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  • FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012

    Mr. Northwales, don't Cardiff and Swansea play in English leagues? And Catalan Dragons in the Superleague?

    Its to the benefit of both the UK and French rugby league authorities that Catalan play in a common competition. I think (?) its officially the European Superleague. It helps RL in both countries and RL needs a strong French team. Perversely after always playing internationally as Great Britain, the UK Rugby League now play as 'England'.

    The inclusion of Welsh teams in 'the' football league dates back I guess to well before the notion of anyone thinking about separate parliaments and of thinking of Wales as somehow separate.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    edited March 2015
    Btw, anyone watching Coalition on Channel 4?

    The actor playing George Osborne is too handsome...
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,964
    Mr. B, a shame to lose something like that.
  • Danny565 said:

    Btw, anyone watching Coalition on Channel 4?

    Yes, is full of bollards already.

    They mis-spelled Witney and Whitney and the election result didn't come as a shock to Dave or George
  • NeilVWNeilVW Posts: 733
    edited March 2015
    Mugs have sold out, titters

    Edit: or taken off?
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    I don't see how a mug can stop immigration.

    It's purpose is to stop emigration.

    Of the tea or coffee.

    *gets coat*

  • felixfelix Posts: 15,173
    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    Apologies if this has been linked to before but it looks as in ElectionForecast has the tories with 3 seats in Scotland again. Interesting.

    http://www.electionforecast.co.uk/

    Tripling the number of Scottish Tory MPs. Feel sorry for the pandas!
    I like the way the map shows the borders totally blue - presumably in readiness for them to 'recede' back to England post independence :)
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,043
    NeilVW said:

    Mugs have sold out, titters

    £2,500 in a few hours, not bad ;)
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Danny565 said:

    MP_SE said:

    SeanT said:
    The author of that article is permanently offended and quite nicely sums up the Labour party. Controls on immigration is not racist. Unless of course you want to classify the vast majority of countries as being racist.
    Yup. That guy sums up what's gone wrong with Labour. Nothing to say at all about Labour endlessly giving into the Right on austerity (something where the public has left-wing views), yet kicking up a stink about being mildly more anti-immigration just because it offends his liberal sensibilities. The party's job is supposed to be to protect poor people, not to make a few London middle-class people feel morally "right on".
    I have to disagree. The article is right that the problem is that Labour is total unauthentic on this. Miliband has no serious proposals to control immigration.

    It isn't racist to want to control immigration. It is wrong to spout claims about wanting to without having any serious intent whatsoever to do so.
  • FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    SeanT said:

    MP_SE said:

    SeanT said:
    The author of that article is permanently offended and quite nicely sums up the Labour party. Controls on immigration is not racist. Unless of course you want to classify the vast majority of countries as being racist.
    Can't you see that the mug is just funny? Just a stupidly obvious and deliciously surreal error of judgement, by Labour. And it's also a jolly nice souvenir, for any political geek, of one of the most interesting elections any of us will experience.
    Labour might control immigration by ruining our economy. No jobs no immigration.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669

    Mr. B, a shame to lose something like that.

    You can probably guess that my initial comment was not "That's a shame, petal."
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    edited March 2015
    Labour have pulled the mugs!

    Will be interesting to see if the pre-orders are cancelled and the money refunded.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,415
    RobD said:

    DavidL said:

    Apologies if this has been linked to before but it looks as in ElectionForecast has the tories with 3 seats in Scotland again. Interesting.

    http://www.electionforecast.co.uk/

    Tripling the number of Scottish Tory MPs. Feel sorry for the pandas!
    3 Scottish Tories would be nice.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,223

    SeanT said:

    MP_SE said:

    SeanT said:
    The author of that article is permanently offended and quite nicely sums up the Labour party. Controls on immigration is not racist. Unless of course you want to classify the vast majority of countries as being racist.
    Can't you see that the mug is just funny? Just a stupidly obvious and deliciously surreal error of judgement, by Labour. And it's also a jolly nice souvenir, for any political geek, of one of the most interesting elections any of us will experience.
    Labour might control immigration by ruining our economy. No jobs no immigration.
    My thoughts precisely.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    SeanT said:

    The racist Labour mugs have been taken off the market. As I predicted an hour ago. Hilarious.

    But this is still available....and a steal at 20 pounds for 500

    https://shop.labour.org.uk/products/labours-general-election-pledge-card-530/
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,173
    edited March 2015
    SeanT said:

    RobD said:

    NeilVW said:

    Mugs have sold out, titters

    £2,500 in a few hours, not bad ;)
    No, they've been withdrawn from the market, as I predicted.
    First they came for the mugs.......

