Sorry, I thought you were a Labour supporter. The poll showed that while a majority of Corbyn supporters thought he'd make a good PM, there isn't a majority of Labour voters with the same opinion.
I know that!
So I wasn't accusing you of being a Corbyn supporter.
I meant 'I know that' in relation to what the poll says. I'm on my phone so it's difficult to highlight stuff in bold to make things more clear.
Yes, but in your reply to me you seemed to suggest I thought you were a Corbyn supporter. I never said that, nor did I imply it.
I think your use of 'your' in relation to accusing me of supporting Labour does by default imply that I support Corbyn!
Despite popular belief most people do not want to come to the UK.
I think the fact that there were more than 500,000 immigrants to the UK during the last year may suggest that lots and lots of people do want to come and live here. Probably more than we can cope with.
Sorry, I thought you were a Labour supporter. The poll showed that while a majority of Corbyn supporters thought he'd make a good PM, there isn't a majority of Labour voters with the same opinion.
I know that!
So I wasn't accusing you of being a Corbyn supporter.
I meant 'I know that' in relation to what the poll says. I'm on my phone so it's difficult to highlight stuff in bold to make things more clear.
Yes, but in your reply to me you seemed to suggest I thought you were a Corbyn supporter. I never said that, nor did I imply it.
I think your use of 'your' in relation to accusing me of supporting Labour does by default imply that I support Corbyn!
Are you serious? You can support Labour without supporting Corbyn.
The most obvious points are that: 1) We're a democracy 2) The Arab Spring worked almost nowhere (maybe Tunisia)
Still, if I could get more publicity when my next book comes out by saying something daft to get media coverage, I might well [though I'd prefer something witty and insightful].
It's interesting though, isn't it?
One can easily waltz through life believing everyone involved in the creative arts is a Lefty luvvie.
But both you and SeanT are successful publishing authors, and Marquee Mark is a big hitter involved in film production.
The most obvious points are that: 1) We're a democracy 2) The Arab Spring worked almost nowhere (maybe Tunisia)
Still, if I could get more publicity when my next book comes out by saying something daft to get media coverage, I might well [though I'd prefer something witty and insightful].
It's interesting though, isn't it?
One can easily waltz through life believing everyone involved in the creative arts is a Lefty luvvie.
But both you and SeanT are successful publishing authors, and Marquee Mark is a big hitter involved in film production.
The most obvious points are that: 1) We're a democracy 2) The Arab Spring worked almost nowhere (maybe Tunisia)
Still, if I could get more publicity when my next book comes out by saying something daft to get media coverage, I might well [though I'd prefer something witty and insightful].
It's interesting though, isn't it?
One can easily waltz through life believing everyone involved in the creative arts is a Lefty luvvie.
But both you and SeanT are successful publishing authors, and Marquee Mark is a big hitter involved in film production.
None of you are left-wing at all.
I note that you have pointedly omitted to say they are not luvvies. ;-) SeanT is most definitely a luvvie.
Sorry, I thought you were a Labour supporter. The poll showed that while a majority of Corbyn supporters thought he'd make a good PM, there isn't a majority of Labour voters with the same opinion.
I know that!
So I wasn't accusing you of being a Corbyn supporter.
I meant 'I know that' in relation to what the poll says. I'm on my phone so it's difficult to highlight stuff in bold to make things more clear.
Yes, but in your reply to me you seemed to suggest I thought you were a Corbyn supporter. I never said that, nor did I imply it.
I think your use of 'your' in relation to accusing me of supporting Labour does by default imply that I support Corbyn!
Are you serious? You can support Labour without supporting Corbyn.
The most obvious points are that: 1) We're a democracy 2) The Arab Spring worked almost nowhere (maybe Tunisia)
Still, if I could get more publicity when my next book comes out by saying something daft to get media coverage, I might well [though I'd prefer something witty and insightful].
It's interesting though, isn't it?
One can easily waltz through life believing everyone involved in the creative arts is a Lefty luvvie.
But both you and SeanT are successful publishing authors, and Marquee Mark is a big hitter involved in film production.
The most obvious points are that: 1) We're a democracy 2) The Arab Spring worked almost nowhere (maybe Tunisia)
Still, if I could get more publicity when my next book comes out by saying something daft to get media coverage, I might well [though I'd prefer something witty and insightful].
It's interesting though, isn't it?
One can easily waltz through life believing everyone involved in the creative arts is a Lefty luvvie.
But both you and SeanT are successful publishing authors, and Marquee Mark is a big hitter involved in film production.
Sorry, I thought you were a Labour supporter. The poll showed that while a majority of Corbyn supporters thought he'd make a good PM, there isn't a majority of Labour voters with the same opinion.
I know that!
So I wasn't accusing you of being a Corbyn supporter.
I meant 'I know that' in relation to what the poll says. I'm on my phone so it's difficult to highlight stuff in bold to make things more clear.
Yes, but in your reply to me you seemed to suggest I thought you were a Corbyn supporter. I never said that, nor did I imply it.
I think your use of 'your' in relation to accusing me of supporting Labour does by default imply that I support Corbyn!
Are you serious? You can support Labour without supporting Corbyn.
I'm completely serious.
So people who don't support Corbyn aren't Labour supporters? What about all the members who didn't vote for him in the election? Unspoofable, as some might say.
The most obvious points are that: 1) We're a democracy 2) The Arab Spring worked almost nowhere (maybe Tunisia)
Still, if I could get more publicity when my next book comes out by saying something daft to get media coverage, I might well [though I'd prefer something witty and insightful].
It's interesting though, isn't it?
One can easily waltz through life believing everyone involved in the creative arts is a Lefty luvvie.
But both you and SeanT are successful publishing authors, and Marquee Mark is a big hitter involved in film production.
None of you are left-wing at all.
SeanT voted LibDem in 2010.
But that was tactical - the Conservatives couldn't unseat Labour where he lived.
Mr. Royale, kind of you to say so, but at the moment I'm very much Japan compared to the All Blacks. [Hoping next year, with a potential (and ridiculous) 5 books will mark a change in my fortunes].
I do agree that it can often seem writers and the like are lefties to a man, but it isn't the case. As for being a luvvie, I'm a grizzled Yorkshireman.
F1: got a message back from Ladbrokes, which surprised me, about the Merhi bet. Politely asked for the bet to be corrected (ie counted as a win), and will let people know how that turns out.
Sorry, I thought you were a Labour supporter. The poll showed that while a majority of Corbyn supporters thought he'd make a good PM, there isn't a majority of Labour voters with the same opinion.
I know that!
So I wasn't accusing you of being a Corbyn supporter.
I meant 'I know that' in relation to what the poll says. I'm on my phone so it's difficult to highlight stuff in bold to make things more clear.
