A few posters, only yesterday, were chiding me for the 'wishful thinking' of my Tory vote forecasts. I hope they are feeling suitably chaste today.
Yes, Nick Palmer, I'm thinking of you.
What were you forecasting CR?
My forecast was this, only yesterday afternoon:
"..I think the Tories will pull at least 5 points clear of Labour by election day, and I expect slightly more. If you Baxter: Con - 35% , Lab - 29.5%, Lib Dem - 14% and UKIP - 12% then you get Con on 312 seats, 14 short of a majority."
I stand by that forecast, although I think the seat totals for Con a little too high. I think something more like 295-305 seats.
This morning we had JackW with a very similar ARSE prediction. We now have an opinion poll showing Con very close to my predicted poll share, and in the lead.
Yet I have to put up with accusations I'm indulging in 'wishful thinking', and a PB Tory, by some posters, every time I post something that forecasts a Tory win. This is despite the fact I wasn't even planning to vote Conservative until Ed Miliband's speech, am fiercely critical of Cameron, and think the party will fall to pieces within a couple of years of winning GE2015.
I did say "wishful thinking" but not because of your conclusion, just because you allocated % of UKIP voters to Con but none to Labour.
As I've been saying, it's a terrible terrible mistake. EdM has alienated a lot of people who matter.
Interesting comment about Glenda's Hampstead & Highgate seat now being under threat.
Reading that article, I think someone needs to ring up the DEC and tell them to forget about Ebola. Clearly the real humanitarian crisis is closer to home in Hampstead.
James Matthews @jamesmatthewsky · 13m13 minutes ago England fans chanting: 'You're just a small town in England'. Scotland fans: 'Jimmy Savile, he's one of your own'
But Jimmy's mate Cardinal Keith O'Brien ..ll
Justify your remark.
In any case, he was Irish.
Is he the one forced to retire due to groping and sexually assaulting young priests that he was in a position of power over?
No charges brought - why not ?
Having just read the wiki entry it's difficult, if taken at face value, to see why not.
Again, justify your remark.
Perhaps you wish to take out a private prosecution?
multiple allegations from multiple complainants, an admission that his sexual conduct was inappropriate, as stated if taken at face value, it's difficult to see why no charges were brought. I would guess it was because the accusers did not raise a specific complaint with the police. Why they didn't is anyone's guess.
Or they were eccleisiastic offences, but not criminal ones.
Homosexual acts remain serious offences within the Roman Catholic Church.
I am interested to hear that the Cardinal is still a Cardinal:
I do hope that he gets a fair hearing in ecclesiastical court. With the Pope's recent conversion to a more enlightened view of homosexuality he may get a more sympathetic hearing.
Do the priests/seminary students involve also get tried in these courts? Or are they seen as victims?
Priests yes, seminarians no, as they haven't received the sacrament of holy orders.
In fact, anyone can bring a case under Church Law, but it is usually to secure an annulment, or taking an over mighty bishop on for closing a church or seizing parish property.
Telegraph has a grim headline, follow up from People story at weekend or adding something new?
Better to stay quiet on this issue, as the PB Moderator will probably make his presence felt soon now that it has a wider audience. So for the rest of the night, it's goodnight from me.
Too many "MP's killed my boy" front pages lately. It's one thing for the People to have it as a front page, quite another for the Telegraph to do it.
Not really. All sorts of lurid allegations by damaged and mistaken people have made it into the 'quality' press in recent times, as the late Lord McAlpine would have been able to attest.
James Matthews @jamesmatthewsky · 13m13 minutes ago England fans chanting: 'You're just a small town in England'. Scotland fans: 'Jimmy Savile, he's one of your own'
But Jimmy's mate Cardinal Keith O'Brien ..ll
Justify your remark.
In any case, he was Irish.
Is he the one forced to retire due to groping and sexually assaulting young priests that he was in a position of power over?
No charges brought - why not ?
Having just read the wiki entry it's difficult, if taken at face value, to see why not.
Again, justify your remark.
Perhaps you wish to take out a private prosecution?
multiple allegations from multiple complainants, an admission that his sexual conduct was inappropriate, as stated if taken at face value, it's difficult to see why no charges were brought. I would guess it was because the accusers did not raise a specific complaint with the police. Why they didn't is anyone's guess.
Or they were eccleisiastic offences, but not criminal ones.
Homosexual acts remain serious offences within the Roman Catholic Church.
