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The trend is not Sunak’s friend with Savanta and Opinium is no barrel of laughs

Savanta had some of the strongest Con numbers at the start of the campaign, so its ominous for Tories that they have now joined Club Sub 20. Savanta Con numbers by week:Week 1: 27Week 2: 28Week 3: 25Week 4: 21Week 5: 19 https://t.co/EcL5722yxm
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chingford_and_Woodford_Green_(UK_Parliament_constituency)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aberdeenshire_North_and_Moray_East_(UK_Parliament_constituency) Sigh.
Can't believe Leon hasn't been to Portsmouth before.
Conservatives are interesting, as there are some who are climate change deniers, but I know others who are very green indeed, so I wonder if the Greens breaking through in the Shires will change the identity or image of the party from the kind of Bristolian heartland type.
Savanta had some of the strongest Con numbers at the start of the campaign, so its ominous for Tories that they have now joined Club Sub 20.
Savanta Con numbers by week:
Week 1: 27
Week 2: 28
Week 3: 25
Week 4: 21
Week 5: 19
https://x.com/robfordmancs/status/1804583171792552426
A "Herdson moment"? Do we have any feedback from a David-like figure?
A5. One side completely taken up with slogan Local Leila Vs London Labour.
The other side has (exactly!) 100 words about what she'll do, including sorting out the A27 (Loughton had 27 years and failed) and keeping the sea clean (hmm, do you really want to remind voters about that?).
This is a leaflet that I would put out as a token effort in a seat where my side had a paper candidate and zero chance of winning. Not a seat where my team were defending a 7500 majority. They have given up.
Congratulations to Tom Rutland (Lab), our next MP.
Also never been to: Bradford, Halifax, Rochdale, Rotherham, Lancaster, Derry, Stoke on Trent, Hartlepool, or the Yorkshire dales
First count
First Tory win possibilities
Potential Portillo moments
Tory leadership contender counts
Reform seats
etc.
Its prisoners who don't.
https://x.com/BeckettUnite/status/1804470278031892985
Nor, so long as they're still a small party, do they need to attempt to present a consistent stance: they can quite happily be red-green in Brighton and Bristol, and a cuddly bolthole for fed up Nimby Shire Tories in East Anglia, at the same time.
https://www.thetimes.com/comment/columnists/article/like-rowling-ive-been-staunch-labour-but-fear-theyll-bend-the-knee-to-the-mob-vqjk2zdfz
Still provoked a like and a few comments though ;-)
https://www.thegeographist.com/uk-cities-population-1000/
And possibly you.
If you add Oldham to your list, then bring a really good brolly. It always seems to be pouring rain in Oldham. It should be Britain's cleanest town.
@kateferguson4
EXCL: Rishi Sunak says there are "11 days to save Britain" from a Labour government that will make the UK "less safe".
Gloves come off in i/v as the election enters final stages.
Says Starmer will under invest in defence, hike taxes & reverse Brexit.
https://x.com/kateferguson4/status/1804600588115591335
Also Leicester, derby, Coventry, Scunthorpe, and Peterborough
Probably Leicester is the biggest British conurbation I’ve not seen. I have been to the county just skipped the city. I have a sense I’m not entirely missing out
40% of young wont bother to vote.
https://x.com/AllieHBNews/status/1804581581555896343
And then they will spend next five years complaining that the boomers get all the benefits in life and have massive pensions and got their own homes at age 25 etc etc.
If you don't vote, then you don't get to complain imho.
I’m pretty sure SKS doesn’t deserve 500 seats but the Tories are being deservedly punished and they’ve brought it upon themselves. Their parting gift to the country may very well be an unwieldily crazily unbalanced HOC.
(Belfast and NI are wonderful, by the way. Everyone should go.)
Despite the fact they should disqualified under two of those four headings.
I don't know, they deserve what's coming but I still harbour a 'too good to be true' feeling about the more apocalyptic predictions. Some of the Reform vote must consist of grumpy elderly ex-Tories who'll traipse home when push comes to shove - mustn't it?
Very quiet with plenty of distance from overbearing Yorkshire people!
Sunak and the party today is just that bad.
When I'm voting Labour, that should set off alarm bells.
When I see polls like these, I think, just put them out of their misery. An ending comes to all things, and the Conservatives long since ceased to believe in anything, or to care about their voters.
Incidentally, it shows the old argument that the UK is missing two cities in its population distribution. Most countries have a second city half the size of the first, then a couple of cities half the size of the second. France and Germany both have this pattern. Japan is similar in that Tokyo is so much more massive than any other conurbation.
Former England bowler and Gloucestershire president David Lawrence diagnosed with MND
First British-born black man to play for his country is the latest, retired athlete to develop cruel degenerative disease
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/cricket/2024/06/21/david-lawrence-diagnosed-mnd-england-gloucestershire/
Otherwise there'll be breathless posts about being on his third pint of Old Peculier and "who knew sheep are astonishingly beautiful in dappled late summer evening sunlight" etc.
LOL.
Did his hands come off with them as well?
Ladies and gentlemen if this is anything near reality then we are through the looking glass
I’m now passing HMS Prince of wales - massive
And Portsmouth is really dramatic. Probably a shit place to live but definitely got tons of character and history
They'll lose. But not like the polls predict.
But maybe I am just unable to compute what is about to happen???
Which two places in the list share the same name?
https://www.thegeographist.com/uk-cities-population-1000/
But then I look at the Tories and think jeez they have to die. And if Farage is the ugly tool that does it, so be it
You go most everywhere as a twitcher. But still never NI.
Cardiff I never considered. I did get to Port Talbot once and that was enough to stop me visiting any more towns in SE Wales, especially after I added Swansea to the list. Admittedly it was in the 1980s so maybe it has improved since then.
The General Election electoral reality just happens to be the last shoe to drop.
Voters move in packs. As we’ve talked about, the dyke has burst to make it acceptable for Tory voters to flood to Reform. And it appears the same it’s voters coming back to us. We’re not a wasted vote, we’re a legitimate challenge
Portsmouth is great. When my son was at Uni we bought a house in Fratton. Fratton is a bit of a dump, but not far from Southsea which is buzzing.
Which will leave me on Sale, Atherton, East Kilbride.