Categories
Options
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It’s being reported that Salmond will try to make his come-
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It’s being reported that Salmond will try to make his come-back taking on Danny Alexander in Inverness
Interesting. Salmond said to be planning bid to stand in Danny Alexander's seat at GE15 http://t.co/B5ei68uLG5
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
Interesting that Salmond took your advice and decided not to stand in Gordon
I think the correct phrase was, the thrice cursed, despicable human scum, worse than a pig-dog traitor.
UNS is going to look really silly.
1. Decapitation attempts never work
2. The Lib Dems are beyond saving
I suspect #2 will be victorious in this case.
In terms of England haters, I'd put Nigel Owens on a par with David Campese.
However, I wonder if Tory/Lab Unionists will back Danny Alexander, and vote tactically to defeat Alex Salmond for the second time in 8 months.
Just look how unpopular Salmond is, since he quit, the Nats have been surging in the polls
h/t TGOHF
A weasel word (also, anonymous authority) is an informal term[1] for words and phrases aimed at creating an impression that a specific and/or meaningful statement has been made, when in fact only a vague or ambiguous claim has been communicated, enabling the specific meaning to be denied if the statement is challenged. A more formal term is equivocation.
The use of weasel words to avoid making an outright assertion is a synonym to tergiversate.[2] Weasel words can imply meaning far beyond the claim actually being made.[3] Some weasel words may also have the effect of softening the force of a potentially loaded or otherwise controversial statement through some form of understatement, for example using detensifiers such as "somewhat" or "in most respects".[4]
Weasel words can be used in advertising and in political statements, where encouraging the audience to develop a misleading impression of what was said can lead to advantages, at least in the short term (in the longer term, systematic deception is likely to be identified, with a loss of trust in the speaker).
[..]
Examples
"A growing body of evidence..."[14] (Where is the raw data for your review?)
"People say..." (Which people? How do they know?)
"It has been claimed that..." (By whom, where, when?)
"Critics claim..." (Which critics?)
"Clearly..." (As if the premise is undeniably true)
"It stands to reason that..." (Again, as if the premise is undeniably true—see "Clearly" above)
"Questions have been raised..." (Implies a fatal flaw has been discovered)
"I heard that..." (Who told you? Is the source reliable?)
"There is evidence that..." (What evidence? Is the source reliable?)
"Experience shows that..." (Whose experience? What was the experience? How does it demonstrate this?)
"It has been mentioned that..." (Who are these mentioners? Can they be trusted?)
"Popular wisdom has it that..." (Is popular wisdom a test of truth?)
"Commonsense has it/insists that..." (The common sense of whom? Who says so? See "Popular wisdom" above, and "It is known that" below)
"It is known that..." (By whom and by what method is it known?)
"Officially known as..." (By whom, where, when—who says so?)
"It turns out that..." (How does it turn out?¹)
"It was noted that..." (By whom, why, when?)
"Nobody else's product is better than ours." (What is the evidence of this?)
"Studies show..." (what studies?)
"A recent study at a leading university..." (How recent is your study? At what university?)
"(The phenomenon) came to be seen as..." (by whom?)
"Some argue..." (who?)
"Up to sixty percent..." (so, 59%? 50%? 10%?)
"More than seventy percent..." (How many more? 70.01%? 80%? 90%?)
"The vast majority..." (All, more than half—how many?)
Also, I forget if my last haircut was £3.50 or £4. I think the price rose to £4 fairly recently (contemplating buying some clippers and just shaving it all off, to be honest).
Dr. Prasannan, Nishikori seems to be a pretty good player. Murray should beat him, though.
Jacek DOMINIK
Commissioner for Financial Programming and Budget
Jacek Dominik's statement on the revision of member states' gross national income (GNI)
Press conference
Brussels, 27 October 2014
"Let me point out in this respect that the UK will benefit from the UK rebate for the additional payments in 2014."
http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_SPEECH-14-723_en.htm
On this subject can anyone provide an example when UK-EU financial transactions were deemed to have no effect on the UK Rebate ?
But I am more familiar with the Chinese running-dog insult, though a Chinese colleague says it is in fact just dog.
However, he would be one of Labour's best options.
Apparently he didn't actually say that in his spoken statement. There is a "[Check Against Delivery]" phrase at the top - what he said takes precedence over the press release.
And Attlee was said to be a modest man.
"The UK is an honourable country and will always meet its international commitments no matter how painful they can sometimes be. We chose to do this because it is the right thing to do and we cannot ask other people to respect the law if we are unwilling to do so ourselves. Because of the failings of the previous Labour government this country has been presented with a new EU funding requirement. We will pay this new EU funding but we will seek a longer period of payment and a change in EU regulations so that this cannot happen again."
Like Bananaman, he expects it to be delivered to him on a plate
If either of them had Ed's cojones, they would be leader right now.
I think they look at an English Dictionary/Thesaurus and pick out random words.
When Lord Patten was Governor of Hong Kong, some of the Chinese insults were brilliant.
