"I shouldn't have left" -- Trump now says he shouldn't have left office on January 20, 2021
Trump is really leaning into pushing baseless preemptive claims of election fraud today, which is how you know he's losing
Trump is exuding big whiny baby loser energy this morning
Wait:
I thought Trump was campaigning in California and New Mexico because he knew he was winning?
The candidates know nothing. And, fwiw, I suspect Trump knows even less than nothing, because underlings will try and keep bad news from him.
It's the Downfall meme:
- Sir, you're behind in Iowa. Ann Selzer has found that suburban women are turning out in large numbers to vote against you. - Did I not say I would protect women? Did I not say I would protect them whether they like it or not? What more could I have done?
George Osborne says he has found more support for Trump amongst company executives and major figures on Wall Street at conferences he attends now than he did in 2016. More evidence for a Trump popular vote win by making inroads on the coasts and with Latinos and Black men while Harris may yet scrape home in the EC by gains with white women and rural white voters in the Midwest and Pennsylvania? https://x.com/polcurrency/status/1852372642465997149
I'm thinking George Osborn doesn't have much dealings with young women of limited means, wondering how the hell they are going to cope if their boyfriend gets them pregnant and there's no option of an abortion.
That he meets lots of hedge fund managers delighted at the prospect of their taxes being lowered is not exactly surprising.
Am I just naive? I refuse to believe that corruption is rampant across our body politics. I’ve been in positions at a local government level where it might have been worth bunging me something, never got offered anything or even hinted at. The police do not mess around with this kind of stuff. If there was dodgy stuff going on they wouldn’t be able to stop falling over themselves to chase it down. Careers are made on taking down dodgy politicians. I always think it’s worth remembering that a cabinet minister went to jail, yes, went to jail for getting his wife to take his three speeding points. An act in itself if we are being honest is trivial and could have been swept under the carpet with a telling off and not be so stupid. But no he was pursued and went to jail. It will be the same if anything comes out of Covid. Jail. Back to Covid, we had a pm and a chancellor. Two of the three highest offices of state of HMG who got fixed penalties for been present when someone else presented them some cake whilst they were at work. The chancellor even left the room a few minutes after it started, yet still got a fine.
If something stinks the police either are on it, will be on it, or it didn’t really stink after all.
christ, you're as green as grass
Every local facebook group I have ever been a member on has a list of people claiming council planning decisions are the consequence of brown paper envelopes. They are utterly convinced that Bob Useless the chairman of the local planning committee is getting bungs from a national house builder.
I have actually seen a brown paper envelope pass hands between two people, early one morning in one of the villages on the road to Cork.
I haven't lined down here long enough to recognise the two people involved in the transaction, and it may have simply been two farmers transacting legitimate business, but it certainly looked a bit odd.
A friend owed me £500 I'd lent her. She produced it from her cleavage. Onlookers wwere quizzically wondering why she was paying ME...
Was this a storage situation or was the money somehow being generated? As that would be a rare talent.
There’s arguments both ways. Pylons are not exactly beautiful, but then much of the countryside isn’t that beautiful either. If there was infinite money perhaps burying the lines would be best, but we don’t have infinite money.
How they look is irrelevant.
No, it’s not. Lots of people believe in beauty and in the intrinsic beauty of the world around them. Maybe you don’t, but others do.
Yes it is totally irrelevant.
Rejecting infrastructure because you don’t like how it looks is not grounds for not having it. That’s one of the key reasons everything takes so long.
HS2, don’t like a train line so we have to build it in a tunnel at massive expense. Should have just said bugger off and build it anyway.
Phone masts - don’t like how they look. Too bad, we need coverage.
Houses - don’t like how they look. Too bad, we need houses.
Houses don't have to be hideous, unlike apparently pylons and phone masts. Some can be stunningly beautiful.
But the moronic Angela Rayner has systematically stripped all provision for beauty in housing out of the proposed legislation and the dismal modernist architectural profession we have will ensure that any new houses are unbelievably ugly, thereby ensuring local opposition and delaying the houses we desperately need even longer.
Am I just naive? I refuse to believe that corruption is rampant across our body politics. I’ve been in positions at a local government level where it might have been worth bunging me something, never got offered anything or even hinted at. The police do not mess around with this kind of stuff. If there was dodgy stuff going on they wouldn’t be able to stop falling over themselves to chase it down. Careers are made on taking down dodgy politicians. I always think it’s worth remembering that a cabinet minister went to jail, yes, went to jail for getting his wife to take his three speeding points. An act in itself if we are being honest is trivial and could have been swept under the carpet with a telling off and not be so stupid. But no he was pursued and went to jail. It will be the same if anything comes out of Covid. Jail. Back to Covid, we had a pm and a chancellor. Two of the three highest offices of state of HMG who got fixed penalties for been present when someone else presented them some cake whilst they were at work. The chancellor even left the room a few minutes after it started, yet still got a fine.
If something stinks the police either are on it, will be on it, or it didn’t really stink after all.
christ, you're as green as grass
Every local facebook group I have ever been a member on has a list of people claiming council planning decisions are the consequence of brown paper envelopes. They are utterly convinced that Bob Useless the chairman of the local planning committee is getting bungs from a national house builder.
I have actually seen a brown paper envelope pass hands between two people, early one morning in one of the villages on the road to Cork.
I haven't lined down here long enough to recognise the two people involved in the transaction, and it may have simply been two farmers transacting legitimate business, but it certainly looked a bit odd.
A friend owed me £500 I'd lent her. She produced it from her cleavage. Onlookers wwere quizzically wondering why she was paying ME...
Was this a storage situation or was the money somehow being generated? As that would be a rare talent.
Some years ago, I was at a party in St Andrews, when I got a call.
A lady, asked, given the strange and cryptic conversation, whether that was my drug dealer.
There’s arguments both ways. Pylons are not exactly beautiful, but then much of the countryside isn’t that beautiful either. If there was infinite money perhaps burying the lines would be best, but we don’t have infinite money.
How they look is irrelevant.
Now over these small hills, they have built the concrete That trails black wire Pylons, those pillars Bare like nude giant girls that have no secret.
The valley with its gilt and evening look And the green chestnut Of customary root, Are mocked dry like the parched bed of a brook.
There’s arguments both ways. Pylons are not exactly beautiful, but then much of the countryside isn’t that beautiful either. If there was infinite money perhaps burying the lines would be best, but we don’t have infinite money.
How they look is irrelevant.
No, it’s not. Lots of people believe in beauty and in the intrinsic beauty of the world around them. Maybe you don’t, but others do.
Yes it is totally irrelevant.
Rejecting infrastructure because you don’t like how it looks is not grounds for not having it. That’s one of the key reasons everything takes so long.
HS2, don’t like a train line so we have to build it in a tunnel at massive expense. Should have just said bugger off and build it anyway.
Phone masts - don’t like how they look. Too bad, we need coverage.
Houses - don’t like how they look. Too bad, we need houses.
Houses don't have to be hideous, unlike apparently pylons and phone masts. Some can be stunningly beautiful.
But the moronic Angela Rayner has systematically stripped all provision for beauty in housing out of the proposed legislation and the dismal modernist architectural profession we have will ensure that any new houses are unbelievably ugly, thereby ensuring local opposition and delaying the houses we desperately need even longer.
