politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Don Brind says Labour hopefuls know their party’s future isn’t in their hands
It’s one of the toughest gigs in politics – going on after TV after a defeat to explain that, really, your party had done quite well in the circumstances.
Aljazeera reporting that one of the attackers was disguised as a policeman
"One attacker had been killed by police and a search operation was ongoing, with reports that another attacker was involved. Ongoing exchanges of gunfire had earlier been reported between the attackers and security forces, sources told Al Jazeera. The attack was on the Imperial Marhaba hotel, local radio said, according to the Reuters news agency. Other reports indicated that two hotels may have been attacked."
Well Cameron straight out of the gate with "nothing to do with Islam"....sighs...
Sorry, but bollocks.
These things won't stop until the vast majority of moderate Muslims and imams do something about it within their own communities. Hopefully the fact that it's the middle of Ramadan might help, but I'm not holding anything crossed.
I wish the SNP might have a decline or at least a dip to dent their confidence, but it does seem a long way off at present. A Tory meltdown more probable before then, should either happen.
Kind of want to suggest we concentrate on keeping John updated as best we can rather than launching into other less important matters.
Agreed. He's probably in for a long wait.
Happy to wait as long as don't get the family killed
Yes, stay calm. It will take the security forces a long time to be absolutely sure they've got the situation fully under control and have neutralised the gunmen.
Nothing new on the media at the moment John except the usual talking heads and background stuff. Someone here will let you know as soon as anything changes.
Just a week ago David Cameron was criticised for saying that some Muslims "quietly condoned" extreme views. Some thought that he'd gone too far, including Baroness Warsi in his own Party.
Well Cameron straight out of the gate with "nothing to do with Islam"....sighs...
Really? He's been keener than some other world leaders to not deny that at times in the past at least. Shame. Terrible times.
I think most people give him a pass on that as something that regrettably has to be said in order to cool potential reprisals in this country. I am sure that he is not as naive as that in practice, but there aren't any easy solutions here.
Well Cameron straight out of the gate with "nothing to do with Islam"....sighs...
Really? He's been keener than some other world leaders to not deny that at times in the past at least. Shame. Terrible times.
I think most people give him a pass on that as something that regrettably has to be said in order to cool potential reprisals in this country. I am sure that he is not as naive as that in practice, but there aren't any easy solutions here.
Zero tolerance on exteme Islam is the only option. There is no middle ground or playing nicely or worrying about offending people which will work.
There are still no reports of any hostage situations or any further attacks so it is looking likely that there won't be, but it will take a lot of time to be sure. It's good advice to stay calm and stay where you are. Definitely don't answer the room phone.
Mr. Disraeli, Warsi's the epitome of what's wrong with tokenism.
Mr. Eagles, that's geography, not history. My knowledge of France is very good [albeit two thousand years out of date].
Mr. Slackbladder, that won't happen. A few weeks ago we had a potential PM shrieking about making Islamophobia a criminal offence.
Mr. Owls, as Mr. Price said, it must be extremely frightening but staying put with your family is the right option. PB can provide you and them with a trustworthy link to the outside world, which (when the time comes) will also be very useful.
If this is ISIS or an ISIS backed group, then this is an act of war on the West.
There's no other way this will work. We need to burn this cancer away.
Well apparently they are now infiltrating the EU migrant boats sailing from Libya to Italy, those poor unfortunates we have to take our fair share of...
'I think most people give him a pass on that as something that regrettably has to be said in order to cool potential reprisals in this country. I am sure that he is not as naive as that in practice, but there aren't any easy solutions here.'
Agree,he's trying to keep the lid on it knowing that most people's patience is now exhausted with this $hite.
Yes. It has all gone quiet and repetitive on the news channels which might suggest that there is a major security operation ongoing to ensure that any potential gunman is accounted for but very little new is happening. This is obviously good news.
Stay safe and still John. It is the only sensible thing to do at the moment.
I have missed my a all inclusive lunch.Pleas keep any. Updates on situation at Bellevue. Situation in our room is 3 of us scared to shit
John - what floor are you on?
Don't send them my way but 3
OK, that's good.
Probably not a good idea to post too much content of where John is on a public online forum. Very low risk, I very much doubt they follow pb, but still.
BJO, FYI British Embassy Tunis +216 71 108 700 BritishEmbassyTunis@fco.gov.uk Says on website it's closed Friday afternoons but possibly worth a try if you have a phone to hand.