They called him a tango dancer, which makes you think WTF, but in Chinese idioms, Tango Dancer is synonymous with prostitutes.
They also called him "a whore" and "guilty for a thousand years".
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asia-pacific/194682.stm
As Education Secretary he led the attack on Faith Schools. That would kiss goodbye to a whole host of seats in Scotland, NW England plus countless seats elsewhere.
Victoria Prentis [Tony Baldry]: Banbury
Johanna Churchill [David Ruffley]: Bury St Edmunds
Alan Mak [David Willetts]: Havant
Matt Warman [Mark Simmonds]: Boston & Skegness
Rishi Sunak [William Hague]: Richmond (YORKS)
Heidi Allen [Andrew Lansley]: Cambridgeshire South
Explicit decapitation strategies are a poor idea as they're too much of an insiders' game and tend to look bad to local electors. I'm not convinced that someone like Salmond coming to Alexander's constituency to take him on would be well-received. He may still win but I'd be surprised if a local SNP candidate wouldn't do better.
The phrase 'have you got that in writing' comes to mind.
And how much difference is there normally between EU spoken press releases and EU written press releases ?
In any case did he say the Rebate wouldn't apply in his spoken statement or not mention the issue at all ?
If its the former then Osborne may have a case, if its the latter then he doesn't.
Felix, your argument will be considerably enhanced if you can tell us which country or countries will be picking up the tab for the 850,000 which the UK is no longer paying.
Sadly, though, he will not stand. Labour is stuck with Ed.
But now, he sucks more than a hooker that swallowed a Dyson
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/alex-salmond-plots-westminster-return-9847856.html
"It has been speculated that Mr Salmond could stand in Glasgow, where SNP support is growing rapidly, or in Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey, where the SNP is tipped to oust the Lib Dem Cabinet minister Danny Alexander.
But a source close to Mr Salmond said: “He is still contemplating whether to return to Westminster or not. But if he does so, he wants to represent an area where he sat both as an MP and an MSP.”
Mr Salmond hinted at his intentions last month during a speech in his Holyrood constituency. He said: “I’ll always represent the north-east of Scotland.
“I made that clear when I stood down as first minister, I wasn’t giving up on politics. I’ve represented this village as an MP and an MSP.
“This is part of my Scottish Parliamentary constituency, it was part of my Westminster constituency. I’ll always represent the north-east of Scotland.” "
Johnson was essentially humiliated into giving up the Shadow Chancellorship due to not knowing the detail of NI rates. You can be sure that were he to become LotO, he'd face a great deal more detailed questioning of that nature.
Victoria Prentis's website:
http://www.victoriaprentis.co.uk/
This is Wiki's take on it....
Sometimes, the first page of a transcript will have the words "Check Against Delivery" stamped across it, which means that the transcript is not the legal representation of the speech, but rather only the audio delivery is regarded as the official record. This is better explained in the French version of the message – Seul le texte prononcé fait foi, literally "Only the spoken text is faithful".
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transcript_(law)
That Osborne is claiming to have reduced it by half when he hasn't is his problem.
Now what did he say in the spoken statement.
If he said that the Rebate wouldn't apply then Osborne may have a case.
If he didn't then Osborne doesn't.
And if we don't have the spoken statement available then we have to assume the written document is correct.
LIVE EC Midday press briefing of 27/10/2014
http://ec.europa.eu/avservices/video/player.cfm?sitelang=en&ref=I094616
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/2014/11/why-did-george-osborne-spoil-a-genuine-victory-with-spin/
"You don’t need to be an expert on EU law to know the difference between an automatic discount and a negotiated discount. Would anyone step out of a Next new year sale and claim to have negotiated a 50pc discount on a suit? And expect their mates to take them seriously? It’s the same principle."
"So the Chancellor is right to say that there was confusion, not least on the part of the Prime Minister who seemed blindsided by by the £1.7bn bill even though Treasury officials knew for weeks that it was coming. But Osborne was given clarification on the amount yesterday, which is different to any negotiation. He ought not to have conflated the two."
He has the right background story but appears out of his depth in every political position he has held. IIRC he was Environment Secretary at the time of the Yorkshire floods of 2007 and his performance was extremely lacking - Caroline Flint was far more impressive.
Conservatives were second to Libdems or SNP - and, importantly, many thousand votes ahead of the third place candidate, in the following six Scottish seats:
Angus; Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk; Banff and Buchann; Moray; Perth and North Perthshire; West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine.
There are also 28 English & Welsh eats won by the Libdems in 2010, that were Tory before 1997 (or at least after the 1992 general election), in many cases safe Tory and there is no other feasible condender (perhaps UKIP apart):
Solihull, Dorset Mid and Poole North, Wells, St Austell & Newquay, Somerton and Frome, Sutton and Cheam, St Ives, Chippenham, Cheadle, Eastbourne, Taunton Deane, Eastleigh
Torbay, Brecon and Radnorshire, Carshalton and Wallington, Portsmouth South, Kingston and Surbiton, Cambridge, Southport, Thornbury and Yate, Colchester, Hazel Grove, Lewes
Twickenham, Leeds North West, Norfolk North, Westmoreland and Lonsdale &
Sheffield Hallam
If the tories won these 34 seats in 2015 and held their original 307 seats won in 2010 they would have 341 seats.