    BTW does this mean we're now down to 4 pledges :) I mean the immigration one was a bit of a lemon pledge no? :)
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Gordon brown on the coalition drama 'The liberals will never join the tories,it goes against all they principles' - lol
  • FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    ...Same old ending.
    You have managed to make John Prescott look like Reginald Bosanquet (appropriately enough).
    Brown looks strangely 'Benny-ish' from Crossroads.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    edited March 2015
    Pulpstar said:



    25 litres !

    I know and free delivery...
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    MikeK said:

    If we're talking of mugs, below is my contribution for the evening:

    I've got a Ukip mug, and even it's more liberal on immigration than Labour's pic.twitter.com/lHT4puRhqC

    — Michael Deacon (@MichaelPDeacon) March 28, 2015

    Mind you, Farage looks very young. Perhaps from an old photo...

    I have one from 1999 with the slogan "Think Euro, Think Deutsche".

    How farsighted they were...

    (still my favorite coffee mug though)
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    edited March 2015
    No doubt that if this was a UKIP mug 'controls on immigration' the BBC would be running it as an example of their 'far right neo fascism' and getting commentators from the other main parties to denounce it.
  • With the mugs withdrawn how does it leave the pledge cards. You couldn't make this up !!!
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,387
    What's Labour been up to?

    #muggate
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820

    With the mugs withdrawn how does it leave the pledge cards. You couldn't make this up !!!

    'Omnishambles 2015'
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    LMAO. Nick Clegg got into the habit of doing whatever Cameron wanted very quickly.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,415
    Big move in for the Tories on the OM market on Betfair.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736
    roadto326 ‏@roadto326 1m1 minute ago
    The actors playing Cameron and Clegg in #coalition are absolutely awful.

    Realistic by the sound of it especially as that scary butcher from League of Gentlemen is playing Mandleson
  • Is this labour's 2015 bigot gate moment
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Charles said:

    MikeK said:

    If we're talking of mugs, below is my contribution for the evening:

    I've got a Ukip mug, and even it's more liberal on immigration than Labour's pic.twitter.com/lHT4puRhqC

    — Michael Deacon (@MichaelPDeacon) March 28, 2015

    Mind you, Farage looks very young. Perhaps from an old photo...
    I have one from 1999 with the slogan "Think Euro, Think Deutsche".

    How farsighted they were...

    (still my favorite coffee mug though)

    UKIP policy on immigration Quality >> Quantity
    Labour policy on immigration Quantity >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Quality
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,043
    Pulpstar said:

    Big move in for the Tories on the OM market on Betfair.

    EMWNBPM?
  • SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,759
    Out canvassing with Labour activists in London.

    The view from Labour activists is that they are confident about taking several seats off the Tories in London but are unsure about what will happen nationally.

    In London,the Tories are carpetting the marginals with leaflets from Central Office but they haven`t got the boots on the ground.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,964
    Mr. B, one can imagine not.

    The Mail cover sounds bonkers. On the other hand, it's no more deranged than threats of murder over cartoons.

    Some people really do have tiny, narrow minds.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,415
    There's a heavy canvassing effort going on in this household for me to get rid of Mrs Hopkins...
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    Danny565 said:

    Btw, anyone watching Coalition on Channel 4?

    The actor playing George Osborne is too handsome...

    Recording it right now
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736
    Pulpstar said:

    Big move in for the Tories on the OM market on Betfair.

    Its 7.2 what was it before

    Next PM and most seats prices on Ed and Lab about same
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Now we know the coalition drama is a load of bull,this from the drama -

    'Letwin not to be underestimated'

    lol
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    edited March 2015

    With the mugs withdrawn how does it leave the pledge cards. You couldn't make this up !!!

    Were the mugs withdrawn or did they sell out?

    The racist pledge cards are still available - 20 pounds for 500

    https://shop.labour.org.uk/products/labours-general-election-pledge-card-530/
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,415

    Pulpstar said:

    Big move in for the Tories on the OM market on Betfair.

    Its 7.2 what was it before

    Next PM and most seats prices on Ed and Lab about same
    I bought £40 at 7.8 yesterday, sold £10 of it at 7.6 earlier today.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Cameron: "Is that all the Lib Dems are asking for? Why aren't they asking for more?"
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,964
    Mr. Owls, not sure if you saw it, or watch the programme, but yesterday (I think) I posted that the chap playing Littlefinger in Game of Thrones apparently bases the character on Mandelson.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,378

    Mr. Carnyx, surely the Romans had barracks beforehand? [Not necessarily in Berwick, of course].

