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Sleazy does it – politicalbetting.com

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  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,282
    Afternoon all from Aotearoa :)

    Farage has the “talent” for saying those things out loud which he thinks a lot of people are thinking but feel they cannot express publicly for fear of being branded, for want of two better words, “intolerant” and “racist”.

    He grew up, as I did, in 1960s Southeast London suburbia, the epitome of suburban middle class life as it then was.

    One of my favourite songs is “The Boys of Summer” by Don Henley and there’s a line in that “Don’t Look Back, You Can Never Look Back”. Farage is constantly looking back - he has a romanticised view of what England was like and like many he views the future through the prism of the past.

    Nostalgia ain’t what it used to be, I was once told, and you can’t inform your politics exclusively via nostalgia because life doesn’t work that way. Mrs Stodge’s mother, like many in their ninetieth year, bemoans much of what she calls “modern life” but I remind her progress is never linear.

    Trying to explain the future to an ageing population is a challenge - the certainties are gone, yes, there may be new certainties but they will be equally transient. Competent Government is by its nature reactive - good Government is proactive.

    Trying to govern via nostalgia is a cul-de-sac in extremis. To her credit, I suspect of all Britain’s political leaders, Badenoch is the one who might get it. My concern is she will fall into the trap of trying to use the past to resolve the future - that’s lazy thinking. What you need is people who can conceive the future and build the policies which will achieve that.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,282
    By the way, if I’m allowed a photo, this was my lunch yesterday at Te Mata Peak House:


  • StingRayStingRay Posts: 21

    Leon said:

    kle4 said:

    Leon said:

    boulay said:

    Omnium said:

    Omnium said:

    Omnium said:

    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    Cookie said:

    Leon said:

    dixiedean said:

    Leon said:

    HYUFD said:

    pigeon said:

    From today's Fuck around

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    RFM: 25% (=)
    CON: 25% (+5)
    LAB: 24% (-1)
    LDM: 12% (+1)
    GRN: 10% (-1)
    SNP: 3% (=)

    Via @FindoutnowUK, 15 Jan.
    Changes w/ 8 Jan.

    SKS Fans please explain

    Makes you wonder what the Reform polling ceiling is. I seem to remember the SDP hitting 50% at their peak.
    The Alliance did very well in polling around the end of 1981, with one outlier putting it at 50%. General Galtieri then intervened and the rest is history.

    My instinct is that Reform are too Marmite to improve their vote share much beyond 25% or to get anywhere close to winning a General Election, but frankly if the Tories rolled over and died leaving a big section of the electorate politically homeless then who knows?
    Farage got 30% in the 2019 EU Parliament elections with the Brexit Party, albeit that was with the Tories collapsing to 9%
    Doesn’t Farage personally get ~33% approval?

    That’s likely the Reform ceiling, approximately, as long as he’s leader

    Certainly enough for Reform to lead a rightwing coalition govt with the Tories after GE 28
    If Reform get 33%, how many seats do the Tories get?
    Dunno. It’s midnight in Rangoon and I can’t be arsed to Baxter numbers

    But my totally nonsense long range prediction is a GE result of something like

    REF: 32
    LAB: 24
    CON: 24
    LD: 10
    GN: 7

    Which would surely result in a refcon HMG?
    Baxter reckons more than 31% gives Reform a majority.
    https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_reform_20241231.html
    I did actually just Baxter those numbers and it gives
    For Reform to get to 31% I would expect the Tories to be lower than 23% though and the LDs also to be higher than 9%
    No! William Glenn says Ref government with Tory opposition. If Ref take both Con and Labour voters and Con take Lib, Labour and Green voters one would expect the Tories to be on more than circa 25%. Unless of course one believes William's thesis to be bollocks.
    Not necessarily. It could be a Tory government with Reform opposition if enough centrist voters get behind Badenoch to block Farage.
    Why would they do that?

    Farage is awful, but it's not obvious that Badenoch is better. Indeed, by some measures, she is even more likely to jump into the populist deep end.
    And is Farage awful? 10 years ago I'd have said of course. After Boris, Truss, and the likes of Williamson, Patel, Hancock, JRM at the heart of government, Farage doesn't stand out as clearly worse. I suspect he would govern similarly to Boris, enjoy a similar honeymoon period and a similar fall out by running out of MPs willing to bat for him.
    He's pretty awful. I'd be horrified if he became PM. He's got some interesting and sometimes wise views, and I'm very happy he's part of day-to-day politics. Williamson is the only one of those that you list that I'd be less keen on to lead the country, although of course Truss has totally gone now.

    Farage is a country mile better than Corbyn, and look at all the fools who voted for him.
    How is Farage a “country mile better than Corbyn”?

    Both are organisationally inept ideologues peddling populist film-flam.
    Well.... I trust, if that's the word, Farage not to wreck the country - and I mean simply abandon it to the winds, more than I do Corbyn. Much more. Corbyn would happily screw everyone.
    If Farage were actually to follow through with the sort of policies he talks about, the country would be in for a very painful economic restructuring. That’s not to say it would be impossible - plenty have done it around the world before - but it would not be an easy ride.
    Yes. Should he become PM there's a lot of risk. The Tories gave us Boris and Truss - mix them up and filter out the good bits, and you get what's on offer from a Reform PM (Farage is better than the others in his party)
    Having had the dubious pleasure of spending several hours drinking and talking with him I would give my absolutely fool proof insight.

    He’s a bit of a one trick pony, or was. He’s not the most interesting man and very far from being a renaissance man. He’s a nice man. He’s polite and pleasant. He loves his vision of the UK, maybe really England. He’s not stupid. He probably sees himself as one of the stout yeoman of Agincourt (to hark to earlier posts). He thinks he would have been drinking with Hal and Falstaff. He wants, truly, Britain to be great.

    I think he probably should have worked his way through Tory ranks but it was probably too much like hard work. He saw an opening and a lazy shortcut.

    I think he is actually, by virtue of his beliefs and career background, one of the few politicians where if he had power would listen to people who know their shit about the economy and business even if it disagreed with easy statements he made to get elected.

    He’s not and Orban or a Fico. He’s not Mosley, Le Pen, Tommy, Putin.

    I don’t want reform governing, I want a strong Tory party with sensible economic and social ideas, but if the worst populist we get is Nige then we are very very lucky.
    I’ve also met him and your mini biopic is on point in all respects - that’s Farage

    It is truly ridiculous our childish politics regards him as some British Pinochet
    I don't like plenty of the things about his politics over the years, but I do think he comes across as generally likeable and normal. That doesn't mean he would necessarily poll very well with everyone, but on a personal level he probably comes across ok.

