Dr. Prasannan, Rome was inherently stronger than Carthage because of its superior political structure. If Caesar had never been born the republic/empire would have continued for a long time anyway.
It's true Caesar's name found its way into various languages. But then, Caesar wrote his own history, and it was in Augustus' interest to make his uncle appear as splendid as possible.
Scipio Africanus, Camillus, Aurelian, all have better claims to greatness.
Mr. Llama, whereas the sign of true victory is when your own side stab you several dozen times?
Mr Dancer, is it not true that the Roman civilisation long outlived Caesar, and that his name (with spelling variations) even found its way into modern German and Russian?
Yes, Tsar, Kaiser and even Shah are apparently corruptions of Caesar.
Mr. Jim, to be fair Kaiser is the same (from Latin) pronunciation. Not heard of Shah before, but unusual derivations do occur. Apparently Blighty is originally derived from Arabic, and admiral comes from emir.
Mr. Jim, Caesar had an unfair advantage. Hannibal could not notice somebody more capable than himself because there wasn't anyone.
It wouldn't have been immediately obvious that Octavian was talented and his main talent was in employing Agrippa. I'm not a huge fan of Caesar because he buggered things up quite often and wasn't particularly tactically innovative. His main skill was in political rather than military strategy.
Mr. Jim, to be fair Kaiser is the same (from Latin) pronunciation. Not heard of Shah before, but unusual derivations do occur. Apparently Blighty is originally derived from Arabic, and admiral comes from emir.
Mr. Jim, I think that's a sound analysis. Read Theodore Dodge's books? [Probably mentioned this umpteen times, but if you seek them out try and make sure you don't end up with an abridged version, which they seem to have started releasing].
Mr. Jim, I sometimes find interesting snippets researching (no, really) for my books. Did you know bats used to be called flittermice, and in most languages have a mouse-related name?
Staggeringly, I learnt about the fourth and fifth (time and space) from a Sonic the Hedgehog book, when I was about 7. I also learnt (same series, different book) about transmogrification.
Oh, gosh. This really isn't the place for it as there is not the time nor space to discuss a multidimensional view of the world as expressed in a mathematics. If you really want to start to explore the wonderful world of multi-dimensional mathematics then an author like Ian Stewart is your man (he is very good at taking complex mathematical ideas and explaining them in the terms a layman can, with a bit of effort, cope with. Actually looking at my maths shelves may be Ivar's Peterson's "The Mathematical Tourist" might do you best as a primer. * A quick check to conform memory * Yes Peterson does have a whole chapter (number 4) to take the reader by the hand a guide him or her through the process of thinking from two to multiple dimensions (including a diagram of the internals of a hypersphere, as best they can represented in print). The book is a bit old now (1988) so I don't know if it is still in print.
Mr. Llama, alas, I just don't have the time for such a diversion. Trying to write a novel, a comedy and two short stories (with two more on waiting lists for anthologies). Plus, when I finish my current book I want to try and make some progress with Shakespeare.
Mr. Jim, to be fair Kaiser is the same (from Latin) pronunciation. Not heard of Shah before, but unusual derivations do occur. Apparently Blighty is originally derived from Arabic, and admiral comes from emir.
Points on the Con?LD marginals poll. 1.The swing LD to CON across the 17 seats was at 3.5% very close to the national swing on the of 4% on last national Ashcroft poll.
2.Applying a 4% LD to Con swing to the 2010 results in the 17 seats would produce all LD losses.So the marginals poll is better than that for the LD' with 3 seats retained
3.Whilst UNS will not pick up variation in results by seats it does I believe work on an overall basis work on average overall basis in terms of seat numbers.
4.For forecasts of GE results in 2015 the key issues are how much of the UKIP vote goes back to the Tories and how much will the LD,s add over the next year.If both increase then a 4% wing from LD to CON may be GE swing as well.
5.The likelihood is that the Lib Dems will do slightly worse in terms of seats than UNS becosse of retiring MP,s and University seat backlashes in seats above the 4% swing level.
Mr. Jim, to be fair Kaiser is the same (from Latin) pronunciation. Not heard of Shah before, but unusual derivations do occur. Apparently Blighty is originally derived from Arabic, and admiral comes from emir.
