politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Time to face facts: The ‘War on Terror’ is here to stay and we need to take it seriously
Friday’s attacks on Paris show that the terror threat remains. It’s time to fight back with every means at our disposal and take the fight to ISIS writes Keiran Pedley. But do we have the stomach for it?
As a matter of interest, what has Tim Farron said about the events of the past couple of days?
@cathynewman: Awkward for @timfarron that while other leaders focus on #ParisAttacks he's forced to agree emergency conference on future of @LordRennard
@MichaelLCrick: Rennard is a bigger problem for Farron than it was even for Clegg, as it pits Farron agst Lib Dem lords, where remaining Lib Dem power lies
Corbyn has some strange bedfellows - Stop the War, Milne, his fitness for office will be questioned regardless of Keiran's pleas.
Corbyn looked tired, old beyond his years and broken this morning. Being a tiresome teenage rebel for the last 50 years once responsibility caught up with him.
Why must we not blame the migrant crisis? Mass Muslim immigration is what brought us here, and letting in more Muslim migrants from Syria and Iraq raises the risk further. Only the wilfully blind can not see this.
I hope the TGV crash isn't as bad as some reports are making out. I think this must be the first fatal TGV derailment in France, which is quite a record. They didn't have fatal derailments when a bomb went off on board one, or when a line collapsed due to it falling into unknown WWI trenches.
The rest of the French network (i.e. non-high speed trains) is by all accounts falling to pieces, though.
Nick Alexander, 36, from London, was shot in front of Helen Wilson, an American expat who herself was wounded in both legs. Miss Wilson, speaking from her hospital bed, told The Telegraph how she had tried to keep him alive as they lay on the ground at the Bataclan concert hall...
Miss Wilson, 49, originally from New Orleans, also told how she witnessed the gunmen deliberately targeting concert-goers in wheelchairs. The gunmen hunted down disabled people who were sat in an area specially set aside for wheelchair users.
"But here’s the thing we must remember. We didn’t create ISIS and we didn’t create Al Qaeda."
I said last time after Keiran proposed that Chris Christie as VP would help the electoral chances of the GOP that Keiran should stop writing articles about elections, now I'm expanding that to articles in general.
Pardon me, but ISIS was created as an unfortunate result of funneling arms and funds to nasty shady guys in the syrian civil war, and Al-Qaeda was a CIA product in the fight against the soviets. What do you mean we didn't create them?
I know it's hard to write these pieces but I don't understand that last paragraph at all. Intergenerational conflict? Was this thing done by old people or something? And what does "nothing must be off the table" mean? Say ISIS were prepared to make a deal and leave us alone if we gave them Wales, is that on the table?
Reading between the lines, I think a bunch of people are going to try to persuade us to invade the middle east again, and if they get their way it's going to work out as well as it did all the other times.
It has apparently come off a viaduct and fallen into a canal. Given some of the carriages appear partly or mostly submerged, it'll be a pleasant surprise if only five are killed.
'Excessive speed' is initially being blamed.
Edit: according to some reports it was a test train, and as carrying no paying passengers.
Does anyone think Corbyn is the right guy for any of the above? He is going to get hammered for his positions week in, week out, and rightly so.
Do you not think his position on Iraq war was correct and that there wouldnt even be an ISIS?
He also wouldn't have gone into Afghanistan which was a base for AQ and the Taiban, a base where they would have been able to launch attack upon attack.
This fight with fundamental Islam has been bubbling since the 1990s, well before Iraq, it would and will come in one form or another, in one location or another.
Does anyone think Corbyn is the right guy for any of the above? He is going to get hammered for his positions week in, week out, and rightly so.
Yup, he's going to get killed. I know nothing about the seat but the by-election can't be anything like a slam-dunk in these circumstances. And would Labour continue giving Corbyn the benefit of the doubt if he lost it?
Blackburn "THere is a poster on here called Roger who really is a despicable piece of work, earlier on this thread he said that if it was up to me there would be no Jews left."
What I said (to Floater) was this;
"The truth is that if you follow the logic of the Isams and Blackburns (and several other posters on here) there would be no Jews to escort to synagogues in Sweden (or here)."
Which was my response to this:
"Enoch Powell predicted this would happen, Farage has been warning this would happen... the people in power, and those who worship at their feet, have smeared them and denounced their predictions to the detriment of us all"
Enoch Powell didn't believe anyone who was not of English heritage could assimilate nor should.
No attempt to address the overwhelming problem - the Muslims already here, living in Europe, who tolerate Isis, or even, tacitly, support them. Closely followed by the hundreds of thousands of European Muslims who have grotesque beliefs (gays, women, apostasy) utterly at odds with modern liberal western values.
"But here’s the thing we must remember. We didn’t create ISIS and we didn’t create Al Qaeda."
I said last time after Keiran proposed that Chris Christie as VP would help the electoral chances of the GOP that Keiran should stop writing articles about elections, now I'm expanding that to articles in general.
Pardon me, but ISIS was created as an unfortunate result of funneling arms and funds to nasty shady guys in the syrian civil war, and Al-Qaeda was a CIA product in the fight against the soviets. What do you mean we didn't create them?
ISIS's roots are much older than the Syrian Civil War. The organisation started as a branch of Al Qaeda called 'Al Qaeda in Iraq', which in the mid-2000s became the Islamic State in Iraq.
After the Syrian civil war started, they started a Syrian branch called the Al Nusra Front, and the two organisations promptly fell out (allegedly because AlN was too 'moderate'); this was also part of a general fall out between Al Qaeda and ISI.
