It's interesting to note that Tory progress has been marked by large "outlier" polls, then a slow but steady series of polls that fill in the gap. Then another outlier.... This saw-tooth progress has been happening since we had 10% Labour leads (remember them? hur hur hur....)
It's interesting that the poll rubbishers who were missing the other week when we had some good Labour polls are out in force today. suggested thread header "Tories struggle to get beyond a 6 point lead" ?
There were plenty of "poll rubbishers" out last week actually, many trying to un-skew the polls GOP style.
I'm calling this a rogue poll (even tho I like it - so I'm not breaking the Golden Rule), however as it is ICM we can't just junk it.
So. It suggests to me an actual Tory lead of 2-3%. Cameron can still win this.
john_zims (just below) is claiming you've called the GE for Ed Miliband - is this the case? We can't have you backing both possible winners can we and then claiming to have right after the event.
They phoned up 90 people in Scotland, and found 9 Labour voters. There's probably a shy Labour effect here to be perfectly honest but I reckon Davidson may well have won over some of the ABC Labour rump.
There was another poll the other day where the Tories were level with Labour in every group in Scotland bar the Thatcher generation.
The Tories are currently level or ahead of Labour with pensioners in Wales and Scotland.
They phoned up 90 people in Scotland, and found 9 Labour voters. There's probably a shy Labour effect here to be perfectly honest but I reckon Davidson may well have won over some of the ABC Labour rump.
There was another poll the other day where the Tories were level with Labour in every group in Scotland bar the Thatcher generation.
The Tories are currently level or ahead of Labour with pensioners in Wales and Scotland.
What is the "Thatcher generation" - is it those of us between 25 and 35 ?
Crikey. I wander off to buy some plants - and Dave gets a majority!
I shall now plant up all of Devon for the next three weeks.
What are you planting and where in Devon? Born in Plymouth myself, though now stateside. Have just about finished digging my kitchen garden, and about to embark on an epic planting. About 150 yards of beds total. I have lettuces, brussel sprouts, broccoli, spinach, kale, onions, garlic, shallots, and a wide variety of herbs and berries in already. Peas, beans, potatoes up next then the nightshade family and squashes early next month.
They phoned up 90 people in Scotland, and found 9 Labour voters. There's probably a shy Labour effect here to be perfectly honest but I reckon Davidson may well have won over some of the ABC Labour rump.
There was another poll the other day where the Tories were level with Labour in every group in Scotland bar the Thatcher generation.
The Tories are currently level or ahead of Labour with pensioners in Wales and Scotland.
What is the "Thatcher generation" - is it those of us between 25 and 35 ?
Presumably, it's taking a while to compose a headline title that's negative towards the Tories.
I thought Mike wasn't about?
When he doesn't write the threads, they read as if they were written in a foreign language and translated through babelfish. So maybe that's down like Betfair
Sweet Jesus.
Give the obsession a rest, you gibbering mockney manchild.
Thus ends a 7 year lurk, and most likely begins another.
The really odd thing about the ICM poll, apart from the headline, is the North. Cons outpolling Labour in the North, Greens outpolling UKIP in the North, Cameron doing a brilliant job in the North.
Comments
The comedy Scottish figures distort the ICM a touch.
The Tories are currently level or ahead of Labour with pensioners in Wales and Scotland.
Give the obsession a rest, you gibbering mockney manchild.
Thus ends a 7 year lurk, and most likely begins another.
Where is the North? North Kensington perhaps?
40-59 - the protesters on the polytechnic picket line.
Young and political in the 1980s.