NEW: The Tories have lost up to a third of voters who planned to back the party just four months ago, according to an Ipsos poll for the FT that shows high levels of volatility ahead of the election. Labour lost a quarter of voters in the same period.https://t.co/AcmeShZpBV pic.twitter.com/g7uma0dOOw
Comments
And FPT because it took me a while to write
Here in Lewisham we got the usual one-off dump of leaflets today via the postman. So in total we have
Vicky Foxcroft (Labour). Slick, standardised and professionally produced Labour leaflet. Little tick-box questionnaire about what we'd like Labour to do in the constituency. 8/10 for the leaflet, only 4/10 for actually being visible or active between elections.
Two from Jean Branch (Lib Dem). Why 2 leaflets, Jean? This is Lewisham North, Labour rosette on donkey territory. Spend your time helping Bobby Dean in Carshalton & Wallington. OK, reasonably personal leaflets but message isn't clear. 6/10
Wrong leaflet from Reform (Marian Newton, Lewisham W and W Dulwich. Should be Edward Powell Lewisham North). Slick turquoise one pager with Nigel and Richard. Stop the boats etc. I'll begrudgingly have to give this 8/10 but with a 2 point deduction to 6 for getting the constituency wrong
[Big] John [Owls] Lloyd (Alliance for green socialism). Quaintly homemade vibe. Classic old trot photo, looking miserable. "John considers Starmer to be as bad as the Tories. The same right wing policies at home....failure to condemn Israeli war crimes in Palestine". SKS fans please explain.
Gwenton Dennis (Workers Party of GB). Another one going to the wrong constituency - he's Lewisham West & West Dulwich too. Maybe the royal mail messed it up. Similar content to John Lloyd but much slicker production values. No mention here of the traditionalist themes Galloway used in Rochdale. Rather touching dedication and picture of candidate's late mum and sister on the back. 7/10
No Green (surprising, must be on the way) or Conservative leaflets yet.
Fun test though, thank you TimS for sharing it.
https://x.com/njones179/status/1805125649431961949
When it comes to letterboxes experience tells you never put your fingers where you cannot see them.
This is fun: Sir Winston "Walter Mitty" Churchill. The medals Churchill was not entitled to wear - that he wore.
https://youtu.be/s1VCnnCQP3E
Mark Felton is a small-s socialist.
That is what we need to invest in.
Basic and fundamental mathematics are not on your side. 8 billion people reducing consumption by 1% on aggregate does bugger all for the planet.
8 billion people using 100% (net) clean technologies fixes the climate problem.
You are completely wrong to suggest we've done nothing, the opposite is the truth. As recently as in 2012 we got a plurality of our electricity from coal, and most of the rest from gas, and very little from renewables.
As of right now we are getting no power whatsoever from coal and nearly twice as much power from zero-emissions sources than from gas.
We need to do more of the same, develop and invest in clean production lines. And the rest of the world can do the same too.
It does not matter if we get a 1% or 2% increase or decrease in consumption in aggregate. A 100% (net) decrease in emissions does matte though.
This campaign will enter the annals and for as long as there are humans left on earth, still they will refer back to it
Plus dogs on the otherside are a menace, soz IanB2 and all other PB dog owners.
Joke from the Sun's Rot Spot column circa 1990:
What has four legs and an arm?
madmacs said:
» show previous quotes
Cheltenham is awash with Lib Dem posters, a few Tory and seen no Labour posters. Also many leaflets, letters etc from the yellow perils. Labour clearly focusing on Gloucester
Thanks Mac. Can you please keep posting your reports.
There's an abundance of LD diamonds in Winchcombe, and even more in Bishop Cleeve, which is their stronghold in Tewkesbury constituency. Seen one Labour poster in our High Street, and that's it. Have now had leaflets from every candidate except the Labour lady. Apparently she skipped a radio hustings programme last week. Unfortunately the bookies seem to have cottoned on now to her being a bit of a no-show and the bet which I so proudly trumpeted on here is no longer such good value, but at least I can feel that I have not led our brethren astray.
Best guess is that Laurence Robertson holds on by a couple of thousand so his odds of 4/9 are probably about right.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/24/birmingham-election-candidate-akhmed-yakoob-apologises-for-deeply-disturbing-remarks-about-women
I used SEER rockdust on my allotment and it was very effective.
Funny thing is they smear me as a climate denier but I grow my own veg travel mostly by public transport and drive very little (had the car since new the thick end of two decades ago and will keep it till it packs up (the greenest way possible of driving due to the carbon cost of construction and disposal). Probably one of the greenest here in terms of what I actually do.
If they actually believed what they say then the COP and WEF summits would be held by videoconference.
What they really mean is that they want a subsistence existence stuck in 15 minute cities for most so that there is unspoiled Lebensraum for them and they can air condition their mansions and fly their private jets without the earth running out of resources any time soon. Oil isn't infinite. Lets not let the plebs waste it, what?
one in fields. Lots of leaflets, Lib Dems
beating Tories but not by much. No canvassing by anyone. At the local by election we couldn't move for Lib Dem councillors. We are in a Lib Dem Council seat so I'm surprised at lack of canvassing. Guess they are going to wards without councillors.
With an uncertain world things can become worse
Trouble with general principles is that, for example, yes, some of the things Russia say they are doing can in some circumstances be legitimate, except for the fact they are talking total rubbish, and answering for the general principle doesn't say whether you believe that principle applies in a given circumstance.
*It is.
Which is why cutting flights is not a credible suggestion and is not going to happen. If it won't happen for these conferences, it won't happen anywhere else either.
What is a credible suggestion is developing net zero clean technologies for flights. Which will take longer to implement than say net zero clean technologies for cars, but should still happen ultimately.
I wish I hadn't.
