysis showing that the rebellion is by Labour MPs in area that voted remain and those in areas that voted Leave are sticking with Corbyn?

    If so, the rebels are just fighting the last war over again because they lost it.
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    I'm struggling to keep up with all the posts... perhaps if the losers would stop wasting so many pixels hoping for an economic collapse it would help.

    Ta muchly.
  • DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215
    DavidL said:

    Every time I refresh now I half expect to see that Corbyn has quit.

    Interesting times indeed.

    If they can get Nandy to stand I imagine the unions will call a halt to this, they will have made their point.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,046
    Pulpstar said:

    Brom said:

    TOPPING said:

    Corbyn can't be around for much longer. Labour know they have the chance to utterly destroy the Tories.

    Which Labour? And which Tories?
    Once Corbyn is ditched Labour will unite and prove a massively effective force. The Tories are now there for the taking.
    that is laughable! how will they unite with the majority of the membership spitting feathers?
    Corbyn or one of his allies will win any leadership contest with ease.
    Nandy vs McDonnell would be great for those who have just ousted Corbyn xD

    McDonnell would never get the nominations. I think Nandy would be someone that the party would unite around. To the left of me, but I'd vote Labour with her in charge. Against Boris or another lying Tory Leaver she'd have a decent chance.

  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,329
    Italian bank shares are down 27%. I am sure that this has something to do with Brexit too.

    The international markets have been looking increasingly febrile for a while. The uncertainty around how and when Brexit will be implemented (don't think whether is a runner yet) is not helping but international factors are probably the biggest players.

    So far as sterling is concerned, choosing him to play against Iceland is just nuts.
  • brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    Jobabob said:

    People on here like nunu speculating about Labour 200- etc etc fail to grasp what is happening here. About know they are utterly doomed under Corbyn so are taking their chance to destroy him. They'll sort the rest out later.

    But that's the problem. Whichever way Labour is likely to go, loony left or pro-EU internationalist, the only way is down.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822

    In all seriousness if they do there will be huge unrest. It will destroy this country politically. Given that I am one of the more moderate leavers for whom things like immigration are not an issue can you seriously imagine what would happen with all those millions of others if the decision was made to ignore the referendum? There would be bloodshed.

    I wouldn't go so far as bloodshed, but, yes, you are right. The decision has been taken and that is it. It's now up to politicians to implement the decision as well as they can. Any party which tried to sabotage the process would, rightly, be slaughtered at the polls.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,411
    TOPPING said:

    Pound plunges past Friday's lows to 31-year low of $1.3221

    Feeling a little sick yet Brexiteers?

    No.

    Markets hate change.

    Goldman Sachs assessment

    "While we do now expect the UK to enter a technical recession in the first half of 2017, it should be a mild one by historical standards."

    Given all the claims of doom by Remain prior to the vote this is much more in line with reasonable expectations.

    To be honest I am still on a high and very happy with our position right now.
    Markets love change. They hate uncertainty. So do CIOs.

    Reasonable expectations and a price worth paying = a "mild" recession next year. Did we hear that pre-vote?

    Spot on. Trouble for the markets is that the change will be a long time in coming and the uncertainty a long time in going.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,277
    DavidL said:

    The no confidence motion against Corbyn will pass but so what? Corbyn may really struggle to fill his shadow cabinet but so what? If he hangs in there he will be very difficult to shift. Labour are playing with nuclear waste at the moment. Is there a spread market on how many seats they will have after the next election?

    I think they've reached the point now where Corbyn could be removed through the formal process, long and cumbersome though it is, if he refuses to go. You would have to think that the unions must recognise the damage that the stand-off between the leadership and the MPs has done and that it cannot now be undone without a change of leader.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Pulpstar said:

    Brom said:

    TOPPING said:

    Corbyn can't be around for much longer. Labour know they have the chance to utterly destroy the Tories.

