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Trump’s women problem? – politicalbetting.com

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  • DoctorGDoctorG Posts: 53
    Foxy said:

    DoctorG said:

    Foxy said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Though I thought this interesting:

    "“Farmers,” Clarkson said on the X social network, “I know that you have been shafted today. But please don’t despair. Just look after yourselves for five short years and this shower will be gone.”

    Yet Clarkson himself – or rather the prospective beneficiaries of his estate – may be among those “shafted”. Clarkson has previously said that he bought his 126-hectare (312-acre), £4.25m farm, Diddly Squat, in order to avoid inheritance tax on his estate. In a 2021 interview with The Times Clarkson said that avoiding inheritance tax was “the critical thing” in his decision to buy the farm."

    And later in the same article:

    "only 44% of the individuals who gained agricultural relief had received any trading income from agriculture at any point in the five years prior to death. It is “not the classic working farmers” who will bear the brunt of the changes, he argued. The change could help cool the rural property market because fewer people will buy a field as inheritance tax dodges"

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/nov/01/farmers-shocked-budget-inheritance-tax-estates

    So clearly this is a relief that has become a tax dodge for non-farmers. Whether this is the best solution to address the issue, I don't know.
    It's going to be interesting what the big estates do. They've used trusts as one means to keep themselves intact, interesting that the Government hint at closing loopholes over the next few years. Big consequences for tenant farmers if an estate is forcibly sold
    Aren't a lot of the land owners limited companies now? Certainly seem so round my way.

    For example Parker Farms Ltd have 12 000 acres of East Leics.
    Yes, much more down south. Dyson is the big one I'm aware of. I'm in Scotland, which is much more owner occupied. It seems virtually impossible for a farmer to buy neighbouring land in the south of England when it comes up for sale, investment companies are usually in first

    What it will do is (finally) force the older generation to take proper tax advice and get the issue sorted out before they pop their clogs. There are still loopholes, for now
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,521

    Full story here:

    https://today.yougov.com/society/articles/50845-women-and-politics-what-americans-think-about-the-2024-election

    This stood out for me:

    The share saying Trump respects women has increased slightly over time, especially among Republicans. In 2020, 29% said he respects women and in 2016, 26% said so. Among Republicans, the share saying he does rose to 71% from 65% in 2020 and 55% in 2016.

    Does staunch against trans matter more than the allegations? Or is it the kool-aid?

    Think of all the women who protested in favour of Khomeini, in 1979.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,709
    viewcode said:

    You didn't show The Picture of the ladies d'un certain age lusting after Trump intemperately.

    Aaaargh! Don't give him ideas...
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,942
    edited November 1
    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    A farmer isn’t necessarily an expert on tax policy
    The issue on tax is how people will behave. Townies have no idea of how people in the country think.
    Farmers aren't the brightest bulbs in the chandelier, I mean they thought Brexit would be a good idea despite all the evidence to the contrary.
    Lola farmer would beat you hands down in a negotiation.
    Yet the majority voted Brexit.

    You reap what you sow.

    You'd think they'd learnt that growing up on a farm.

    You reap what you sow.
    In recent years, they've not been able to reap anything because of all the fecking rain.
    A very poor harvest this year round my way.

    Between droughts, floods, wild fires and hurricanes are we finally going to start to take climate change seriously?
    It's still just weather. The problem is that even if the fires and floods are happening every single day, it will remain "weather" until central London is under 3 feet of water in a storm surge.

    The slow creep of climate change is why it is so dangerous. It usually takes something horrific and unusual, like a school shooting, for legislation to change in this country. We're going to need a very expensive pivot to adaptation in the next decade or so before the damage starts to get unbearable.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277
    Sean_F said:

    nico679 said:

    Some US polls dropped overnight .

    NBC/Marist

    Pennsylvania

    Harris 50
    Trump 48

    Michigan

    Harris 51
    Trump 48

    Wisconsin

    Harris 50
    Trump 48

    I’ve not being keeping up, where are Marist on the credibility scale for US pollsters?
    Excellent. But, other excellent pollsters have given Trump the edge, in recent polls.
    The polling fieldwork includes fallout from the Trump hate rally and Biden’s garbage gaffe . We should have lots of new polls out today .
  • Scott_xP said:
    I doubt Brexit contributed to it as it was inevitable

    However, you do try to tie everything through your anti Brexit lens
  • kenObikenObi Posts: 211
    Fishing said:

    On topic, what about the converse?

    Why does Harris have such a man problem?

    We could write this as;

    "Why do so many man have a women problem"
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,236
    Scott_xP said:
    The UK was always going to do what the US told them on Diego Garcia. Once the US decided it was just as happy paying basic rent to nominal owners Mauritius rather than the UK, if it paid the UK at all, and this would secure the base for the next hundred years, it was a done deal. The UK just had to accept the fait accompli and go through the pretence of negotiations with Mauritius. Brexit doesn't come into it
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 36,099

    I doubt Brexit contributed to it

    You could maybe read the article that explains it
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,897
    Scott_xP said:
    This isn't entirely surprising. The UK is quite isolated internationally. If Trump wins heaven help us.
    Perhaps if we just tell everyone that we used to colonise that they should be grateful to us that will win us a few more friends, eh.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,897

    Full story here:

    https://today.yougov.com/society/articles/50845-women-and-politics-what-americans-think-about-the-2024-election

    This stood out for me:

    The share saying Trump respects women has increased slightly over time, especially among Republicans. In 2020, 29% said he respects women and in 2016, 26% said so. Among Republicans, the share saying he does rose to 71% from 65% in 2020 and 55% in 2016.

    Does staunch against trans matter more than the allegations? Or is it the kool-aid?

    It's something a bit like shifting baseline syndrome. Trump has been a major factor in the consciousness for more than nine years now and so he's helped to redefine what is normal for people. He has materially altered many people's views on what it means to say that one respects women.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 23,143
    kenObi said:

    Fishing said:

    On topic, what about the converse?

    Why does Harris have such a man problem?

    We could write this as;

    "Why do so many man have a women problem"
    As the polling I posted earlier shows women also have a women problem.

    Do you personally hope that the United States elects a woman President of the United States in your lifetime?

    No

    Male 23%
    Female 22%
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,610
    edited November 1
    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277
    edited November 1
    The final jobs report before the election is out later. Although voters seem reluctant to accept the economy has been doing well Harris will hope there’s no shocks there . Initially some thought it could show a net loss of jobs because of the Boeing strike, the hurricanes and an extended dockworkers strike.

    The latter being resolved quickly was a huge boost to the Harris campaign.

    On Wednesday the ADP employment numbers beat expectations so hopefully that will help with the non-farm payroll numbers .
  • DoctorGDoctorG Posts: 53

    Foxy said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Though I thought this interesting:

    "“Farmers,” Clarkson said on the X social network, “I know that you have been shafted today. But please don’t despair. Just look after yourselves for five short years and this shower will be gone.”

    Yet Clarkson himself – or rather the prospective beneficiaries of his estate – may be among those “shafted”. Clarkson has previously said that he bought his 126-hectare (312-acre), £4.25m farm, Diddly Squat, in order to avoid inheritance tax on his estate. In a 2021 interview with The Times Clarkson said that avoiding inheritance tax was “the critical thing” in his decision to buy the farm."

    And later in the same article:

    "only 44% of the individuals who gained agricultural relief had received any trading income from agriculture at any point in the five years prior to death. It is “not the classic working farmers” who will bear the brunt of the changes, he argued. The change could help cool the rural property market because fewer people will buy a field as inheritance tax dodges"

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/nov/01/farmers-shocked-budget-inheritance-tax-estates

    So clearly this is a relief that has become a tax dodge for non-farmers. Whether this is the best solution to address the issue, I don't know.
    I guess if you wanted to provide more relief for family farms that had been in the family for generations, you could provide £1m of relief per generation the farm has been in the family, perhaps capped at five generations.

    The other thing is that, if the change does reduce the use of agricultural land as an IHT dodge, and reduces agricultural land prices, then the value of farms will fall and fewer will be above the £1m threshold than at present.

    Lower land prices is good for genuine farmers looking to expand their farm.
    That's a good point. Mr Clarkson seems to think that the cap will either be raised/abolished when (if) labour are voted out. I'm not sure it will be that simple.

    The key to getting land prices down will be to put off "investment" companies who don't farm it themselves. The growth in solar farms, to take one example may keep prices high, we will see.

    If you are a farmer with little or no borrowing, a land price crash is your friend
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,882
    edited November 1
    Good morning everyone.

    The differential voting turnout of women vs men for early turnout in swing states is an encouragement.

    The one I want to see is a heavy reform of Presidential Pardons - preferably 99% complete removal, or transfer the role to the Chief Judge of the United States (if such exists), not the one who is head of the Supreme Court.

    To save itself the USA needs to take political whim and corruption out of some of these functions as far as possible.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 11,422
    Trump on Liz Cheney: “Let’s put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her, OK? Let’s see how she feels about it, you know, when the guns are trained on her face.”
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,897

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It's really not true. My mother has been told she needs a cataract operation, but she can't even get onto the waiting list. She moved back to London to be near the London hospitals in the belief that she would have less trouble with medical treatment, so I think she's a bit disappointed with how that has worked out for her.
  • Scott_xP said:

    I doubt Brexit contributed to it

    You could maybe read the article that explains it
    As I said it was inevitable whether or not we were in the EU
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,405
    nico679 said:

    The final jobs report before the election is out later. Although voters seem reluctant to accept the economy has been doing well Harris will hope there’s no shocks there . Initially some thought it could show a net loss of jobs because of the Boeing strike, the hurricanes and an extended dockworkers strike.