Yes, but in your reply to me you seemed to suggest I thought you were a Corbyn supporter. I never said that, nor did I imply it.
I think your use of 'your' in relation to accusing me of supporting Labour does by default imply that I support Corbyn!
Are you serious? You can support Labour without supporting Corbyn.
I'm completely serious.
So people who don't support Corbyn aren't Labour supporters? What about all the members who didn't vote for him in the election? Unspoofable, as some might say.
Not necessarily, but what I've seen most of those who don't support Corbyn (including myself) no longer (or don't intend to) vote Labour.
Those of you who are in the business of selling , particularly, to the manufacturing industry: how is your business doing in the last 3 months ? We have seen our order books recover last year and kind of peaking in Q1 but then started to fall. In Q3, it is looking like our total order book will be about 25% below end of March.
From May onwards, it has been falling continuously.
Sorry, I thought you were a Labour supporter. The poll showed that while a majority of Corbyn supporters thought he'd make a good PM, there isn't a majority of Labour voters with the same opinion.
I know that!
So I wasn't accusing you of being a Corbyn supporter.
I meant 'I know that' in relation to what the poll says. I'm on my phone so it's difficult to highlight stuff in bold to make things more clear.
Yes, but in your reply to me you seemed to suggest I thought you were a Corbyn supporter. I never said that, nor did I imply it.
I think your use of 'your' in relation to accusing me of supporting Labour does by default imply that I support Corbyn!
Are you serious? You can support Labour without supporting Corbyn.
I'm completely serious.
So people who don't support Corbyn aren't Labour supporters? What about all the members who didn't vote for him in the election? Unspoofable, as some might say.
Not necessarily, but what I've seen most of those who don't support Corbyn (including myself) no longer (or don't intend to) vote Labour.
So you are saying those who live in Yvette Cooper's constituency will not vote for her because Corbyn is the leader ?
Those of you who are in the business of selling , particularly, to the manufacturing industry: how is your business doing in the last 3 months ? We have seen our order books recover last year and kind of peaking in Q1 but then started to fall. In Q3, it is looking like our total order book will be about 25% below end of March.
From May onwards, it has been falling continuously.
I presume we must assume the 37% who think Corbyn 'patriotic' are either living in a parallel universe or (more likely) don't actually know who he is.
I think Jezza is patriotic.
Our National Anthem is not about the country but about the Monarch. Who does a republican support when England plays an international ?
It is like saying the French are not patriotic as they do not have a family of free-loaders !
The trouble is you can't over-think these things. It may be about a Monarch and it may be about God which isn't great for Atheist Republicans but in the end it IS the national anthem. I'm not sure Corbyn will be able to brush it off. We may not be the most patriotic nation but he has a job on his hands to convince us he likes Britain.
Calling PB Business community: Those of you who are in the business of selling , particularly, to the manufacturing industry: how is your business doing in the last 3 months ? We have seen our order books recover last year and kind of peaking in Q1 but then started to fall. In Q3, it is looking like our total order book will be about 25% below end of March. From May onwards, it has been falling continuously.
Sorry, I thought you were a Labour supporter. The poll showed that while a majority of Corbyn supporters thought he'd make a good PM, there isn't a majority of Labour voters with the same opinion.
I know that!
So I wasn't accusing you of being a Corbyn supporter.
I meant 'I know that' in relation to what the poll says. I'm on my phone so it's difficult to highlight stuff in bold to make things more clear.
Yes, but in your reply to me you seemed to suggest I thought you were a Corbyn supporter. I never said that, nor did I imply it.
I think your use of 'your' in relation to accusing me of supporting Labour does by default imply that I support Corbyn!
Are you serious? You can support Labour without supporting Corbyn.
I'm completely serious.
So people who don't support Corbyn aren't Labour supporters? What about all the members who didn't vote for him in the election? Unspoofable, as some might say.
Not necessarily, but what I've seen most of those who don't support Corbyn (including myself) no longer (or don't intend to) vote Labour.
So you are saying those who live in Yvette Cooper's constituency will not vote for her because Corbyn is the leader ?
No! You can live in Cooper's constituency and still support Corbyn's leadership.
I presume we must assume the 37% who think Corbyn 'patriotic' are either living in a parallel universe or (more likely) don't actually know who he is.
I think Jezza is patriotic.
Our National Anthem is not about the country but about the Monarch. Who does a republican support when England plays an international ?
It is like saying the French are not patriotic as they do not have a family of free-loaders !
The trouble is you can't over-think these things. It may be about a Monarch and it may be about God which isn't great for Atheist Republicans but in the end it IS the national anthem. I'm not sure Corbyn will be able to brush it off. We may not be the most patriotic nation but he has a job on his hands to convince us he likes Britain.
I presume we must assume the 37% who think Corbyn 'patriotic' are either living in a parallel universe or (more likely) don't actually know who he is.
I think Jezza is patriotic.
Our National Anthem is not about the country but about the Monarch. Who does a republican support when England plays an international ?
It is like saying the French are not patriotic as they do not have a family of free-loaders !
The trouble is you can't over-think these things. It may be about a Monarch and it may be about God which isn't great for Atheist Republicans but in the end it IS the national anthem. I'm not sure Corbyn will be able to brush it off. We may not be the most patriotic nation but he has a job on his hands to convince us he likes Britain.
I do not have any evidence to disbelieve or believe in the god and I certainly do not believe in saving the queen above anyone else, but it is fine. The British monarchy is a tool controlled by the democratic representative institutions and used to organise certain state affairs. It is irrational but not a priority when so much else is more wrong.
"I really believe that meat should be treated in exactly the same way as tobacco, with public campaigns to stop people eating it." -- Kerry McCarthy, prospective Minister for Agriculture
I've been a vegetarian for nearly 24 years, since my 16th birthday
Those of you who are in the business of selling , particularly, to the manufacturing industry: how is your business doing in the last 3 months ? We have seen our order books recover last year and kind of peaking in Q1 but then started to fall. In Q3, it is looking like our total order book will be about 25% below end of March.
From May onwards, it has been falling continuously.
End of election mini boom?
Or being out classed/outpriced by a competitor, or selling an out of date product or selling into a failing sector/firms within industry or any of a thousand and one other reasons. As people often point out on here anecdote is not data, the fact that Surbiton's firm is going in the shitter on its own tells us nothing about the state of UK manufacturing.
I presume we must assume the 37% who think Corbyn 'patriotic' are either living in a parallel universe or (more likely) don't actually know who he is.
I think Jezza is patriotic.
Our National Anthem is not about the country but about the Monarch. Who does a republican support when England plays an international ?
It is like saying the French are not patriotic as they do not have a family of free-loaders !