    Oh yes, they did - of course it depended which frontier they were holding, in Perthshire (Gask Ridge), across the Central Isthmus (Antonine Wall), or Hadrian's Wall (all including, of course, the zone of control and influence to the front). I don't recall Berwick being an important place in Roman times, but then I do not know if the Tweed was navigable up to Trimontium (the legionary base near Melrose). The main route to Scotland on the East was Dere Street - more or less the A68 up Redesdale and then down to Kelso and Trimontium abd Cramond on the Forth. Plenty of forts along there - the High Rochester one still has upstanding stonework in places. But a road heads off Dere Street more or less north to Berwick, so it must have had some significance.

    The importance of the Berwick barracks was perhaps that it was the modern first purpose built barracks obviating the need to billet the squaddies on the unfortunate local householders. But, as with so much else military, for the first time since the Romans, as you imply.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,043

    Mr. Owls, not sure if you saw it, or watch the programme, but yesterday (I think) I posted that the chap playing Littlefinger in Game of Thrones apparently bases the character on Mandelson.

    Brilliant!
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736
    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Big move in for the Tories on the OM market on Betfair.

    Its 7.2 what was it before

    Next PM and most seats prices on Ed and Lab about same
    I bought £40 at 7.8 yesterday, sold £10 of it at 7.6 earlier today.
    Not much liquidity in that market TBF

    Apart from NOM
  • muggate is escalating

    Owen Jones‏@OwenJones84·6 mins6 minutes ago
    “Fancy a brew in my ‘Controls for immigration mug’?”. Seriously, Labour. Scrap your Farage wannabe mugs and give people some bloody hope

    #greendefectionwatch
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,415

    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Big move in for the Tories on the OM market on Betfair.

    Its 7.2 what was it before

    Next PM and most seats prices on Ed and Lab about same
    I bought £40 at 7.8 yesterday, sold £10 of it at 7.6 earlier today.
    Not much liquidity in that market TBF

    Apart from NOM
    Enough for me :)
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736

    Mr. Owls, not sure if you saw it, or watch the programme, but yesterday (I think) I posted that the chap playing Littlefinger in Game of Thrones apparently bases the character on Mandelson.

    Sounds plausible.
  • SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,759
    Now sure why the fuss is now given that Ed announced weeks ago that one of his 5 pledges was `Controlled Immigration`.
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    Labour dog whistling on immigration. Who will believe them when they were the ones who allowed a massive influx. Labour are not credible.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736
    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Big move in for the Tories on the OM market on Betfair.

    Its 7.2 what was it before

    Next PM and most seats prices on Ed and Lab about same
    I bought £40 at 7.8 yesterday, sold £10 of it at 7.6 earlier today.
    Not much liquidity in that market TBF

    Apart from NOM
    Enough for me :)
    Another £40 and its 6.8.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,590

    Labour dog whistling on immigration. Who will believe them when they were the ones who allowed a massive influx. Labour are not credible.

    Some people will believe anything, credible or not, so I wouldn't completely rule out the possibility of it being believed, but agreed on this issue it would be harder for Labour than on most issues.
  • @ShippersUnbound: MILIBOUNCE KLAXON: Labour leads by 4 in first post-Paxman poll tonight.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,415
    Had a quick read of the Sun in the chinese today - don't normally read the paper edition... looks to me like Tom Newton Dunn may well be voting Conservative.
  • @ShippersUnbound: MILIBOUNCE KLAXON: Labour leads by 4 in first post-Paxman poll tonight.
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    SMukesh said:

    Now sure why the fuss is now given that Ed announced weeks ago that one of his 5 pledges was `Controlled Immigration`.

    Why the fuss about the Tory £12 billion cuts when this was announced a year ago?
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    Spad: "Ed, shall we do a mug with Controls on Immigration on it?"

    Ed: "Hell, yes".

  • @ShippersUnbound: YouGov/Sunday Times poll
    Fieldwork all carried out after the Paxo primary.
    Lab 36%
    Con 32%
    LD 8%
    Ukip 13%
    Green 6%
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,387
    edited March 2015

    @ShippersUnbound: YouGov/Sunday Times poll
    Fieldwork all carried out after the Paxo primary.
    Lab 36%
    Con 32%
    LD 8%
    Ukip 13%
    Green 6%

    :open_mouth:

  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,043

    @ShippersUnbound: YouGov/Sunday Times poll
    Fieldwork all carried out after the Paxo primary.
    Lab 36%
    Con 32%
    LD 8%
    Ukip 13%
    Green 6%

    Bugger me!
  • SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,759

    Labour dog whistling on immigration. Who will believe them when they were the ones who allowed a massive influx. Labour are not credible.

