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Today is the day of crossover – politicalbetting.com
Today is the day of crossover – politicalbetting.com
I still think Kemi Badenoch is the one to lay in this market it is quite interesting that the market has switched sharply since yesterday in the aftermath of Robert Jenrick’s comments about Allahu Akbar, even though his context made the comments less inflammatory and less stupid than originally implied.
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They are my first two preferences so I’m cool with that choice
Unfortunately the Tories don’t have a new Thatcher waiting, we have what we have
I pointed out that context matters and we need to make judgements based on full information, rather than knee jerks based on edited videoclips.
Pointing out that Tousi is biased, quoting a reputable media report, and keeping examination of context separate from advocacy is 101 for 14 year olds learning about journalism for writing a school magazine.
Get a grip, man !
Some people grow into the role as leader but most just wither away...
One of my best friends, who I've known since fourth form, got married at 22, bought a house, and had kids early. He worked for the council.
That would be completely impossible today.
His children are not going to be able to afford houses - even assuming they save a significant proportion of their disposable income - until they are into their 30s.
1) a bit of help from Bank of Mum and Dad
2) a restriction blocking anymore houses of multiple occupation in an area keeping prices low
3) the new (mortgaged to the hilt) owner being happy to have a couple of students to reduce the massive mortgage rapidly down to manageable levels.
To show the scale of the insanity Twin A's mortgage is less than the rent she is charging on either of the rooms being rented out.
A tag line and the apparent evidence - "@TheScreamingEagles interview - Pineapple pizza awesome, Radiohead and Python awful. https://youtu.be/GarbageLink"
It works because about 90% off people never click the link or try and find actual evidence.
Wrong on both counts.
She lasted more than a week.
Perhaps the Tories could give it a try. It's early days but Labour have gone too quickly into routine 'non answering the question' mode.
Python has fantastic, clean syntax. It has incredible data science libraries. And these days, computers (and computing power) is cheap.
Other than occasional bits of Javascript, when I have a need to do something webby, I wouldn't use anything else. There's simply no point, because quick to write, readable code, is worth a lot more than a few processor cycles.
Can I just add that redecorating after a full rewire is blooming expensive..
No sign yet of Russian reinforcements stabilizing the situation, though there are videos of lots of Ukrainian equipment being taken out by Lancet drones.
Still not sure whether this is just a raid, or the start of a large effort to seize Russian territory for use in bargaining during peace negotiations, or a strategy to lengthen the front line to weaken the Russian defence of occupied Ukrainian territory.
I personally prefer the latest version of Delphi (i.e. C# )..
It seems a lost and impossible golden age, an epoch of unparalleled innocence, that reads like a dream of a fairy tale".
That bacon sandwich started a butterfly effect to where we are now
It’s like that brilliant episode of Community where they have two parallel realities splitting apart from
a pizza delivery
Damn, that show was good
She cocked things up beyond all expectations.
Source: https://liveuamap.com/
Because the Russian military is very stretched right now. Their ability to put down a major uprising is going to be severely limited.
For a coup attempt in Moscow to come off would require that the commanders of these units essentially decided Putin's time was up. Not impossible, sure. But not that likely either.
My guess is that such a coup attempt would only happen if it looked like Russia was facing an existential crisis. Which it isn't. Yet.
https://x.com/NovemberSixty3/status/1821471336138506513
And the Russians are reporting Ukrainians all over the place, and panicking each other with imminent incursions into Belgorod, or further north in Kursk.
I guess this sort of operational confusion and uncertainty is normal in the early stages of something like this, but it's great to see the Russians put onto the back foot again.
That said, and as I may have commented on several occasions previously, who the f*** was doing vetting on all these new MPs, and did the candidates themselves not at least receive a briefing to go back over their social media profiles and take a look themselves?
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/aug/01/eyemouth-herring-queen-fishing-industry-change-women-scottish-town
But I know a couple of Belarusians, and their country is almost North Korean in the control they have over their citizens. One is still required to obtain an exit visa to leave the country.
Whoever it is will be at the mercy of events for a while. I actually think they'd have been better off persuading Sunak to stay until next spring, so they could see the lie of the new political landscape.
The contenders would have then had a bit of time to show their mettle in opposition.
As it is stick a pin in the list.
(I'm sure I've used that joke before, but it remains appropriate feel)
Betting wise the opportunities at these prices are backing Stride and Cleverly imo. Which is basically my position (I've also laid Jenrick, but when he was shorter, and it's partly a hate lay anyway).
Put a gun to my head and I think Tugenhadt will win but I'd rather back him at shorter odds when it becomes clearer he has a path to, this stuff is too unstable atm to be backing anyone unless at or close to double digits imo.
Who haven’t heard of code structure, testing pyramids or even code versioning tools.
“No, Quant Boy, the Python file you emailed me isn’t going directly into production. Aside from the fact it doesn’t actually run, we need tests. And test data. And some QA. and running on all the non-prod environments first…. Also, where is the specification? ‘cause Compliance will quite interested in how we are pricing stuff.”
I would assume that someone without the ‘right’ documents doesn’t get near the airport in the first place, so good luck to any external authority that tries to tell the Belarusians they can’t do that…
I do remember a colleague getting stuck there for two months though, five or six years ago, because she had to sort out a whole pile of paperwork before they’d let her leave.
My assumption would be that a treaty requiring an exit visa only applies to foreigners, not to citizens of the country in question. Or else they don’t say they require it, but the price of it is a year’s average salary.
It’s worth repeating because people don’t get it. The Tories are doomed unless they can strangle Reform. That is the first and primary task, as it’s a question of survival. That needs a leader on the right
The markets understand this, which is why Jenrick and Badenoch are favourites
But you know what: I can get our developers working faster by threatening to do stuff myself.
Me: "Oh, no problem, if it's going to take you so long, I'll just write it myself. And don't worry, I know how to deploy to the production webserver."
...
Me (five minutes later): "You can get it to me this week? That's fantastic. Thank you so much."
https://www.businessinsider.com/pharma-cio-cancelled-microsoft-copilot-ai-tool-2024-7?IR=T
(you may need to disable Javascript to read the article but that's all that is required).
Oh, and the security manager and QA manager would want to know why the f*** the CEO has the capability of deploying anything to production.
The main threat to Lib Dems is not the same as the main threat to Labour.
https://x.com/foxinsoxuk/status/1820138018323177476?t=W5KH3hC7dsbD4vZiB-euMQ&s=19
So, I am always looking at ways to get down and dirty and write some code.
(When we hired our lead engineer, who had previously held that role at Trainline, I tearfully handed over the repository of the prototype app that I had built myself. My COO told me later that our lead engineer said, upon seeing the code, "you know, I'd hire him as a junior developer." Which was, I think, one of the greatest compliments I've ever received.)
I've no idea on the UA tactics, unless they expect it to draw Russian troops away from frontlines in quantities justifying the 2-3k UA troops who are reported to be involved.
Is the honeymoon over? Keir Starmer’s favourability ratings have returned to pre-election levels
Favourable: 37% (-3 from 30-31 Jul)
Unfavourable: 53% (+4)
Net favourability: -16 (last week was -9)
https://x.com/yougov/status/1821499417142174102?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw