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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Farage the 13/8 betting favourite to “win” tonight’s Challe

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  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,964
    Mr. Tyson, unless the debate altered the constitutional arrangement of the United Kingdom my not watching does not make my view any less valid.

    Having someone who wants the UK to end in the government of the UK is madness. Would the Athenians elect a Persian to lead them?
  • MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,808
    Thought that overall a good effort for Miliband. Ok for Bennett and Sturgeon. Farage went for a core vote strategy. As before, losers were those who weren't there.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,149
    I think Nicola and the Indian girl, Leanne, did best!
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,711

    MikeL said:

    Good decision for Con to put Hague on - by far the strongest option.

    He became leader 10 years too soon?
    That is absolutely what happened. Tragically.
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    Ishmael_X said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    For PB Kippers the BBC did not select the audience.

    For JackW, many of those on here criticising the audience balance are PB Tories not PB kippers.
    Duly noted .... so ....

    For PB Kippers and some PB Tories the BBC did not select the audience.

    OTOH they selected the selecters. It shows.
    Oh my god you mean the audience "selecters" didn't stuff the place with 90% of Kippers ....

    The issue has nothing to do with who the place is stuffed with.

    American debates are held in audience silence.
    Australian debates are held in audience silence.
    ITV's debate was held in relative audience silence.
    BBC's debate has had the audience vocal all along.

    The issue isn't that the audience isn't balanced, the odds of getting a balanced audience on every topic is slim to nil. The issue is that the BBC are allowing them to be vocal at all.
    Lets gag the audience in an election debate !!

    Well it's a view but a pretty grubby one.

    So American debates are grubby?
    Australian debates are grubby?
    ITV debate was grubby?

    No the purpose of a debate is to have a debate between the people on stage representing the parties up for election, not a tiny group in the audience who will never represent the country accurately.
    The decision to gag the electorate is grubby and foreign debates are worse for not having a vibrant audience dynamic.

    What are they afraid of ? Elections belong primarily to the electorate who should not be muted for the benefit of politicians and supine broadcasters.

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591

    JackW said:


    Lets gag the audience in an election debate !!

    Well it's a view but a pretty grubby one.

    We hear rather a lot from the public in election campaigns. It's non-stop "let's see what Mrs Miggins of Cirencester reckons" and then the public gets the last word in the form of a huge game of noughts and crosses (mainly crosses).

    But I'm a member of the public and tune in to a leaders' debate to hear from the leaders. The tedious, constant clap-o-meter nonsense is just distracting. It isn't about gagging anyone - it's creating watchable TV
    I'm in two minds. It did feel pretty unbalanced this evening, but the total silence of 5 years ago was a bit weird. The ITV one seemed pretty even, not too many oohs and aahs from the crowd, that sort of thing.
  • MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,808

    I think Nicola and the Indian girl, Leanne, did best!

    If only she broke into a Bollywood routine...
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,117
    John Pinear is a walrus in disguise
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,711
    Jonathan said:

    Hague singularly failing to defend Daves non attendance. He would have done it.

    Hague is a good debater.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    It did. They figured the best way to do it would be during a debate most people won't have seen. Quite sneaky of them really.

    Mr. Tyson, unless the debate altered the constitutional arrangement of the United Kingdom

  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    Danny Alexander looking unwell.
  • nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800
    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    Ishmael_X said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    For PB Kippers the BBC did not select the audience.

    For JackW, many of those on here criticising the audience balance are PB Tories not PB kippers.
    Duly noted .... so ....

    For PB Kippers and some PB Tories the BBC did not select the audience.

    OTOH they selected the selecters. It shows.
    Oh my god you mean the audience "selecters" didn't stuff the place with 90% of Kippers ....

    The issue has nothing to do with who the place is stuffed with.

    American debates are held in audience silence.
    Australian debates are held in audience silence.
    ITV's debate was held in relative audience silence.
    BBC's debate has had the audience vocal all along.