The trouble is you can't over-think these things. It may be about a Monarch and it may be about God which isn't great for Atheist Republicans but in the end it IS the national anthem. I'm not sure Corbyn will be able to brush it off. We may not be the most patriotic nation but he has a job on his hands to convince us he likes Britain.
I do not have any evidence to disbelieve or believe in the god and I certainly do not believe in saving the queen above anyone else, but it is fine. The British monarchy is a tool controlled by the democratic representative institutions and used to organise certain state affairs. It is irrational but not a priority when so much else is more wrong.
"Got it all wrong, holy man! I absolutely believe in God... and I absolutely hate the f***er!" - Riddick.
Sorry, I thought you were a Labour supporter. The poll showed that while a majority of Corbyn supporters thought he'd make a good PM, there isn't a majority of Labour voters with the same opinion.
I know that!
So I wasn't accusing you of being a Corbyn supporter.
I meant 'I know that' in relation to what the poll says. I'm on my phone so it's difficult to highlight stuff in bold to make things more clear.
Yes, but in your reply to me you seemed to suggest I thought you were a Corbyn supporter. I never said that, nor did I imply it.
I think your use of 'your' in relation to accusing me of supporting Labour does by default imply that I support Corbyn!
Are you serious? You can support Labour without supporting Corbyn.
I'm completely serious.
So people who don't support Corbyn aren't Labour supporters? What about all the members who didn't vote for him in the election? Unspoofable, as some might say.
Not necessarily, but what I've seen most of those who don't support Corbyn (including myself) no longer (or don't intend to) vote Labour.
So you are saying those who live in Yvette Cooper's constituency will not vote for her because Corbyn is the leader ?
No! You can live in Cooper's constituency and still support Corbyn's leadership.
That wasn't surbiton's point. It's clear you are just trolling now.
Those of you who are in the business of selling , particularly, to the manufacturing industry: how is your business doing in the last 3 months ? We have seen our order books recover last year and kind of peaking in Q1 but then started to fall. In Q3, it is looking like our total order book will be about 25% below end of March.
From May onwards, it has been falling continuously.
End of election mini boom?
Or being out classed/outpriced by a competitor, or selling an out of date product or selling into a failing sector/firms within industry or any of a thousand and one other reasons. As people often point out on here anecdote is not data, the fact that Surbiton's firm is going in the shitter on its own tells us nothing about the state of UK manufacturing.
That's a bit harsh and personal. Quite a few profit warnings out there at the moment.
Those of you who are in the business of selling , particularly, to the manufacturing industry: how is your business doing in the last 3 months ? We have seen our order books recover last year and kind of peaking in Q1 but then started to fall. In Q3, it is looking like our total order book will be about 25% below end of March.
From May onwards, it has been falling continuously.
End of election mini boom?
Or being out classed/outpriced by a competitor, or selling an out of date product or selling into a failing sector/firms within industry or any of a thousand and one other reasons. As people often point out on here anecdote is not data, the fact that Surbiton's firm is going in the shitter on its own tells us nothing about the state of UK manufacturing.
Funny, you should say that. Despite those stats, our market share is actually increasing ! I await Q3 numbers at the end of October.
We sell to the heart of British Manufacturing industry. Automotive, Food, Mobile, Packaging, Steel ..................... It's not good, I can tell you.
Why do you concentrate on Osborne as being the next Conservative leader? Have a look at the alternatives - forget Boris and May they are the past - look at some of the youngsters coming through the pack. My money remains on the contest being between Liz Truss and Sajid Javid (assuming neither of them blow up in the stables between now and the race). Justine Greening ought to have made the start but she has been so thoroughly house trained by the DfID I very much doubt she will get a look in (much to Morris Dancer's disappointment I am sure).
Q: Are they going to advocate leaving the EC? A: No Therefore why would the 60% of members that want to leave the EC vote for them? Only 30% to 33% want to remain.
Why do you concentrate on Osborne as being the next Conservative leader? Have a look at the alternatives - forget Boris and May they are the past - look at some of the youngsters coming through the pack. My money remains on the contest being between Liz Truss and Sajid Javid (assuming neither of them blow up in the stables between now and the race). Justine Greening ought to have made the start but she has been so thoroughly house trained by the DfID I very much doubt she will get a look in (much to Morris Dancer's disappointment I am sure).
Q: Are they going to advocate leaving the EC? A: No Therefore why would the 60% of members that want to leave the EC vote for them? Only 30% to 33% want to remain.
Tory voters are split down the middle. If Cameron does leave before the election history says either Osborne or Hammond will succeed him as the Tories in power always pick the Chancellor or Foreign Secretary otherwise Boris has the best poll ratings and would be the only other likely choice
Sorry, I thought you were a Labour supporter. The poll showed that while a majority of Corbyn supporters thought he'd make a good PM, there isn't a majority of Labour voters with the same opinion.
I know that!
So I wasn't accusing you of being a Corbyn supporter.
I meant 'I know that' in relation to what the poll says. I'm on my phone so it's difficult to highlight stuff in bold to make things more clear.
Yes, but in your reply to me you seemed to suggest I thought you were a Corbyn supporter. I never said that, nor did I imply it.
I think your use of 'your' in relation to accusing me of supporting Labour does by default imply that I support Corbyn!
Are you serious? You can support Labour without supporting Corbyn.
I'm completely serious.
So people who don't support Corbyn aren't Labour supporters? What about all the members who didn't vote for him in the election? Unspoofable, as some might say.
Not necessarily, but what I've seen most of those who don't support Corbyn (including myself) no longer (or don't intend to) vote Labour.
So you are saying those who live in Yvette Cooper's constituency will not vote for her because Corbyn is the leader ?
No! You can live in Cooper's constituency and still support Corbyn's leadership.
That wasn't surbiton's point. It's clear you are just trolling now.
I'm not trolling, though I've just re-read the post though and I'm not sure what point he/she was making. PB has this odd habit of reading the completely wrong conclusions into things its the only site I've had this issue with.
"I really believe that meat should be treated in exactly the same way as tobacco, with public campaigns to stop people eating it." -- Kerry McCarthy, prospective Minister for Agriculture
I've been a vegetarian for nearly 24 years, since my 16th birthday
Well you'll survive just a bit longer than the rest of us, come the revolution.
"I really believe that meat should be treated in exactly the same way as tobacco, with public campaigns to stop people eating it." -- Kerry McCarthy, prospective Minister for Agriculture
I've been a vegetarian for nearly 24 years, since my 16th birthday
Well you'll survive just a bit longer than the rest of us, come the revolution.
Corbyn may have a net negative rating but Labour are polling more than Foot or Brown got and level with Miliband. So while the average voter is hostile to him Corbyn voters are strongly behind him
Despite popular belief most people do not want to come to the UK.'
