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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The voters’ misconceptions could win this for Leave
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The voters’ misconceptions could win this for Leave
This one of my favourite bits of regular polling. Ipsos Mori have compared the perceptions of the voters to the reality. As we can see the voters’ think there’s more EU citizens here than there actually are. This might explain why Leave are focussing so heavily on immigration in the final few weeks.
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I love his opening debate line that he would like to be made redundant, has any politician ever said that before?
It's almost as if banging on about getting down migration has led people to believe migration should be lower
http://www.andy4mayor.co.uk/index.php/com-kunena/com-kunena-category-manager/blogs/317-20-years-on-from-the-manchester-bomb-security-challenges-then-and-now
Burnham hasn't a clue.
https://www.buzzfeed.com/hilarywardle/can-you-guess-the-uk-politician-from-their-awkward-childhood
*sighs* Grand Admiral Thrawn should've been the antagonist in the new trilogy. At least he had a strategy that didn't involve building a Death Star.
The eleven victims of Canada's "Wall of Champions"
http://www.formula1.com/content/fom-website/en/latest/features/2016/6/watch--11-infamous-crashes-at-canadas-wall-of-champions.html
Very rarely visit the F1 website. I think the only time this year was for the Azerbaijan circuit diagram (as a Twitter person observed, it looks a bit like an old-fashioned razorblade).
There is a by-election in Basildon tonight, in a Labour-held County Division, where UKIP just finished ahead in May. It will be interesting to see if locals treat this as part of the Referendum.
And yet they continue to walk into the withering fire regardless....
However, that may be reduced to 7 years if an integration course is successfully completed, and to 6 years for especially good German language skills or participation in voluntary or community work.
http://www.bundesauslaenderbeauftragte.de/einbuergerung.html
It will take hours at most for the European Unionists to go back to hating each other if Remain prevails.
"They say Remain has so much propaganda it will blot out the sun."
"Then we shall campaign in the shade."
Nsfw.
http://tinyurl.com/zw9xem4
You are getting lazy in your old age.
Where's the thread about Sir John Nott??
F-A-C-T-S, not propaganda,
This is a thread that will endure the ages
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/09/how-the-sarah-wollaston-conspiracy-theory-proves-david-cameron-i/
Trains were (until last week!) every 15 minutes.
"Hand over your votes or face the consequences"
"Molon Labe"
Ah, classical history can teach us so much. The EU are handling the skeptics with as much eptitude as Valens displayed when dealing with Fritigern (this is especially for you Mr Dancer, it's both earlier and later than my normal historical stamping grounds).
I hope you're all proud of yourselves.
The man may have just lost his party
Mr. M, that is a brilliant historical analogy. As an aside, Fritigern is also the name a central character in Journey to Altmortis (a book I wrote, with pretty good reviews). If you know that period well, another character's name can give a clue to a plot twist (I was reading Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire whilst writing it, so used especially obscure names).
Sunil: [to himself: thinking] "Earth and water"?
[He unsheathes and points his sword at TSE's throat]
TSE: Madman! You're a madman!
Sunil: Earth and water? You'll find plenty of both down there.[referring to the well behind TSE]
TSE: No man, LEAVER or REMAINER, no man threatens a lawyer!
Sunil: You bring the ashes and ruins of conquered economies to our city steps. You insult my farmers and fishermen. You threaten the UK with slavery and death! Oh, I've chosen my words carefully, Traitor Pig-Dog Lawyer! Perhaps you should have done the same!
TSE: This is blasphemy! This is madness!
Sunil: Madness...? This is BREXIT!
[He kicks poor TSE down the well]
Sure it's not Vichy?
Looking at his now 6 years in power he has left little of significance behind him. Some referendums but none of them really settled, a weak economy and a list of reforms he could have undertaken but lacked the purpose to do so.
When I first became convinced that the UK would be a better place outside the EU my view was probably held by less than 10% of the people I knew and was certainly very much a minority position. It is now mainstream and one held by a significant minority and maybe, who knows, a majority of the people who will vote later this month.
It has taken 20 years to get where we are today, given the trajectories, I think progress will be faster in the future. We are moving into a situation, perhaps, where we have an elite of rich people trying to hold the lid on a project that benefits them. I doubt that is sustainable over the longer term.
Furthermore this is not just a UK thing, we are merely in the vanguard. Look at what is happening elsewhere (France, Greece, Italy, Germany, the Netherlands).
A bird has earned the nickname Gullfrazie after turning bright orange when he plunged into a vat of chicken tikka masala.
The seagull fell into a container of curry while trying to scavenge meat from a food factory bin on Monday.
http://www.itv.com/news/2016-06-09/seagull-turns-bright-orange-after-falling-in-a-vat-of-chicken-tikka-masala/
New state of parties:
Con 245, Lab 210, LD 108, Crossbench 173
That makes Con down 5 in last two months - 3 retirements, 2 on leave of absence (though Lord Bates should return after walking across Brazil).
@sarahwollaston: To be clear, 1.I have not asked for or been offered any Govt post 2.I have not deleted any of my EU tweets 3. I am not auditioning for 007
The longer they try to keep the lid on the more bigger the blow up when the pressure bursts.
I've gone for Germany at 9/2
And Lewandoski and Lukaku as top goalscorers at 18/1 and 20/1
Else. Belike.
How do you fancy those fabulous French birds?
https://www.1843magazine.com/features/the-daily/how-i-used-maths-to-beat-the-bookies
DUP MP Nigel Dodds
“Surely this is the most irresponsible talk that can be perpetuated in terms of Northern Ireland – very dangerous, destabilising and it should not be happening,”
In a marked escalation of attacks on the Ukip leader and by extension the entire leave campaign, the chancellor singled out Farage for representing a “mean-spirited, narrow and divisive” vision of Britain. He said that “tendency” was now coming to dominate the anti-EU campaign.
Speaking to reporters on a campaign visit to a Scottish sheep and beef farm with Scottish Tory leader Ruth Davidson, Osborne said:
The Nigel Farage tendency is taking over their argument and you’re increasingly getting this Farage vision of Britain, with all this talk of bodies washing up the sea shores and women being at risk of sexual assault from migrants.
It is pretty disgusting. And we want to say no to it. We want to say that is not the country we are. We’re a country that is big and bold and strong, and united, and we want to say no to this mean-spirited, divisive, negative view of Britain that you get from Nigel Farage and company.
http://tinyurl.com/IAgreeWithGeorge
"The longer they try to keep the lid on the more bigger the blow up when the pressure bursts."
I don't want to see a big blow up, let us go now while an amicable separation is still a matter of politics and not molotov cocktails on the streets (see Greece and France for the latest examples).