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PB Predictions Competition 2024 – July update – politicalbetting.com

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  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 31,200
    Barnesian said:

    Kamala now shorter than Joe on Betfair for the Presidency. Something's afoot.

    7.6 v. 9 or 13% v. 11% chance of winning.

    Punters are quite often ahead of events despite having no evidence to support their positions.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,164
    Just started watching after a spell on the radio. At what point did Koeman turn into Ted Robbins?
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,326
    @Coral

    Harry Kane performing like the kid in the park that you only let play because it’s his ball.

    #EURO2024
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 21,378
    Normally happy to have corners with Van Dijk attacking in the box.

    Not today.
  • No_Offence_AlanNo_Offence_Alan Posts: 4,336
    Andy_JS said:

    Andy_JS said:

    It feels like the game is in an energy-saving phase on both sides.

    Forgive me Andy, you may have already posted this - and I missed it, or you might not want to say...

    but I'm interested - How did you vote?
    I always end up voting LibDem despite disagreeing with about half of their policies, and this time was no exception. But I still think Goodwin and John Gray have interesting things to say.
    I am a Lib Dem "activist" and I think I disagree with more than half of their policies.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,188
    Scott_xP said:

    @Coral

    Harry Kane performing like the kid in the park that you only let play because it’s his ball.

    #EURO2024

    They should take him off and bring Toney on.
  • I'd vote for any party that did proper planning reform for masts.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 51,528
    This has got all the makings of England chasing the game with 7 minutes to go....
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 31,200
    England starting to look a bit rubbish.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 47,574
    Picked the right moment to pop out from NATO meetings and check the score...

    https://x.com/Keir_Starmer/status/1811131502941589569?t=FeLB-yXRr8R8_JgSpaI9Pw&s=19
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,622
    I read that the dutch have brought Donkey on and he's made a real difference. How come he never did for United? Or Burnley for that matter?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 51,528
    edited July 10

    This has got all the makings of England chasing the game with 7 minutes to go....

    Bollocks....
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 31,200
    offside
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,164

    This has got all the makings of England chasing the game with 7 minutes to go....

    Still 5 minutes to be proved right on that :)
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 47,574
    Foden is a decent player but I cannot support a player with that haircut. It's over the line.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 51,528
    Wifey sums up the feelings of a nation:

    "Fucking offside rule...."
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 21,378
    I'm glad Southgate doesn't consider Kane too big to be substituted.

    Right call.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,294
    edited July 10

    Andy_JS said:

    Andy_JS said:

    It feels like the game is in an energy-saving phase on both sides.

    Forgive me Andy, you may have already posted this - and I missed it, or you might not want to say...

    but I'm interested - How did you vote?
    I always end up voting LibDem despite disagreeing with about half of their policies, and this time was no exception. But I still think Goodwin and John Gray have interesting things to say.
    I am a Lib Dem "activist" and I think I disagree with more than half of their policies.
    I am a Lib Dem "activist" and I haven't read our manifesto nor have I read the tens of thousands of leaflets that I wholesale and deliver. I can't remember the slogans let alone the detailed policies. Very few people ask about policies on the doorstep.

    I'm driven by People, Positioning and Performance not by Policies.
    Lib Dems have hundreds of policies discussed and approved at Conference.
    You want 'em, we've got 'em.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,622
    I note that my vanquisher has made a tit of himself doing the oath

    https://twitter.com/ScotNational/status/1811072536324526279

    Which nation is he an alist of again?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 118,277
    It's coming home
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 31,200
    yippee
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,405
    Watkins! Supersub again...
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 21,378
    GOAAAALLLLLLLLLLL!!!!!!
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,995
    Southgate now has a huge call to make. Alf Ramsey didn’t shirk it, will Southgate?
  • boulayboulay Posts: 5,273


    Fuck ues
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 31,200
    Feel a bit sorry for the Dutch.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,150
    Up the Starmada.
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 21,378

    I'm glad Southgate doesn't consider Kane too big to be substituted.

    Right call.

    And the substitute gets the goal ...
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,622
    Andy_JS said:

    Feel a bit sorry for the Dutch.

    But I get to enjoy the match on the same side as my neighbours at the weekend ;)
  • Southgate is a fucking legend.

    Always wrong Leon is a bellend.

    For once, you've written something non-tripey. Good for you.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,312
    Starmer’s fucking genie
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 51,528
    England have survived longer than the Netherlands.