Blighty comes from an Urdu word vilayati meaning foreign or British
Mr. Jim, I sometimes find interesting snippets researching (no, really) for my books. Did you know bats used to be called flittermice, and in most languages have a mouse-related name?
Indeed hence the name of the Strauss operetta Der Fledermaus
Bah, everyone knows Caesar's opponents knew they had to stab in him in the back (and front) because they knew they could never defeat him on the battlefield.
They knew Caesar wouldn't lead them to an epochal defeat like Zama and make it him easier to depose.
Hannibal was so inept, they came up the phrase Carthaginian Peace to describe his rubbishness
It was meant to be cost-saving, but some feared it would actually harm small teams, who can shove in a pay driver in P1 without losing too much and gaining some cash.
Mr. Eagles, Dyrrachium springs to mind. Caesar managed to lead veterans in a failed attack on freshly raised legions.
Hannibal marauded around Italy in a decade of undefeated menace. Those who managed to equal (and, once, best) him were of the highest order: Marcellus, Nero, Scipio Africanus. Who did Caesar defeat? A Gallic barbarian and an old man so predictable Caesar knew to throw out a fourth line to see off the inevitable cavalry charge (and this *after* Caesar had managed to lose at Dyrrachium).
Mr. Pubgoer, Dr. Prasannan, ah, I'd heard it was Arabic. I do apologise to India.
Well, there's 'bint' - from service in Egypt I assume. I thought it was only army slang, so was surprised when I heard a West Midlands teenager use the word ca. 1974 ... though I would not risk using it today lest it be misunderstood. As well as more learned words like algebra, alcohol ...
Bah, everyone knows Caesar's opponents knew they had to stab in him in the back (and front) because they knew they could never defeat him on the battlefield.
They knew Caesar wouldn't lead them to an epochal defeat like Zama and make it him easier to depose.
Hannibal was so inept, they came up the phrase Carthaginian Peace to describe his rubbishness
Caesar wasn't brilliant though, mostly he won through luck or sheer brute determination. Was pretty orthodox tactically. Plus he was monumentally vain, hence he used everything to disguise his baldness.
Mr. Eagles, Dyrrachium springs to mind. Caesar managed to lead veterans in a failed attack on freshly raised legions.
Hannibal marauded around Italy in a decade of undefeated menace. Those who managed to equal (and, once, best) him were of the highest order: Marcellus, Nero, Scipio Africanus. Who did Caesar defeat? A Gallic barbarian and an old man so predictable Caesar knew to throw out a fourth line to see off the inevitable cavalry charge (and this *after* Caesar had managed to lose at Dyrrachium).
A minor setback, Caesar may have lost the battle but he won the war, tell me how did the Second Punic War turn out?
"1632 Isis has seized a chemical weapons facility built by Saddam Hussein which contains a stockpile of old weapons, State Department officials have told the Wall Street Journal"
Is this the WMD Saddam didn't have and couldn't be found when we invaded?!?
It looks very much that the US military knew of this cache of chemical weapons and where it was stored. If they were so worried about this stuff ( a form of Sarin gas I believe) why the hell didn't they destroy the stuff when they had the chance?
The more one scrutinises US mideast policy the more one want's to throw up!
Another good reason for UK to stay with the EU rather than becoming involved with some mid-Atlantic grouping, governed by the US!
I don't think one is obliged to ally oneself with anyone.
Switzerland and Norway seem to have done OK with policies of studied neutrality.
Norway got invaded by the Nazis did they not?
I regard the policy of neutrality by countries like Norway, Switzerland and Ireland at times in the past to be one of rank selfishness. All it takes for evil to prosper is for good men to do nothing.
Presumably, the Germans and the Italians and the Japanese and the Finns - all of whom have been essentially neutral since WW2 - are equally guilty.
Remind me: did our intervention in Iraq help make the locals better or worse off?
Worse off. Remind me: is it logically sensible to base our entire foreign policy on the lessons drawn from one situation?
