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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Betfair sees £2m of matched IndyRef bets in just 36 hours a
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Betfair sees £2m of matched IndyRef bets in just 36 hours as the polls continue to move up and down
The IndyRef is proving to be one of the biggest UK political betting events of all time with a colossal £2m. being matched on Betfair alone since mid-afternoon on Wednesday.
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"Woo hoo! Bloody nervous about this referendum. "
Chill Bro' History teaches us one great truth..... no matter which way we head we are going to get "rodgered".
So, what is the common denominator between ALL abuse cases that were never investigated at the time?
If we get blinded by one issue, and lose sight of bigger picture, we not only fail the 1400 in Rotherham, we fail ALL the abused children.
http://www.skegnessstandard.co.uk/news/local/ukip-delays-boston-and-skegness-hustings-to-focus-on-clacton-by-election-1-6279914
“I find it extremely distasteful that they have put party politics above respect of Jim Dobbin,” said Deputy Leader Paul Nuttall.
“He was a hard working MP who only died at the weekend and the normal protocol is not to call a by-election to until the funeral."
http://www.itv.com/news/granada/2014-09-10/ukip-accuses-labour-of-shoddy-politics-over-heywood-middleton-by-election-date/
Royal Bank of Scotland and Lloyds Banking Group will move their operations south of the border if Scotland votes for independence next week, it emerged on Wednesday night.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/11088643/RBS-and-Lloyds-will-leave-Scotland-if-it-votes-for-independence.html
I wonder what else people haven't been "bluffing" about?
The UK should be pushing Scotland towards leaving while the going is good. It feels like Westminster's appeasement of nationalists has started the steady march towards full fiscal autonomy for Scotland, something which is hugely advantageous for Scotland but has numerous downsides and very little upside for the UK. Being a country should mean more than acting as a central bank and lender of last resort for a quasi-independent small nation with an oversized banking sector.
Catching up on last night’s thread, was great to see so many lurkers come in from the cold, may I just add my welcome and hope you continue to post after the 18th.
twitter.com/RochdaleCouncil/status/508603396979703808
THE rising likelihood that Scotland will secede from Britain is increasing the uncertainty surrounding National Australia Bank, because a yes vote is expected to push bad debt charges higher and to close the door on an imminent sale of its troubled British operations.
After a poll at the weekend put the pro-independence vote ahead for the first time this year, Credit Suisse’s Sydney-based analysts told clients the heightened uncertainty pointed to “downside share price risks”.
NAB shares fell 0.51 per cent to $34.66 in a soft broader market. Ahead of the vote on September 18, a YouGov survey found 51 per cent support for independence.
NAB chief Andrew Thorburn last month warned of “significant additional costs and risks” for the bank’s British subsidiary, Clydesdale Bank, if the secession vote succeeded. Clydesdale, founded in Glasgow and bought by NAB in 1987, has about 300 branches in Scotland......
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/scottish-uncertainty-threatens-nabs-clydesdale-sale-hopes/story-e6frg8zx-1227051906360?nk=2bc5c8cec94e068e878f1d745bb646fc
First Minister comes off worse in Mumsnet session with Alistair Darling
"If I see the word 'scaremongering' used on more time in response to people's honest and very real worries I will throw a hissy fit my children would be proud of," another user said. "'m so utterly sick of it."
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scotland/scottish-politics/11088278/Patronising-Salmond-feels-Mumsnet-backlash.html
Cameron: 35 (-1)
Miliband: 21 (+2)
http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/jq66ag4rzk/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-100914.pdf
Comical Ally.
Money's not shifting, banks aren't leaving, oil will never run out, there'll be a CU.........
The man's deluded.
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/benrileysmith/100285940/scotland-decides-8-days-left-salmond-denies-money-is-being-shifted-from-scotland/
Mumsnet didn't let him get far with his "scaremongering"....
Labour voters could break up the Union, admits Ed Miliband
Comments are an admission that Labour supporters shifting their backing into the Yes camp could result in Scotland leaving the Union after 300 years
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/11088032/Labour-voters-could-break-up-the-Union-admits-Ed-Miliband.html
The banks, financial services and insurance companies confirmed that they would move a major part of their operations, assets and jobs to rUK and most likely England.
The oil companies confirmed the Wood report of the declining oil availability and rising cost of extraction.
Thus having seen Salmond's economic bubble well and truly pricked, in a week's time will the Scots vote with their hearts or their heads?
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/11/world/europe/separatists-around-the-world-draw-inspiration-from-scotland.html?_r=0
I very much doubt it is. With a Yes vote the Scottish accent is about to become toxic to many within rUK It won't be the reassuring accent banks like to use. I can see some of the least expected items moving South of the border fairly quickly..
According to Chirantan Barua, an analyst at Bernstein, it could cost RBS and Lloyds £1bn each to move their operations.
However, with around 4pc of RBS’s retail and small business loan book with Scottish consumers and firms, and around 6pc of Lloyds’, they may feel it is worth the expense.
