The voting intention & leader favourability figures should be up later today. Could the Tories be in the 40s, or Labour in the 20s? I'll guess at 39-30.
Divided: 75 plays 38. Labour have added 32% to their divided number. And that is before the wars really start. The public have a pretty shrewd notion of how this is going to play out already.
The voting intention & leader favourability figures should be up later today. Could the Tories be in the 40s, or Labour in the 20s? I'll guess at 39-30.
My guess is that we might have to wait till tomorrow for the rest of the data. The Standard usually has two stabs at getting stories out of its pol.
Divided: 75 plays 38. Labour have added 32% to their divided number. And that is before the wars really start. The public have a pretty shrewd notion of how this is going to play out already.
Punters don't vote for divided parties.
Yep, it's the divided number that's the biggest issue in that lot so far as I can see.
The rifts are real and very public, and the PLP needs to recognise the new reality that this is Jezza's party now ! 59% of the vote. That's a bigger % than Blair achieved.
Obviously they probably won't win whatever happens, but trying to keep their rifts somewhat private might bump them from say 170 to 190 seats !
As Chinese companies are invited to get involved with British high-speed rail projects, British railway companies win contracts on American high-speed rail projects.
Alarming that as many as 35% think Labour is currently fit to govern, but I imagine that figure will drop quite a bit more as the spectacle continues.''
And, as the last election shows, there's a big difference between answering a poll and putting a cross on a ballot.
@JosiasJessop Thanx for James Randi tip - will check out on iPlayer.
I hope you enjoy it. Don't read up on his life on Wiki - it might spoil what becomes a rather odd drama at the end.
As an aside, there was a British TV program a decade or so ago where Randi goes into a science lab that claimed to have scientifically proven homoeopathy. By doing a strict double-blind experiment (including taping results in a sealed envelope to the ceiling) he managed to prove that their procedures were pants, and it was their processes at fault.
The scientists were rather upset by this.
For this alone, Randi deserves some form of honour.
As Chinese companies are invited to get involved with British high-speed rail projects, British railway companies win contracts on American high-speed rail projects.
As Chinese companies are invited to get involved with British high-speed rail projects, British railway companies win contracts on American high-speed rail projects.
Network Rail? They can't even get the existing lines into Waterloo running properly.
The Yanks are dooooooomed.
Upper deck of the re-vamped Birmingham New Street station opened today - "Grand Central" shopping centre. Unfortunately, the down escalators onto the concourse level weren't working!
Sorry missed the previous thread - I know it's not a scientific survey but there have lots of copies of the Daily Mail left on the shelves over the last few days. I think this tawdry book is going to sink without trace. I would love the know the number of cancelled orders for it. Ashcroft's tweet about the proceeds going to charity was a bit of a give away. Even his friend, Tim Montgomerie, thinks Ashcroft will be more damaged by this.
Looks like the Labour Party Conference is going to knock everything else off the screens next week, given Corbyn's comments about welfare, HS2 and Trident. The polls are going to be more interesting 'after' the conference.
As Chinese companies are invited to get involved with British high-speed rail projects, British railway companies win contracts on American high-speed rail projects.
Looks like the eariler media blitz on Corbyn has worked pretty much...
Do you think Corbyn is patriotic, a nice scottish woman asked me.
In that moment, all I could think was: won't sing the national anthem, didn't back intervention in the Falklands, happy to let NI go without further comment... whatever the merits of those positions, they aren't patriotic.
It was wall to wall in the Mail online for 3 days - I felt it was complete overkill for not much content. It put me off visiting their site as it shoved more entertaining bread/butter stuff out.
Sorry missed the previous thread - I know it's not a scientific survey but there have lots of copies of the Daily Mail left on the shelves over the last few days. I think this tawdry book is going to sink without trace. I would love the know the number of cancelled orders for it. Ashcroft's tweet about the proceeds going to charity was a bit of a give away. Even his friend, Tim Montgomerie, thinks Ashcroft will be more damaged by this.
Looks like the Labour Party Conference is going to knock everything else off the screens next week, given Corbyn's comments about welfare, HS2 and Trident. The polls are going to be more interesting 'after' the conference.
looks like the earlier media blitz on Corbyn has worked pretty much...
Yeah its all the right wing media's fault. Everybody loves Jeremy's policies.