This led to ISI forming the Islamic State in Iraq and Levant (ISIL), which is otherwise known as ISIS.
Stupid article. No attempt to address the overwhelming problem - the Muslims already here, living in Europe, who tolerate Isis, or even, tacitly, support them. Closely followed by the hundreds of thousands of European Muslims who have grotesque beliefs (gays, women, apostasy) utterly at odds with modern liberal western values.
Fail. 2/10. Next.
They demanded mass immigration, called anyone racist who said there would be repercussions, and then when the repercussions happen, they demand we not join the dots - and demand the media do not cover the connection either. Left wingers refuse to take responsibility for the ramifications of their own polices.
If 99.9% muslims deplored these sorts of acts, there wouldn't be a pool of people with a warped interpretation of the faith to commit them in the first place. I agree with not painting the majority with the same brush as the minority who do commit these acts, or those that support it, but the simple fact is there are too many who do support it, pretending it's 0.1% is deluding ourselves.
I don't have a solution, I'm not sure there is one, but we have deluded ourselves enough in these decades of relative peace with the luxury of higher morals, that the world is not and has not always been a brutal place where people do brutal things with unfortunate regularity. Best we not delude ourselves further and instead acknowledge that the problem is too many people, even if they are a tiny majority, like or don't care about IS, the number is significant. And that if the Shia/Sunni mess which is at the root of a lot of geopolitical conflict in the region still flares up as we know it does, after 1000 years, it is impossible to fully eliminate.
Thank you, Kieran - another interesting contribution to the hot topic.
First thoughts on your article:
1) Stick together resist blaming the migrant crisis - true; nevertheless our response to the migrant crisis must take account of the wider factors.
2) The long war accept some degree of empowering the security services in ways we might not like - maybe, but probably there will be other 'things we might not like' which will have to be swallowed.
3) Military action Do we have the stomach for it? - Before we decide how many troops we are going to send abroad, we need to give some attention to that old sit-com stand-by Home Defence.
"At the “Quiz a Muslim” event held last night in the Corn Exchange in Bedford, panelists called British values were “junk”, demanded that Muslims should “define” British law, and ominously, appeared to suggest Muslims were at war with the British.
"At the “Quiz a Muslim” event held last night in the Corn Exchange in Bedford, panelists called British values were “junk”, demanded that Muslims should “define” British law, and ominously, appeared to suggest Muslims were at war with the British.
They could always go and live in the Middle East. Oh wait, it's a war zone.
Sorry, Keiran - can't agree with 80% of that. Immigration from fundamentally different cultures based on Islam has caused many many problems here that we didn't have before at the present rate:
What has Islam done for us since about 8th Century?
Are you seriously saying that there was no such thing as anti-semitism rotten boroughs, sexism and homophobia until the migrations of the 1950s? Seriously?
Belgian TV station is reporting that police raided up to three addresses in the Molenbeek district Brussels neighbourhood in connection with the Paris attacks.
Sorry, Keiran - can't agree with 80% of that. Immigration from fundamentally different cultures based on Islam has caused many many problems here that we didn't have before at the present rate:
Does anyone think Corbyn is the right guy for any of the above? He is going to get hammered for his positions week in, week out, and rightly so.
Do you not think his position on Iraq war was correct and that there wouldnt even be an ISIS?
There would be something else, probably equally abhorrent. Al Q existed before the Iraq war, and the other organisations have grown out of Al Q. The mindset was there, and the main source of the trouble - Sunni versus Shia - pre-date all European states.
Al Q's becoming pretty much a busted flush: their USP for such-minded idiots has been taken over by ISIS.
So yes, we'd still have trouble even without the Iraq War. It'd just have a different form, and perhaps be in a different place: Pakistan perhaps.
1. Draw no conclusions or connections regarding strains of Islam that threaten the PC orthodoxy within our own country. Steady as she goes, nothing to see here. Also, accept floods more.
2. Tolerate more state interference, snooping, email surveillance, whatever they want basically. Goodness, what a surprise.
Would they be a different sort of better Islam followers or even worse that our current crop?
I feel this is angel-head nitpicking differentiation by Keiran. We already have a substantial problem, adding to it doesn't help - it makes a bad situation more dangerous.
Sorry, Keiran - can't agree with 80% of that. Immigration from fundamentally different cultures based on Islam has caused many many problems here that we didn't have before at the present rate:
About the long war, the french approach to security obviously doesn't work, even with the highest state of alert the french police and military couldn't prevent it, therefore a defensive posture by reducing civil liberties and flooding the streets with police and the military doesn't work, it didn't work for the french and it didn't work for the russians (Moscow theater siege).
Only offensive actions can work on this, by moving the battlefield to the enemy, but the necessary brutality and realpolitics is not the style of the west since the second world war, again only the russians have shown in Chechnya what is necessary to subdue a radical muslim population to submission short of genocide. So imperial colonial traditions will have to be revived with all the nastiness that it entails, alternatively the UN can take over since a multinational UN force to subdue large portions of the muslim world that are currently in anarchy is more politically palatable than raising old anti-colonial feelings.
In short, the only thing that the government can do by itself is a good immigration policy, and ask for military help from non-western great powers to subdue the middle east, better to have Brazilian, Indian and Chinese troops mixed with western troops under the UN banner rather that western troops only under the american one in the middle east.
@YanniKouts: #Greece PublicOrderMin Toskas confirms Paris attacker w Syrian passport was registered as refugee on Leros island in Oct. /via @AntennaNews
November 2013 is after August 2013. Early 2014 is after August 2013. By any definition the Parliamentary vote was earlier.
