Even now, I don't understand how Zac got the Tory nomination or what he ever had going for him.
Blond old Etonians have served the Tories well in London befora snd Zac had built up good reputation as a constituency MP. His result in 2015 was really excellent.
Even now, I don't understand how Zac got the Tory nomination or what he ever had going for him.
Blond old Etonians have served the Tories well in London befora snd Zac had built up good reputation as a constituency MP. His result in 2015 was really excellent.
You certainly have a point there Mike, but as regards Richmond ..... if one were newly arrived from Mars, it would be difficult to conceive of a more Tory looking constituency than this ultra well-heeled part of SW London, other than perhaps its namesake in North Yorkshire!
London is an urban Labour bastion. You wouldn't expect a Tory Mayor of Manchester or Liverpool or Newcastle. That Boris infiltrated himself in is a measure of how remarkable his personal appeal extended.
I'm also expecting some remarkable levels of vote harvesting for the Great Khan in parts of inner London, based on the expectation of the resulting, er, patronage that helping secure his tenure will bring certain "community leaders".
Well given Livingstone has finally been thrown out (albeit temporarily until the dust settles) I guess that leaves Lady Colonel Thornberry to throw out Trident on her own form Labours defence review
Well given Livingstone has finally been thrown out (albeit temporarily until the dust settles) I guess that leaves Lady Colonel Thornberry to throw out Trident on her own form Labours defence review
Ken will be back off the Naughty Step well before that document is laid in front of the public.
His mate Jeremy will see to it. No crime is so great as to get in the way of delivering unilateral nuclear disarmament...
If one is allowed to stray for a moment away from the outcome of the London Mayoral election, which is very much a foregone conclusion anyway, I wonder whether it is worth considering the "Only a heartbeat away" aspect as regards the upcoming POTUS election in November. Without wishing to become too morbid about such matters, I think it's worthwhile considering the fact that unusually the two leading candidates are both nearing their seventies, with Hillary celebrating her 69th birthday in October and The Donald reaching the big Seven-0 in a few weeks time. Leaving aside their respective closest challengers, Bernie Sanders, himself 75 years of age come September, priced at 75 to become the next POTUS and Ted Cruz on offer at 42, neither of whom look particularly likely to succeed were circumstances to offer them such an opportunity. Look beyond this pair and the odds become really wild with the next nearest Democrat being Joe Biden on offer with Betfair at 250, with John Kasich the nearest Republican contender priced at 220. Continue down the list of possible contenders and one quickly reaches almost four figure odds. Of course this is all very much a very remote possibility, but purely in terms of buying very cheap insurance it might be worth considering investing a few bob in a handful of outsiders available at such crazy odds. Thus far, based on some impressive polling match-ups against Hillary, I've limited myself to a couple of quid on Governor Kasich. DYOR.
Well given Livingstone has finally been thrown out (albeit temporarily until the dust settles) I guess that leaves Lady Colonel Thornberry to throw out Trident on her own form Labours defence review
Ken will be back off the Naughty Step well before that document is laid in front of the public.
His mate Jeremy will see to it. No crime is so great as to get in the way of delivering unilateral nuclear disarmament...
You may check these dates and seismic histories for yourself if you wish. MARCH 11, 2011 - JAPAN 9.0 SEPTEMBER 15, 2011 - FIJI 7.3 MARCH 21, 2012 - OAXACA, MEXICO 7.4 SEPTEMBER 25, 2012 - BAJA CALIFORNIA 6.3 APRIL 1, 2013 - JAPAN 6.0 OCTOBER 6, 2013 - WEST CHILE RISE 6.2 APRIL 12, 2014 - SOLOMON ISLANDS 7.6 OCTOBER 17, 2014 - EL SALVADOR 7.3 (actual: OCT 14) APRIL 23, 2015 - NEPAL 7.8 (actual: APR 25) Future Cycle Dates: OCTOBER 28, 2015 MAY 3, 2016 NOVEMBER 7, 2016 MAY 14, 2017
This has got so much WRONG in it I don't know where to start! I was sitting in my house here in the Philippines when the Bohol Earthquake on October 15th 2013 shook us for over a minute and did major damage to a number of buildings near me (I am 50 miles from the epicentre) and leveled quite a lot of buildings nearer to the centre, It measures 7.2 on the scale, inexplicably that one is missing from your list, maybe it doesn't fit the cycle, or perhaps people got confused by Category 5 super typhoon that arrived three weeks later. http://www.phivolcs.dost.gov.ph/html/update_SOEPD/2013_Earthquake_Bulletins/October/2013_1015_0012_B3F.html
Look at it with a worldwide perspective, just yesterday there was 28 earthquakes of significant magnitude, including one north of Vanuatu that was a 7.0, that seems to be missing from your list as well. http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/
Even now, I don't understand how Zac got the Tory nomination or what he ever had going for him.
Blond old Etonians have served the Tories well in London befora snd Zac had built up good reputation as a constituency MP. His result in 2015 was really excellent.
You certainly have a point there Mike, but as regards Richmond ..... if one were newly arrived from Mars, it would be difficult to conceive of a more Tory looking constituency than this ultra well-heeled part of SW London, other than perhaps its namesake in North Yorkshire!
Yes, Zac is almost ideally suited as a candidate for Richmond: posh, well-heeled, polite but also very green and right-on.
Even now, I don't understand how Zac got the Tory nomination or what he ever had going for him.
Blond old Etonians have served the Tories well in London befora snd Zac had built up good reputation as a constituency MP. His result in 2015 was really excellent.
You certainly have a point there Mike, but as regards Richmond ..... if one were newly arrived from Mars, it would be difficult to conceive of a more Tory looking constituency than this ultra well-heeled part of SW London, other than perhaps its namesake in North Yorkshire!
Yes, Zac is almost ideally suited as a candidate for Richmond: posh, well-heeled, polite but also very green and right-on.
Even now, I don't understand how Zac got the Tory nomination or what he ever had going for him.
Blond old Etonians have served the Tories well in London befora snd Zac had built up good reputation as a constituency MP. His result in 2015 was really excellent.
You certainly have a point there Mike, but as regards Richmond ..... if one were newly arrived from Mars, it would be difficult to conceive of a more Tory looking constituency than this ultra well-heeled part of SW London, other than perhaps its namesake in North Yorkshire!
Yes, Zac is almost ideally suited as a candidate for Richmond: posh, well-heeled, polite but also very green and right-on.
Yet it was held by the LibDems from 1979-2010.
1997, not 1979. There were a lot of seats which were naturally Tory that fell to other parties that year.
Even now, I don't understand how Zac got the Tory nomination or what he ever had going for him.
Blond old Etonians have served the Tories well in London befora snd Zac had built up good reputation as a constituency MP. His result in 2015 was really excellent.
You certainly have a point there Mike, but as regards Richmond ..... if one were newly arrived from Mars, it would be difficult to conceive of a more Tory looking constituency than this ultra well-heeled part of SW London, other than perhaps its namesake in North Yorkshire!
Yes, Zac is almost ideally suited as a candidate for Richmond: posh, well-heeled, polite but also very green and right-on.
Yet it was held by the LibDems from 1979-2010.
By a Lib Dem that was posh, polite, right-on and green, there is a common theme here, respectably rich one would assume given her and her husband's interests although clearly not in the Goldsmith/Rothschild league.