It's the age old mistake that both Miliband and now Corbyn have made.
If you don't define your own image, then other people will do it for you.
Problem is Corbyns image IS pretty much what he's now seen as, whereas with Ed, he was just too much of a non-entity that it allowed people to portay him a different number of unflattering ways.
It was wall to wall in the Mail online for 3 days - I felt it was complete overkill for not much content. It put me off visiting their site as it shoved more entertaining bread/butter stuff out.
Sorry missed the previous thread - I know it's not a scientific survey but there have lots of copies of the Daily Mail left on the shelves over the last few days. I think this tawdry book is going to sink without trace. I would love the know the number of cancelled orders for it. Ashcroft's tweet about the proceeds going to charity was a bit of a give away. Even his friend, Tim Montgomerie, thinks Ashcroft will be more damaged by this.
Looks like the Labour Party Conference is going to knock everything else off the screens next week, given Corbyn's comments about welfare, HS2 and Trident. The polls are going to be more interesting 'after' the conference.
You forgot to add: the conference may back mandatory re-selection of MPs..
At that point, I suspect the real fun will start.
"Those whom the gods will destroy, they first make mad"...seems apposite.
The Labour conference coverage will be all about splits and plots. There's nothing which political journalists like more, and they'll have a field day.
looks like the earlier media blitz on Corbyn has worked pretty much...
Yeah its all the right wing media's fault. Everybody loves Jeremy's policies.
It's the age old mistake that both Miliband and now Corbyn have made.
If you don't define your own image, then other people will do it for you.
Problem is Corbyns image IS pretty much what he's now seen as, whereas with Ed, he was just too much of a non-entity that it allowed people to portay him a different number of unflattering ways.
It was wall to wall in the Mail online for 3 days - I felt it was complete overkill for not much content. It put me off visiting their site as it shoved more entertaining bread/butter stuff out.
Sorry missed the previous thread - I know it's not a scientific survey but there have lots of copies of the Daily Mail left on the shelves over the last few days. I think this tawdry book is going to sink without trace. I would love the know the number of cancelled orders for it. Ashcroft's tweet about the proceeds going to charity was a bit of a give away. Even his friend, Tim Montgomerie, thinks Ashcroft will be more damaged by this.
Looks like the Labour Party Conference is going to knock everything else off the screens next week, given Corbyn's comments about welfare, HS2 and Trident. The polls are going to be more interesting 'after' the conference.
You forgot to add: the conference may back mandatory re-selection of MPs..
At that point, I suspect the real fun will start.
"Those whom the gods will destroy, they first make mad"...seems apposite.
"See, madness, as you know, is like gravity: all it takes is a little push!" - The Joker
It was wall to wall in the Mail online for 3 days - I felt it was complete overkill for not much content. It put me off visiting their site as it shoved more entertaining bread/butter stuff out.
Sorry missed the previous thread - I know it's not a scientific survey but there have lots of copies of the Daily Mail left on the shelves over the last few days. I think this tawdry book is going to sink without trace. I would love the know the number of cancelled orders for it. Ashcroft's tweet about the proceeds going to charity was a bit of a give away. Even his friend, Tim Montgomerie, thinks Ashcroft will be more damaged by this.
Looks like the Labour Party Conference is going to knock everything else off the screens next week, given Corbyn's comments about welfare, HS2 and Trident. The polls are going to be more interesting 'after' the conference.
You forgot to add: the conference may back mandatory re-selection of MPs..
At that point, I suspect the real fun will start.
"Those whom the gods will destroy, they first make mad"...seems apposite.
It was wall to wall in the Mail online for 3 days - I felt it was complete overkill for not much content. It put me off visiting their site as it shoved more entertaining bread/butter stuff out.
Sorry missed the previous thread - I know it's not a scientific survey but there have lots of copies of the Daily Mail left on the shelves over the last few days. I think this tawdry book is going to sink without trace. I would love the know the number of cancelled orders for it. Ashcroft's tweet about the proceeds going to charity was a bit of a give away. Even his friend, Tim Montgomerie, thinks Ashcroft will be more damaged by this.
Looks like the Labour Party Conference is going to knock everything else off the screens next week, given Corbyn's comments about welfare, HS2 and Trident. The polls are going to be more interesting 'after' the conference.
