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The next game changer? – politicalbetting.com
The next game changer? – politicalbetting.com
BREAKING: ABC says Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have agreed to a Sept. 10 presidential debate, setting up a faceoff between the Republican and Democratic nominees. https://t.co/zYEQPi7dv5
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Although it's a racing certainty that if she turns up for Fox News he'll find an excuse to duck the rest.
Bottom line is, I don't think we should take this debate going ahead for granted merely because Trump says he's agreed to it.
Trump: I went down in a helicopter with Willie Brown!
Willie Brown: That shit never happened.
https://x.com/acnewsitics/status/1821690503328411855
Local authorities declared a state of emergency and started evacuating a number of settlements situated near the air base.
Lipetsk is located approx. 300km from the border with Ukraine.
https://x.com/Archer83Able/status/1821741213671710949
This is why I was confident Biden would still win...
Still could have been worse. He might have said he went down on Brown's Willie in a helicopter.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/male-labour-mps-should-back-a-woman-when-picking-starmer-s-successor-says-harman/ar-AA1ov54M?ocid=msedgntp&pc=U531&cvid=079e4e9662ba42708e3eb13910206ce5&ei=12
But that's just me. Some people like overt bigotry.
It's not as though there's a vacancy.
The lack of advertising is interesting and says he's short of money (having spent it on legal fees).
Whereas the party of upper middle class white men just rolls on
Diversity diversity but not for us.
Listening to the BBC account this morning, you'd have no idea that it was an hour long rant, unmoored from reality.
The ‘ammo’ stored at air bases is unlikely to be thousands of 152mm tank rounds either, it’s more likely to be ammo for the planes that fly there, expensive and rare bombs and missiles.
Otherwise Trump's poll rating was largely unchanged after he debated Biden in 2020 and Hillary in 2016
Competence trumps everything.
https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/ipsos-2024-us-national-election-survey-august-2024
You might get over it one day.
Let's start with Rachel Reeves.
But they will have made quite the mess.
https://x.com/osinttechnical/status/1821605436124217567
The Russians are also still moving armoured vehicles around in easy to-target convoys.
https://x.com/osinttechnical/status/1821675342718755206
And the Ukranians are flying drones into tail rotors of Russian helicopters, with the inevitable result.
https://x.com/osinttechnical/status/1821368749884076516
I mean less progressive than the DUP - who would have thought it ?
Next, maybe we can marvel at how water remains wet and the sun rises in the east.
Do you think it a mistake?
Interesting.
I mean weve just had a week of riots against this failing government.
@JAHeale
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40m
Kemi Badenoch way out in front according to ConHome’s members’ poll.
Robert Jenrick in second again with little to separate Tom Tugendhat, James Cleverly and Priti Patel for third.
But Starmer demonstrated his competence in the only place that matters, at the ballot box.
The turnaround from the 2019 defeat is undeniably one of the great electoral transformations of modern British politics.
The same goes for Ed Davey too.
The Tories would be well advised to choose competence over diversity too, not that they have much to choose from.
https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/aug/08/sharp-fall-in-international-applicants-wanting-to-study-at-uk-universities
But it does seem incredulous that Sunak didn't do this a year earlier, soon after he took office, because if he'd gone into the election with this story he'd have saved dozens and dozens of seats from Reform.
Obvs depends on what the MPs do.
Is it me or does this contest not feel like it has got started?
(NB: Yes I know he actually went to a grammar school but not how public will see it).
In opposition, it’s much easier, and much better, to take time, allow the candidates opportunities to speak, be interviewed, write think pieces, and be judged on their merits, rather than judging them primarily on their personality as happens in government.
Absolutely fascinating.
Hopefully we can still attract enough overseas students to pay the bills at proper universities and colleges.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/aug/08/like-a-submarine-tories-criticise-kemi-badenochs-low-profile-during-riots
When riots reared their ugly head, Kemi bravely turned and fled,
Brave, brave Ms Kemi...
https://labour.org.uk/about-us/the-cabinet/
Since you don't rate any of them, any comments on their capacity from you are irrelevant to the conversation.
I must say that, at the end, it does look like a lot of very young men (<25) - maybe gangs - are involved and this really does remind of the 2011 England riots, where a lot seemed to have joined in for the nihilism:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/videos/c86lqldp26xo
Planning Permission has not been required for retail to residential conversions since 2021, and before then it was only Change of Use and Building Regs, which was not onerous.