Had FSA taken over they could be supported with the full apparatus of the Syrian state to defeat ISIL; besides in one way FSA support disappeared and went to ISIL once we decided to abandon the FSA in the face of Assad using chemical weapons on his people.
Rubbish, are you really saying that the FSA would have completed a full military victory over Assad in less than 8 weeks and consolidated their power in that time. If you do I have a bridge to sell you.
The FSA support "disappeared" because they were all killed by ISIS.
It took six weeks for Germany to invade France. More recently it took six weeks for the US to topple Saddam in Iraq. It took 8 weeks is a very long time. Had the FSA had the armaments and full support of the west they would not have all been killed.
The might and power of the third Reich or the US military is not comparable to that of the FSA even with western air support. It took the Libyan rebels 7 months to topple Gaddafi with full NATO support. How the FSA would have taken control of Syria in less than 8 weeks is something that must exist only in your mind because in the real world it would have been impossible.
My mind and the mind of Assad who felt so imperilled and desperate that he chose to use chemical weapons on his own populace despite knowing the likely consequence would be the US working to topple him if he did that. If the FSA was so powerless given that ISIL hadn't made their gains yet why did Assad choose to make this desperate attack. Your logic is fundamentally flawed.
Besides the FSA wasn't starting from zero. They'd already taken large swathes of the country by Aug 13 which of course was why Assad felt backed into a corner.
Does anyone think Corbyn is the right guy for any of the above? He is going to get hammered for his positions week in, week out, and rightly so.
Do you not think his position on Iraq war was correct and that there wouldnt even be an ISIS?
There would be something else, probably equally abhorrent. Al Q existed before the Iraq war, and the other organisations have grown out of Al Q. The mindset was there, and the main source of the trouble - Sunni versus Shia - pre-date all European states.
Al Q's becoming pretty much a busted flush: their USP for such-minded idiots has been taken over by ISIS.
So yes, we'd still have trouble even without the Iraq War. It'd just have a different form, and perhaps be in a different place: Pakistan perhaps.
I think it's likely the arab spring would have happened sooner - and played out differently, had we not gone into Iraq in '03.
Sorry, Keiran - can't agree with 80% of that. Immigration from fundamentally different cultures based on Islam has caused many many problems here that we didn't have before at the present rate:
@YanniKouts: #Greece PublicOrderMin Toskas confirms Paris attacker w Syrian passport was registered as refugee on Leros island in Oct. /via @AntennaNews
Sorry, Keiran - can't agree with 80% of that. Immigration from fundamentally different cultures based on Islam has caused many many problems here that we didn't have before at the present rate:
"But here’s the thing we must remember. We didn’t create ISIS and we didn’t create Al Qaeda."
I said last time after Keiran proposed that Chris Christie as VP would help the electoral chances of the GOP that Keiran should stop writing articles about elections, now I'm expanding that to articles in general.
Pardon me, but ISIS was created as an unfortunate result of funneling arms and funds to nasty shady guys in the syrian civil war, and Al-Qaeda was a CIA product in the fight against the soviets. What do you mean we didn't create them?
ISIS's roots are much older than the Syrian Civil War. The organisation started as a branch of Al Qaeda called 'Al Qaeda in Iraq', which in the mid-2000s became the Islamic State in Iraq.
After the Syrian civil war started, they started a Syrian branch called the Al Nusra Front, and the two organisations promptly fell out (allegedly because AlN was too 'moderate'); this was also part of a general fall out between Al Qaeda and ISI.
This led to ISI forming the Islamic State in Iraq and Levant (ISIL), which is otherwise known as ISIS.
I think!
When did the Al-Nusra become the friend of Israel ?
@YanniKouts: #Greece PublicOrderMin Toskas confirms Paris attacker w Syrian passport was registered as refugee on Leros island in Oct. /via @AntennaNews
Game over.
It's only just started. If true, he was one of the many here, soon to be joined by the millions Merkel invited.
Thousands of young men are going to be very angry and disillusioned when they don't get the house/job/money/bride they were expecting when they made it to Europe.
@YanniKouts: #Greece PublicOrderMin Toskas confirms Paris attacker w Syrian passport was registered as refugee on Leros island in Oct. /via @AntennaNews
Game over.
Was just going to post this. Not sure if true yet, but if it is....what has Merkel gone and bloody done?
“We must also resist suspicious glances at Muslims in general, 99.9% of whom deplore such actions as the Muslim Council of Britain has made clear.”
I have little time for the ‘The Muslim Council of GB’ and will continue to do so until their apologist rhetoric for Muslim atrocities within UK is matched by their corresponding condemnation of it.
Mr Pedley "We must also resist suspicious glances at Muslims in general, 99.9% of whom deplore such actions as the Muslim Council of Britain has made clear."
If only that 99.6% was true Mr Pedley. I did a quick search and found a poll from ICM quoted in the Labour party supporting Mirror. "It found that 3% have a “very favourable view”, up 1% from a year ago – suggesting that around half of Britain's three million Muslims could be ISIS sympathisers. " Was this survey completely wrong when we have hundreds rushing to join the death cult? http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/muslim-leader-isis-supporting-brits-disenfranchised-6018357
What exactly is your strategy to deal with the 1.5 million people said to support this bunch of rabid murderers? How can a country hope to have a cohesive safe environment when such a large number of its citizens think this way?
@YanniKouts: #Greece PublicOrderMin Toskas confirms Paris attacker w Syrian passport was registered as refugee on Leros island in Oct. /via @AntennaNews
Game over.