    On Wednesday the ADP employment numbers beat expectations so hopefully that will help with the non-farm payroll numbers .

    OTOH Rachel's cold is going to get worse if US non farm payroll is strong.
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,126

    kenObi said:

    Fishing said:

    On topic, what about the converse?

    Why does Harris have such a man problem?

    We could write this as;

    "Why do so many man have a women problem"
    As the polling I posted earlier shows women also have a women problem.

    Do you personally hope that the United States elects a woman President of the United States in your lifetime?

    No

    Male 23%
    Female 22%
    That's a good point.

    I think the really interesting question isn't why so FEW women are voting for Trump, it's why so MANY are, given his personality and record on matters like abortion etc. Presumably they're not all ignorant masochists.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 23,143

    Trump on Liz Cheney: “Let’s put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her, OK? Let’s see how she feels about it, you know, when the guns are trained on her face.”

    In a few days it is 50/50 he will be exempt from criminal prosecution for ordering her to be shot. Madness.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 49,114

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 17,444

    Scott_xP said:

    I doubt Brexit contributed to it

    You could maybe read the article that explains it
    As I said it was inevitable whether or not we were in the EU
    Not what the Mauritians thought;

    The country's diplomatic efforts were spearheaded at the time by its gaffe-prone foreign secretary, and staunch Brexiteer, Boris Johnson.

    “Brexit dropped from the heavens, quite frankly,” Philippe Sands, a legal adviser to Mauritius in the Chagos case, told POLITICO. “There is no question that, but for Brexit and Boris Johnson, the resolution would have had less chance of reaching the General Assembly, or being adopted with such a large majority.”

    A spokesperson for Johnson dismissed that claim as “total rubbish.”
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 23,143
    Fishing said:

    kenObi said:

    Fishing said:

    On topic, what about the converse?

    Why does Harris have such a man problem?

    We could write this as;

    "Why do so many man have a women problem"
    As the polling I posted earlier shows women also have a women problem.

    Do you personally hope that the United States elects a woman President of the United States in your lifetime?

    No

    Male 23%
    Female 22%
    That's a good point.

    I think the really interesting question isn't why so FEW women are voting for Trump, it's why so MANY are, given his personality and record on matters like abortion etc. Presumably they're not all ignorant masochists.
    It's a culture/cult. People feel part of it. Us against them. The details don't really matter.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,882
    edited November 1

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    I think if we are to see a wider reform of Inheritance Tax she will need to hold the line on this one.

    It's like the WFP - it is partly up there as a harbinger and a signal flag.

    Incidentally, was there anything on WFP in the Budget apart from the larger rise in State Pension at 4.2% vs 1.7% for the index inflation rate? That premium on the State Pension is worth more than the lost WFP payment for some, but will not head of the auto-complaints even if it refutes the claims - as the Official Opposition have nothing else to contribute.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,437
    There's an interesting angle to the GOP and women.

    Take Musk. He has said statements like: a billion people should be living in the USA. Immigration (of the wrong people) is bad. Our birth rate is too low!

    There is only one way to reconcile these statements: that he wants the birth rate in the USA to increase massively, and that can only be done by a diminution of women's rights. We are already seeing this with the GOP's attempts (sadly, some successful) to reduce access to abortions and contraception.

    Too many people in the GOP see women as only baby-making machines.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 49,114

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It's really not true. My mother has been told she needs a cataract operation, but she can't even get onto the waiting list. She moved back to London to be near the London hospitals in the belief that she would have less trouble with medical treatment, so I think she's a bit disappointed with how that has worked out for her.
    As well as local ISTCS there are national chains like SpaMedica, NewMedica and CHEC doing NHS work. Google them, and if she meets eligibility criteria for NHS treatment she will be done and dusted in weeks.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,934
    edited November 1

    Full story here:

    https://today.yougov.com/society/articles/50845-women-and-politics-what-americans-think-about-the-2024-election

    This stood out for me:

    The share saying Trump respects women has increased slightly over time, especially among Republicans. In 2020, 29% said he respects women and in 2016, 26% said so. Among Republicans, the share saying he does rose to 71% from 65% in 2020 and 55% in 2016.

    Does staunch against trans matter more than the allegations? Or is it the kool-aid?

    That could still be consistent with women who think he doesn't respect them leaving the Republican brand - and men thereby making up more of those left...
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 11,422
    Sandpit said:

    Nigelb said:

    Only a few days to go until the protests start.

    A simple way to define the election:
    Harris's DNC want to protect people's rights. The right to choose, the right to privacy, the right to exist
    Trump's RNC want to remove people's rights. What they think is what all Americans should think, and if they don't they must be commie or psychotic.

    The Trump offer truly is the Leopards' Eating Faces Party. They want to impose restrictions on what you do in your own home with your own body, but no no, they're actually only going to do that to the Bad People.

    We will see how this plays out. I still think a Harris win, sadly followed by increasing protests, with a serious risk of those becoming violent & armed.

    Trump:
    "I will protect women, whether they like it or not."
    I have made the comparison to the fictional Gilead for ages. Trump and the GOP seem determined to create parts of it for real.

    And not just women. The long list of enemies and illegals he will lock up / deport. The Puerto Rico “joke” in itself isn’t a big deal, but seems to have woken up voters of that heritage - and the wider Latino voter block - that Trump wants them out of the country. And not just the illegals. He will make you illegal.
    What? A comedian made a joke at a rally. It’s a massive leap from that to Trump wants to deport anyone who’s in the county legally.

    Meanwhile, Biden called Trump supporters garbage and they all turned up to hallowe’en parties dressed in bin bags.
    Trump has talked about deporting people who are in the country legally: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/03/who-does-trump-plan-deport-who-trump-wants-deport/
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,882
    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

    What's an ISTC?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,972

    Trump on Liz Cheney: “Let’s put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her, OK? Let’s see how she feels about it, you know, when the guns are trained on her face.”

    That quote is way out of context.

    https://x.com/endwokeness/status/1852225094724018480

    https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory/trump-liz-cheney-war-hawk-guns-pointed-115383936

    Former President Donald Trump has launched another attack on former Rep. Liz Cheney, calling the Republican former Wyoming congresswoman a “war hawk” and suggesting she might not be as willing to send troops to fight if she had guns pointed at her
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,835
    Scott_xP said:

    I doubt Brexit contributed to it

    You could maybe read the article that explains it
    It seems to explain mostly that he has a book to sell. Mmmmm. Clicks.

    The UK government could have ignored the UN decision forever, with few or no consequences.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,069
    dixiedean said:
    I can't help feeling he's done the least interesting bit of the Ringway.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,585
    edited November 1
    MattW said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

    What's an ISTC?
    Independent Sector Treatment Centre

    They do things where it makes sense to do them on mass (Cataracts / Hip operations) or manage MRI systems.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent_sector_treatment_centre

    Edit - better link https://www.health.org.uk/publications/long-reads/waiting-for-nhs-hospital-care-the-role-of-the-independent-sector
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,897
    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It's really not true. My mother has been told she needs a cataract operation, but she can't even get onto the waiting list. She moved back to London to be near the London hospitals in the belief that she would have less trouble with medical treatment, so I think she's a bit disappointed with how that has worked out for her.
    As well as local ISTCS there are national chains like SpaMedica, NewMedica and CHEC doing NHS work. Google them, and if she meets eligibility criteria for NHS treatment she will be done and dusted in weeks.
    Thanks, I will look into it.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,082

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    "farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father."

    Until the budget they didn't need to do much planning. When the time came, the farmer would get the farm.

    So the budget has given a growth boost - to people who setup trusts etc to get round inheritance tax.

    The sane approach to the issue of people using the land exemption to get out of inheritance tax, is to think on what is the dividing characteristic.

    1) People who use land for a few years as a tax haven.
    2) People who keep handing land down the generations.

    Seems to me, that the obvious point to tax, is when the money is withdrawn.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277
    MattW said:

    Good morning everyone.

    The differential voting turnout of women vs men for early turnout in swing states is an encouragement.

    The one I want to see is a heavy reform of Presidential Pardons - preferably 99% complete removal, or transfer the role to the Chief Judge of the United States (if such exists), not the one who is head of the Supreme Court.

    To save itself the USA needs to take political whim and corruption out of some of these functions as far as possible.

    The Trump team will hope that men come out in force on Election Day otherwise it’s game over.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 49,114
    MattW said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

    What's an ISTC?
    Independent sector treatment centre.

    These are private companies specialising in daycase surgery for one off conditions on NHS patients. The specialise in low morbidity patients needing cataract surgery, orthopedic surgery, hand and foot surgery, etc.

    It does mean a rather distorted overall waiting list, with routine procedures in the fit patient waiting weeks, while the high risk patients wait a lot longer as needing inpatient care, and each being paid almost the same tariff.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,882
    edited November 1
    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    My mum got her first one on the NHS after a short wait, and then had the other one done privately as the wait would be longer - perhaps due to reduced clinical need (I surmise).

    Both were done by the same surgeon :smiley: .

    The public / private mix of work by clinicians may need some reform, since I think it is a hangover from 1948 or whenever. THAT would distract the BMA.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,972
    eek said:

    MattW said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

    What's an ISTC?
    Independent Sector Treatment Centre

    They do things where it makes sense to do them on mass (Cataracts / Hip operations) or manage MRI systems.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent_sector_treatment_centre
    NHS needs to do loads more of this for routine operations.

    Expensive capital equipment such as MRI scanners should be working 24/7, with people offered the option of turning up in the middle of the night tomorrow rather than waiting weeks or months.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,114
    DoctorG said:

    Foxy said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Though I thought this interesting:

    "“Farmers,” Clarkson said on the X social network, “I know that you have been shafted today. But please don’t despair. Just look after yourselves for five short years and this shower will be gone.”