    The issue isn't that the audience isn't balanced, the odds of getting a balanced audience on every topic is slim to nil. The issue is that the BBC are allowing them to be vocal at all.
    Lets gag the audience in an election debate !!

    Well it's a view but a pretty grubby one.

    So American debates are grubby?
    Australian debates are grubby?
    ITV debate was grubby?

    No the purpose of a debate is to have a debate between the people on stage representing the parties up for election, not a tiny group in the audience who will never represent the country accurately.
    The decision to gag the electorate is grubby and foreign debates are worse for not having a vibrant audience dynamic.

    What are they afraid of ? Elections belong primarily to the electorate who should not be muted for the benefit of politicians and supine broadcasters.

    Utter rubbish

    People will have been swayed by the audience which was in no way representative of the electorate as a whole.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    Warning - since I took the boring trouble of noting how I felt about each section of the debate, I will be regurgitating that as concisely as I can on here, which should surprise no one.
  • Sean_F said:


    And the margin of error for 200 people, as opposed to the usual sample?

    About 7%.

  • Ishmael_XIshmael_X Posts: 3,664
    JackW said:

    Ishmael_X said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    For PB Kippers the BBC did not select the audience.

    For JackW, many of those on here criticising the audience balance are PB Tories not PB kippers.
    Duly noted .... so ....

    For PB Kippers and some PB Tories the BBC did not select the audience.

    OTOH they selected the selecters. It shows.
    Oh my god you mean the audience "selecters" didn't stuff the place with 90% of Kippers ....

    No I don't mean that.

    Curious reluctance to name the selectors [have rethought the sp. of that], though.
  • MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,808
    Biggest idiot of the night on now. Cameron now decides what the LibDems do and don't do. I am like the little girl who Dave tried to explain Tory education policy to. Bang, bang, bang
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,928
    Danny Alexander for the Lib Dems. Was no-one else available?
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,117
    Emily is sporting quite alot of botox.

    Time to get the kettle on- Danny Alexander is saying something or other....
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    MaxPB said:

    Sounds like a standard BBC audience to me. Farage makes a very valid point that demand is outstripping supply and the audience don't like it.

    Exactly
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    Ishmael_X said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    For PB Kippers the BBC did not select the audience.

    For JackW, many of those on here criticising the audience balance are PB Tories not PB kippers.
    Duly noted .... so ....

    For PB Kippers and some PB Tories the BBC did not select the audience.

    OTOH they selected the selecters. It shows.
    Oh my god you mean the audience "selecters" didn't stuff the place with 90% of Kippers ....

    The issue has nothing to do with who the place is stuffed with.

    American debates are held in audience silence.
    Australian debates are held in audience silence.
    ITV's debate was held in relative audience silence.
    BBC's debate has had the audience vocal all along.

    The issue isn't that the audience isn't balanced, the odds of getting a balanced audience on every topic is slim to nil. The issue is that the BBC are allowing them to be vocal at all.
    Lets gag the audience in an election debate !!

    Well it's a view but a pretty grubby one.

    So American debates are grubby?
    Australian debates are grubby?
    ITV debate was grubby?

    No the purpose of a debate is to have a debate between the people on stage representing the parties up for election, not a tiny group in the audience who will never represent the country accurately.
    The decision to gag the electorate is grubby and foreign debates are worse for not having a vibrant audience dynamic.

    What are they afraid of ? Elections belong primarily to the electorate who should not be muted for the benefit of politicians and supine broadcasters.

    Utter rubbish

    People will have been swayed by the audience which was in no way representative of the electorate as a whole.
    What is your evidence that the audience "was in no way Representative of the electorate as a whole." ?

  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917

    Biggest idiot of the night on now. Cameron now decides what the LibDems do and don't do. I am like the little girl who Dave tried to explain Tory education policy to. Bang, bang, bang

    Indeed. Alexander just said no "civilised" person would agree with Farage. Not going for working class votes, then, the Libs...
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Danny Alexander enjoying his last 15 minutes of fame. 3 weeks and he will be forgotten.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,223
    No question about crime tonight so no opportunity for Rotherham to be brought up.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,415
    Sounds like Sturgeon won but Farage did well with Miliband holding up ok ?
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    All this "I don't want Farage holding the balance of power".