It's like someone goes for runs on a regular basis, but once they tripped and hurt themselves, so they decide going for runs is a bad idea to do any more. Interventions in WW2, Malaya, Korea, Bosnia, Kosovo, Sierra Leone, Libya, even Afghanistan, all improved the situation for the locals.
Mr. Jim, Caesar was monumentally fortunate, as was Alexander. Determination's a good asset, though. and you're quite right about him being vain. Some say he invented the combover.
Mr. Eagles, it left Hannibal as leader of Carthage. Caesar's civil war (after harming his own side a lot) left him dead.
New disability benefit 'failing' The new disability benefit is helping fewer people get jobs, while its rising cost is one of the largest financial risks facing the UK, an internal government document says.
In the write up...
The new disability benefit is helping fewer people get jobs, while its rising cost is a big financial risk for the UK, an internal government memo says.
The memo, obtained by the BBC, says the Department for Work and Pensions is struggling to deliver employment support allowance (ESA).
ESA was introduced in 2008 to replace incapacity benefit.
New disability benefit 'failing' The new disability benefit is helping fewer people get jobs, while its rising cost is one of the largest financial risks facing the UK, an internal government document says.
In the write up...
The new disability benefit is helping fewer people get jobs, while its rising cost is a big financial risk for the UK, an internal government memo says.
The memo, obtained by the BBC, says the Department for Work and Pensions is struggling to deliver employment support allowance (ESA).
ESA was introduced in 2008 to replace incapacity benefit.
"Well, in general, the prices of bonds and shares are very high and volatility is low. Which implies that investors have become a little myopic, a little unconscious of economic reality.
And as Haldane says, this is eerily reminiscent of conditions before the great Crash of 2007-08."
Nice to see at least someone agrees with me, about certain parts of our economy.
Mr. Jim, Caesar was monumentally fortunate, as was Alexander. Determination's a good asset, though. and you're quite right about him being vain. Some say he invented the combover.
Mr. Eagles, it left Hannibal as leader of Carthage. Caesar's civil war (after harming his own side a lot) left him dead.
Caesar's leadership benefited the citizens of Rome, Hannibal's leadership benefited the people of Carthage as much Grand Moff Tarkin's command of the first Death Star benefited the empire.
It was heavily revised and increased in scope by the "coalition", as well you know. For all intents and purposes only the name remains the same. Remember all the cheering on here at the time?
Mr. Jim, Caesar was monumentally fortunate, as was Alexander. Determination's a good asset, though. and you're quite right about him being vain. Some say he invented the combover.
Mr. Eagles, it left Hannibal as leader of Carthage. Caesar's civil war (after harming his own side a lot) left him dead.
Alexander fortunate? Give me a break. You don't conquer beyond the edge of the known world on luck.
Mr. Eagles, just as Grand Moff Tarkin was hamstrung by the idiot designers of the Death Star, so Hannibal was hamstrung by the Hanno/Peace Party in Carthage.
Caesar's leadership left quite a lot of Roman citizens, including himself, dead. At least Hannibal made war on another city-state, rather than his own.
Mr. Smarmeron, if we assume that's accurate, it's a legitimate point, but to claim the ESA is new is not.
Mr. Eagles, just as Grand Moff Tarkin was hamstrung by the idiot designers of the Death Star, so Hannibal was hamstrung by the Hanno/Peace Party in Carthage.
Caesar's leadership left quite a lot of Roman citizens, including himself, dead. At least Hannibal made war on another city-state, rather than his own.
Mr. Smarmeron, if we assume that's accurate, it's a legitimate point, but to claim the ESA is new is not.
Remind me of the chap, who in his manifest pledges to build a fleet of idiotically designed Death Stars?
Mr. Socrates, I'm not arguing Alexander was other than fantastic. I'm saying that he was also fortunate. In his earliest days as king, when reasserting himself over those his father had subjugated and wished to break free from Macedon, he found himself in a very tricky situation and a combination of quick-wittedness and fortune saved him*. Later, he was shot in the lung, assailed on all sides by an angry garrison and defended by just two men (the scaling ladders had been over-burdened and snapped, temporarily isolating the king and his two friends). He survived that.