    Yet Clarkson himself – or rather the prospective beneficiaries of his estate – may be among those “shafted”. Clarkson has previously said that he bought his 126-hectare (312-acre), £4.25m farm, Diddly Squat, in order to avoid inheritance tax on his estate. In a 2021 interview with The Times Clarkson said that avoiding inheritance tax was “the critical thing” in his decision to buy the farm."

    And later in the same article:

    "only 44% of the individuals who gained agricultural relief had received any trading income from agriculture at any point in the five years prior to death. It is “not the classic working farmers” who will bear the brunt of the changes, he argued. The change could help cool the rural property market because fewer people will buy a field as inheritance tax dodges"

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/nov/01/farmers-shocked-budget-inheritance-tax-estates

    So clearly this is a relief that has become a tax dodge for non-farmers. Whether this is the best solution to address the issue, I don't know.
    I guess if you wanted to provide more relief for family farms that had been in the family for generations, you could provide £1m of relief per generation the farm has been in the family, perhaps capped at five generations.

    The other thing is that, if the change does reduce the use of agricultural land as an IHT dodge, and reduces agricultural land prices, then the value of farms will fall and fewer will be above the £1m threshold than at present.

    Lower land prices is good for genuine farmers looking to expand their farm.
    That's a good point. Mr Clarkson seems to think that the cap will either be raised/abolished when (if) labour are voted out. I'm not sure it will be that simple.

    The key to getting land prices down will be to put off "investment" companies who don't farm it themselves. The growth in solar farms, to take one example may keep prices high, we will see.

    If you are a farmer with little or no borrowing, a land price crash is your friend
    Seems like only five minutes since farmers were complaining they couldn't afford to buy land as the price was being pumped up by City-types trying to avoid IHT.

  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277
    There are still things that could throw a curve ball into the last few days .

    What will Iran do ?

    Logic dictates that to retaliate now would help Trump , given Biden put pressure on Netenyahu to not attack oil or nuclear infrastructure it would seem counter -productive to help Trump given he would give the green light for that .
  • Full story here:

    https://today.yougov.com/society/articles/50845-women-and-politics-what-americans-think-about-the-2024-election

    This stood out for me:

    The share saying Trump respects women has increased slightly over time, especially among Republicans. In 2020, 29% said he respects women and in 2016, 26% said so. Among Republicans, the share saying he does rose to 71% from 65% in 2020 and 55% in 2016.

    Does staunch against trans matter more than the allegations? Or is it the kool-aid?

    Kool-aid.

    The only people that Trump respects are: Donald Trump and end of list.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,882
    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

    What's an ISTC?
    Foxy said:

    MattW said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

    What's an ISTC?
    Independent sector treatment centre.

    These are private companies specialising in daycase surgery for one off conditions on NHS patients. The specialise in low morbidity patients needing cataract surgery, orthopedic surgery, hand and foot surgery, etc.

    It does mean a rather distorted overall waiting list, with routine procedures in the fit patient waiting weeks, while the high risk patients wait a lot longer as needing inpatient care, and each being paid almost the same tariff.
    Oh Noes. PRIVATISATION !!!
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,082
    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It's really not true. My mother has been told she needs a cataract operation, but she can't even get onto the waiting list. She moved back to London to be near the London hospitals in the belief that she would have less trouble with medical treatment, so I think she's a bit disappointed with how that has worked out for her.
    As well as local ISTCS there are national chains like SpaMedica, NewMedica and CHEC doing NHS work. Google them, and if she meets eligibility criteria for NHS treatment she will be done and dusted in weeks.
    Which is interesting, since it shows another thing that doesn't get talked about. Different outcomes in the "NHS" depending on knowing how to "play the system".
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 49,114
    edited November 1
    Sandpit said:

    eek said:

    MattW said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

    What's an ISTC?
    Independent Sector Treatment Centre

    They do things where it makes sense to do them on mass (Cataracts / Hip operations) or manage MRI systems.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent_sector_treatment_centre
    NHS needs to do loads more of this for routine operations.

    Expensive capital equipment such as MRI scanners should be working 24/7, with people offered the option of turning up in the middle of the night tomorrow rather than waiting weeks or months.
    Streeting plans further expansion, but it is pretty much limited to quick turnaround surgery in fit patients.

    Getting a quick MRI is no benefit if it's a 6 month wait to see a rheumatologist to discuss the findings. There are bottlenecks in the system to address, but it does tend to just shift the queue elsewhere.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,864
    If Harris does win it will be women, especially white graduate women, who do it for her
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,082
    eek said:

    MattW said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

    What's an ISTC?
    Independent Sector Treatment Centre

    They do things where it makes sense to do them on mass (Cataracts / Hip operations) or manage MRI systems.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent_sector_treatment_centre

    Edit - better link https://www.health.org.uk/publications/long-reads/waiting-for-nhs-hospital-care-the-role-of-the-independent-sector
    @bigjohnowls will appear and accuse you of selling the NHS to the US medical giants....
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,082
    edited November 1

    Full story here:

    https://today.yougov.com/society/articles/50845-women-and-politics-what-americans-think-about-the-2024-election

    This stood out for me:

    The share saying Trump respects women has increased slightly over time, especially among Republicans. In 2020, 29% said he respects women and in 2016, 26% said so. Among Republicans, the share saying he does rose to 71% from 65% in 2020 and 55% in 2016.

    Does staunch against trans matter more than the allegations? Or is it the kool-aid?

    Kool-aid.

    The only people that Trump respects are: Donald Trump and end of list.
    Do we have any independent verification that Donald Trump respects Donald Trump?

    I have this idea that if he catches sight of himself in a mirror, he attacks own reflection with a golf club...
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,972
    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    eek said:

    MattW said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

    What's an ISTC?
    Independent Sector Treatment Centre

    They do things where it makes sense to do them on mass (Cataracts / Hip operations) or manage MRI systems.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent_sector_treatment_centre
    NHS needs to do loads more of this for routine operations.

    Expensive capital equipment such as MRI scanners should be working 24/7, with people offered the option of turning up in the middle of the night tomorrow rather than waiting weeks or months.
    Streeting plans further expansion, but it is pretty much limited to quick turnaround surgery in fit patients.

    Getting a quick MRI is no benefit if it's a 6 month wait to see a rheumatologist to discuss the findings. There are bottlenecks in the system to address, but it does tend to just shift the queue elsewhere.
    It’s surely a personal benefit if you can get in a six month queue today, rather than a six month queue in two months’ time?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,864

    There's an interesting angle to the GOP and women.

    Take Musk. He has said statements like: a billion people should be living in the USA. Immigration (of the wrong people) is bad. Our birth rate is too low!

    There is only one way to reconcile these statements: that he wants the birth rate in the USA to increase massively, and that can only be done by a diminution of women's rights. We are already seeing this with the GOP's attempts (sadly, some successful) to reduce access to abortions and contraception.

    Too many people in the GOP see women as only baby-making machines.

    The Vatican would not disagree with much of that either and Vance is a conservative Roman Catholic
  • Trump on Liz Cheney: “Let’s put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her, OK? Let’s see how she feels about it, you know, when the guns are trained on her face.”

    She's already much of her life curtailed bu threats and intimidation.

    What a danger to democracy he is.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 17,444

    Full story here:

    https://today.yougov.com/society/articles/50845-women-and-politics-what-americans-think-about-the-2024-election

    This stood out for me:

    The share saying Trump respects women has increased slightly over time, especially among Republicans. In 2020, 29% said he respects women and in 2016, 26% said so. Among Republicans, the share saying he does rose to 71% from 65% in 2020 and 55% in 2016.

    Does staunch against trans matter more than the allegations? Or is it the kool-aid?

    Kool-aid.

    The only people that Trump respects are: Donald Trump and end of list.
    I know what you mean, but (talking through my pastoral tutor hat) I wonder if part of DJT's problem is that he doesn't respect himself.

    We need people who are never at peace with themselves or the world, because that's what drives progress. But Trump's continual running after the glittering prizes, the inability to process that he was a loser in 2020, the mockery of others... They don't speak to me of a man who can cope with seeing himself exactly the size he is.

    See also Musk and all the other rich weirdoes around Trump's campaign.

    Like I said, the world needs people like that. But probably not many and probably not with too much actual power.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,082
    a
    Sandpit said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    eek said:

    MattW said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

    What's an ISTC?
    Independent Sector Treatment Centre

    They do things where it makes sense to do them on mass (Cataracts / Hip operations) or manage MRI systems.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent_sector_treatment_centre
    NHS needs to do loads more of this for routine operations.

    Expensive capital equipment such as MRI scanners should be working 24/7, with people offered the option of turning up in the middle of the night tomorrow rather than waiting weeks or months.
    Streeting plans further expansion, but it is pretty much limited to quick turnaround surgery in fit patients.

    Getting a quick MRI is no benefit if it's a 6 month wait to see a rheumatologist to discuss the findings. There are bottlenecks in the system to address, but it does tend to just shift the queue elsewhere.
    It’s surely a personal benefit if you can get in a six month queue today, rather than a six month queue in two months’ time?
    "If something takes 10 years, the best time was to start 10 years ago. The second best time was 9 years and 364 days ago..."
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,561
    MattW said:

    Good morning everyone.

    The differential voting turnout of women vs men for early turnout in swing states is an encouragement.

    The one I want to see is a heavy reform of Presidential Pardons - preferably 99% complete removal, or transfer the role to the Chief Judge of the United States (if such exists), not the one who is head of the Supreme Court.

    To save itself the USA needs to take political whim and corruption out of some of these functions as far as possible.

