Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

If it’s not hurting then it’s not working – politicalbetting.com

12345679»

Comments

  • MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,806

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    Anecdotally I don’t know anyone that is voting Tory. My friends and family are a very mixed group of right and left and probably half are Tories - or can be persuaded that way sometimes


    Usually a few of them will admit this. Now none. I suppose one or two might be hiding it - must be - but that does concur with the polls. 20% could be what they get. Which is virtual wipeout?

    🤞🙏

    I know quite a few who will vote Tory, particularly Indian doctors, but also old school Tories like my uncle in Lake.

    There are a lot of low information voters at a GE who don't see the polls etc.
    Fair enough. I do wonder how many Tories will crawl back to them at the end. eg my sister (really quite Tory) has gone awfully quiet. Usually she’s happy to tell us her vote (Tory). For the last year she’s been denouncing them

    Now she’s all quiet. Hmmm. I suspect she’s reluctantly returning to the fold. If there are 2-3 million like her the Tories will be fine. Defeated but fine
    I voted Tory yesterday because I like and respect my local MP. Pure constituency vote though.
    I always quite liked Phillip Dunne. Best of a bad lot in Shropshire. Doesn’t mean I’d ever vote for him though as he supported things I disagreed with.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,859
    Leon said:

    Re expectations of the GE2019, here's what PB had to say either side of the exit poll:

    https://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2019/12/12/a-big-rumour-to-get-everyone-going-before-the-exit-poll-at-10pm/

    Some PBers predicting a hung parliament plus this:

    For what it's worth, I hear canvassing returns today have given Labour an internal projected vote share of 36.2%. Their number crunchers are saying its now 50/50 between a a hung parliament and a small Tory majority.

    https://x.com/tnewtondunn/status/1205242626548674563?s=20

    Nice find. The idea everyone on pb and around Britain was calmly predicting a massive Tory majority is outright nonsense
    We all were; you weren’t. Hence your anomalous recollection.
This discussion has been closed.