Alexander's the greatest of ancient generals. I'm not having a go at him at all, just stating that he was fortunate as well as incredibly clever and hard-working.
*I forget precisely who he was fighting, but he could not approach because of lack of skirmishers, I think, whereas his enemy had a large number. So, he made the army go through drills for a very long time, then suddenly commanded them to attack. The enemy had been watching them for hours, was half asleep, and suddenly found itself being charged.
When is the next JackW ARSE projection? I thought it was Thurs 9am?
He shat himself this morning
Please, please , please will someone tell me when JackW's forecast was last posted.
I have searched both threads today in full and can't find it. I'm quite busy and don't have hours to spend more time looking.
I don't want a joke answer - I just want a simple answer - what time and on what day was it last posted.
Thanks a lot.
The latest ARSE 2015 GE and first "JackW Dozen" projection was published last Tuesday - 12th June at 9:00am
As indicated previously these projections will now normally be published fortnightly on a Tuesday until the New Year. Accordingly the next projections will be next Tuesday.
Mr. Eagles, just as Grand Moff Tarkin was hamstrung by the idiot designers of the Death Star, so Hannibal was hamstrung by the Hanno/Peace Party in Carthage.
Caesar's leadership left quite a lot of Roman citizens, including himself, dead. At least Hannibal made war on another city-state, rather than his own.
Mr. Smarmeron, if we assume that's accurate, it's a legitimate point, but to claim the ESA is new is not.
Remind me of the chap, who in his manifest pledges to build a fleet of idiotically designed Death Stars?
Mr. Socrates, I'm not arguing Alexander was other than fantastic. I'm saying that he was also fortunate. In his earliest days as king, when reasserting himself over those his father had subjugated and wished to break free from Macedon, he found himself in a very tricky situation and a combination of quick-wittedness and fortune saved him*. Later, he was shot in the lung, assailed on all sides by an angry garrison and defended by just two men (the scaling ladders had been over-burdened and snapped, temporarily isolating the king and his two friends). He survived that.
Alexander's the greatest of ancient generals. I'm not having a go at him at all, just stating that he was fortunate as well as incredibly clever and hard-working.
*I forget precisely who he was fighting, but he could not approach because of lack of skirmishers, I think, whereas his enemy had a large number. So, he made the army go through drills for a very long time, then suddenly commanded them to attack. The enemy had been watching them for hours, was half asleep, and suddenly found itself being charged.
One wonders how far he would have got had he recovered from typhoid/malaria/whatever it was and had another twenty years. Conquered Arabia and half the Med presumably.
Mr. Jim, Caesar was monumentally fortunate, as was Alexander. Determination's a good asset, though. and you're quite right about him being vain. Some say he invented the combover.
Mr. Eagles, it left Hannibal as leader of Carthage. Caesar's civil war (after harming his own side a lot) left him dead.
Alexander fortunate? Give me a break. You don't conquer beyond the edge of the known world on luck.
All generals need luck, or more accurately they need determination to overcome their bad luck.
"BBC Breaking News @bbcbreaking UK Deputy PM Nick Clegg says MP Mike Hancock will be expelled from Lib Dems after "inappropriate" friendship with female constituent"
"BBC Breaking News @bbcbreaking UK Deputy PM Nick Clegg says MP Mike Hancock will be expelled from Lib Dems after "inappropriate" friendship with female constituent"
I thought Mark Senior said it wasn't within Clegg's authority to expel Hanky Panky?
"BBC Breaking News @bbcbreaking UK Deputy PM Nick Clegg says MP Mike Hancock will be expelled from Lib Dems after "inappropriate" friendship with female constituent"
But Mark Senior told us earlier that this wasnt possible!
Now what about Rennard - how's that investigation going?
"BBC Breaking News @bbcbreaking UK Deputy PM Nick Clegg says MP Mike Hancock will be expelled from Lib Dems after "inappropriate" friendship with female constituent"
I thought Mark Senior said it wasn't within Clegg's authority to expel Hanky Panky?
It is not , there are procedures that have to be gone through ,
"1632 Isis has seized a chemical weapons facility built by Saddam Hussein which contains a stockpile of old weapons, State Department officials have told the Wall Street Journal"
Is this the WMD Saddam didn't have and couldn't be found when we invaded?!?