It's only just started. If true, he was one of the many here, soon to be joined by the millions Merkel invited.
The ramifications of this will be big, first of all the blame is now on 2 hands, Merkel and Tsipras, although Greece can no longer be described as a state but rather a German satellite, therefore Merkel gets more of the blame.
You know in British terms Merkel would be forced to resign.
Corbyn has some strange bedfellows - Stop the War, Milne, his fitness for office will be questioned regardless of Keiran's pleas.
Corbyn looked tired, old beyond his years and broken this morning. Being a tiresome teenage rebel for the last 50 years once responsibility caught up with him.
Corbyn is already the oldest leader of any major party in a third of a century. If he makes it through to 2020, he'll be the oldest in two-thirds of a century.
@YanniKouts: #Greece PublicOrderMin Toskas confirms Paris attacker w Syrian passport was registered as refugee on Leros island in Oct. /via @AntennaNews
@YanniKouts: #Greece PublicOrderMin Toskas confirms Paris attacker w Syrian passport was registered as refugee on Leros island in Oct. /via @AntennaNews
Game over.
Was just going to post this. Not sure if true yet, but if it is....what has Merkel gone and bloody done?
Merkel will go down as one of the most damaging politicians in European history.
I wonder how the Scots will feel about the thousands of refugees that Sturgeon wants to wave into Scotland.
@YanniKouts: #Greece PublicOrderMin Toskas confirms Paris attacker w Syrian passport was registered as refugee on Leros island in Oct. /via @AntennaNews
Game over.
Sky confirming the story.
As I said going on the defence by curtailing civil liberties and getting the army out hasn't worked, better to have a good immigration policy. We are lucky we didn't get many of those syrian refugees, thank's to the channel.
Sorry, Keiran - can't agree with 80% of that. Immigration from fundamentally different cultures based on Islam has caused many many problems here that we didn't have before at the present rate:
What has Islam done for us since about 8th Century?
Not justifying any of these which are all awful but we did already have the last four.
Gay rights is a modern idea as is female equality. Antisemitism was commonplace. While ritual slaughter has existed in this country since time immemorial, halal is just a translation of kosher, they are the same thing and we have (despite antisemitism) long allowed kosher slaughter.
We should be rid of them I agree. But these are not new imports.
November 2013 is after August 2013. Early 2014 is after August 2013. By any definition the Parliamentary vote was earlier.
Had FSA taken over they could be supported with the full apparatus of the Syrian state to defeat ISIL; besides in one way FSA support disappeared and went to ISIL once we decided to abandon the FSA in the face of Assad using chemical weapons on his people.
Rubbish, are you really saying that the FSA would have completed a full military victory over Assad in less than 8 weeks and consolidated their power in that time. If you do I have a bridge to sell you.
The FSA support "disappeared" because they were all killed by ISIS.
It took six weeks for Germany to invade France. More recently it took six weeks for the US to topple Saddam in Iraq. It took 8 weeks is a very long time. Had the FSA had the armaments and full support of the west they would not have all been killed.
The might and power of the third Reich or the US military is not comparable to that of the FSA even with western air support. It took the Libyan rebels 7 months to topple Gaddafi with full NATO support. How the FSA would have taken control of Syria in less than 8 weeks is something that must exist only in your mind because in the real world it would have been impossible.
My mind and the mind of Assad who felt so imperilled and desperate that he chose to use chemical weapons on his own populace despite knowing the likely consequence would be the US working to topple him if he did that. If the FSA was so powerless given that ISIL hadn't made their gains yet why did Assad choose to make this desperate attack. Your logic is fundamentally flawed.
Besides the FSA wasn't starting from zero. They'd already taken large swathes of the country by Aug 13 which of course was why Assad felt backed into a corner.
No they hadn't. Again you display your ignorance just like JosiasJessop. The opposition had taken large swathes of the country but by mid 2013 that opposition was not the FSA. It was far more radical groups.
@YanniKouts: #Greece PublicOrderMin Toskas confirms Paris attacker w Syrian passport was registered as refugee on Leros island in Oct. /via @AntennaNews
Merkel is even more comprehensively shafted than before. Be surprised if she makes it to Easter now. Pop goes her legacy.
Sorry, Keiran - can't agree with 80% of that. Immigration from fundamentally different cultures based on Islam has caused many many problems here that we didn't have before at the present rate:
@YanniKouts: #Greece PublicOrderMin Toskas confirms Paris attacker w Syrian passport was registered as refugee on Leros island in Oct. /via @AntennaNews
Game over.
It's only just started. If true, he was one of the many here, soon to be joined by the millions Merkel invited.
The ramifications of this will be big, first of all the blame is now on 2 hands, Merkel and Tsipras, although Greece can no longer be described as a state but rather a German satellite, therefore Merkel gets more of the blame.
You know in British terms Merkel would be forced to resign.
There are some things we are better at than the Germans. Taking responsibility for decisions is one.
@MichaelLCrick: Farage won't say more on Paris til Monday, but he'll no doubt say that reports at least one killer is Syrian refugee reflects his warnings
Sorry, Keiran - can't agree with 80% of that. Immigration from fundamentally different cultures based on Islam has caused many many problems here that we didn't have before at the present rate:
If 99.9% muslims deplored these sorts of acts, there wouldn't be a pool of people with a warped interpretation of the faith to commit them in the first place. I agree with not painting the majority with the same brush as the minority who do commit these acts, or those that support it, but the simple fact is there are too many who do support it, pretending it's 0.1% is deluding ourselves.