I'm sceptical keeping that provision in would have had a significant deleterious effect on local oppoisition, but its removal was still a mistake.
There’s arguments both ways. Pylons are not exactly beautiful, but then much of the countryside isn’t that beautiful either. If there was infinite money perhaps burying the lines would be best, but we don’t have infinite money.
There's a precedent. In the 1930s, wityh the rise of the National Grid and the CEGB, the pylon designs had to be checked over by the aesthetic experts - Royal Fine Art Commission or whoever it was.
Wonder whether Horse would like his mobile masts sussed out by the Tate Gallery? (mild joke)
There’s arguments both ways. Pylons are not exactly beautiful, but then much of the countryside isn’t that beautiful either. If there was infinite money perhaps burying the lines would be best, but we don’t have infinite money.
How they look is irrelevant.
No, it’s not. Lots of people believe in beauty and in the intrinsic beauty of the world around them. Maybe you don’t, but others do.
Yes it is totally irrelevant.
Rejecting infrastructure because you don’t like how it looks is not grounds for not having it. That’s one of the key reasons everything takes so long.
HS2, don’t like a train line so we have to build it in a tunnel at massive expense. Should have just said bugger off and build it anyway.
Phone masts - don’t like how they look. Too bad, we need coverage.
Houses - don’t like how they look. Too bad, we need houses.
Houses don't have to be hideous, unlike apparently pylons and phone masts. Some can be stunningly beautiful.
But the moronic Angela Rayner has systematically stripped all provision for beauty in housing out of the proposed legislation and the dismal modernist architectural profession we have will ensure that any new houses are unbelievably ugly, thereby ensuring local opposition and delaying the houses we desperately need even longer.
She's only been in office four months. Was there not a problem before?
In nearby Llantwit Major the locals are up in arms at Ukrainian refugees being housed in modular housing. Not because the housing is substandard or ugly but because there are foreigners within the walls.
At least 41% of all registered Michigan voters have already cast their ballot, @JujuChangABC reports from the key battleground state just two days before Election Day.
George Osborne says he has found more support for Trump amongst company executives and major figures on Wall Street at conferences he attends now than he did in 2016. More evidence for a Trump popular vote win by making inroads on the coasts and with Latinos and Black men while Harris may yet scrape home in the EC by gains with white women and rural white voters in the Midwest and Pennsylvania? https://x.com/polcurrency/status/1852372642465997149
This is a distinctive position you're staking out for yourself here. Trump shades the PV but Harris hangs on to the rustbelt and wins the presidency. Really doubt it - I think she'll win both PV and EC comfortably - but if it does happen you'll be entitled to a chocolate hobnob.
There’s arguments both ways. Pylons are not exactly beautiful, but then much of the countryside isn’t that beautiful either. If there was infinite money perhaps burying the lines would be best, but we don’t have infinite money.
How they look is irrelevant.
Now over these small hills, they have built the concrete That trails black wire Pylons, those pillars Bare like nude giant girls that have no secret.
The valley with its gilt and evening look And the green chestnut Of customary root, Are mocked dry like the parched bed of a brook.
Encase your legs in nylons, Bestride your hills with pylons O age without a soul; Away with gentle willows And all the elmy billows That through your valleys roll.
Let’s say goodbye to hedges And roads with grassy edges And winding country lanes; [...].
@mikeysmith Pennsylvania senator John Fetterman giving a deliciously sweary interview on CNN. After dismissing Trump's early "election integrity" noises as "the same shit he tried in 2020", he says: "My version of being a man is I like rib eyes, I like Motörhead and I dont pick on trans kids. It doesn't make you a man to pick on trans kids, it just makes you an asshole."
Am I just naive? I refuse to believe that corruption is rampant across our body politics. I’ve been in positions at a local government level where it might have been worth bunging me something, never got offered anything or even hinted at. The police do not mess around with this kind of stuff. If there was dodgy stuff going on they wouldn’t be able to stop falling over themselves to chase it down. Careers are made on taking down dodgy politicians. I always think it’s worth remembering that a cabinet minister went to jail, yes, went to jail for getting his wife to take his three speeding points. An act in itself if we are being honest is trivial and could have been swept under the carpet with a telling off and not be so stupid. But no he was pursued and went to jail. It will be the same if anything comes out of Covid. Jail. Back to Covid, we had a pm and a chancellor. Two of the three highest offices of state of HMG who got fixed penalties for been present when someone else presented them some cake whilst they were at work. The chancellor even left the room a few minutes after it started, yet still got a fine.
If something stinks the police either are on it, will be on it, or it didn’t really stink after all.
christ, you're as green as grass
Every local facebook group I have ever been a member on has a list of people claiming council planning decisions are the consequence of brown paper envelopes. They are utterly convinced that Bob Useless the chairman of the local planning committee is getting bungs from a national house builder.
I have actually seen a brown paper envelope pass hands between two people, early one morning in one of the villages on the road to Cork.
I haven't lined down here long enough to recognise the two people involved in the transaction, and it may have simply been two farmers transacting legitimate business, but it certainly looked a bit odd.
A friend owed me £500 I'd lent her. She produced it from her cleavage. Onlookers wwere quizzically wondering why she was paying ME...
Was this a storage situation or was the money somehow being generated? As that would be a rare talent.
Some years ago, I was at a party in St Andrews, when I got a call.
A lady, asked, given the strange and cryptic conversation, whether that was my drug dealer.
I explained, no, that was my arms dealer.
So what does that tell you about your demeanour? Do try to brush your lapels!
"I shouldn't have left" -- Trump now says he shouldn't have left office on January 20, 2021
Trump is really leaning into pushing baseless preemptive claims of election fraud today, which is how you know he's losing
Trump is exuding big whiny baby loser energy this morning
Wait:
I thought Trump was campaigning in California and New Mexico because he knew he was winning?
The candidates know nothing. And, fwiw, I suspect Trump knows even less than nothing, because underlings will try and keep bad news from him.
It's the Downfall meme:
- Sir, you're behind in Iowa. Ann Selzer has found that suburban women are turning out in large numbers to vote against you. - Did I not say I would protect women? Did I not say I would protect them whether they like it or not? What more could I have done?
You're not being quite as irritating as usual today, William.
Early voting in some battleground states does indicate change in gender split.
Georgia: Votes already cast: 4,013k 2020 total vote: 5,000k
2024 Gender split so far: Women 56, Men 44
Now the gender split will change with remaining votes. But it won't change that much with so many votes already cast. Surely women will end up comprising at the very least 53% and most likely 54% or 55%.
"I shouldn't have left" -- Trump now says he shouldn't have left office on January 20, 2021
Trump is really leaning into pushing baseless preemptive claims of election fraud today, which is how you know he's losing
Trump is exuding big whiny baby loser energy this morning
Wait:
I thought Trump was campaigning in California and New Mexico because he knew he was winning?
The candidates know nothing. And, fwiw, I suspect Trump knows even less than nothing, because underlings will try and keep bad news from him.