I am interested to hear that the Cardinal is still a Cardinal:
I do hope that he gets a fair hearing in ecclesiastical court. With the Pope's recent conversion to a more enlightened view of homosexuality he may get a more sympathetic hearing.
Do the priests/seminary students involve also get tried in these courts? Or are they seen as victims?
Priests yes, seminarians no, as they haven't received the sacrament of holy orders.
In fact, anyone can bring a case under Church Law, but it is usually to secure an annulment, or taking an over mighty bishop on for closing a church or seizing parish property.
In many ways more comparable to the General Medical Council than a secular court (although this wasn't always the case.
Mr. Owls, reality and reporting are often far apart.
I'd dispute it as win-win, though. Best case scenario is zero damage for Miliband. He's not going to take any support from the Klass Party, is he?
I think the majority of voters think the Mansion Tax is a good thing. Didnt a post announcement poll not even have a maj of Con voters supporting it?
I think Myleene will get little sympathy for not wanting to pay an extra £250 per month out of her massive wealth.
I stick by my win win comment
nice try at spin
however, the blogs and papers today were not good reading for Ed.
I think you know full well the point she was making re people who were asset rich but cash poor.
Your other post about the glass of water was typically wide of the mark too.
If people are asset rich and cash poor; then sell said asset and buy a cheaper asset. What makes them so special?
We are quite happy to hammer people who are asset poor and have some savings through things like the £16,000 cap on savings, after which you get not a penny in benefits.
Too many "MP's killed my boy" front pages lately. It's one thing for the People to have it as a front page, quite another for the Telegraph to do it.
Not really. All sorts of lurid allegations by damaged and mistaken people have made it into the 'quality' press in recent times, as the late Lord McAlpine would have been able to attest.
From the long term winter forecasts I've seen for the UK, the first cold snap of the winter should be coming in early December, and we should have some really cold spells for us this winter as well. At the end of October, Siberia had snow cover of 14.1 million km2 which was the highest for a great many years. Some very interesting stuff on how this correlates well with a negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) that produces cold winters for the UK. Can't wait for it all to come and shut up the AGW crowd yet again. The solar cycle 25 website is good reading too for anyone interested: http://sc25.com/
Looks like this cycle isn't going to peak until some point into 2015, and it should lay the basis for 2016-2021 worldwide to be much cooler during the 5-6 year down phase of the 11 year solar cycle.
I understand Labour's new ploy is to horsewhip immigrants? It might work but it's not guaranteed. Chances are that the Tories will propose skinning them but everyone knows you can't out UKIP UKIP.
I think Ed would be better sticking to a left wing agenda.
James Matthews @jamesmatthewsky · 13m13 minutes ago England fans chanting: 'You're just a small town in England'. Scotland fans: 'Jimmy Savile, he's one of your own'
But Jimmy's mate Cardinal Keith O'Brien ..ll
Justify your remark.
In any case, he was Irish.
Is he the one forced to retire due to groping and sexually assaulting young priests that he was in a position of power over?
No charges brought - why not ?
Having just read the wiki entry it's difficult, if taken at face value, to see why not.
Again, justify your remark.
Perhaps you wish to take out a private prosecution?
multiple allegations from multiple complainants, an admission that his sexual conduct was inappropriate, as stated if taken at face value, it's difficult to see why no charges were brought. I would guess it was because the accusers did not raise a specific complaint with the police. Why they didn't is anyone's guess.
Or they were eccleisiastic offences, but not criminal ones.
Ah, the father Ted defence. I always thought allegations of "groping" where a criminal offence, as in sexual assault, but I'll bow to your superior knowledge of the law as it relates to young priests allegedly being touched up in the circumstances outlined in the wiki article.
You, or the alleged victims, are free to take private prosecutions against O'Brien.
Otherwise, innocent until proven guilty (or not proven, I suppose).
I understand Labour's new ploy is to horsewhip immigrants? It might work but it's not guaranteed. Chances are that the Tories will propose skinning them but everyone knows you can't out UKIP UKIP.
I think Ed would be better sticking to a left wing agenda.
Having watched Cameron fail to out UKIP UKIP for years Labour have decided to join in the fun as well. Sigh.
James Matthews @jamesmatthewsky · 13m13 minutes ago England fans chanting: 'You're just a small town in England'. Scotland fans: 'Jimmy Savile, he's one of your own'
But Jimmy's mate Cardinal Keith O'Brien ..ll
Justify your remark.