"Interior Ministry spokesman Mohammed Ali Aroui says the police operation to catch a second gunman behind the attack on the beach resort is ongoing and the exchange of fire is continuing, reports AP. He says one gunman behind "the terrorist attack was killed during an exchange of fire with security forces"."
Interior Ministry spokesman Mohammed Ali Aroui says the police operation to catch a second gunman behind the attack on the beach resort is ongoing and the exchange of fire is continuing, reports AP. He says one gunman behind "the terrorist attack was killed during an exchange of fire with security forces".
BJO, FYI British Embassy Tunis +216 71 108 700 BritishEmbassyTunis@fco.gov.uk Says on website it's closed Friday afternoons but possibly worth a try if you have a phone to hand.
bigjohnowls - don't keep us informed unless you're 100% sure that it's safe to do so. You can tell us the story of your escape later; don't take any chances if you might be heard typing or texting.
Fingers crossed that it's all over before much longer - like others, have TV and Twitter on for any news for you and yours.
Sounds like you've had some good advice. Head down and think you deserve a crateful of Keep Calm mugs when you get back to Blighty. This will be a cracking anecdote one day...
@Slackbladder - there's three attacks today, some media heads are saying this is a lone wolf attack, that seems odd given the Kuwait, French and Tunisian actions.
What David Cameron actually said: Source - Sky News
"This is a threat that faces all of us. These events have taken place today in Tunisia and in France but they can happen anywhere. We all face this threat.
"There will be a ministerially-chaired Cobra meeting, the Government's emergency committee, later on this afternoon to make sure we are doing everything we can to co-operate and co-ordinate with other countries and any information that we have we share with them in fighting this threat."
"We have got to do all we can to help.
"That means co-operating on counter-terrorism, building our capacity on counter-terrorism, it means dealing with the threat at source whether that is lSIL (another name for Islamic State) in Syria and Iraq or whether it is other extremist groups around the world.
"Perhaps more important than anything is poisonous radical narrative that is turning so many young minds and we have to combat it with everything we have."
"The people who do these things, they sometimes claim they do it in the name of Islam. They don't.
"Islam is a religion of peace. They do it in the name of a twisted and perverted ideology that we have to confront with everything that we have.
"We must stop the poisoning of these young minds in our country, in other European countries, and around the world."
It should not be forgotten that In Canada the Liberals, traditionally Canada's centre-left party although now challenged by the NDP as you point out, won a majority across Canada in the general elections from 1993-2000 when the BQ won 54 seats and 44 seats and 38 seats respectively and most seats in Quebec at the 1993, 1997 and 2000 elections. So Labour does not need to overtake the SNP, just win back some seats to help it achieve a majority, with Scotland getting more powers and a new Labour leader things may develop.
it is true of course that Kendall is the 'uber Blairite' candidate in the race but Burnham too was first promoted to be a Minister by Blair and in 2010 was considered a Blairite candidate. He was loyal to Blair when the Brownites moved against him but also loyal to Brown when the Blairites tried, in turn, to undermine him so he may be better placed than Kendall to unite all wings of the party. Cooper is clearly the Brownite candidate in the race and Corbyn the candidate of the Old Left.
As for election 2020, it is early days, but if Osborne cuts the top tax rate in July while slashing welfare and public spending that could boost Labour, even if economically there may be arguments in favour and who knows how EU ref will impact on Tory unity. The fact that Cameron will not be leading the Tories in 2020 also removes their best asset
Miss Plato, they probably mean it as a reference to either an individual or very small group working by themselves in a basic way (ie go there, attack) rather than a larger, more complicated scheme.
Also worth noting Tunisia and France have both been hit twice this year.
Jesus, that has stopped me short. BJO, mate: all thoughts with you and your family. You are going to be OK. Just keep your head down and everyone close. With very best wishes.
What David Cameron actually said: Source - Sky News
"This is a threat that faces all of us. These events have taken place today in Tunisia and in France but they can happen anywhere. We all face this threat.
"There will be a ministerially-chaired Cobra meeting, the Government's emergency committee, later on this afternoon to make sure we are doing everything we can to co-operate and co-ordinate with other countries and any information that we have we share with them in fighting this threat."
"We have got to do all we can to help.
"That means co-operating on counter-terrorism, building our capacity on counter-terrorism, it means dealing with the threat at source whether that is lSIL (another name for Islamic State) in Syria and Iraq or whether it is other extremist groups around the world.