    Perhaps you should look up the meaning of dog whistling.
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,893
    edited March 2015
    Milimania?

    Doesn't surprise me that there's movement, YouGov's panel seems overly political and so I'm guessing a lot of the participants of the poll would have watched it.
  • @ShippersUnbound: Big lift in Miliband’s personal ratings. Best PM 23%, up 4% in a week. (Cameron 35%). Miliband personal rating -28%. Early march it was -48%
  • compouter2compouter2 Posts: 2,371
    Evening All!
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736
    TSE retweeted
    Tim Shipman ‏@ShippersUnbound 40s40 seconds ago
    YouGov/Sunday Times poll
    Fieldwork all carried out after the Paxo primary.
    Lab 36%
    Con 32%
    LD 8%
    Ukip 13%
    Green 6%

    EICIPM (With overall Maj on these numbers)

    Remind me who won the debate
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,173
    Does muggate mean Labour is the 'New Tea Party'
  • Paul_Mid_BedsPaul_Mid_Beds Posts: 1,409

    @ShippersUnbound: YouGov/Sunday Times poll
    Fieldwork all carried out after the Paxo primary.
    Lab 36%
    Con 32%
    LD 8%
    Ukip 13%
    Green 6%

    I will wait for tne first paxo phone poll
  • It was YouGov that overestimated the Cleggasm
  • compouter2compouter2 Posts: 2,371
    RobD said:

    @ShippersUnbound: YouGov/Sunday Times poll
    Fieldwork all carried out after the Paxo primary.
    Lab 36%
    Con 32%
    LD 8%
    Ukip 13%
    Green 6%

    Bugger me!
    Kind offer, though I think I will have to turn it down.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,043

    Evening All!

    What serendipitous timing.
  • SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,759
    Well,didn`t expect this to be honest.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,043

    RobD said:

    @ShippersUnbound: YouGov/Sunday Times poll
    Fieldwork all carried out after the Paxo primary.
    Lab 36%
    Con 32%
    LD 8%
    Ukip 13%
    Green 6%

    Bugger me!
    Kind offer, though I think I will have to turn it down.
    Hey, you haven't met me yet!!
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    SMukesh said:

    Now sure why the fuss is now given that Ed announced weeks ago that one of his 5 pledges was `Controlled Immigration`.

    and how will labour control immigration ? with more refugee's,more students numbers,proberly immigration from out side of the EU will rise under labour ,especially family members.

    Why don't you admit it,under labour immigration will be higher than under the coalition.

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,590
    Hahaha. So, the instant people see Ed M Lab will suffer, as I recall the lack of concern from some Tories about where the polls were placing them, was based on. That'll work out fine, clearly.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Thought there'd be a mini-Milibounce.

    There won't be a lasting bounce just from this debate alone, BUT it's possible it'll give Miliband a confidence boost which might lead to a consistent improvement in his public performance?
  • SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,759
    2010 all over again!!!
  • Oliver_PBOliver_PB Posts: 397
    Many right-wing posters here said for years that Labour should change policy and talk more about immigration, but they now criticise then they do. Funny that.
  • FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    Of course its all absurd from so many angles. Anyone who has it in for the BBC chief should strap him up like Alex in 'A Clockwork Orange' and force him to watch endless hours of Eastenders whilst listening to the theme tune to Casualty. Its called the Wosisthen Technique.

  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736
    felix said:

    Does muggate mean Labour is the 'New Tea Party'

    Very popular in Boston Methinks
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736
    3 debates to go for Ed

    2 for Cowardly Cameron
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    SeanT said:

    Much as the mug amuses, the poll doesn't.

    Very grim for Tories.

    Cameron should have manned up and gone head to head with Miliband.

    Why don't we admit it,camerons crap getting beat by the Geek.

    I give up.

  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    @ShippersUnbound: YouGov/Sunday Times poll
    Fieldwork all carried out after the Paxo primary.
    Lab 36%
    Con 32%
    LD 8%
    Ukip 13%
    Green 6%


    Hell, no.

  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670


    Remind me who won the debate

    It only matters who wins the debate amongst undecideds, in this election every tenth of a percentage point counts.
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    wow.

    Labour most seats @ 2/1?

    bonkers.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,415
    Ed Miliband is on the box FOUR times. He's on ALL the debate shows. I've pointed this out a fair bit.,,,
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    SMukesh said:

    Now sure why the fuss is now given that Ed announced weeks ago that one of his 5 pledges was `Controlled Immigration`.