You forgot to add: the conference may back mandatory re-selection of MPs..
At that point, I suspect the real fun will start.
"Those whom the gods will destroy, they first make mad"...seems apposite.
"See, madness, as you know, is like gravity: all it takes is a little push!" - The Joker
This is the first concrete sign that English voters won;t simply allow Labour to be one of two dominant parties, whoever they appoint and whatever they do.
This poll also tells you swinehead revisited doesn't matter.
WHAT???!!!!
You mean this poll was fielded after Cameron's reputation was 'destroyed', rendered the 'laughing stock of Europe' and if he didn't sue 'would be proof of guilt'?
As Chinese companies are invited to get involved with British high-speed rail projects, British railway companies win contracts on American high-speed rail projects.
Network Rail? They can't even get the existing lines into Waterloo running properly.
The Yanks are dooooooomed.
Upper deck of the re-vamped Birmingham New Street station opened today - "Grand Central" shopping centre. Unfortunately, the down escalators onto the concourse level weren't working!
This poll also tells you swinehead revisited doesn't matter.
WHAT???!!!!
You mean this poll was fielded after Cameron's reputation was 'destroyed', rendered the 'laughing stock of Europe' and if he didn't sue 'would be proof of guilt'?
I'm shocked, I tell you, shocked!
I'm shocked Dave is still PM. I mean Coulson, Pastygate, Going to Morrisons, Chickening out of the debates were all career enders
This is the first concrete sign that English voters won;t simply allow Labour to be one of two dominant parties, whoever they appoint and whatever they do.
I would turn it round the other way: it shows how out of touch Corbyn and Labour are with their core voters..
As Chinese companies are invited to get involved with British high-speed rail projects, British railway companies win contracts on American high-speed rail projects.
Network Rail? They can't even get the existing lines into Waterloo running properly.
The Yanks are dooooooomed.
Upper deck of the re-vamped Birmingham New Street station opened today - "Grand Central" shopping centre. Unfortunately, the down escalators onto the concourse level weren't working!
As Chinese companies are invited to get involved with British high-speed rail projects, British railway companies win contracts on American high-speed rail projects.
I find the 'lots of personality' one interesting - unlike some previous fiery left wingers, Corbyn was deliberately not very fiery in his campaign, being staid and measured all the way, and it wasn't until his victory speech that he seemed to really get passionate and show some personality, so people may not really have a sense of that part of him yet, hence why he and Cameron (Cameron the Bland, as some might thignk of him) are tied on how much personality they have.
Sorry missed the previous thread - I know it's not a scientific survey but there have lots of copies of the Daily Mail left on the shelves over the last few days. I think this tawdry book is going to sink without trace. I would love the know the number of cancelled orders for it. Ashcroft's tweet about the proceeds going to charity was a bit of a give away. Even his friend, Tim Montgomerie, thinks Ashcroft will be more damaged by this.
Looks like the Labour Party Conference is going to knock everything else off the screens next week, given Corbyn's comments about welfare, HS2 and Trident. The polls are going to be more interesting 'after' the conference.
It may be that the Mail printed lots of extra copies in expectation of a sales surge on the back of this serialisation. I used to work in a newsagents when younger and it was quite common then.
This poll also tells you swinehead revisited doesn't matter.
WHAT???!!!!
You mean this poll was fielded after Cameron's reputation was 'destroyed', rendered the 'laughing stock of Europe' and if he didn't sue 'would be proof of guilt'?
I'm shocked, I tell you, shocked!
I was polled for this before pig-gate. (Sunday afternoon I think)
This poll also tells you swinehead revisited doesn't matter.
WHAT???!!!!
You mean this poll was fielded after Cameron's reputation was 'destroyed', rendered the 'laughing stock of Europe' and if he didn't sue 'would be proof of guilt'?
I'm shocked, I tell you, shocked!
I'm shocked Dave is still PM. I mean Coulson, Pastygate, Going to Morrisons, Chickening out of the debates were all career enders
You forgot 'riding a horse' and 'leaving a kid in a pub'.......
As Chinese companies are invited to get involved with British high-speed rail projects, British railway companies win contracts on American high-speed rail projects.
Network Rail? They can't even get the existing lines into Waterloo running properly.
The Yanks are dooooooomed.