    Is the differential turnout significantly different from previous elections? (genuine question - not sure where to look)
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,882
    edited November 1
    FPT: Not quite the same but "Hmmmm" comparison:
    IanB2 said:

    Ratters said:

    carnforth said:

    Eabhal said:

    viewcode said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Fishing said:

    kamski said:

    kamski said:

    "Delinquent elites are in an open crusade against democracy"

    Discuss

    The way the Lisbon Treaty was handled would be a good example...
    I was thinking more of things like Peter Thiel writing "I no longer believe that freedom and democracy are compatible"
    Perhaps he should go and live in North Korea and see what the alternative is like?

    Funnily enough though he still lives in America, a country which, with all its faults, is still mostly free AND reasonably democratic.
    Is universal suffrage essential for freedom and democracy? Do we look back on the time of Gladstone and Disraeli as an era of tyranny because the vote was restricted?
    How about South Africa?
    A restricted franchise is a long way from Apartheid.
    So you would be OK restricting the franchise on racial lines?
    Why are you talking about race? We restrict the franchise based on age today. Maybe if you also had an educational requirement, for example, it would provide an additional incentive for people to pass their exams, and it would also raise the standard of political discouse because politicians would know they had to appeal to the more discerning section of the population.
    We have universal adult sufferage of citizens.

    You asked whether it was necessary for good government.

    Presumably you are planning on restricting based on some factor: sex, education, wealth, race, etc?

    Personally, my view is that yes it is needed for good government. Because otherwise you are literally creating second class citizens of one group or another.
    Do you agree with denying the vote to long-term residents?
    I agree with the universal adult suffrage of citizens.

    I don't think that's a particularly controversial point of view. (Especially as - if you are a long-term resident of the UK - then there are plenty of paths to citizenship.)
    It’s not universal because we famously deny it to prisoners.

    If there were an education requirement then there would also be plenty of paths to qualifying. It could be something as simple as a civics exam, analogous to the test people have to pass to become citizens.
    We also famously deny prisoners other rights normal citizens have, like the right to leave the prison.

    So what’s the argument against having to pass a simple civics test to get on the electoral roll. We don’t let people drive cars without passing a test. Isn’t it madness to take less care over who can decide the fate of the nation?
    No it isn't. Seriously. The point of an election is to ensure that the Government has the consent of the people and the losers concede defeat for a term.

    The vote is not a benefit to be granted, it is a right that cannot be removed without due process. The Government does not select the voters, the voters select the government.
    This is why I think prisoners should have the vote.
    Not sure why governments have been so implacably against this: it's plainly arguable.
    Giving the worst type of prisoner the vote (think mass murderers) is political suicide.

    Drawing the line as to what prisoners can and cannot have the vote is too difficult.

    So giving it to none is the easiest option.

    I don't agree with the restriction on principle, but at 0.2% of adult population it's hardly gerrymandering. Let's not conflate it with anti-democratic attempts to limit the franchise to the right sort of voters.
    Going the other way - I don’t see the reason that some chose it as a hill to die on from the other side.

    Society takes away many rights from the imprisoned. On of the aspects of imprisonment is about withdrawing the right to participate in society for a period.

    It’s also not extended into post prison condition - see America, where “former felon” can block voting for life https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Felony_disenfranchisement_in_the_United_States
    The US has over three million prisoners, and the proportion of the population incarcerated rises above 10% for younger black men. And it’s an industry, producing almost all military and first responder uniforms, most numberplates, and even about 25% of US office furniture, all for ‘wages’ of a few cents an hour..
    The peak slave population in the USA was approximately 3,953,760 * in 1860.
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7716878/

    * Yes, they took a slave census.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,972
    edited November 1

    a

    Sandpit said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    eek said:

    MattW said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

    What's an ISTC?
    Independent Sector Treatment Centre

    They do things where it makes sense to do them on mass (Cataracts / Hip operations) or manage MRI systems.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent_sector_treatment_centre
    NHS needs to do loads more of this for routine operations.

    Expensive capital equipment such as MRI scanners should be working 24/7, with people offered the option of turning up in the middle of the night tomorrow rather than waiting weeks or months.
    Streeting plans further expansion, but it is pretty much limited to quick turnaround surgery in fit patients.

    Getting a quick MRI is no benefit if it's a 6 month wait to see a rheumatologist to discuss the findings. There are bottlenecks in the system to address, but it does tend to just shift the queue elsewhere.
    It’s surely a personal benefit if you can get in a six month queue today, rather than a six month queue in two months’ time?
    "If something takes 10 years, the best time was to start 10 years ago. The second best time was 9 years and 364 days ago..."
    HS2
    Heathrow’s third runway*
    Stonehenge Tunnel
    A9 dualling
    Hinckley Point

    * I still laugh my head off that Dubai Airport’s Terminal 3 was completed in less time than Heathrow T5’s planning inquiry. Same project scope, new buildings on an existing airfield site plus a couple of access roads. Some countries talk about doing stuff, while other countries actually do stuff.
  • Sandpit said:

    Trump on Liz Cheney: “Let’s put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her, OK? Let’s see how she feels about it, you know, when the guns are trained on her face.”

    That quote is way out of context.

    https://x.com/endwokeness/status/1852225094724018480

    https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory/trump-liz-cheney-war-hawk-guns-pointed-115383936

    Former President Donald Trump has launched another attack on former Rep. Liz Cheney, calling the Republican former Wyoming congresswoman a “war hawk” and suggesting she might not be as willing to send troops to fight if she had guns pointed at her
    Business as usual. On a different not Vice isca really good film. About Cheney during the Bush presidency. Well worth it!
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 28,399
    edited November 1
    The Conservative leadership voting closed last night and in unrelated news, this morning has seen money for Jenrick, although Kemi is still long odds on.

    Kemi 1.22 (was 1.16 earlier this morning)
    Bob J 5.2 (was 6)

    ETA note it is not a very liquid market. Presumably most layers have withdrawn, remembering the party's recently-acquired reputation for insider trading.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,682
    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    eek said:

    MattW said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

    What's an ISTC?
    Independent Sector Treatment Centre

    They do things where it makes sense to do them on mass (Cataracts / Hip operations) or manage MRI systems.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent_sector_treatment_centre
    NHS needs to do loads more of this for routine operations.

    Expensive capital equipment such as MRI scanners should be working 24/7, with people offered the option of turning up in the middle of the night tomorrow rather than waiting weeks or months.
    Streeting plans further expansion, but it is pretty much limited to quick turnaround surgery in fit patients.

    Getting a quick MRI is no benefit if it's a 6 month wait to see a rheumatologist to discuss the findings. There are bottlenecks in the system to address, but it does tend to just shift the queue elsewhere.
    I disagree. Last summer my mother went into Kings Mill for pancreatitis. They worked out pretty quickly that it wasn't any of the really bad causes but for obvious reasons wanted to know what was causing it. They had to keep her in for a couple of days uintil the blood markers showed the epiosode was over but wanted to have an MRI to check for gall stones as the Ultrasound had not been clear. They would not send her home because it would have taken weeks to get her the MRi if she was out of hospital.

    So she waited in hospital, taking up a bed that others could have been using (and which was certainly needed) for an additional 4 days until they could get her the MRI. And she was not the only one. All because they had only one team capable of running the MRI who were already working a 14 hour days and a 7 day week.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 11,932
    edited November 1

    kenObi said:

    Fishing said:

    On topic, what about the converse?

    Why does Harris have such a man problem?

    We could write this as;

    "Why do so many man have a women problem"
    As the polling I posted earlier shows women also have a women problem.

    Do you personally hope that the United States elects a woman President of the United States in your lifetime?

    No

    Male 23%
    Female 22%
    As with all these questions it depends how the interviewee interprets them. Although the question is quite clear, how many of them thought 'Kamala Harris' as they heard the question and if they are Trump supporters a net 22 - 23% is not really that high.

    So for a percentage it may not have been an objection to a woman but an objection to a Democrat woman and I know that wasn't the question.
  • Sandpit said:

    a

    Sandpit said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    eek said:

    MattW said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

    What's an ISTC?
    Independent Sector Treatment Centre

    They do things where it makes sense to do them on mass (Cataracts / Hip operations) or manage MRI systems.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent_sector_treatment_centre
    NHS needs to do loads more of this for routine operations.

    Expensive capital equipment such as MRI scanners should be working 24/7, with people offered the option of turning up in the middle of the night tomorrow rather than waiting weeks or months.
    Streeting plans further expansion, but it is pretty much limited to quick turnaround surgery in fit patients.

    Getting a quick MRI is no benefit if it's a 6 month wait to see a rheumatologist to discuss the findings. There are bottlenecks in the system to address, but it does tend to just shift the queue elsewhere.
    It’s surely a personal benefit if you can get in a six month queue today, rather than a six month queue in two months’ time?
    "If something takes 10 years, the best time was to start 10 years ago. The second best time was 9 years and 364 days ago..."
    HS2
    Heathrow’s third runway*
    Stonehenge Tunnel
    A9 dualling
    Hinckley Point

    * I still laugh my head off that Dubai Airport’s Terminal 3 was completed in less time than Heathrow T5’s planning inquiry. Same project scope, new buildings on an existing airfield site plus a couple of access roads. Some countries talk about doing stuff, while other countries actually do stuff.
    Exactly. Look how quickly China put in its train and road network.
  • The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    I genuinly don't understand what Dan Neidle is saying.

    The average farm in the UK is 85 hectares - 210 acres. Agricultural land averages around £10K an acre. That is £2.1 million in lland value alone. Before you take into account a few hundred thousand on equipment, buildings, livestock etc.

    Most family farms wuld be caught by a £1 million cap. They are asset rich and cash poor because that is the nature of the business. It is a fecking ridiculous idea.
    That average is the mean average distorted by very large holdings.