It's the Downfall meme:
- Sir, you're behind in Iowa. Ann Selzer has found that suburban women are turning out in large numbers to vote against you. - Did I not say I would protect women? Did I not say I would protect them whether they like it or not? What more could I have done?
There’s arguments both ways. Pylons are not exactly beautiful, but then much of the countryside isn’t that beautiful either. If there was infinite money perhaps burying the lines would be best, but we don’t have infinite money.
How they look is irrelevant.
No, it’s not. Lots of people believe in beauty and in the intrinsic beauty of the world around them. Maybe you don’t, but others do.
Yes it is totally irrelevant.
Rejecting infrastructure because you don’t like how it looks is not grounds for not having it. That’s one of the key reasons everything takes so long.
HS2, don’t like a train line so we have to build it in a tunnel at massive expense. Should have just said bugger off and build it anyway.
Phone masts - don’t like how they look. Too bad, we need coverage.
Houses - don’t like how they look. Too bad, we need houses.
Houses don't have to be hideous, unlike apparently pylons and phone masts. Some can be stunningly beautiful.
But the moronic Angela Rayner has systematically stripped all provision for beauty in housing out of the proposed legislation and the dismal modernist architectural profession we have will ensure that any new houses are unbelievably ugly, thereby ensuring local opposition and delaying the houses we desperately need even longer.
Wasn't the idea the exact opposite? That 'beauty' is impossible to define, so was an easy target for anyone wanting to oppose/delay new house building?
Am I just naive? I refuse to believe that corruption is rampant across our body politics. I’ve been in positions at a local government level where it might have been worth bunging me something, never got offered anything or even hinted at. The police do not mess around with this kind of stuff. If there was dodgy stuff going on they wouldn’t be able to stop falling over themselves to chase it down. Careers are made on taking down dodgy politicians. I always think it’s worth remembering that a cabinet minister went to jail, yes, went to jail for getting his wife to take his three speeding points. An act in itself if we are being honest is trivial and could have been swept under the carpet with a telling off and not be so stupid. But no he was pursued and went to jail. It will be the same if anything comes out of Covid. Jail. Back to Covid, we had a pm and a chancellor. Two of the three highest offices of state of HMG who got fixed penalties for been present when someone else presented them some cake whilst they were at work. The chancellor even left the room a few minutes after it started, yet still got a fine.
If something stinks the police either are on it, will be on it, or it didn’t really stink after all.
christ, you're as green as grass
Every local facebook group I have ever been a member on has a list of people claiming council planning decisions are the consequence of brown paper envelopes. They are utterly convinced that Bob Useless the chairman of the local planning committee is getting bungs from a national house builder.
I have actually seen a brown paper envelope pass hands between two people, early one morning in one of the villages on the road to Cork.
I haven't lined down here long enough to recognise the two people involved in the transaction, and it may have simply been two farmers transacting legitimate business, but it certainly looked a bit odd.
A friend owed me £500 I'd lent her. She produced it from her cleavage. Onlookers wwere quizzically wondering why she was paying ME...
Was this a storage situation or was the money somehow being generated? As that would be a rare talent.
Some years ago, I was at a party in St Andrews, when I got a call.
A lady, asked, given the strange and cryptic conversation, whether that was my drug dealer.
I explained, no, that was my arms dealer.
I can think of one or two well-to-do ladies in Hepburn Gardens who would be cheeky enough to ask that question.
As much as I would prefer that outcome, I’m not sure the NY times endorsing Harris has the desired effect in large swathes of the US. Obviously more useful than the Guardian endorsing her but not quite Fox switching to her.
"Half of all food at National Trust cafes will be vegan within 2 years in a move backed by two third of members. 57,498 voted in favour and 20,111 against"
Sunday Times page 13
I’m wondering whether this could actually be in breach of their charitable obligations from a fiduciary perspective.
(My view, FWIW, is that this should be a commercial decision not a democratic or political one)
Assuming that this is a sub-optimal commercial arrangement then surely the trustees are not acting in line with its obligations
Start investing in Nikki Haley, for post MAGA Republican nomination?
When the orange gobshite goes down in flames on Tuesday night, the recriminations in Republican circles are going to be a thing of beauty. Two time losers are not forgiven.
The Selzer Iowa poll is very similar to the Kansas poll last week, as observed by Kos. These local polls are not starting with received wisdom and working backwards. There’s the difference.
As much as I would prefer that outcome, I’m not sure the NY times endorsing Harris has the desired effect in large swathes of the US. Obviously more useful than the Guardian endorsing her but not quite Fox switching to her.
The NYT as with all (once) print media is not what it was.
So far as I can see all of the great press in the UK have destroyed themselves. There's a hint of life a the Spectator, but it's like needing light when your pubes are on fire.
South Korea will likely release hundreds of thousands of artillery shells to Ukraine, so probably a net loss to Russia.
One would hope so. Thank goodness that we've got South Korea to keep the peace in Europe.
Definitely in South Korea’s interests to wipe out North Korean Troops, especially those in danger of becoming battle trained/hardened.
Who would have predicted a proxy war between North and South Korea on European soil a few years ago?
Given the abdication of Europe on defense seem innate…
There was a hilarious opinion piece the the rest from a German politician - apparently at a defence related conference (multi lateral), the Poles weren’t following the line Germany wanted - what is the world coming to?
The new Tory leader takes charge with a tepid endorsement from her party’s members, two-thirds of her parliamentary colleagues preferring someone else and prominent names declaring that they have no desire to serve in her shadow cabinet.
In her acceptance speech, she described the task ahead as “tough”, which is an understatement. The July election was the worst result for the Conservative party, both in terms of vote share and seats won, since 1832. I am not among those who think this means the Tories can never recover. They have been pronounced dead and buried in the past only then to rise from the grave. But they are unlikely to start recovering until – and unless – they have an honest reckoning with themselves about their multiple failings in government.
Surveys suggest that very few voters think the Conservatives lost the election because they were too left wing while the majority of those with an opinion put it down to their incompetence.
One of the biggest challenges for the new leader of the opposition, and especially when the Tory parliamentary presence is so small, will be persuading voters to pay them any heed. The case made for Mrs Badenoch by her promoters is that she is “box office” with a gift for grabbing attention. What she has often failed to grasp is that there is such a thing as the wrong kind of attention. “Still in development” is the assessment of one reasonably sympathetic senior Tory.
Conservatives have displayed next to no interest in atoning for all the things voters came to loathe about them. There has never been a comprehensive repudiation of Boris Johnson for debauching standards in public life. Nor has there been an expression of suitably abject contrition for Liz Truss’s calamitous experiment with the economy. Nor have senior Tories had the humility to acknowledge that they left a super-massive black hole in the Treasury’s books. When you have fouled up as badly and as repeatedly as the Conservatives did in government, the first step to redemption with the electorate is to own your blunders and express regret for them.
Even if voters become persistently discontented with Sir Keir’s government, the Tories are delusional if they imagine that this means the public will simply collapse back into their embrace and tell the Conservatives all is forgiven. Not least because so far the Tories have been almost completely incapable of recognising how much forgiveness they will need before they are taken seriously again. If Kemi Badenoch wants to get a hearing from the British people, she is first going to have to say sorry. And she is going to have to say it a lot.