    A bit like with Corbyn if you steered clear of politics he is probably a pleasant enough old twee Englishman.
    Farage is not particularly racist. He’s ethnocentric, at most, which is a very different thing

    He’s way less racist, for example, than many of the raging, outright anti-Semites on the left and on the Labour benches

    He would prefer Britain to keep its historic demographics, if possible, which apparently makes him Hitler but is also the view of the majority of Britons, I suspect
    Not according to various House Masters at Dulwich College.

    A smiling assassin.
    I'm not a big fan of Mr Farage despite being probably in his broad "appeal". Not for me at all
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,282
    StingRay said:

    Cookie said:

    StingRay said:

    HYUFD said:

    'Israel's government has approved the new Gaza ceasefire and hostage release deal with Hamas, paving the way for it to take effect on Sunday.

    The decision came after hours of discussions that continued late into the night. Two far-right ministers voted against the deal.'

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cvg44dkz551o

    Good apart from the obvious twats. Hopefully it'll last.
    A new and seemingly sincere poster - welcome! (I've just come in from the pub so missed your first 16 posts.)
    Thanks mate! As I'm sure you do, I hope it lasts. I am indeed genuine - PM me if you have doubts (I'm assuming that's a thing)
    Kia Ora from Mr Stodge currently on the other side of the world.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,563

    StingRay said:

    Andy_JS said:

    https://x.com/collinrugg/status/1880354940607938653

    JUST IN: Bill Gates says he was very “impressed” by Trump during their three hour dinner together.

    Everyone is falling in line. Interesting.

    Gates said he and the president elect had a very “intriguing” conversation about global health.

    “[Trump was] energized and looking forward to helping to drive innovation. You know, I was frankly impressed with how well he showed a lot of interest in the issues I brought up.”

    Ridiculous to change one's view of Trump just because he won the election.
    But... Is it really bending the knee based on that clip?

    Gates took a load of global health issues like polio to Trump and they had apparently a three hour chat and dinner with him and Wiles, Chief of Staff; and Gates talked them through these issues across the world. And Trump seemed engaged and energised.

    There are way way more bended knees than this.

    Perhaps because Gates is, at the end of the day, out of the Tech Great Game unlike say Bezos.

    Hopefully Mr Kennedy bends his knee to established medical knowledge with regard to vaccines or we're going to have some issues.
    America already has issues under Biden with the bird flu spread.

    This is a fucking disaster coming at us like a slow car crash.
    During COVID a few high profile US anti-vaxxers found themselves in that inoculation cubicle in the sky. Meatloaf and Herman Cain spring to mind. Both of course recipients of both the Darwin and Herman Cain awards.
  • StingRayStingRay Posts: 21

    StingRay said:

    Andy_JS said:

    https://x.com/collinrugg/status/1880354940607938653

    JUST IN: Bill Gates says he was very “impressed” by Trump during their three hour dinner together.

    Everyone is falling in line. Interesting.

    Gates said he and the president elect had a very “intriguing” conversation about global health.

    “[Trump was] energized and looking forward to helping to drive innovation. You know, I was frankly impressed with how well he showed a lot of interest in the issues I brought up.”

    Ridiculous to change one's view of Trump just because he won the election.
    But... Is it really bending the knee based on that clip?

    Gates took a load of global health issues like polio to Trump and they had apparently a three hour chat and dinner with him and Wiles, Chief of Staff; and Gates talked them through these issues across the world. And Trump seemed engaged and energised.

    There are way way more bended knees than this.

    Perhaps because Gates is, at the end of the day, out of the Tech Great Game unlike say Bezos.

    Hopefully Mr Kennedy bends his knee to established medical knowledge with regard to vaccines or we're going to have some issues.
    America already has issues under Biden with the bird flu spread.

    This is a fucking disaster coming at us like a slow car crash.
    During COVID a few high profile US anti-vaxxers found themselves in that inoculation cubicle in the sky. Meatloaf and Herman Cain spring to mind. Both of course recipients of both the Darwin and Herman Cain awards.
    This is the no1 thing that occurs to me while typing this as a big threat. My wife and kid are in the USA at the moment and I'm so glad that they're coming home
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,282
    edited January 18
    On an aside, I had a look at what passes for data tables from Find Out Now.

    Totally and utterly useless - the only thing I gleaned was about one third of the electorate are Don’t Knows. The DK Party clearly in the ascendency it would seem and if their 2029 Manifesto is a single A4 page with the words Don’t Know in big letters they’ll win a landslide.

    To be fair, it would be the most honest manifesto.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,376
    Andy_JS said:

    Duran Duran being interviewed in 1981 when they still had their Brummie accents.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xSkCc3iO9qA

    Conversely, somewhere there is a video of Nigel Kennedy as a young child, before his fake working class accent. Mouth full of plums.

    Sadly, I cannot find it on youtube.
  • StingRayStingRay Posts: 21
    stodge said:

    On an aside, I had a look at what passes for data tables from Find Out Now.

    Totally and utterly useless - the only thing I gleaned was about one third of the electorate are Don’t Knows. The DK Party clearly in the ascendency it would seem and if their 2029 Manifesto is a single A4 page with the words Don’t Know in big letters they’ll win a landslide.

    To be fair, it would be the most honest manifesto.

    Lol not gonna lie, I might have voted for a no policy platform /sarcasm
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 53,461
    StingRay said:

    stodge said:

    On an aside, I had a look at what passes for data tables from Find Out Now.

    Totally and utterly useless - the only thing I gleaned was about one third of the electorate are Don’t Knows. The DK Party clearly in the ascendency it would seem and if their 2029 Manifesto is a single A4 page with the words Don’t Know in big letters they’ll win a landslide.

    To be fair, it would be the most honest manifesto.

    Lol not gonna lie, I might have voted for a no policy platform /sarcasm
    I have long advocated Apathy Rules OK.

    That is, in an election you can vote for RON (Re Open Nominations). Further, anyone who doesn’t vote is taken as voting for RON.

    So if everyone stays at home, all the candidates are eliminated and an election held with new candidates.
  • Ally_B1Ally_B1 Posts: 52
    Andy_JS said:

    Emma Raducanu v Iga Swiatek coming up soon.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/tennis/live/cn087j0p958t#player

    The young Canadian was a bit out of form. Probably carrying an injury and have to take a month off to recover.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 33,907
    Ally_B1 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Emma Raducanu v Iga Swiatek coming up soon.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/tennis/live/cn087j0p958t#player

    The young Canadian was a bit out of form. Probably carrying an injury and have to take a month off to recover.
    Canadian?
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 29,641
    Brian and Maggie — trailer
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FW-KCX3spks

    That is the trailer. Steve Coogan plays Brian Walden interviewing Mrs Thatcher. It is a two-part drama from Channel 4, to be broadcast at the end of January.

