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  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,916
    Hengists If there is a hung parliament and the only possible combinations are Tory-DUP-LD (with the Tories the largest party) or Labour-SNP-LD then no one will get what they want or be happy, tough! But eventually the LDs will likely give confidence and supply to the first
  • PeterC said:

    surbiton said:

    PeterC said:


    HYUFD said:

    Hengists If Labour are not largest party Miliband will be gone anyway, the LDs are split on the EU referendum, there would have to be concessions but there is not an absolute bar in negotiations for one, the DUP as well as UKIP also demand an EU referendum in return for any confidence and supply
    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/oct/06/lib-dems-split-eu-referendum-tactics-concessions

    sure that there won't be. No negotiations, no compromises, no concessions on that issue.

    As for the article (which is 5 months old) the obvious conclusion is Clegg now realises he will not get the things he wants and so the issue has been decided.
    What about Labour rebels? I feel that there would be enough to ensure that the referendum would pass.

    There is going to be a referendum sooner or later. The sooner it is held and with the least fuss and resistance the more likely the people will vote to stay in the eu.

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one. We are Europeans as we are part of the world. The best Tory success in the last 5 years has been getting in 300k net immigrants despite all their talk. Good for the economy !

    Only oldies want referendum and soon most of them will not here any more.
    Pro-Europeans most of all should realise that the renewal of consent that a referendum would confer would greatly strengthen our position in Europe. The sooner that happens the better. Determined obstruction from the likes of Clegg will only boost the antis

    It matters not either way just as it mattered not with the Scottish referendum on independence. Just as the Scots have the English question to bring Independence to the fore again and again so 'ever closer union' and political integration will keep Euroscepticism front and centre. Polls indicate that less than 2 in 10 citizens want further integration with the EU but that is the only offering on the table in reality. So withdrawal is pretty much inevitable at some point.

    The only questions really are when will we leave?, how many domestic political parties and institutions will it destroy in the meantime and how many referendums will it take for people to vote to leave?
  • richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    I have lived in Chelsea London for over 20 years and I have also lived for extended periods in Glasgow plus have traveled all over Scotland..much more than most SNPers I imagine..Scotland is a great place but I prefer Chelsea.
  • FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    HYUFD said:

    Hengists If the LDs have the choice between either giving a majority to a Miliband-SNP government or a Tory-DUP government in the end they will go with the latter and, through gritted teeth, will not vote down an EU referendum. Cameron in turn will have to give some concessions like abandoning the 35% spending target and early tax cuts, but a deal is possible

    The tax cuts maybe but the 35% spending is a misrepresentation. No doubt the LDs could say somehow that there would be no doctrinaire policies. Renegotiation is needed anyway - even on the basis of LD policies and assumptions.
    Will England vote for a Miliband SNP government.
  • PeterCPeterC Posts: 1,275
    edited February 2015

    PeterC said:

    surbiton said:

    PeterC said:


    HYUFD said:

    Hengists If Labour are not largest party Miliband will be gone anyway, the LDs are split on the EU referendum, there would have to be concessions but there is not an absolute bar in negotiations for one, the DUP as well as UKIP also demand an EU referendum in return for any confidence and supply
    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/oct/06/lib-dems-split-eu-referendum-tactics-concessions

    sure that there won't be. No negotiations, no compromises, no concessions on that issue.

    As for the article (which is 5 months old) the obvious conclusion is Clegg now realises he will not get the things he wants and so the issue has been decided.
    What about Labour rebels? I feel that there would be enough to ensure that the referendum would pass.

    There is going to be a referendum sooner or later. The sooner it is held and with the least fuss and resistance the more likely the people will vote to stay in the eu.

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one. We are Europeans as we are part of the world. The best Tory success in the last 5 years has been getting in 300k net immigrants despite all their talk. Good for the economy !

    Only oldies want referendum and soon most of them will not here any more.
    Pro-Europeans most of all should realise that the renewal of consent that a referendum would confer would greatly strengthen our position in Europe. The sooner that happens the better. Determined obstruction from the likes of Clegg will only boost the antis

    It matters not either way just as it mattered not with the Scottish referendum on independence. Just as the Scots have the English question to bring Independence to the fore again and again so 'ever closer union' and political integration will keep Euroscepticism front and centre. Polls indicate that less than 2 in 10 citizens want further integration with the EU but that is the only offering on the table in reality. So withdrawal is pretty much inevitable at some point.

    The only questions really are when will we leave?, how many domestic political parties and institutions will it destroy in the meantime and how many referendums will it take for people to vote to leave?
    Euroscepticism is prevalent I don't doubt. But evidence suggests that voters do not rate it highly as an issue of importance. I think that more likely than a unilateral decision for the UK to leave would be an implosion of the Eurozone brought about by the intolerable strains caused by monetary union. The Brussels elite always seems to keep kicking the can down the road, but can that go on for ever?

  • HYUFD said:

    Hengists If there is a hung parliament and the only possible combinations are Tory-DUP-LD (with the Tories the largest party) or Labour-SNP-LD then no one will get what they want or be happy, tough! But eventually the LDs will likely give confidence and supply to the first

    None of which has anything in particular to do with the likelihood of there being an EU referendum or not.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,404

    There can never, as I understand it, under UK constitution, not be a government.

    Pretty much. You could argue that the gap of 15-45 minutes between Brown's resignation and Cameron's acceptance (of the Queen's request that he form a new government) was a gap between governments, but it's a stretch.

    The Government consists of the Cabinet (who are in charge) and the Civil Service (who do the heavy lifting). It is headquartered in Whitehall. It spends money allocated to it, wields the power of the Crown via statutory instruments, orders-in-council etc. The Prime Minister chairs the Cabinet, and the Cabinet is appointed/fired by the Prime Minister using the powers of the Crown. It always obeys the law. If it wants to change the law it proposes such a change to Parliament.

    The Parliament consists of the Commons and Lords. It is headquartered in Westminster. It considers requests for new laws and to change old ones. Sometimes it can initiate such requests itself but mostly it gets them from the Government. It inspects those requests and if it agrees, it sends them to the Crown for consent: after consent those requests become law. It also allocates money to the Government: this is known as supply.

    General Elections choose those who make up Parliament, not those who make up Government. However if Parliament changes so drastically as to significantly impede the Government then a new Prime Minister is appointed, a new Cabinet appointed, and we go round again

    However, I read somewhere that the fixed term parliament act got away with this convention.

    No. See above.

    It would be a good idea for the Cabinet Secretary to spell all this out in public before the campaign gets going.

    Already done. See the Cabinet Manual
  • john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    @surbiton

    'There will be no referendum because there should not be one. We are Europeans as we are part of the world.'

    How lefties hate democracy, you just can't trust those stupid voters.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,916
    Flightpath Even Laws was quite clear he wanted spending closer to 40% than 35%, as you state the LDs will not prop up a Miliband-SNP government as that would also destroy their remaining seats in England.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,916
    Hengists Of course it does, if the Tories and DUP both demand an EU referendum as non-negotiable and the alternative is a Miliband-SNP government
  • Hengists_GiftHengists_Gift Posts: 628
    edited February 2015
    PeterC said:

    PeterC said:

    surbiton said:

    PeterC said:


    HYUFD said:

    Hengists If Labour are not largest party Miliband will be gone anyway, the LDs are split on the EU referendum, there would have to be concessions but there is not an absolute bar in negotiations for one, the DUP as well as UKIP also demand an EU referendum in return for any confidence and supply
    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/oct/06/lib-dems-split-eu-referendum-tactics-concessions

    There is going to be a referendum sooner or later. The sooner it is held and with the least fuss and resistance the more likely the people will vote to stay in the eu.

    Only oldies want referendum and soon most of them will not here any more.
    Pro-Europeans

    It matters not either way just as it mattered not with the Scottish referendum on independence. Just as the Scots have the English question to bring Independence to the fore again and again so 'ever closer union' and political integration will keep Euroscepticism front and centre. Polls indicate that less than 2 in 10 citizens want further integration with the EU but that is the only offering on the table in reality. So withdrawal is pretty much inevitable at some point.