I think this is why Badenoch was the better choice. Jenrick was continuity sleaze.
Kemi's victory speech was clear that big mistakes were made by the Tories in office and that they need to have a long hard look at themselves.
Her musings in the past that WFP should be scrapped (which she rowed back on when it became Labour policy) and on Maternity pay being too generous shows a real willingness to make deep cuts to welfare and pensions in order to move to a low tax country.
I wonder if she has the courage to scrap the Triple Lock. She just might.
Badenoch’s weakness is that she is very tribal, aggressively so. The most successful politicians have the ability to look over the party horizon and sympathise without and understand voters that make other choices. She shares Corbyns disdain for the opposition. Evangelical self righteousness makes big tent politics far harder.
Kemi is more agnostic Catholic than evangelical. Her husband Hamish is Roman Catholic.
“My mother’s father. My paternal grandmother was a Muslim, though to be fair she did convert in later life. My family’s sort of Anglican and Methodist. My maternal grandfather was a Methodist reverend.”
ConHome: “And where did he practice?”
Badenoch: “In Nigeria. I was born here [in Wimbledon], but I call myself first generation, because I grew up in Nigeria and I chose to come back here. So I’m agnostic really, but I was brought up with cultural Christian values.”
ConHome: “Have you had your children baptised?”
Badenoch: “Yes, because I’m married to a Catholic [she and Hamish Badenoch, whose mother emigrated from Ireland, have two children].”
ConHome: “They’re being brought up as Catholics, are they?”
I mean she doesn’t believe in God. So the rest is gravy. Let’s not go there again. First time we have had atheists leading both big parties.
No, agnostics are not atheists and as she is married to a Roman Catholic and bringing up her children as Roman Catholic she is more religious than secular atheist. Even Starmer while an atheist, not even agnostic, is married to a Jewish lady and bringing up his children Jewish.
Cleverly was an atheist too but was knocked out in the MPs round
There's a difference between religion-as-culture and religion-as-belief. I realise England is the country that invented Anglicanism to give agnostics a nice place to sit, but even so belief is the dividing line
Agnostics by definition neither don't believe in God or have belief in God, they are like Independent swing voters on religion and often culturally religious even if not believers.
Atheists are anti religion as well as not believing in God, active religious believe in God and are culturally religious and worshippers too
Agnostics generally don’t do religion, however. They might go to Xmas carols, but atheists do that too. They are functionally closer to atheists.
No they aren't, most atheists never go to any religious service on principle
You don't know jack.
Its quite funny how you insist "atheists" do this or that without being one yourself based on your own suppositions and prejudices.
For an atheist, religion is just fiction. I have no more principled an objection to going to a Christmas Carol service, or Nativity, than I would a principled objection going to a performance of Les Misérables or Wicked.
I'll as happily go to a singalong of Oh Come All Ye Faithful as I will Defying Gravity.
There's no principled reason why you need to believe fiction is real to enjoy it.
Atheists up and down the country will enjoy Christmas Carols this year like every year. Because we're not miserable shits.
Oh I do know jack, you are an atheist Labour voting, pensioner hater. The fact you might go to the odd school Nativity play or carol service doesn't mean you will be going to church, even at Christmas or Easter
I'm not a pensioner hater, I just think pensioners should be treated the same as everyone else. Get benefits only if they actually need them, and pay the same tax rate as working people (including NI on all their earnings including pensions).
As for the latter, why would I go to Church? I'll go if I'm invited, eg for a wedding, and have no more an objection to that than any other venue. I'll also go to see my kids perform in Brownies/Guides which is hosted by the Church and their Christmas services has religious elements to it.
You claimed we object in principle to religious services and won't go to carols etc - that's bollocks. I'll go to a religious service, I'll just think of it as the same as any other fiction - a work of fiction not to be taken seriously.
You should take it seriously out of respect for those who don’t believe. By that I mean no public guffawing during the service…
"Half of all food at National Trust cafes will be vegan within 2 years in a move backed by two third of members. 57,498 voted in favour and 20,111 against"
Sunday Times page 13
At least not 100% which I would not be surprised some of the woke NT wanted
How long before they have to revisit that, when piles of vegan food goes to waste and punters can't get their shepherds pie and bacon sarnies...
Yes, just ensure you eat meat when go to NT properties or cream filled scones and cakes and leave the vegan options to the vegans or don't eat there at all if none left
God doesn't eat meat!
Uh yes he does, the passover meal for starters was lamb
Do you know he ate it? The bible only mentioned bread and wine
Start investing in Nikki Haley, for post MAGA Republican nomination?
When the orange gobshite goes down in flames on Tuesday night, the recriminations in Republican circles are going to be a thing of beauty. Two time losers are not forgiven.
The Selzer Iowa poll is very similar to the Kansas poll last week, as observed by Kos. These local polls are not starting with received wisdom and working backwards. There’s the difference.
The Kansas poll is interesting because Trump is still comfortably ahead by 10 points when you look at all voters, but the race narrows when you exclude people who say they are not planning to vote.
"I shouldn't have left" -- Trump now says he shouldn't have left office on January 20, 2021
Trump is really leaning into pushing baseless preemptive claims of election fraud today, which is how you know he's losing
Trump is exuding big whiny baby loser energy this morning
Wait:
I thought Trump was campaigning in California and New Mexico because he knew he was winning?
The candidates know nothing. And, fwiw, I suspect Trump knows even less than nothing, because underlings will try and keep bad news from him.
It's the Downfall meme:
- Sir, you're behind in Iowa. Ann Selzer has found that suburban women are turning out in large numbers to vote against you. - Did I not say I would protect women? Did I not say I would protect them whether they like it or not? What more could I have done?
Am I just naive? I refuse to believe that corruption is rampant across our body politics. I’ve been in positions at a local government level where it might have been worth bunging me something, never got offered anything or even hinted at. The police do not mess around with this kind of stuff. If there was dodgy stuff going on they wouldn’t be able to stop falling over themselves to chase it down. Careers are made on taking down dodgy politicians. I always think it’s worth remembering that a cabinet minister went to jail, yes, went to jail for getting his wife to take his three speeding points. An act in itself if we are being honest is trivial and could have been swept under the carpet with a telling off and not be so stupid. But no he was pursued and went to jail. It will be the same if anything comes out of Covid. Jail. Back to Covid, we had a pm and a chancellor. Two of the three highest offices of state of HMG who got fixed penalties for been present when someone else presented them some cake whilst they were at work. The chancellor even left the room a few minutes after it started, yet still got a fine.
If something stinks the police either are on it, will be on it, or it didn’t really stink after all.
christ, you're as green as grass
Every local facebook group I have ever been a member on has a list of people claiming council planning decisions are the consequence of brown paper envelopes. They are utterly convinced that Bob Useless the chairman of the local planning committee is getting bungs from a national house builder.
I have actually seen a brown paper envelope pass hands between two people, early one morning in one of the villages on the road to Cork.
I haven't lined down here long enough to recognise the two people involved in the transaction, and it may have simply been two farmers transacting legitimate business, but it certainly looked a bit odd.
A friend owed me £500 I'd lent her. She produced it from her cleavage. Onlookers wwere quizzically wondering why she was paying ME...