    Which Labour? And which Tories?
    Once Corbyn is ditched Labour will unite and prove a massively effective force. The Tories are now there for the taking.
    that is laughable! how will they unite with the majority of the membership spitting feathers?
    Corbyn or one of his allies will win any leadership contest with ease.
    Nandy vs McDonnell would be great for those who have just ousted Corbyn xD
    It will be Nandy vs Corbyn and Corbyn will still win narrowly. I am not sure about the £3 voters. That was a concession last time. It was actually Harriet's decision.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    edited June 2016
    nunu said:

    Jonathan said:

    Meanwhile, out in the real world things are looking bearish.

    Nah, it is project fear.
    away from the bedwetting in London, here in the Midlands the people I have spoken to today are fairly sanguine

    1. they expect a bit of froth and then it will settle down
    2. they're fairly unrepentant saying London has ignored us for ages so now they have to sit up
    3. they expect HMG ( whats left of it ) will have to now do someting to help the rest of the economy instead of always worrying about the South East or the main parties will get massacred
    Jobabob said:

    People on here like nunu speculating about Labour 200- etc etc fail to grasp what is happening here. About know they are utterly doomed under Corbyn so are taking their chance to destroy him. They'll sort the rest out later.

    The problem is if there's an early election they might not have time to sort things out.
    Quite. If the Tories have any sense they'll arrange a coronation or quick election of someone uncontroversial (May, not Johnson), declare Article 50 then go back to the People in September while Labour are all still screaming at each other.

    The result would probably be another Tory majority but with UKIP taking several dozen seats from Labour in their heartlands outside London.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,825
    edited June 2016
    DavidL said:

    Italian bank shares are down 27%. I am sure that this has something to do with Brexit too.

    The international markets have been looking increasingly febrile for a while. The uncertainty around how and when Brexit will be implemented (don't think whether is a runner yet) is not helping but international factors are probably the biggest players.

    So far as sterling is concerned, choosing him to play against Iceland is just nuts.

    according to my brother Deutsche Bank has a big week coming up and the German government is bricking it.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,307
    Another bad day to give up sniffing glue.

    If Benn & others resigned en masse 6 months ago, perhaps the Labour leadership might have turned up to cross party Remain events.

    Hell is trying to watch BBC World News Channel. Hope all of you had fun last Friday morning. Came back from holiday to find Vote Remain & Vote Leave leaflets. Trouble was I voted by post 3 weeks earlier.
  • pinkrosepinkrose Posts: 189
    Remember when Labour used to say the Tories would tear themselves apart over the EU referendum??
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,044
    MikeK said:

    Pound plunges past Friday's lows to 31-year low of $1.3221

    Feeling a little sick yet Brexiteers?

    Now who's doing Britain down?
    The "doing Britain down" meme is just a clumsy way of trying to shut down any criticism of the consequences of Brexit
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022

    Pulpstar said:

    Brom said:

    TOPPING said:

    Corbyn can't be around for much longer. Labour know they have the chance to utterly destroy the Tories.

    Which Labour? And which Tories?
    Once Corbyn is ditched Labour will unite and prove a massively effective force. The Tories are now there for the taking.
    that is laughable! how will they unite with the majority of the membership spitting feathers?
    Corbyn or one of his allies will win any leadership contest with ease.
    Nandy vs McDonnell would be great for those who have just ousted Corbyn xD

    McDonnell would never get the nominations. I think Nandy would be someone that the party would unite around. To the left of me, but I'd vote Labour with her in charge. Against Boris or another lying Tory Leaver she'd have a decent chance.

    She's frighteningly young and inexperienced for this sort of situation.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,046

    Pulpstar said:

    This is simply astonishing by Corbyn. Good to admit I have some sneaking admiration for his stubborness :D

    Indeed. Reminiscent of Thatcher's "I fight on and i fight to win". Which came immediately before she threw the towel in after her entire cabinet told her the game was up.

    Thatcher was intelligent though and did have people around her prepared to tell her the truth. Corbyn lacks both attributes. He is not very bright and surrounds himself with his fellow travellers.

  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 10,030
    OllyT said:

    MikeK said:

    Pound plunges past Friday's lows to 31-year low of $1.3221

    Feeling a little sick yet Brexiteers?

    Now who's doing Britain down?
    The "doing Britain down" meme is just a clumsy way of trying to shut down any criticism of the consequences of Brexit
    Yes, the 'doing your country down' thing has always been the last refuge of the political scoundrel.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Sandpit said:

    nunu said:

    Jonathan said:

    Meanwhile, out in the real world things are looking bearish.

