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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Jim Murphy loses his seat now in what is now Scötterdämmeru

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  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @carrieapples: Conservatives GAIN Sutton & Cheam
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    alex. said:

    It is clear from these results that UKIP votes have been coming from all other parties and none with clearly no bias against Conservatives.

    It would seem so, but possibly a lot of churn. Con to UKIP and LD to Con
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,033
    can we say yet that this election has been the most exciting ever. More so than 1992. Just amazing really.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,780
    Mortimer said:

    Knew we'd get Itchen!

    Excellet...another red seat in the south gone...
  • JonCisBackJonCisBack Posts: 911
    Bah Ben Bradshaw increased his majority quite a bit. Irritating sanctimonious pr1ck
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,142
    currystar said:

    Eastleigh is my biggest ever win on a political bet . If the Tories win an outright majority I will be buying my daughter a new car

    Well done! Fingers crossed!

  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Cons hold Cambs NW
  • FensterFenster Posts: 2,115
    Will Mcvey be safe in the Wirral?
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Where are LibDems going to get 10 seats from?
  • PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    We're looking at a Tory majority imho
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Second recount in Gower
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,137
    Time for me to concede. I have been slaughtered at the bookies tonight. I will be holding a full post mortem with myself at breakfast in a couple of hours.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    Bah Ben Bradshaw increased his majority quite a bit. Irritating sanctimonious pr1ck

    Is Captain Underpants back in?
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Soton Itchen CON GAIN
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Scott_P said:

    @GuidoFawkes: CON hold in Stockton South

    It seems that all Tory marginals will now become safe seats.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    Wow: Con gain Sutton.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Five of the top ten most vulnerable Conservative seats have declared. All five have been Conservative holds with increased majorities.
  • GravitationGravitation Posts: 287

    Bah Ben Bradshaw increased his majority quite a bit. Irritating sanctimonious pr1ck

    He pops up on the local news down here quite a lot. Can't stand him.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Who was the LD in Sutton and Cheam?
  • MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    I think it's important in the Bermondsey & Old Southwark result (now at http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000553 ) not to overlook the controversial battle between Comrade Kingsley Abrams, the joint candidate of Trade Unionist and Sociality Coalition - Left Unity, and Comrade Steve Freeman standing for The Republican Socialist Party, but who was controversially also a member of the Lefty Unity Party.

    I love it when left-wing parties stick "Unity" in their names, but it would certainly help if they didn't actually run two candidates against each other in the same constituency... if Comrade Freeman hadn't nabbed 20 votes, then Comrade Abrams might have mustered better than his total of 142 and posed a more serious threat to Simon Hughes and his fellow pro-auterity politicians.
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Con gain Sutton & Cheam
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 7s7 seconds ago
    Tories GAIN Southampton Itchen. Wow.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533

    Bah Ben Bradshaw increased his majority quite a bit. Irritating sanctimonious pr1ck

    Exeter is rammed full of public sector workers that got shifted out of London.
  • Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Edi South lab hold. Nicola out
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,546

    Sean_F said:

    Clacton Tory GAIN in next election. That's a shockingly low vote for the late UKIP party.

    Don't get high on your own supply. UKIP have won millions of votes.
    As have the Greens and as the BNP did last time. Thankfully we decided to keep by two to one in a referendu, First Past The Post to give seats to the winners and not the fringes.
    Obviously the beneficiaries of the system think it's the best system there is. But, when the system turns, as it has tonight for Scottish unionist parties, it can turn very viciously.
  • MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    As ridiculous as this all is, this multiple candidacy actually caused quite substantial ructions in London's Ken Loach-inspired left-wing overgrown student politicky circles. The Communist Platform of Left Unity was quite upset about it: http://leftunity.org/communist-platform-statement-on-the-candidacy-of-steve-freeman/
    1. Steve Freeman has announced that he is a parliamentary candidates in Bermondsey and Old Southwark for the May 7 general election. He is standing as a Republican Socialist. He is therefore opposing Kingsley Abrams, a candidate jointly backed by the Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition and Left Unity. Politically this amounts to sabotage.

    2. Comrade Abrams is a former local councillor and was the official Labour candidate in the 2001 general election. He lost to Simon Hughes, but got 30% of the vote. Comrade Abrams fell foul of the Labour Party machine after speaking out against austerity. He describes himself as old Labour and recently resigned from the party after 30 years of membership. Comrade Abrams then offered to stand under the banner of Tusc and LU – an offer that was eagerly accepted at both a local and national level. Southwark LU officially endorsed him on February 25.

    3. Though comrade Abrams is not a member of LU, he is without doubt the right candidate to back. He is not only challenging Simon Hughes once again, but mainstream Labour hopeful Nick Coyle. His central slogan is ‘No to austerity’.