    The median average is much lower.

    According to DEFRA 59% of English farms have less than 50 hectares.

    See Figure 1.4: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/agricultural-facts-england-regional-profiles/agricultural-facts-summary#:~:text=The average English farm size,vary considerably across England's regions.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,082
    MattW said:

    FPT: Not quite the same but "Hmmmm" comparison:


    IanB2 said:

    Ratters said:

    carnforth said:

    Eabhal said:

    viewcode said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Fishing said:

    kamski said:

    kamski said:

    "Delinquent elites are in an open crusade against democracy"

    Discuss

    The way the Lisbon Treaty was handled would be a good example...
    I was thinking more of things like Peter Thiel writing "I no longer believe that freedom and democracy are compatible"
    Perhaps he should go and live in North Korea and see what the alternative is like?

    Funnily enough though he still lives in America, a country which, with all its faults, is still mostly free AND reasonably democratic.
    Is universal suffrage essential for freedom and democracy? Do we look back on the time of Gladstone and Disraeli as an era of tyranny because the vote was restricted?
    How about South Africa?
    A restricted franchise is a long way from Apartheid.
    So you would be OK restricting the franchise on racial lines?
    Why are you talking about race? We restrict the franchise based on age today. Maybe if you also had an educational requirement, for example, it would provide an additional incentive for people to pass their exams, and it would also raise the standard of political discouse because politicians would know they had to appeal to the more discerning section of the population.
    We have universal adult sufferage of citizens.

    You asked whether it was necessary for good government.

    Presumably you are planning on restricting based on some factor: sex, education, wealth, race, etc?

    Personally, my view is that yes it is needed for good government. Because otherwise you are literally creating second class citizens of one group or another.
    Do you agree with denying the vote to long-term residents?
    I agree with the universal adult suffrage of citizens.

    I don't think that's a particularly controversial point of view. (Especially as - if you are a long-term resident of the UK - then there are plenty of paths to citizenship.)
    It’s not universal because we famously deny it to prisoners.

    If there were an education requirement then there would also be plenty of paths to qualifying. It could be something as simple as a civics exam, analogous to the test people have to pass to become citizens.
    We also famously deny prisoners other rights normal citizens have, like the right to leave the prison.

    So what’s the argument against having to pass a simple civics test to get on the electoral roll. We don’t let people drive cars without passing a test. Isn’t it madness to take less care over who can decide the fate of the nation?
    No it isn't. Seriously. The point of an election is to ensure that the Government has the consent of the people and the losers concede defeat for a term.

    The vote is not a benefit to be granted, it is a right that cannot be removed without due process. The Government does not select the voters, the voters select the government.
    This is why I think prisoners should have the vote.
    Not sure why governments have been so implacably against this: it's plainly arguable.
    Giving the worst type of prisoner the vote (think mass murderers) is political suicide.

    Drawing the line as to what prisoners can and cannot have the vote is too difficult.

    So giving it to none is the easiest option.

    I don't agree with the restriction on principle, but at 0.2% of adult population it's hardly gerrymandering. Let's not conflate it with anti-democratic attempts to limit the franchise to the right sort of voters.
    Going the other way - I don’t see the reason that some chose it as a hill to die on from the other side.

    Society takes away many rights from the imprisoned. On of the aspects of imprisonment is about withdrawing the right to participate in society for a period.

    It’s also not extended into post prison condition - see America, where “former felon” can block voting for life https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Felony_disenfranchisement_in_the_United_States
    The US has over three million prisoners, and the proportion of the population incarcerated rises above 10% for younger black men. And it’s an industry, producing almost all military and first responder uniforms, most numberplates, and even about 25% of US office furniture, all for ‘wages’ of a few cents an hour..
    The peak slave population in the USA was approximately 3,953,760 * in 1860.
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7716878/

    * Yes, they took a slave census.
    Well, obviously they need a slave census. Otherwise, how could you do the whole "2/3rds" thing.....
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,864

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    A farmer isn’t necessarily an expert on tax policy
    The issue on tax is how people will behave. Townies have no idea of how people in the country think.
    Farmers aren't the brightest bulbs in the chandelier, I mean they thought Brexit would be a good idea despite all the evidence to the contrary.
    Not all of them, the NFU opposed Brexit as did Clarkson and most voters voted for Brexit anyway.

    Though if you are a farmer exporting asparagus to Australia Brexit may be beneficial
  • The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    I genuinly don't understand what Dan Neidle is saying.

    The average farm in the UK is 85 hectares - 210 acres. Agricultural land averages around £10K an acre. That is £2.1 million in lland value alone. Before you take into account a few hundred thousand on equipment, buildings, livestock etc.

    Most family farms wuld be caught by a £1 million cap. They are asset rich and cash poor because that is the nature of the business. It is a fecking ridiculous idea.
    Yes, they will be forced to sell up and pocket their million+ quid. My heart bleeds.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,682
    Sandpit said:

    a

    Sandpit said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    eek said:

    MattW said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

    What's an ISTC?
    Independent Sector Treatment Centre

    They do things where it makes sense to do them on mass (Cataracts / Hip operations) or manage MRI systems.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent_sector_treatment_centre
    NHS needs to do loads more of this for routine operations.

    Expensive capital equipment such as MRI scanners should be working 24/7, with people offered the option of turning up in the middle of the night tomorrow rather than waiting weeks or months.
    Streeting plans further expansion, but it is pretty much limited to quick turnaround surgery in fit patients.

    Getting a quick MRI is no benefit if it's a 6 month wait to see a rheumatologist to discuss the findings. There are bottlenecks in the system to address, but it does tend to just shift the queue elsewhere.
    It’s surely a personal benefit if you can get in a six month queue today, rather than a six month queue in two months’ time?
    "If something takes 10 years, the best time was to start 10 years ago. The second best time was 9 years and 364 days ago..."
    HS2
    Heathrow’s third runway*
    Stonehenge Tunnel
    A9 dualling
    Hinckley Point

    * I still laugh my head off that Dubai Airport’s Terminal 3 was completed in less time than Heathrow T5’s planning inquiry. Same project scope, new buildings on an existing airfield site plus a couple of access roads. Some countries talk about doing stuff, while other countries actually do stuff.
    How many properties did they have to destroy to build it and how many fucks did they give about the people concerned.

    I am afraid holding up a desert despot (with the trappings of elections but nothing else) as an exmple to follow is not exactly a compelling argument.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,585
    Sandpit said:

    a

    Sandpit said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    eek said:

    MattW said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

    What's an ISTC?
    Independent Sector Treatment Centre

    They do things where it makes sense to do them on mass (Cataracts / Hip operations) or manage MRI systems.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent_sector_treatment_centre
    NHS needs to do loads more of this for routine operations.

    Expensive capital equipment such as MRI scanners should be working 24/7, with people offered the option of turning up in the middle of the night tomorrow rather than waiting weeks or months.
    Streeting plans further expansion, but it is pretty much limited to quick turnaround surgery in fit patients.

    Getting a quick MRI is no benefit if it's a 6 month wait to see a rheumatologist to discuss the findings. There are bottlenecks in the system to address, but it does tend to just shift the queue elsewhere.
    It’s surely a personal benefit if you can get in a six month queue today, rather than a six month queue in two months’ time?
    "If something takes 10 years, the best time was to start 10 years ago. The second best time was 9 years and 364 days ago..."
    HS2
    Heathrow’s third runway*
    Stonehenge Tunnel
    A9 dualling
    Hinckley Point

    * I still laugh my head off that Dubai Airport’s Terminal 3 was completed in less time than Heathrow T5’s planning inquiry. Same project scope, new buildings on an existing airfield site plus a couple of access roads. Some countries talk about doing stuff, while other countries actually do stuff.
    That's the thing - strategic project known location just get on building it.

    HS2 is a variation of that - let's adopt the French approach - it needs to go from here to here with these constraints. Here are your options - you as a local authority have 4 months to pick the one you want and we will implement it...

    Hinckley point is however completely insane - we trust the Koreans / French so let them use the existing proven design... Got to say it's why I like the mini reactors - here is a known design we can repeat multiple times...
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,972

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    eek said:

    MattW said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

    What's an ISTC?
    Independent Sector Treatment Centre

    They do things where it makes sense to do them on mass (Cataracts / Hip operations) or manage MRI systems.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent_sector_treatment_centre
    NHS needs to do loads more of this for routine operations.

    Expensive capital equipment such as MRI scanners should be working 24/7, with people offered the option of turning up in the middle of the night tomorrow rather than waiting weeks or months.
    Streeting plans further expansion, but it is pretty much limited to quick turnaround surgery in fit patients.

    Getting a quick MRI is no benefit if it's a 6 month wait to see a rheumatologist to discuss the findings. There are bottlenecks in the system to address, but it does tend to just shift the queue elsewhere.
    I disagree. Last summer my mother went into Kings Mill for pancreatitis. They worked out pretty quickly that it wasn't any of the really bad causes but for obvious reasons wanted to know what was causing it. They had to keep her in for a couple of days uintil the blood markers showed the epiosode was over but wanted to have an MRI to check for gall stones as the Ultrasound had not been clear. They would not send her home because it would have taken weeks to get her the MRi if she was out of hospital.

    So she waited in hospital, taking up a bed that others could have been using (and which was certainly needed) for an additional 4 days until they could get her the MRI. And she was not the only one. All because they had only one team capable of running the MRI who were already working a 14 hour days and a 7 day week.
    That’s nuts, what do a couple of MRI operators cost, compared to the cost of keeping beds occupied for days because people are waiting for scans?
  • Alphabet_SoupAlphabet_Soup Posts: 3,316

    DoctorG said:

    Foxy said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Though I thought this interesting:

    "“Farmers,” Clarkson said on the X social network, “I know that you have been shafted today. But please don’t despair. Just look after yourselves for five short years and this shower will be gone.”