It looks very much that the US military knew of this cache of chemical weapons and where it was stored. If they were so worried about this stuff ( a form of Sarin gas I believe) why the hell didn't they destroy the stuff when they had the chance?
The more one scrutinises US mideast policy the more one want's to throw up!
You are avoiding Tory Jim's point. We were told there were no chemical weapons after a search by UN weapons inspectors. If the US knew about them I think it highly unlikly they would keep it secret given the heat they took. Either there really were WMD or this story about them now being captured is a load of bull
Alex Salmond has been urged to come clean about a report written by one of his most senior mandarins about a separate Scotland’s start-up costs.
The First Minister attacked as “nonsense” a Telegraph article that his civil servants have drawn up a rush report on the issue in the wake of a furore over his refusal to produce any costs before the referendum.
But this newspaper can disclose that a document on creating a separate Scotland was submitted to him this month by Don McGillivray, deputy director of the Scottish Government's elections and constitution division.
"1632 Isis has seized a chemical weapons facility built by Saddam Hussein which contains a stockpile of old weapons, State Department officials have told the Wall Street Journal"
Is this the WMD Saddam didn't have and couldn't be found when we invaded?!?
It looks very much that the US military knew of this cache of chemical weapons and where it was stored. If they were so worried about this stuff ( a form of Sarin gas I believe) why the hell didn't they destroy the stuff when they had the chance?
The more one scrutinises US mideast policy the more one want's to throw up!
Another good reason for UK to stay with the EU rather than becoming involved with some mid-Atlantic grouping, governed by the US!
I don't think one is obliged to ally oneself with anyone.
Switzerland and Norway seem to have done OK with policies of studied neutrality.
Norway got invaded by the Nazis did they not?
I regard the policy of neutrality by countries like Norway, Switzerland and Ireland at times in the past to be one of rank selfishness. All it takes for evil to prosper is for good men to do nothing.
Presumably, the Germans and the Italians and the Japanese and the Finns - all of whom have been essentially neutral since WW2 - are equally guilty.
Remind me: did our intervention in Iraq help make the locals better or worse off?
Worse off. Remind me: is it logically sensible to base our entire foreign policy on the lessons drawn from one situation?
It's like someone goes for runs on a regular basis, but once they tripped and hurt themselves, so they decide going for runs is a bad idea to do any more. Interventions in WW2, Malaya, Korea, Bosnia, Kosovo, Sierra Leone, Libya, even Afghanistan, all improved the situation for the locals.
Highly debateable, especially Yugoslavia, but they all left Britain worse.
A by-election in Portsmouth South this autumn would be a fun teaser trailer for the general election...
What are the chances of Hancock doing the honourable thing? Pretty slim I would have thought.
Probably.
Though if he hates Clegg enough it's just possible he might resign his seat to force Clegg to endure another electoral drubbing?
Clegg has done everything he can to keep Hancock in parliament, so there is no reason for hatred. Hancock is going to remain an MP until the judge says so, if it goes to a judge that is ( again, Clegg is doing everything he can not to).
"1632 Isis has seized a chemical weapons facility built by Saddam Hussein which contains a stockpile of old weapons, State Department officials have told the Wall Street Journal"
Is this the WMD Saddam didn't have and couldn't be found when we invaded?!?
It looks very much that the US military knew of this cache of chemical weapons and where it was stored. If they were so worried about this stuff ( a form of Sarin gas I believe) why the hell didn't they destroy the stuff when they had the chance?
The more one scrutinises US mideast policy the more one want's to throw up!
You are avoiding Tory Jim's point. We were told there were no chemical weapons after a search by UN weapons inspectors. If the US knew about them I think it highly unlikly they would keep it secret given the heat they took. Either there really were WMD or this story about them now being captured is a load of bull
"1632 Isis has seized a chemical weapons facility built by Saddam Hussein which contains a stockpile of old weapons, State Department officials have told the Wall Street Journal"
Is this the WMD Saddam didn't have and couldn't be found when we invaded?!?