    You know when you've been tangoed, Dutchies....
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 31,200
    Not sure we deserved it but a win is a win.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,266

    Starmer’s fucking genie

    What's the collective noun for a whole bunch of them?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 47,574

    Starmer’s fucking genie

    Let's hope he has a wish left!
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,003
    NEVER HAD A DOUBT :lol:
  • LeonLeon Posts: 52,701
    Golly goggles
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,463

    I note that my vanquisher has made a tit of himself doing the oath

    https://twitter.com/ScotNational/status/1811072536324526279

    Which nation is he an alist of again?

    What’s an alist?
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,558
    After all the shit that's been piled on Southgate.......
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 47,574
    dixiedean said:

    Starmer’s fucking genie

    What's the collective noun for a whole bunch of them?
    A landslide of genies?
  • Alphabet_SoupAlphabet_Soup Posts: 3,010
    Well done PBers at 9.50. A minute ahead of BBC so-called "Live".
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 21,876
    We lose 3-0 to Spain in the final right?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 79,961
    That sound you hear is the Croatian betting syndicate ripping up their 1-1 betting slip...
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 68,222
    .

    Can England just ATTACK. Goodness me.

    Evidently, yes.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 79,961

    I'm glad Southgate doesn't consider Kane too big to be substituted.

    Right call.

    Should Kane start the final?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 118,277
    GIN1138 said:

    We lose 3-0 to Spain in the final right?

    I see you're an optimist.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,150
    GIN1138 said:

    We lose 3-0 to Spain in the final right?

    We're pussies. Now we've avoided the embarassment of going out early, we choke.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 5,273
    GIN1138 said:

    We lose 3-0 to Spain in the final right?

    No.
  • Nigelb said:

    .

    Can England just ATTACK. Goodness me.

    Evidently, yes.
    I should manage this team.
  • If England plays as well as it did in the first half/the last five minutes, good game against Spain. If it's like the second half they will get destroyed.

    Optimistic 1-1 and then penalties
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,995

    After all the shit that's been piled on Southgate.......

    Hopefully the lesson he’s learning is that you don’t worry about who you take off or leave out. I think Southgate will start Watkins on Sunday. Kane can have no complaints.
  • Tim_in_RuislipTim_in_Ruislip Posts: 387
    edited July 10
    I'd have Spain clearer fav's than the bookies, tbh

    Currently 1.75/2.3

    I'd go 1.5/3

    @isam is the resident PB football sharpie.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 31,200
    edited July 10
    O/T

    Suspect has been arrested in Bushey triple killing case.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cl4y8ljjexro
  • LeonLeon Posts: 52,701

    After all the shit that's been piled on Southgate.......

    Not least by me

    If Southgate goes and wins this I will do a 30 day pilgrimage to Neptune by way of penance

    Also today he showed intelligence
  • MuesliMuesli Posts: 195
    Andy_JS said:

    More from the Suella / Kemi psychodrama.

    https://x.com/SuellaBraverman/status/1811075448337477749

    "Suella Braverman MP
    @SuellaBraverman

    Kemi, and the rest of the cabinet, should not have nodded along, as they and Rishi took the party to disaster.

    The refusal to take responsibility is at the root of our problem.

    It was not someone else’s fault."

    In amongst the counterbriefing against Badenoch today, I noticed that one shadow Cabinet member let the BBC know that a colleague had advised Badenoch that she needs to be “less abrasive”. Hmm. I’m no fan of Badenoch but this line of briefing has deeply unpleasant undertones. It’s more subtle than saying she’s too sassy or calling her uppity… but not by much. Hmm.

    Oh never mind, England are in the final.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,294
    Foxy said:

    dixiedean said:

    Starmer’s fucking genie

    What's the collective noun for a whole bunch of them?
    A landslide of genies?
    A lamp of genies. A beacon of genies.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,622
    If England win the tournament, is it too late for United to hire him?

    I know that we've supposedly confirmed the contract of ETH, but then again Red Bull extended the contract of Perez and he's totally getting sacked when he finishes in 17th again again in Hungary.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 79,961
    Leon said:

    After all the shit that's been piled on Southgate.......