Upper deck of the re-vamped Birmingham New Street station opened today - "Grand Central" shopping centre. Unfortunately, the down escalators onto the concourse level weren't working!
This may be Corbyn's honeymoon period, but I cannot discount the possibility he will break the mould a little - he was not expected to have a chance in winning after all - and thus he starts so poorly on thi sranking that he in fact improves with time
As Chinese companies are invited to get involved with British high-speed rail projects, British railway companies win contracts on American high-speed rail projects.
Network Rail? They can't even get the existing lines into Waterloo running properly.
The Yanks are dooooooomed.
Upper deck of the re-vamped Birmingham New Street station opened today - "Grand Central" shopping centre. Unfortunately, the down escalators onto the concourse level weren't working!
I bet the platform level is still a dungeon.
Yep, and one that apparently significantly hampers service patterns because they cannot expand.
Moment police opened lorry at M40 services to find group of FOURTEEN illegal immigrants, including children, hiding in the back
Police respond to banging from inside lorry at Gaydon Service Station Officers discover 14 people, including children, inside parked truck Understood lorry had travelled through Spain before coming to UK Warwickshire Police force investigating discovery earlier this week
As Chinese companies are invited to get involved with British high-speed rail projects, British railway companies win contracts on American high-speed rail projects.
As Chinese companies are invited to get involved with British high-speed rail projects, British railway companies win contracts on American high-speed rail projects.
Network Rail? They can't even get the existing lines into Waterloo running properly.
The Yanks are dooooooomed.
Upper deck of the re-vamped Birmingham New Street station opened today - "Grand Central" shopping centre. Unfortunately, the down escalators onto the concourse level weren't working!
I bet the platform level is still a dungeon.
It's brighter than what it was!
In fairness (a user of New Street since the early '70s) they were dealt a very bad hand - but compared to that other sixties disaster Penn Stn they are light years ahead.....
It was wall to wall in the Mail online for 3 days - I felt it was complete overkill for not much content. It put me off visiting their site as it shoved more entertaining bread/butter stuff out.
Sorry missed the previous thread - I know it's not a scientific survey but there have lots of copies of the Daily Mail left on the shelves over the last few days. I think this tawdry book is going to sink without trace. I would love the know the number of cancelled orders for it. Ashcroft's tweet about the proceeds going to charity was a bit of a give away. Even his friend, Tim Montgomerie, thinks Ashcroft will be more damaged by this.
Looks like the Labour Party Conference is going to knock everything else off the screens next week, given Corbyn's comments about welfare, HS2 and Trident. The polls are going to be more interesting 'after' the conference.
You forgot to add: the conference may back mandatory re-selection of MPs..
At that point, I suspect the real fun will start.
"Those whom the gods will destroy, they first make mad"...seems apposite.
And also there's Trident and ending the benefit cap. Perfect storm which in any normal party would be enough for a swift rethink and removal.
It was wall to wall in the Mail online for 3 days - I felt it was complete overkill for not much content. It put me off visiting their site as it shoved more entertaining bread/butter stuff out.
Sorry missed the previous thread - I know it's not a scientific survey but there have lots of copies of the Daily Mail left on the shelves over the last few days. I think this tawdry book is going to sink without trace. I would love the know the number of cancelled orders for it. Ashcroft's tweet about the proceeds going to charity was a bit of a give away. Even his friend, Tim Montgomerie, thinks Ashcroft will be more damaged by this.
Looks like the Labour Party Conference is going to knock everything else off the screens next week, given Corbyn's comments about welfare, HS2 and Trident. The polls are going to be more interesting 'after' the conference.
You forgot to add: the conference may back mandatory re-selection of MPs..
At that point, I suspect the real fun will start.
"Those whom the gods will destroy, they first make mad"...seems apposite.
And also there's Trident and ending the benefit cap. Perfect storm which in any normal party would be enough for a swift rethink and removal.
Other "normal" parties have elected IDS - and then fired him ... and Farage - who resigned - and then resurrected himself...
It was wall to wall in the Mail online for 3 days - I felt it was complete overkill for not much content. It put me off visiting their site as it shoved more entertaining bread/butter stuff out.
Sorry missed the previous thread - I know it's not a scientific survey but there have lots of copies of the Daily Mail left on the shelves over the last few days. I think this tawdry book is going to sink without trace. I would love the know the number of cancelled orders for it. Ashcroft's tweet about the proceeds going to charity was a bit of a give away. Even his friend, Tim Montgomerie, thinks Ashcroft will be more damaged by this.