    The only questions really are when will we leave?, how many domestic political parties and institutions will it destroy in the meantime and how many referendums will it take for people to vote to leave?
    Euroscepticism is prevalent I don't doubt. But evidence suggests that voters do not rate it highly as an issue of importance. I think that more likely than a unilateral decision for the UK to leave would be an implosion of the Eurozone brought about by the intolerable strains caused by monetary union. The Brussels elite always seems to keep kicking the can down the road, but can that go on for ever?

    Certainly there is always that possibility of that but if anything I think the implications of political integration are more likely to cause the EU's implosion. When it finally sinks in with the people's of France, Spain, Italy, Holland etc and to a lesser extent (because our Euroscepticism is further advanced) the UK what it means to their country in terms of loss of sovereignty then I suspect there will be a procession of countries contemplating invoking article 50.

    PS They may not recognise the importance of the EU directly currently but they recognise issues like Immigration which are directly the result of EU membership. Increasingly failure to address such issues will be traced back to the EU and heighten its profile.
  • surbiton said:

    MP_SE said:

    surbiton said:

    PeterC said:


    HYUFD said:

    Hengists If Labour are not largest party Miliband will be gone anyway, the LDs are split on the EU referendum, there would have to be concessions but there is not an absolute bar in negotiations for one, the DUP as well as UKIP also demand an EU referendum in return for any confidence and supply
    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/oct/06/lib-dems-split-eu-referendum-tactics-concessions

    Let make this simple for you. At this moment Miliband does not think denying a referendum harms his chances. Clearly Clegg thinks the same on the basis of that article. I do not believe there is a cats chance in hell of the Tories forming a Tory led majority government without the Libdems. Without a Tory led majority government there will be no referendum. What the DUP and UKIP want is irrelevant because neither on their own will be able to get Cameron into majority territory.

    The simple reality is Clegg has already fallen foul of breaking election commitments. If he comes out and says that there will not be a EU referendum on his watch then you can be pretty sure that there won't be. No negotiations, no compromises, no concessions on that issue.

    As for the article (which is 5 months old) the obvious conclusion is Clegg now realises he will not get the things he wants and so the issue has been decided.
    What about Labour rebels? I feel that there would be enough to ensure that the referendum would pass.

    There is going to be a referendum sooner or later. The sooner it is held and with the least fuss and resistance the more likely the people will vote to stay in the eu.

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one. We are Europeans as we are part of the world. The best Tory success in the last 5 years has been getting in 300k net immigrants despite all their talk. Good for the economy !

    Only oldies want referendum and soon most of them will not here any more.
    Tell that to the poor factory worker who has not enjoyed a pay rise for years. There will be 100s of hungry EU migrants ready to step in and replace him.

    Oxford Uni's Migration Observatory have conducted research which has shown that immigration has harmed the lowest earners and therefore the most vulnerable in society.
    That is because of the nasty Tories who instead makes sure that tax evaders and avoiders are protected.
    The dangerous thing is you really believe that.
  • surbiton said:

    PeterC said:


    HYUFD said:

    Hengists If Labour are not largest party Miliband will be gone anyway, the LDs are split on the EU referendum, there would have to be concessions but there is not an absolute bar in negotiations for one, the DUP as well as UKIP also demand an EU referendum in return for any confidence and supply
    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/oct/06/lib-dems-split-eu-referendum-tactics-concessions

    Let make this simple for you. At this moment Miliband does not think denying a referendum harms his chances. Clearly Clegg thinks the same on the basis of that article. I do not believe there is a cats chance in hell of the Tories forming a Tory led majority government without the Libdems. Without a Tory led majority government there will be no referendum. What the DUP and UKIP want is irrelevant because neither on their own will be able to get Cameron into majority territory.

    The simple reality is Clegg has already fallen foul of breaking election commitments. If he comes out and says that there will not be a EU referendum on his watch then you can be pretty sure that there won't be. No negotiations, no compromises, no concessions on that issue.

    As for the article (which is 5 months old) the obvious conclusion is Clegg now realises he will not get the things he wants and so the issue has been decided.
    What about Labour rebels? I feel that there would be enough to ensure that the referendum would pass.

    There is going to be a referendum sooner or later. The sooner it is held and with the least fuss and resistance the more likely the people will vote to stay in the eu.

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one. We are Europeans as we are part of the world. The best Tory success in the last 5 years has been getting in 300k net immigrants despite all their talk. Good for the economy !

    Only oldies want referendum and soon most of them will not here any more.
    I hadn't realised almost two thirds of the country counted as oldies? You undemocratic arrogance is shameful.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,404
    surbiton said:

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one.

    PeterC said:

    Pro-Europeans most of all should realise that the renewal of consent that a referendum would confer would greatly strengthen our position in Europe. The sooner that happens the better. Determined obstruction from the likes of Clegg will only boost the antis

    One of the few arguments for a referendum that I actually agree with is simply that it is the right thing to do. It shouldn't be considered as a pro- or anti-European thing, but simply as a courtesy to the governed to know their will, and an opportunity for them, after deliberation, to work out what that will is
  • viewcode said:

    surbiton said:

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one.

    PeterC said:

    Pro-Europeans most of all should realise that the renewal of consent that a referendum would confer would greatly strengthen our position in Europe. The sooner that happens the better. Determined obstruction from the likes of Clegg will only boost the antis

    One of the few arguments for a referendum that I actually agree with is simply that it is the right thing to do. It shouldn't be considered as a pro- or anti-European thing, but simply as a courtesy to the governed to know their will, and an opportunity for them, after deliberation, to work out what that will is
    That same argument could be used by the Scottish Nationalists for regular referenda on independence.
  • HYUFD said:

    Hengists If there is a hung parliament and the only possible combinations are Tory-DUP-LD (with the Tories the largest party) or Labour-SNP-LD then no one will get what they want or be happy, tough! But eventually the LDs will likely give confidence and supply to the first

    None of which has anything in particular to do with the likelihood of there being an EU referendum or not.
    HYUFD said:

    Hengists If there is a hung parliament and the only possible combinations are Tory-DUP-LD (with the Tories the largest party) or Labour-SNP-LD then no one will get what they want or be happy, tough! But eventually the LDs will likely give confidence and supply to the first

    Neither of your suggested coalitions sound stable. The numbers may dictate Con/Lab or Lab/Con grand coalitions. Now that would be interesting ;-)
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,514

    viewcode said:

    surbiton said:

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one.

    PeterC said:

    Pro-Europeans most of all should realise that the renewal of consent that a referendum would confer would greatly strengthen our position in Europe. The sooner that happens the better. Determined obstruction from the likes of Clegg will only boost the antis

    One of the few arguments for a referendum that I actually agree with is simply that it is the right thing to do. It shouldn't be considered as a pro- or anti-European thing, but simply as a courtesy to the governed to know their will, and an opportunity for them, after deliberation, to work out what that will is
    That same argument could be used by the Scottish Nationalists for regular referenda on independence.
    Of course it could, and undoubtedly will be, though I somehow doubt they will be offering regular votes on reunification if they ever won.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,916
    edited February 2015
    logicalsong Well the Nats have just had their referendum on Scottish independence less than 12 months ago, there has not been an EU referendum for 40 years
  • HYUFD said:

    Hengists Of course it does, if the Tories and DUP both demand an EU referendum as non-negotiable and the alternative is a Miliband-SNP government

    And you think a Libdem conference will support an EU Referendum that ensures a Tory led government over a Labour led government. Good luck with that one.....
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    By Ipsos standards, I read the Opinium as a three point Tory lead. (p18 - 10/10 to vote)


  • viewcode said:

    surbiton said:

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one.

    PeterC said:

    Pro-Europeans most of all should realise that the renewal of consent that a referendum would confer would greatly strengthen our position in Europe. The sooner that happens the better. Determined obstruction from the likes of Clegg will only boost the antis

    One of the few arguments for a referendum that I actually agree with is simply that it is the right thing to do. It shouldn't be considered as a pro- or anti-European thing, but simply as a courtesy to the governed to know their will, and an opportunity for them, after deliberation, to work out what that will is
    Indeed it will be comforting to know that the political ruling classes are being 'courteous' to us mere voters! Frankly such attitudes explain why the political class is so despised.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,404

    viewcode said:

    surbiton said:

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one.