Even now, I don't understand how Zac got the Tory nomination or what he ever had going for him.
Blond old Etonians have served the Tories well in London befora snd Zac had built up good reputation as a constituency MP. His result in 2015 was really excellent.
You certainly have a point there Mike, but as regards Richmond ..... if one were newly arrived from Mars, it would be difficult to conceive of a more Tory looking constituency than this ultra well-heeled part of SW London, other than perhaps its namesake in North Yorkshire!
Yes, Zac is almost ideally suited as a candidate for Richmond: posh, well-heeled, polite but also very green and right-on.
Yet it was held by the LibDems from 1979-2010.
Undoubtedly one of Life's great mysteries ..... but then again the Yellow team also held sway in both mega affluent Wimbledon and Guildford, although I suspect those days are now long gone.
Looks to me like in the absence of any overriding personality factors, the electorate is reverting to default party positions. Which means that Sadiq will win.
With the next election due on general election day, he'll win re-election too, barring an almighty cock-up (which I don't expect), or him voluntarily standing down in order to run for parliament, which I also don't expect because to do so and to stand for parliament would be to anticipate a leadership election after a Labour defeat and so cause all sorts of PR problems.
You may check these dates and seismic histories for yourself if you wish. MARCH 11, 2011 - JAPAN 9.0 SEPTEMBER 15, 2011 - FIJI 7.3 MARCH 21, 2012 - OAXACA, MEXICO 7.4 SEPTEMBER 25, 2012 - BAJA CALIFORNIA 6.3 APRIL 1, 2013 - JAPAN 6.0 OCTOBER 6, 2013 - WEST CHILE RISE 6.2 APRIL 12, 2014 - SOLOMON ISLANDS 7.6 OCTOBER 17, 2014 - EL SALVADOR 7.3 (actual: OCT 14) APRIL 23, 2015 - NEPAL 7.8 (actual: APR 25) Future Cycle Dates: OCTOBER 28, 2015 MAY 3, 2016 NOVEMBER 7, 2016 MAY 14, 2017
This has got so much WRONG in it I don't know where to start! I was sitting in my house here in the Philippines when the Bohol Earthquake on October 15th 2013 shook us for over a minute and did major damage to a number of buildings near me (I am 50 miles from the epicentre) and leveled quite a lot of buildings nearer to the centre, It measures 7.2 on the scale, inexplicably that one is missing from your list, maybe it doesn't fit the cycle, or perhaps people got confused by Category 5 super typhoon that arrived three weeks later. http://www.phivolcs.dost.gov.ph/html/update_SOEPD/2013_Earthquake_Bulletins/October/2013_1015_0012_B3F.html
Look at it with a worldwide perspective, just yesterday there was 28 earthquakes of significant magnitude, including one north of Vanuatu that was a 7.0, that seems to be missing from your list as well. http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/
Hunchman has an obsession with clockwork cycles and tealeaf reading for human events. I'm not surprised he's carried it across to the natural world too.
London is an urban Labour bastion. You wouldn't expect a Tory Mayor of Manchester or Liverpool or Newcastle. That Boris infiltrated himself in is a measure of how remarkable his personal appeal extended.
Don't write off Boris as Tory leader just yet. He has appeal cross party lines, apparently a buffoon but intelligent and self deprecating. A populist with a way with words and a way with the media. And from what I can see the Tory grass roots love him.
Compared to some of the other viable options touted such as May (psychotic) or Hammond (like Major minus the personality) he might actually have a chance of connectino with the electorate.
London is an urban Labour bastion. You wouldn't expect a Tory Mayor of Manchester or Liverpool or Newcastle. That Boris infiltrated himself in is a measure of how remarkable his personal appeal extended.
Don't write off Boris as Tory leader just yet. He has appeal cross party lines, apparently a buffoon but intelligent and self deprecating. A populist with a way with words and a way with the media. And from what I can see the Tory grass roots love him.
Compared to some of the other viable options touted such as May (psychotic) or Hammond (like Major minus the personality) he might actually have a chance of connectino with the electorate.
But before he gets to the general electorate, he has to appeal to (1) Tory MPs and (2) Tory members. Besides, after a decade or so of his antics, I wonder whether the appeal is waring off a little with the public, never mind the smaller electorates?
Either this poll is wrong or Sadiq Khan is going to win at a canter.
Yesterday's developments would not by themselves cause 10% of the electorate to change their votes.
Indeed a significant portion of the London electorate is not too bothered by anti-semitism, and those that are were probably going to vote Goldsmith anyway.
Sadiq being the most electorally successful Labour figure, with a London powerbase to boot, does look good as next Labour leader if he can contrive to keep his seat in Parliament.
London is an urban Labour bastion. You wouldn't expect a Tory Mayor of Manchester or Liverpool or Newcastle. That Boris infiltrated himself in is a measure of how remarkable his personal appeal extended.
Don't write off Boris as Tory leader just yet. He has appeal cross party lines, apparently a buffoon but intelligent and self deprecating. A populist with a way with words and a way with the media. And from what I can see the Tory grass roots love him.
Compared to some of the other viable options touted such as May (psychotic) or Hammond (like Major minus the personality) he might actually have a chance of connectino with the electorate.
But before he gets to the general electorate, he has to appeal to (1) Tory MPs and (2) Tory members. Besides, after a decade or so of his antics, I wonder whether the appeal is waring off a little with the public, never mind the smaller electorates?
Whoever first put forward Boris for Mayor of London was a genius. It was a superb meshing of the man and the role.
However, Boris's presence seemed to do little or nothing in helping the Conservatives in marginal Westminster seats across London during his tenure.
You may check these dates and seismic histories for yourself if you wish. MARCH 11, 2011 - JAPAN 9.0 SEPTEMBER 15, 2011 - FIJI 7.3 MARCH 21, 2012 - OAXACA, MEXICO 7.4 SEPTEMBER 25, 2012 - BAJA CALIFORNIA 6.3 APRIL 1, 2013 - JAPAN 6.0 OCTOBER 6, 2013 - WEST CHILE RISE 6.2 APRIL 12, 2014 - SOLOMON ISLANDS 7.6 OCTOBER 17, 2014 - EL SALVADOR 7.3 (actual: OCT 14) APRIL 23, 2015 - NEPAL 7.8 (actual: APR 25) Future Cycle Dates: OCTOBER 28, 2015 MAY 3, 2016 NOVEMBER 7, 2016 MAY 14, 2017
This has got so much WRONG in it I don't know where to start! I was sitting in my house here in the Philippines when the Bohol Earthquake on October 15th 2013 shook us for over a minute and did major damage to a number of buildings near me (I am 50 miles from the epicentre) and leveled quite a lot of buildings nearer to the centre, It measures 7.2 on the scale, inexplicably that one is missing from your list, maybe it doesn't fit the cycle, or perhaps people got confused by Category 5 super typhoon that arrived three weeks later. http://www.phivolcs.dost.gov.ph/html/update_SOEPD/2013_Earthquake_Bulletins/October/2013_1015_0012_B3F.html
Look at it with a worldwide perspective, just yesterday there was 28 earthquakes of significant magnitude, including one north of Vanuatu that was a 7.0, that seems to be missing from your list as well. http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/
Hunchman has an obsession with clockwork cycles and tealeaf reading for human events. I'm not surprised he's carried it across to the natural world too.