    You all know that, of course. What I've just noticed is it seems to be available for streaming already. Has anyone seen it? I'm too tired to watch now and Saturday is a full day of sport, with racing starting at 10.15 for some unimaginable reason.

  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,282

    Brian and Maggie — trailer
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FW-KCX3spks

    That is the trailer. Steve Coogan plays Brian Walden interviewing Mrs Thatcher. It is a two-part drama from Channel 4, to be broadcast at the end of January.

    You all know that, of course. What I've just noticed is it seems to be available for streaming already. Has anyone seen it? I'm too tired to watch now and Saturday is a full day of sport, with racing starting at 10.15 for some unimaginable reason.

    Enjoying the afternoon action from Trentham and Wingatui, free to stream on the Loveracing website for those of us in New Zealand,

    The early start at Lingfield is due to the new Premier racing which means only three cards in the afternoon though if Haydock falls that will look as silly as it did two weeks ago.

    The early Lingfield start takes me back to the 1990s when they used to have 12 race cards on the Equitrack with a 10.30 or 10.45 start. The old Derby restaurant would open for breakfast at 9am - full English for a fiver - happy days.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 29,641
    stodge said:

    Brian and Maggie — trailer
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FW-KCX3spks

    That is the trailer. Steve Coogan plays Brian Walden interviewing Mrs Thatcher. It is a two-part drama from Channel 4, to be broadcast at the end of January.

    You all know that, of course. What I've just noticed is it seems to be available for streaming already. Has anyone seen it? I'm too tired to watch now and Saturday is a full day of sport, with racing starting at 10.15 for some unimaginable reason.

    Enjoying the afternoon action from Trentham and Wingatui, free to stream on the Loveracing website for those of us in New Zealand,

    The early start at Lingfield is due to the new Premier racing which means only three cards in the afternoon though if Haydock falls that will look as silly as it did two weeks ago.

    The early Lingfield start takes me back to the 1990s when they used to have 12 race cards on the Equitrack with a 10.30 or 10.45 start. The old Derby restaurant would open for breakfast at 9am - full English for a fiver - happy days.
    Ah yes, of course, Premier Racing, a concept that still escapes me because I cannot see that any stakeholders will change their behaviour as a result, and as you say, abandonments can be fatal.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,282

    stodge said:

    Brian and Maggie — trailer
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FW-KCX3spks

    That is the trailer. Steve Coogan plays Brian Walden interviewing Mrs Thatcher. It is a two-part drama from Channel 4, to be broadcast at the end of January.

    You all know that, of course. What I've just noticed is it seems to be available for streaming already. Has anyone seen it? I'm too tired to watch now and Saturday is a full day of sport, with racing starting at 10.15 for some unimaginable reason.

    Enjoying the afternoon action from Trentham and Wingatui, free to stream on the Loveracing website for those of us in New Zealand,

    The early start at Lingfield is due to the new Premier racing which means only three cards in the afternoon though if Haydock falls that will look as silly as it did two weeks ago.

    The early Lingfield start takes me back to the 1990s when they used to have 12 race cards on the Equitrack with a 10.30 or 10.45 start. The old Derby restaurant would open for breakfast at 9am - full English for a fiver - happy days.
    Ah yes, of course, Premier Racing, a concept that still escapes me because I cannot see that any stakeholders will change their behaviour as a result, and as you say, abandonments can be fatal.
    Richard Hoiles, the wise man of ITV racing, suggested it should be the races not the meetings which are protected. Having a 20 or 30 minute window around the Group or Grade 1 races makes a lot of sense with big screens at most courses. It already happens for the Cheltenham Gold Cup, Derby and the Grand National but could be extended to all top races.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 29,641
    Piers Morgan interview: ‘Trump will win the Nobel Peace Prize in two years’
    He’s riled up royals and critics alike, but the firebrand has become an expert in staying one step ahead of the outrage machine

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/01/17/piers-morgan-interview-uncensored-trump-meghan-farage/ (£££)

    It had occurred to me that Trump might be angling for a Nobel Prize, especially as Obama got one simply for not being George W Bush. At least Trump is anti-war.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 29,641


    Liz Truss in Maga hat will be at the inauguration, apparently.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 29,641
    carnforth said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Duran Duran being interviewed in 1981 when they still had their Brummie accents.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xSkCc3iO9qA

    Conversely, somewhere there is a video of Nigel Kennedy as a young child, before his fake working class accent. Mouth full of plums.

    Sadly, I cannot find it on youtube.
    Jeremy Clarkson had a cut-glass accent on early Top Gear:-
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r-X222bpiFw
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,197
    .
    StingRay said:

    StingRay said:

    Andy_JS said:

    https://x.com/collinrugg/status/1880354940607938653

    JUST IN: Bill Gates says he was very “impressed” by Trump during their three hour dinner together.

    Everyone is falling in line. Interesting.

    Gates said he and the president elect had a very “intriguing” conversation about global health.

    “[Trump was] energized and looking forward to helping to drive innovation. You know, I was frankly impressed with how well he showed a lot of interest in the issues I brought up.”

    Ridiculous to change one's view of Trump just because he won the election.
    But... Is it really bending the knee based on that clip?

    Gates took a load of global health issues like polio to Trump and they had apparently a three hour chat and dinner with him and Wiles, Chief of Staff; and Gates talked them through these issues across the world. And Trump seemed engaged and energised.

    There are way way more bended knees than this.

    Perhaps because Gates is, at the end of the day, out of the Tech Great Game unlike say Bezos.

    Hopefully Mr Kennedy bends his knee to established medical knowledge with regard to vaccines or we're going to have some issues.
    America already has issues under Biden with the bird flu spread.

    This is a fucking disaster coming at us like a slow car crash.
    As a bird owner, I hope it's not going to be as bad as you say.
    We really don't know how bad it might or might not be.
    But the response so far, given the massive improvement in available surveillance technology, has been sub optimal.