    PeterC said:

    Pro-Europeans most of all should realise that the renewal of consent that a referendum would confer would greatly strengthen our position in Europe. The sooner that happens the better. Determined obstruction from the likes of Clegg will only boost the antis

    One of the few arguments for a referendum that I actually agree with is simply that it is the right thing to do. It shouldn't be considered as a pro- or anti-European thing, but simply as a courtesy to the governed to know their will, and an opportunity for them, after deliberation, to work out what that will is
    That same argument could be used by the Scottish Nationalists for regular referenda on independence.
    If you define "regular" as "once every twenty/thirty years" then I don't have a problem with that. More often than that is silly.

  • HYUFD said:

    logicalsong Well the Nats have just had their referendum on Scottish independence less than 12 months ago, there has not been an EU referendum for 40 years

    So how many years between referenda would you suggest? We used to have a parliamentary democracy, referenda were viewed as un British before 1975.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    HYUFD said:

    logicalsong Well the Nats have just had their referendum on Scottish independence less than 12 months ago, there has not been an EU referendum for 40 years

    So how many years between referenda would you suggest? We used to have a parliamentary democracy, referenda were viewed as un British before 1975.
    One every 35 years for each seems fair.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,636
    MP_SE said:

    Tell that to the poor factory worker who has not enjoyed a pay rise for years. There will be 100s of hungry EU migrants ready to step in and replace him.

    Oxford Uni's Migration Observatory have conducted research which has shown that immigration has harmed the lowest earners and therefore the most vulnerable in society.

    The median family income in the US is below where it was in 1998.

    The developed world has a crisis: it's not to do with debt levels, but with the share of world resources it gobbles up. We - in the UK - are less than 1% of world population, but we use more than 3% of world oil consumption. Technology and global supply chains and improving education in other parts of the world are narrowing the advantages we had.

    You can choose to make immigration the major determinant of falling wage levels if you like - and I'm sure it hasn't helped - but you you need to accept that in Japan and the US (the latter of which has basically no immigration, of course) incomes have fallen too. And you also need to accept that the value of someone's labour does not suddenly increase because competition has lessened. That's would be like claiming Coke would make a better soft drink if Pepsi didn't exist.
  • FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    HYUFD said:

    Flightpath Even Laws was quite clear he wanted spending closer to 40% than 35%, as you state the LDs will not prop up a Miliband-SNP government as that would also destroy their remaining seats in England.

    I saw the news the other day and discerned that there may be an election soon. Laws and the LDs are electioneering. The issue would be one of preventing alleged 'ideological' cuts. The %age is a smoke screen.
    The Times' David Smith's economic commentary points out -
    ''The OBR has no good data for overall government spending before 1948 so has extrapolated this from a narrower and different measure produced by the Bank of England''
    And -
    ''A better measure of spending on public services is public sector current expenditure, not least because during the past half century - when more of industry was in the public sector - public sector gross investment often reached 10% or more of GDP, three times its current level.
    On this measure, public spending will fall to its lowest level in relation to GDP since 1972-3 to deliver a 1% budget surplus, and its lowest since 1973-4 to eliminate the budget deficit.''
    and -
    ''In cash terms, total managed expenditure will rise by 8.3%, to £779.9 billion, in 2019-20 compared with last year, 2013-14.''

    None of this should in truth inhibit the LDs. Personally I would prefer that they were never put in the quandary.
  • SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    @rcs1000
    The world has a crisis, not just the developed part, basic maths tell you that.
    Ignorance and prejudice stop people seeing it.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,514
    Smarmeron said:

    @rcs1000
    The world has a crisis, not just the developed part, basic maths tell you that.
    Ignorance and prejudice stop people seeing it.

    Good to see you take the Harvard Business School view.
  • SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    @Alanbrooke
    Not read it, do you have a link, or do you mean just in general terms?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,755
    rcs1000 said:

    you need to accept that in Japan and the US (the latter of which has basically no immigration, of course) incomes have fallen too.

    Are you sure that the US has 'basically no immigration'? Seems a bit unlikely given they have Mexico next door! Also, don't forget the huge numbers of skilled workers who work for companies based in America and periodically relocate there.

    I would be interested to see your source for that claim.
  • TGOHF said:

    HYUFD said:

    logicalsong Well the Nats have just had their referendum on Scottish independence less than 12 months ago, there has not been an EU referendum for 40 years

    So how many years between referenda would you suggest? We used to have a parliamentary democracy, referenda were viewed as un British before 1975.
    One every 35 years for each seems fair.
    That is only fair if its a static (unchanging) arrangement. If an issue involves significant change then referenda should be used with every significant change.

    For example, the idea that Parliament say had a independence referendum in Scotland and then targetted the next for 35 years time and then the year after the independence referendum repealed the 1998 devolution act for example would be an outrage.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,514
    Smarmeron said:

    @Alanbrooke
    Not read it, do you have a link, or do you mean just in general terms?

    I generally find that when determining what's in people's payslips ignorance and prejudice are two of the main drivers.
  • SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    @Alanbrooke
    If we are talking about an inverse relationship, I probably agree with you.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,916
    edited February 2015
    Hengists Of course, if the LDs do not support a Tory led government then they will have to support a Labour-SNP led government, it is a simple either/or choice, most of the most social democratic LDs have now left and the conference endorsed the deal in 2010, allowing a democratic referendum of the people is hardly the worst thing they will have agreed
  • john_zims said:

    @surbiton

    'There will be no referendum because there should not be one. We are Europeans as we are part of the world.'

    How lefties hate democracy, you just can't trust those stupid voters.

    We have had precisely one referendum on Europe, and that was under Labour. It was the Tories who took us in without a referendum; the Tories who hated democracy; the Tories who did not trust those stupid voters.
  • Hengists_GiftHengists_Gift Posts: 628
    edited February 2015
    Referendum on critical issues of democracy and sovereignty should be held:#

    1) If there is a significant change in the arrangements for that particular issue
    2) If there is significant public demand for it
    3) Once every 25 years as validation
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,041

    Referendum on critical issues of democracy and sovereignty should be held:#

    1) If there is a significant change in the arrangements for that particular issue
    2) If there is significant public demand for it
    3) After every 25 years

    So the 32nd Magna Carta referendum should be coming up in a few weeks?
  • SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    @Alanbrooke
    Actually, it is a direct relationship in quantity terms.
    *oops*
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,916
    edited February 2015
    logicalsong Referendums are most suitable for key constitutional changes of which Scottish independence and the EU are both part, a Scottish independence referendum was inevitable once the SNP won a majority at Holyrood, an EU referendum is increasingly inevitable after endless EU Treaty changes since we joined the EEC and UKIP's victory in the 2014 elections

    TGOHF Sounds fair
  • Hengists_GiftHengists_Gift Posts: 628
    edited February 2015

    john_zims said:

    @surbiton

    'There will be no referendum because there should not be one. We are Europeans as we are part of the world.'

    How lefties hate democracy, you just can't trust those stupid voters.

    We have had precisely one referendum on Europe, and that was under Labour. It was the Tories who took us in without a referendum; the Tories who hated democracy; the Tories who did not trust those stupid voters.
    Except even when they had the referendum Wilson didn't trust people with the truth. Instead he created a total charade to con them into voting the way he wanted. Deception is the greatest subversion of democracy there is and Labour are masters of it. They are just as guilty of subverting democracy (and lets not forget the Lisbon Treaty debacle either).
  • RobD said:

    Referendum on critical issues of democracy and sovereignty should be held:#

    1) If there is a significant change in the arrangements for that particular issue
    2) If there is significant public demand for it
    3) After every 25 years

    So the 32nd Magna Carta referendum should be coming up in a few weeks?
    Referenda on votes for women, hanging, abortion reform, homosexual equality, every 20 years.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,916
    Flightpath It would be one of their red lines regardless, as well as that spending cuts alone do not take all the brunt of producing a surplus, but the wealthy pay their fair share of tax too
  • RobD said:

    Referendum on critical issues of democracy and sovereignty should be held:#

    1) If there is a significant change in the arrangements for that particular issue
    2) If there is significant public demand for it
    3) After every 25 years

    So the 32nd Magna Carta referendum should be coming up in a few weeks?
    Well if it was validated every 25 years then perhaps we wouldn't still be talking about 800 year old agreements? They'd be updated more regularly. I see no problem with the idea that electorate validate a constitution / bill of rights periodically. Of course the question would be what to do if it was voted down?
  • FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012

    john_zims said:

    @surbiton

    'There will be no referendum because there should not be one. We are Europeans as we are part of the world.'