    Yet Clarkson himself – or rather the prospective beneficiaries of his estate – may be among those “shafted”. Clarkson has previously said that he bought his 126-hectare (312-acre), £4.25m farm, Diddly Squat, in order to avoid inheritance tax on his estate. In a 2021 interview with The Times Clarkson said that avoiding inheritance tax was “the critical thing” in his decision to buy the farm."

    And later in the same article:

    "only 44% of the individuals who gained agricultural relief had received any trading income from agriculture at any point in the five years prior to death. It is “not the classic working farmers” who will bear the brunt of the changes, he argued. The change could help cool the rural property market because fewer people will buy a field as inheritance tax dodges"

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/nov/01/farmers-shocked-budget-inheritance-tax-estates

    So clearly this is a relief that has become a tax dodge for non-farmers. Whether this is the best solution to address the issue, I don't know.
    I guess if you wanted to provide more relief for family farms that had been in the family for generations, you could provide £1m of relief per generation the farm has been in the family, perhaps capped at five generations.

    The other thing is that, if the change does reduce the use of agricultural land as an IHT dodge, and reduces agricultural land prices, then the value of farms will fall and fewer will be above the £1m threshold than at present.

    Lower land prices is good for genuine farmers looking to expand their farm.
    That's a good point. Mr Clarkson seems to think that the cap will either be raised/abolished when (if) labour are voted out. I'm not sure it will be that simple.

    The key to getting land prices down will be to put off "investment" companies who don't farm it themselves. The growth in solar farms, to take one example may keep prices high, we will see.

    If you are a farmer with little or no borrowing, a land price crash is your friend
    Seems like only five minutes since farmers were complaining they couldn't afford to buy land as the price was being pumped up by City-types trying to avoid IHT.

    Not just city types; a lot of 'our' land has been acquired by foreigners - an inevitable consequence of a perpetual balance of payments deficit. There are nations, not universally regarded as fascist dictatorships, who restrict foreign ownership of land because it's regarded as too important to buy and sell like bags of flour. But we, of course, are forever open for business. I have no qualms about foreign billionaires owning skyscrapers in the London docks but I'm less keen on them hoovering up the better half of Worcestershire just because it's there.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,585
    Sandpit said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    eek said:

    MattW said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

    What's an ISTC?
    Independent Sector Treatment Centre

    They do things where it makes sense to do them on mass (Cataracts / Hip operations) or manage MRI systems.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent_sector_treatment_centre
    NHS needs to do loads more of this for routine operations.

    Expensive capital equipment such as MRI scanners should be working 24/7, with people offered the option of turning up in the middle of the night tomorrow rather than waiting weeks or months.
    Streeting plans further expansion, but it is pretty much limited to quick turnaround surgery in fit patients.

    Getting a quick MRI is no benefit if it's a 6 month wait to see a rheumatologist to discuss the findings. There are bottlenecks in the system to address, but it does tend to just shift the queue elsewhere.
    I disagree. Last summer my mother went into Kings Mill for pancreatitis. They worked out pretty quickly that it wasn't any of the really bad causes but for obvious reasons wanted to know what was causing it. They had to keep her in for a couple of days uintil the blood markers showed the epiosode was over but wanted to have an MRI to check for gall stones as the Ultrasound had not been clear. They would not send her home because it would have taken weeks to get her the MRi if she was out of hospital.

    So she waited in hospital, taking up a bed that others could have been using (and which was certainly needed) for an additional 4 days until they could get her the MRI. And she was not the only one. All because they had only one team capable of running the MRI who were already working a 14 hour days and a 7 day week.
    That’s nuts, what do a couple of MRI operators cost, compared to the cost of keeping beds occupied for days because people are waiting for scans?
    As with many things - we don't train the people up and treat them like shite so there isn't the people willing to do the work at the best of times let alone the anti-social hours.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,082
    a

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    I genuinly don't understand what Dan Neidle is saying.

    The average farm in the UK is 85 hectares - 210 acres. Agricultural land averages around £10K an acre. That is £2.1 million in lland value alone. Before you take into account a few hundred thousand on equipment, buildings, livestock etc.

    Most family farms wuld be caught by a £1 million cap. They are asset rich and cash poor because that is the nature of the business. It is a fecking ridiculous idea.
    Yes, they will be forced to sell up and pocket their million+ quid. My heart bleeds.
    Well, either lots of farms will be bought up by companies (continuing the trend). Or quite a few lawyers will get rich building trusts etc.

    In either case the flow of tax money will rapidly cease.
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,285

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    I genuinly don't understand what Dan Neidle is saying.

    The average farm in the UK is 85 hectares - 210 acres. Agricultural land averages around £10K an acre. That is £2.1 million in lland value alone. Before you take into account a few hundred thousand on equipment, buildings, livestock etc.

    Most family farms wuld be caught by a £1 million cap. They are asset rich and cash poor because that is the nature of the business. It is a fecking ridiculous idea.
    That average is the mean average distorted by very large holdings.

    The median average is much lower.

    According to DEFRA 59% of English farms have less than 50 hectares.

    See Figure 1.4: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/agricultural-facts-england-regional-profiles/agricultural-facts-summary#:~:text=The average English farm size,vary considerably across England's regions.
    50 hectares is just over 120 acres, so assuming £10k per acre that means 59% are less than £1.2M: most more than £1M could still be correct, particularly when buildings etc are taken into account.
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 3,091

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    A farmer isn’t necessarily an expert on tax policy
    The issue on tax is how people will behave. Townies have no idea of how people in the country think.
    So what? It isn’t the governments job to handhold every failure to plan for the future
    WASPIS say hello.

    Good morning, everyone.
  • The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    I genuinly don't understand what Dan Neidle is saying.

    The average farm in the UK is 85 hectares - 210 acres. Agricultural land averages around £10K an acre. That is £2.1 million in lland value alone. Before you take into account a few hundred thousand on equipment, buildings, livestock etc.

    Most family farms wuld be caught by a £1 million cap. They are asset rich and cash poor because that is the nature of the business. It is a fecking ridiculous idea.
    Yes, they will be forced to sell up and pocket their million+ quid. My heart bleeds.
    What a stupid fucking response. The whole point being we want farms to continue as viable businesses. We need farms and farmers. Unless of course you are one of those fuckwits who think the food in supermarkets is miraculously created out of thin air.
    Of course it isn't created out of thin air, there's a whole global supply chain.

    We should get our food from whomever is best placed to supply it. If British farmers, then great. If French, Spanish, Argentinian, American, Australian or anywhere else then great too.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,682

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    I genuinly don't understand what Dan Neidle is saying.

    The average farm in the UK is 85 hectares - 210 acres. Agricultural land averages around £10K an acre. That is £2.1 million in lland value alone. Before you take into account a few hundred thousand on equipment, buildings, livestock etc.

    Most family farms wuld be caught by a £1 million cap. They are asset rich and cash poor because that is the nature of the business. It is a fecking ridiculous idea.
    That average is the mean average distorted by very large holdings.

    The median average is much lower.

    According to DEFRA 59% of English farms have less than 50 hectares.

    See Figure 1.4: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/agricultural-facts-england-regional-profiles/agricultural-facts-summary#:~:text=The average English farm size,vary considerably across England's regions.
    50 hectares is still 125ish acres. So still well over £1 million in land value alone without everything else.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,082

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    I genuinly don't understand what Dan Neidle is saying.

    The average farm in the UK is 85 hectares - 210 acres. Agricultural land averages around £10K an acre. That is £2.1 million in lland value alone. Before you take into account a few hundred thousand on equipment, buildings, livestock etc.

    Most family farms wuld be caught by a £1 million cap. They are asset rich and cash poor because that is the nature of the business. It is a fecking ridiculous idea.
    That average is the mean average distorted by very large holdings.

    The median average is much lower.

    According to DEFRA 59% of English farms have less than 50 hectares.

    See Figure 1.4: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/agricultural-facts-england-regional-profiles/agricultural-facts-summary#:~:text=The average English farm size,vary considerably across England's regions.
    50 hectares is just over 120 acres, so assuming £10k per acre that means 59% are less than £1.2M: most more than £1M could still be correct, particularly when buildings etc are taken into account.
    Farm machinery is also quite expensive.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,012

    DoctorG said:

    Foxy said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Though I thought this interesting:

    "“Farmers,” Clarkson said on the X social network, “I know that you have been shafted today. But please don’t despair. Just look after yourselves for five short years and this shower will be gone.”

    Yet Clarkson himself – or rather the prospective beneficiaries of his estate – may be among those “shafted”. Clarkson has previously said that he bought his 126-hectare (312-acre), £4.25m farm, Diddly Squat, in order to avoid inheritance tax on his estate. In a 2021 interview with The Times Clarkson said that avoiding inheritance tax was “the critical thing” in his decision to buy the farm."

    And later in the same article:

    "only 44% of the individuals who gained agricultural relief had received any trading income from agriculture at any point in the five years prior to death. It is “not the classic working farmers” who will bear the brunt of the changes, he argued. The change could help cool the rural property market because fewer people will buy a field as inheritance tax dodges"

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/nov/01/farmers-shocked-budget-inheritance-tax-estates

    So clearly this is a relief that has become a tax dodge for non-farmers. Whether this is the best solution to address the issue, I don't know.
    I guess if you wanted to provide more relief for family farms that had been in the family for generations, you could provide £1m of relief per generation the farm has been in the family, perhaps capped at five generations.