Was this a storage situation or was the money somehow being generated? As that would be a rare talent.
Reminds me of that probably apocryphal story about the woman who would go to any payment desk at high end department stores being staffed by a man and withdraw her credit card from her cleavage. Apparently she got away with thousands of pounds worth of goods before anyone noticed her credit card was declined.
"Half of all food at National Trust cafes will be vegan within 2 years in a move backed by two third of members. 57,498 voted in favour and 20,111 against"
Sunday Times page 13
I’m wondering whether this could actually be in breach of their charitable obligations from a fiduciary perspective.
(My view, FWIW, is that this should be a commercial decision not a democratic or political one)
Assuming that this is a sub-optimal commercial arrangement then surely the trustees are not acting in line with its obligations
If you see the whole context of the motions, linked to earlier on. It’s like a Green Party manifesto. Utterly grim stuff. Conservatives need to be aware when this is happening, the hollowing out of institutions by activists.
There’s arguments both ways. Pylons are not exactly beautiful, but then much of the countryside isn’t that beautiful either. If there was infinite money perhaps burying the lines would be best, but we don’t have infinite money.
How they look is irrelevant.
No, it’s not. Lots of people believe in beauty and in the intrinsic beauty of the world around them. Maybe you don’t, but others do.
Yes it is totally irrelevant.
Rejecting infrastructure because you don’t like how it looks is not grounds for not having it. That’s one of the key reasons everything takes so long.
HS2, don’t like a train line so we have to build it in a tunnel at massive expense. Should have just said bugger off and build it anyway.
Phone masts - don’t like how they look. Too bad, we need coverage.
Houses - don’t like how they look. Too bad, we need houses.
People that reject things for visual reasons are my least favourite kinds of people.
The thing is you can build pylons that are more attractive with one design instead of another. Same with houses. There are ugly buildings and beautiful buildings.
I think it makes a big difference to people to live in an environment that they can be proud of, that looks beautiful. This isn't a matter of building, or not building, but of building well, and this comes down to a matter of who is making the decisions.
A beancounter in Shanghai looking to maximise the return on their investment in Britain will choose the cheapest option every time, regardless of how ugly it is. But if the people wanting to buy a house get to choose the design that is built then they might choose to pay a bit more for a more beautiful home.
It pains me to say it, but never bank on expanded voter turnout.
Even the famous Corbyn youthquake in 2017 turned out to be nothing of the sort when the stats came in.
Trump is also banking on new voters - in his case alienated nihilistic young men. Harris has solid poll leads amongst 'engaged' citizens, ie people who always vote.
What has Trump done to engage nihilistic young men that he hadn't done in 2016 or 2020 though? Surely that vein is tapped out already.
Whereas young (and elderly) women concerned about their freedom is a change from 2020.
Quite a bit. Eg the podcast with Rogan, lots of targeted SM activity, the idea being to get these 'bro' types out and voting for male supremacy. No doubt it will have paid a dividend but at the price of putting off others. Much of Trump's campaign has been of an "oh yuck" nature. In any case, just looking at the low propensity side of things, I think as an army the bros will be overwhelmed by Harris's female equivalent.
SM activity, online trolls etc have been a big thing for the QAnon/Trump crazies for the past 8 years.
I'm not seeing many new votes there for Trump. He's doubling down on what he already had.
I'm not too worried either.
Does anyone have links to actual data on the structure of the Trump vote, previously? I’ve heard it said that he got people to vote would normally didn’t, can’t find hard data.
"Half of all food at National Trust cafes will be vegan within 2 years in a move backed by two third of members. 57,498 voted in favour and 20,111 against"
Sunday Times page 13
At least not 100% which I would not be surprised some of the woke NT wanted
How long before they have to revisit that, when piles of vegan food goes to waste and punters can't get their shepherds pie and bacon sarnies...
Yes, just ensure you eat meat when go to NT properties or cream filled scones and cakes and leave the vegan options to the vegans or don't eat there at all if none left
God doesn't eat meat!
Uh yes he does, the passover meal for starters was lamb
No, he doesn't. Show me a video of him eating meat, then!
With AI you can't guarantee it's authentic footage.😂
God was an earlier adopter of technology. He did write the commandments on a tablet so there would be video footage. I understand he movies in mysterious ways.
He was also an early user of Apples so you can’t access because we’ve been kick out of the walled garden
Start investing in Nikki Haley, for post MAGA Republican nomination?
When the orange gobshite goes down in flames on Tuesday night, the recriminations in Republican circles are going to be a thing of beauty. Two time losers are not forgiven.
The Selzer Iowa poll is very similar to the Kansas poll last week, as observed by Kos. These local polls are not starting with received wisdom and working backwards. There’s the difference.
The Kansas poll is interesting because Trump is still comfortably ahead by 10 points when you look at all voters, but the race narrows when you exclude people who say they are not planning to vote.
Nate Silver is interesting on this: he says that historically, Democrats do better in Registered Voters than Likely Voters, but that this cycle it's flipped, and Democrats do better on Likely Voter measures.
Which is rather the opposite of the Kansas poll, no?
"Half of all food at National Trust cafes will be vegan within 2 years in a move backed by two third of members. 57,498 voted in favour and 20,111 against"
Sunday Times page 13
At least not 100% which I would not be surprised some of the woke NT wanted
How long before they have to revisit that, when piles of vegan food goes to waste and punters can't get their shepherds pie and bacon sarnies...
Yes, just ensure you eat meat when go to NT properties or cream filled scones and cakes and leave the vegan options to the vegans or don't eat there at all if none left
God doesn't eat meat!
Uh yes he does, the passover meal for starters was lamb
No, he doesn't. Show me a video of him eating meat, then!
With AI you can't guarantee it's authentic footage.😂
God was an earlier adopter of technology. He did write the commandments on a tablet so there would be video footage. I understand he movies in mysterious ways.
He was also an early user of Apples so you can’t access because we’ve been kick out of the walled garden
The record suggests that he may have had to do a big system reboot though.
Reaction Engines (the company attempting to promote the Skylon spaceplane design) has gone under.
What happened to British engineering that made it consistently fail? (Or at least the aspirational type)
The US came up with a better idea.
There were a lot of failed British engineering projects in the past. Brunel's atmospheric railway wasn't a success. Has the success rate gone down, or are there fewer projects in total, and so fewer successes?
There’s arguments both ways. Pylons are not exactly beautiful, but then much of the countryside isn’t that beautiful either. If there was infinite money perhaps burying the lines would be best, but we don’t have infinite money.
How they look is irrelevant.
No, it’s not. Lots of people believe in beauty and in the intrinsic beauty of the world around them. Maybe you don’t, but others do.
Yes it is totally irrelevant.
Rejecting infrastructure because you don’t like how it looks is not grounds for not having it. That’s one of the key reasons everything takes so long.
HS2, don’t like a train line so we have to build it in a tunnel at massive expense. Should have just said bugger off and build it anyway.
Phone masts - don’t like how they look. Too bad, we need coverage.
Houses - don’t like how they look. Too bad, we need houses.
People that reject things for visual reasons are my least favourite kinds of people.