    It's a roll iof the ducks which might not matter much, or could be extremely costly.
  • Ally_B1Ally_B1 Posts: 52
    Andy_JS said:

    Ally_B1 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Emma Raducanu v Iga Swiatek coming up soon.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/tennis/live/cn087j0p958t#player

    The young Canadian was a bit out of form. Probably carrying an injury and have to take a month off to recover.
    Canadian?
    Well she was born in Toronto, Canada BUT she'll be a Brit again once she starts winning! (It's meant as a parody of how we used to view that Scot Andy Murray on here. I have hopes that she will finish this year ranked in the top 20).
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,825

    Piers Morgan interview: ‘Trump will win the Nobel Peace Prize in two years’
    He’s riled up royals and critics alike, but the firebrand has become an expert in staying one step ahead of the outrage machine

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/01/17/piers-morgan-interview-uncensored-trump-meghan-farage/ (£££)

    It had occurred to me that Trump might be angling for a Nobel Prize, especially as Obama got one simply for not being George W Bush. At least Trump is anti-war.

    Let’s hope the Panamanians, Greenlanders and Canadians can still agree with that whenever his presidency comes to an end.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021
    edited January 18
    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.
  • BattlebusBattlebus Posts: 553
    vino said:

    When Donald Trump returns to the White House, much of the world will welcome him.

    https://ecfr.eu/publication/alone-in-a-trumpian-world-the-eu-and-global-public-opinion-after-the-us-elections/

    interesting

    A reminder that views are both tempo-centric (statues to slavers) but also ethno-centric (were the Opium Wars good for Britain / concentration camps for Boers).

    We can't beat ourselves up for the past but we might put a bit more thought into the present.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 50,407
    Canada plans to specifically target tarrifs on products made in Republican states

    https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/17/world/canada/canada-trump-tariffs.html?smtyp=cur&smid=bsky-nytimes
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,831
    Leon said:

    boulay said:

    Omnium said:

    Omnium said:

    Omnium said:

    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    Cookie said:

    Leon said:

    dixiedean said:

    Leon said:

    HYUFD said:

    pigeon said:

    From today's Fuck around

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    RFM: 25% (=)
    CON: 25% (+5)
    LAB: 24% (-1)
    LDM: 12% (+1)
    GRN: 10% (-1)
    SNP: 3% (=)

    Via @FindoutnowUK, 15 Jan.
    Changes w/ 8 Jan.

    SKS Fans please explain

    Makes you wonder what the Reform polling ceiling is. I seem to remember the SDP hitting 50% at their peak.
    The Alliance did very well in polling around the end of 1981, with one outlier putting it at 50%. General Galtieri then intervened and the rest is history.

    My instinct is that Reform are too Marmite to improve their vote share much beyond 25% or to get anywhere close to winning a General Election, but frankly if the Tories rolled over and died leaving a big section of the electorate politically homeless then who knows?
    Farage got 30% in the 2019 EU Parliament elections with the Brexit Party, albeit that was with the Tories collapsing to 9%
    Doesn’t Farage personally get ~33% approval?

    That’s likely the Reform ceiling, approximately, as long as he’s leader

    Certainly enough for Reform to lead a rightwing coalition govt with the Tories after GE 28
    If Reform get 33%, how many seats do the Tories get?
    Dunno. It’s midnight in Rangoon and I can’t be arsed to Baxter numbers

    But my totally nonsense long range prediction is a GE result of something like

    REF: 32
    LAB: 24
    CON: 24
    LD: 10
    GN: 7

    Which would surely result in a refcon HMG?
    Baxter reckons more than 31% gives Reform a majority.
    https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_reform_20241231.html
    I did actually just Baxter those numbers and it gives
    For Reform to get to 31% I would expect the Tories to be lower than 23% though and the LDs also to be higher than 9%
    No! William Glenn says Ref government with Tory opposition. If Ref take both Con and Labour voters and Con take Lib, Labour and Green voters one would expect the Tories to be on more than circa 25%. Unless of course one believes William's thesis to be bollocks.
    Not necessarily. It could be a Tory government with Reform opposition if enough centrist voters get behind Badenoch to block Farage.
    Why would they do that?

    Farage is awful, but it's not obvious that Badenoch is better. Indeed, by some measures, she is even more likely to jump into the populist deep end.
    And is Farage awful? 10 years ago I'd have said of course. After Boris, Truss, and the likes of Williamson, Patel, Hancock, JRM at the heart of government, Farage doesn't stand out as clearly worse. I suspect he would govern similarly to Boris, enjoy a similar honeymoon period and a similar fall out by running out of MPs willing to bat for him.
    He's pretty awful. I'd be horrified if he became PM. He's got some interesting and sometimes wise views, and I'm very happy he's part of day-to-day politics. Williamson is the only one of those that you list that I'd be less keen on to lead the country, although of course Truss has totally gone now.

    Farage is a country mile better than Corbyn, and look at all the fools who voted for him.
    How is Farage a “country mile better than Corbyn”?

    Both are organisationally inept ideologues peddling populist film-flam.
    Well.... I trust, if that's the word, Farage not to wreck the country - and I mean simply abandon it to the winds, more than I do Corbyn. Much more. Corbyn would happily screw everyone.
    If Farage were actually to follow through with the sort of policies he talks about, the country would be in for a very painful economic restructuring. That’s not to say it would be impossible - plenty have done it around the world before - but it would not be an easy ride.
    Yes. Should he become PM there's a lot of risk. The Tories gave us Boris and Truss - mix them up and filter out the good bits, and you get what's on offer from a Reform PM (Farage is better than the others in his party)
    Having had the dubious pleasure of spending several hours drinking and talking with him I would give my absolutely fool proof insight.

    He’s a bit of a one trick pony, or was. He’s not the most interesting man and very far from being a renaissance man. He’s a nice man. He’s polite and pleasant. He loves his vision of the UK, maybe really England. He’s not stupid. He probably sees himself as one of the stout yeoman of Agincourt (to hark to earlier posts). He thinks he would have been drinking with Hal and Falstaff. He wants, truly, Britain to be great.

    I think he probably should have worked his way through Tory ranks but it was probably too much like hard work. He saw an opening and a lazy shortcut.

    I think he is actually, by virtue of his beliefs and career background, one of the few politicians where if he had power would listen to people who know their shit about the economy and business even if it disagreed with easy statements he made to get elected.

    He’s not and Orban or a Fico. He’s not Mosley, Le Pen, Tommy, Putin.

    I don’t want reform governing, I want a strong Tory party with sensible economic and social ideas, but if the worst populist we get is Nige then we are very very lucky.
    I’ve also met him and your mini biopic is on point in all respects - that’s Farage

    It is truly ridiculous our childish politics regards him as some British Pinochet
    Nevertheless you can get the same shtick from the pub landlord, and Murray is a lot more amusing.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,825
    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021
    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,825
    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
    That is a little fresh.