You're giving him more credit than he deserves. Its all conspiracy theory 101. I understand that all earthquakes are planned on a global basis from a small basement in Finchley Road by lizards disguised as David Cameron's father.
You may check these dates and seismic histories for yourself if you wish. MARCH 11, 2011 - JAPAN 9.0 SEPTEMBER 15, 2011 - FIJI 7.3 MARCH 21, 2012 - OAXACA, MEXICO 7.4 SEPTEMBER 25, 2012 - BAJA CALIFORNIA 6.3 APRIL 1, 2013 - JAPAN 6.0 OCTOBER 6, 2013 - WEST CHILE RISE 6.2 APRIL 12, 2014 - SOLOMON ISLANDS 7.6 OCTOBER 17, 2014 - EL SALVADOR 7.3 (actual: OCT 14) APRIL 23, 2015 - NEPAL 7.8 (actual: APR 25) Future Cycle Dates: OCTOBER 28, 2015 MAY 3, 2016 NOVEMBER 7, 2016 MAY 14, 2017
This has got so much WRONG in it I don't know where to start! I was sitting in my house here in the Philippines when the Bohol Earthquake on October 15th 2013 shook us for over a minute and did major damage to a number of buildings near me (I am 50 miles from the epicentre) and leveled quite a lot of buildings nearer to the centre, It measures 7.2 on the scale, inexplicably that one is missing from your list, maybe it doesn't fit the cycle, or perhaps people got confused by Category 5 super typhoon that arrived three weeks later. http://www.phivolcs.dost.gov.ph/html/update_SOEPD/2013_Earthquake_Bulletins/October/2013_1015_0012_B3F.html
Look at it with a worldwide perspective, just yesterday there was 28 earthquakes of significant magnitude, including one north of Vanuatu that was a 7.0, that seems to be missing from your list as well. http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/
It (and chartism in investments) is really very like astrology. If you look really hard, with a bit of a squint and a generous interpretation there is a bit of a pattern, maybe. If you ignore any facts that don't fit of course.
Even now, I don't understand how Zac got the Tory nomination or what he ever had going for him.
Blond old Etonians have served the Tories well in London befora snd Zac had built up good reputation as a constituency MP. His result in 2015 was really excellent.
You certainly have a point there Mike, but as regards Richmond ..... if one were newly arrived from Mars, it would be difficult to conceive of a more Tory looking constituency than this ultra well-heeled part of SW London, other than perhaps its namesake in North Yorkshire!
Yes, Zac is almost ideally suited as a candidate for Richmond: posh, well-heeled, polite but also very green and right-on.
Yet it was held by the LibDems from 1979-2010.
Yes, until Zac took it. But that's not quite right: Richmond and Barnes (its predecessor) was Tory in the 80s and up until 1997.
Lots of wealthy urban middle-class suburbs went Lib Dem in the 1990s.
@GOsborneGenius: @Maomentum_ Jeremy has bravely led the campaign for equal treatment of anti-Semites for 30 years.It is outrageous that anyone questions this
You may check these dates and seismic histories for yourself if you wish. MARCH 11, 2011 - JAPAN 9.0 SEPTEMBER 15, 2011 - FIJI 7.3 MARCH 21, 2012 - OAXACA, MEXICO 7.4 SEPTEMBER 25, 2012 - BAJA CALIFORNIA 6.3 APRIL 1, 2013 - JAPAN 6.0 OCTOBER 6, 2013 - WEST CHILE RISE 6.2 APRIL 12, 2014 - SOLOMON ISLANDS 7.6 OCTOBER 17, 2014 - EL SALVADOR 7.3 (actual: OCT 14) APRIL 23, 2015 - NEPAL 7.8 (actual: APR 25) Future Cycle Dates: OCTOBER 28, 2015 MAY 3, 2016 NOVEMBER 7, 2016 MAY 14, 2017
This has got so much WRONG in it I don't know where to start! I was sitting in my house here in the Philippines when the Bohol Earthquake on October 15th 2013 shook us for over a minute and did major damage to a number of buildings near me (I am 50 miles from the epicentre) and leveled quite a lot of buildings nearer to the centre, It measures 7.2 on the scale, inexplicably that one is missing from your list, maybe it doesn't fit the cycle, or perhaps people got confused by Category 5 super typhoon that arrived three weeks later. http://www.phivolcs.dost.gov.ph/html/update_SOEPD/2013_Earthquake_Bulletins/October/2013_1015_0012_B3F.html
Look at it with a worldwide perspective, just yesterday there was 28 earthquakes of significant magnitude, including one north of Vanuatu that was a 7.0, that seems to be missing from your list as well. http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/
It (and chartism in investments) is really very like astrology. If you look really hard, with a bit of a squint and a generous interpretation there is a bit of a pattern, maybe. If you ignore any facts that don't fit of course.
Sounds like the work of certain climatologists of email fame
You may check these dates and seismic histories for yourself if you wish. MARCH 11, 2011 - JAPAN 9.0 SEPTEMBER 15, 2011 - FIJI 7.3 MARCH 21, 2012 - OAXACA, MEXICO 7.4 SEPTEMBER 25, 2012 - BAJA CALIFORNIA 6.3 APRIL 1, 2013 - JAPAN 6.0 OCTOBER 6, 2013 - WEST CHILE RISE 6.2 APRIL 12, 2014 - SOLOMON ISLANDS 7.6 OCTOBER 17, 2014 - EL SALVADOR 7.3 (actual: OCT 14) APRIL 23, 2015 - NEPAL 7.8 (actual: APR 25) Future Cycle Dates: OCTOBER 28, 2015 MAY 3, 2016 NOVEMBER 7, 2016 MAY 14, 2017
This has got so much WRONG in it I don't know where to start! I was sitting in my house here in the Philippines when the Bohol Earthquake on October 15th 2013 shook us for over a minute and did major damage to a number of buildings near me (I am 50 miles from the epicentre) and leveled quite a lot of buildings nearer to the centre, It measures 7.2 on the scale, inexplicably that one is missing from your list, maybe it doesn't fit the cycle, or perhaps people got confused by Category 5 super typhoon that arrived three weeks later. http://www.phivolcs.dost.gov.ph/html/update_SOEPD/2013_Earthquake_Bulletins/October/2013_1015_0012_B3F.html
Look at it with a worldwide perspective, just yesterday there was 28 earthquakes of significant magnitude, including one north of Vanuatu that was a 7.0, that seems to be missing from your list as well. http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/
It (and chartism in investments) is really very like astrology. If you look really hard, with a bit of a squint and a generous interpretation there is a bit of a pattern, maybe. If you ignore any facts that don't fit of course.
Sounds like the work of certain climatologists of email fame
Still snowing. (I know, I know, just weather). Journey to work looks so appetising that I am tempted to stay here for a while.
Always worth remembering who Boris beat. It was a bloke called Ken Livingstone. You may have seen him on the news yesterday. He is not to everyone's taste.
London is an urban Labour bastion. You wouldn't expect a Tory Mayor of Manchester or Liverpool or Newcastle. That Boris infiltrated himself in is a measure of how remarkable his personal appeal extended.
Don't write off Boris as Tory leader just yet. He has appeal cross party lines, apparently a buffoon but intelligent and self deprecating. A populist with a way with words and a way with the media. And from what I can see the Tory grass roots love him.