    How lefties hate democracy, you just can't trust those stupid voters.

    We have had precisely one referendum on Europe, and that was under Labour. It was the Tories who took us in without a referendum; the Tories who hated democracy; the Tories who did not trust those stupid voters.
    Except even when they had the referendum Wilson didn't trust people with the truth. Instead he created a total charade to con them into voting the way he wanted. Deception is the greatest subversion of democracy there is and Labour are masters of it. They are just as guilty of subverting democracy (and lets not forget the Lisbon Treaty debacle either).
    Of course for right or wrong what Heath (and parliament) took us into was the 6 member EEC, a 'common market' not an 'EC' or 'EU'. It was according to Labour at the time all a capitalist plot.
  • Hengists_GiftHengists_Gift Posts: 628
    edited February 2015

    john_zims said:

    @surbiton

    'There will be no referendum because there should not be one. We are Europeans as we are part of the world.'

    How lefties hate democracy, you just can't trust those stupid voters.

    We have had precisely one referendum on Europe, and that was under Labour. It was the Tories who took us in without a referendum; the Tories who hated democracy; the Tories who did not trust those stupid voters.
    Except even when they had the referendum Wilson didn't trust people with the truth. Instead he created a total charade to con them into voting the way he wanted. Deception is the greatest subversion of democracy there is and Labour are masters of it. They are just as guilty of subverting democracy (and lets not forget the Lisbon Treaty debacle either).
    Of course for right or wrong what Heath (and parliament) took us into was the 6 member EEC, a 'common market' not an 'EC' or 'EU'. It was according to Labour at the time all a capitalist plot.
    I believe Heath repeatedly denied in public that the long term aim was 'ever closer Union' whilst of course knowing that the intention was always there. He was no better than Wilson
  • No, I voted Tory in the local elections last year :)
  • Referendum on critical issues of democracy and sovereignty should be held:#

    1) If there is a significant change in the arrangements for that particular issue
    2) If there is significant public demand for it
    3) Once every 25 years as validation

    Define "significant".

    On the basis of that, we could still support slavery.
  • john_zims said:

    @surbiton

    'There will be no referendum because there should not be one. We are Europeans as we are part of the world.'

    How lefties hate democracy, you just can't trust those stupid voters.

    We have had precisely one referendum on Europe, and that was under Labour. It was the Tories who took us in without a referendum; the Tories who hated democracy; the Tories who did not trust those stupid voters.
    I consciously avoided referring to Surbiton as a Leftie when I criticised him earlier. The majority of my friends from the left of the political spectrum are very much in favour of a referendum although of course they vary on what the outcome should be.

    Surbiton's warped views have nothing to do with him being a 'leftie' any more than Ken Clarke's are because he is a 'rightie'.
  • Another pollster with this trend.

    Labour regain a narrow one point lead over the Conservatives, as the numbers intending to vote for one of the two major parties rises to its highest point for two years.

    http://ourinsight.opinium.co.uk/survey-results/political-polling-24th-february-2015

    Looks like the public are still not in election mode and using the polls to act like judges on the weeks events.
  • Speedy said:

    @MSmithsonPB: Opinium poll for Observer
    LAB 35
    CON 34
    LD 6
    UKIP 14
    GRN 6

    Not much change.
    There hasn't been much change for two months, Speedy.

    Have we yet identified the PBer who announced 'January will be the month of Crossover and February the month of pulling away?'

    They should join Roger and Seth O'Logue on the PB Podium of Shame.

    What about the PBer who in Jan/Feb 2014 said there wouldn't be a single poll between then and the election that would have the Tories ahead.

    Name them, TSE! Name them and shame them.
  • RobD said:

    Referendum on critical issues of democracy and sovereignty should be held:#

    1) If there is a significant change in the arrangements for that particular issue
    2) If there is significant public demand for it
    3) After every 25 years

    So the 32nd Magna Carta referendum should be coming up in a few weeks?
    Nope. If you had bothered listening over the last few weeks when the Magna Carta celebrations were being held you would know that the Magna Carta is not directly part of statute any more. Its influence on our laws is of course huge and large parts of its intent have formed the basis for our modern ideas of democracy and law. But anyone going to court to try and argue a case based on Magna Carta itself will find themselves spending a lot of money for no result - as has happened on a number of occasions over the last couple of decades.
  • Referendum on critical issues of democracy and sovereignty should be held:#

    1) If there is a significant change in the arrangements for that particular issue
    2) If there is significant public demand for it
    3) Once every 25 years as validation

    Define "significant".

    On the basis of that, we could still support slavery.
    I would not define slavery (or for example the death penalty) as an issue of democracy or sovereignty. Clearly it is a social issue. 'Significant' would be changing the voting age, changing the voting system, a major redistribution of political power (abolition of the House of Lords, political motivated changes in the levels of representation at a level of government, joining the EEC, Maastricht, Lisbon treaty, the 1998 Devolution Bill, Regionalisation etc)
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,041

    RobD said:

    Referendum on critical issues of democracy and sovereignty should be held:#

    1) If there is a significant change in the arrangements for that particular issue
    2) If there is significant public demand for it
    3) After every 25 years

    So the 32nd Magna Carta referendum should be coming up in a few weeks?
    Nope. If you had bothered listening over the last few weeks when the Magna Carta celebrations were being held you would know that the Magna Carta is not directly part of statute any more. Its influence on our laws is of course huge and large parts of its intent have formed the basis for our modern ideas of democracy and law. But anyone going to court to try and argue a case based on Magna Carta itself will find themselves spending a lot of money for no result - as has happened on a number of occasions over the last couple of decades.
    I don't live in the UK at present, so I am less exposed to the media coverage. As far as I am aware it has mostly been repealed, but there are still a few sections still in force. I was simply using it to make a point that there would be lots of things we would periodically have to vote if they required renewing once every 25 years.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,636
    ydoethur said:

    rcs1000 said:

    you need to accept that in Japan and the US (the latter of which has basically no immigration, of course) incomes have fallen too.

    Are you sure that the US has 'basically no immigration'? Seems a bit unlikely given they have Mexico next door! Also, don't forget the huge numbers of skilled workers who work for companies based in America and periodically relocate there.

    I would be interested to see your source for that claim.
    I meant former. A typo :-)
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,404

    viewcode said:

    surbiton said:

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one.

    PeterC said:

    Pro-Europeans most of all should realise that the renewal of consent that a referendum would confer would greatly strengthen our position in Europe. The sooner that happens the better. Determined obstruction from the likes of Clegg will only boost the antis

    One of the few arguments for a referendum that I actually agree with is simply that it is the right thing to do. It shouldn't be considered as a pro- or anti-European thing, but simply as a courtesy to the governed to know their will, and an opportunity for them, after deliberation, to work out what that will is
    Indeed it will be comforting to know that the political ruling classes are being 'courteous' to us mere voters! Frankly such attitudes explain why the political class is so despised.
    Would you prefer a discourteous government?

    The state is the state. It is the biggest bully in the schoolyard, it is that entity with the monopoly of violence. It enforces its will with laws and backs it up with imprisonment, and takes its authority from a Crown appointed and anointed by God Himself. It is in everybody's interest that it represents the will of the people being governed, and it recognizes that that will is contradictory, conflicted, illogical and transitory. Until human nature changes and the answers to all questions known, the Westminster System is the best form of government yet invented. You want a better government? Make better humans.
  • Hengists_GiftHengists_Gift Posts: 628
    edited February 2015
    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    surbiton said:

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one.

    PeterC said:

    Pro-Europeans most of all should realise that the renewal of consent that a referendum would confer would greatly strengthen our position in Europe. The sooner that happens the better. Determined obstruction from the likes of Clegg will only boost the antis

    One of the few arguments for a referendum that I actually agree with is simply that it is the right thing to do. It shouldn't be considered as a pro- or anti-European thing, but simply as a courtesy to the governed to know their will, and an opportunity for them, after deliberation, to work out what that will is
    Indeed it will be comforting to know that the political ruling classes are being 'courteous' to us mere voters! Frankly such attitudes explain why the political class is so despised.
    Would you prefer a discourteous government?

