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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Marf on Rochester and Harry Hayfield’s local and Westminster by-election preview
Bramhall South & Woodford on Stockport (Con Defence)
Result of council at last election (2014): Liberal Democrats 28, Labour 22, Conservatives 10, Independents 3 (No Overall Control, Liberal Democrats short by 4)
Result of ward at last election (2014): Conservatives 1,862 (45%), Liberal Democrats 1,373 (33%), UKIP 538 (13%), Labour 369 (9%)
Candidates duly nominated:
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Osborne throws in the towel on bankers bonus legal challenge
Whatever you do, don't elaborate.
1m Jason Beattie @JBeattieMirror
Labour sources saying Ed Miliband "never been so angry" as when gave @EmilyThornberry dressing down over "that" tweet
1m tom bradby ✔ @tombradby
Ed Miliband said to be 'absolutely furious' about the Thornberry tweet.
59s tom bradby ✔ @tombradby
'The angriest I have ever seen him,' according to one source. 'He thinks people should fly the England flag with pride.'
Amazing that labour HQ thought earlier there was nothing to comment about.
Angry Ed, who got flattened by a plastic pop star...
@MShapland: Query: Did Ed Miliband give John McDonnell an 'angry dressing down' for repeating that Esther McVey should be lynched?
And only then if I can the god-like leader.
"Labour MP who lives in £3million house in Islington is accused of 'outrageous snobbery' after tweeting photo of family home flying St George's flags"
"One senior Labour insider said it was 'worse than the Gillian Duffy moment' when Gordon Brown was recorded calling a voter a 'bigoted woman'"
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/index.html
Remind me nearer the date.
Tommorow, everyone will be raging about Thornberry instead of raging about Ed leading labour to third place in a seat they need to win to get a majority.
She's "apologised"
Ed got angry
It's all over. Nothing to see here
We've all been waiting for the spotlight to switch to the expected Tory loss of a 'must win' seat vs the pigdog traitor and yet this tweet puts some of that heat for Cammo at risk as it offers the risk the media will focus as much on how badly Labour does and whether that ties in with being a north london clique who can't connect with scotland and now former consituencies in the south east.
Gove's saying he's 100% sure no defections is breath-taking and 'brave' - that also could look v stupid if he's wrong very soon after.
Exactly my point earlier. What a disaster for Labour. Talk about shooting yourself. I really have got to the point where i think it seems Labour will do anything collectively to avoid winning in May.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/conservative/11242034/No-sign-yet-of-a-solution-to-the-shambles-within-the-Tory-party.html
And Ed won't sack her.
England have played two football matches and one rugby match within the last week; hardly surprising that flags were out.
One of the flags is defaced by the West Ham coat of arms. Clearly must be from East London or Essex. I would have thought Charlton would be more appropriate, but it just goes to show how far the WWC has been displaced.
PS. Nice to see Labour getting the UKIP treatment over an essentially harmless tweet.
I've seen Man Utd flags in the Far East. Never realised it was a sign of displacement.
Labour is a middle-class, metropolitan party now and ought to own up to it.
There are houses on my suburban street that put england flags up on tuesday & haven't yet taken them down.
It's certainly plausible.
What we need now is the person whose house it is to come onto twitter to justify the reason for hanging the flags, and whether or not they are racist.
Because apparently that matters.
Five bellies showed contempt for a whole class of voters, close to a GE.
(I have applied to be the candidate btw, its actually one of the easier constituencies to get to for me as well)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8W8-z30j8I8
@tombradby Yeah, yeah. Furious!! Peeling him off the ceiling!!! Yeah, yeah, yeah. After he'd had it explained to him what the problem was.
Plenty of West Ham that side of the water, though obviously not as many as Essex.
@gallaghereditor: @paulwaugh @bbcnickrobinson you can read all about him in the Daily Mail tomorrow
But the family was not fatherless in the sense that it had never had a father. Nor was Sallie Thornberry unmarried. On the contrary, she was married to a distinguished and talented academic lawyer, Cedric Thornberry, who lectured at the London School of Economics, and rose to become Assistant General Secretary of the United Nations. He is still active in the international human rights industry.
I do not know or seek to know exactly how he came to leave the family home, though he did so when his daughter was seven and his sons even younger. It is perhaps significant that Emily Thornberry omits all reference to him from her entry in ‘Who’s Who’ (those in Who’s Who’ write their own entries), though she does mention her mother. Whatever happened, Emily Thornberry has unpleasant, rather shocking Dickensian memories of bailiffs, and of going off to live in a council house in pretty sharply reduced circumstances."
http://hitchensblog.mailonsunday.co.uk/2012/06/the-phoney-outrage-of-emily-thornberry-slime-factories-on-overtime.html
That should take care of labour's remaining Scottish seats....
The Tories are going to win Rochester & Strood.
Next May.
I hope.
And the traitorous pig dog will be out on his arse.
And that will be the last time I call him a traitorous pig dog, as he will have been endorsed by the electorate, and the people have spoken, the bastards.
The difference between Militant and UKIP is that UKIP have proved they can win, under their own banner. Militant had to run as Labour.
And of course its not 'Labour getting the kipper treatment' it's just UKIP getting the same treatment as every other political party for the ting tong garbage they spout. Who ever thought white skin could be so thin?
http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Defacement_(flag)
When will they gain a seat with a fresh face?
There are two elements.
One is the natural displacement caused by post war rebuilding and a desire for a "better life". The second is "I don't like the way the area is changing, so I'm moving out".
Both are in play.
The Kippers were confident and happy. I think they've comfortably got their vote out.
Only you can probably understand how hard it is to contemplate a party that you've given your whole life to, always felt was your home and a fundamental part of your identity. I keep hovering between and across the Conservatives and UKIP, and am not sure I fully belong or am welcome in either. But 2015GE will be my last free ticket to the Conservatives, and I already expect to be disappointed.
Hope we get a chance to meet tomorrow night.
The Loonies are confident of beating the Lib Dems, and I think Labour's support has stayed at home/collapsed.
Gove was quite cross about that demotion.
"In the context of vexillology, the word "deface" carries no negative connotations, in contrast to general usage. It simply indicates differentiation of the flag from that of another owner by addition of elements."
But I'm grateful for the alternative meaning of deface in this context. One can always learn something!
I was wearing my Cross of St George cuff links today.
If only I had met Emily Thornberry.
General Boles@GeneralBoles·15m15 minutes ago
and you end in the grotesque chaos of a Labour MP, a Labour MP, scuttling around #Rochester taking pictures of flags
There's nowhere else on earth like here. I find seeing the flag flying warming and heartening.
https://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/11/20/why-ukips-rivals-are-fighting-wrong-battle/
Today he said
1) He'd bet on Kelly winning and collecting
2) There would be no more defections.
I expect he will be proven wrong on both counts shortly.
https://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/11/20/greens-would-soar-if-voters-thought-they-could-win/
There was controversy a few years back when Charlton, then in the Premier League but unable to fill their ground, laid on free coach travel from various areas of east Kent on match days to encourage new support from Kent. Gillingham were upset about this, though the issue has passed as Charlton are no longer a Prem club.
Incidentally, Gillingham fans view Millwall as their 'derby'.
ET sums up metropolitan Labour oh so very well.
I'm particularly proud of one.
Sadly, one of his uncles (from his mothers side, not mine) actually supports Millwall