    If anyone else was doing this Labour would be screaming blue murder
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736
    SeanT said:

    Much as the mug amuses, the poll doesn't.

    Very grim for Tories.

    Cameron should have manned up and gone head to head with Miliband.

    Cowardly Cameron missed a big opportunity IMO
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,590
    The only people I know who saw the interviews thought Ed had clearly won, but it was a low sample of people, I figured at worst for Cameron it had been pretty even and they were mistaken, but maybe they were right. Few people watch these things, and it's usually the same old weirdos like us, but maybe enough mostly normal people are tuning in and liking what they see in Miliband? He's a bit awkward, making him seem a little more normal (even if the things that make him awkward are not in themselves normal, but he doesn't come across as as highly polished), and he's attacked so viciously he gets some sympathy?

    Perhaps my Lab majority prediction is back on, even with Scottish troubles.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,223
    Pulpstar said:

    Ed Miliband is on the box FOUR times. He's on ALL the debate shows. I've pointed this out a fair bit.,,,

    Yes, after next Thursday Cameron won't be seen at TV event for four weeks.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,043
    Last 4 point lead for Lab was 5th March (31/35).
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736

    SeanT said:

    Much as the mug amuses, the poll doesn't.

    Very grim for Tories.

    Cameron should have manned up and gone head to head with Miliband.

    Why don't we admit it,camerons crap getting beat by the Geek.

    I give up.

    Goodnight
  • @ShippersUnbound: MILIBOUNCE KLAXON: Labour leads by 4 in first post-Paxman poll tonight.

    Worry note fellow PB blue team squeaky bums... poll was before

    MUGGATE = our black swan.

    ...

    ..

    Back to work to cheer me up.
  • compouter2compouter2 Posts: 2,371
    Wonder if Order Order will be filming themselves asking Lynton what he thinks of the Yougov poll........hell, no.

    Basil is now getting desperate. He is looking far from chipper.Looks like he is suffering from non-crosbyswingbackcrossoverpredictionitus.
  • SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,759
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    @ShippersUnbound: YouGov/Sunday Times poll
    Fieldwork all carried out after the Paxo primary.
    Lab 36%
    Con 32%
    LD 8%
    Ukip 13%
    Green 6%

    Bugger me!
    Kind offer, though I think I will have to turn it down.
    Hey, you haven't met me yet!!
    Don`t you realise desperation is a turn-off?
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736
    Tim Shipman ‏@ShippersUnbound 9m9 minutes ago
    Big lift in Miliband’s personal ratings. Best PM 23%, up 4% in a week. (Cameron 35%). Miliband personal rating -28%. Early march it was -48%
  • Oliver_PBOliver_PB Posts: 397
    Slightly surprised Labour got a debate bump, largely because I'd assumed no-one had watched it.

    I thought Miliband did fine, plus it gave him an opportunity to get Labour's policies away from the spin of the media. Kind of surprised how negative some were about Miliband's performance.
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    The hard grilling of the Audience/paxo, the bias of burley seems and a little passion from Ed seems to have worked for miliband.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,590
    If this sort of poll were to begin to be repeated, how quickly would we see a reliance on the 'cannot trust the polls' argument? Can be true of course, but the Tories were already relying on they being the ones to gain a last minute boost for no particular reason other than Ed M being crap (whoops), and if they have to rely on that and the polls being massively out (given they were already hoping for and needing a shy Tory effect)? Worrying.

    A 4 point Tory lead from other pollsters now though, that would be funny - retaining parity, on average, but making everyone sweat even more.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Survation had people expecting Cameron to "win" bt 62-38

    So 54-46 and 51-49 were a case of Miliband over performing, hence the feeling he had "won"

    In effect the handicap market was Cameron -24, and the result was Cameron by 2 or 8. So failing to cover the handicap by around 19
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited March 2015
    DavidL said:

    Apologies if this has been linked to before but it looks as in ElectionForecast has the tories with 3 seats in Scotland again. Interesting.

    http://www.electionforecast.co.uk/

    They must be measuring that Con win in Dumfreis and Galloway by the thickness of a hair.

    SMAPS has Cons winning by 44 votes. With vote totals of
    16402
    16582
    16538

    It requires LAB/SNP to be perfectly spilt. The Ashcroft poll has the SNP outperforming SMAPS by 2 percentage points and Cons underperforming SMAPS by a point.

    EDIT: Just checked - they are predicted a margin of zero percent so knife edge.
This discussion has been closed.