    The state is the state. It is the biggest bully in the schoolyard, it is that entity with the monopoly of violence. It enforces its will with laws and backs it up with imprisonment, and takes its authority from a Crown appointed and anointed by God Himself. It is in everybody's interest that it represents the will of the people being governed, and it recognizes that that will is contradictory, conflicted, illogical and transitory. Until human nature changes and the answers to all questions known, the Westminster System is the best form of government yet invented. You want a better government? Make better humans.
    Discourteous Government?

    We've had that for 40 years or more.

    The stench of arrogant condescending bullshit in the air is suffocating
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,404

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    surbiton said:

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one.

    PeterC said:

    Pro-Europeans most of all should realise that the renewal of consent that a referendum would confer would greatly strengthen our position in Europe. The sooner that happens the better. Determined obstruction from the likes of Clegg will only boost the antis

    One of the few arguments for a referendum that I actually agree with is simply that it is the right thing to do. It shouldn't be considered as a pro- or anti-European thing, but simply as a courtesy to the governed to know their will, and an opportunity for them, after deliberation, to work out what that will is
    Indeed it will be comforting to know that the political ruling classes are being 'courteous' to us mere voters! Frankly such attitudes explain why the political class is so despised.
    Would you prefer a discourteous government?

    The state is the state. It is the biggest bully in the schoolyard, it is that entity with the monopoly of violence. It enforces its will with laws and backs it up with imprisonment, and takes its authority from a Crown appointed and anointed by God Himself. It is in everybody's interest that it represents the will of the people being governed, and it recognizes that that will is contradictory, conflicted, illogical and transitory. Until human nature changes and the answers to all questions known, the Westminster System is the best form of government yet invented. You want a better government? Make better humans.
    Discourteous Government?

    We've had that for 40 years or more.

    The stench of arrogant condescending bullshit in the air is suffocating
    Invent something better.

  • Hengists_GiftHengists_Gift Posts: 628
    edited February 2015
    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    surbiton said:

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one.

    PeterC said:

    Pro-Europeans most of all should realise that the renewal of consent that a referendum would confer would greatly strengthen our position in Europe. The sooner that happens the better. Determined obstruction from the likes of Clegg will only boost the antis

    One of the few arguments for a referendum that I actually agree with is simply that it is the right thing to do. It shouldn't be considered as a pro- or anti-European thing, but simply as a courtesy to the governed to know their will, and an opportunity for them, after deliberation, to work out what that will is
    Indeed it will be comforting to know that the political ruling classes are being 'courteous' to us mere voters! Frankly such attitudes explain why the political class is so despised.
    Would you prefer a discourteous government?

    The state is the state. It is the biggest bully in the schoolyard, it is that entity with the monopoly of violence. It enforces its will with laws and backs it up with imprisonment, and takes its authority from a Crown appointed and anointed by God Himself. It is in everybody's interest that it represents the will of the people being governed, and it recognizes that that will is contradictory, conflicted, illogical and transitory. Until human nature changes and the answers to all questions known, the Westminster System is the best form of government yet invented. You want a better government? Make better humans.
    Discourteous Government?

    We've had that for 40 years or more.

    The stench of arrogant condescending bullshit in the air is suffocating
    Invent something better.

    Indeed and that's what parties such as the SNP, UKIP, Greens, Plaid, SF are in large part about. All aspire to significantly redistribute political power in the United Kingdom. By redistributing power you redefine government. They are the result of 'discourteous government'

    PS And perhaps those who vote for them are voting for 'better humans'
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    surbiton said:

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one.

    PeterC said:

    Pro-Europeans most of all should realise that the renewal of consent that a referendum would confer would greatly strengthen our position in Europe. The sooner that happens the better. Determined obstruction from the likes of Clegg will only boost the antis

    One of the few arguments for a referendum that I actually agree with is simply that it is the right thing to do. It shouldn't be considered as a pro- or anti-European thing, but simply as a courtesy to the governed to know their will, and an opportunity for them, after deliberation, to work out what that will is
    Indeed it will be comforting to know that the political ruling classes are being 'courteous' to us mere voters! Frankly such attitudes explain why the political class is so despised.
    Would you prefer a discourteous government?

    The state is the state. It is the biggest bully in the schoolyard, it is that entity with the monopoly of violence. It enforces its will with laws and backs it up with imprisonment, and takes its authority from a Crown appointed and anointed by God Himself. It is in everybody's interest that it represents the will of the people being governed, and it recognizes that that will is contradictory, conflicted, illogical and transitory. Until human nature changes and the answers to all questions known, the Westminster System is the best form of government yet invented. You want a better government? Make better humans.
    Discourteous Government?

    We've had that for 40 years or more.

    The stench of arrogant condescending bullshit in the air is suffocating
    Invent something better.

    Indeed and that's what parties such as the SNP, UKIP, Greens, Plaid, SF are in large part about. All aspire to significantly redistribute political power in the United Kingdom. By redistributing power you redefine government. They are the result of 'discourteous government'
    Nah they are about throwing rocks.
  • FalseFlagFalseFlag Posts: 1,801

    Speedy said:



    ...If Navalny who's a small fish can be under house arrest, why not Nemtsov?

    His murder is very unusual, nobody had got murdered that close to the Kremlin before, though there was an attempt on Brezhnev in 1969...

    Speedy, Navalny really isn't a 'small fish' - he's very respected and admired as one of the most courageous and vocal opponents of Putin. His blog is an extraordinary catalogue of injustice, but also has a dark sense of humour about the Kafkaesque moments he has experienced himself, with photos, films, etc. I've followed it for years.

    Nemtsov and Navalny - they are remarkable men.

    I think the murder last night was planned so that the Kremlin would loom large in all the news stories. It was an act of propoganda as well as a murder.


    Navalny is popular as he is a nationalist, although he has little support outside Moscow. Nemtsov was a nobody, symptomatic of the liberal opposition, who has no support.

    Putin is a cautious pragmatist and it really isn't his style. Certainly nothing to gain.
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    surbiton said:

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one.

    PeterC said:

    Pro-Europeans most of all should realise that the renewal of consent that a referendum would confer would greatly strengthen our position in Europe. The sooner that happens the better. Determined obstruction from the likes of Clegg will only boost the antis

    One of the few arguments for a referendum that I actually agree with is simply that it is the right thing to do. It shouldn't be considered as a pro- or anti-European thing, but simply as a courtesy to the governed to know their will, and an opportunity for them, after deliberation, to work out what that will is
    Indeed it will be comforting to know that the political ruling classes are being 'courteous' to us mere voters! Frankly such attitudes explain why the political class is so despised.
    Would you prefer a discourteous government?

    The state is the state. It is the biggest bully in the schoolyard, it is that entity with the monopoly of violence. It enforces its will with laws and backs it up with imprisonment, and takes its authority from a Crown appointed and anointed by God Himself. It is in everybody's interest that it represents the will of the people being governed, and it recognizes that that will is contradictory, conflicted, illogical and transitory. Until human nature changes and the answers to all questions known, the Westminster System is the best form of government yet invented. You want a better government? Make better humans.
    Discourteous Government?

    We've had that for 40 years or more.

    The stench of arrogant condescending bullshit in the air is suffocating
    Invent something better.


    Sure. I'll be dictator, and tell everyone what to do. I'm sure I can cut through all the red tape and make the country a better place. And make better decisions then anyone in parliament.

    Up until the point I go power-mad* of course.

    * Some say this has already happened.

  • TGOHF said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    surbiton said:

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one.

    PeterC said:

    Pro-Europeans most of all should realise that the renewal of consent that a referendum would confer would greatly strengthen our position in Europe. The sooner that happens the better. Determined obstruction from the likes of Clegg will only boost the antis

    One of the few arguments for a referendum that I actually agree with is simply that it is the right thing to do. It shouldn't be considered as a pro- or anti-European thing, but simply as a courtesy to the governed to know their will, and an opportunity for them, after deliberation, to work out what that will is
    Indeed it will be comforting to know that the political ruling classes are being 'courteous' to us mere voters! Frankly such attitudes explain why the political class is so despised.
    Would you prefer a discourteous government?