In any case, he was Irish.
Is he the one forced to retire due to groping and sexually assaulting young priests that he was in a position of power over?
No charges brought - why not ?
Having just read the wiki entry it's difficult, if taken at face value, to see why not.
Again, justify your remark.
Perhaps you wish to take out a private prosecution?
multiple allegations from multiple complainants, an admission that his sexual conduct was inappropriate, as stated if taken at face value, it's difficult to see why no charges were brought. I would guess it was because the accusers did not raise a specific complaint with the police. Why they didn't is anyone's guess.
Or they were eccleisiastic offences, but not criminal ones.
Ah, the father Ted defence. I always thought allegations of "groping" where a criminal offence, as in sexual assault, but I'll bow to your superior knowledge of the law as it relates to young priests allegedly being touched up in the circumstances outlined in the wiki article.
You, or the alleged victims, are free to take private prosecutions against O'Brien.
Otherwise, innocent until proven guilty (or not proven, I suppose).
Not trial by wikipedia, as you seem to think.
Isnt the Cardinal guilty of homosexuality by his own admission? It's always the ones that shout the loudest...
I understand Labour's new ploy is to horsewhip immigrants? It might work but it's not guaranteed. Chances are that the Tories will propose skinning them but everyone knows you can't out UKIP UKIP.
I think Ed would be better sticking to a left wing agenda.
Yes far better off horsewhipping champagne socialists as long as you exclude those at the top like ED.
Now if Ed proposed a tax that would and really did hurt him personally then people might take him seriously, but on the other hand even if he did so, no one would take him seriously.. Hes f*cked.
I understand Labour's new ploy is to horsewhip immigrants? It might work but it's not guaranteed. Chances are that the Tories will propose skinning them but everyone knows you can't out UKIP UKIP.
I think Ed would be better sticking to a left wing agenda.
Having watched Cameron fail to out UKIP UKIP for years Labour have decided to join in the fun as well. Sigh.
Who will be next? Has to be the Greens, right? It would be amusing to see at least.
I understand Labour's new ploy is to horsewhip immigrants? It might work but it's not guaranteed. Chances are that the Tories will propose skinning them but everyone knows you can't out UKIP UKIP.
I think Ed would be better sticking to a left wing agenda.
Maybe he should try wage protection for the poorest in the country
I understand Labour's new ploy is to horsewhip immigrants? It might work but it's not guaranteed. Chances are that the Tories will propose skinning them but everyone knows you can't out UKIP UKIP.
I think Ed would be better sticking to a left wing agenda.
Having watched Cameron fail to out UKIP UKIP for years Labour have decided to join in the fun as well. Sigh.
Who will be next? Has to be the Greens, right? It would be amusing to see at least.
The beauty of having a core vote of about 1% means we never have to chase after populist sentiment.
It has cycles like everything else. And if this is a Maunder minimum coming up, rather that a Dalton minimum, which I think it is on the broad 300 year cycle, then watch out for much much colder weather ahead over the next 20 years or so.
Will be there on Friday, can't wait to put a face to your name!
As for the stockmarkets, everything is rather murky to put it mildly right now. The rally off the October 15 lows has been stronger than I expected - 2 or 3 plausible short term scenarios, but nothing that leaps out of the page to be honest. Medium term I'm bullish for the US - think we're going to see 26,000 on the Dow before this rally is done going into late next year. US Dollar needs to correct lower in the next few months, but once we've got that out of the way we should get an enormous crescendo of capital flow into US Dollar assets, and principally the US stock market as its the only game in town right now. Watch out when the US economy turns down at the beginning of October 2015, as its the only thing holding up the world economy right now. No one should be surprised at the dismal failure of Abenomics in Japan with policy right out of Ed Balls' book, but then again their demographics were always going to consign Abenomics to abject failure.
Will be good to see you too. Hopefully a certain Watford fan will be able to join us and update us on his ISA. I'll be the one flirting with Nino in the corner if you cant find me.
From the long term winter forecasts I've seen for the UK, the first cold snap of the winter should be coming in early December, and we should have some really cold spells for us this winter as well. At the end of October, Siberia had snow cover of 14.1 million km2 which was the highest for a great many years. Some very interesting stuff on how this correlates well with a negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) that produces cold winters for the UK. Can't wait for it all to come and shut up the AGW crowd yet again. The solar cycle 25 website is good reading too for anyone interested: http://sc25.com/
Looks like this cycle isn't going to peak until some point into 2015, and it should lay the basis for 2016-2021 worldwide to be much cooler during the 5-6 year down phase of the 11 year solar cycle.