    It would be mildly amusing if Trump and rather a lot of the superannuated senators and SCOTUS justices all did a William Henry Harrison, but I can see why it might be inconvenient.

    I also imagine the crowd would be even smaller than usual which might be embarrassing even if he tries the ‘alternative facts’ line again.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,825
    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
    That is a little fresh.

    It would be mildly amusing if Trump and rather a lot of the superannuated senators and SCOTUS justices all did a William Henry Harrison, but I can see why it might be inconvenient.

    I also imagine the crowd would be even smaller than usual which might be embarrassing even if he tries the ‘alternative facts’ line again.
    Incidentally the Met Office forecast is -3 not -14. So still cold but not unimaginably so.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,975
    Andy_JS said:
    She got thrashed
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,483
    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
    That is a little fresh.

    It would be mildly amusing if Trump and rather a lot of the superannuated senators and SCOTUS justices all did a William Henry Harrison, but I can see why it might be inconvenient.

    I also imagine the crowd would be even smaller than usual which might be embarrassing even if he tries the ‘alternative facts’ line again.
    According to Wiki, WHH is more likely to have died from typhoid or paratyphoid due to a dodgy white house water supply. In any case the inauguration was in March, so surely it can't have been that cold, and it seems he was a healthy farmer and ex-soldier accustomed to going out in the spring without a topcoat. And in any case, isn't "catching your death of cold" a myth? You wouldn't expect a healthy 68 year old to die of a cold and the symptoms described seem to be more than that and include diarrhoea and vomiting.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 50,407
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
    That is a little fresh.

    It would be mildly amusing if Trump and rather a lot of the superannuated senators and SCOTUS justices all did a William Henry Harrison, but I can see why it might be inconvenient.

    I also imagine the crowd would be even smaller than usual which might be embarrassing even if he tries the ‘alternative facts’ line again.
    Incidentally the Met Office forecast is -3 not -14. So still cold but not unimaginably so.
    For folk who want to annex Canada and Greenland they don't seem to like the cold. Go figure.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,831
    edited January 18

    Andy_JS said:
    She got thrashed
    So much for the 50/1!
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,825
    edited January 18

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
    That is a little fresh.

    It would be mildly amusing if Trump and rather a lot of the superannuated senators and SCOTUS justices all did a William Henry Harrison, but I can see why it might be inconvenient.

    I also imagine the crowd would be even smaller than usual which might be embarrassing even if he tries the ‘alternative facts’ line again.
    According to Wiki, WHH is more likely to have died from typhoid or paratyphoid due to a dodgy white house water supply. In any case the inauguration was in March, so surely it can't have been that cold, and it seems he was a healthy farmer and ex-soldier accustomed to going out in the spring without a topcoat. And in any case, isn't "catching your death of cold" a myth? You wouldn't expect a healthy 68 year old to die of a cold and the symptoms described seem to be more than that and include diarrhoea and vomiting.
    And according to Wikipedia there's debate about whether Richard III murdered his nephews or Jesus was a real person.

    I'm not sufficiently expert on the nonentities who became president in the early nineteenth century to venture an opinion on exactly what killed Harrison, but he definitely seems to have become ill on or immediately after the inauguration exacerbated by the amount of work in his early days, and died as a consequence. Whether that was pneumonia or something else may be a different question.

    Edit - if the Miller Centre is to be believed, the remedies used could easily account for some of the symptoms Wiki thinks were typhus:

    https://millercenter.org/president/harrison/death-of-the-president

    And The White House also attributes it to pneumonia, although not specifically to the inauguration address:

    https://www.whitehouse.gov/about-the-white-house/presidents/william-henry-harrison/
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021
    IanB2 said:

    Andy_JS said:
    She got thrashed
    So much for the 50/1!
    That’s why it was 50/1!
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021
    edited January 18
    Bill Maher, going off on one for eight minutes about the fires in LA and the mismagement of the city.

    https://x.com/billmaher/status/18804711586777296881313
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,261
    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
    I attended the Obama inauguration in 2008 and have never been so cold in my life.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,054

    Piers Morgan interview: ‘Trump will win the Nobel Peace Prize in two years’
    He’s riled up royals and critics alike, but the firebrand has become an expert in staying one step ahead of the outrage machine

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/01/17/piers-morgan-interview-uncensored-trump-meghan-farage/ (£££)

    It had occurred to me that Trump might be angling for a Nobel Prize, especially as Obama got one simply for not being George W Bush. At least Trump is anti-war.

    Panama, Mexico, Canada and Greenland excepted.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,049
    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
    That is a little fresh.

    It would be mildly amusing if Trump and rather a lot of the superannuated senators and SCOTUS justices all did a William Henry Harrison, but I can see why it might be inconvenient.

    I also imagine the crowd would be even smaller than usual which might be embarrassing even if he tries the ‘alternative facts’ line again.
    Incidentally the Met Office forecast is -3 not -14. So still cold but not unimaginably so.
    For folk who want to annex Canada and Greenland they don't seem to like the cold. Go figure.
    Maybe he's fallen for that Viking "if we call it Greenland, everyone will think it's lovely" trick.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,445

    Piers Morgan interview: ‘Trump will win the Nobel Peace Prize in two years’
    He’s riled up royals and critics alike, but the firebrand has become an expert in staying one step ahead of the outrage machine

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/01/17/piers-morgan-interview-uncensored-trump-meghan-farage/ (£££)

    It had occurred to me that Trump might be angling for a Nobel Prize, especially as Obama got one simply for not being George W Bush. At least Trump is anti-war.

    Panama, Mexico, Canada and Greenland excepted.
    And Ukraine. He seems to dig a bit if annexation.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,445
    edited January 18

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
    That is a little fresh.

    It would be mildly amusing if Trump and rather a lot of the superannuated senators and SCOTUS justices all did a William Henry Harrison, but I can see why it might be inconvenient.

    I also imagine the crowd would be even smaller than usual which might be embarrassing even if he tries the ‘alternative facts’ line again.
    Incidentally the Met Office forecast is -3 not -14. So still cold but not unimaginably so.
    For folk who want to annex Canada and Greenland they don't seem to like the cold. Go figure.
    Maybe he's fallen for that Viking "if we call it Greenland, everyone will think it's lovely" trick.
    The next 4 years are going to be one long saga.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 6,001

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
    That is a little fresh.

    It would be mildly amusing if Trump and rather a lot of the superannuated senators and SCOTUS justices all did a William Henry Harrison, but I can see why it might be inconvenient.