Compared to some of the other viable options touted such as May (psychotic) or Hammond (like Major minus the personality) he might actually have a chance of connectino with the electorate.
But before he gets to the general electorate, he has to appeal to (1) Tory MPs and (2) Tory members. Besides, after a decade or so of his antics, I wonder whether the appeal is waring off a little with the public, never mind the smaller electorates?
Whoever first put forward Boris for Mayor of London was a genius. It was a superb meshing of the man and the role.
However, Boris's presence seemed to do little or nothing in helping the Conservatives in marginal Westminster seats across London during his tenure.
There was a post from Ipsos MORI last night which showed how striking was the degree of correlation between the proportion of White people in any given ward in London and Boris Johnson's support. I imagine that correlation will apply to Zac Goldsmith, but running about 10% below the level of support that Boris got. The only wards that buck this trend are Kenton in Brent, and a number of wards in Harrow and Barnet.
Even now, I don't understand how Zac got the Tory nomination or what he ever had going for him.
I share your bemusement. Whatever he has I never got it.
Neither did I. The alternatives were pretty piss-poor too, so best of a feeble field.
The odd thing is Boris probably could have stayed as the MoL until he retired if he wanted to, and yet has a pretty small chance of being PM because he is keeping such a low profit in the EU referendum. The problem in the referendum of course is he doesn't believe in it, so he has no passion, and is not driven enough to take risks. Boris isn't a Leaver or a Remainer, he's a Boriser.
London is an urban Labour bastion. You wouldn't expect a Tory Mayor of Manchester or Liverpool or Newcastle. That Boris infiltrated himself in is a measure of how remarkable his personal appeal extended.
Don't write off Boris as Tory leader just yet. He has appeal cross party lines, apparently a buffoon but intelligent and self deprecating. A populist with a way with words and a way with the media. And from what I can see the Tory grass roots love him.
Compared to some of the other viable options touted such as May (psychotic) or Hammond (like Major minus the personality) he might actually have a chance of connectino with the electorate.
But before he gets to the general electorate, he has to appeal to (1) Tory MPs and (2) Tory members. Besides, after a decade or so of his antics, I wonder whether the appeal is waring off a little with the public, never mind the smaller electorates?
Whoever first put forward Boris for Mayor of London was a genius. It was a superb meshing of the man and the role.
However, Boris's presence seemed to do little or nothing in helping the Conservatives in marginal Westminster seats across London during his tenure.
You may check these dates and seismic histories for yourself if you wish. MARCH 11, 2011 - JAPAN 9.0 SEPTEMBER 15, 2011 - FIJI 7.3 MARCH 21, 2012 - OAXACA, MEXICO 7.4 SEPTEMBER 25, 2012 - BAJA CALIFORNIA 6.3 APRIL 1, 2013 - JAPAN 6.0 OCTOBER 6, 2013 - WEST CHILE RISE 6.2 APRIL 12, 2014 - SOLOMON ISLANDS 7.6 OCTOBER 17, 2014 - EL SALVADOR 7.3 (actual: OCT 14) APRIL 23, 2015 - NEPAL 7.8 (actual: APR 25) Future Cycle Dates: OCTOBER 28, 2015 MAY 3, 2016 NOVEMBER 7, 2016 MAY 14, 2017
This has got so much WRONG in it I don't know where to start! I was sitting in my house here in the Philippines when the Bohol Earthquake on October 15th 2013 shook us for over a minute and did major damage to a number of buildings near me (I am 50 miles from the epicentre) and leveled quite a lot of buildings nearer to the centre, It measures 7.2 on the scale, inexplicably that one is missing from your list, maybe it doesn't fit the cycle, or perhaps people got confused by Category 5 super typhoon that arrived three weeks later. http://www.phivolcs.dost.gov.ph/html/update_SOEPD/2013_Earthquake_Bulletins/October/2013_1015_0012_B3F.html
Look at it with a worldwide perspective, just yesterday there was 28 earthquakes of significant magnitude, including one north of Vanuatu that was a 7.0, that seems to be missing from your list as well. http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/
Hunchman has an obsession with clockwork cycles and tealeaf reading for human events. I'm not surprised he's carried it across to the natural world too.
You're giving him more credit than he deserves. Its all conspiracy theory 101. I understand that all earthquakes are planned on a global basis from a small basement in Finchley Road by lizards disguised as David Cameron's father.
What is the pattern? All I can see is a load of dates.
Always worth remembering who Boris beat. It was a bloke called Ken Livingstone. You may have seen him on the news yesterday. He is not to everyone's taste.
Indeed, although Livingstone unlike Boris is (or was) a natural politician, and like Boris is a natural self-publicist, although even he may have got a little more publicity than was strictly wise recently!
You may check these dates and seismic histories for yourself if you wish. MARCH 11, 2011 - JAPAN 9.0 SEPTEMBER 15, 2011 - FIJI 7.3 MARCH 21, 2012 - OAXACA, MEXICO 7.4 SEPTEMBER 25, 2012 - BAJA CALIFORNIA 6.3 APRIL 1, 2013 - JAPAN 6.0 OCTOBER 6, 2013 - WEST CHILE RISE 6.2 APRIL 12, 2014 - SOLOMON ISLANDS 7.6 OCTOBER 17, 2014 - EL SALVADOR 7.3 (actual: OCT 14) APRIL 23, 2015 - NEPAL 7.8 (actual: APR 25) Future Cycle Dates: OCTOBER 28, 2015 MAY 3, 2016 NOVEMBER 7, 2016 MAY 14, 2017
This has got so much WRONG in it I don't know where to start! I was sitting in my house here in the Philippines when the Bohol Earthquake on October 15th 2013 shook us for over a minute and did major damage to a number of buildings near me (I am 50 miles from the epicentre) and leveled quite a lot of buildings nearer to the centre, It measures 7.2 on the scale, inexplicably that one is missing from your list, maybe it doesn't fit the cycle, or perhaps people got confused by Category 5 super typhoon that arrived three weeks later. http://www.phivolcs.dost.gov.ph/html/update_SOEPD/2013_Earthquake_Bulletins/October/2013_1015_0012_B3F.html
Look at it with a worldwide perspective, just yesterday there was 28 earthquakes of significant magnitude, including one north of Vanuatu that was a 7.0, that seems to be missing from your list as well. http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/
Hunchman has an obsession with clockwork cycles and tealeaf reading for human events. I'm not surprised he's carried it across to the natural world too.
You're giving him more credit than he deserves. Its all conspiracy theory 101. I understand that all earthquakes are planned on a global basis from a small basement in Finchley Road by lizards disguised as David Cameron's father.
What is the pattern? All I can see is a load of dates.
Earthquakes are happening on a 188 day cycle it seems with May 3rd next.
London is an urban Labour bastion. You wouldn't expect a Tory Mayor of Manchester or Liverpool or Newcastle. That Boris infiltrated himself in is a measure of how remarkable his personal appeal extended.
Don't write off Boris as Tory leader just yet. He has appeal cross party lines, apparently a buffoon but intelligent and self deprecating. A populist with a way with words and a way with the media. And from what I can see the Tory grass roots love him.
Compared to some of the other viable options touted such as May (psychotic) or Hammond (like Major minus the personality) he might actually have a chance of connectino with the electorate.
But before he gets to the general electorate, he has to appeal to (1) Tory MPs and (2) Tory members. Besides, after a decade or so of his antics, I wonder whether the appeal is waring off a little with the public, never mind the smaller electorates?