You do come up with some rubbish.
In 2014 UK accepted 14,605 asylum seekers more than 17 other EU countries combined.
Changes in population during the past 20 years Germany - 0.5 million UK + 7 million.
For some years the UK has been helping other nations to take migrants. We have taken several million EU migrants, leaving space in their countries to take up the flood invited in by Frau Merkel
It's not that surprising Corbyn has scored a negative figure. Besides being a divisive figure, he has faced a barrage load of negative publicity - so his figures were hardly going to be great. Interesting though that VI isn't that bad for Labour and hasn't been in any non ComRes poll for the most part. What matters however is not how Corbyn compares with Cameron, but with Osborne.
I recall that poll, however most polls previously - including one by MORI, show them pretty much neck and neck. That question also doesn't tell us much - just percentage figures from certain groups. It doesn't tell us don't knows, Osborne's own favourbility figures, or even how many people think Osborne would be a better PM than Corbyn.
It tells us less than half of Labour voters think Corbyn would be a better PM than Osborne.
Yes and as I said before it doesn't tell us the amount of DKs or figures for the reverse question.
Will that change the fact that less than half your own supporters don't think he'd be good. Hard to imagine Corbyn changing his ways significantly enough to shift these figures. Of course, if the great purge goes ahead, then it's anyone's guess.
I don't dispute that - but if it's a contest between terrible vs terrible then it makes it a contest of who is the least bad.
Net approval +19. Not exactly terrible for our heir-to-a-baronetcy.
That is specifically for his performance as Chancellor. As Brown found out, people accept a "competent" unlikeable person as Chancellor who can be seen but not heard, but as PM/leader you need to pass the "I'd like to have a drink with him" test.
Pity there wasn't a Mori question on where voters saw Corbyn.
Soft left/Hard left/ Commie.. Toss up between hard left and Commie methinks
Corbyn's Labour is only slightly ahead of the Tories on the "extreme" question (and "Red Ed"'s Labour in April was behind the Tories on that question).
The Pope makes a speech to the great and good in the USA..and then goes to lunch with some homeless people...What a hypocrite..He continuously tells the poor people of the world to make more babies..the future poor and homeless..Never mind..he can always pop back onto his private jet and whisk away to one of his many palaces..along with his well fed team..
It's not that surprising Corbyn has scored a negative figure. Besides being a divisive figure, he has faced a barrage load of negative publicity - so his figures were hardly going to be great. Interesting though that VI isn't that bad for Labour and hasn't been in any non ComRes poll for the most part. What matters however is not how Corbyn compares with Cameron, but with Osborne.
I recall that poll, however most polls previously - including one by MORI, show them pretty much neck and neck. That question also doesn't tell us much - just percentage figures from certain groups. It doesn't tell us don't knows, Osborne's own favourbility figures, or even how many people think Osborne would be a better PM than Corbyn.
It tells us less than half of Labour voters think Corbyn would be a better PM than Osborne.
Yes and as I said before it doesn't tell us the amount of DKs or figures for the reverse question.
Will that change the fact that less than half your own supporters don't think he'd be good. Hard to imagine Corbyn changing his ways significantly enough to shift these figures. Of course, if the great purge goes ahead, then it's anyone's guess.
I don't dispute that - but if it's a contest between terrible vs terrible then it makes it a contest of who is the least bad.
Net approval +19. Not exactly terrible for our heir-to-a-baronetcy.
That is specifically for his performance as Chancellor. As Brown found out, people accept a "competent" unlikeable person as Chancellor who can be seen but not heard, but as PM/leader you need to pass the "I'd like to have a drink with him" test.
Not if your opponent is too extreme, which is why Nixon trounced McGovern, Thatcher Foot and Brown would have comfortably beaten Howard in 2005 despite none of the 3 really passing the likeability test, Thatcher at least had charisma the other two did not Corbyn does not even look like a strong charismatic leader either
Corbyn may have a net negative rating but Labour are polling more than Foot or Brown got and level with Miliband. So while the average voter is hostile to him Corbyn voters are strongly behind him
TBF, he is polling worse than they all were in the early weeks of their leadership (although all of them bar Brown inherited a better position, and the current polls are slightly better than they were this summer when the then-leadership were tripping over themselves to say how much they agreed with the Tories and abstaining on welfare cuts).
Those of you who are in the business of selling , particularly, to the manufacturing industry: how is your business doing in the last 3 months ? We have seen our order books recover last year and kind of peaking in Q1 but then started to fall. In Q3, it is looking like our total order book will be about 25% below end of March.
From May onwards, it has been falling continuously.
I have three businesses in various parts of the tech sector, and all of them are reporting record revenues and orders right now. However, I would note that there is zero China exposure, and lots of Continental Europe, so what was a hinderance in 2013 in a help now.
Pity there wasn't a Mori question on where voters saw Corbyn.
Soft left/Hard left/ Commie.. Toss up between hard left and Commie methinks
Corbyn's Labour is only slightly ahead of the Tories on the "extreme" question (and "Red Ed"'s Labour in April was behind the Tories on that question).
Labour is 7 points ahead of the Tories on which party is more extreme
Why do you concentrate on Osborne as being the next Conservative leader? Have a look at the alternatives - forget Boris and May they are the past - look at some of the youngsters coming through the pack. My money remains on the contest being between Liz Truss and Sajid Javid (assuming neither of them blow up in the stables between now and the contest). Justine Greening ought to have made the start but she has been so thoroughly house trained by the DfID I very much doubt she will get a look in (much to Morris Dancer's disappointment I am sure).
Liz Truss and Javid youngsters! In all seriousness I think Javid will only bid for the leadership if Osborbe doesn't and Truss doesn't appear to have that much of a base.
I was thinking about this earlier. There are 330 MPs which means you need to get 111 on the last ballot of MPs to be sure of a place in the members' ballot. People seem to have forgotten about the Tory right when it comes to the leadership contest.
How many are there now on the Right? There are maybe 40 hardcore right wingers and maybe another 50 who are sympathetic. So it is unlikely the candidate of the right (say Patterson) will win but they could still be influential. Suppose the last 4 candidates had votes as follows:
Osborne - 101 May - 90 Boris - 84 Patterson - 55
So Patterson is eliminated. Now his voters could all switch to the most right wing candidate (maybe May) so she has a clear lead when it goes to the members. Or they could decide to get rid of the candidate they liked the last (say Osborne) and split their votes between the other 2 candidates to get rid of him.
Each MP ballot is held on a different day which allows plenty of opportunities for tactical voting (as happened to Portillo in 2005)
The Pope makes a speech to the great and good in the USA..and then goes to lunch with some homeless people...What a hypocrite..He continuously tells the poor people of the world to make more babies..the future poor and homeless..Never mind..he can always pop back onto his private jet and whisk away to one of his many palaces..along with his well fed team..