Looks like the Labour Party Conference is going to knock everything else off the screens next week, given Corbyn's comments about welfare, HS2 and Trident. The polls are going to be more interesting 'after' the conference.
You forgot to add: the conference may back mandatory re-selection of MPs..
At that point, I suspect the real fun will start.
"Those whom the gods will destroy, they first make mad"...seems apposite.
And also there's Trident and ending the benefit cap. Perfect storm which in any normal party would be enough for a swift rethink and removal.
Other "normal" parties have elected IDS - and then fired him ... and Farage - who resigned - and then resurrected himself...
So such behaviour is far from uncommon...
You miss the point - I don't think Labour will get rid. They'll be bolstered by the Mori voter intention poll. They'd be wrong - but there you are.
It was wall to wall in the Mail online for 3 days - I felt it was complete overkill for not much content. It put me off visiting their site as it shoved more entertaining bread/butter stuff out.
Sorry missed the previous thread - I know it's not a scientific survey but there have lots of copies of the Daily Mail left on the shelves over the last few days. I think this tawdry book is going to sink without trace. I would love the know the number of cancelled orders for it. Ashcroft's tweet about the proceeds going to charity was a bit of a give away. Even his friend, Tim Montgomerie, thinks Ashcroft will be more damaged by this.
Looks like the Labour Party Conference is going to knock everything else off the screens next week, given Corbyn's comments about welfare, HS2 and Trident. The polls are going to be more interesting 'after' the conference.
You forgot to add: the conference may back mandatory re-selection of MPs..
At that point, I suspect the real fun will start.
"Those whom the gods will destroy, they first make mad"...seems apposite.
And also there's Trident and ending the benefit cap. Perfect storm which in any normal party would be enough for a swift rethink and removal.
Other "normal" parties have elected IDS - and then fired him ... and Farage - who resigned - and then resurrected himself...
So such behaviour is far from uncommon...
You miss the point - I don't think Labour will get rid. They'll be bolstered by the Mori voter intention poll. They'd be wrong - but there you are.
It was wall to wall in the Mail online for 3 days - I felt it was complete overkill for not much content. It put me off visiting their site as it shoved more entertaining bread/butter stuff out.
Sorry missed the previous thread - I know it's not a scientific survey but there have lots of copies of the Daily Mail left on the shelves over the last few days. I think this tawdry book is going to sink without trace. I would love the know the number of cancelled orders for it. Ashcroft's tweet about the proceeds going to charity was a bit of a give away. Even his friend, Tim Montgomerie, thinks Ashcroft will be more damaged by this.
Looks like the Labour Party Conference is going to knock everything else off the screens next week, given Corbyn's comments about welfare, HS2 and Trident. The polls are going to be more interesting 'after' the conference.
You forgot to add: the conference may back mandatory re-selection of MPs..
At that point, I suspect the real fun will start.
"Those whom the gods will destroy, they first make mad"...seems apposite.
And also there's Trident and ending the benefit cap. Perfect storm which in any normal party would be enough for a swift rethink and removal.
Other "normal" parties have elected IDS - and then fired him ... and Farage - who resigned - and then resurrected himself...
So such behaviour is far from uncommon...
You miss the point - I don't think Labour will get rid. They'll be bolstered by the Mori voter intention poll. They'd be wrong - but there you are.
I think that for the time being, the supplementaries are more usful than the mainline polls.
TBH not sure how much you can read into these numbers at this stage - a group (Kinnock, Blair, Brown, Miliband) all cluster around upper teens and while one was a spectacular success, the others were not. That said, more evidence of the mountain to be climbed by Corbyn.....
Labour hoovering up the Green vote, which will get them no where at all.
Edit: The values still look wrong compared with the GE, Lib dems higher than UKIP?
Greens way too high especially before, and still now.
The biggest problem with the poll and indeed most others, as shown in May - is they appear unable to account for non-voters/unregistered voters and also where the voters are. Labour getting ever more inner-city votes didn't help them much in May.
Those numbers look a bit out of whack to me due to the fact that the Greens have lost half their votes and are still on their GE score. Effectively if you add together Lab+LD+Green then this combined total is 4% higher than the GE. I also don't buy that UKIP has lost nearly half its vote while the migrant crisis is in the news every day.