    4. Comrade Freeman is a member of Left Unity. Till recently he was in charge of its constitutional commission and put himself forward for its national council in internal elections. His criticisms of old Labour and Tusc are well founded. The idea of a Labour Party mark II is illusory and doomed to fail. However, comrade Freeman’s ‘republican socialism’ amounts to little more than a leftwing version of English nationalism.

    5. Even if he advocated a politically principled socialist programme comrade Freeman would be wrong to stand. The left in Britain is woefully weak and dividing of our forces in the general election can only but damage our cause. Political criticism is perfectly legitimate – indeed it is required. But when it comes to the May 7 general election our motto should be ‘Unity in action’.

    6. We urge comrade Freeman to behave in a responsible manner and immediately step down as a candidate. If he refuses then it is clear that the national council is duty-bound to initiate disciplinary proceedings against him under clause 18(a) of the constitution.
    So earnest, bless them. "The left in Britain is woefully weak and dividing of our forces in the general election can only but damage our cause" ... 162 votes would definitely have been better than 142 plus 20...
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,238
    God, we've won a seat in Scotland
  • GravitationGravitation Posts: 287
    Just me, or is there something just a bit strange about Douglas Carswell? Can't put my finger on it.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,045
    dr_spyn said:

    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 7s7 seconds ago
    Tories GAIN Southampton Itchen. Wow.

    YAY. Is this actually happening??
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    FFS...back to BBC...Labour Labour Labour Labour...
  • No_Offence_AlanNo_Offence_Alan Posts: 4,596
    Labour have an MP in Scotland - Edinburgh South.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,156

    Ave_it said:

    Horrible result in Ilford N swing -6%

    **whistles innocently**
    You are so in my bad books.
    "You have nothing, NOTHING to threaten me with. Nothing to do with all your strength!"
  • volcanopetevolcanopete Posts: 2,078
    John Curtice and his exit poll looked nervous about his projections but that exit poll is not far out at all and what does this outcome say about Peter Kellner and YouGov,Lord Ashcroft and the rest,who have turned out to be offering snake-oil? Heads must surely roll.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    edited May 2015
    @skyelections: Labour hold #EdinburghSouth #GE2015

    @iainmacwhirter: Paco McSheepie gets dipped. What an idiot. #GE2015 A lesson for all cybertwats
  • old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    Yeah!
    Plato said:

    Featherstone Out

  • SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    Labour hold Edinburgh South
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,045

    Bah Ben Bradshaw increased his majority quite a bit. Irritating sanctimonious pr1ck

    Exeter is rammed full of public sector workers that got shifted out of London.
    Met Office is the big one down there.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Labour Hold a scottish seat!
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    SLAB is alive...in the form of Ian Murray who holds Ed South...
  • JonCisBackJonCisBack Posts: 911
    Lab hold Edinburgh S!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,987
    Sutton and Cheam Tory gain
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    dr_spyn said:

    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 7s7 seconds ago
    Tories GAIN Southampton Itchen. Wow.

    Good to see Metropolitan careerist talking-head stopped.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,045
    Scottish Tories > Scottish Labour looking much less likely :(
  • PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    RodCrosby said:

    Con gain Sutton & Cheam

    WOW!!!
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    I'm glad Carswell won in Clacton in the face of ridiculous and bullying 'anti-UKIP' marches arranged in his constituency. Prats.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    If there were to be another election quite soon - and I don't think there will be - would the LDs be advised to not stand in all constituencies? Waste of even marginal amounts of resources to put up candidates in many areas.
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Bo-ris! Bo-ris! Bo-ris!
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    edited May 2015
    Now I wonder if Boris has won...innocent face....
  • GravitationGravitation Posts: 287
    Dimbleby - stop talking over half the declarations!!
  • old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    Chilled, pink champagne, I hope.
    HYUFD said:

    Tatchell watching with chilled champagne

  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Clacton Tory GAIN in next election. That's a shockingly low vote for the late UKIP party.

    Don't get high on your own supply. UKIP have won millions of votes.
    As have the Greens and as the BNP did last time. Thankfully we decided to keep by two to one in a referendu, First Past The Post to give seats to the winners and not the fringes.
    Obviously the beneficiaries of the system think it's the best system there is. But, when the system turns, as it has tonight for Scottish unionist parties, it can turn very viciously.
    100% agreed.

    Though I don't think it's a fault in the system, Canada is another famous example - and the Canadian Tories returned to government after that. Tonight Scotland has spoken and it said SNP.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Con hold New Forest E
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,417
    Speedy said:

    Labour Hold a scottish seat!