It looks very much that the US military knew of this cache of chemical weapons and where it was stored. If they were so worried about this stuff ( a form of Sarin gas I believe) why the hell didn't they destroy the stuff when they had the chance?
The more one scrutinises US mideast policy the more one want's to throw up!
You are avoiding Tory Jim's point. We were told there were no chemical weapons after a search by UN weapons inspectors. If the US knew about them I think it highly unlikly they would keep it secret given the heat they took. Either there really were WMD or this story about them now being captured is a load of bull
Mr. Eagles, Dyrrachium springs to mind. Caesar managed to lead veterans in a failed attack on freshly raised legions.
Hannibal marauded around Italy in a decade of undefeated menace. Those who managed to equal (and, once, best) him were of the highest order: Marcellus, Nero, Scipio Africanus. Who did Caesar defeat? A Gallic barbarian and an old man so predictable Caesar knew to throw out a fourth line to see off the inevitable cavalry charge (and this *after* Caesar had managed to lose at Dyrrachium).
I'd rate Caesar's uncle, Gaius Marius, as the better general. The Cimbri and Teutones, and the Italian Allies in the Social War, were far more formidable opponents than any that Caesar faced.
I'm not sure if I should laugh or be worried at Britain First
I would be worried. [Edit : or rather I am worried]. They have a social media campaign that is frankly second to none and better than anything I have ever seen from any political organisation of any stripe. They have been able to hijack all manner of good causes including veterans campaigns, the DD celebrations and animal welfare issues and use them to gain money and support. They make sure that nothing goes on FB that could initially reveal their BNP links and agenda and many people share and repost their stuff without realising who they are.
Given the true nature of Britain First it is quite frightening that they have been able to appear respectable for so long.
"1632 Isis has seized a chemical weapons facility built by Saddam Hussein which contains a stockpile of old weapons, State Department officials have told the Wall Street Journal"
Is this the WMD Saddam didn't have and couldn't be found when we invaded?!?
It looks very much that the US military knew of this cache of chemical weapons and where it was stored. If they were so worried about this stuff ( a form of Sarin gas I believe) why the hell didn't they destroy the stuff when they had the chance?
The more one scrutinises US mideast policy the more one want's to throw up!
You are avoiding Tory Jim's point. We were told there were no chemical weapons after a search by UN weapons inspectors. If the US knew about them I think it highly unlikly they would keep it secret given the heat they took. Either there really were WMD or this story about them now being captured is a load of bull
It wasn't left behind by the US forces was it?
Underlines the fact that Bush & co lied and lied right through the run up to the War, during the War and after it.
A by-election in Portsmouth South this autumn would be a fun teaser trailer for the general election...
Not really, the electorate is very very young there, a quarter of voters there are students, half under the age of 35, only 1 in 7 are over 65. This is not a UKIP or Tory friendly seat despite the military base.
Mr. Socrates, I'm not arguing Alexander was other than fantastic. I'm saying that he was also fortunate. In his earliest days as king, when reasserting himself over those his father had subjugated and wished to break free from Macedon, he found himself in a very tricky situation and a combination of quick-wittedness and fortune saved him*. Later, he was shot in the lung, assailed on all sides by an angry garrison and defended by just two men (the scaling ladders had been over-burdened and snapped, temporarily isolating the king and his two friends). He survived that.
Alexander's the greatest of ancient generals. I'm not having a go at him at all, just stating that he was fortunate as well as incredibly clever and hard-working.
*I forget precisely who he was fighting, but he could not approach because of lack of skirmishers, I think, whereas his enemy had a large number. So, he made the army go through drills for a very long time, then suddenly commanded them to attack. The enemy had been watching them for hours, was half asleep, and suddenly found itself being charged.
One wonders how far he would have got had he recovered from typhoid/malaria/whatever it was and had another twenty years. Conquered Arabia and half the Med presumably.
Alexander was in a league of his own, as a general, but had no political skills. His subordinates so feared and hated them that they very likely poisoned him.
Mr. Jim, Caesar was monumentally fortunate, as was Alexander. Determination's a good asset, though. and you're quite right about him being vain. Some say he invented the combover.