The thing is you can build pylons that are more attractive with one design instead of another. Same with houses. There are ugly buildings and beautiful buildings.
I think it makes a big difference to people to live in an environment that they can be proud of, that looks beautiful. This isn't a matter of building, or not building, but of building well, and this comes down to a matter of who is making the decisions.
A beancounter in Shanghai looking to maximise the return on their investment in Britain will choose the cheapest option every time, regardless of how ugly it is. But if the people wanting to buy a house get to choose the design that is built then they might choose to pay a bit more for a more beautiful home.
Needs wholesale changes to how planning works, even minor changes need to go through the sausage machine. If you want an extra plug in the dining room Persimmon homes are going to want £250 for it, if you want a totally different house you need a different plot. Plenty of small builders do bespoke housing. But it is massively expensive compared to the box builders.
I noticed over £1.4 million came up today on the Trump lay side on bf, effectively creating a limit on how far he can drift in the betting.
Comments?
It's not me.
It's such a large amount of money that , I think, suddenly appeared this afternoon and makes me think that someone is trying to engineer that Trump remains favourite. Is this likely on a UK betting market?
"Half of all food at National Trust cafes will be vegan within 2 years in a move backed by two third of members. 57,498 voted in favour and 20,111 against"
Sunday Times page 13
I’m wondering whether this could actually be in breach of their charitable obligations from a fiduciary perspective.
(My view, FWIW, is that this should be a commercial decision not a democratic or political one)
Assuming that this is a sub-optimal commercial arrangement then surely the trustees are not acting in line with its obligations
The move may of course lead to an increase in the use of thermos flasks of strong coffee, and packets of home made beef sandwiches with just the right amount of mustard followed by a packet of jaffa cakes and some well warmed cheese. A tenth the price, twice the quality and, in the right place, weather and company, ambrosia, nectar and food for the soul.
People would still oppose pylons because they look ugly. Change the law so this cannot even be taken into account
It’s simple. If you want to control what is built, you have to own the land.
In two months travelling around the US, I only came across one solar farm. It was on the hillside of the French Broad river, right across from the Lover’s Leap trail viewpoint, and had created an unsightly scar on the hillside, and as a north facing slope the solar panels had to be installed facing back upslope.
As a visiting European, I was left thinking why they had built it there, at a spot that in any other country would be treated as a beauty spot, and sub optimal since the panels were all facing upslope.
But of course, in planning-free US, there is no ‘they’. Presumably whoever owned that land along the hillside by the scenic French Broad river just decided to build a solar farm, and went ahead and did it, leaving hikers to the beauty spot across the valley sitting there lookout at it.
Meanwhile I drove 6,608 miles across the US through landscapes often devoid of any interest or attractiveness, and never saw another solar farm.
Reaction Engines (the company attempting to promote the Skylon spaceplane design) has gone under.
What happened to British engineering that made it consistently fail? (Or at least the aspirational type)
The US came up with a better idea.
It used to be believed that staging was expensive, difficult and dangerous. And stacking stages took weeks. It used to be believed that reusable space launch was only possible with exotic structural technology.
This have’s us designs like Skylon, which has been described as Mach 25 airship, in terms of structural design. Plus ultra exotic engines. The whole thing could only be tested by building it, at a cost of multiple billions.
Meanwhile, someone figured out that a full face shut off, pintle injector LOX/Kero rocket engine (1960s basic tech) could be refined in performance* enough to support some pretty startling mass fractions. Which gave you enough performance in a 2 stage rocket, to do propulsive landings of the first stage…
*worlds best performance in a number of areas.
Essentially, no exotic technology was required. The innovation was an iterative design. Bit like the Rolls Royce Merlin - which went from 650hp and broke down after 1/2 an hour to 2000hp in 8 hour tests by the end of the war.
The repeated problem in British innovation is the Unique British Solution, like High Test Peroxide in rockets, which is pushed until reality waves hello.
"Half of all food at National Trust cafes will be vegan within 2 years in a move backed by two third of members. 57,498 voted in favour and 20,111 against"
Sunday Times page 13
I’m wondering whether this could actually be in breach of their charitable obligations from a fiduciary perspective.
(My view, FWIW, is that this should be a commercial decision not a democratic or political one)
Assuming that this is a sub-optimal commercial arrangement then surely the trustees are not acting in line with its obligations
The move may of course lead to an increase in the use of thermos flasks of strong coffee, and packets of home made beef sandwiches with just the right amount of mustard followed by a packet of jaffa cakes and some well warmed cheese. A tenth the price, twice the quality and, in the right place, weather and company, ambrosia, nectar and food for the soul.
In any case, a lot of the food there in any NT cafe *is* vegan already, or as good as. Bread, coffee, vegetables, and so on.
Well, it’s not the first time one of the parties has tried to rubbish a Selzer poll. I suspect it is causing panic in GOP circles, because seasoned operatives will know that Selzer has an impressive reputation.
"Half of all food at National Trust cafes will be vegan within 2 years in a move backed by two third of members. 57,498 voted in favour and 20,111 against"
Sunday Times page 13
At least not 100% which I would not be surprised some of the woke NT wanted
How long before they have to revisit that, when piles of vegan food goes to waste and punters can't get their shepherds pie and bacon sarnies...
Yes, just ensure you eat meat when go to NT properties or cream filled scones and cakes and leave the vegan options to the vegans or don't eat there at all if none left
God doesn't eat meat!
Uh yes he does, the passover meal for starters was lamb
Do you know he ate it? The bible only mentioned bread and wine
A pedant writes: 1) Luke records that Jesus's family - with the young Jesus - went every year to Jerusalem for passover. At passover you eat lamb. 2) John (but not the other gospels) records the adult Jesus going to Jerusalem for passover in years earlier than the famous final visit.
Further note: Jesus's closests mates were fishermen, and the feeding of the 5000 included fish. Conclusions can be drawn from all this about whether Jesus was a vegan/veggie. He wasn't.
I noticed over £1.4 million came up today on the Trump lay side on bf, effectively creating a limit on how far he can drift in the betting.
Comments?
It's not me.
It's such a large amount of money that , I think, suddenly appeared this afternoon and makes me think that someone is trying to engineer that Trump remains favourite. Is this likely on a UK betting market?
So what the memo is saying is that, if the electorate is the same as 2020, believe Emerson. Really?
One word. Abortion.
It is an irony that abortion will lose him an election, an issue he couldn’t really give a toss about.
Well yes:
He gave the Christian Right what they wanted, in return for the Presidency in 2016.
But it is likely costing him the election in 2024.
And the Christian Right, for what it's worth, are likely to end up with abortion being less restrictive in most States than it was prior to the abolition of Roe v Wade, as voters come out in State after State and vote via ballot propositions for legal abortion with much later terms than lawmakers had ever envisaged.
I noticed over £1.4 million came up today on the Trump lay side on bf, effectively creating a limit on how far he can drift in the betting.
Comments?
It's not me.
It's such a large amount of money that , I think, suddenly appeared this afternoon and makes me think that someone is trying to engineer that Trump remains favourite. Is this likely on a UK betting market?
Reaction Engines (the company attempting to promote the Skylon spaceplane design) has gone under.