This is such a classist comment. Plenty of good people came from poor families.
The Pope makes a speech to the great and good in the USA..and then goes to lunch with some homeless people...What a hypocrite..He continuously tells the poor people of the world to make more babies..the future poor and homeless..Never mind..he can always pop back onto his private jet and whisk away to one of his many palaces..along with his well fed team..
Rubbish. He is travelling in a Fiat he lives in a modest apartment and at night often leaves the Vatican to provide food and clothes for the homeless. He does far more for the poor than most world leaders and he is a Catholic not a communist
The most obvious points are that: 1) We're a democracy 2) The Arab Spring worked almost nowhere (maybe Tunisia)
Still, if I could get more publicity when my next book comes out by saying something daft to get media coverage, I might well [though I'd prefer something witty and insightful].
It's interesting though, isn't it?
One can easily waltz through life believing everyone involved in the creative arts is a Lefty luvvie.
But both you and SeanT are successful publishing authors, and Marquee Mark is a big hitter involved in film production.
None of you are left-wing at all.
SeanT voted LibDem in 2010.
But that was tactical - the Conservatives couldn't unseat Labour where he lived.
Nah, he's a secret lefty. It's like with closet homosexuals getting all macho to hide their gay-ness.
Corbyn may have a net negative rating but Labour are polling more than Foot or Brown got and level with Miliband. So while the average voter is hostile to him Corbyn voters are strongly behind him
TBF, he is polling worse than they all were in the early weeks of their leadership (although all of them bar Brown inherited a better position, and the current polls are slightly better than they were this summer when the then-leadership were tripping over themselves to say how much they agreed with the Tories and abstaining on welfare cuts).
A lot of historical things Corbyn had said or done is being played like a broken record. It has not had as big an impact as I thought it might. The more the Tories and their hanger-on's keep repeating, the more familiar it will become.
I do not think Anti-austerity will be unpopular. No matter who brings up what poll, there is a large constituency in the country who vote and also currently, do not vote, who have suffered real decreases in income.
No one would have believed Syriza [ the equivalent of Communists ] would win twice in nine months, two years ago !
China, strong pound ... lots of indicators are not going the right way.
EPG.. I know..I am one of them..what we don't need is someone who lives like a billionaire telling the poor people around the world to have more babies.. to be born into extreme poverty and starvation..and he wraps the message around religion.. so they obey him...it is total hypocrisy..
Corbyn may have a net negative rating but Labour are polling more than Foot or Brown got and level with Miliband. So while the average voter is hostile to him Corbyn voters are strongly behind him
TBF, he is polling worse than they all were in the early weeks of their leadership (although all of them bar Brown inherited a better position, and the current polls are slightly better than they were this summer when the then-leadership were tripping over themselves to say how much they agreed with the Tories and abstaining on welfare cuts).
Unlike Foot he does not have the SDP to deal with and unlike Brown he is not a fag end PM producing a recession so Labour will likely stay around 30%
China is not all bad news. The devaluations of the Yuan should bring deflationary pressures and along with wage rises, help to ease the cost of living crisis.
"I really believe that meat should be treated in exactly the same way as tobacco, with public campaigns to stop people eating it." -- Kerry McCarthy, prospective Minister for Agriculture
I've been a vegetarian for nearly 24 years, since my 16th birthday
Well you'll survive just a bit longer than the rest of us, come the revolution.
Why do you concentrate on Osborne as being the next Conservative leader? Have a look at the alternatives - forget Boris and May they are the past - look at some of the youngsters coming through the pack. My money remains on the contest being between Liz Truss and Sajid Javid (assuming neither of them blow up in the stables between now and the contest). Justine Greening ought to have made the start but she has been so thoroughly house trained by the DfID I very much doubt she will get a look in (much to Morris Dancer's disappointment I am sure).
Liz Truss and Javid youngsters! In all seriousness I think Javid will only bid for the leadership if Osborbe doesn't and Truss doesn't appear to have that much of a base.
I was thinking about this earlier. There are 330 MPs which means you need to get 111 on the last ballot of MPs to be sure of a place in the members' ballot. People seem to have forgotten about the Tory right when it comes to the leadership contest.
How many are there now on the Right? There are maybe 40 hardcore right wingers and maybe another 50 who are sympathetic. So it is unlikely the candidate of the right (say Patterson) will win but they could still be influential. ...
I would put the hardline Leave as 90+ Almost that number of backbenchers voted in previous 2010 HoC agst Cameron for referendum. I guess the BTL mp's about to be hit by Osborne is 30%+ These will be anti-Osborne. Then there are the approx 1/3 to 1/2 anti Cameron/Osborne due to being overlooked. Some of these three groups are the same but not all. The anti-osborne goup could easily be 2/3 of the MPs. As Portillo found out....
The Pope makes a speech to the great and good in the USA..and then goes to lunch with some homeless people...What a hypocrite..He continuously tells the poor people of the world to make more babies..the future poor and homeless..Never mind..he can always pop back onto his private jet and whisk away to one of his many palaces..along with his well fed team..
And as for his comments on capital punishment... he must have a great sense of irony!
Why do you concentrate on Osborne as being the next Conservative leader? Have a look at the alternatives - forget Boris and May they are the past - look at some of the youngsters coming through the pack. My money remains on the contest being between Liz Truss and Sajid Javid (assuming neither of them blow up in the stables between now and the contest). Justine Greening ought to have made the start but she has been so thoroughly house trained by the DfID I very much doubt she will get a look in (much to Morris Dancer's disappointment I am sure).
Liz Truss and Javid youngsters! In all seriousness I think Javid will only bid for the leadership if Osborbe doesn't and Truss doesn't appear to have that much of a base.
I was thinking about this earlier. There are 330 MPs which means you need to get 111 on the last ballot of MPs to be sure of a place in the members' ballot. People seem to have forgotten about the Tory right when it comes to the leadership contest.
How many are there now on the Right? There are maybe 40 hardcore right wingers and maybe another 50 who are sympathetic. So it is unlikely the candidate of the right (say Patterson) will win but they could still be influential. Suppose the last 4 candidates had votes as follows:
Osborne - 101 May - 90 Boris - 84 Patterson - 55
So Patterson is eliminated. Now his voters could all switch to the most right wing candidate (maybe May) so she has a clear lead when it goes to the members. Or they could decide to get rid of the candidate they liked the last (say Osborne) and split their votes between the other 2 candidates to get rid of him.
Each MP ballot is held on a different day which allows plenty of opportunities for tactical voting (as happened to Portillo in 2005)
Mr. Royale, kind of you to say so, but at the moment I'm very much Japan compared to the All Blacks. [Hoping next year, with a potential (and ridiculous) 5 books will mark a change in my fortunes].
