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  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    I'm ready to call Ohio for Kasich.
  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    edited March 2016
    Kasich into 8.6 for the nomination

    8.2 ... yo
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768
    3% in kasish lead increasing
  • DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215
    MikeL said:

    This is surely looking very, very good for Trump.

    Why is he still 1.42 for the nomination?

    It is bizarre. You look at all the remaining winner takes all states, he's going to pretty much sweep the lot. Will be enough to get him over the threshold.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    MikeL said:

    This is surely looking very, very good for Trump.

    Why is he still 1.42 for the nomination?

    Because he is doing worse than expectations and in delegates.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited March 2016
    Speedy said:

    AndyJS said:

    Found the GOP Ohio page on Betfair. Trump currently 6:

    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/#/politics/market/1.123432158

    Hope you made money with me finding and posting the Exit Poll numbers 45 minutes before polls closed.
    Unfortunately not, I was looking at census data for an EU referendum spreadsheet I'm doing.
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Speedy said:

    MikeL said:

    This is surely looking very, very good for Trump.

    Why is he still 1.42 for the nomination?

    Because he is doing worse than expectations and in delegates.
    Slightly. Maybe.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    Trump may regret not trying to get 5% more votes in Ohio, at the cost of 5% in Florida. It looks like Rubio is so dead and buried that the 5% would have made a difference. It won't cost Trump the nomination though.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768
    4% in lead of over 2000 to Kasish
  • DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215

    Trump may regret not trying to get 5% more votes in Ohio, at the cost of 5% in Florida. It looks like Rubio is so dead and buried that the 5% would have made a difference. It won't cost Trump the nomination though.

    I think the momentum boost he gets from crushing Rubio in Florida is probably worth it. Media/voters will write off Kasich as a home win.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768
    6% and Kasish over 14000 ahead
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454

    4% in lead of over 2000 to Kasish

    http://www.decisiondeskhq.com/results/2016/primary/gop/president/ohio/

    gaze into the future :)
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Sanders in with a chance in Ohio.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    Question: Do we have any Clinton vs Trump polling for Florida? As in the past Florida has proved so important for POTUS and CNN are explaining the reasons why Trump is so popular with GOP supports in Florida.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    Kasich with >5% lead with >10% counted (test 3)

    No real close ones so far
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768
    9% 20k lead
  • DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215

    Question: Do we have any Clinton vs Trump polling for Florida? As in the past Florida has proved so important for POTUS and CNN are explaining the reasons why Trump is so popular with GOP supports in Florida.

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton-5635.html

    It's close.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Sky News with a special election programme.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    I call N.C. for Trump.

    And Ohio for Kasich.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited March 2016
    Trump has narrowly won Illinois according to exit polls. Missouri too close to call.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    AndyJS said:

    Sanders in with a chance in Ohio.

    Looks miles behind:

    http://www.decisiondeskhq.com/results/2016/primary/dem/president/ohio/

    Indeed let's call this Clinton >5% lead, greater than 10% counted (test 4)
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    FL called for Trump..
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,944
    ABC just said matter-of-factly that Rubio will drop out. Is there any official word yet?
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Exit polls: both Missouri and Illinois too close to call between Clinton and Sanders.
  • LondonBobLondonBob Posts: 467

    Oh god I turn on Newsnight to watch the stuff about Syria and f##king Bad Al is on...

    You seem to have an odd and unhealthy obsession with Syria. I am not sure it is one the Syrian people appreciate however, Francis.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,587
    edited March 2016
    AndyJS said:

    Sanders in with a chance in Ohio.

    Where is the best site for ongoing results - DecisionDesk? Nothing there from Ohio yet.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454

    ABC just said matter-of-factly that Rubio will drop out. Is there any official word yet?

    He officially denied he would.

    Fingers crossed my 1.25 Rubio-before-Cruz bet is a winner.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    edited March 2016
    Really interesting map CNN just flashed up showing states won by candidates for candidates from both parties...and roughly it seemed to me where Trump has won, Clinton has won and where Trump has Lost, Clinton has lost....
  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838

    ABC just said matter-of-factly that Rubio will drop out. Is there any official word yet?

    He officially denied he would.

    Fingers crossed my 1.25 Rubio-before-Cruz bet is a winner.
    Chairman's vote of confidence
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737

    AndyJS said:

    Sanders in with a chance in Ohio.

    Where is the best site for ongoing results - DecisionDesk? Nothing there from Ohio yet.
    http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/nc/
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Doesn't he need to suspend rather than quit, so he's still got control over his delegates?

    ABC just said matter-of-factly that Rubio will drop out. Is there any official word yet?

    He officially denied he would.

    Fingers crossed my 1.25 Rubio-before-Cruz bet is a winner.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454

    AndyJS said:

    Sanders in with a chance in Ohio.

    Where is the best site for ongoing results - DecisionDesk? Nothing there from Ohio yet.
    I

    AndyJS said:

    Sanders in with a chance in Ohio.