Mr. Eagles, it left Hannibal as leader of Carthage. Caesar's civil war (after harming his own side a lot) left him dead.
Alexander fortunate? Give me a break. You don't conquer beyond the edge of the known world on luck.
He certainly was fortunate. Cleitus saved him from certain death at the Granicus.
Conversely, there have been outstanding generals, who got cut down by a stray bullet or knife, who were betrayed, or assassinated.
When is the next JackW ARSE projection? I thought it was Thurs 9am?
He shat himself this morning
Please, please , please will someone tell me when JackW's forecast was last posted.
I have searched both threads today in full and can't find it. I'm quite busy and don't have hours to spend more time looking.
I don't want a joke answer - I just want a simple answer - what time and on what day was it last posted.
Thanks a lot.
The latest ARSE 2015 GE and first "JackW Dozen" projection was published last Tuesday - 12th June at 9:00am
As indicated previously these projections will now normally be published fortnightly on a Tuesday until the New Year. Accordingly the next projections will be next Tuesday.
Many thanks JackW - though today is Thurs 19 June so Tuesday could not have been 12th June.
I'm not sure if I should laugh or be worried at Britain First
I would be worried. [Edit : or rather I am worried]. They have a social media campaign that is frankly second to none and better than anything I have ever seen from any political organisation of any stripe. They have been able to hijack all manner of good causes including veterans campaigns, the DD celebrations and animal welfare issues and use them to gain money and support. They make sure that nothing goes on FB that could initially reveal their BNP links and agenda and many people share and repost their stuff without realising who they are.
Given the true nature of Britain First it is quite frightening that they have been able to appear respectable for so long.
Indeed, I am frequently surprised by some of my (often quite lefty) friends that share Britain First Facebook posts.
When is the next JackW ARSE projection? I thought it was Thurs 9am?
He shat himself this morning
Please, please , please will someone tell me when JackW's forecast was last posted.
I have searched both threads today in full and can't find it. I'm quite busy and don't have hours to spend more time looking.
I don't want a joke answer - I just want a simple answer - what time and on what day was it last posted.
Thanks a lot.
The latest ARSE 2015 GE and first "JackW Dozen" projection was published last Tuesday - 12th June at 9:00am
As indicated previously these projections will now normally be published fortnightly on a Tuesday until the New Year. Accordingly the next projections will be next Tuesday.
Many thanks JackW - though today is Thurs 19 June so Tuesday could not have been 12th June.
Comments
It's true Caesar's name found its way into various languages. But then, Caesar wrote his own history, and it was in Augustus' interest to make his uncle appear as splendid as possible.
Scipio Africanus, Camillus, Aurelian, all have better claims to greatness.
Shah comes from another root.
1.The swing LD to CON across the 17 seats was at 3.5% very close to the national swing on the of 4% on last national Ashcroft poll.
2.Applying a 4% LD to Con swing to the 2010 results in the 17 seats would produce all LD losses.So the marginals poll is better than that for the LD' with 3 seats retained
3.Whilst UNS will not pick up variation in results by seats it does I believe work on an overall basis work on average overall basis in terms of seat numbers.
4.For forecasts of GE results in 2015 the key issues are how much of the UKIP vote goes back to the Tories and how much will the LD,s add over the next year.If both increase then a 4% wing from LD to CON may be GE swing as well.
5.The likelihood is that the Lib Dems will do slightly worse in terms of seats than UNS becosse of retiring MP,s and University seat backlashes in seats above the 4% swing level.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blighty
I see Sunil has beaten me to it
They knew Caesar wouldn't lead them to an epochal defeat like Zama and make it him easier to depose.
Hannibal was so inept, they came up the phrase Carthaginian Peace to describe his rubbishness
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carthaginian_peace
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/formula1/27928788
It was meant to be cost-saving, but some feared it would actually harm small teams, who can shove in a pay driver in P1 without losing too much and gaining some cash.
Hannibal marauded around Italy in a decade of undefeated menace. Those who managed to equal (and, once, best) him were of the highest order: Marcellus, Nero, Scipio Africanus. Who did Caesar defeat? A Gallic barbarian and an old man so predictable Caesar knew to throw out a fourth line to see off the inevitable cavalry charge (and this *after* Caesar had managed to lose at Dyrrachium).