Whoever first put forward Boris for Mayor of London was a genius. It was a superb meshing of the man and the role.
However, Boris's presence seemed to do little or nothing in helping the Conservatives in marginal Westminster seats across London during his tenure.
There was a post from Ipsos MORI last night which showed how striking was the degree of correlation between the proportion of White people in any given ward in London and Boris Johnson's support. I imagine that correlation will apply to Zac Goldsmith, but running about 10% below the level of support that Boris got. The only wards that buck this trend are Kenton in Brent, and a number of wards in Harrow and Barnet.
What's the correlation between skin colour and wealth in London? As we know, older, wealthier people tend to vote Tory. It could be that in London a large part of that demographic has white skin.
Either this poll is wrong or Sadiq Khan is going to win at a canter.
Yesterday's developments would not by themselves cause 10% of the electorate to change their votes.
Let alone 20%!
Why would 20% need to change their minds?
Electorate of 5000 people.
Lets assume there would have been 40% turnout
Of 2000,
Assume 80% go for eventual 2nd prefs: (160)
960 go for Khan, 640 Zac (2nd prefs)
Lets assume the set 50% Khan voters stay at home , 30 % switch 2nd pref to not Zac (Green to Libs, libs to green equally on 2nd prefs){ not Khan}, 20% switch to Zac.(80-20 applicable maybe ?)
270 voters: -270 Khan, +54 Zac
690 Khan, 694 Zac
270/5000 = 5.4%
Turnout now looks like 2000 - 135 = 37.3% with the top two candidates always appearing to get ~ 74% of the vote.
So the real figure is going to be way less than 10%. Of course if you're only talking about those that voted then it is 13.5% with the above assumptions ^^;
What is the pattern? All I can see is a load of dates.
Earthquakes are happening on a 188 day cycle it seems with May 3rd next.
Except all those that don't.
There have been 23 earthquakes of 7.0 or higher on the scale in the last year, seems like 188 days might be a touch optimistic, more like once a fortnight.
What is the pattern? All I can see is a load of dates.
Earthquakes are happening on a 188 day cycle it seems with May 3rd next.
Except all those that don't.
There have been 23 earthquakes of 7.0 or higher on the scale in the last year, seems like 188 days might be a touch optimistic, more like once a fortnight.
It'll be under 50%. That should make it a much tighter race.
It was 38% in 2012 when the candidates were Boris and Ken, charisma bypass operation patients Zac and Sadiq won't help turnout.
Low turnout should help Zac but I fully expect Khan to win next week.
Zac's campaign may also have galvanised anti-Tory sentiment and made generic anti-Tories more likely to vote. It'll be an interesting one. You're right, though: if 2012 was 38%, it's hard to see this year going any higher.
Yeah I just saw that as well. Lots of people saying they will vote and then not bothering. I wonder, when was the last time that happened and which party's supporters were guilty of it?
I think Boris fooled the powers that be that it didn't matter that you were an OE posho you could still win London Mayor and hence they went for another one.
They forgot that you also need to be Boris, which Zac certainly is not.
London is an urban Labour bastion. You wouldn't expect a Tory Mayor of Manchester or Liverpool or Newcastle. That Boris infiltrated himself in is a measure of how remarkable his personal appeal extended.
Don't write off Boris as Tory leader just yet. He has appeal cross party lines, apparently a buffoon but intelligent and self deprecating. A populist with a way with words and a way with the media. And from what I can see the Tory grass roots love him.
Compared to some of the other viable options touted such as May (psychotic) or Hammond (like Major minus the personality) he might actually have a chance of connectino with the electorate.
But before he gets to the general electorate, he has to appeal to (1) Tory MPs and (2) Tory members. Besides, after a decade or so of his antics, I wonder whether the appeal is waring off a little with the public, never mind the smaller electorates?
Whoever first put forward Boris for Mayor of London was a genius. It was a superb meshing of the man and the role.
However, Boris's presence seemed to do little or nothing in helping the Conservatives in marginal Westminster seats across London during his tenure.
There was a post from Ipsos MORI last night which showed how striking was the degree of correlation between the proportion of White people in any given ward in London and Boris Johnson's support. I imagine that correlation will apply to Zac Goldsmith, but running about 10% below the level of support that Boris got. The only wards that buck this trend are Kenton in Brent, and a number of wards in Harrow and Barnet.
What's the correlation between skin colour and wealth in London? As we know, older, wealthier people tend to vote Tory. It could be that in London a large part of that demographic has white skin.
Probably a fair degree of correlation, which explains why the Conservatives still hold Harrow East, Hendon, and Finchley & Golders Green. In general though, suburban North London has gone from being a Conservative stronghold to a marginal sub-region over a generation.
Always worth remembering who Boris beat. It was a bloke called Ken Livingstone. You may have seen him on the news yesterday. He is not to everyone's taste.
(I) Fancy he's very much to the taste of the Block-Postal-Voting Community.
It'll be under 50%. That should make it a much tighter race.
It was 38% in 2012 when the candidates were Boris and Ken, charisma bypass operation patients Zac and Sadiq won't help turnout.
Low turnout should help Zac but I fully expect Khan to win next week.
Zac's campaign may also have galvanised anti-Tory sentiment and made generic anti-Tories more likely to vote. It'll be an interesting one. You're right, though: if 2012 was 38%, it's hard to see this year going any higher.
I think the last couple of days may end up depressing turnout from that particular group and fire up a few Tories and neutrals that were looking to sit this one out.
I think Boris fooled the powers that be that it didn't matter that you were an OE posho you could still win London Mayor and hence they went for another one.
They forgot that you also need to be Boris, which Zac certainly is not.
Boris is a sufficiently flamboyant character that his posh background or trouser dropping antics don't count against him. Those rules do not apply to other posh boys. Zac always seems like a posh boy on an extended gap year to me.
It'll be under 50%. That should make it a much tighter race.
It was 38% in 2012 when the candidates were Boris and Ken, charisma bypass operation patients Zac and Sadiq won't help turnout.
Low turnout should help Zac but I fully expect Khan to win next week.
Zac's campaign may also have galvanised anti-Tory sentiment and made generic anti-Tories more likely to vote. It'll be an interesting one. You're right, though: if 2012 was 38%, it's hard to see this year going any higher.
I think the last couple of days may end up depressing turnout from that particular group and fire up a few Tories and neutrals that were looking to sit this one out.
The vast majority of the population have a negative view of Israel and will view this with indifference or as a Westminster bubble smear campaign.
London is an urban Labour bastion. You wouldn't expect a Tory Mayor of Manchester or Liverpool or Newcastle. That Boris infiltrated himself in is a measure of how remarkable his personal appeal extended.
I'm also expecting some remarkable levels of vote harvesting for the Great Khan in parts of inner London, based on the expectation of the resulting, er, patronage that helping secure his tenure will bring certain "community leaders".
'vote harvesting' 'patronage' 'many voters not bothered about anti-semitism' (Dr. Fox)
London is an urban Labour bastion. You wouldn't expect a Tory Mayor of Manchester or Liverpool or Newcastle. That Boris infiltrated himself in is a measure of how remarkable his personal appeal extended.
Don't write off Boris as Tory leader just yet. He has appeal cross party lines, apparently a buffoon but intelligent and self deprecating. A populist with a way with words and a way with the media. And from what I can see the Tory grass roots love him.