    Con gain BRS now please
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    When does Paul O'Grady fly out from Heathrow?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @ChrisMasonBBC: Labour think they have narrowly beaten Conservative minister Esther McVey in Wirral West, reports @ArifBBC ...there is a recount underway.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,987
    With Orkney and Edinburgh S SNP now doing worse than exit polls, a few shy unionists?
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,546

    Both Harrow East and Hendon has been comfortable majorities for Con

    Maybe Hannah David is about to become an MP? I was door-knocking for her in Harrow West, yesterday, and was struck by how organised her campaign was.
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Lab hold Walsall North
  • SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    Uxbridge & Ruislip South (London) - OMRLP Lord Toby Jug fails to pip BoJo.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533

    I'm glad Carswell won in Clacton in the face of ridiculous and bullying 'anti-UKIP' marches arranged in his constituency. Prats.

    If the idiots who arranged those kind of things actually looked at what Carswell stands for they would realise he is a million miles from what they think he stands for.
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Straw Junior FAIL - Con hold
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Straw Jnr fails in Rossendale - Con Hold
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,303
    Jack Straw Jr loses.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,045
    Prodicus said:

    Straw Junior FAIL - Con hold

    Heh
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,156
    Boris Johnson MP!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,987
    Boris comfortably holds on
  • GravitationGravitation Posts: 287
    Boris is back!
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533

    Jack Straw Jr loses.

    Good.....
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,417
    HYUFD said:

    With Orkney and Edinburgh S SNP now doing worse than exit polls, a few shy unionists?

    Arc Give it a break lol
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @carrieapples: Conservatives HOLD South Ruislip
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,780
    Rory Cellan-Jones ‏@ruskin147 18 secs19 seconds ago

    Official at Twickenham count says there may be a recount but Vince Cable is behind his Conservative opponent

    exxxxcelllent
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    kle4 said:

    If there were to be another election quite soon - and I don't think there will be - would the LDs be advised to not stand in all constituencies? Waste of even marginal amounts of resources to put up candidates in many areas.

    I think they will go back to their stone age years of 1945-1964, they will stand in a handful of seats from now on.
  • NeilVWNeilVW Posts: 733

    Just me, or is there something just a bit strange about Douglas Carswell? Can't put my finger on it.

    Odd mouth.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,417
    RobD said:

    Scottish Tories > Scottish Labour looking much less likely :

    BRS
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @BethRigby: Tory sources think Vince Cable is gone. #GE2015
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,417
    Come on the Tories BRS
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,045
    Pulpstar said:

    RobD said:

    Scottish Tories > Scottish Labour looking much less likely :

    BRS
    We'd need two :(
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    Boris to be made Minister for Families? :-)
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    The last time I remember being so chipper was 1986.
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Priceless. Mid acceptance speech, Boris remembered it's his wedding anniversary and paid tribute to his wife. /facepalm
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Amber Valley: Con maj increased from 536 to 4,205:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000533
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    Speedy said:

    kle4 said:

    If there were to be another election quite soon - and I don't think there will be - would the LDs be advised to not stand in all constituencies? Waste of even marginal amounts of resources to put up candidates in many areas.

    I think they will go back to their stone age years of 1945-1964, they will stand in a handful of seats from now on.
    2025 is the rebuilding election for them now I guess.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,987
    Saltire There will only be a second vote in 2018 if Brexit in 2017, a deal on FFA and EVEL possible
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    ITV News ‏@itvnews 16s16 seconds ago
    LAB Hold Edinburgh South #GE2015
    1 retweet 0 favorites
    Reply Retweet1 Favorite
    More
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100

    Lab hold Walsall North

    Another on the UKIP radar flops.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,927
    Derbyshire Mid - CON hold
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Lab hold Birmingham Northfields
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    Pulpstar said:

    Come on the Tories BRS

    Hang on, I'm on the SNP at 66-1!
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,045
    Prodicus said:

    Priceless. Mid acceptance speech, Boris remembered it's his wedding anniversary and paid tribute to his wife. /facepalm

    That was planned, it must be!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,981

    NEW THREAD

  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,036
    Plato said:

    Straw Jnr fails in Rossendale - Con Hold

    YESSSS!!!!!!
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @carrieapples: Conservatives HOLD Devizes - Congrats @claire4devizes!
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    Stevenage too!!
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Cripes
    AndyJS said:

    Amber Valley: Con maj increased from 536 to 4,205:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000533

  • old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    Ditto.

    Thank you Bermondsey.

  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,546
    Hendon is a remarkable result. Presumably due to massive support from Jewish voters.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,987
    Bury S Labour hold
  • MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    Scott_P said:

    @ChrisMasonBBC: Labour think they have narrowly beaten Conservative minister Esther McVey in Wirral West, reports @ArifBBC ...there is a recount underway.

    Shame for the Tories if true.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,223
    Is there any chance that the remaining Lib Dem MPs will just defect to Labour?
This discussion has been closed.