    News flash: Farage won't be holding the balance of power.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,149
    New THREAD
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,117

    Danny Alexander for the Lib Dems. Was no-one else available?

    I don't think it would make a difference. Chris Huhne would be sort of fun. Or Paddy, with his pants down possibly
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Farages 'ludicrous claim' we have to build 1 house every 7 minutes for immigrants?

    1 house every 7 minutes is 8 houses an hour
    Which is 192 houses a day
    Which is 70,080 houses a year.

    There are 300,000 net migrants into the UK in the last year. At 4-5 per house those figures match. (if anything it should be quicker)
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    Ishmael_X said:

    Farage really embarrassing himself. How does play even to his core vote?

    Well, he is playing very well to my wife and son .

    Wife not going to vote for him - but that is (votes) Labour -1 UKIP +1 here
  • SaltireSaltire Posts: 525

    Danny Alexander for the Lib Dems. Was no-one else available?

    Might aswell put the one reasonably known MP on telly who would wasting his time actually campaigning in his own constituency...
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    I think Nicola and the Indian girl, Leanne, did best!

    If only she broke into a Bollywood routine...
    Screwing in a lightbulb with right hand while having a knee trembler??!?
  • kle4 said:


    I'm in two minds. It did feel pretty unbalanced this evening, but the total silence of 5 years ago was a bit weird. The ITV one seemed pretty even, not too many oohs and aahs from the crowd, that sort of thing.

    Personally, I think an advantage of silence is it makes the experience a little more like the leader speaking to you or to a small group, and the leaders themselves respond to it.

    In that sort of atmosphere, you don't get semi-spontaneous rounds of applause or boos. People either warm to you or not, so you try to be warm, to connect, to project your personality and explain yourself. In the noisy audience scenario, you get people playing it for cheap reactions, and I don't find that as revealing or easy to connect with sat on my sofa.
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Both UKIP MPs represented tonight. Reckless commenting on the debate and Carswell on QT. Guess this shows the deep internal split in UKIP...
  • nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800
    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    Ishmael_X said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    For PB Kippers the BBC did not select the audience.

    For JackW, many of those on here criticising the audience balance are PB Tories not PB kippers.
    Duly noted .... so ....

    For PB Kippers and some PB Tories the BBC did not select the audience.

    OTOH they selected the selecters. It shows.
    Oh my god you mean the audience "selecters" didn't stuff the place with 90% of Kippers ....

    The issue has nothing to do with who the place is stuffed with.

    American debates are held in audience silence.
    Australian debates are held in audience silence.
    ITV's debate was held in relative audience silence.
    BBC's debate has had the audience vocal all along.

    The issue isn't that the audience isn't balanced, the odds of getting a balanced audience on every topic is slim to nil. The issue is that the BBC are allowing them to be vocal at all.
    Lets gag the audience in an election debate !!

    Well it's a view but a pretty grubby one.

    So American debates are grubby?
    Australian debates are grubby?
    ITV debate was grubby?

    No the purpose of a debate is to have a debate between the people on stage representing the parties up for election, not a tiny group in the audience who will never represent the country accurately.
    The decision to gag the electorate is grubby and foreign debates are worse for not having a vibrant audience dynamic.

    What are they afraid of ? Elections belong primarily to the electorate who should not be muted for the benefit of politicians and supine broadcasters.

    Utter rubbish

    People will have been swayed by the audience which was in no way representative of the electorate as a whole.
    What is your evidence that the audience "was in no way Representative of the electorate as a whole." ?

    See Tim Montgomerie
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,774
    Nigel Dodds says all the right things, impressive.
    Pity DUP aren't standing in the mainland.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,983
    Tyson

    "Ed isn't crap tonight. He's hardly Martin Luther, but he's actually not too bad."