"Perhaps more important than anything is poisonous radical narrative that is turning so many young minds and we have to combat it with everything we have."
"The people who do these things, they sometimes claim they do it in the name of Islam. They don't.
"Islam is a religion of peace. They do it in the name of a twisted and perverted ideology that we have to confront with everything that we have.
"We must stop the poisoning of these young minds in our country, in other European countries, and around the world."
Football hooligans weren't real football fans either, but big changes were made to the way everyone who wanted to watch football was allowed to, for the greater good
Any updates appreciated beginning to think about peaking outside but we are all 3 scardy poos
I'd strongly advise against it right now, the entire global media turns into a big echo chamber of slightly misreported/out of date events at this point.
Any updates appreciated beginning to think about peaking outside but we are all 3 scardy poos
I'd strongly advise against it right now, the entire global media turns into a big echo chamber of slightly misreported/out of date events at this point.
Yes, probably should wait until more concrete confirmation before risking it.
Any updates appreciated beginning to think about peaking outside but we are all 3 scardy poos
I'd strongly advise against it right now, the entire global media turns into a big echo chamber of slightly misreported/out of date events at this point.
Needless to add, I suppose, but their are likely to be scenes unsuitable for well, everybody, but particular young'uns...
Some tourist guy called Steve Johnson staying at the 'Imperial Marhaba Hotel" (sic) saying it's all over and many armed police have arrived to control the situation.
I have no idea of the veracity of that statement, unfortunately.
Agree - the hotel attack in Mumbai caught guests thinking it was all over before it really was.
No sense in risking it until the all clear is announced. There's no news pic coming out here in the UK apart from old ones of hotel frontage and a helicopter. Looks like the whole area is on lock down for a while yet.
Any updates appreciated beginning to think about peaking outside but we are all 3 scardy poos
I'd strongly advise against it right now, the entire global media turns into a big echo chamber of slightly misreported/out of date events at this point.
Any updates appreciated beginning to think about peaking outside but we are all 3 scardy poos
I'd strongly advise against it right now, the entire global media turns into a big echo chamber of slightly misreported/out of date events at this point.
Needless to add, I suppose, but their are likely to be scenes unsuitable for well, everybody, but particular young'uns...
I would give a big warning to anyone before they click on the Twitter trend "Tunisia". Don't. Other international media are not as self-censorious as they are in the UK.
Mr. Sandpit, a sound warning. Some time ago I was looking for news on ISIS, and saw a picture I wasn't looking for [thankfully it wasn't as horrendous as it could've been].
Agree - the hotel attack in Mumbai caught guests thinking it was all over before it really was.
No sense in risking it until the all clear is announced. There's no news pic coming out here in the UK apart from old ones of hotel frontage and a helicopter. Looks like the whole area is on lock down for a while yet.
Any updates appreciated beginning to think about peaking outside but we are all 3 scardy poos
I'd strongly advise against it right now, the entire global media turns into a big echo chamber of slightly misreported/out of date events at this point.
Not good they ran off at the first gunshot I was stupid enough to think it was part of the entertainment and carried on swimming for about 30 seconds till I realised everyone running past me was not a good sign
Comments
http://news.sky.com/story/1508900/live-updates-brits-hiding-in-hotel-rooms
"One attacker had been killed by police and a search operation was ongoing, with reports that another attacker was involved.
Ongoing exchanges of gunfire had earlier been reported between the attackers and security forces, sources told Al Jazeera.
The attack was on the Imperial Marhaba hotel, local radio said, according to the Reuters news agency. Other reports indicated that two hotels may have been attacked."
These things won't stop until the vast majority of moderate Muslims and imams do something about it within their own communities. Hopefully the fact that it's the middle of Ramadan might help, but I'm not holding anything crossed.
Best advice yet, for now. - Not much more you can do Big John other than to stay put. – stay safe & hope you have bottled water to hand.
David McCann @bighomeless
"First time a person has been decapitated in France" sky report. Really Sky? Really??
Still no updates since last time.
‘Lazy to claim French terror attacks nothing to do with Islam’
A week really is a long time in politics.
Obviously it's a very stressful situation but you are absolutely doing the right thing in sitting tight.
No updates on news channels in last 5 mins, last report was of 2 gunmen, 1 dead and 1 fled, possibly dressed as tourist or policeman.