Given up on forecasting the next stock market crash? Lol.
Central England Temperature is very close to setting a new record high for a calendar year. Strangely I haven't seen the "coldists" mention it since the cold month of March 2013. Funny that.
Talking on Newsnight about EU migration and the effect on wages for the poorest in the country...Isn't Yvette Cooper just saying what I have been saying for about three years on here?
Ofcom Inquiry into cost of TV football, is there an election coming up?
So the TV companies in the UK pay a billion pounds a year and show about 40% of the games.
NBC signed a 3 year deal for $250 million, about $83 million a year. It shows all the games on its various platforms. That sum was triple the previous deal with Fox. It is widely considered that NBC way overpaid to get it.
By contrast ESPN pays the NFL over $110 million PER GAME for Monday Night Football.
The elephant in the room is that it's not just EU immigration that people worry about.
But that's wacist and so can't be raised.
Nobody's talking about the fact that because we have no control over EU immigration, the government has had to increase restrictions on non-EU immigration, often on desirable, much needed immigration from the Commonwealth - Australian nurses, Indian doctors etc.
I understand Labour's new ploy is to horsewhip immigrants? It might work but it's not guaranteed. Chances are that the Tories will propose skinning them but everyone knows you can't out UKIP UKIP.
I think Ed would be better sticking to a left wing agenda.
Having watched Cameron fail to out UKIP UKIP for years Labour have decided to join in the fun as well. Sigh.
Who will be next? Has to be the Greens, right? It would be amusing to see at least.
The beauty of having a core vote of about 1% means we never have to chase after populist sentiment.
True. I worry for them if they actually achieve 5% or so in a GE, they'll start to feel the pressure to really try to replace the LDs or siphon off more of Labour's former vote, to become a bigger force, and that'll mean chasing after the centre ground like everyone else. I might not think much of many of the Green policies that make the front pages of websites, but at least they can be counted upon to be different more than the others, generally. Stay true and stay pure, Greens.
The elephant in the room is that it's not just immigration from the EU that people worry about.
Depends where you live. Non-EU immigration might be a concern of people in my neck of the 'on-the-edge-of-the-shires', but it's a general concern which can be safely put on the backburner most of the time, whereas EU migration is of truly elephantine scale.
Will be good to see you too. Hopefully a certain Watford fan will be able to join us and update us on his ISA. I'll be the one flirting with Nino in the corner if you cant find me.
Yes I hope the Watford fan and his ISA is there too. And I'll ask him how his FTSE 8,000 forecast is going!
@tnewtondunn: How Guardian reporting Mili v Klass tmrw: 'Ed Miliband took more than 12 hours yesterday to craft a mocking response to the singer Myleene..
Will be good to see you too. Hopefully a certain Watford fan will be able to join us and update us on his ISA. I'll be the one flirting with Nino in the corner if you cant find me.
Yes I hope the Watford fan and his ISA is there too. And I'll ask him how his FTSE 8,000 forecast is going!
From the long term winter forecasts I've seen for the UK, the first cold snap of the winter should be coming in early December, and we should have some really cold spells for us this winter as well. At the end of October, Siberia had snow cover of 14.1 million km2 which was the highest for a great many years. Some very interesting stuff on how this correlates well with a negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) that produces cold winters for the UK. Can't wait for it all to come and shut up the AGW crowd yet again. The solar cycle 25 website is good reading too for anyone interested: http://sc25.com/
Looks like this cycle isn't going to peak until some point into 2015, and it should lay the basis for 2016-2021 worldwide to be much cooler during the 5-6 year down phase of the 11 year solar cycle.
Given up on forecasting the next stock market crash? Lol.
Central England Temperature is very close to setting a new record high for a calendar year. Strangely I haven't seen the "coldists" mention it since the cold month of March 2013. Funny that.