It's like someone goes for runs on a regular basis, but once they tripped and hurt themselves, so they decide going for runs is a bad idea to do any more. Interventions in WW2, Malaya, Korea, Bosnia, Kosovo, Sierra Leone, Libya, even Afghanistan, all improved the situation for the locals.
Mr. Eagles, it left Hannibal as leader of Carthage. Caesar's civil war (after harming his own side a lot) left him dead.
New disability benefit 'failing'
The new disability benefit is helping fewer people get jobs, while its rising cost is one of the largest financial risks facing the UK, an internal government document says.
In the write up...
The new disability benefit is helping fewer people get jobs, while its rising cost is a big financial risk for the UK, an internal government memo says.
The memo, obtained by the BBC, says the Department for Work and Pensions is struggling to deliver employment support allowance (ESA).
ESA was introduced in 2008 to replace incapacity benefit.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-27927842
I have searched both threads today in full and can't find it. I'm quite busy and don't have hours to spend more time looking.
I don't want a joke answer - I just want a simple answer - what time and on what day was it last posted.
Thanks a lot.
Remind me who brought in the new contract and rules?
OK that was dissapointing!
And as Haldane says, this is eerily reminiscent of conditions before the great Crash of 2007-08."
Nice to see at least someone agrees with me, about certain parts of our economy.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-27925098
It was heavily revised and increased in scope by the "coalition", as well you know. For all intents and purposes only the name remains the same.
Remember all the cheering on here at the time?
Caesar's leadership left quite a lot of Roman citizens, including himself, dead. At least Hannibal made war on another city-state, rather than his own.
Mr. Smarmeron, if we assume that's accurate, it's a legitimate point, but to claim the ESA is new is not.
Paddy Power offering MBS if Uruguay win.
Yes, the name of the benefit is not new, and it is badly worded, What they should have said is "the new VERSION" of the test/benefit.
Alexander's the greatest of ancient generals. I'm not having a go at him at all, just stating that he was fortunate as well as incredibly clever and hard-working.
*I forget precisely who he was fighting, but he could not approach because of lack of skirmishers, I think, whereas his enemy had a large number. So, he made the army go through drills for a very long time, then suddenly commanded them to attack. The enemy had been watching them for hours, was half asleep, and suddenly found itself being charged.
As indicated previously these projections will now normally be published fortnightly on a Tuesday until the New Year. Accordingly the next projections will be next Tuesday.
England 2.02
Uruguay 3.9
Draw 3.9
http://www.betfair.com/exchange/football/market?id=1.112173785&exp=e
TV media late to the party as always - PB had this meme nailed back in 2011...
UK Deputy PM Nick Clegg says MP Mike Hancock will be expelled from Lib Dems after "inappropriate" friendship with female constituent"
Now what about Rennard - how's that investigation going?
I backed England to lose 5 nil in the Ashes.
Makes defeat a bit easier to take.
Either there really were WMD or this story about them now being captured is a load of bull
Both teams have good striking options and weak defences and need wins. Has nil nil written all over it!
Though if he hates Clegg enough it's just possible he might resign his seat to force Clegg to endure another electoral drubbing?
New poll suggests voters in marginal seats are sick to death of being asked questions by pollsters on behalf of @LordAshcroft
Hancock is going to remain an MP until the judge says so, if it goes to a judge that is ( again, Clegg is doing everything he can not to).
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-27920125
http://news.sky.com/story/1285622/colchester-knife-murders-public-warned
Given the true nature of Britain First it is quite frightening that they have been able to appear respectable for so long.
Personally, I'd tend to side with Mark. Look's like silly Cleggie's over-reaching himself again...
This is not a UKIP or Tory friendly seat despite the military base.
Conversely, there have been outstanding generals, who got cut down by a stray bullet or knife, who were betrayed, or assassinated.
Napoleon saw luck as a virtue in a general.
Do you mean Tues 10th June or Tues 17th June?
A 54% profit on my stake already. Which is nice.