    The state is the state. It is the biggest bully in the schoolyard, it is that entity with the monopoly of violence. It enforces its will with laws and backs it up with imprisonment, and takes its authority from a Crown appointed and anointed by God Himself. It is in everybody's interest that it represents the will of the people being governed, and it recognizes that that will is contradictory, conflicted, illogical and transitory. Until human nature changes and the answers to all questions known, the Westminster System is the best form of government yet invented. You want a better government? Make better humans.
    Discourteous Government?

    We've had that for 40 years or more.

    The stench of arrogant condescending bullshit in the air is suffocating
    Invent something better.

    Indeed and that's what parties such as the SNP, UKIP, Greens, Plaid, SF are in large part about. All aspire to significantly redistribute political power in the United Kingdom. By redistributing power you redefine government. They are the result of 'discourteous government'
    Nah they are about throwing rocks.
    Thank you for that most insightful intelligent intervention. I don't know what we'd do without it.
  • YouGov Sunday Times

    CON 34% LAB 34% LDEM 8% UKIP 14% GRN 5%
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108


    Indeed and that's what parties such as the SNP, UKIP, Greens, Plaid, SF are in large part about. All aspire to significantly redistribute political power in the United Kingdom. By redistributing power you redefine government. They are the result of 'discourteous government'

    Nothing more comical than seeing another Kipper believing that their party of the establishment is offering anything radical or different to the status quo.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    TGOHF said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    surbiton said:

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one.

    PeterC said:

    Pro-Europeans most of all should realise that the renewal of consent that a referendum would confer would greatly strengthen our position in Europe. The sooner that happens the better. Determined obstruction from the likes of Clegg will only boost the antis

    One of the few arguments for a referendum that I actually agree with is simply that it is the right thing to do. It shouldn't be considered as a pro- or anti-European thing, but simply as a courtesy to the governed to know their will, and an opportunity for them, after deliberation, to work out what that will is
    Indeed it will be comforting to know that the political ruling classes are being 'courteous' to us mere voters! Frankly such attitudes explain why the political class is so despised.
    Would you prefer a discourteous government?

    The state is the state. It is the biggest bully in the schoolyard, it is that entity with the monopoly of violence. It enforces its will with laws and backs it up with imprisonment, and takes its authority from a Crown appointed and anointed by God Himself. It is in everybody's interest that it represents the will of the people being governed, and it recognizes that that will is contradictory, conflicted, illogical and transitory. Until human nature changes and the answers to all questions known, the Westminster System is the best form of government yet invented. You want a better government? Make better humans.
    Discourteous Government?

    We've had that for 40 years or more.

    The stench of arrogant condescending bullshit in the air is suffocating
    Invent something better.

    Indeed and that's what parties such as the SNP, UKIP, Greens, Plaid, SF are in large part about. All aspire to significantly redistribute political power in the United Kingdom. By redistributing power you redefine government. They are the result of 'discourteous government'
    Nah they are about throwing rocks.
    Thank you for that most insightful intelligent intervention. I don't know what we'd do without it.
    talk me through a single thing that Ukip MEPs have achieved apart from filling the party coffers and claiming allowances.
  • Dair said:


    Indeed and that's what parties such as the SNP, UKIP, Greens, Plaid, SF are in large part about. All aspire to significantly redistribute political power in the United Kingdom. By redistributing power you redefine government. They are the result of 'discourteous government'

    Nothing more comical than seeing another Kipper believing that their party of the establishment is offering anything radical or different to the status quo.
    Well there is definitely a more comical party and that is a party that wants independence from a remote detached ruling institution in order that it can give away its independence totally to an even more remote and detached ruling body.

    At least UKIP is consistent in its outlook and not a contradiction in terms.......
  • FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012

    john_zims said:

    @surbiton

    'There will be no referendum because there should not be one. We are Europeans as we are part of the world.'

    How lefties hate democracy, you just can't trust those stupid voters.

    We have had precisely one referendum on Europe, and that was under Labour. It was the Tories who took us in without a referendum; the Tories who hated democracy; the Tories who did not trust those stupid voters.
    Except even when they had the referendum Wilson didn't trust people with the truth. Instead he created a total charade to con them into voting the way he wanted. Deception is the greatest subversion of democracy there is and Labour are masters of it. They are just as guilty of subverting democracy (and lets not forget the Lisbon Treaty debacle either).
    Of course for right or wrong what Heath (and parliament) took us into was the 6 member EEC, a 'common market' not an 'EC' or 'EU'. It was according to Labour at the time all a capitalist plot.
    I believe Heath repeatedly denied in public that the long term aim was 'ever closer Union' whilst of course knowing that the intention was always there. He was no better than Wilson
    We joined a customs union which is the salient point about reference to referendums. As for taking part in 'ever closer union' - the 'long term' has now arrived and it is the stated policy of the Tory Party not to take part. It campaigned against the Euro and voted against Lisbon. It put in place the triple lock and proposes renegotiation followed by a referendum.
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    YouGov Sunday Times

    CON 34% LAB 34% LDEM 8% UKIP 14% GRN 5%


    Labour going nowhere even though they're the main opposition.

    UKIP almost double the LibDems.

    And we think meh?

    If I'd predicted this poll in 2010, no-one would have believed me...

  • Hengists_GiftHengists_Gift Posts: 628
    edited February 2015
    TGOHF said:

    TGOHF said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    surbiton said:

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one.

    PeterC said:

    Pro-Europeans most of all should realise that the renewal of consent that a referendum would confer would greatly strengthen our position in Europe. The sooner that happens the better. Determined obstruction from the likes of Clegg will only boost the antis

    One of the few arguments for a referendum that I actually agree with is simply that it is the right thing to do. It shouldn't be considered as a pro- or anti-European thing, but simply as a courtesy to the governed to know their will, and an opportunity for them, after deliberation, to work out what that will is
    Indeed it will be comforting to know that the political ruling classes are being 'courteous' to us mere voters! Frankly such attitudes explain why the political class is so despised.
    Would you prefer a discourteous government?

    Discourteous Government?

    We've had that for 40 years or more.

    The stench of arrogant condescending bullshit in the air is suffocating
    Invent something better.

    Indeed and that's what parties such as the SNP, UKIP, Greens, Plaid, SF are in large part about. All aspire to significantly redistribute political power in the United Kingdom. By redistributing power you redefine government. They are the result of 'discourteous government'
    Nah they are about throwing rocks.
    Thank you for that most insightful intelligent intervention. I don't know what we'd do without it.
    talk me through a single thing that Ukip MEPs have achieved apart from filling the party coffers and claiming allowances.
    Well they have managed to keep their party afloat long enough to become a thorn in the side of yours! Now talk me through the thing of how you have managed to reduce net immigration to 10's of thousands?
  • BenMBenM Posts: 1,795

    YouGov Sunday Times

    CON 34% LAB 34% LDEM 8% UKIP 14% GRN 5%

    In general polling Lab a smidge ahead at the start of March. 30 days to the dissolution of parliament.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    YouGov Sunday Times

    CON 34% LAB 34% LDEM 8% UKIP 14% GRN 5%

    Con plus Lab higher than last GE - talk me through the demise of the major parties...
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    TGOHF said:

    TGOHF said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    surbiton said:

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one.

    PeterC said:

    Pro-Europeans most of all should realise that the renewal of consent that a referendum would confer would greatly strengthen our position in Europe. The sooner that happens the better. Determined obstruction from the likes of Clegg will only boost the antis

    One of the few arguments for a referendum that I actually agree with is simply that it is the right thing to do. It shouldn't be considered as a pro- or anti-European thing, but simply as a courtesy to the governed to know their will, and an opportunity for them, after deliberation, to work out what that will is
    Indeed it will be comforting to know that the political ruling classes are being 'courteous' to us mere voters! Frankly such attitudes explain why the political class is so despised.
    Would you prefer a discourteous government?

    Discourteous Government?

    We've had that for 40 years or more.

    The stench of arrogant condescending bullshit in the air is suffocating
    Invent something better.