I should know - I looked at a project around 2017 for my own family's rental shop, but mum popped her clogs first so we sold it quickly at auction.
The issue will be what it was when Cameron & Co introduced Permitted Development Office -> Housing conversions in ~2013, which has generated a *lot* of housing units but also a lot a miserably substandard shoebox flats, and a crop of scandals.
The problem is quality / liveability and enforcement of adequate quality, and the only way to do that is through more capacity and professionalism in the Building Control departments of Local Authorities.
Trump: “Elon [Musk] endorsed me full throated”
https://x.com/RpsAgainstTrump/status/1821700724004192745
But, yes, astonishingly naïve since it's a huge and obvious backdoor migration route to the UK.
Fascinating.
Looking at segments of Mr Chump's Press Conference last night, the supine nature of the USA MSM is quite astonishing.
They all carried it all live, and afaics from analysis he lied in every single answer, and there was zero holding to account.
Then they did not run the Harris speech live afterwards.
WTF?
I will be looking for clear thinking and a clear plan. However, I suspect - as usual - the candidate who wins will be the one who projects the right "vibe".
The plan was mad - the noise from the motorway would make it too noisy to sit in your garden.
But if I was voting as a member I might be tempted to roll the dice and give her a go as the others are so lacklustre.
If it was to fill the shortage for H&SC workers, then it was deliberate.
I did a Masters course 20 years ago, obviously technology has changed since, but my version of a Masters course involved me going to University and doing the course and having a lot of coursework to write and work on.
It did not involve me working full time on minimum wage at a care home while my phone was left open on a Zoom lecture to which I was paying no attention while I was getting on with my job.
Probably best to avoid Priti though who has much worse net negatives than the rest of them
Zoe Gardner
@ZoeJardiniere
-Applications for care worker visas are down 81% on last year
https://x.com/ZoeJardiniere/status/1821789681375162400
Fascinating 2008 column from the @nytimes archives about @Tim_Walz
teaching a genocide course in a rural high school. People now casually use the word “genocide” without knowing historical contexts. Walz told his students to investigate the origins of mass murder.
https://x.com/ewong/status/1821535323127435421
1. Plenty of homes are built close to motorways. There's a lot that can be done to reduce the noise impact.
2. The 'slump in the housing market' is almost certainly going to switch to a mini-boom in the autumn with falling mortgage rates kicking in. https://www.theguardian.com/business/article/2024/aug/07/uk-house-prices-to-rise-through-rest-of-year-after-jump-in-july
Pay care workers a living wage, not minimum wage.
I have no problem with immigration but we should be bringing skilled workers on high wages into this country, not serfs on minimum wage so firms can avoid paying a market rate for wages.
And it's probably a lot to do with why he beat Clinton.
There are more than enough Tory MPs from the liberal One Nation wing now to get Tugendhat or Stride in the last 2 against one of Badenoch or Jenrick. Remember the Tory parliamentary party is much more southern than it was in 2019 and there are now more Tory MPs from Scotland (who are also largely from the One Nation wing) than the North East, North West and Wales combined and the same number of Tory MPs from London as Yorkshire and Humber (Rishi doing relatively well in the capital compared to Boris on 4th July but much worse in the rest of the country)
TBH that sounds like one for whatever new approach the Government are bringing forward. There's plenty of history of LA lead development. And tipping the market away from large developers a little could be beneficial.
The strategic things imo are around making a sustainable community.
What did strike me as interesting are the number of furious evacuees begging Putin for help, still loudly supporting what they call the 'SMO' and yet blaming him as much as the Ukrainians for their plight.
Exactly what the Ukrainians want still isn't clear (at least to me) but I'm sure they will count making Putin look very stupid as a definite win.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c0rwwx9zy51o
Though pretty standard for developers to get permission first, promising affordable homes, then suddenly find the project unviable unless they build 4 bed "executive" houses on tiny plots instead of their commitment. It's developer's gamesmanship.
One assumes they’re some of the best forces they have, and they know they’re going to have to extract themselves from Russia on their own, once the enemy finds enough troops to tackle them.
In the meantime though, it’s fcuking hillarious! Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦
Malet Arms
Build ten million 4 bed homes across the country, instead of shitty "affordable" flats, and the housing crisis would be over and 4 bed homes could become the default for people to have. What exactly is your problem?
And people moving out of pre-existing affordable 3 beds or flats into better, newer, 4 bed houses frees up the older stock for those who want something affordable.