    Where is the best site for ongoing results - DecisionDesk? Nothing there from Ohio yet.
    I've found CNN and DDHQ as a pair work well

    http://www.decisiondeskhq.com/results/2016/primary/gop/president/ohio/
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663

    Really interesting map CNN just flashed up showing states won by candidates for candidates from both parties...and roughly it seemed to me where Trump has won, Clinton has won and where Trump has Lost, Clinton has lost....

    Yes I noted that too.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    CNN Florida

    GOP 72% in
    Trump 45.5% (projected winner)
    Rubio 27. 6%
    Cruz 16.4%
    Kasich 6. 6%


    Dems 77% in
    Clinton 65. 2% in (projected winner )
    Sanders 32. 6%
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    AndyJS said:

    Sanders in with a chance in Ohio.

    Where is the best site for ongoing results - DecisionDesk? Nothing there from Ohio yet.
    I'm using DecisionDesk, CNN and 538.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768

    AndyJS said:

    Sanders in with a chance in Ohio.

    Where is the best site for ongoing results - DecisionDesk? Nothing there from Ohio yet.
    I like this one

    http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/oh/Rep
  • LondonBobLondonBob Posts: 467
    If Illinois goes big enough for Trump it effectively becomes WTA.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    LondonBob said:

    If Illinois goes big enough for Trump it effectively becomes WTA.

    Far more interesting race than Florida or Ohio. NC is itneresting but the delegate counts aren't very sensitive.
  • LondonBobLondonBob Posts: 467
    Think there was a lot of anti Trump voting by Democrats in Ohio, open primary.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited March 2016

    Really interesting map CNN just flashed up showing states won by candidates for candidates from both parties...and roughly it seemed to me where Trump has won, Clinton has won and where Trump has Lost, Clinton has lost....

    I know, the only spoilers are the home states of their competitors.

    And Hillary having only one opponent rather than 3 that Trump has.
    If Hillary had more credible opponents then the Democrats would also have gone to a convention.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    My early exuberant Kasich for POTUS bets are finally paying dividends!
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    The small Trump and Hillary characters on the Guardian are amusing.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,944
    "Springfield, IL to extend polls until 8:30 due to turnout, Illinois Republican Party confirms to ABC"
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited March 2016
    LondonBob said:

    Think there was a lot of anti Trump voting by Democrats in Ohio, open primary.

    Their decision to do so could have handed the state to Sanders.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Mortimer said:

    My early exuberant Kasich for POTUS bets are finally paying dividends!

    Where does Kasich go after Ohio?
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    AndyJS said:

    Mortimer said:

    My early exuberant Kasich for POTUS bets are finally paying dividends!

    Where does Kasich go after Ohio?
    Nowhere - they're paying dividends because there are finally buyers......

    :-)
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    AndyJS said:

    LondonBob said:

    Think there was a lot of anti Trump voting by Democrats in Ohio, open primary.

    Their decision to do so could have handed the state to Sanders.
    Clinton is miles ahead according to CNN/DDHQ - are you going off somehting else?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Here's RUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUBIO !
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Marco Rubio is speaking.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    He's congratulating Donald Trump !
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    1% counted in MO.

    Trump leads 2:1
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Freed of the burden of the race, he's sounding quite normal now !
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited March 2016

    AndyJS said:

    LondonBob said:

    Think there was a lot of anti Trump voting by Democrats in Ohio, open primary.

    Their decision to do so could have handed the state to Sanders.
    Clinton is miles ahead according to CNN/DDHQ - are you going off somehting else?
    Exit polls. Clinton narrowly ahead but they could be wrong again:

    http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/oh/Dem
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    I think he's bowing out the race !
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    Rubio conceding in Florida on Sky News
  • tpfkartpfkar Posts: 1,565
    Sounds like Rubio is dropping out of the race in a drunken student union. Just embarrassing!
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Just saw an amazing stat, Romney won FL with 750k votes, Trump's almost there with half counted.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Is Rubio going to endorse Cruz or Kasich?
  • asjohnstoneasjohnstone Posts: 1,276
    AndyJS said:

    Mortimer said:

    My early exuberant Kasich for POTUS bets are finally paying dividends!

    Where does Kasich go after Ohio?
    Does it matter if he can be laid off for a profit tonight?

    Obviously now is the time to trade out
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Bizarre how Clinton is so far ahead of the exit polling in Ohio. Is there some huge difference between Michigan and Ohio ?

    Have Sanders voters going to Kasich murdered him there.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454

    Just saw an amazing stat, Romney won FL with 750k votes, Trump's almost there with half counted.

    60% counted, on 895k
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736

    Question: Do we have any Clinton vs Trump polling for Florida? As in the past Florida has proved so important for POTUS and CNN are explaining the reasons why Trump is so popular with GOP supports in Florida.

    Trump will likely win Florida, it was 2% more GOP than the nation in 2012 and it went for Bush Snr in 1992
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    Pulpstar said:

    I think he's bowing out the race !

    It does sound like it....
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Florida looking great for the GOP on turnout tonight.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    Rubio says he has lived paycheque to paycheque, looks like he might be again!
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    Pulpstar said:

    Florida looking great for the GOP on turnout tonight.