I do agree that it can often seem writers and the like are lefties to a man, but it isn't the case. As for being a luvvie, I'm a grizzled Yorkshireman.
F1: got a message back from Ladbrokes, which surprised me, about the Merhi bet. Politely asked for the bet to be corrected (ie counted as a win), and will let people know how that turns out.
Do you do the writing full-time now Mr Dancer?
Am looking to get some stuff (likely self-)published myself at some point - boring stuff, "how to" guides essentially - and it looks like the market has changed quite radically with the rise of the e-book in the 8 years or so that I've been thinking about said project!
The most obvious points are that: 1) We're a democracy 2) The Arab Spring worked almost nowhere (maybe Tunisia)
Still, if I could get more publicity when my next book comes out by saying something daft to get media coverage, I might well [though I'd prefer something witty and insightful].
It's interesting though, isn't it?
One can easily waltz through life believing everyone involved in the creative arts is a Lefty luvvie.
But both you and SeanT are successful publishing authors, and Marquee Mark is a big hitter involved in film production.
None of you are left-wing at all.
SeanT voted LibDem in 2010.
But that was tactical - the Conservatives couldn't unseat Labour where he lived.
Nah, he's a secret lefty. It's like with closet homosexuals getting all macho to hide their gay-ness.
I agree with Jonathan downthread that he's certainly a luvvie!
Those of you who are in the business of selling , particularly, to the manufacturing industry: how is your business doing in the last 3 months ? We have seen our order books recover last year and kind of peaking in Q1 but then started to fall. In Q3, it is looking like our total order book will be about 25% below end of March.
From May onwards, it has been falling continuously.
I have three businesses in various parts of the tech sector, and all of them are reporting record revenues and orders right now. However, I would note that there is zero China exposure, and lots of Continental Europe, so what was a hinderance in 2013 in a help now.
By tech sector, do you mean software ? We use software in our products but they are sold entirely, directly or indirectly, to the manufacturing sector.
I think most people do not know this. British manufacturing is still 5% below the peak. I am not talking about the GDP as a whole, just manufacturing,
HYUFD.I do hope you are joking..and lots of people drive around in Fiats..including myself.
What billionaire travels in a Fiat and lives in one modest apartment and wears the same cassock like the Pope. Your comments are total rubbish. He is reforming the Church and as far as I see makes more comments about tolerance, climate change and poverty than baby making though some nations like Germany and Italy and South Korea could do with more babies. As leader of a billion Catholics he lives far more modestly than he could
Those of you who are in the business of selling , particularly, to the manufacturing industry: how is your business doing in the last 3 months ? We have seen our order books recover last year and kind of peaking in Q1 but then started to fall. In Q3, it is looking like our total order book will be about 25% below end of March.
From May onwards, it has been falling continuously.
I have three businesses in various parts of the tech sector, and all of them are reporting record revenues and orders right now. However, I would note that there is zero China exposure, and lots of Continental Europe, so what was a hinderance in 2013 in a help now.
By tech sector, do you mean software ? We use software in our products but they are sold entirely, directly or indirectly, to the manufacturing sector.
One data provider to the gambling industry. (Sales up 20% yoy) One PaaS provider to companies worldwide. (Sales up 100% yoy) One crowdsourced sports data company. (Sales up 10x, but from a tiny base, so not fair to compare, really...)
The Pope makes a speech to the great and good in the USA..and then goes to lunch with some homeless people...What a hypocrite..He continuously tells the poor people of the world to make more babies..the future poor and homeless..Never mind..he can always pop back onto his private jet and whisk away to one of his many palaces..along with his well fed team..
Rubbish. He is travelling in a Fiat he lives in a modest apartment and at night often leaves the Vatican to provide food and clothes for the homeless. He does far more for the poor than most world leaders and he is a Catholic not a communist
Perhaps I'd be more impressed if he liquidated some of the church's massive assets and used them to really help the poor.
Why do you concentrate on Osborne as being the next Conservative leader? Have a look at the alternatives - forget Boris and May they are the past - look at some of the youngsters coming through the pack. My money remains on the contest being between Liz Truss and Sajid Javid (assuming neither of them blow up in the stables between now and the race). Justine Greening ought to have made the start but she has been so thoroughly house trained by the DfID I very much doubt she will get a look in (much to Morris Dancer's disappointment I am sure).
Q: Are they going to advocate leaving the EC? A: No Therefore why would the 60% of members that want to leave the EC vote for them? Only 30% to 33% want to remain.
Tory voters are split down the middle. If Cameron does leave before the election history says either Osborne or Hammond will succeed him as the Tories in power always pick the Chancellor or Foreign Secretary otherwise Boris has the best poll ratings and would be the only other likely choice
Those earlier Leadership selections were just by the MPs. In every member selection the starting favourite has lost. On the EC Members are not split down the middle its 60/30 and 10 dont know.
I presume we must assume the 37% who think Corbyn 'patriotic' are either living in a parallel universe or (more likely) don't actually know who he is.
I think Jezza is patriotic.
I don't think he is. But there is nothing wrong with not being patriotic, at least at a time when invasion is unimaginable.
To me, not being patriotic is like not loving your parents.
Why does not singing the national anthem make you unpatriotic, in your view?
I think of myself as patriotic, but I can't say the British/English flags make me feel any emotions (either positive or negative), nor does the anthem. For me, loving the country means loving and being proud of us as a people and our ways (which I do).
Those of you who are in the business of selling , particularly, to the manufacturing industry: how is your business doing in the last 3 months ? We have seen our order books recover last year and kind of peaking in Q1 but then started to fall. In Q3, it is looking like our total order book will be about 25% below end of March.
From May onwards, it has been falling continuously.
The Pope makes a speech to the great and good in the USA..and then goes to lunch with some homeless people...What a hypocrite..He continuously tells the poor people of the world to make more babies..the future poor and homeless..Never mind..he can always pop back onto his private jet and whisk away to one of his many palaces..along with his well fed team..
Rubbish. He is travelling in a Fiat he lives in a modest apartment and at night often leaves the Vatican to provide food and clothes for the homeless. He does far more for the poor than most world leaders and he is a Catholic not a communist
Perhaps I'd be more impressed if he liquidated some of the church's massive assets and used them to really help the poor.
Corbynism will not help the Poor most of those assets include Churches running food banks and homeless hostels, Church hospitals and charities and Schools and universities which actually do make a practical difference
HYFUD I guess lots of people could suffer living in a modest apartment in the Vatican..having all his meals Cooked..utilities paid..clothes laundered..a driver..security guards..lotsa them..If the Chinese want more babies it is entirely up to them and they will provide for them. But good old Popey is telling his followers..most of whom are at extreme poverty levels already..particularly in South American countries..to have more kids, that they cannot possibly feed or educate and in lots of cases..provide a home..Meanwhile Popey does some cheapshit PR number by slinging a few bags of food out of his car in downtown Rome. Then back to his dreary little bedsit for his five course supper.