There's no other way this will work. We need to burn this cancer away.
Mr. Eagles, that's geography, not history. My knowledge of France is very good [albeit two thousand years out of date].
Mr. Slackbladder, that won't happen. A few weeks ago we had a potential PM shrieking about making Islamophobia a criminal offence.
Mr. Owls, as Mr. Price said, it must be extremely frightening but staying put with your family is the right option. PB can provide you and them with a trustworthy link to the outside world, which (when the time comes) will also be very useful.
http://uk.venere.com/ho458550/tunisia/el-kantaoui/clubhotel-riu-bellevue-park/
3rd floor looks well protected from anything going on outside.
'I think most people give him a pass on that as something that regrettably has to be said in order to cool potential reprisals in this country. I am sure that he is not as naive as that in practice, but there aren't any easy solutions here.'
Agree,he's trying to keep the lid on it knowing that most people's patience is now exhausted with this $hite.
Yes. It has all gone quiet and repetitive on the news channels which might suggest that there is a major security operation ongoing to ensure that any potential gunman is accounted for but very little new is happening. This is obviously good news.
Stay safe and still John. It is the only sensible thing to do at the moment.
Please be aware that depending on levels of coordination social media will be being monitored. Please do not give information on your own situation.
Ideally function on receive only, from PB for example.
British Embassy Tunis +216 71 108 700 BritishEmbassyTunis@fco.gov.uk
Says on website it's closed Friday afternoons but possibly worth a try if you have a phone to hand.
Source - BBC
Interior Ministry spokesman Mohammed Ali Aroui says the police operation to catch a second gunman behind the attack on the beach resort is ongoing and the exchange of fire is continuing, reports AP. He says one gunman behind "the terrorist attack was killed during an exchange of fire with security forces".
Having to school the interviewer on why Ramadan isn't just about fasting.
Selon les médias tunisiens, un deuxième assaillant aurait été arrêté. #Sousse #attentat http://www.lematin.ch/21716500
bigjohnowls - don't keep us informed unless you're 100% sure that it's safe to do so. You can tell us the story of your escape later; don't take any chances if you might be heard typing or texting.
Fingers crossed that it's all over before much longer - like others, have TV and Twitter on for any news for you and yours.
Sounds like you've had some good advice. Head down and think you deserve a crateful of Keep Calm mugs when you get back to Blighty. This will be a cracking anecdote one day...
@Slackbladder - there's three attacks today, some media heads are saying this is a lone wolf attack, that seems odd given the Kuwait, French and Tunisian actions.
it is true of course that Kendall is the 'uber Blairite' candidate in the race but Burnham too was first promoted to be a Minister by Blair and in 2010 was considered a Blairite candidate. He was loyal to Blair when the Brownites moved against him but also loyal to Brown when the Blairites tried, in turn, to undermine him so he may be better placed than Kendall to unite all wings of the party. Cooper is clearly the Brownite candidate in the race and Corbyn the candidate of the Old Left.
As for election 2020, it is early days, but if Osborne cuts the top tax rate in July while slashing welfare and public spending that could boost Labour, even if economically there may be arguments in favour and who knows how EU ref will impact on Tory unity. The fact that Cameron will not be leading the Tories in 2020 also removes their best asset
Also worth noting Tunisia and France have both been hit twice this year.
@BJO can you email the embassy?
"According to Tunisian media, a second assailant was arrested."
https://translate.google.co.uk/translate?sl=fr&tl=en&js=y&prev=_t&hl=en&ie=UTF-8&u=http://www.lematin.ch/monde/DIRECT-Au-moins-27-morts-dans-une-attaque-a-Sousse/story/21716500&edit-text=
twitter.com/PHammondMP/status/614428340955578368
FWIW, check if the bath is metal. If so, first sound of gunfire, get your faamily to lie down inside it.
Key bit
"15:30 According to Tunisian media, a second assailant was arrested. "
No UK media reporting the same yet.
Not to put the mockers on things, but I’ve seen no secondary confirmation from major news orgs. - Will do so immediately if that changes.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-33287136
I have no idea of the veracity of that statement, unfortunately.
No sense in risking it until the all clear is announced. There's no news pic coming out here in the UK apart from old ones of hotel frontage and a helicopter. Looks like the whole area is on lock down for a while yet.
How's the rest of the family?
Don't. Other international media are not as self-censorious as they are in the UK.