    Not least by me

    If Southgate goes and wins this I will do a 30 day pilgrimage to Neptune by way of penance

    Also today he showed intelligence
    I think you should be forced to watch 30 days of Disney(woke)+.....
  • Tim_in_RuislipTim_in_Ruislip Posts: 387
    edited July 10

    I'd have Spain clearer fav's than the bookies, tbh

    Currently 1.75/2.3

    I'd go 1.5/3

    @isam is the resident PB football sharpie.

    @isam

    d'you take a view?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 118,277
    Thoughts and prayers for bloke with a mahoosive red against England winning the tournament.

    I'll be delighted to lose.
  • glwglw Posts: 9,792
    GIN1138 said:

    We lose 3-0 to Spain in the final right?

    We could get absolutely thrashed, or Southgate will defy the laws of football and somehow fluke it with an incomprehensible lineup.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 47,574

    If England win the tournament, is it too late for United to hire him?

    I know that we've supposedly confirmed the contract of ETH, but then again Red Bull extended the contract of Perez and he's totally getting sacked when he finishes in 17th again again in Hungary.

    If England win then Southgate gets a go at the World Cup.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 52,701
    The stupid thing is this England team SHOULD be in the finals or thereabouts

    Best player in the bundesliga
    Best player in la liga
    Several of the best players in the EPL

    An abundance of talent only matched by Spain and France

    Yet we’ve played crap and yet - we’re through to the final

    Quite perplexing

    But YAYYYYYY
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 21,378

    I note that my vanquisher has made a tit of himself doing the oath

    https://twitter.com/ScotNational/status/1811072536324526279

    Which nation is he an alist of again?

    The SNP may not appreciate me saying this but ...

    ... there's something fundamentally British about going through with the pomp and circumstance of an oath ceremony, while also making snide remarks to make it clear you disagree with the oath.

    I quite like it when MPs do this, and I'd probably do the same myself even if I were elected as a Tory MP (obviously not an option this year voting for Labour). Like Skinner making digs to Black Rod during the old Queens Speech ceremonies, this is just something we do.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 50,452
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,323

    Well done PBers at 9.50. A minute ahead of BBC so-called "Live".

    I've learnt my lesson Alphaphet, never dip into PB while an important sporting event is playing.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 68,222

    Leon said:

    After all the shit that's been piled on Southgate.......

    Not least by me

    If Southgate goes and wins this I will do a 30 day pilgrimage to Neptune by way of penance

    Also today he showed intelligence
    I think you should be forced to watch 30 days of Disney(woke)+.....
    In Middlesbrough.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 61,208
    What a surprise!!!
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 31,200

    Andy_JS said:

    England 2-1.

    Jesus. That was quick.
    Sorry for spoiling the fun. 😊
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 79,961
    edited July 10
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/07/10/reform-candidate-claims-was-fake-insists-i-exist-election/

    Seems like Byline Times and fox beater lawyer have jumped on another fake conspiracy theory. I think this is the 3rd one they have claimed doesn't exist and found to be real people who just happen to not be big on social media.

    Did anybody ever get to the story about that pranker YouTuber whose name was down for loads of seats i.e. if it was him or loads of his idiot fans changing their names and standing?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 68,222

    Thoughts and prayers for bloke with a mahoosive red against England winning the tournament.

    I'll be delighted to lose.

    Fortunately I acknowledge my ignorance, and haven't put a penny on the tournament.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,494

    How do the English feel about the Dutch? Sense there is no real animosity there?

    Historically good friends and allies of the English.

    Along with Portugal, one of the very few major European countries with no animosity between us or vice-versa.
    They did invade in 1688. And then had history rewritten so that we all forgot that foreign troops had landed in England and taken over the kingdom.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 61,208
    Leon said:

    After all the shit that's been piled on Southgate.......

    Not least by me

    If Southgate goes and wins this I will do a 30 day pilgrimage to Neptune by way of penance

    Also today he showed intelligence
    Played like a different team frankly.

    Maybe the pressure was off - at least whatever they made the Semi finals etc.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 61,208
    dixiedean said:

    Starmer’s fucking genie

    What's the collective noun for a whole bunch of them?
    A 'lamp'.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 79,961
    edited July 10

    Leon said:

    After all the shit that's been piled on Southgate.......

    Not least by me

    If Southgate goes and wins this I will do a 30 day pilgrimage to Neptune by way of penance

    Also today he showed intelligence
    Played like a different team frankly.