    The other thing is that, if the change does reduce the use of agricultural land as an IHT dodge, and reduces agricultural land prices, then the value of farms will fall and fewer will be above the £1m threshold than at present.

    Lower land prices is good for genuine farmers looking to expand their farm.
    That's a good point. Mr Clarkson seems to think that the cap will either be raised/abolished when (if) labour are voted out. I'm not sure it will be that simple.

    The key to getting land prices down will be to put off "investment" companies who don't farm it themselves. The growth in solar farms, to take one example may keep prices high, we will see.

    If you are a farmer with little or no borrowing, a land price crash is your friend
    Seems like only five minutes since farmers were complaining they couldn't afford to buy land as the price was being pumped up by City-types trying to avoid IHT.

    Not just city types; a lot of 'our' land has been acquired by foreigners - an inevitable consequence of a perpetual balance of payments deficit. There are nations, not universally regarded as fascist dictatorships, who restrict foreign ownership of land because it's regarded as too important to buy and sell like bags of flour. But we, of course, are forever open for business. I have no qualms about foreign billionaires owning skyscrapers in the London docks but I'm less keen on them hoovering up the better half of Worcestershire just because it's there.
    You should have a look at the Highlands. So many of the shooting estates in foreign ownership. But, as you say, this is the price we pay for buying more than we make.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,807

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Most people here who think we should cut spending have repeatedly listed things we'd cut spending on. It's like listing Brexit freedoms we could benefit from, it just doesn't go into PB centrist brain. The next post they make will still be 'what are these mythical brexit freedoms???'.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,082
    Sandpit said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    eek said:

    MattW said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

    What's an ISTC?
    Independent Sector Treatment Centre

    They do things where it makes sense to do them on mass (Cataracts / Hip operations) or manage MRI systems.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent_sector_treatment_centre
    NHS needs to do loads more of this for routine operations.

    Expensive capital equipment such as MRI scanners should be working 24/7, with people offered the option of turning up in the middle of the night tomorrow rather than waiting weeks or months.
    Streeting plans further expansion, but it is pretty much limited to quick turnaround surgery in fit patients.

    Getting a quick MRI is no benefit if it's a 6 month wait to see a rheumatologist to discuss the findings. There are bottlenecks in the system to address, but it does tend to just shift the queue elsewhere.
    I disagree. Last summer my mother went into Kings Mill for pancreatitis. They worked out pretty quickly that it wasn't any of the really bad causes but for obvious reasons wanted to know what was causing it. They had to keep her in for a couple of days uintil the blood markers showed the epiosode was over but wanted to have an MRI to check for gall stones as the Ultrasound had not been clear. They would not send her home because it would have taken weeks to get her the MRi if she was out of hospital.

    So she waited in hospital, taking up a bed that others could have been using (and which was certainly needed) for an additional 4 days until they could get her the MRI. And she was not the only one. All because they had only one team capable of running the MRI who were already working a 14 hour days and a 7 day week.
    That’s nuts, what do a couple of MRI operators cost, compared to the cost of keeping beds occupied for days because people are waiting for scans?
    Politician : If we hire two more nurses, I am Saving the NHS (everyone loves a nurse). If we hire two more MRI technicians, I won't be.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,864

    Foxy said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Though I thought this interesting:

    "“Farmers,” Clarkson said on the X social network, “I know that you have been shafted today. But please don’t despair. Just look after yourselves for five short years and this shower will be gone.”

    Yet Clarkson himself – or rather the prospective beneficiaries of his estate – may be among those “shafted”. Clarkson has previously said that he bought his 126-hectare (312-acre), £4.25m farm, Diddly Squat, in order to avoid inheritance tax on his estate. In a 2021 interview with The Times Clarkson said that avoiding inheritance tax was “the critical thing” in his decision to buy the farm."

    And later in the same article:

    "only 44% of the individuals who gained agricultural relief had received any trading income from agriculture at any point in the five years prior to death. It is “not the classic working farmers” who will bear the brunt of the changes, he argued. The change could help cool the rural property market because fewer people will buy a field as inheritance tax dodges"

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/nov/01/farmers-shocked-budget-inheritance-tax-estates

    So clearly this is a relief that has become a tax dodge for non-farmers. Whether this is the best solution to address the issue, I don't know.
    I guess if you wanted to provide more relief for family farms that had been in the family for generations, you could provide £1m of relief per generation the farm has been in the family, perhaps capped at five generations.

    The other thing is that, if the change does reduce the use of agricultural land as an IHT dodge, and reduces agricultural land prices, then the value of farms will fall and fewer will be above the £1m threshold than at present.

    Lower land prices is good for genuine farmers looking to expand their farm.
    Yes you could easily amend the IHT rules so that there is an exemption for family farms that rises per generation in the family which would be far more sensible
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,682
    Sandpit said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    eek said:

    MattW said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

    What's an ISTC?
    Independent Sector Treatment Centre

    They do things where it makes sense to do them on mass (Cataracts / Hip operations) or manage MRI systems.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent_sector_treatment_centre
    NHS needs to do loads more of this for routine operations.

    Expensive capital equipment such as MRI scanners should be working 24/7, with people offered the option of turning up in the middle of the night tomorrow rather than waiting weeks or months.
    Streeting plans further expansion, but it is pretty much limited to quick turnaround surgery in fit patients.

    Getting a quick MRI is no benefit if it's a 6 month wait to see a rheumatologist to discuss the findings. There are bottlenecks in the system to address, but it does tend to just shift the queue elsewhere.
    I disagree. Last summer my mother went into Kings Mill for pancreatitis. They worked out pretty quickly that it wasn't any of the really bad causes but for obvious reasons wanted to know what was causing it. They had to keep her in for a couple of days uintil the blood markers showed the epiosode was over but wanted to have an MRI to check for gall stones as the Ultrasound had not been clear. They would not send her home because it would have taken weeks to get her the MRi if she was out of hospital.

    So she waited in hospital, taking up a bed that others could have been using (and which was certainly needed) for an additional 4 days until they could get her the MRI. And she was not the only one. All because they had only one team capable of running the MRI who were already working a 14 hour days and a 7 day week.
    That’s nuts, what do a couple of MRI operators cost, compared to the cost of keeping beds occupied for days because people are waiting for scans?
    Yep. And there is another MRI scanner at Newark which doesn't get used that often as they don't have the staff for it.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,882
    edited November 1

    MattW said:

    Good morning everyone.

    The differential voting turnout of women vs men for early turnout in swing states is an encouragement.

    The one I want to see is a heavy reform of Presidential Pardons - preferably 99% complete removal, or transfer the role to the Chief Judge of the United States (if such exists), not the one who is head of the Supreme Court.

    To save itself the USA needs to take political whim and corruption out of some of these functions as far as possible.

    Is the differential turnout significantly different from previous elections? (genuine question - not sure where to look)
    That's my impression from a short Midas Touch video, which tend to be tough to find as their video feed is a firehose.

    Deep link to the relevant segment:
    https://youtu.be/PU_cCxAlh1s?t=101

    There's more if you scrub either way.

    If you go and look, there's a Politico analysis of early voter turnout.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,972

    Sandpit said:

    a

    Sandpit said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    eek said:

    MattW said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Good morning

    My wife needs a double cataract operation and has just been put on Wales NHS 18 month waiting list
    Seriously go private for that if you can. It makes a massive difference to quality of life, my mother-in-law did the same and she was overjoyed that she had better vision in her last years.
    The irony is that her optician said she will need it but best to go on the 18 month waiting list now so that she will have it before it becomes a necessity

    He also added in England it takes 6 weeks waiting but not sure how true that is
    It is true. ISTCs do the majority of NHS cataract surgery in England now, with waits typically of a few weeks.

    What's an ISTC?
    Independent Sector Treatment Centre

    They do things where it makes sense to do them on mass (Cataracts / Hip operations) or manage MRI systems.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent_sector_treatment_centre
    NHS needs to do loads more of this for routine operations.

    Expensive capital equipment such as MRI scanners should be working 24/7, with people offered the option of turning up in the middle of the night tomorrow rather than waiting weeks or months.
    Streeting plans further expansion, but it is pretty much limited to quick turnaround surgery in fit patients.

    Getting a quick MRI is no benefit if it's a 6 month wait to see a rheumatologist to discuss the findings. There are bottlenecks in the system to address, but it does tend to just shift the queue elsewhere.
    It’s surely a personal benefit if you can get in a six month queue today, rather than a six month queue in two months’ time?
    "If something takes 10 years, the best time was to start 10 years ago. The second best time was 9 years and 364 days ago..."
    HS2
    Heathrow’s third runway*
    Stonehenge Tunnel
    A9 dualling
    Hinckley Point

    * I still laugh my head off that Dubai Airport’s Terminal 3 was completed in less time than Heathrow T5’s planning inquiry. Same project scope, new buildings on an existing airfield site plus a couple of access roads. Some countries talk about doing stuff, while other countries actually do stuff.
    How many properties did they have to destroy to build it and how many fucks did they give about the people concerned.

    I am afraid holding up a desert despot (with the trappings of elections but nothing else) as an exmple to follow is not exactly a compelling argument.
    Except that all they were doing is building more buildings on an existing airfield, plus a couple of access roads. No properties destroyed.

    The UK’s longest ever planning enquiry was into building a new building on an existing airfield site, plus a couple of access roads. https://cms-lawnow.com/en/ealerts/1998/04/the-heathrow-terminal-5-inquiry-why-it-has-taken-so-long-and-the-importance-of-a-fifth-terminal
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,807
    edited November 1
    viewcode said:

    kenObi said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Our SME does it every year. It' why our VAPE is on the up. It will probably take us a couple of years to claw this back. The NHS will simply swallow the money as it productivity falls over the next 5 years.
    Or NHS outcomes might improve, GP service might be better, new hospitals and facilities might be built, including in rural areas. Who knows?
    The triumph of hope over experience. Good luck with hat,

    The demands on the NHS have grown massively.