What happened to British engineering that made it consistently fail? (Or at least the aspirational type)
The US came up with a better idea.
And a bloke on twitter implemented it better.
That wasn’t actually the better idea I was thinking of. SpaceX merely removed the biggest short/medium term potential market for them, by making conventional rockets a lot cheaper.
Start investing in Nikki Haley, for post MAGA Republican nomination?
When the orange gobshite goes down in flames on Tuesday night, the recriminations in Republican circles are going to be a thing of beauty. Two time losers are not forgiven.
The Selzer Iowa poll is very similar to the Kansas poll last week, as observed by Kos. These local polls are not starting with received wisdom and working backwards. There’s the difference.
The Kansas poll is interesting because Trump is still comfortably ahead by 10 points when you look at all voters, but the race narrows when you exclude people who say they are not planning to vote.
Nate Silver is interesting on this: he says that historically, Democrats do better in Registered Voters than Likely Voters, but that this cycle it's flipped, and Democrats do better on Likely Voter measures.
Which is rather the opposite of the Kansas poll, no?
It's ambiguous because they don't have a breakdown showing all registered voters. They just have three variants:
All Respondents: Trump 46.3%, Harris 36.5% All Respondents excluding those who cannot vote or don't plan to: Trump 49.9%, Harris 39.4% Registered voters excluding those who don't plan to vote: Trump 48.2%, Harris 43.2%
Reaction Engines (the company attempting to promote the Skylon spaceplane design) has gone under.
What happened to British engineering that made it consistently fail? (Or at least the aspirational type)
The US came up with a better idea.
It used to be believed that staging was expensive, difficult and dangerous. And stacking stages took weeks. It used to be believed that reusable space launch was only possible with exotic structural technology.
This have’s us designs like Skylon, which has been described as Mach 25 airship, in terms of structural design. Plus ultra exotic engines. The whole thing could only be tested by building it, at a cost of multiple billions.
Meanwhile, someone figured out that a full face shut off, pintle injector LOX/Kero rocket engine (1960s basic tech) could be refined in performance* enough to support some pretty startling mass fractions. Which gave you enough performance in a 2 stage rocket, to do propulsive landings of the first stage…
*worlds best performance in a number of areas.
Essentially, no exotic technology was required. The innovation was an iterative design. Bit like the Rolls Royce Merlin - which went from 650hp and broke down after 1/2 an hour to 2000hp in 8 hour tests by the end of the war.
The repeated problem in British innovation is the Unique British Solution, like High Test Peroxide in rockets, which is pushed until reality waves hello.
That, too. I suppose that qualifies as a better idea - but I was actually thinking of the startup which came up with the idea of separately powering the jet compressor with an electric motor. Which means they can run a conventional jet up to very high Mach numbers, more easily turning into a scramjet at higher speeds.
People would still oppose pylons because they look ugly. Change the law so this cannot even be taken into account
It’s simple. If you want to control what is built, you have to own the land.
In two months travelling around the US, I only came across one solar farm. It was on the hillside of the French Broad river, right across from the Lover’s Leap trail viewpoint, and had created an unsightly scar on the hillside, and as a north facing slope the solar panels had to be installed facing back upslope.
As a visiting European, I was left thinking why they had built it there, at a spot that in any other country would be treated as a beauty spot, and sub optimal since the panels were all facing upslope.
But of course, in planning-free US, there is no ‘they’. Presumably whoever owned that land along the hillside by the scenic French Broad river just decided to build a solar farm, and went ahead and did it, leaving hikers to the beauty spot across the valley sitting there lookout at it.
Meanwhile I drove 6,608 miles across the US through landscapes often devoid of any interest or attractiveness, and never saw another solar farm.
So what the memo is saying is that, if the electorate is the same as 2020, believe Emerson. Really?
One word. Abortion.
It is an irony that abortion will lose him an election, an issue he couldn’t really give a toss about.
Well yes:
He gave the Christian Right what they wanted, in return for the Presidency in 2016.
But it is likely costing him the election in 2024.
And the Christian Right, for what it's worth, are likely to end up with abortion being less restrictive in most States than it was prior to the abolition of Roe v Wade, as voters come out in State after State and vote via ballot propositions for legal abortion with much later terms than lawmakers had ever envisaged.
Karma of a sort. IMHO both Roe v Wade and massively curtailed abortion are/were wrong. It is obviously a matter for voters and legislators, not the constitution and courts. Where to balance the competing rights of mothers and the unborn does not admit of some single obvious answer. Neither science nor religion have any special insight into the matter, and those who think the answer is obvious or easy have not understood the question.
Reaction Engines (the company attempting to promote the Skylon spaceplane design) has gone under.
What happened to British engineering that made it consistently fail? (Or at least the aspirational type)
The US came up with a better idea.
And a bloke on twitter implemented it better.
That wasn’t actually the better idea I was thinking of. SpaceX merely removed the biggest short/medium term potential market for them, by making conventional rockets a lot cheaper.
Full reuse of both stages of a large, two stage rocket is probably below $50m million (cost) for 100 tons to orbit. Depending on the design, might drop to $20 million.
Skylon can’t compete with those numbers. Because of the high cost of development and the high cost of its exotic engines, it can’t fly that cheaply, per ton.
SpaceX got to cheap launch first. Then used to cheap launch to vastly expand *demand* for cheap launch.
Blue Origin are now chasing the same goal (New Glenn/Kuiper)
Comments
- Sir, you're behind in Iowa. Ann Selzer has found that suburban women are turning out in large numbers to vote against you.
- Did I not say I would protect women? Did I not say I would protect them whether they like it or not? What more could I have done?
That he meets lots of hedge fund managers delighted at the prospect of their taxes being lowered is not exactly surprising.
But the moronic Angela Rayner has systematically stripped all provision for beauty in housing out of the proposed legislation and the dismal modernist architectural profession we have will ensure that any new houses are unbelievably ugly, thereby ensuring local opposition and delaying the houses we desperately need even longer.
A lady, asked, given the strange and cryptic conversation, whether that was my drug dealer.
I explained, no, that was my arms dealer.
Now over these small hills, they have built the concrete
That trails black wire
Pylons, those pillars
Bare like nude giant girls that have no secret.
The valley with its gilt and evening look
And the green chestnut
Of customary root,
Are mocked dry like the parched bed of a brook.
Wonder whether Horse would like his mobile masts sussed out by the Tate Gallery? (mild joke)
In nearby Llantwit Major the locals are up in arms at Ukrainian refugees being housed in modular housing. Not because the housing is substandard or ugly but because there are foreigners within the walls.
@ThisWeekABC
At least 41% of all registered Michigan voters have already cast their ballot, @JujuChangABC
reports from the key battleground state just two days before Election Day.
“It is a nail-biter here.” https://trib.al/fxFygYz
https://x.com/ThisWeekABC/status/1853119073036501351
Bestride your hills with pylons
O age without a soul;
Away with gentle willows
And all the elmy billows
That through your valleys roll.
Let’s say goodbye to hedges
And roads with grassy edges
And winding country lanes; [...].