    Maybe the pressure was off - at least whatever they made the Semi finals etc.
    Foden...he has been poor all tournament, he was brilliant, particularly in the first half. The change of system allowed him to be much more involved.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 79,961
    Nigelb said:

    Leon said:

    After all the shit that's been piled on Southgate.......

    Not least by me

    If Southgate goes and wins this I will do a 30 day pilgrimage to Neptune by way of penance

    Also today he showed intelligence
    I think you should be forced to watch 30 days of Disney(woke)+.....
    In Middlesbrough.
    Steady on, I think that would get the UN investigating for cruel and inhuman punishments.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 31,200
    edited July 10
    BBC News — Starmer to meet Biden tonight.
  • TazTaz Posts: 13,372
    I’ve missed the joy of an overexcitable Ross Kemp reaction

    https://x.com/rosskemp/status/1811141957739250151?s=61
  • TazTaz Posts: 13,372
    I see that it is being reported SKS is off to the final on Saturday.

    We know who to blame if we lose.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 31,200
    "Keir Starmer
    @Keir_Starmer

    What a game @England and what a winner.

    Berlin here we come!"

    https://x.com/Keir_Starmer/status/1811145933121290681
  • MuesliMuesli Posts: 195
    edited July 10
    Comment knocked out by a last minute fluke.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 118,277

    NEW THREAD

  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,494

    This thread has scored in the final minute

  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,687
    Muesli said:

    Andy_JS said:

    More from the Suella / Kemi psychodrama.

    https://x.com/SuellaBraverman/status/1811075448337477749

    "Suella Braverman MP
    @SuellaBraverman

    Kemi, and the rest of the cabinet, should not have nodded along, as they and Rishi took the party to disaster.

    The refusal to take responsibility is at the root of our problem.

    It was not someone else’s fault."

    In amongst the counterbriefing against Badenoch today, I noticed that one shadow Cabinet member let the BBC know that a colleague had advised Badenoch that she needs to be “less abrasive”. Hmm. I’m no fan of Badenoch but this line of briefing has deeply unpleasant undertones. It’s more subtle than saying she’s too sassy or calling her uppity… but not by much. Hmm.

    Oh never mind, England are in the final.
    If Kemi Badenoch's fans have such thin skins, I think they're in for an uncomfortable time, considering how abrasive she can be. Really, I think "abrasive" is a very polite term for the malicious games she plays.

  • MuesliMuesli Posts: 195
    edited July 10
    Chris said:

    Muesli said:

    Andy_JS said:

    More from the Suella / Kemi psychodrama.

    https://x.com/SuellaBraverman/status/1811075448337477749

    "Suella Braverman MP
    @SuellaBraverman

    Kemi, and the rest of the cabinet, should not have nodded along, as they and Rishi took the party to disaster.

    The refusal to take responsibility is at the root of our problem.

    It was not someone else’s fault."

    In amongst the counterbriefing against Badenoch today, I noticed that one shadow Cabinet member let the BBC know that a colleague had advised Badenoch that she needs to be “less abrasive”. Hmm. I’m no fan of Badenoch but this line of briefing has deeply unpleasant undertones. It’s more subtle than saying she’s too sassy or calling her uppity… but not by much. Hmm.

    Oh never mind, England are in the final.
    If Kemi Badenoch's fans have such thin skins, I think they're in for an uncomfortable time, considering how abrasive she can be. Really, I think "abrasive" is a very polite term for the malicious games she plays.

    I’m very much *not* a Badenoch fan and I said as much in my comment. That doesn’t mean I think it’s ok for her rivals shadow Cabinet colleagues to lean on racist tropes about angry black women to smear her. What next? Advising her that she should know her place?
  • MattWMattW Posts: 21,673
    Carnyx said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Clive Lewis MP will; be source of tremendous irritation over the next five years, I'm sure...

    Clive Lewis MP
    @labourlewis
    To be sworn in as an MP, you have to make an oath to the King.

    This is what I decided to say, in protest.

    https://x.com/labourlewis/status/1811047794813149231

    Oh God, he's such a twat.
    It's not been compulsory to swear an oath of loyalty for a very long time, certainly on grounds of conscience.

    https://victoriancommons.wordpress.com/2023/10/23/quakers-in-the-commons-joseph-pease-and-the-right-to-affirm/
    It is possible the law applies only to Quakers and Moravians, depending if it has been updated from 18xx or not.
This discussion has been closed.