    To suggest outcomes haven't improved seems particularly peverse.

    In the early 1990's women with early breast cancer had a 15% chance of dying within 5 years.

    Now ? Its about 5%

    Cataract operations were once an in patient operation with a couple of nights stay.
    Its now done in about 12 minutes and you are back home straight away.
    Quality is better, its safer and there are less complications.
    The age of people having the operations has dropped, and there are at least 5 times the number of operations per year.

    Life expectancy of men has increased by about 7 years since 40 years ago.
    Many cancers are a function of age. Prostate being a prime example.

    We have worse outcomes than many comparable countries, but then we spend less.
    Proctivity has gone backwards start there.
    Down with Proctivity!
    Up with proctology! (ouch)

    But Alanbrooke is right, NHS productivity is DOA.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 8,832
    edited November 1

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    I genuinly don't understand what Dan Neidle is saying.

    The average farm in the UK is 85 hectares - 210 acres. Agricultural land averages around £10K an acre. That is £2.1 million in lland value alone. Before you take into account a few hundred thousand on equipment, buildings, livestock etc.

    Most family farms wuld be caught by a £1 million cap. They are asset rich and cash poor because that is the nature of the business. It is a fecking ridiculous idea.
    Yes, they will be forced to sell up and pocket their million+ quid. My heart bleeds.
    What a stupid fucking response. The whole point being we want farms to continue as viable businesses. We need farms and farmers. Unless of course you are one of those fuckwits who think the food in supermarkets is miraculously created out of thin air.
    Technically, most of the mass of plants (and, therefore, by extension, ultimately animals) is created out of (normal density) air, is it not? :wink:

    Plus some rain of course.
  • DopermeanDopermean Posts: 620

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    Who to believe on tax... A tax expert or someone who makes TV shows?
    Who to believe a farmer or a town dweller ?
    If the farmer knows about farming and the townie knows about tax, then the townie.

    Expertise beats location.
    Nonsense, the question on raising tax is how people will behave. You change the tax regime and people will act differently and often in ways that cant be predicted.

    My SME manufacturing co estimates the NI raid will cost us £200k next year. As a result we wont be raising salaries as much and will probably look at a couple of layoffs.

    Growrth ? Not on Labours agenda,
    I don’t know if you’ve heard but we have a massive budget deficit and a dire need for infrastructure investment.
    Yes, which is why we should cut current spending and divert funds to infrastructure. Reform taxes alone and we'll not kill off growth.
    The magical “cut spending” and “growth” which means fuck all without detailing what you’d cut and who and what the effects would be - exactly what you’re complaining about now in fact.

    You talk about magical NHS and public sector efficiency gains but why can’t your SME make similar gains?
    Most people here who think we should cut spending have repeatedly listed things we'd cut spending on. It's like listing Brexit freedoms we could benefit from, it just doesn't go into PB centrist brain. The next post they make will still be 'what are these mythical brexit freedoms???'.
    Exactly, you've told everybody what they are and you're not going to waste energy by doing it again....


    Perhaps you could link to the previous post?
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,897

    There's an interesting angle to the GOP and women.

    Take Musk. He has said statements like: a billion people should be living in the USA. Immigration (of the wrong people) is bad. Our birth rate is too low!

    There is only one way to reconcile these statements: that he wants the birth rate in the USA to increase massively, and that can only be done by a diminution of women's rights. We are already seeing this with the GOP's attempts (sadly, some successful) to reduce access to abortions and contraception.

    Too many people in the GOP see women as only baby-making machines.

    Musk taps into a near-bottomless well of misogyny in the tech bro culture. It's really quite chilling.
  • .

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    I genuinly don't understand what Dan Neidle is saying.

    The average farm in the UK is 85 hectares - 210 acres. Agricultural land averages around £10K an acre. That is £2.1 million in lland value alone. Before you take into account a few hundred thousand on equipment, buildings, livestock etc.

    Most family farms wuld be caught by a £1 million cap. They are asset rich and cash poor because that is the nature of the business. It is a fecking ridiculous idea.
    That average is the mean average distorted by very large holdings.

    The median average is much lower.

    According to DEFRA 59% of English farms have less than 50 hectares.

    See Figure 1.4: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/agricultural-facts-england-regional-profiles/agricultural-facts-summary#:~:text=The average English farm size,vary considerably across England's regions.
    50 hectares is still 125ish acres. So still well over £1 million in land value alone without everything else.
    Going on the absolute upper limit of that range, most won't be at the upper limit.

    And based on an average price that may be distorted by the same thing (I'm not sure on that) if it's a mean average then farmland with housing premiums on it that get sold will massively be distorting the average since housing adds 00s to the price of land given our completely broken planning system.

    Or we could look at the real data that actually gets recorded rather than multiplying mean averages together to pretend that's an average. As Neidle did.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,141
    Sandpit said:

    Trump on Liz Cheney: “Let’s put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her, OK? Let’s see how she feels about it, you know, when the guns are trained on her face.”

    That quote is way out of context.

    https://x.com/endwokeness/status/1852225094724018480

    https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory/trump-liz-cheney-war-hawk-guns-pointed-115383936

    Former President Donald Trump has launched another attack on former Rep. Liz Cheney, calling the Republican former Wyoming congresswoman a “war hawk” and suggesting she might not be as willing to send troops to fight if she had guns pointed at her
    Great that Bone Spurs Don is so protective of the 'suckers' and 'losers' in uniform.
  • FeersumEnjineeyaFeersumEnjineeya Posts: 4,488
    edited November 1

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    I genuinly don't understand what Dan Neidle is saying.

    The average farm in the UK is 85 hectares - 210 acres. Agricultural land averages around £10K an acre. That is £2.1 million in lland value alone. Before you take into account a few hundred thousand on equipment, buildings, livestock etc.

    Most family farms wuld be caught by a £1 million cap. They are asset rich and cash poor because that is the nature of the business. It is a fecking ridiculous idea.
    Yes, they will be forced to sell up and pocket their million+ quid. My heart bleeds.
    What a stupid fucking response. The whole point being we want farms to continue as viable businesses. We need farms and farmers. Unless of course you are one of those fuckwits who think the food in supermarkets is miraculously created out of thin air.
    Do you think the farmland is just going to vanish into thin air after it is sold? Of course not. It will still be farmed by somebody, and very likely in a more productive fashion.

    In the area where I grew up, on the edge of the city, the big local landowner has grown incredibly rich by selling chunks of his land for development. He spends his time down the local pub or jetting around the world. His son has spent his whole life racing and crashing cars. AKAIK, he has never done a day's work in his life, with his lifestyle funded by dad's cash and a bumper inheritance of farmland to look forward to. Meanwhile, most of the land is barely used, with just the odd field let out for grazing now and then. Why bother, when its value just keeps going up and junior will inherit the lot?
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,285
    Selebian said:

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    I genuinly don't understand what Dan Neidle is saying.

    The average farm in the UK is 85 hectares - 210 acres. Agricultural land averages around £10K an acre. That is £2.1 million in lland value alone. Before you take into account a few hundred thousand on equipment, buildings, livestock etc.

    Most family farms wuld be caught by a £1 million cap. They are asset rich and cash poor because that is the nature of the business. It is a fecking ridiculous idea.
    Yes, they will be forced to sell up and pocket their million+ quid. My heart bleeds.
    What a stupid fucking response. The whole point being we want farms to continue as viable businesses. We need farms and farmers. Unless of course you are one of those fuckwits who think the food in supermarkets is miraculously created out of thin air.
    Technically, most of the mass of plants (and, therefore, by extension, ultimately animals) is created out of (normal density) air, is it not? :wink:

    Plus some rain of course.
    Don’t forget sunlight; easily done in the UK of course…
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,864

    The mess with farmers and IHT is going to be one to watch. On one hand you have tax expert Dan Neidle saying 'what's the fuss?', very few farms will be included if you look at the tax stats, and then the farmers themselves saying it is a friggin' disaster.

    Telegraph has as ever gone totally toton on this this morning.

    See:

    Why Labour’s Budget is a ‘closure of the mines’ moment for British farming
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/31/labours-budget-is-a-closure-of-the-mines-moment-farmers/

    Yet the main example quoted is a farmer who farms the land still owned by his very aging father. They don't seem to have thought through inheritance and now they do.

    Meanwhile, Ed Balls seems to have weighed in and warned that the politics of this are looking bad for Reeves.

    U turn coming????

    I genuinly don't understand what Dan Neidle is saying.

    The average farm in the UK is 85 hectares - 210 acres. Agricultural land averages around £10K an acre. That is £2.1 million in lland value alone. Before you take into account a few hundred thousand on equipment, buildings, livestock etc.

    Most family farms wuld be caught by a £1 million cap. They are asset rich and cash poor because that is the nature of the business. It is a fecking ridiculous idea.
    Yes, they will be forced to sell up and pocket their million+ quid. My heart bleeds.
    What a stupid fucking response. The whole point being we want farms to continue as viable businesses. We need farms and farmers. Unless of course you are one of those fuckwits who think the food in supermarkets is miraculously created out of thin air.
    Of course it isn't created out of thin air, there's a whole global supply chain.

    We should get our food from whomever is best placed to supply it. If British farmers, then great. If French, Spanish, Argentinian, American, Australian or anywhere else then great too.
    Given higher import costs of food from Europe given Brexit and the Ukraine war not a good idea and meat from the Americas and Australia is often heavily chemical filled and less good quality than ours
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