Pennsylvania senator John Fetterman giving a deliciously sweary interview on CNN. After dismissing Trump's early "election integrity" noises as "the same shit he tried in 2020", he says: "My version of being a man is I like rib eyes, I like Motörhead and I dont pick on trans kids. It doesn't make you a man to pick on trans kids, it just makes you an asshole."
https://x.com/mikeysmith/status/1853123867403080119
BREAKING: The New York Times Editorial Board just released this piece endorsing Kamala Harris.
https://x.com/harris_wins/status/1853104828316262716
Verstappen to win.
Georgia:
Votes already cast: 4,013k
2020 total vote: 5,000k
2024 Gender split so far: Women 56, Men 44
Now the gender split will change with remaining votes. But it won't change that much with so many votes already cast. Surely women will end up comprising at the very least 53% and most likely 54% or 55%.
Votes already cast: 4,440k
2020 total vote: 5,524k
2024 Gender split so far: Women 55, Men 44
NV is completely different - split so far is Women 44, Men 44 (Unknown 12).
Arizona in the middle at Women 48, Men 43 (Unknown 9).
"Everybody with a brain leave the room."
Here's how we bet on the 7 'swing' states:
Arizona
Reps - 1/3
Dems - 9/4
Georgia
Reps - 1/2
Dems - 13/8
Pennsylvania
Reps - Evens
Dems - 4/5
Wisconsin
Reps - 11/8
Dems - 4/7
Michigan
Reps - 7/4
Dems - 4/9
Nevada
Reps - 4/6
Dems - 6/5
N. Carolina
Reps - 4/7
Dems - 11/8
Votes already cast: 74,573k
2020 total vote: 158,429k
2024 Gender split so far: Women 53, Men 44 (Unknown 3)
This does feel like it might well support Selzer.
If those numbers are correct, they outnumber them by 20% this year.
I can't see how Trump wins if those gender splits hold.
GA and NC data looks absolutely key - in those states the amount of early vote in already is so high that the gender split cannot change that much.
https://x.com/fanofwalt/status/1853116045374234696
(My view, FWIW, is that this should be a commercial decision not a democratic or political one)
Assuming that this is a sub-optimal commercial arrangement then surely the trustees are not acting in line with its obligations
A captured Russian says North Koreans accidently shot two of them.
https://x.com/JayinKyiv/status/1852996428391428519
https://news.sky.com/story/british-aviation-pioneer-reaction-engines-crashes-into-administration-13245418
Reaction Engines (the company attempting to promote the Skylon spaceplane design) has gone under.
Women are going to protect the country from Donald Trump, whether he likes it or not...
The Selzer Iowa poll is very similar to the Kansas poll last week, as observed by Kos. These local polls are not starting with received wisdom and working backwards. There’s the difference.
So far as I can see all of the great press in the UK have destroyed themselves. There's a hint of life a the Spectator, but it's like needing light when your pubes are on fire.
There was a hilarious opinion piece the the rest from a German politician - apparently at a defence related conference (multi lateral), the Poles weren’t following the line Germany wanted - what is the world coming to?
Do you know he ate it? The bible only mentioned bread and wine
https://www.fhsu.edu/docking/Kansas-Speaks/2024-kansas-speaks-report-final.10.28.24.v3-corrected-final-bullet-in-exec-sum-to-now-compare-2024-and-2023-results2.pdf
If God hadn’t meant us to eat people, he wouldn’t have made them of meat
I think it makes a big difference to people to live in an environment that they can be proud of, that looks beautiful. This isn't a matter of building, or not building, but of building well, and this comes down to a matter of who is making the decisions.
A beancounter in Shanghai looking to maximise the return on their investment in Britain will choose the cheapest option every time, regardless of how ugly it is. But if the people wanting to buy a house get to choose the design that is built then they might choose to pay a bit more for a more beautiful home.
Perhaps he’s not quite so wrong, after all ?
CONFIDENTIAL MEMORANDUM
https://x.com/lxeagle17/status/1852908753110310915
Quality sign from someone’s lawn
https://x.com/reginalddhunter/status/1853093242503414045?s=61
Which is rather the opposite of the Kansas poll, no?
Comments?
Plenty of small builders do bespoke housing. But it is massively expensive compared to the box builders.
One word. Abortion.
As a visiting European, I was left thinking why they had built it there, at a spot that in any other country would be treated as a beauty spot, and sub optimal since the panels were all facing upslope.
But of course, in planning-free US, there is no ‘they’. Presumably whoever owned that land along the hillside by the scenic French Broad river just decided to build a solar farm, and went ahead and did it, leaving hikers to the beauty spot across the valley sitting there lookout at it.
Meanwhile I drove 6,608 miles across the US through landscapes often devoid of any interest or attractiveness, and never saw another solar farm.
This have’s us designs like Skylon, which has been described as Mach 25 airship, in terms of structural design. Plus ultra exotic engines. The whole thing could only be tested by building it, at a cost of multiple billions.
Meanwhile, someone figured out that a full face shut off, pintle injector LOX/Kero rocket engine (1960s basic tech) could be refined in performance* enough to support some pretty startling mass fractions. Which gave you enough performance in a 2 stage rocket, to do propulsive landings of the first stage…
*worlds best performance in a number of areas.
Essentially, no exotic technology was required. The innovation was an iterative design. Bit like the Rolls Royce Merlin - which went from 650hp and broke down after 1/2 an hour to 2000hp in 8 hour tests by the end of the war.
The repeated problem in British innovation is the Unique British Solution, like High Test Peroxide in rockets, which is pushed until reality waves hello.
1) Luke records that Jesus's family - with the young Jesus - went every year to Jerusalem for passover. At passover you eat lamb.
2) John (but not the other gospels) records the adult Jesus going to Jerusalem for passover in years earlier than the famous final visit.
Further note: Jesus's closests mates were fishermen, and the feeding of the 5000 included fish. Conclusions can be drawn from all this about whether Jesus was a vegan/veggie. He wasn't.
He gave the Christian Right what they wanted, in return for the Presidency in 2016.
But it is likely costing him the election in 2024.
And the Christian Right, for what it's worth, are likely to end up with abortion being less restrictive in most States than it was prior to the abolition of Roe v Wade, as voters come out in State after State and vote via ballot propositions for legal abortion with much later terms than lawmakers had ever envisaged.
SpaceX merely removed the biggest short/medium term potential market for them, by making conventional rockets a lot cheaper.
All Respondents: Trump 46.3%, Harris 36.5%
All Respondents excluding those who cannot vote or don't plan to: Trump 49.9%, Harris 39.4%
Registered voters excluding those who don't plan to vote: Trump 48.2%, Harris 43.2%
I suppose that qualifies as a better idea - but I was actually thinking of the startup which came up with the idea of separately powering the jet compressor with an electric motor.
Which means they can run a conventional jet up to very high Mach numbers, more easily turning into a scramjet at higher speeds.
Trump is a drag on the ticket except he channels a sentiment in his base that other Republicans can't touch, but at the expense of independents.
Skylon can’t compete with those numbers. Because of the high cost of development and the high cost of its exotic engines, it can’t fly that cheaply, per ton.
SpaceX got to cheap launch first. Then used to cheap launch to vastly expand *demand* for cheap launch.
Blue Origin are now chasing the same goal (New Glenn/Kuiper)