Compared to some of the other viable options touted such as May (psychotic) or Hammond (like Major minus the personality) he might actually have a chance of connectino with the electorate.
But before he gets to the general electorate, he has to appeal to (1) Tory MPs and (2) Tory members. Besides, after a decade or so of his antics, I wonder whether the appeal is waring off a little with the public, never mind the smaller electorates?
Whoever first put forward Boris for Mayor of London was a genius. It was a superb meshing of the man and the role.
However, Boris's presence seemed to do little or nothing in helping the Conservatives in marginal Westminster seats across London during his tenure.
There was a post from Ipsos MORI last night which showed how striking was the degree of correlation between the proportion of White people in any given ward in London and Boris Johnson's support. I imagine that correlation will apply to Zac Goldsmith, but running about 10% below the level of support that Boris got. The only wards that buck this trend are Kenton in Brent, and a number of wards in Harrow and Barnet.
What's the correlation between skin colour and wealth in London? As we know, older, wealthier people tend to vote Tory. It could be that in London a large part of that demographic has white skin.
Probably a fair degree of correlation, which explains why the Conservatives still hold Harrow East, Hendon, and Finchley & Golders Green. In general though, suburban North London has gone from being a Conservative stronghold to a marginal sub-region over a generation.
Presumably as much due to the rise of the milibandesque champagne socialist set as much as anything ?
The new, virulent strain of anti-semitism is driven by an unholy alliance between militant Islam and the Fascist Left. No, I didn’t write that yesterday, I wrote it in this newspaper nine years ago to accompany a TV documentary I made called The War On Britain’s Jews?
The question mark was at Channel 4’s insistence, but I’m not complaining. Back then it was heresy to suggest that anyone on the Left could be guilty of discriminating against any minority community. If it took a question mark to get the programme broadcast, that was fine by me.
My thesis was that self-styled ‘anti-Zionists’ were using their visceral hatred of Israel to intimidate Jews in this country. Does anybody today, outside of the lunatic fringe which now runs the modern Labour Party, doubt that I got it right?
It'll be under 50%. That should make it a much tighter race.
It was 38% in 2012 when the candidates were Boris and Ken, charisma bypass operation patients Zac and Sadiq won't help turnout.
Low turnout should help Zac but I fully expect Khan to win next week.
Zac's campaign may also have galvanised anti-Tory sentiment and made generic anti-Tories more likely to vote. It'll be an interesting one. You're right, though: if 2012 was 38%, it's hard to see this year going any higher.
I think the last couple of days may end up depressing turnout from that particular group and fire up a few Tories and neutrals that were looking to sit this one out.
The vast majority of the population have a negative view of Israel and will view this with indifference or as a Westminster bubble smear campaign.
I think that says rather more about you than the population.
The correct statement would be that vast majority of the population don't give a hoot about either Israel or Palestine.
London is an urban Labour bastion. You wouldn't expect a Tory Mayor of Manchester or Liverpool or Newcastle. That Boris infiltrated himself in is a measure of how remarkable his personal appeal extended.
I'm also expecting some remarkable levels of vote harvesting for the Great Khan in parts of inner London, based on the expectation of the resulting, er, patronage that helping secure his tenure will bring certain "community leaders".
'vote harvesting' 'patronage' 'many voters not bothered about anti-semitism' (Dr. Fox)
This is our liberal, progressive capital, right?
The BME vote in parts of London is anything but liberal and progressive. "Social Conservatism" is as much a feature of the Brick Lane Taliban as the Turnip Taliban.
It is not just that parts of our electorate are not bothered by anti-semitism, parts are positively enthusiastic about it.
It'll be under 50%. That should make it a much tighter race.
It was 38% in 2012 when the candidates were Boris and Ken, charisma bypass operation patients Zac and Sadiq won't help turnout.
Low turnout should help Zac but I fully expect Khan to win next week.
Zac's campaign may also have galvanised anti-Tory sentiment and made generic anti-Tories more likely to vote. It'll be an interesting one. You're right, though: if 2012 was 38%, it's hard to see this year going any higher.
I think the last couple of days may end up depressing turnout from that particular group and fire up a few Tories and neutrals that were looking to sit this one out.
The vast majority of the population have a negative view of Israel and will view this with indifference or as a Westminster bubble smear campaign.
Nah. Adolf Hitler is not popular in this country, and if a prominent party member is debating whether he was a Zionist, that party has a problem.
London is an urban Labour bastion. You wouldn't expect a Tory Mayor of Manchester or Liverpool or Newcastle. That Boris infiltrated himself in is a measure of how remarkable his personal appeal extended.
Don't write off Boris as Tory leader just yet. He has appeal cross party lines, apparently a buffoon but intelligent and self deprecating. A populist with a way with words and a way with the media. And from what I can see the Tory grass roots love him.
Compared to some of the other viable options touted such as May (psychotic) or Hammond (like Major minus the personality) he might actually have a chance of connectino with the electorate.
But before he gets to the general electorate, he has to appeal to (1) Tory MPs and (2) Tory members. Besides, after a decade or so of his antics, I wonder whether the appeal is waring off a little with the public, never mind the smaller electorates?
Whoever first put forward Boris for Mayor of London was a genius. It was a superb meshing of the man and the role.
However, Boris's presence seemed to do little or nothing in helping the Conservatives in marginal Westminster seats across London during his tenure.
There was a post from Ipsos MORI last night which showed how striking was the degree of correlation between the proportion of White people in any given ward in London and Boris Johnson's support. I imagine that correlation will apply to Zac Goldsmith, but running about 10% below the level of support that Boris got. The only wards that buck this trend are Kenton in Brent, and a number of wards in Harrow and Barnet.
What's the correlation between skin colour and wealth in London? As we know, older, wealthier people tend to vote Tory. It could be that in London a large part of that demographic has white skin.
Probably a fair degree of correlation, which explains why the Conservatives still hold Harrow East, Hendon, and Finchley & Golders Green. In general though, suburban North London has gone from being a Conservative stronghold to a marginal sub-region over a generation.
Presumably as much due to the rise of the milibandesque champagne socialist set as much as anything ?
No a reduction in home ownership rates for North London suburbs. Lots of local Tories know that until the government step in and force private landlords out of the market in London the city is lost to us within the next 2-3 electoral cycles.
London is an urban Labour bastion. You wouldn't expect a Tory Mayor of Manchester or Liverpool or Newcastle. That Boris infiltrated himself in is a measure of how remarkable his personal appeal extended.
I'm also expecting some remarkable levels of vote harvesting for the Great Khan in parts of inner London, based on the expectation of the resulting, er, patronage that helping secure his tenure will bring certain "community leaders".
'vote harvesting' 'patronage' 'many voters not bothered about anti-semitism' (Dr. Fox)
This is our liberal, progressive capital, right?
To be fair the folk that sing about gassing Jews at Stamford Bridge, Upton Park and the New Den don't tend to be Moslems. As the story posted yesterday on here demonstrated, anti-Semitism is still fairly widespread in the UK. What makes Labour unique among the mainstream parties is the way so many of its activists are happy to parade their anti-Semitism and/or to indulge it in others. Seamus Milne does not hate Jews, but he does hate America and will stand shoulder to shoulder with whoever else does. And Seamus is not alone.
It'll be under 50%. That should make it a much tighter race.