There are 1.57 billion Muslims in the world. If 0.1% don't deplore these sorts of acts then that's a pool of over 1.5 million to recruit individuals from.
Would they be a different sort of better Islam followers or even worse that our current crop?
I feel this is angel-head nitpicking differentiation by Keiran. We already have a substantial problem, adding to it doesn't help - it makes a bad situation more dangerous.
Sorry, Keiran - can't agree with 80% of that. Immigration from fundamentally different cultures based on Islam has caused many many problems here that we didn't have before at the present rate:
What has Islam done for us since about 8th Century?
Rightly or wrongly, I interpreted Kieran's reference to the migrant crisis as meaning the present vast numbers arriving & making the journey now.
Indeed we do already have a substantial problem. That's why I feel that 'Home Defence' should be top priority, before deciding to send our 'boots on the ground' elsewhere.
Of course, if we look back several decades or more, we can find many examples. I'm talking about now and in only certain very specific sections of society. Pretending this isn't true, insults everyone's intelligence. I'm not including you here.
Sorry, Keiran - can't agree with 80% of that. Immigration from fundamentally different cultures based on Islam has caused many many problems here that we didn't have before at the present rate:
What has Islam done for us since about 8th Century?
Not justifying any of these which are all awful but we did already have the last four.
Gay rights is a modern idea as is female equality. Antisemitism was commonplace. While ritual slaughter has existed in this country since time immemorial, halal is just a translation of kosher, they are the same thing and we have (despite antisemitism) long allowed kosher slaughter.
We should be rid of them I agree. But these are not new imports.
@MichaelLCrick: Farage won't say more on Paris til Monday, but he'll no doubt say that reports at least one killer is Syrian refugee reflects his warnings
How Farage uses this could decide the by election but he only has a week or so to make an impact.
A good post, Kieran, but given that we've learnt today that one of the terrorists was apparently registered as a refugee in Greece and given that IS specifically said that they would use the migrant crisis as a way of smuggling their fighters into Europe do you really think that we can keep the migrant crisis out of it?
Would they be a different sort of better Islam followers or even worse that our current crop?
I feel this is angel-head nitpicking differentiation by Keiran. We already have a substantial problem, adding to it doesn't help - it makes a bad situation more dangerous.
Sorry, Keiran - can't agree with 80% of that. Immigration from fundamentally different cultures based on Islam has caused many many problems here that we didn't have before at the present rate:
What has Islam done for us since about 8th Century?
Rightly or wrongly, I interpreted Kieran's reference to the migrant crisis as meaning the present vast numbers arriving & making the journey now.
Indeed we do already have a substantial problem. That's why I feel that 'Home Defence' should be top priority, before deciding to send our 'boots on the ground' elsewhere.
These people will not go away. Adopting a bunker mentality will fail in the long term. Besides, it's just plain irresponsible.
Plato's point would seem to be that we have moved on from many of these problems in our society, yet we now have them resurfacing thanks to Islamic culture.
Anyone who has lobbied for gay rights, against fascism, for female equality and so on can only logically take a position against Islamists and the creed they follow.
Would they be a different sort of better Islam followers or even worse that our current crop?
I feel this is angel-head nitpicking differentiation by Keiran. We already have a substantial problem, adding to it doesn't help - it makes a bad situation more dangerous.
Sorry, Keiran - can't agree with 80% of that. Immigration from fundamentally different cultures based on Islam has caused many many problems here that we didn't have before at the present rate:
What has Islam done for us since about 8th Century?
Rightly or wrongly, I interpreted Kieran's reference to the migrant crisis as meaning the present vast numbers arriving & making the journey now.
Indeed we do already have a substantial problem. That's why I feel that 'Home Defence' should be top priority, before deciding to send our 'boots on the ground' elsewhere.
I disagree, no matter how good are the defences as shown by the french and the russians they don't work, going on the offensive is the only practical solution, but you have to do it in a way that it obscures the western element for political reasons.
Sorry, Keiran - can't agree with 80% of that. Immigration from fundamentally different cultures based on Islam has caused many many problems here that we didn't have before at the present rate:
Would they be a different sort of better Islam followers or even worse that our current crop?
I feel this is angel-head nitpicking differentiation by Keiran. We already have a substantial problem, adding to it doesn't help - it makes a bad situation more dangerous.
Sorry, Keiran - can't agree with 80% of that. Immigration from fundamentally different cultures based on Islam has caused many many problems here that we didn't have before at the present rate:
What has Islam done for us since about 8th Century?
Rightly or wrongly, I interpreted Kieran's reference to the migrant crisis as meaning the present vast numbers arriving & making the journey now.
Indeed we do already have a substantial problem. That's why I feel that 'Home Defence' should be top priority, before deciding to send our 'boots on the ground' elsewhere.
These people will not go away. Adopting a bunker mentality will fail in the long term. Besides, it's just plain irresponsible.
Sorry, Keiran - can't agree with 80% of that. Immigration from fundamentally different cultures based on Islam has caused many many problems here that we didn't have before at the present rate:
Does anyone think Corbyn is the right guy for any of the above? He is going to get hammered for his positions week in, week out, and rightly so.
Do you not think his position on Iraq war was correct and that there wouldnt even be an ISIS?
There would be something else, probably equally abhorrent. Al Q existed before the Iraq war, and the other organisations have grown out of Al Q. The mindset was there, and the main source of the trouble - Sunni versus Shia - pre-date all European states.