Corbyn may have a net negative rating but Labour are polling more than Foot or Brown got and level with Miliband. So while the average voter is hostile to him Corbyn voters are strongly behind him
Real vote outcomes and Labour opinion poll numbers are different things.
The popular left - Labour, except 2010 - always do worse in reality than their poll numbers.
Miliband was polling 34-35 hours before he actually got 31.
Corbyn may have a net negative rating but Labour are polling more than Foot or Brown got and level with Miliband. So while the average voter is hostile to him Corbyn voters are strongly behind him
TBF, he is polling worse than they all were in the early weeks of their leadership (although all of them bar Brown inherited a better position, and the current polls are slightly better than they were this summer when the then-leadership were tripping over themselves to say how much they agreed with the Tories and abstaining on welfare cuts).
A lot of historical things Corbyn had said or done is being played like a broken record. It has not had as big an impact as I thought it might. The more the Tories and their hanger-on's keep repeating, the more familiar it will become.
I do not think Anti-austerity will be unpopular. No matter who brings up what poll, there is a large constituency in the country who vote and also currently, do not vote, who have suffered real decreases in income.
No one would have believed Syriza [ the equivalent of Communists ] would win twice in nine months, two years ago !
China, strong pound ... lots of indicators are not going the right way.
Syriza only won in a depression with a very charismatic leader neither of which apply to the Uk or Corbyn and Syriza had had to move to the centre anyway
The Pope makes a speech to the great and good in the USA..and then goes to lunch with some homeless people...What a hypocrite..He continuously tells the poor people of the world to make more babies..the future poor and homeless..Never mind..he can always pop back onto his private jet and whisk away to one of his many palaces..along with his well fed team..
Rubbish. He is travelling in a Fiat he lives in a modest apartment and at night often leaves the Vatican to provide food and clothes for the homeless. He does far more for the poor than most world leaders and he is a Catholic not a communist
Perhaps I'd be more impressed if he liquidated some of the church's massive assets and used them to really help the poor.
His Church provides very considerable social services.
Why do you concentrate on Osborne as being the next Conservative leader? Have a look at the alternatives - forget Boris and May they are the past - look at some of the youngsters coming through the pack. My money remains on the contest being between Liz Truss and Sajid Javid (assuming neither of them blow up in the stables between now and the race). Justine Greening ought to have made the start but she has been so thoroughly house trained by the DfID I very much doubt she will get a look in (much to Morris Dancer's disappointment I am sure).
Q: Are they going to advocate leaving the EC? A: No Therefore why would the 60% of members that want to leave the EC vote for them? Only 30% to 33% want to remain.
Tory voters are split down the middle. If Cameron does leave before the election history says either Osborne or Hammond will succeed him as the Tories in power always pick the Chancellor or Foreign Secretary otherwise Boris has the best poll ratings and would be the only other likely choice
Those earlier Leadership selections were just by the MPs. In every member selection the starting favourite has lost. On the EC Members are not split down the middle its 60/30 and 10 dont know.
Wrong as Portillo was favourite in 2001 and MPs rejected him not members. Members would have voted for Major over Heseltine and for Macmillan and Eden
Those of you who are in the business of selling , particularly, to the manufacturing industry: how is your business doing in the last 3 months ? We have seen our order books recover last year and kind of peaking in Q1 but then started to fall. In Q3, it is looking like our total order book will be about 25% below end of March.
From May onwards, it has been falling continuously.
I have three businesses in various parts of the tech sector, and all of them are reporting record revenues and orders right now. However, I would note that there is zero China exposure, and lots of Continental Europe, so what was a hinderance in 2013 in a help now.
By tech sector, do you mean software ? We use software in our products but they are sold entirely, directly or indirectly, to the manufacturing sector.
One data provider to the gambling industry. (Sales up 20% yoy) One PaaS provider to companies worldwide. (Sales up 100% yoy) One crowdsourced sports data company. (Sales up 10x, but from a tiny base, so not fair to compare, really...)
So, we are not comparing like for like. M y clients are people who use machines to make products or make the machine themselves. Of course, software and networks are also involved so that the machines can communicate with the PLC
I presume we must assume the 37% who think Corbyn 'patriotic' are either living in a parallel universe or (more likely) don't actually know who he is.
I think Jezza is patriotic.
I don't think he is. But there is nothing wrong with not being patriotic, at least at a time when invasion is unimaginable.
To me, not being patriotic is like not loving your parents.
Why does not singing the national anthem make you unpatriotic, in your view?
I think of myself as patriotic, but I can't say the British/English flags make me feel any emotions (either positive or negative), nor does the anthem. For me, loving the country means loving and being proud of us as a people and our ways (which I do).
The anthem non-signing was a values-signal, if you will.
I don't think there's anything in Jeremy Corbyn's past or present that suggests any affection for this country or pride in its people.
He's just interested in advancing international socialism, and this country happens to be where he was born and raised, so is the most practical platform for him to do it.
HYFUD I guess lots of people could suffer living in a modest apartment in the Vatican..having all his meals Cooked..utilities paid..clothes laundered..a driver..security guards..lotsa them..If the Chinese want more babies it is entirely up to them and they will provide for them. But good old Popey is telling is followers..most of whom are at extreme poverty levels already..particularly in South American countries..to have more kids, that they cannot possibly feed or educate and in lots of cases..provide a home..Meanwhile Popey does some cheapshit PR number by slinging a few bags of food out of his car in downtown Rome. Then back to his dreary little bedsit for his five course supper.
Baby making is sensible in very poor countries with very high death rates. That way, people can ensure there will be children to look after them in old age. Also, it enables the society to recover rapidly from the effects of war and natural disaster. As a country gets richer, so the birthrate naturally falls. It's not the falling birthrate that causes the country to get richer.
Baby making is also sensible in rich country's where the total fertility rate has fallen well below replacement level.
HYFUD I guess lots of people could suffer living in a modest apartment in the Vatican..having all his meals Cooked..utilities paid..clothes laundered..a driver..security guards..lotsa them..If the Chinese want more babies it is entirely up to them and they will provide for them. But good old Popey is telling is followers..most of whom are at extreme poverty levels already..particularly in South American countries..to have more kids, that they cannot possibly feed or educate and in lots of cases..provide a home..Meanwhile Popey does some cheapshit PR number by slinging a few bags of food out of his car in downtown Rome. Then back to his dreary little bedsit for his five course supper.