It was 38% in 2012 when the candidates were Boris and Ken, charisma bypass operation patients Zac and Sadiq won't help turnout.
Low turnout should help Zac but I fully expect Khan to win next week.
Zac's campaign may also have galvanised anti-Tory sentiment and made generic anti-Tories more likely to vote. It'll be an interesting one. You're right, though: if 2012 was 38%, it's hard to see this year going any higher.
I think the last couple of days may end up depressing turnout from that particular group and fire up a few Tories and neutrals that were looking to sit this one out.
The vast majority of the population have a negative view of Israel and will view this with indifference or as a Westminster bubble smear campaign.
I think that says rather more about you than the population.
The correct statement would be that vast majority of the population don't give a hoot about either Israel or Palestine.
You are half right. Consistently those that have a view in polling are overwhelmingly negative, with huge numbers also indifferent. Those with a favourable view of Israel are in a tiny minority, except amongst our media and political elites. People are sick of this constant boy-who-cried-wolf schtick from a racist state and its followers.
No a reduction in home ownership rates for North London suburbs. Lots of local Tories know that until the government step in and force private landlords out of the market in London the city is lost to us within the next 2-3 electoral cycles.
Forcing private landlords out will not reduce prices - there's too much demand.
The only way to deal with it is to reduce immigration, but many in London don't want that.
People would own (and not rent) if they could afford to buy, but the prices are just too high with the extra demand.
No a reduction in home ownership rates for North London suburbs. Lots of local Tories know that until the government step in and force private landlords out of the market in London the city is lost to us within the next 2-3 electoral cycles.
Forcing private landlords out will not reduce prices - there's too much demand.
The only way to deal with it is to reduce immigration, but many in London don't want that.
People would own (and not rent) if they could afford to buy, but the prices are just too high with the extra demand.
But it is no cheaper to rent. Buy to let mortgages means the renter's are having to pay off someone's mortage.
I think Boris fooled the powers that be that it didn't matter that you were an OE posho you could still win London Mayor and hence they went for another one.
They forgot that you also need to be Boris, which Zac certainly is not.
Boris is a sufficiently flamboyant character that his posh background or trouser dropping antics don't count against him. Those rules do not apply to other posh boys. Zac always seems like a posh boy on an extended gap year to me.
That's true of Boris when he is running for a city mayor job without huge amounts of real power. For the role of mayor during the Olympics he was absolutely the right choice. The electorate feel very different about buffoonery and trouser-dropping antics when the man in question is trying to become PM and take the UK's seat on the serious world stage.
London is an urban Labour bastion. You wouldn't expect a Tory Mayor of Manchester or Liverpool or Newcastle. That Boris infiltrated himself in is a measure of how remarkable his personal appeal extended.
I'm also expecting some remarkable levels of vote harvesting for the Great Khan in parts of inner London, based on the expectation of the resulting, er, patronage that helping secure his tenure will bring certain "community leaders".
'vote harvesting' 'patronage' 'many voters not bothered about anti-semitism' (Dr. Fox)
This is our liberal, progressive capital, right?
To be fair the folk that sing about gassing Jews at Stamford Bridge, Upton Park and the New Den don't tend to be Moslems. As the story posted yesterday on here demonstrated, anti-Semitism is still fairly widespread in the UK. What makes Labour unique among the mainstream parties is the way so many of its activists are happy to parade their anti-Semitism and/or to indulge it in others. Seamus Milne does not hate Jews, but he does hate America and will stand shoulder to shoulder with whoever else does. And Seamus is not alone.
The football crowds singing about gassing jews are pretty repellant, but that is football rather than ethnic rivalry (just as Spurs fans singing Yid Army are often not jewish). I have never heard any such racist chanting at Leicester City BTW.
Residual anti-semitism in Britain is distasteful, but what is particularly is particularly worrying about the new anti-semitism of the left is that it justifies and legitimises violence and even murder. It also carries a lot of misogynistic and homophobic baggage with it.
The only genuine anti-semitic behaviour I have encountered in the UK has been from right-wingers.
Do you live on some remote Scottish island?
Clearly, you have no time to read any newspapers, even 'The Guardian':
CST said in 2014 there were 81 violent assaults, 81 incidents of damage and desecration of Jewish property, and 884 cases of abusive behaviour, more than double the number in 2013, several hundred of which involved social media platforms like Facebook and Twitter. CST’s logs include a letter sent to a Jewish organisation which read: “Gaza is the Auschwitz. The inmates are fighting back. The Jew wears the jackboot and armband now.”
The charity said the surge in antisemitism was fuelled by reactions to the conflict in Gaza in July and August that claimed the lives of 2,131 Palestinians and 71 Israelis, according to the UN. It appears to reflect an international trend. Last year in France and Austria the number of incidents doubled, according to reports by the Service de Protection de la Communauté Juive and the Vienna-based Forum Against Antisemitism.
Are we forgetting that Labour outperformed the polls in the last Mayoral election, when turnout was also poor?
So the pollsters haven't quite got a handle on industrial-scale vote harvesting? You may well be right.
Sadiq Khan will benefit from the votes of many who will never have seen their ballot paper, will not know they voted, still less who they voted for - and may not even know they are registered in the first place. Quite a challenge for pollsters to make much sense of that.
The only genuine anti-semitic behaviour I have encountered in the UK has been from right-wingers.
Do you live on some remote Scottish island?
Clearly, you have no time to read any newspapers, even 'The Guardian':
CST said in 2014 there were 81 violent assaults, 81 incidents of damage and desecration of Jewish property, and 884 cases of abusive behaviour, more than double the number in 2013, several hundred of which involved social media platforms like Facebook and Twitter. CST’s logs include a letter sent to a Jewish organisation which read: “Gaza is the Auschwitz. The inmates are fighting back. The Jew wears the jackboot and armband now.”
The charity said the surge in antisemitism was fuelled by reactions to the conflict in Gaza in July and August that claimed the lives of 2,131 Palestinians and 71 Israelis, according to the UN. It appears to reflect an international trend. Last year in France and Austria the number of incidents doubled, according to reports by the Service de Protection de la Communauté Juive and the Vienna-based Forum Against Antisemitism.
Have to say I have never seen any anti-semitic behaviour either, I am not on a remote island but in west of Scotland. Plenty of other racism and bigotry, so maybe they don't have time for it. Not everywhere is like London or big cities where the most scumbags congregate.
PS: you have to be pretty desperate if you read the Guardian , again for ponces in the city
No a reduction in home ownership rates for North London suburbs. Lots of local Tories know that until the government step in and force private landlords out of the market in London the city is lost to us within the next 2-3 electoral cycles.
Forcing private landlords out will not reduce prices - there's too much demand.
The only way to deal with it is to reduce immigration, but many in London don't want that.
People would own (and not rent) if they could afford to buy, but the prices are just too high with the extra demand.
But it is no cheaper to rent. Buy to let mortgages means the renter's are having to pay off someone's mortage.
With average London house prices over double UK house prices you have to get a mortgage first, most young people working in London rent and if they want to buy once married move out to the home counties or outer suburbs, those who buy in London now tend to be the rich or foreigners which is why over half of Londoners now rent
Undefined discussion subject.
Comments
I'm also expecting some remarkable levels of vote harvesting for the Great Khan in parts of inner London, based on the expectation of the resulting, er, patronage that helping secure his tenure will bring certain "community leaders".