    I also imagine the crowd would be even smaller than usual which might be embarrassing even if he tries the ‘alternative facts’ line again.
    Incidentally the Met Office forecast is -3 not -14. So still cold but not unimaginably so.
    For folk who want to annex Canada and Greenland they don't seem to like the cold. Go figure.
    Maybe he's fallen for that Viking "if we call it Greenland, everyone will think it's lovely" trick.
    Got to love the Vikings.


  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,913
    Andy_JS said:

    Ally_B1 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Emma Raducanu v Iga Swiatek coming up soon.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/tennis/live/cn087j0p958t#player

    The young Canadian was a bit out of form. Probably carrying an injury and have to take a month off to recover.
    Canadian?
    getting severely humped means she is not English
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,049
    TimS said:

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
    That is a little fresh.

    It would be mildly amusing if Trump and rather a lot of the superannuated senators and SCOTUS justices all did a William Henry Harrison, but I can see why it might be inconvenient.

    I also imagine the crowd would be even smaller than usual which might be embarrassing even if he tries the ‘alternative facts’ line again.
    Incidentally the Met Office forecast is -3 not -14. So still cold but not unimaginably so.
    For folk who want to annex Canada and Greenland they don't seem to like the cold. Go figure.
    Maybe he's fallen for that Viking "if we call it Greenland, everyone will think it's lovely" trick.
    The next 4 years are going to be one long saga.
    A Maga Saga.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,913
    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
    get rid of a lot of dross perhaps
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,913
    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
    That is a little fresh.

    It would be mildly amusing if Trump and rather a lot of the superannuated senators and SCOTUS justices all did a William Henry Harrison, but I can see why it might be inconvenient.

    I also imagine the crowd would be even smaller than usual which might be embarrassing even if he tries the ‘alternative facts’ line again.
    3 is at best put a jumper on, what abunch of wooses
  • MattWMattW Posts: 25,709



    Liz Truss in Maga hat will be at the inauguration, apparently.

    Can we stop her coming back?
  • ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
    That is a little fresh.

    It would be mildly amusing if Trump and rather a lot of the superannuated senators and SCOTUS justices all did a William Henry Harrison, but I can see why it might be inconvenient.

    I also imagine the crowd would be even smaller than usual which might be embarrassing even if he tries the ‘alternative facts’ line again.
    According to Wiki, WHH is more likely to have died from typhoid or paratyphoid due to a dodgy white house water supply. In any case the inauguration was in March, so surely it can't have been that cold, and it seems he was a healthy farmer and ex-soldier accustomed to going out in the spring without a topcoat. And in any case, isn't "catching your death of cold" a myth? You wouldn't expect a healthy 68 year old to die of a cold and the symptoms described seem to be more than that and include diarrhoea and vomiting.
    And according to Wikipedia there's debate about whether Richard III murdered his nephews or Jesus was a real person.

    I'm not sufficiently expert on the nonentities who became president in the early nineteenth century to venture an opinion on exactly what killed Harrison, but he definitely seems to have become ill on or immediately after the inauguration exacerbated by the amount of work in his early days, and died as a consequence. Whether that was pneumonia or something else may be a different question.

    Edit - if the Miller Centre is to be believed, the remedies used could easily account for some of the symptoms Wiki thinks were typhus:

    https://millercenter.org/president/harrison/death-of-the-president

    And The White House also attributes it to pneumonia, although not specifically to the inauguration address:

    https://www.whitehouse.gov/about-the-white-house/presidents/william-henry-harrison/
    You have to remember if WHH was not much travelled before his election, and relatively he wasn't then he wouldn't have picked up the low level infections years before that might have given him some immunity to an unpleasant but not normally deadly low level bug in a new water supply. After all most people who visited the White House and ate meals prepared there did not die.


  • Liz Truss in Maga hat will be at the inauguration, apparently.

    I was talking with another former MP who like Liz hopes to return to the next parliament. He said the costs of staying in Washington meant it was a no no for anyone like him not being fully employed. He said the Westminster talk was that the cost for Farage was so great that even he was only going not to offend the Donald
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,118

    StingRay said:

    Andy_JS said:

    https://x.com/collinrugg/status/1880354940607938653

    JUST IN: Bill Gates says he was very “impressed” by Trump during their three hour dinner together.

    Everyone is falling in line. Interesting.

    Gates said he and the president elect had a very “intriguing” conversation about global health.

    “[Trump was] energized and looking forward to helping to drive innovation. You know, I was frankly impressed with how well he showed a lot of interest in the issues I brought up.”

    Ridiculous to change one's view of Trump just because he won the election.
    But... Is it really bending the knee based on that clip?

    Gates took a load of global health issues like polio to Trump and they had apparently a three hour chat and dinner with him and Wiles, Chief of Staff; and Gates talked them through these issues across the world. And Trump seemed engaged and energised.

    There are way way more bended knees than this.

    Perhaps because Gates is, at the end of the day, out of the Tech Great Game unlike say Bezos.

    Hopefully Mr Kennedy bends his knee to established medical knowledge with regard to vaccines or we're going to have some issues.
    America already has issues under Biden with the bird flu spread.

    This is a fucking disaster coming at us like a slow car crash.
    My wife pointed out that 2020 started off with huge wildfires in Australia, so the combination of the LA wildfires with H5N1 developments is giving her a large dose of deja vu.

    I would hazard a guess at this being a bad time to spend a week on a cruise ship.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,118
    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
    That is a little fresh.

    It would be mildly amusing if Trump and rather a lot of the superannuated senators and SCOTUS justices all did a William Henry Harrison, but I can see why it might be inconvenient.

    I also imagine the crowd would be even smaller than usual which might be embarrassing even if he tries the ‘alternative facts’ line again.
    Incidentally the Met Office forecast is -3 not -14. So still cold but not unimaginably so.
    For folk who want to annex Canada and Greenland they don't seem to like the cold. Go figure.
    Maybe he's fallen for that Viking "if we call it Greenland, everyone will think it's lovely" trick.
    Got to love the Vikings.


    Didn't they also rescue the women and children?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,606

    StingRay said:

    Andy_JS said:

    https://x.com/collinrugg/status/1880354940607938653

    JUST IN: Bill Gates says he was very “impressed” by Trump during their three hour dinner together.

    Everyone is falling in line. Interesting.

    Gates said he and the president elect had a very “intriguing” conversation about global health.

    “[Trump was] energized and looking forward to helping to drive innovation. You know, I was frankly impressed with how well he showed a lot of interest in the issues I brought up.”