    Nah, it is project fear.
    away from the bedwetting in London, here in the Midlands the people I have spoken to today are fairly sanguine

    1. they expect a bit of froth and then it will settle down
    2. they're fairly unrepentant saying London has ignored us for ages so now they have to sit up
    3. they expect HMG ( whats left of it ) will have to now do someting to help the rest of the economy instead of always worrying about the South East or the main parties will get massacred
    Jobabob said:

    People on here like nunu speculating about Labour 200- etc etc fail to grasp what is happening here. About know they are utterly doomed under Corbyn so are taking their chance to destroy him. They'll sort the rest out later.

    The problem is if there's an early election they might not have time to sort things out.
    Quite. If the Tories have any sense they'll arrange a coronation or quick election of someone uncontroversial (May, not Johnson), declare Article 50 then go back to the People in September while Labour are all still screaming at each other.

    The result would probably be another Tory majority but with UKIP taking several dozen seats from Labour in their heartlands outside London.
    I don't think UKIP will win too many seats. But , like Normanton last time, take enough votes from Labour and give it to the Tories.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,936
    I hate all you Leavers you bunch of naughty words.

    I'm being despatched to France for the rest of the week.
  • MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792
    DavidL said:

    Italian bank shares are down 27%. I am sure that this has something to do with Brexit too.

    The international markets have been looking increasingly febrile for a while. The uncertainty around how and when Brexit will be implemented (don't think whether is a runner yet) is not helping but international factors are probably the biggest players.

    So far as sterling is concerned, choosing him to play against Iceland is just nuts.

    Has Sturgeon offered to bailed them out in communitarian spirit ?
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    dr_spyn said:

    Another bad day to give up sniffing glue.

    If Benn & others resigned en masse 6 months ago, perhaps the Labour leadership might have turned up to cross party Remain events.

    Hell is trying to watch BBC World News Channel. Hope all of you had fun last Friday morning. Came back from holiday to find Vote Remain & Vote Leave leaflets. Trouble was I voted by post 3 weeks earlier.

    Hell is trying to keep MPs' wikipedia biographies up to date.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Chillax guys...

    @SamCoatesTimes: A plan for Brexit? No, not yet. Vote Leave's Matthew Elliott tells CNBC key players need "to go on holiday" first. https://t.co/pBx4eijMyb
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Sandpit said:

    nunu said:

    Jonathan said:

    Meanwhile, out in the real world things are looking bearish.

    Nah, it is project fear.
    away from the bedwetting in London, here in the Midlands the people I have spoken to today are fairly sanguine

    1. they expect a bit of froth and then it will settle down
    2. they're fairly unrepentant saying London has ignored us for ages so now they have to sit up
    3. they expect HMG ( whats left of it ) will have to now do someting to help the rest of the economy instead of always worrying about the South East or the main parties will get massacred
    Jobabob said:

    People on here like nunu speculating about Labour 200- etc etc fail to grasp what is happening here. About know they are utterly doomed under Corbyn so are taking their chance to destroy him. They'll sort the rest out later.

    The problem is if there's an early election they might not have time to sort things out.
    Quite. If the Tories have any sense they'll arrange a coronation or quick election of someone uncontroversial (May, not Johnson), declare Article 50 then go back to the People in September while Labour are all still screaming at each other.

    The result would probably be another Tory majority but with UKIP taking several dozen seats from Labour in their heartlands outside London.
    Act in haste, repent at leisure. I want the Tories to elect a leader - not knee-jerk one.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 30,021

    I hate all you Leavers you bunch of naughty words.

    I'm being despatched to France for the rest of the week.

    By whom?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @owenjbennett: Angela Eagle, John Healey, Owen Smith and Lisa Nandy are about to resign after meeting with Corbyn. Drafting letters now.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    £ about to go below €1.20
  • IcarusIcarus Posts: 1,010

    murali_s said:

    Pound plunges past Friday's lows to 31-year low of $1.3221

    Feeling a little sick yet Brexiteers?