3 hours
to throw out Trident on her ownform Labours defence reviewHis mate Jeremy will see to it. No crime is so great as to get in the way of delivering unilateral nuclear disarmament...
Without wishing to become too morbid about such matters, I think it's worthwhile considering the fact that unusually the two leading candidates are both nearing their seventies, with Hillary celebrating her 69th birthday in October and The Donald reaching the big Seven-0 in a few weeks time.
Leaving aside their respective closest challengers, Bernie Sanders, himself 75 years of age come September, priced at 75 to become the next POTUS and Ted Cruz on offer at 42, neither of whom look particularly likely to succeed were circumstances to offer them such an opportunity. Look beyond this pair and the odds become really wild with the next nearest Democrat being Joe Biden on offer with Betfair at 250, with John Kasich the nearest Republican contender priced at 220.
Continue down the list of possible contenders and one quickly reaches almost four figure odds.
Of course this is all very much a very remote possibility, but purely in terms of buying very cheap insurance it might be worth considering investing a few bob in a handful of outsiders available at such crazy odds.
Thus far, based on some impressive polling match-ups against Hillary, I've limited myself to a couple of quid on Governor Kasich.
DYOR.
http://tinyurl.com/zebpbht
http://www.phivolcs.dost.gov.ph/html/update_SOEPD/2013_Earthquake_Bulletins/October/2013_1015_0012_B3F.html
Look at it with a worldwide perspective, just yesterday there was 28 earthquakes of significant magnitude, including one north of Vanuatu that was a 7.0, that seems to be missing from your list as well.
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/
With the next election due on general election day, he'll win re-election too, barring an almighty cock-up (which I don't expect), or him voluntarily standing down in order to run for parliament, which I also don't expect because to do so and to stand for parliament would be to anticipate a leadership election after a Labour defeat and so cause all sorts of PR problems.
Compared to some of the other viable options touted such as May (psychotic) or Hammond (like Major minus the personality) he might actually have a chance of connectino with the electorate.
Yesterday's developments would not by themselves cause 10% of the electorate to change their votes.
Sadiq being the most electorally successful Labour figure, with a London powerbase to boot, does look good as next Labour leader if he can contrive to keep his seat in Parliament.
However, Boris's presence seemed to do little or nothing in helping the Conservatives in marginal Westminster seats across London during his tenure.
Lots of wealthy urban middle-class suburbs went Lib Dem in the 1990s.
This post sponsored by NewsSense™
https://t.co/sA8lKxDWXs
Except all those that don't.
I will eat my hat if it is 82% or higher.
Low turnout should help Zac but I fully expect Khan to win next week.
Lets assume there would have been 40% turnout
Of 2000,
Assume 80% go for eventual 2nd prefs: (160)
960 go for Khan, 640 Zac (2nd prefs)
Lets assume the set 50% Khan voters stay at home , 30 % switch 2nd pref to not Zac (Green to Libs, libs to green equally on 2nd prefs){ not Khan}, 20% switch to Zac.(80-20 applicable maybe ?)
270 voters: -270 Khan, +54 Zac
690 Khan, 694 Zac
270/5000 = 5.4%
Turnout now looks like 2000 - 135 = 37.3% with the top two candidates always appearing to get ~ 74% of the vote.
So the real figure is going to be way less than 10%. Of course if you're only talking about those that voted then it is 13.5% with the above assumptions ^^;
They always happen on days that end with a y.
They forgot that you also need to be Boris, which Zac certainly is not.
I wonder what's in store for us today, after the past two rather hectic political days?
'patronage'
'many voters not bothered about anti-semitism' (Dr. Fox)
This is our liberal, progressive capital, right?
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/this-is-the-last-straw-livingstone-must-go-8whx06qlk?shareToken=ab0b0e296e03189da635cad57703ddc5
Snow, again. At least it seems to be melting fast.
Edited extra bit: incidentally, just 6 hours left on this poll [it's not an academic question, I'll use it to help me decide how to release a trilogy]:
https://twitter.com/MorrisF1/status/723496885575671808
If you'd like to vote but you're not on Twitter [and don't want to be] just leave a comment here:
http://thaddeusthesixth.blogspot.co.uk/2016/04/timing-trilogy.html
The new, virulent strain of anti-semitism is driven by an unholy alliance between militant Islam and the Fascist Left. No, I didn’t write that yesterday, I wrote it in this newspaper nine years ago to accompany a TV documentary I made called The War On Britain’s Jews?
The question mark was at Channel 4’s insistence, but I’m not complaining. Back then it was heresy to suggest that anyone on the Left could be guilty of discriminating against any minority community. If it took a question mark to get the programme broadcast, that was fine by me.
My thesis was that self-styled ‘anti-Zionists’ were using their visceral hatred of Israel to intimidate Jews in this country. Does anybody today, outside of the lunatic fringe which now runs the modern Labour Party, doubt that I got it right?
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-3564672/The-fascists-poisoned-heart-Labour-RICHARD-LITTLEJOHN-Jew-baiting-lunatic-fringe-charge-Corbyn-s-party.html#ixzz47CEah5wc
The correct statement would be that vast majority of the population don't give a hoot about either Israel or Palestine.
It is not just that parts of our electorate are not bothered by anti-semitism, parts are positively enthusiastic about it.
Looks like the May Day parades this year will be led by a fleet of snow ploughs...
https://twitter.com/alexgallagher2/status/725826870281928708
Forcing private landlords out will not reduce prices - there's too much demand.
The only way to deal with it is to reduce immigration, but many in London don't want that.
People would own (and not rent) if they could afford to buy, but the prices are just too high with the extra demand.
Fully expect the suburbs to be vehemently anti-Khan.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/04/28/from-hitler-to-hiding-in-the-loo-how-ken-livingstone-tackled-lab/
PS Quality says it all, Labour have Trabants , Tories have Reliant Robins, Lib Dems have trikes.
Residual anti-semitism in Britain is distasteful, but what is particularly is particularly worrying about the new anti-semitism of the left is that it justifies and legitimises violence and even murder. It also carries a lot of misogynistic and homophobic baggage with it.
Clearly, you have no time to read any newspapers, even 'The Guardian':
CST said in 2014 there were 81 violent assaults, 81 incidents of damage and desecration of Jewish property, and 884 cases of abusive behaviour, more than double the number in 2013, several hundred of which involved social media platforms like Facebook and Twitter. CST’s logs include a letter sent to a Jewish organisation which read: “Gaza is the Auschwitz. The inmates are fighting back. The Jew wears the jackboot and armband now.”
The charity said the surge in antisemitism was fuelled by reactions to the conflict in Gaza in July and August that claimed the lives of 2,131 Palestinians and 71 Israelis, according to the UN. It appears to reflect an international trend. Last year in France and Austria the number of incidents doubled, according to reports by the Service de Protection de la Communauté Juive and the Vienna-based Forum Against Antisemitism.
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/feb/05/antisemitic-attacks-uk-community-security-trust-britain-jewish-population
Your Moniker is most misleading. Mr Wisemann.
Sadiq Khan will benefit from the votes of many who will never have seen their ballot paper, will not know they voted, still less who they voted for - and may not even know they are registered in the first place. Quite a challenge for pollsters to make much sense of that.
PS: you have to be pretty desperate if you read the Guardian , again for ponces in the city