It will crash eventually - just not at this point in time. As for the CET, you have to look at world weather in aggregate. Yes we've had some warm weather in a few parts of the world, based on the wild jetstream patterns that we're getting as we enter a mini ice-age but cold weather records are predominant over some warm weather that is being observed. We should be thankful that we've had some warmer weather and not had a couple of very cold summers like they've had in the US for the past couple of summers. Certainly you didn't hear any farmers complaining about the summer that we've just had. As for a CET record, the climate is nowhere near as warm as it was going back to the Holocene warm period or the medieval warm period between 1000 and 1200 AD when they had agriculture on Greenland (no clue in the name?!) and were growing vines up in northern England - haven't you seen some streets called Vine St or the Vineyard in Northern England. They didn't get named by accident with someone's wild imagination did they?!
Will be good to see you too. Hopefully a certain Watford fan will be able to join us and update us on his ISA. I'll be the one flirting with Nino in the corner if you cant find me.
Yes I hope the Watford fan and his ISA is there too. And I'll ask him how his FTSE 8,000 forecast is going!
Better than your FTSE -8,000 prediction
LOL.
I trust your AGW predictions are going just as well> No Arctic sea ice by 2014, no snow in winter in the UK by now. Global warming of 1.5C worldwide by now to name but a few.
Will be good to see you too. Hopefully a certain Watford fan will be able to join us and update us on his ISA. I'll be the one flirting with Nino in the corner if you cant find me.
Yes I hope the Watford fan and his ISA is there too. And I'll ask him how his FTSE 8,000 forecast is going!
Better than your FTSE -8,000 prediction
LOL.
I trust your AGW predictions are going just as well> No Arctic sea ice by 2014, no snow in winter in the UK by now. Global warming of 1.5C worldwide by now to name but a few.
I never made predictions, especially not about the future.
Will be good to see you too. Hopefully a certain Watford fan will be able to join us and update us on his ISA. I'll be the one flirting with Nino in the corner if you cant find me.
Yes I hope the Watford fan and his ISA is there too. And I'll ask him how his FTSE 8,000 forecast is going!
Better than your FTSE -8,000 prediction
LOL.
I trust your AGW predictions are going just as well> No Arctic sea ice by 2014, no snow in winter in the UK by now. Global warming of 1.5C worldwide by now to name but a few.
You'll find no predictions of the kind from me in any of my posts in over 10 years on pbc!
ITV Meridian: "Fat arse" Reckless comes off the best in the snatched coverage of the latest debate, at the University of Kent. Labour's candidate is solid and she would come second if there was any justice - but she will be beaten by Tolhurst, who's frankly not very good.
Tolhurst's trying to gain traction by being seen to accuse Cameron of being weak on immigration. Her leaflet was sanctioned by Tory HQ though...
The latest leaflet is called "Kelly talks" (lol!) and is designed to look "like a popular woman's magazine, carrying light-hearted interviews with the candidate about her hobbies and favourite television shows."
Will be good to see you too. Hopefully a certain Watford fan will be able to join us and update us on his ISA. I'll be the one flirting with Nino in the corner if you cant find me.
Yes I hope the Watford fan and his ISA is there too. And I'll ask him how his FTSE 8,000 forecast is going!
Better than your FTSE -8,000 prediction
LOL.
I trust your AGW predictions are going just as well> No Arctic sea ice by 2014, no snow in winter in the UK by now. Global warming of 1.5C worldwide by now to name but a few.
You'll find no predictions of the kind from me in any of my posts in over 10 years on pbc!
So you're disowning the predictions of Caroline Lucas, Natalie Bennett et al then?!
Mr Crosby, (good article, by the way) that sounds right. Thorpe was also in possession of a number of telegrams (remember them) from Liberal parties up and down the country (one from me, as an Agent and my candidate) ...... there had been frantic phone calls all over the place ..... pointing out that whoever had won the election, Heath had lost it!
I think there's also a report somewhere that Thorpe was offered the (don't laugh, folks) the post of Home Secretary.
IMHO that was Clegg's big mistake in 2010; Deputy PM is up there with VPOTUS .... sounds good but generally speaking that's been a dead end ..... whereas if Clegg had insisted on one of the Great Offices he'd have had a "real" job.
If we have to have a Coalition after May 7th no doubt lessons will have been learned.
Lesson number one: Never go into a coalition. Lesson number two: See lesson number one.
It's pathetic to think that the LD problem was that Nick Clegg became deputy PM instead of a Cabinet Secretary. Voters don't care, even if Clegg became Archbishop, the LD would still have been destroyed.