Majority of 32.
Real majority would be 37 due to Sinn Fein and Squeaker not voting
Majority where DUP abstain 45
Majority where DUP vote with tories 53
If there is Libdem carnage, Labour could win ten tory marginals and there would still be a reasonble Tory majority.
If there is Libdem total carnage, Labour could win twenty Tory marginals and the Tories would still have a majority of one, after SF and Squeaker abstensions and rule with DUP supply and confidence.
Therefore this 2015 election hinges first and foremost on the ability of individual Libdem MPs to massively outpoll the Libdem national voteshare. If they don't its a Tory win - provided they don't lose too many seats to UKIP.
The place to be doing constituency polls is seats like Yeovil and Bath.
The reason I wanted Scotland to remain within the Union was precisely because Scottish Catholic MPs got the measure in 2006 overturned.
In fact, I wonder if the abandonment of Catholics by the Labour Party isn't a major reason for their collapse in Scotland. Perhaps Murphy can reverse that.
Traditionally, Scottish Nationalist surges have been blunted when they've had to move into Catholic areas. No longer, it seems.
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/damian-thompson/2014/09/the-scottish-catholic-bishops-and-the-nationalists-a-scandal-is-coming-to-light/
http://nottingham.tab.co.uk/2014/11/06/lefties-campaign-to-keep-notts-ukip-free/
"A Left-wing strategy meeting called “Keep Notts UKIP Free” at the University of Nottingham descended into hilarious chaos when UKIP turned up to argue back.
They attacked UKIP for being “extreme racists”, “idiots” and “something from 1930s Germany”.
Shreya Paudel said that UKIP “don’t stand for black or brown people” in society and Ruth Smeeth declared that UKIP are “exclusively made up of white men”.
The anger in the room was real but the debate from most people really focussed on “the bankers and the bonuses”, a “crisis in Capitalism” and rather surreally gender neutral toilets.
One notable speech featured a woman who proudly stood up and declared “I am a Lesbian and a Communist”. This was met by rapturous applause from the audience while she continued to spout about the occupy movement.
The UKIPers however could take no more of what the angry room had to say."
Touché! Quite a scrap against the Convicts isn't it!
Which source? Are they reliable?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weasel_word
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weasel_word
So far, Superman is standing in West Aberdeenshire, Inverness and Glasgow.
Student Union political rumpuses are enormous fun, especially when they start impacting the outside world. The goings on in Salford Uni student union in the run up to the 1992 election were hilarious - unless you were involved.
Think you will find a good few Catholics south of the border voting UKIP. Certainly the other three parties offer nothing to people who are pro [sacramental] marriage, pro life and/or pro family. They have made that pretty clear.
Might partly account for Labour coming so close to losing Heywood and Middleton. NW England, historical Lancashire, has the highest proportion of Catholics in the population anyhere in England (which is why that one county has three Dioceses- Salford, Liverpool and Lancaster)
That's karma for the ineptness of Nigels Owens today and in the summer
Concern about mental health facilities and treatment seems to be c keeping up the agenda, as does a rational and sensible approach to drug use.
Unless I missed something (and I was a bit distracted by rugby) there was nothing there which contradicts the written statement.
One thing I did notice is that this seems to be something which happens every year.
If so then it should be possible to discover if the the UK Rebate has previously applied.
If nobody can show otherwise this remains the definitive EU statement on the issue:
"Let me point out in this respect that the UK will benefit from the UK rebate for the additional payments in 2014."
With Osborne being thus a proven liar.
Just saying.
Sadly, I'm just unconvinced there will be a big swing back to any establishment parties pre-election. Maybe some, but success for the LDs would now be holding onto half their votes.
Wales narrowly losing late to Australia has become a bit of a tradition.
Losing by three points flattered us.
However, I'm likely to tip England for the Six Nations.
I tipped Ireland for this year's contest and Wales in 2013.
I'm going to make it a hat-trick. I know it.
So why is the UK suddenly being asked for extra cash?
This is part of an annual process in which the European statistics agency Eurostat uses figures from member states to work out how much they should each be contributing to the EU budget.
It happens every year, and in some previous years I'm told that the UK has received a rebate.
You might not have noticed it in previous years, because the amounts involved have been smaller.
This year, however, the UK has been asked for an additional contribution, which is considerably higher than any other member state.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-29757296
Incidentally, IIRC Greece is also due to make a payment. I've seen SFA about that, or about Cameron (or Osborne) looking to make common cause with them.
And din't Holland just say "them's the rules. Bother!" Or something like that?
Relying on QPR now to go ahead against Man City to recoup my losses.