Al Q's becoming pretty much a busted flush: their USP for such-minded idiots has been taken over by ISIS.
So yes, we'd still have trouble even without the Iraq War. It'd just have a different form, and perhaps be in a different place: Pakistan perhaps.
I think it's likely the arab spring would have happened sooner - and played out differently, had we not gone into Iraq in '03.
Yes, but I fear the end result would have been much the same. Al Q were just looking for areas to intervene in, and in fact they were present in several countries before the Iraq invasion, e.g. Sudan. The factors encouraging people into IS's hands (the concept of an Islamic State, ruled by Islamic laws) are pretty unrelated to the Iraq invasion.
It is why Al Qaeda could get plenty of recruits, and perform atrocities, before 2001.
@jamesmatesitv: If true that a #Parisattacks gunman arrived as refugee through Greece last month, attitudes to those coming to Europe cd change rather fast
Plato's point would seem to be that we have moved on from many of these problems in our society, yet we now have them resurfacing thanks to Islamic culture.
Anyone who has lobbied for gay rights, against fascism, for female equality and so on can only logically take a position against Islamists and the creed they follow.
@jamesmatesitv: If true that a #Parisattacks gunman arrived as refugee through Greece last month, attitudes to those coming to Europe cd change rather fast
I predict a Guardian article saying different within the next couple of days.
@YanniKouts: #Greece PublicOrderMin Toskas confirms Paris attacker w Syrian passport was registered as refugee on Leros island in Oct. /via @AntennaNews
Game over.
It's only just started. If true, he was one of the many here, soon to be joined by the millions Merkel invited.
Thousands of young men are going to be very angry and disillusioned when they don't get the house/job/money/bride they were expecting when they made it to Europe.
As I posted in the last thread, Germany expects to take close to A MILLION migrants alone.
Of course, if we look back several decades or more, we can find many examples. I'm talking about now and in only certain very specific sections of society. Pretending this isn't true, insults everyone's intelligence. I'm not including you here.
Sorry, Keiran - can't agree with 80% of that. Immigration from fundamentally different cultures based on Islam has caused many many problems here that we didn't have before at the present rate:
What has Islam done for us since about 8th Century?
Not justifying any of these which are all awful but we did already have the last four.
Gay rights is a modern idea as is female equality. Antisemitism was commonplace. While ritual slaughter has existed in this country since time immemorial, halal is just a translation of kosher, they are the same thing and we have (despite antisemitism) long allowed kosher slaughter.
We should be rid of them I agree. But these are not new imports.
Your position is utterly absurd. Women didn't have the right to vote in 1918. They do now. Homosexuality was a crime until the mid-1960s. It isn't now. MPs until the 1830s were elected on the basis of the vote of a single landowner. They aren't now.
Yet, you are saying that the situation in modern society is worse than these due to immigration of an ethnic minority since the 1960s?
Leaving it to the Sunnis and Shias to sort themselves out. What would STC say if there was an extended bloodbath?
Remind me when Corbyn left this mob?
The trouble is that Stop the War, or at least whoever writes these statements, seems to have absolutely no idea of the nature and motives of Islamic State. The Newstatesman has a lead article this week on the background. Bleak and at times profoundly upsetting reading.
A key point seems to be a belief in Caliphate and the need to wage 'aggressive' jihad (as opposed to 'defensive' jihad in response to events or threats). Their entire outlook is utterly nihilistic and seems, from my reading, to have more in common with the Nazi view of the need for total war in order to demonstrate who belongs to the superior race or, in this case, creed. The Stop the War brigade seem to think there is a negotiation to be had. Can they elaborate? From my reading this is sheer fantasy.
Sorry, Keiran - can't agree with 80% of that. Immigration from fundamentally different cultures based on Islam has caused many many problems here that we didn't have before at the present rate:
@YanniKouts: #Greece PublicOrderMin Toskas confirms Paris attacker w Syrian passport was registered as refugee on Leros island in Oct. /via @AntennaNews
Game over.
It's only just started. If true, he was one of the many here, soon to be joined by the millions Merkel invited.
The ramifications of this will be big, first of all the blame is now on 2 hands, Merkel and Tsipras, although Greece can no longer be described as a state but rather a German satellite, therefore Merkel gets more of the blame.
You know in British terms Merkel would be forced to resign.
There are some things we are better at than the Germans. Taking responsibility for decisions is one.
I'm not sure you can really get away with that comment.
Germany, since 1945, is possibly the greatest example of a society fully and unconditionally taking responsibility for its disastrous decisions.
Plato's point would seem to be that we have moved on from many of these problems in our society, yet we now have them resurfacing thanks to Islamic culture.
Anyone who has lobbied for gay rights, against fascism, for female equality and so on can only logically take a position against Islamists and the creed they follow.
What I find hard to get my head around is many of those that have traditionally fought the hardest against homophobia, inequality, animal rights etc etc etc, seem completely willing to turn a blind eye to it within a certain section of society.
But if Cameron says calm down dear, the outcry is deafening.
@jamesmatesitv: If true that a #Parisattacks gunman arrived as refugee through Greece last month, attitudes to those coming to Europe cd change rather fast
Bang goes the theory that all the Paris terrorist were home grown – Syrian refugees were the only group within the myriad of migrants presently flooding into Western Europe that had the people’s sympathy, - that too may now be gone.
@YanniKouts: #Greece PublicOrderMin Toskas confirms Paris attacker w Syrian passport was registered as refugee on Leros island in Oct. /via @AntennaNews
Merkel is even more comprehensively shafted than before. Be surprised if she makes it to Easter now. Pop goes her legacy.