    Indeed and that's what parties such as the SNP, UKIP, Greens, Plaid, SF are in large part about. All aspire to significantly redistribute political power in the United Kingdom. By redistributing power you redefine government. They are the result of 'discourteous government'
    Nah they are about throwing rocks.
    Thank you for that most insightful intelligent intervention. I don't know what we'd do without it.
    talk me through a single thing that Ukip MEPs have achieved apart from filling the party coffers and claiming allowances.
    Well they have managed to keep their party afloat long enough to become a thorn in the side of yours! Now talk me through the thing of how you have managed to reduce net immigration to 10's of thousands?
    So nothing for those mugs that voted for them - party before voters and country - how very very different.
  • FalseFlagFalseFlag Posts: 1,801
    More thorough than the Kiev snipers? Probably.
  • john_zims said:

    @surbiton

    'There will be no referendum because there should not be one. We are Europeans as we are part of the world.'

    How lefties hate democracy, you just can't trust those stupid voters.

    We have had precisely one referendum on Europe, and that was under Labour. It was the Tories who took us in without a referendum; the Tories who hated democracy; the Tories who did not trust those stupid voters.
    Except even when they had the referendum Wilson didn't trust people with the truth. Instead he created a total charade to con them into voting the way he wanted. Deception is the greatest subversion of democracy there is and Labour are masters of it. They are just as guilty of subverting democracy (and lets not forget the Lisbon Treaty debacle either).
    Of course for right or wrong what Heath (and parliament) took us into was the 6 member EEC, a 'common market' not an 'EC' or 'EU'. It was according to Labour at the time all a capitalist plot.
    I believe Heath repeatedly denied in public that the long term aim was 'ever closer Union' whilst of course knowing that the intention was always there. He was no better than Wilson
    We joined a customs union which is the salient point about reference to referendums. As for taking part in 'ever closer union' - the 'long term' has now arrived and it is the stated policy of the Tory Party not to take part. It campaigned against the Euro and voted against Lisbon. It put in place the triple lock and proposes renegotiation followed by a referendum.
    Yeah yeah yeah thanks for the CCHQ press release.
  • YouGov Sunday Times

    CON 34% LAB 34% LDEM 8% UKIP 14% GRN 5%


    Labour going nowhere even though they're the main opposition.

    UKIP almost double the LibDems.

    And we think meh?

    If I'd predicted this poll in 2010, no-one would have believed me...

    A couple of years ago, when people were saying UKIP only hurts the Tories.

    Since the last GE, Con -3, UKIP +11.

    Now that would have got you certified
  • Ishmael_XIshmael_X Posts: 3,664

    YouGov Sunday Times

    CON 34% LAB 34% LDEM 8% UKIP 14% GRN 5%

    Crossover March, pulling away April. Believe it.
  • Hengists_GiftHengists_Gift Posts: 628
    edited February 2015
    TGOHF said:

    TGOHF said:

    TGOHF said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    surbiton said:

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one.

    PeterC said:

    Pro-Europeans most of all should realise that the renewal of consent that a referendum would confer would greatly strengthen our position in Europe. The sooner that happens the better. Determined obstruction from the likes of Clegg will only boost the antis

    Would you prefer a discourteous government?

    Discourteous Government?

    We've had that for 40 years or more.

    The stench of arrogant condescending bullshit in the air is suffocating
    Invent something better.

    Indeed and that's what parties such as the SNP, UKIP, Greens, Plaid, SF are in large part about. All aspire to significantly redistribute political power in the United Kingdom. By redistributing power you redefine government. They are the result of 'discourteous government'
    Nah they are about throwing rocks.
    Thank you for that most insightful intelligent intervention. I don't know what we'd do without it.
    talk me through a single thing that Ukip MEPs have achieved apart from filling the party coffers and claiming allowances.
    Well they have managed to keep their party afloat long enough to become a thorn in the side of yours! Now talk me through the thing of how you have managed to reduce net immigration to 10's of thousands?
    So nothing for those mugs that voted for them - party before voters and country - how very very different.
    I think that's for those voters to judge. If they are not satisfied with them they won't vote for them anymore. Given their vote has increased significantly in recent years clearly their voters do not see your observations as issues of concern. Perhaps they think its a better use of their taxes than wasting it on an EU vanity project? Perhaps UKIPs continued existence is compensation enough!

    Nothing to say about that immigration thing then?
  • saddenedsaddened Posts: 2,245

    TGOHF said:

    TGOHF said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    surbiton said:

    There will be no referendum because there should not be one.

    PeterC said:

    Pro-Europeans most of all should realise that the renewal of consent that a referendum would confer would greatly strengthen our position in Europe. The sooner that happens the better. Determined obstruction from the likes of Clegg will only boost the antis

    One of the few arguments for a referendum that I actually agree with is simply that it is the right thing to do. It shouldn't be considered as a pro- or anti-European thing, but simply as a courtesy to the governed to know their will, and an opportunity for them, after deliberation, to work out what that will is
    Indeed it will be comforting to know that the political ruling classes are being 'courteous' to us mere voters! Frankly such attitudes explain why the political class is so despised.
    Would you prefer a discourteous government?

    Discourteous Government?

    We've had that for 40 years or more.

    The stench of arrogant condescending bullshit in the air is suffocating
    Invent something better.

    Indeed and that's what parties such as the SNP, UKIP, Greens, Plaid, SF are in large part about. All aspire to significantly redistribute political power in the United Kingdom. By redistributing power you redefine government. They are the result of 'discourteous government'
    Nah they are about throwing rocks.
    Thank you for that most insightful intelligent intervention. I don't know what we'd do without it.
    talk me through a single thing that Ukip MEPs have achieved apart from filling the party coffers and claiming allowances.
    Well they have managed to keep their party afloat long enough to become a thorn in the side of yours! Now talk me through the thing of how you have managed to reduce net immigration to 10's of thousands?
    If you had just typed "I can't" it would have saved you a lot of effort.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,404

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:


    Would you prefer a discourteous government?

    The state is the state. It is the biggest bully in the schoolyard, it is that entity with the monopoly of violence. It enforces its will with laws and backs it up with imprisonment, and takes its authority from a Crown appointed and anointed by God Himself. It is in everybody's interest that it represents the will of the people being governed, and it recognizes that that will is contradictory, conflicted, illogical and transitory. Until human nature changes and the answers to all questions known, the Westminster System is the best form of government yet invented. You want a better government? Make better humans.

    Discourteous Government?

    We've had that for 40 years or more.

    The stench of arrogant condescending bullshit in the air is suffocating
    Invent something better.

    Indeed and that's what parties such as the SNP, UKIP, Greens, Plaid, SF are in large part about. All aspire to significantly redistribute political power in the United Kingdom. By redistributing power you redefine government. They are the result of 'discourteous government'

    PS And perhaps those who vote for them are voting for 'better humans'
    You might be right with SF - Ireland has an elected head of state and a written constitution. But UKIP and SNP? No. They don't want to overthrow the Westminster System, they just want to take power within it or a duplicate of it. That's not a subversion of the system, that's a continuation of it - meet the new boss, just the same as the old boss.

    As for the 'better humans'? God, no. They are as prone to violence, casual cruelty, addiction, short-sightedness, tribalism, and general fuckwittedness as anybody else.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,963
    edited February 2015
    Anyone expecting anything other than the Sri Lankans giving us a spanking like a Dominatrix does to a client?
  • saddosaddo Posts: 534
    Considering labour are throwing everything they can at the campaign and the Tories havent started yet, poor position for labour.
  • Ishmael_X said:

    YouGov Sunday Times

    CON 34% LAB 34% LDEM 8% UKIP 14% GRN 5%

    Crossover March, pulling away April. Believe it.
    Need YG tables to calculate final ELBOW scores for the week (and February), but the simple average for the week puts Lab 0.9% ahead.
  • Ishmael_X said:

    YouGov Sunday Times

    CON 34% LAB 34% LDEM 8% UKIP 14% GRN 5%

    Crossover March, pulling away April. Believe it.
    The interesting point is that we are starting to see Tory percentages in the mid 30s. 34-35% is much what (36.1%) they got in the 2010 erection and the campaign proper has not started yet.
  • philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704
    FalseFlag said:

    Speedy said:



    ...If Navalny who's a small fish can be under house arrest, why not Nemtsov?