    He's got to stop sounding like a Dalek.....Hard Working Families....OUR country....but as you say not TOO bad
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,393
    Dair said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Dair said:

    JEO said:

    Wow. No claps at all for Farage on restricting immigration, but loud applause for Wood arguing against him. This is clearly a completely unbalanced audience.

    The Kippers in the audience blew their cover in the first few minutes with unholy whoops on Farage's opening statement. They were probably ejected for that. Stupid Kippers blow it again.
    They need to take lessons on planting from Scottish Labour sounds like :D
    Well Scottish Labour have the advantage of actually running BBC Scotland. Makes it a lot easier for them to load the audience as they did in Aberdeen.
    That's right, their newsreaders greet and whine "what are we going to do?" live on air whenever there is a SNP victory - makes life easy seeing where their allegiances lie.
    JEO said:

    Judging by that huge applause and whooping for Sturgeon on voting SNP, this audience doesn't just seem left-wing, it seems highly Scottish nationalist. Has there been an infiltration?

    tyson said:

    I think after Sturgeon's performance- she is mighty- Englanders will not really mind if she has a say in England. She is so much better than the rest- give her a go.

    I think that's very much the point - the media have been suppressing and traducing the SNP as crazed nationalists without letting people see that their within-UK policies might actually be quite popular.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,987
    MP SE Exactly
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    Ishmael_X said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    For PB Kippers the BBC did not select the audience.

    For JackW, many of those on here criticising the audience balance are PB Tories not PB kippers.
    Duly noted .... so ....

    For PB Kippers and some PB Tories the BBC did not select the audience.

    OTOH they selected the selecters. It shows.
    Oh my god you mean the audience "selecters" didn't stuff the place with 90% of Kippers ....

    The issue has nothing to do with who the place is stuffed with.

    American debates are held in audience silence.
    Australian debates are held in audience silence.
    ITV's debate was held in relative audience silence.
    BBC's debate has had the audience vocal all along.

    The issue isn't that the audience isn't balanced, the odds of getting a balanced audience on every topic is slim to nil. The issue is that the BBC are allowing them to be vocal at all.
    Lets gag the audience in an election debate !!

    Well it's a view but a pretty grubby one.

    So American debates are grubby?
    Australian debates are grubby?
    ITV debate was grubby?

    No the purpose of a debate is to have a debate between the people on stage representing the parties up for election, not a tiny group in the audience who will never represent the country accurately.
    The decision to gag the electorate is grubby and foreign debates are worse for not having a vibrant audience dynamic.

    What are they afraid of ? Elections belong primarily to the electorate who should not be muted for the benefit of politicians and supine broadcasters.

    Utter rubbish

    People will have been swayed by the audience which was in no way representative of the electorate as a whole.
    What is your evidence that the audience "was in no way Representative of the electorate as a whole." ?

    See Tim Montgomerie
    Absolutely risible.

  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    Ishmael_X said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    For PB Kippers the BBC did not select the audience.

    For JackW, many of those on here criticising the audience balance are PB Tories not PB kippers.
    Duly noted .... so ....

    For PB Kippers and some PB Tories the BBC did not select the audience.

    OTOH they selected the selecters. It shows.
    Oh my god you mean the audience "selecters" didn't stuff the place with 90% of Kippers ....

    The issue has nothing to do with who the place is stuffed with.

    American debates are held in audience silence.
    Australian debates are held in audience silence.
    ITV's debate was held in relative audience silence.
    BBC's debate has had the audience vocal all along.

    The issue isn't that the audience isn't balanced, the odds of getting a balanced audience on every topic is slim to nil. The issue is that the BBC are allowing them to be vocal at all.
    Lets gag the audience in an election debate !!

    Well it's a view but a pretty grubby one.

    So American debates are grubby?
    Australian debates are grubby?
    ITV debate was grubby?

    No the purpose of a debate is to have a debate between the people on stage representing the parties up for election, not a tiny group in the audience who will never represent the country accurately.
    The decision to gag the electorate is grubby and foreign debates are worse for not having a vibrant audience dynamic.