Doesn't matter what right wing people think of Corbyn as long as enough people vote for labour. And the polls are creeping up already, despite the turnout adjustments,
Comments
Corbyn is, in effect, confirming existing perceptions of Labour as unfit to govern, and its leader as non-prime ministerial.
I struggled to answer these for Farron.
Punters don't vote for divided parties.
The country will never elect someone they consider unpatriotic
The rifts are real and very public, and the PLP needs to recognise the new reality that this is Jezza's party now ! 59% of the vote. That's a bigger % than Blair achieved.
Obviously they probably won't win whatever happens, but trying to keep their rifts somewhat private might bump them from say 170 to 190 seats !
As Chinese companies are invited to get involved with British high-speed rail projects, British railway companies win contracts on American high-speed rail projects.
http://www.railengineer.uk/2015/08/28/brits-move-to-california/
sounds like Basil Fawlty's comments after the hotel inspector's long list of complaints
'Other than that OK....????'
And, as the last election shows, there's a big difference between answering a poll and putting a cross on a ballot.
As an aside, there was a British TV program a decade or so ago where Randi goes into a science lab that claimed to have scientifically proven homoeopathy. By doing a strict double-blind experiment (including taping results in a sealed envelope to the ceiling) he managed to prove that their procedures were pants, and it was their processes at fault.
The scientists were rather upset by this.
For this alone, Randi deserves some form of honour.
Edit: my memory was more or less correct:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/science/horizon/2002/homeopathy.shtml
The Yanks are dooooooomed.
It works.
Looks like the Labour Party Conference is going to knock everything else off the screens next week, given Corbyn's comments about welfare, HS2 and Trident. The polls are going to be more interesting 'after' the conference.
Yeah its all the right wing media's fault. Everybody loves Jeremy's policies.
In that moment, all I could think was: won't sing the national anthem, didn't back intervention in the Falklands, happy to let NI go without further comment... whatever the merits of those positions, they aren't patriotic.
I was polled before pig-gate.
If you don't define your own image, then other people will do it for you.
Problem is Corbyns image IS pretty much what he's now seen as, whereas with Ed, he was just too much of a non-entity that it allowed people to portay him a different number of unflattering ways.
At that point, I suspect the real fun will start.
"Those whom the gods will destroy, they first make mad"...seems apposite.
At least 717 people are now thought to have been killed in the stampede outside Mecca http://bit.ly/1VaQRnh
wow, thats a lot of people, and it seems to happen every year..
why can't something be done about this?
When I went where you go throw stones at the devil it's a bit like the first twenty minutes of Saving Private Ryan
Maybe some more moderate attendees will save the day - but saying the will of conference is setting Party policy is madness.
Arf.
You mean this poll was fielded after Cameron's reputation was 'destroyed', rendered the 'laughing stock of Europe' and if he didn't sue 'would be proof of guilt'?
I'm shocked, I tell you, shocked!
"Mark Easton @BBCMarkEaston 3h3 hours ago Tottenham, London
Shocking 25% INCREASE in homeless families with children living in B&Bs in England since last summer."
B&Bs ?
Luxury ! Whats wrong with providing them with a tent !
I would turn it round the other way: it shows how out of touch Corbyn and Labour are with their core voters..
"Even Ed was better." - Kiss of Death.
I used to work in a newsagents when younger and it was quite common then.
Saw a sign at the local Tesco today for some Eid prayers that took place this morning in the car park there !
The Spittal Hill one?
Who'davthunkit?
CON 39 (+2)
LAB 34 (+3)
LIB 8 (-2)
UKIP 7 (-2)
GRN 4 (-4)
SNP 5 (=)
19th-22nd
N=1,255
https://t.co/hmMOCPJQW5
Changes against?
Edit: The values still look wrong compared with the GE, Lib dems higher than UKIP?
Greens way too high especially before, and still now.
Other "normal" parties have elected IDS - and then fired him ... and Farage - who resigned - and then resurrected himself...
So such behaviour is far from uncommon...
Labour have made a truly terrible mistake. How do they get out of it?
well if not, this is much nearer to my experience of that side of things
http://www.lrb.co.uk/2015/09/23/nick-richardson/short-cuts