Baby making is sensible in very poor countries with very high death rates. That way, people can ensure there will be children to look after them in old age.
How to make a kid feel wanted. "We only had you so you can look after us when we are doubly incontinent...."
The Conservatives have Osborne, Javid, Hammond, May - they might not be everyone's cup of tea but they'll all tonk Corbyn on the PM question.
Plus a decent reserve team (Jeremy Hunt etc). Of course there's Boris as well, but I think he's unlikely.
There's also one name which never gets mentioned and as far as I know is not offered by any bookie, but should be. And I'm not talking about some obscure backbencher, either.
Those of you who are in the business of selling , particularly, to the manufacturing industry: how is your business doing in the last 3 months ? We have seen our order books recover last year and kind of peaking in Q1 but then started to fall. In Q3, it is looking like our total order book will be about 25% below end of March.
From May onwards, it has been falling continuously.
I have three businesses in various parts of the tech sector, and all of them are reporting record revenues and orders right now. However, I would note that there is zero China exposure, and lots of Continental Europe, so what was a hinderance in 2013 in a help now.
By tech sector, do you mean software ? We use software in our products but they are sold entirely, directly or indirectly, to the manufacturing sector.
One data provider to the gambling industry. (Sales up 20% yoy) One PaaS provider to companies worldwide. (Sales up 100% yoy) One crowdsourced sports data company. (Sales up 10x, but from a tiny base, so not fair to compare, really...)
So, we are not comparing like for like. M y clients are people who use machines to make products or make the machine themselves. Of course, software and networks are also involved so that the machines can communicate with the PLC
No, not like-with-like.
I think capital goods is going to be a very difficult space for the next 18 months, because Chinese Gross Capital Formation (aka investment) is going to go from super-normal levels to sub-normal levels.
It's the natural stocking-destocking, investment-consolidation, cycle. And it just happens that China (and Canada and Australia) haven't had a proper recession in a quarter century.
Comments
One can easily waltz through life believing everyone involved in the creative arts is a Lefty luvvie.
But both you and SeanT are successful publishing authors, and Marquee Mark is a big hitter involved in film production.
None of you are left-wing at all.
Unspoofable, as some might say.
'Asylum applications per 1000 population:
5.6 Sweden
3.6 Germany
0.5 UK
Despite popular belief most people do not want to come to the UK.'
You do come up with some rubbish.
In 2014 UK accepted 14,605 asylum seekers more than 17 other EU countries combined.
Changes in population during the past 20 years Germany - 0.5 million UK + 7 million.
It is like saying the French are not patriotic as they do not have a family of free-loaders !
I do agree that it can often seem writers and the like are lefties to a man, but it isn't the case. As for being a luvvie, I'm a grizzled Yorkshireman.
Of course, if anyone wants to dip their toe in the water before the (possible) flood of books next year, do check them out:
http://www.amazon.co.uk/Thaddeus-White/e/B008C6RU98/
F1: got a message back from Ladbrokes, which surprised me, about the Merhi bet. Politely asked for the bet to be corrected (ie counted as a win), and will let people know how that turns out.
Those of you who are in the business of selling , particularly, to the manufacturing industry: how is your business doing in the last 3 months ? We have seen our order books recover last year and kind of peaking in Q1 but then started to fall. In Q3, it is looking like our total order book will be about 25% below end of March.
From May onwards, it has been falling continuously.
Beginning of dogmatism and confrontation.
"More than 17 other EU countries combined". OK , if you add Slovenia, Latvia, .....
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/2/7f7e0d28-5225-11e5-8642-453585f2cfcd.html#axzz3mgDyTnyk
@tnewtondunn: EXCL: Jeremy Corbyn's fresh IRA controversy - agreed to talk at Sinn Fein's Labour conference fringe meeting; http://t.co/JuqlUhF6kp
I await Q3 numbers at the end of October.
We sell to the heart of British Manufacturing industry. Automotive, Food, Mobile, Packaging, Steel ..................... It's not good, I can tell you.
A: No
Therefore why would the 60% of members that want to leave the EC vote for them? Only 30% to 33% want to remain.
Stormont crisis: Theresa Villiers says talks have been 'useful and intensive'
Then only vegans will be left.
Soft left/Hard left/ Commie.. Toss up between hard left and Commie methinks
@BBCPeterH: Huge problems for UKIP members trying to get to conference - no taxis from Doncaster station because most drivers have the day off for Eid
How many are there now on the Right? There are maybe 40 hardcore right wingers and maybe another 50 who are sympathetic. So it is unlikely the candidate of the right (say Patterson) will win but they could still be influential. Suppose the last 4 candidates had votes as follows:
Osborne - 101
May - 90
Boris - 84
Patterson - 55
So Patterson is eliminated. Now his voters could all switch to the most right wing candidate (maybe May) so she has a clear lead when it goes to the members. Or they could decide to get rid of the candidate they liked the last (say Osborne) and split their votes between the other 2 candidates to get rid of him.
Each MP ballot is held on a different day which allows plenty of opportunities for tactical voting (as happened to Portillo in 2005)
I do not think Anti-austerity will be unpopular. No matter who brings up what poll, there is a large constituency in the country who vote and also currently, do not vote, who have suffered real decreases in income.
No one would have believed Syriza [ the equivalent of Communists ] would win twice in nine months, two years ago !
China, strong pound ... lots of indicators are not going the right way.
Am looking to get some stuff (likely self-)published myself at some point - boring stuff, "how to" guides essentially - and it looks like the market has changed quite radically with the rise of the e-book in the 8 years or so that I've been thinking about said project!
I think most people do not know this. British manufacturing is still 5% below the peak. I am not talking about the GDP as a whole, just manufacturing,
One PaaS provider to companies worldwide. (Sales up 100% yoy)
One crowdsourced sports data company. (Sales up 10x, but from a tiny base, so not fair to compare, really...)
I think of myself as patriotic, but I can't say the British/English flags make me feel any emotions (either positive or negative), nor does the anthem. For me, loving the country means loving and being proud of us as a people and our ways (which I do).
The popular left - Labour, except 2010 - always do worse in reality than their poll numbers.
Miliband was polling 34-35 hours before he actually got 31.
I don't think there's anything in Jeremy Corbyn's past or present that suggests any affection for this country or pride in its people.
He's just interested in advancing international socialism, and this country happens to be where he was born and raised, so is the most practical platform for him to do it.
Baby making is also sensible in rich country's where the total fertility rate has fallen well below replacement level.
I think capital goods is going to be a very difficult space for the next 18 months, because Chinese Gross Capital Formation (aka investment) is going to go from super-normal levels to sub-normal levels.
It's the natural stocking-destocking, investment-consolidation, cycle. And it just happens that China (and Canada and Australia) haven't had a proper recession in a quarter century.