    Ridiculous to change one's view of Trump just because he won the election.
    But... Is it really bending the knee based on that clip?

    Gates took a load of global health issues like polio to Trump and they had apparently a three hour chat and dinner with him and Wiles, Chief of Staff; and Gates talked them through these issues across the world. And Trump seemed engaged and energised.

    There are way way more bended knees than this.

    Perhaps because Gates is, at the end of the day, out of the Tech Great Game unlike say Bezos.

    Hopefully Mr Kennedy bends his knee to established medical knowledge with regard to vaccines or we're going to have some issues.
    America already has issues under Biden with the bird flu spread.

    This is a fucking disaster coming at us like a slow car crash.
    My wife pointed out that 2020 started off with huge wildfires in Australia, so the combination of the LA wildfires with H5N1 developments is giving her a large dose of deja vu.

    I would hazard a guess at this being a bad time to spend a week on a cruise ship.
    To modify the old local joke about the next town along:

    Raffle first prize, a week on a cruise ship.
    Second prize, a month on a cruise ship.
  • kamskikamski Posts: 6,157

    Piers Morgan interview: ‘Trump will win the Nobel Peace Prize in two years’
    He’s riled up royals and critics alike, but the firebrand has become an expert in staying one step ahead of the outrage machine

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/01/17/piers-morgan-interview-uncensored-trump-meghan-farage/ (£££)

    It had occurred to me that Trump might be angling for a Nobel Prize, especially as Obama got one simply for not being George W Bush. At least Trump is anti-war.

    Is Trump especially "anti-war"? I mean most people are not pro-war, but I don't see how Trump is any more "anti-war" than eg Biden, looking at their records in office.

    Trump did massively increase the rate of US foreign bombing when he came to power. On the other hand, he agreed to withdraw from Afghanistan, though the US actually left under Biden.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,606
    edited January 18

    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
    That is a little fresh.

    It would be mildly amusing if Trump and rather a lot of the superannuated senators and SCOTUS justices all did a William Henry Harrison, but I can see why it might be inconvenient.

    I also imagine the crowd would be even smaller than usual which might be embarrassing even if he tries the ‘alternative facts’ line again.
    Incidentally the Met Office forecast is -3 not -14. So still cold but not unimaginably so.
    For folk who want to annex Canada and Greenland they don't seem to like the cold. Go figure.
    Maybe he's fallen for that Viking "if we call it Greenland, everyone will think it's lovely" trick.
    Got to love the Vikings.


    Didn't they also rescue the women and children?
    A monastery, so there shouldn't be any! Stone built; and the dozy bloke in the grass has an unusual haircut, a Romanist tonsure not a Celtic Church one so no mixed sex convents. Plus the helpful chap is carrying the communion metalware. Not sure what the long thin thing is. A candleholder?

  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,606
    edited January 18
    kamski said:

    Piers Morgan interview: ‘Trump will win the Nobel Peace Prize in two years’
    He’s riled up royals and critics alike, but the firebrand has become an expert in staying one step ahead of the outrage machine

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/01/17/piers-morgan-interview-uncensored-trump-meghan-farage/ (£££)

    It had occurred to me that Trump might be angling for a Nobel Prize, especially as Obama got one simply for not being George W Bush. At least Trump is anti-war.

    Is Trump especially "anti-war"? I mean most people are not pro-war, but I don't see how Trump is any more "anti-war" than eg Biden, looking at their records in office.

    Trump did massively increase the rate of US foreign bombing when he came to power. On the other hand, he agreed to withdraw from Afghanistan, though the US actually left under Biden.
    Remember Henry Kissinger 1973 - strictly speaking also awarded to Le Duc Tho who however wasn't having any of it.
  • CD13CD13 Posts: 6,375
    I listened into a Parliamentary debate yesterday; Dire. Politicians at their absolute worst.They were discussing the faults of the MHRA - It seems they rely on science rather than knowing stuff naturally by being brought up in the right company and being posh.

    That seems to be the problem with Trump and his cronies. How did the i.v. injections of disinfectant as a cure for COVID go, gents?

    Yesterday was a cold shower in why the political aphorism of scientists being 'on tap' but not 'on top' is still in control in Westminster.

    Any foreign protein administered to the body can have side effects, however the tests before they are allowed now are extremely rigorous. Some moron with an IQ in single figures can become an MP and stand up in the House and mention thalidomide to have nodding donkeys all around. Ignorance I can put up with, but have we elected a bunch of Trumps too.

  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,606
    CD13 said:

    I listened into a Parliamentary debate yesterday; Dire. Politicians at their absolute worst.They were discussing the faults of the MHRA - It seems they rely on science rather than knowing stuff naturally by being brought up in the right company and being posh.

    That seems to be the problem with Trump and his cronies. How did the i.v. injections of disinfectant as a cure for COVID go, gents?

    Yesterday was a cold shower in why the political aphorism of scientists being 'on tap' but not 'on top' is still in control in Westminster.

    Any foreign protein administered to the body can have side effects, however the tests before they are allowed now are extremely rigorous. Some moron with an IQ in single figures can become an MP and stand up in the House and mention thalidomide to have nodding donkeys all around. Ignorance I can put up with, but have we elected a bunch of Trumps too.

    TBF the 'injection' was allegedly a mishearing of 'ingestion'. Not that it makes me want to neck the Domestos either.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 25,709
    edited January 18



    Liz Truss in Maga hat will be at the inauguration, apparently.

    I was talking with another former MP who like Liz hopes to return to the next parliament. He said the costs of staying in Washington meant it was a no no for anyone like him not being fully employed. He said the Westminster talk was that the cost for Farage was so great that even he was only going not to offend the Donald
    Loopy Liz has her £115k per annum from us, and I think this may apply here.

    Checking, it seems less expensive than London.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021
    TimS said:

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
    That is a little fresh.

    It would be mildly amusing if Trump and rather a lot of the superannuated senators and SCOTUS justices all did a William Henry Harrison, but I can see why it might be inconvenient.

    I also imagine the crowd would be even smaller than usual which might be embarrassing even if he tries the ‘alternative facts’ line again.
    Incidentally the Met Office forecast is -3 not -14. So still cold but not unimaginably so.
    For folk who want to annex Canada and Greenland they don't seem to like the cold. Go figure.
    Maybe he's fallen for that Viking "if we call it Greenland, everyone will think it's lovely" trick.
    The next 4 years are going to be one long saga.
    Only for those who let it get to them.

    If you ignore everyone who thinks he’s worse than Hitler, and everyone who thinks he’s the best thing to ever happen to America, and just stick to commenting on what he actually does rather than everything he says, life will be a lot less stressful.