Instead you want to fiddle while the planet burns, playing pretend redistribution of resources, rather than fix the problem.
I don't use one, but I do have the scars (literally) for my foolishness. Many years ago a dog did get my hand through the letterbox and wouldn't let go. I just had to yank my hand back and it ripped open one finger down to the bone.
And that led to an interesting conversation with my car insurance company. I couldn't drive so the person I was with drove me in my car to hospital (5 minutes away) where I was stitched up. As he was driving it was on his policy, but obviously only 3rd party for another car. I asked the insurance company what I should have done then and they said call an ambulance, which was nonsense for such a minor injury.
After that I moved to Saga who will cover you comprehensive for someone to drive your car if you become incapacitated to get you to home or a hospital.
Chichester (& Arundel) are just about to start their next one, and as well as the large street sculptures there will be smaller ones to go in shop windows. I'm having one, and it's going to be delivered today.
The trail is called The Big Hoot.
So later on today, or possibly tomorrow, I will legitimately be able to say I have my own owl. And Labour haven't even won yet. Imagine!
For example, there's one about "extreme measures in response to being forced off your land." Now, I'd consider military action to be an extreme measure - it's more extreme than writing a letter to the ICJ - but I'd still expect such action to be conducted within the rules of law. Attacking civilians is out of bounds in all circumstances.
I suspect the question is actually asking about support for Hamas terrorism in response to the Nakba, but you could also interpret it in terms of Ukraine attacking oil-related infrastructure in Russia in response to the invasion, depending on your definition of terms.
Ten days before polling day - with postal ballots now being completed and returned - and the dominant issue is Tories being investigated for misconduct and the usual questions about why Sunak isn't taking action against them.
It may not be entirely fair, but could Sunak have imagined, when he decided to jump, that this campaign would turn into such an absolute nightmare?
He's 33rd in the list of Con safe seats, and 85th target for the LDs. Those numbers probably overestimate his chances but even so I expect him to scrape home.
Surely there are plenty of topics to do with environmentalism they could be getting their teeth into instead?
(Living in Cumbria, with our classic laconic reserve you would have almost no idea there is anything on. No posters, no placards, no canvassing, utterly desultory rubbishy leaflets through the door into the bin. Though the expectation is that every seat bar one will go from blue to red).
Thinking it is remotely possible even if someone cracks fusion (the energy holy grail) is dangerous utopian nonsense.
Even if we didn't use it for fuel, there are a million and one other things we use oil for, from plastics to fertilizer.
So we would still need to extract most of it and distill it to get the byproducts. Then just burn off the petrol and gas if no one wanted it for fuel (which used to happen in a big way with gas before international LPG shipments took off in a big way).
Just as they could live in a three bed terraced house like I do with my family rather than a vast carbon guzzling mansion with eight bathrooms.
We can and will continue to use oil cleanly and indefinitely, for industrial, medicinal and all sorts of other processes.
And dealing with any waste emissions is much easier to do when its done industrially rather than eg in an internal combustion engine.
Clean technologies is not utopian nonsense, its the real world.
Interesting exchange in the Facebook comments under this video, between Tory candidate James Cracknell and one of his fans
"Who knows who will be leading the party come 5th July", Tory candidate Cracknell said — adding a winking smiley face
This really set in with the Spaffer Ascendency, though he left Day Boy Rishi to eat the Nemesis as he oozes his way round the speaker circuit, characteristically avoiding all responsibility.
However, I don't think that's an excuse for MisterBedfordshire or anyone else to believe or push batshit crazy conspiracy theories.
The problem is so great that doing one of the things won't be enough. We need to do all of the things!
You and others might enjoy; I'm slowly working my way through 14 years of ~3-weekly blogging.
Since we have been on access, here's a short piece she wrote about a walk designed to show Richard Benyon the Minister about problems with access land in England:
https://campaignerkate.wordpress.com/2022/07/31/walk-for-a-minister/
https://x.com/LucyLetbyTrials/status/1804980240139366627
Obviously this is a pro-Letby Twitter account, but seriously? The evidence in the original trial /reversed/ the entry & exit of every single person involved? So key witnesses in the original trial claimed “very strong recollections” of things that the entry / exit records suggest simply didn’t happen?
WTF were the police doing?
Its been the norm throughout most of recorded history
It seems to have completely evaporated now.
Everyone wants more for themselves. That is simple human nature.
It's very similar otherwise to the one you got, and it arrived with leaflets for the Lib Dems (correct constituency) and a chicken shop - so clearly a paid delivery, but no stamp so I'm not sure if it was Royal Mail or not.
Have Refuk screwed something up badly, I wonder?
I doubt it matters, though - their potential voters will be motivated by party rather than candidate everywhere but Clacton and perhaps Boston and Skegness.
Similarly "prepared to negotiate peace", as we've seen recently with serial treaty violator VP, doesn't necessarily mean "prepared to negotiate peace".
I still ended up pretty close to the Ukraine side - and only just below half way between Israel and Palestine.
Which is where I'd have placed myself without such a list.
Cutting a few flights does piss all. If 99% of flights still take off, then reducing the flights by 1% does bugger all.
OTOH ensuring the flights that take off emit 10% less in one step, and then emit nothing eventually, transitions us to clean flights without cutting anything.
The latter is a serious, credible, scientific way to address the problem.
(In the view of this football ignoramus.)
8 years to the day since this happy couple expressed their unbridled joy at winning the referendum.
Be careful what you wish for.
These asshats are about to find out what happens when voters take back control...
Neither defender nor attacker were attempting to play the ball. The pair of them just fell over in a messy heap.
"Your conflict coordinates are 30.56% Israel, 58.34% Ukraine."
The interchange between Labour and LibDem in both directions bodes well for knocking the Tories back, assuming the voters know what they are doing.