I can't see Merkel lasting another week. She's kaput.
I know it's hard to write these pieces but I don't understand that last paragraph at all. Intergenerational conflict? Was this thing done by old people or something? And what does "nothing must be off the table" mean? Say ISIS were prepared to make a deal and leave us alone if we gave them Wales, is that on the table?
Reading between the lines, I think a bunch of people are going to try to persuade us to invade the middle east again, and if they get their way it's going to work out as well as it did all the other times.
Intergenerational conflict? Was this thing done by old people or something?
Rightly or wrongly, I interpreted the use of intergenerational here to mean 'lasting longer than a single generation'.
I think it's true that this is not going to be won in a single generation. But we either make a start now, or leave our children & grandchildren facing an even worse prospect.
Comments
@MichaelLCrick: Rennard is a bigger problem for Farron than it was even for Clegg, as it pits Farron agst Lib Dem lords, where remaining Lib Dem power lies
Corbyn looked tired, old beyond his years and broken this morning. Being a tiresome teenage rebel for the last 50 years once responsibility caught up with him.
I hope the TGV crash isn't as bad as some reports are making out. I think this must be the first fatal TGV derailment in France, which is quite a record. They didn't have fatal derailments when a bomb went off on board one, or when a line collapsed due to it falling into unknown WWI trenches.
The rest of the French network (i.e. non-high speed trains) is by all accounts falling to pieces, though.
Labour are completely screwed politically with appeasers like Corbyn at the top.
I said last time after Keiran proposed that Chris Christie as VP would help the electoral chances of the GOP that Keiran should stop writing articles about elections, now I'm expanding that to articles in general.
Pardon me, but ISIS was created as an unfortunate result of funneling arms and funds to nasty shady guys in the syrian civil war, and Al-Qaeda was a CIA product in the fight against the soviets. What do you mean we didn't create them?
Reading between the lines, I think a bunch of people are going to try to persuade us to invade the middle east again, and if they get their way it's going to work out as well as it did all the other times.
https://www.rt.com/news/322054-tgv-train-derails-eckwersheim/
It has apparently come off a viaduct and fallen into a canal. Given some of the carriages appear partly or mostly submerged, it'll be a pleasant surprise if only five are killed.
'Excessive speed' is initially being blamed.
Edit: according to some reports it was a test train, and as carrying no paying passengers.
nope - Corbyn and his merry band of trots etc are not the right people
This fight with fundamental Islam has been bubbling since the 1990s, well before Iraq, it would and will come in one form or another, in one location or another.
For example university's (which have been recruiting grounds if I recall correctly) must stop inviting pedallers of hate to talk.
No segregated audiences etc.
But even that is better than our "friends" : Saudi Arabia, the UAE. Qatar, Bahrain , Kuwait etc.
In Saudi Arabia , women are not allowed to drive. In Iran, 60% of Engineers are women ! Take your pick.
In the hundreds I believe?
Blackburn "THere is a poster on here called Roger who really is a despicable piece of work, earlier on this thread he said that if it was up to me there would be no Jews left."
What I said (to Floater) was this;
"The truth is that if you follow the logic of the Isams and Blackburns (and several other posters on here) there would be no Jews to escort to synagogues in Sweden (or here)."
Which was my response to this:
"Enoch Powell predicted this would happen, Farage has been warning this would happen... the people in power, and those who worship at their feet, have smeared them and denounced their predictions to the detriment of us all"
Enoch Powell didn't believe anyone who was not of English heritage could assimilate nor should.
After the Syrian civil war started, they started a Syrian branch called the Al Nusra Front, and the two organisations promptly fell out (allegedly because AlN was too 'moderate'); this was also part of a general fall out between Al Qaeda and ISI.
This led to ISI forming the Islamic State in Iraq and Levant (ISIL), which is otherwise known as ISIS.
I think!
I don't have a solution, I'm not sure there is one, but we have deluded ourselves enough in these decades of relative peace with the luxury of higher morals, that the world is not and has not always been a brutal place where people do brutal things with unfortunate regularity. Best we not delude ourselves further and instead acknowledge that the problem is too many people, even if they are a tiny majority, like or don't care about IS, the number is significant. And that if the Shia/Sunni mess which is at the root of a lot of geopolitical conflict in the region still flares up as we know it does, after 1000 years, it is impossible to fully eliminate.
First thoughts on your article:
1) Stick together
resist blaming the migrant crisis
- true; nevertheless our response to the migrant crisis must take account of the wider factors.
2) The long war
accept some degree of empowering the security services in ways we might not like
- maybe, but probably there will be other 'things we might not like' which will have to be swallowed.
3) Military action
Do we have the stomach for it?
- Before we decide how many troops we are going to send abroad, we need to give some attention to that old sit-com stand-by Home Defence.
http://www.breitbart.com/londo...
"At the “Quiz a Muslim” event held last night in the Corn Exchange in
Bedford, panelists called British values were “junk”, demanded that
Muslims should “define” British law, and ominously, appeared to suggest Muslims were at war with the British.
'They could always go and live in the Middle East. Oh wait, it's a war zone.'
Plenty of countries in the Middle East area that don't have wars that i'm sure they would be more comfortable living in.
Al Q's becoming pretty much a busted flush: their USP for such-minded idiots has been taken over by ISIS.
So yes, we'd still have trouble even without the Iraq War. It'd just have a different form, and perhaps be in a different place: Pakistan perhaps.
2. Tolerate more state interference, snooping, email surveillance, whatever they want basically. Goodness, what a surprise.