    He’ll be just like any other president, there will be good things he does and bad things he does, but in 2028 there will be another election and his name won’t be on the ballot.
  • MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,859
    Andy_JS said:

    Ally_B1 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Emma Raducanu v Iga Swiatek coming up soon.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/tennis/live/cn087j0p958t#player

    The young Canadian was a bit out of form. Probably carrying an injury and have to take a month off to recover.
    Canadian?
    Haters gotta hate as they say
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,825
    Carnyx said:

    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
    That is a little fresh.

    It would be mildly amusing if Trump and rather a lot of the superannuated senators and SCOTUS justices all did a William Henry Harrison, but I can see why it might be inconvenient.

    I also imagine the crowd would be even smaller than usual which might be embarrassing even if he tries the ‘alternative facts’ line again.
    Incidentally the Met Office forecast is -3 not -14. So still cold but not unimaginably so.
    For folk who want to annex Canada and Greenland they don't seem to like the cold. Go figure.
    Maybe he's fallen for that Viking "if we call it Greenland, everyone will think it's lovely" trick.
    Got to love the Vikings.


    Didn't they also rescue the women and children?
    A monastery, so there shouldn't be any!

    Monasteries were usually conhospitae until the eighth century, so that’s not a given.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,825

    TimS said:

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
    That is a little fresh.

    It would be mildly amusing if Trump and rather a lot of the superannuated senators and SCOTUS justices all did a William Henry Harrison, but I can see why it might be inconvenient.

    I also imagine the crowd would be even smaller than usual which might be embarrassing even if he tries the ‘alternative facts’ line again.
    Incidentally the Met Office forecast is -3 not -14. So still cold but not unimaginably so.
    For folk who want to annex Canada and Greenland they don't seem to like the cold. Go figure.
    Maybe he's fallen for that Viking "if we call it Greenland, everyone will think it's lovely" trick.
    The next 4 years are going to be one long saga.
    A Maga Saga.
    A SAGA MAGA drive-n by Trump’s ego?
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,054
    Sandpit said:

    TimS said:

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
    That is a little fresh.

    It would be mildly amusing if Trump and rather a lot of the superannuated senators and SCOTUS justices all did a William Henry Harrison, but I can see why it might be inconvenient.

    I also imagine the crowd would be even smaller than usual which might be embarrassing even if he tries the ‘alternative facts’ line again.
    Incidentally the Met Office forecast is -3 not -14. So still cold but not unimaginably so.
    For folk who want to annex Canada and Greenland they don't seem to like the cold. Go figure.
    Maybe he's fallen for that Viking "if we call it Greenland, everyone will think it's lovely" trick.
    The next 4 years are going to be one long saga.
    Only for those who let it get to them.

    If you ignore everyone who thinks he’s worse than Hitler, and everyone who thinks he’s the best thing to ever happen to America, and just stick to commenting on what he actually does rather than everything he says, life will be a lot less stressful.

    He’ll be just like any other president, there will be good things he does and bad things he does, but in 2028 there will be another election and his name won’t be on the ballot.
    The things people say can do good or harm too.
  • NEW THREAD

  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021

    Sandpit said:

    TimS said:

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Inauguration on Monday has been moved indoors, for the first time since 1985.

    Official reason given: Expected poor weather, cold and snow (as in ‘85).

    Conspiracy Theory #1: There’s a credible security threat and the Secret Service have insisted on it being indoors.

    Conspiracy Theory #2: There’s not many tickets been given out and Trump won’t like the photos.

    Other options:

    3) Trump is so old and doddery now that they daren’t let him stay outdoors for any length of time in bad weather;

    4) It’s being sponsored by an air freshener firm.
    I started off thinking 3 was most likely, then I realised that the references to it being 7º on Monday meant 7ºF, which is -14ºC.

    That’s freaking cold to have a load of old people kept outside for a couple of hours. There’s dozens of octogenarian Senators and Congresscritters as well as the big orange man.
    That is a little fresh.

    It would be mildly amusing if Trump and rather a lot of the superannuated senators and SCOTUS justices all did a William Henry Harrison, but I can see why it might be inconvenient.

    I also imagine the crowd would be even smaller than usual which might be embarrassing even if he tries the ‘alternative facts’ line again.
    Incidentally the Met Office forecast is -3 not -14. So still cold but not unimaginably so.
    For folk who want to annex Canada and Greenland they don't seem to like the cold. Go figure.
    Maybe he's fallen for that Viking "if we call it Greenland, everyone will think it's lovely" trick.
    The next 4 years are going to be one long saga.
    Only for those who let it get to them.

    If you ignore everyone who thinks he’s worse than Hitler, and everyone who thinks he’s the best thing to ever happen to America, and just stick to commenting on what he actually does rather than everything he says, life will be a lot less stressful.

    He’ll be just like any other president, there will be good things he does and bad things he does, but in 2028 there will be another election and his name won’t be on the ballot.
    The things people say can do good or harm too.
    Yes, but when you’re dealing with someone who likes running his mouth on Twitter 24 hours a day, sometimes it’s better for your sanity to just ignore him. Most of the time he’s talking bollocks, just to try and provoke a reaction from certain elements of the media.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,331



    Liz Truss in Maga hat will be at the inauguration, apparently.

    I was talking with another former MP who like Liz hopes to return to the next parliament. He said the costs of staying in Washington meant it was a no no for anyone like him not being fully employed. He said the Westminster talk was that the cost for Farage was so great that even he was only going not to offend the Donald
    Surely you stay in somewhere like Scranton and then hire a car to drive you on the day?
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,331
    CD13 said:

    I listened into a Parliamentary debate yesterday; Dire. Politicians at their absolute worst.They were discussing the faults of the MHRA - It seems they rely on science rather than knowing stuff naturally by being brought up in the right company and being posh.

    That seems to be the problem with Trump and his cronies. How did the i.v. injections of disinfectant as a cure for COVID go, gents?

    Yesterday was a cold shower in why the political aphorism of scientists being 'on tap' but not 'on top' is still in control in Westminster.

    Any foreign protein administered to the body can have side effects, however the tests before they are allowed now are extremely rigorous. Some moron with an IQ in single figures can become an MP and stand up in the House and mention thalidomide to have nodding donkeys all around. Ignorance I can put up with, but have we elected a bunch of Trumps too.


    It depends what they said about thalidomide.

    It is a potent angiogenesis-inhibitor that is an effective treatment for multiple myeloma
This discussion has been closed.