If we have a situation - which is not inconceivable - within the next 10 years of:
Conservatives 275 Labour 225 UKIP 100 SNP 20 LibDems 20 Others 10
Then you'll have coalitions whether you like it or not.
I suspect political parties which refused to go into coalitions for reasons of idealogical purity, and therefore caused additional elections, would be treated harshly by the electorate.
So far the only parties that have been treated harshly by the electorate are those who have entered coalitions.
But I still don't hear your solution. If no party has a majority of seats in the house of commons, they can enact no legislation. Do you want constant elections, where we get the same result again and again. If no party has the 325-odd seats, then there will need to be some sort of arrangement. (As happens in councils up and down the country today, and as happens in countries all over the world.)
I would also remind you that there is no correlation at all between "government by coalition" and "bad government" worldwide. (Just as there is no correlation between single party rule and good government.)
"Governor Walker: “To me, I’m not going to run just because of the pundits or anything else like that. The closer you get to something like that the more you realize — and I say this only half jokingly — that you have to be crazy to want to be president. And anyone who has seen pictures of this president or any of the former presidents can see the before and after. No matter how fit, no matter how young they are, they age pretty rapidly when you look at their hair any everything else involved with it. Whether it’s two years, six years or 20 years from now — because I think of Hillary Clinton. I could run 20 years from now and still be about the same age as the former Secretary of State is right now. The only thing I think someone is sane should want to be president, or should run for president not because they want to be or yearn to be, but because they feel called to. Right now, I still feel called to be the governor of the state of Wisconsin, and I’m going to do the best job I can over the next four years.” "
Watch out when the US economy turns down at the beginning of October 2015
I love wonderfully precise forecasts... the US economy will begin to turn down at the beginning of October 2015. Not "late 2015", nor "autumn 2015", nor even "October 2015", but "the beginning of October 2015"...
Comments
I suppose this is bestiality.
#justsaying
It's one thing for the People to have it as a front page, quite another for the Telegraph to do it.
To the shock
Of his c*ck"
W H Auden "The Platonic Blow"
In fact, anyone can bring a case under Church Law, but it is usually to secure an annulment, or taking an over mighty bishop on for closing a church or seizing parish property.
So for the rest of the night, it's goodnight from me.
But as they are only 10% of the country, then they have won when scaled up.
Another victory for the Scots!
My theory at the time was, given a 50% turnout, there would have to be at least 8000 returns for Cons to stand a chance
however, the blogs and papers today were not good reading for Ed.
I think you know full well the point she was making re people who were asset rich but cash poor.
Your other post about the glass of water was typically wide of the mark too.
Some jawdropping stuff; and more to come in part 2, covering race and homosexuality.
http://www.channel4.com/programmes/it-was-alright-in-the-1970s/on-demand/57436-001/
We are quite happy to hammer people who are asset poor and have some savings through things like the £16,000 cap on savings, after which you get not a penny in benefits.
#desperatestrawclutcher
Scotland lost a football match because they lost the Indyref...
@Mr_Eugenides: LOL http://t.co/JjGfFyY2fv
From the long term winter forecasts I've seen for the UK, the first cold snap of the winter should be coming in early December, and we should have some really cold spells for us this winter as well. At the end of October, Siberia had snow cover of 14.1 million km2 which was the highest for a great many years. Some very interesting stuff on how this correlates well with a negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) that produces cold winters for the UK. Can't wait for it all to come and shut up the AGW crowd yet again. The solar cycle 25 website is good reading too for anyone interested: http://sc25.com/
Looks like this cycle isn't going to peak until some point into 2015, and it should lay the basis for 2016-2021 worldwide to be much cooler during the 5-6 year down phase of the 11 year solar cycle.
Does weather have Elliot waves too?
See you Friday?
I think Ed would be better sticking to a left wing agenda.
Otherwise, innocent until proven guilty (or not proven, I suppose).
Not trial by wikipedia, as you seem to think.
Though CI5 recovering a hand grenade from Pamela Stephenson's cleavage was a classic too.
Now if Ed proposed a tax that would and really did hurt him personally then people might take him seriously, but on the other hand even if he did so, no one would take him seriously.. Hes f*cked.
YouGov/Sun poll tonight - Labour lead by two: CON 32%, LAB 34%, LD 7%, UKIP 15%, GRN 6%
Will be there on Friday, can't wait to put a face to your name!