    No.

    Markets hate change.

    Goldman Sachs assessment

    "While we do now expect the UK to enter a technical recession in the first half of 2017, it should be a mild one by historical standards."

    Given all the claims of doom by Remain prior to the vote this is much more in line with reasonable expectations.

    To be honest I am still on a high and very happy with our position right now.
    ...but for how long Richard, how long?

    Your victorious Leave team have already kicked Article 50 into the long grass - is it going to stay there forever?
    In all seriousness if they do there will be huge unrest. It will destroy this country politically. Given that I am one of the more moderate leavers for whom things like immigration are not an issue can you seriously imagine what would happen with all those millions of others if the decision was made to ignore the referendum? There would be bloodshed.
    RIP Jo Cox - surely not forgotten already?
  • DadgeDadge Posts: 2,052

    Jonathan said:

    Meanwhile, out in the real world things are looking bearish.

    Nah, it is project fear.
    away from the bedwetting in London, here in the Midlands the people I have spoken to today are fairly sanguine

    1. they expect a bit of froth and then it will settle down
    2. they're fairly unrepentant saying London has ignored us for ages so now they have to sit up
    3. they expect HMG ( whats left of it ) will have to now do someting to help the rest of the economy instead of always worrying about the South East or the main parties will get massacred
    They'll soon be choking on their popcorn.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,329

    DavidL said:

    Italian bank shares are down 27%. I am sure that this has something to do with Brexit too.

    The international markets have been looking increasingly febrile for a while. The uncertainty around how and when Brexit will be implemented (don't think whether is a runner yet) is not helping but international factors are probably the biggest players.

    So far as sterling is concerned, choosing him to play against Iceland is just nuts.

    according to my brother Deutsche Bank has a big week coming up and the German government is bricking it.
    Continental banks are in an even worse way than ours. There is a real risk of a repeat of 2008.
  • eekeek Posts: 30,002

    DavidL said:

    Italian bank shares are down 27%. I am sure that this has something to do with Brexit too.

    The international markets have been looking increasingly febrile for a while. The uncertainty around how and when Brexit will be implemented (don't think whether is a runner yet) is not helping but international factors are probably the biggest players.

    So far as sterling is concerned, choosing him to play against Iceland is just nuts.

    according to my brother Deutsche Bank has a big week coming up and the German government is bricking it.
    Deutsche Bank is basically RBS x 10... It's going to go and when it does Germany will have to pick up the mess by itself...
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Pulpstar said:

    Brom said:

    TOPPING said:

    Corbyn can't be around for much longer. Labour know they have the chance to utterly destroy the Tories.

    Which Labour? And which Tories?
    Once Corbyn is ditched Labour will unite and prove a massively effective force. The Tories are now there for the taking.
    that is laughable! how will they unite with the majority of the membership spitting feathers?
    Corbyn or one of his allies will win any leadership contest with ease.
    Nandy vs McDonnell would be great for those who have just ousted Corbyn xD

    McDonnell would never get the nominations. I think Nandy would be someone that the party would unite around. To the left of me, but I'd vote Labour with her in charge. Against Boris or another lying Tory Leaver she'd have a decent chance.

    Nandy is only a wee slip of a girl at just 36 years of age. Need someone older with more experience surely?
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    Pulpstar said:

    Brom said:

    TOPPING said:

    Corbyn can't be around for much longer. Labour know they have the chance to utterly destroy the Tories.

    Which Labour? And which Tories?
    Once Corbyn is ditched Labour will unite and prove a massively effective force. The Tories are now there for the taking.
    that is laughable! how will they unite with the majority of the membership spitting feathers?
    Corbyn or one of his allies will win any leadership contest with ease.
    Nandy vs McDonnell would be great for those who have just ousted Corbyn xD

    McDonnell would never get the nominations. I think Nandy would be someone that the party would unite around. To the left of me, but I'd vote Labour with her in charge. Against Boris or another lying Tory Leaver she'd have a decent chance.

    She's frighteningly young and inexperienced for this sort of situation.
    Lisa Nandy never went to Oxbridge, which will damn her in the eyes of the Establishment.
This discussion has been closed.