    What are they afraid of ? Elections belong primarily to the electorate who should not be muted for the benefit of politicians and supine broadcasters.

    Utter rubbish

    People will have been swayed by the audience which was in no way representative of the electorate as a whole.
    What is your evidence that the audience "was in no way Representative of the electorate as a whole." ?

    See Tim Montgomerie
    Absolutely risible.

    I was thinking how biased the audience were a minute before he said it. Seemed a disproportionate amount of Scottish and Welsh Bats.

  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    Brom said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    Ishmael_X said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    For PB Kippers the BBC did not select the audience.

    For JackW, many of those on here criticising the audience balance are PB Tories not PB kippers.
    Duly noted .... so ....

    For PB Kippers and some PB Tories the BBC did not select the audience.

    OTOH they selected the selecters. It shows.
    Oh my god you mean the audience "selecters" didn't stuff the place with 90% of Kippers ....

    The issue has nothing to do with who the place is stuffed with.

    American debates are held in audience silence.
    Australian debates are held in audience silence.
    ITV's debate was held in relative audience silence.
    BBC's debate has had the audience vocal all along.

    The issue isn't that the audience isn't balanced, the odds of getting a balanced audience on every topic is slim to nil. The issue is that the BBC are allowing them to be vocal at all.
    Lets gag the audience in an election debate !!

    Well it's a view but a pretty grubby one.

    So American debates are grubby?
    Australian debates are grubby?
    ITV debate was grubby?

    No the purpose of a debate is to have a debate between the people on stage representing the parties up for election, not a tiny group in the audience who will never represent the country accurately.
    The decision to gag the electorate is grubby and foreign debates are worse for not having a vibrant audience dynamic.

    What are they afraid of ? Elections belong primarily to the electorate who should not be muted for the benefit of politicians and supine broadcasters.

    Utter rubbish

    People will have been swayed by the audience which was in no way representative of the electorate as a whole.
    What is your evidence that the audience "was in no way Representative of the electorate as a whole." ?

    See Tim Montgomerie
    Absolutely risible.

    I was thinking how biased the audience were a minute before he said it. Seemed a disproportionate amount of Scottish and Welsh Bats.

    Or Bats rather! Though could be argued they're moon bats
  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    O
    Brom said:

    Brom said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    Ishmael_X said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    For PB Kippers the BBC did not select the audience.

    For JackW, many of those on here criticising the audience balance are PB Tories not PB kippers.
    Duly noted .... so ....

    For PB Kippers and some PB Tories the BBC did not select the audience.

    OTOH they selected the selecters. It shows.
    Oh my god you mean the audience "selecters" didn't stuff the place with 90% of Kippers ....

    The issue has nothing to do with who the place is stuffed with.

    American debates are held in audience silence.
    Australian debates are held in audience silence.
    ITV's debate was held in relative audience silence.
    BBC's debate has had the audience vocal all along.

    The issue isn't that the audience isn't balanced, the odds of getting a balanced audience on every topic is slim to nil. The issue is that the BBC are allowing them to be vocal at all.
    Lets gag the audience in an election debate !!

    Well it's a view but a pretty grubby one.

    So American debates are grubby?
    Australian debates are grubby?
    ITV debate was grubby?

    No the purpose of a debate is to have a debate between the people on stage representing the parties up for election, not a tiny group in the audience who will never represent the country accurately.
    The decision to gag the electorate is grubby and foreign debates are worse for not having a vibrant audience dynamic.

    What are they afraid of ? Elections belong primarily to the electorate who should not be muted for the benefit of politicians and supine broadcasters.

    Utter rubbish

    People will have been swayed by the audience which was in no way representative of the electorate as a whole.
    What is your evidence that the audience "was in no way Representative of the electorate as a whole." ?

    See Tim Montgomerie
    Absolutely risible.

    I was thinking how biased the audience were a minute before he said it. Seemed a disproportionate amount of Scottish and Welsh Bats.

    Or Bats rather! Though could be argued they're moon bats
    Predictive text havoc tonight! I give up!
This discussion has been closed.