As for the stockmarkets, everything is rather murky to put it mildly right now. The rally off the October 15 lows has been stronger than I expected - 2 or 3 plausible short term scenarios, but nothing that leaps out of the page to be honest. Medium term I'm bullish for the US - think we're going to see 26,000 on the Dow before this rally is done going into late next year. US Dollar needs to correct lower in the next few months, but once we've got that out of the way we should get an enormous crescendo of capital flow into US Dollar assets, and principally the US stock market as its the only game in town right now. Watch out when the US economy turns down at the beginning of October 2015, as its the only thing holding up the world economy right now. No one should be surprised at the dismal failure of Abenomics in Japan with policy right out of Ed Balls' book, but then again their demographics were always going to consign Abenomics to abject failure.
Will be good to see you too. Hopefully a certain Watford fan will be able to join us and update us on his ISA. I'll be the one flirting with Nino in the corner if you cant find me.
They are both him getting spanked by Myleene Klass, but hey...
Central England Temperature is very close to setting a new record high for a calendar year. Strangely I haven't seen the "coldists" mention it since the cold month of March 2013. Funny that.
NBC signed a 3 year deal for $250 million, about $83 million a year. It shows all the games on its various platforms. That sum was triple the previous deal with Fox. It is widely considered that NBC way overpaid to get it.
By contrast ESPN pays the NFL over $110 million PER GAME for Monday Night Football.
Plus ça change!
And a good night to all. Depends where you live. Non-EU immigration might be a concern of people in my neck of the 'on-the-edge-of-the-shires', but it's a general concern which can be safely put on the backburner most of the time, whereas EU migration is of truly elephantine scale.
Now
It appears most of PB will be attending.
» show previous quotes
nice try at spin
however, the blogs and papers today were not good reading for Ed.
I think you know full well the point she was making re people who were asset rich but cash poor.
Your other post about the glass of water was typically wide of the mark too.
Long may rich celebrities squeal about the Mansion tax its £250 per month FFS
Tonights YG shows Myleene bounce!!!
LAB 332 CON 272 LD 18
EICIPM
Very few people know this, but that was the night JohnO ended up in Bournemouth.
I do hope to make the Broxtowe victory party though!
Make sure you add this poll to your spreadsheet.
Greens were on 5%
Fieldwork was 14th to 17th of November.
Sample size was 1,947, off which 1,705 gave a VI.
They've pulled the tables from their site.
I trust your AGW predictions are going just as well> No Arctic sea ice by 2014, no snow in winter in the UK by now. Global warming of 1.5C worldwide by now to name but a few.
Love him or hate him, he's one heck of a politician!
That's the Opinium one? I think that's now recorded for posterity in the wiki list, and I've added it to my list. Thanks for the heads up though.
Buy more tickets.
Tolhurst's trying to gain traction by being seen to accuse Cameron of being weak on immigration. Her leaflet was sanctioned by Tory HQ though...
The latest leaflet is called "Kelly talks" (lol!) and is designed to look "like a popular woman's magazine, carrying light-hearted interviews with the candidate about her hobbies and favourite television shows."
"It carries no references to the Conservative Party..."
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/david-cameron/11238868/Now-Camerons-by-election-candidate-attacks-his-immigration-record.html
CON 34 LAB 31
The YG Named Leader Myleene Klass Bikini Adjustment
CON 37 LAB 28
Saying that, expect crossover Dec 11th/12th, 18th/19th
I would also remind you that there is no correlation at all between "government by coalition" and "bad government" worldwide. (Just as there is no correlation between single party rule and good government.)
Or is he smited from the Liverpool St area
http://fox6now.com/2014/11/16/a-one-on-one-interview-governor-walker-talks-about-his-bald-spot-his-family-and-2016/
"Governor Walker: “To me, I’m not going to run just because of the pundits or anything else like that. The closer you get to something like that the more you realize — and I say this only half jokingly — that you have to be crazy to want to be president. And anyone who has seen pictures of this president or any of the former presidents can see the before and after. No matter how fit, no matter how young they are, they age pretty rapidly when you look at their hair any everything else involved with it. Whether it’s two years, six years or 20 years from now — because I think of Hillary Clinton. I could run 20 years from now and still be about the same age as the former Secretary of State is right now. The only thing I think someone is sane should want to be president, or should run for president not because they want to be or yearn to be, but because they feel called to. Right now, I still feel called to be the governor of the state of Wisconsin, and I’m going to do the best job I can over the next four years.” "
Goodnight.