    His murder is very unusual, nobody had got murdered that close to the Kremlin before, though there was an attempt on Brezhnev in 1969...

    Speedy, Navalny really isn't a 'small fish' - he's very respected and admired as one of the most courageous and vocal opponents of Putin. His blog is an extraordinary catalogue of injustice, but also has a dark sense of humour about the Kafkaesque moments he has experienced himself, with photos, films, etc. I've followed it for years.

    Nemtsov and Navalny - they are remarkable men.

    I think the murder last night was planned so that the Kremlin would loom large in all the news stories. It was an act of propoganda as well as a murder.


    Navalny is popular as he is a nationalist, although he has little support outside Moscow. Nemtsov was a nobody, symptomatic of the liberal opposition, who has no support.

    Putin is a cautious pragmatist and it really isn't his style. Certainly nothing to gain.
    Last line haha.

    Putin is an expansionist Nationalist dictator.
  • BenMBenM Posts: 1,795

    Anyone expecting anything other than the Sri Lankans giving us a spanking like a Dominatrix does to a client?

    No.
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    Anyone expecting anything other than the Sri Lankans giving us a spanking like a Dominatrix does to a client?

    It will be different.

    When a Dominatrix does it, the client enjoys it.

    Allegedly.

  • FalseFlagFalseFlag Posts: 1,801
    philiph said:

    FalseFlag said:

    Speedy said:



    ...If Navalny who's a small fish can be under house arrest, why not Nemtsov?

    His murder is very unusual, nobody had got murdered that close to the Kremlin before, though there was an attempt on Brezhnev in 1969...

    Speedy, Navalny really isn't a 'small fish' - he's very respected and admired as one of the most courageous and vocal opponents of Putin. His blog is an extraordinary catalogue of injustice, but also has a dark sense of humour about the Kafkaesque moments he has experienced himself, with photos, films, etc. I've followed it for years.

    Nemtsov and Navalny - they are remarkable men.

    I think the murder last night was planned so that the Kremlin would loom large in all the news stories. It was an act of propoganda as well as a murder.


    Navalny is popular as he is a nationalist, although he has little support outside Moscow. Nemtsov was a nobody, symptomatic of the liberal opposition, who has no support.

    Putin is a cautious pragmatist and it really isn't his style. Certainly nothing to gain.
    Last line haha.

    Putin is an expansionist Nationalist dictator.
    So why are so many nationalists imprisoned then? I have many nationalist Russian friends, none fans of Putin.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Anyone expecting anything other than the Sri Lankans giving us a spanking like a Dominatrix does to a client?

    Dominatrix stops when the client asks.
  • viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:


    Would you prefer a discourteous government?

    The state is the state. It is the biggest bully in the schoolyard, it is that entity with the monopoly of violence. It enforces its will with laws and backs it up with imprisonment, and takes its authority from a Crown appointed and anointed by God Himself. It is in everybody's interest that it represents the will of the people being governed, and it recognizes that that will is contradictory, conflicted, illogical and transitory. Until human nature changes and the answers to all questions known, the Westminster System is the best form of government yet invented. You want a better government? Make better humans.

    Discourteous Government?

    We've had that for 40 years or more.

    The stench of arrogant condescending bullshit in the air is suffocating
    Invent something better.

    Indeed and that's what parties such as the SNP, UKIP, Greens, Plaid, SF are in large part about. All aspire to significantly redistribute political power in the United Kingdom. By redistributing power you redefine government. They are the result of 'discourteous government'

    PS And perhaps those who vote for them are voting for 'better humans'
    You might be right with SF - Ireland has an elected head of state and a written constitution. But UKIP and SNP? No. They don't want to overthrow the Westminster System, they just want to take power within it or a duplicate of it. That's not a subversion of the system, that's a continuation of it - meet the new boss, just the same as the old boss.

    As for the 'better humans'? God, no. They are as prone to violence, casual cruelty, addiction, short-sightedness, tribalism, and general fuckwittedness as anybody else.
    Well if you are going to be totally absurd then there is no point attempting to debate with you. However I can recommend a good surgeon who will be able to surgically remove your head from your lower bowel if you so wish.......
  • Alistair said:

    Anyone expecting anything other than the Sri Lankans giving us a spanking like a Dominatrix does to a client?

    Dominatrix stops when the client asks.
    I learnt the hard way, that choosing "mower" as my safe word with a dominatrix was a terrible idea.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,404

    viewcode said:



    Invent something better.


    Sure. I'll be dictator, and tell everyone what to do...

    Goddammit, that's my plan! I saw it first! I called dibs and everything.
  • philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704
    FalseFlag said:

    philiph said:

    FalseFlag said:

    Speedy said:



    ...If Navalny who's a small fish can be under house arrest, why not Nemtsov?

    His murder is very unusual, nobody had got murdered that close to the Kremlin before, though there was an attempt on Brezhnev in 1969...

    Speedy, Navalny really isn't a 'small fish' - he's very respected and admired as one of the most courageous and vocal opponents of Putin. His blog is an extraordinary catalogue of injustice, but also has a dark sense of humour about the Kafkaesque moments he has experienced himself, with photos, films, etc. I've followed it for years.

    Nemtsov and Navalny - they are remarkable men.

    I think the murder last night was planned so that the Kremlin would loom large in all the news stories. It was an act of propoganda as well as a murder.


    Navalny is popular as he is a nationalist, although he has little support outside Moscow. Nemtsov was a nobody, symptomatic of the liberal opposition, who has no support.

    Putin is a cautious pragmatist and it really isn't his style. Certainly nothing to gain.
    Last line haha.

    Putin is an expansionist Nationalist dictator.
    So why are so many nationalists imprisoned then? I have many nationalist Russian friends, none fans of Putin.
    Putin's version of nationalism has opponents who are also nationalists.
  • Anyone expecting anything other than the Sri Lankans giving us a spanking like a Dominatrix does to a client?

    No.

    Stick Buttler in at five would be my idea, then again we should have Hales opening and Stokes at four.
  • Well this could be all over before I go to bed.

    England win the toss and bat, unchanged side.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,723

    Ishmael_X said:

    YouGov Sunday Times

    CON 34% LAB 34% LDEM 8% UKIP 14% GRN 5%

    Crossover March, pulling away April. Believe it.
    Need YG tables to calculate final ELBOW scores for the week (and February), but the simple average for the week puts Lab 0.9% ahead.
    You said earlier that Lab lead was 0.8% with just YouGov to come.

    Now YouGov is a tie so surely final position must be a Lab lead below 0.8%?
  • Spurs, England cricket and rugby... not sure tomorrow will go well...
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    edited February 2015
    philiph said:

    FalseFlag said:

    Speedy said:



    ...If Navalny who's a small fish can be under house arrest, why not Nemtsov?

    His murder is very unusual, nobody had got murdered that close to the Kremlin before, though there was an attempt on Brezhnev in 1969...

    Speedy, Navalny really isn't a 'small fish' - he's very respected and admired as one of the most courageous and vocal opponents of Putin. His blog is an extraordinary catalogue of injustice, but also has a dark sense of humour about the Kafkaesque moments he has experienced himself, with photos, films, etc. I've followed it for years.

    Nemtsov and Navalny - they are remarkable men.

    I think the murder last night was planned so that the Kremlin would loom large in all the news stories. It was an act of propoganda as well as a murder.


    Navalny is popular as he is a nationalist, although he has little support outside Moscow. Nemtsov was a nobody, symptomatic of the liberal opposition, who has no support.

    Putin is a cautious pragmatist and it really isn't his style. Certainly nothing to gain.
    Last line haha.

    Putin is an expansionist Nationalist dictator.
    Putin's tactics clearly aren't expansionist. Transnistria, Abkazhia and South Ossetia are not being incorporated into the Russian Federation. The only territory actually incorporated to date is Crimea which is historically part of Russia and was until the 1960s. The likelihood is that the Donetsk and Marioupol regions will end up with the same quasi-independent governments already found in the first three examples.

    His clear goal is to create a ring of unstable countries around him, probably based on the theory that unstable governments will have difficulty joining or co-operating with NATO and would be less acceptable allies to NATO.

    And of course he is a Nationalist. Can you find a single world leader that is not?
This discussion has been closed.