    PP have 1.66
    http://www.paddypower.com/bet/other-politics/us-states-betting

    Not sure if that's value TBH
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Mortimer said:

    Pulpstar said:

    I think he's bowing out the race !

    It does sound like it....
    He's using past tense alot.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    HYUFD said:

    Question: Do we have any Clinton vs Trump polling for Florida? As in the past Florida has proved so important for POTUS and CNN are explaining the reasons why Trump is so popular with GOP supports in Florida.

    Trump will likely win Florida, it was 2% more GOP than the nation in 2012 and it went for Bush Snr in 1992
    Trump is a good fit for Florida, and Kasich in Ohio, but I don't think that they can win both.
    Only if Trump and Kasich are on the same ticket, which I think is unlikely.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    Pulpstar said:

    Mortimer said:

    Pulpstar said:

    I think he's bowing out the race !

    It does sound like it....
    He's using past tense alot.
    http://hyperboleandahalf.blogspot.co.uk/2010/04/alot-is-better-than-you-at-everything.html
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663

    Pulpstar said:

    Florida looking great for the GOP on turnout tonight.

    PP have 1.66
    http://www.paddypower.com/bet/other-politics/us-states-betting

    Not sure if that's value TBH
    Lol no, just backing republicans generally is way better than that.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Rubio blames everybody, conservatives, establishment ect ect.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768
    Rubio backs Kasich or Cruz?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Wonder if he'll endorse Cruz/
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100

    Rubio backs Kasich or Cruz?

    Both.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    "Strong Judeo christian values" sounds kind of Cruz
  • LondonBobLondonBob Posts: 467
    2 precincts in and Missouri looking good for Trump, not even in the south where he should be strong. Of course could be outliers.
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,674
    edited March 2016
    Speedy said:

    Rubio blames everybody, conservatives, establishment ect ect.

    Not my fault though.
    Rubio whining
    Oh and God decided he wouldn't win, too
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    Pulpstar said:

    "Strong Judeo christian values" sounds kind of Cruz

    People endorse the sort of person they want to be (Cruz), not the sort of person they are (Kasich).
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Bit of an odd speech. He's bowing out though,
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    Pulpstar said:

    Bit of an odd speech. He's bowing out though,

    Well thank **** for that. I mean, Bush mark II finally leaves the Betfair exchange.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    Rubio blames the establishment for looking down on conservatives but America needs a principled and hopeful conservative movement not one based on fear
  • LondonBobLondonBob Posts: 467

    Rubio backs Kasich or Cruz?

    I expect Norman Braman will tell him to back anyone but Trump, what Rubio as an individual thinks is beside the point.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Rubio's telling his back story again.

    Can anyone guess what job his Dad did ?
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    First results from Illinois very good for Trump (50%).

    This is the key state tonight.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Not God's plan
  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838

    Pulpstar said:

    "Strong Judeo christian values" sounds kind of Cruz

    People endorse the sort of person they want to be (Cruz), not the sort of person they are (Kasich).
    There are people that want to be Ted Cruz??!?!
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Rubio suspends campaign.
  • LondonBobLondonBob Posts: 467

    First results from Illinois very good for Trump (50%).

    This is the key state tonight.

    Northern Marianas and a strong Illinois can recover losing Ohio.
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    SUSPENDED.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    Speedy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Question: Do we have any Clinton vs Trump polling for Florida? As in the past Florida has proved so important for POTUS and CNN are explaining the reasons why Trump is so popular with GOP supports in Florida.

    Trump will likely win Florida, it was 2% more GOP than the nation in 2012 and it went for Bush Snr in 1992
    Trump is a good fit for Florida, and Kasich in Ohio, but I don't think that they can win both.
    Only if Trump and Kasich are on the same ticket, which I think is unlikely.
    Indeed and Trump will not do that while Hillary could lose both and still win if she wins Virginia and Nevada
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Rubio drops out.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    Interesting, it appears Apple iCloud wasn't "hacked" as first thought...it was celebs falling for phishing scams.

    http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-35817814
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    AndyJS said:

    Rubio suspends campaign.

    Speedy said:

    Rubio drops out.

    RodCrosby said:

    SUSPENDED.

    Well that's a 25% return from Hills...
  • tpfkartpfkar Posts: 1,565
    edited March 2016
    Impressed with Sky News, Rubio used the phrase "campaign is suspended" and half a second later it was the caption on the screen. Some fast fingers there.

    It's an odd speech, a bit of everything, rowdy crowd pleasing, self-criticism, big vision, church sermon, not quite sure where it's going. Perhaps to end in a rendition of My Way?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    Rubio has now suspended his campaign
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Have all the Sanders supporters gone and supported Kasich ? :D
  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    Rubio setting
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    AndyJS said:

    Rubio suspends campaign.

    Speedy said:

    Rubio drops out.

    RodCrosby said:

    SUSPENDED.

    Well that's a 25% return from Hills...
    Congrats.
  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    tpfkar said:

    Perhaps to end in a rendition of My Way?

    That would have been so great.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    edited March 2016
    Rubio-bot appears to have had a software update. They have tweaked the emotio package, but it does still seem to be bugged with repetition problems.
This discussion has been closed.