As usual you use the divisive language of the nationalist - why is pointing out a threat to Scottish jobs "decrying Scotland" - you're the one standing idly by as Salmond's fantasy wrecks people's lives.
Source?
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2751297/The-things-missing-red-rose-box-Milk-Tray-QUENTIN-LETTS-Dave-s-unscripted-Edinburgh-love-in.html#ixzz3Cz15eoNW
The chicken hearted tossers on here are pathetic cretins scared of their own shadows.
We will have banks and hopefully better than the current crop of crap.
read and weep...............http://www.mumsnet.com/politics/mumsnetters-on-scottish-referendum
I've no idea if there are enough people in Scotland who feel like that to outweigh those who want banks to keep on being based in Scotland, but it is a factor that may be worth considering.
@BBCNormanS: I am more confident than I have ever been about securing a Yes vote - @AlexSalmond speech today
Strangely not mentioned by the Telegraph.
Unlike my trading position in those annuity providers.... that's touching 4k down again...
Ooops.... Come on Yvette!
Oh, and you know your tweet about Scottish Company shares recovering?
Three out of the four have confirmed moving to England.
Any more stock tips?
Yeah, that's definitely why they didn't mention it. A poll specifically taken with Scottish users v. a UK wide webchat, no doubts about which one the senescent screechers & the Telegraph are going to leap upon.
I'll report back to you on how Cameron's tiny carrot and big businesses' coordinated stick is going down on the doorsteps of Baillieston this afternoon.
Yep, looks like he's organising a sell off of SL and there isn't any one in Scotland who could buy it. India or China or both maybe? That would mean control of several hundred billions of assets from Scotland plus a major loss of tax revenue disappearing from Swinney's budget plans
Some one really does not have much confidence in Eckland.
As for being a "crap company", the efficiency of the systems and skill levels of the staff are, I believe, amongst the highest in the UK. True, staff there have been under intense pressure due mostly by non replacement of leavers and redundancy, and misplaced attempts at cost cutting by middle management, but that sort of crap is endemic in a lot of UK companies to a greater or lesser extent.
And as for gongs, while previously being head of SL has meant being Knighted was part of the job description package, Nish seems to be not so bothered.
RBS confirms plan to move HQ to England after an #indyref 'yes', while retaining 'significant level of operations + jobs in Scotland'
Some interesting comments on Scotgoespop about the Survation polls - and in particular their weighting of the high No result in youngsters of 16 and 17 which I see is contrary to other recent polls.
And I see Mr Galloway has changed his story about not getting on BBC QT - it's no longer the nasty nats but the BBC banning him cos he's not elected for any Scottish constituency, not entirely surprisingly for such an event.
http://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/referendum-news/row-over-george-galloway-slot-on-question-time.1410378979
The 2010VI LD's retention of 24% matches the lowest of this year at the end of May. It is quite contrary to the results of recent YG polls.
Sturgeon wouldn't have been able to handle Galloway, so she vetoed him. Pathetic.
Bobajob FPT: Andrew Rosindell and I at the Tory conference are talking about whether it's possible to end animal testing on cats and dogs. Cats are rarely used now, but feature in unpleasant vision tests (kittens' eyes sewn up from birth etc.) with no obvious relevance to humans. Dogs are mainly used as a re-test of chemical safety for substances already tested on mice (the legislation specifies you've got to test on two species), but new research shows that no additional safety information is provided by the retest, so essentially everyone is wasting time, money and dogs.
Old regulations tend to linger on long after the research has changed the picture, so it's the job of NGOs like mine to say, "Oi, there's new information, time to review the policy". Andrew Rosindell is vey helpful on animal issues, even if our views on Europe, say, might not totally coincide.
Yesterday you were crowing how we could not bail them out now you are lumbered with them. Try and get some consistency in your scary stories.
As I have said before do not ask Scots to choose between head and heart. BT must hammer home in this week how much they love their country. Personally, I think Cameron can do this better than anyone else but it is for Labour to remind their supporters what we have achieved and can still achieve as a United Kingdom. If they restrict themselves to the head this will be dangerously close.
Cameron is a fake.
I guess the
Sheffield Rallyvictory party didn't go so well...He said: "The debate has clearly become very, very fractious. As a businessman it is not my place to tell Scottish voters how to vote in next week's referendum.
"But I will say two things.
"From a business perspective there will be economic consequences to a Yes vote, not just in uncertainty but some of the turmoil we are hearing about. And it is also the case that it does cost more money to trade in parts of Scotland and therefore those hard costs, in the event of a Yes vote, are more likely to be passed on."
BBC Ticker - c. 8.07.
But the big picture is this: no one other than Yougov who have made a truly embarrassing mess of their polling on Sindy, going from one extreme to the other in a very short time, is picking up any major movement to Yes (so far).
The picture remains far more stable than Yougov sought to paint it. My guess is that the next Yougov will show No back with a small lead and there is a hint from James that he expects the same but I totally agree with him that nerves are being shredded on this and the quality of polling available is truly awful.
What do we want? ICM. When do we want it? Now.