@ShippersUnbound: YouGov/Sunday Times poll Fieldwork all carried out after the Paxo primary. Lab 36% Con 32% LD 8% Ukip 13% Green 6%
A 4% lead is a 4% lead and cannot be argued with. Or its just background noise. But has it anything to do with the 'debates' or interviews? Or to do with charges and leaks about cuts? I think the latter.
TSE retweeted Tim Shipman @ShippersUnbound 40s40 seconds ago YouGov/Sunday Times poll Fieldwork all carried out after the Paxo primary. Lab 36% Con 32% LD 8% Ukip 13% Green 6%
Slightly surprised Labour got a debate bump, largely because I'd assumed no-one had watched it.
I thought Miliband did fine, plus it gave him an opportunity to get Labour's policies away from the spin of the media. Kind of surprised how negative some were about Miliband's performance.
I suspect the debates were disproportionately watched by political neds who have also disproportionately signed up to UGUV.
Cameron should have manned up and gone head to head with Miliband.
Cowardly Cameron missed a big opportunity IMO
The polls have never given him a reason to be that confident, all along they have implied he is the underdog, headed for (narrow) defeat, if anything, so I don't know why he refused.
Given I don't think he will have been as foolish as to think he was bound to get back in once the choice between him and Ed M was firmer in peoples' minds, the only explanation I can figure is that Cameron buys into the reasoning of some Tories from last time that he would have won a clear majority if only it were not for the debates. That one thing cost them, that one thing alone, and it was his fault. Therefore, even though he needed some catalyst to improve his chances markedly, he saw a head to head debate as having no possibility of being positive for him (given he needed a boost, if he thought it had any chance of being positive, I presume he would have tried it).
A surprising lack of confidence.
Still, maybe the Milibounce will be the next Cleggasm. Although that could still work for Labour as some people still argue that without the debates the LDs would have done a lot worse, even though the final result was down on last time, that it still had a significant, nay game changing, positive impact despite being temporary.
Now sure why the fuss is now given that Ed announced weeks ago that one of his 5 pledges was `Controlled Immigration`.
and how will labour control immigration ? with more refugee's,more students numbers,proberly immigration from out side of the EU will rise under labour ,especially family members.
Why don't you admit it,under labour immigration will be higher than under the coalition.
I think net migration into the UK was higher in 2014/5 than 2009/10 - can someone confirm?
Even though Cameron was the winner in the initial post-debate polls, word-of-mouth and press coverage (even in many of the less Labour-friendly papers) have been painting "Miliband is human shock!" as the story.
Slightly surprised Labour got a debate bump, largely because I'd assumed no-one had watched it.
And you are right.
The poll sponsor needs the poll to generate news.
By midweek, normality.
That normality being vote shares being about tied and the result being, to borrow a phrase, EICIPM. No news is not good news for those who would prefer Cameron as PM (and I count myself as one, lukewarmly)
Now sure why the fuss is now given that Ed announced weeks ago that one of his 5 pledges was `Controlled Immigration`.
and how will labour control immigration ? with more refugee's,more students numbers,proberly immigration from out side of the EU will rise under labour ,especially family members.
Why don't you admit it,under labour immigration will be higher than under the coalition.
I think net migration into the UK was higher in 2014/5 than 2009/10 - can someone confirm?
I'm saying a Ed miliband government,immigration will be higher.
You have no controls,just more people coming here.
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Smooth it out.
JackW your ARSE took a hell of a beating
Last Tuesdays BJESUS before debate
24.3.15 LAB 292 (291) CON 271(271) LD 30(30) UKIP 2(3) Others 55(55) (Ed is crap is PM)
Perhaps that's showing an underlying bias in the YouGov sample.
Which explains the poll.
A surprising lack of confidence.
Still, maybe the Milibounce will be the next Cleggasm. Although that could still work for Labour as some people still argue that without the debates the LDs would have done a lot worse, even though the final result was down on last time, that it still had a significant, nay game changing, positive impact despite being temporary.
Neck and neck it probably is....
The poll sponsor needs the poll to generate news.
By midweek, normality.
You have no controls,just more people coming here.