3. Bomb Syria.
4. Invade Syria.
Thanks for that Kieran.
I feel this is angel-head nitpicking differentiation by Keiran. We already have a substantial problem, adding to it doesn't help - it makes a bad situation more dangerous.
Only offensive actions can work on this, by moving the battlefield to the enemy, but the necessary brutality and realpolitics is not the style of the west since the second world war, again only the russians have shown in Chechnya what is necessary to subdue a radical muslim population to submission short of genocide. So imperial colonial traditions will have to be revived with all the nastiness that it entails, alternatively the UN can take over since a multinational UN force to subdue large portions of the muslim world that are currently in anarchy is more politically palatable than raising old anti-colonial feelings.
In short, the only thing that the government can do by itself is a good immigration policy, and ask for military help from non-western great powers to subdue the middle east, better to have Brazilian, Indian and Chinese troops mixed with western troops under the UN banner rather that western troops only under the american one in the middle east.
http://stopwar.org.uk/index.php/resources/stop-the-war-statements/stop-the-war-statement-the-terrorist-atrocity-in-paris-13-february-2015
Leaving it to the Sunnis and Shias to sort themselves out. What would STC say if there was an extended bloodbath?
Remind me when Corbyn left this mob?
@YanniKouts: #Greece PublicOrderMin Toskas confirms Paris attacker w Syrian passport was registered as refugee on Leros island in Oct. /via @AntennaNews
Besides the FSA wasn't starting from zero. They'd already taken large swathes of the country by Aug 13 which of course was why Assad felt backed into a corner.
' We must also resist suspicious glances at Muslims in general, 99.9% of whom deplore such actions as the Muslim Council of Britain has made clear.'
Any real evidence to support your 99.9% claim ?
The usual vacuous waffle from the Muslim Council every time we have mass murder is clearly not evidence.
Commonplace ritual slaughter of animals halal style ? How do you think Kosher meat comes to the table ?
Anti-Semitism ? I didn't know Hitler and the Nazis were Muslims.
Electoral fraud ? "Vote early, vote often".
Gay bashing ? Clause 28.
Thousands of young men are going to be very angry and disillusioned when they don't get the house/job/money/bride they were expecting when they made it to Europe.
I have little time for the ‘The Muslim Council of GB’ and will continue to do so until their apologist rhetoric for Muslim atrocities within UK is matched by their corresponding condemnation of it.
If only that 99.6% was true Mr Pedley. I did a quick search and found a poll from ICM quoted in the Labour party supporting Mirror. "It found that 3% have a “very favourable view”, up 1% from a year ago – suggesting that around half of Britain's three million Muslims could be ISIS sympathisers. " Was this survey completely wrong when we have hundreds rushing to join the death cult?
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/muslim-leader-isis-supporting-brits-disenfranchised-6018357
What exactly is your strategy to deal with the 1.5 million people said to support this bunch of rabid murderers? How can a country hope to have a cohesive safe environment when such a large number of its citizens think this way?
You know in British terms Merkel would be forced to resign.
I wonder how the Scots will feel about the thousands of refugees that Sturgeon wants to wave into Scotland.
Will we now read that "Yes but its only 0.000001% of the refugees who are terrorists...."
Eh Mr Pedley and the BBC Guardianista hand wringing moralising nut jobs?
We are lucky we didn't get many of those syrian refugees, thank's to the channel.
Gay rights is a modern idea as is female equality. Antisemitism was commonplace. While ritual slaughter has existed in this country since time immemorial, halal is just a translation of kosher, they are the same thing and we have (despite antisemitism) long allowed kosher slaughter.
We should be rid of them I agree. But these are not new imports.
Nailed it.
That's the maths.
Of course, if we look back several decades or more, we can find many examples. I'm talking about now and in only certain very specific sections of society. Pretending this isn't true, insults everyone's intelligence. I'm not including you here.
Anyone who has lobbied for gay rights, against fascism, for female equality and so on can only logically take a position against Islamists and the creed they follow.
@iainmartin1: .@cathynewman Sure. But a mindset that has dominated for 25 years - on migration, borders, security - has had it.
It is why Al Qaeda could get plenty of recruits, and perform atrocities, before 2001.
Can anyone pinpoint where it all went down hill?
Yet, you are saying that the situation in modern society is worse than these due to immigration of an ethnic minority since the 1960s?
A key point seems to be a belief in Caliphate and the need to wage 'aggressive' jihad (as opposed to 'defensive' jihad in response to events or threats). Their entire outlook is utterly nihilistic and seems, from my reading, to have more in common with the Nazi view of the need for total war in order to demonstrate who belongs to the superior race or, in this case, creed. The Stop the War brigade seem to think there is a negotiation to be had. Can they elaborate? From my reading this is sheer fantasy.
@jessicaelgot: We do not know if the passport holder is the Paris gunman - Syrian passports are valuable currency.
@jessicaelgot: The passport was found on the gunman's body. No official sources have said the holder and the gunman are the same person.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_astronomy
Germany, since 1945, is possibly the greatest example of a society fully and unconditionally taking responsibility for its disastrous decisions.
But if Cameron says calm down dear, the outcry is deafening.
Another person who helped Arab Terrorism is someone called the Lawrence of Arabia. But he was getting rid of the Turks, so OK then.
Rightly or wrongly, I interpreted the use of intergenerational here to mean 'lasting longer than a single generation'.
I think it's true that this is not going to be won in a single generation. But we either make a start now, or leave our children & grandchildren facing an even worse prospect.