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Thank you Tories for all the betting opportunities – politicalbetting.com

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  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,051

    biggles said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    dixiedean said:

    Tory source confirms Sir Simon Clarke is calling for a new PM tonight.

    https://twitter.com/MrHarryCole/status/1749896775484232116

    Calling for 'a new PM' is all very well but 'generic Tory' isn't an option. Indeed, 'generic Tory' is pretty much the incumbent. If you want a replacement, you really ought to say who that replacement should be.
    This is from last month.

    — plots to oust Sunak are bubbling away under the surface

    — allies of Liz Truss have held talks about coordinating letters

    some of them want Simon Clarke to be the candidate to replace him

    — Truss denies plotting. Clarke says he wants govt to succeed


    https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1733417742001156162
    If the answer is Simon Clarke then you're asking the wrong question.
    Unless the question is name a tall Tory who nobody approaching normal has ever heard of?
    And who divorced his wife for a Westminster colleague

    'The 6ft 7in Tory nicknamed Stilts stepped down as minister for regional growth and local government “for personal reasons”.

    But the MP for Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland is “head over heels in lust”.

    His teary wife Hannah looked devastated outside their Teesside home yesterday.

    She and Mr Clarke, 35, have a young son together.'
    'https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/12648544/married-tory-quit-cheating-wife/
    For a moment I thought you were talking about Boris Johnson.

    You don't choose who you love, love chooses you.
    You do when you are married, you take your vows for life (and Boris at least had charisma for all his flaws in his personal life, unlike Clarke)
    No, when you love each other you should be together for life, and marriage is an expression of that love.

    However if for whatever reason you cease to love each other, then separation is the honourable thing to do.

    I want to stay together with my life because I love her. I want her to stay with me because she loves me, not because of any vows.
    If you didn't love her you wouldn't have married her in the first place.

    Marriage should be entered in as a lifelong commitment, the problem is too many nowadays get divorced on the first row or expecting eternal perfection but the whole point of marriage is relationships have ups and downs but you make a lifelong commitment to the person forsaking all others
    Point of order. My agreement with my wife was that I’d forsake all others except for Keira Knightley.

    So far though, Keira is playing it cool.
    Celsius or Fahrenheit? Or (more likely) Kelvin?
    She hasn’t said no.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20
  • HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    dixiedean said:

    Tory source confirms Sir Simon Clarke is calling for a new PM tonight.

    https://twitter.com/MrHarryCole/status/1749896775484232116

    Calling for 'a new PM' is all very well but 'generic Tory' isn't an option. Indeed, 'generic Tory' is pretty much the incumbent. If you want a replacement, you really ought to say who that replacement should be.
    This is from last month.

    — plots to oust Sunak are bubbling away under the surface

    — allies of Liz Truss have held talks about coordinating letters

    some of them want Simon Clarke to be the candidate to replace him

    — Truss denies plotting. Clarke says he wants govt to succeed


    https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1733417742001156162
    If the answer is Simon Clarke then you're asking the wrong question.
    Unless the question is name a tall Tory who nobody approaching normal has ever heard of?
    And who divorced his wife for a Westminster colleague

    'The 6ft 7in Tory nicknamed Stilts stepped down as minister for regional growth and local government “for personal reasons”.

    But the MP for Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland is “head over heels in lust”.

    His teary wife Hannah looked devastated outside their Teesside home yesterday.

    She and Mr Clarke, 35, have a young son together.'
    'https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/12648544/married-tory-quit-cheating-wife/
    For a moment I thought you were talking about Boris Johnson.

    You don't choose who you love, love chooses you.
    You do when you are married, you take your vows for life (and Boris at least had charisma for all his flaws in his personal life, unlike Clarke)
    In our case 60 years in May, but if you genuinely believe marriage vows bind you for life then you are incredibly naive and does not reflect reality
    If you aren't committed to keeping them, what is the point of making the vows in the first place?
    You are incredibly naive on this subject

    Of course people making wedding vows are entirely committed to them but circumstances change, relationships change, life changes, and nobody can predict events that overtake relationships often decades after
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479
    nico679 said:

    I don’t believe a word of these rumours . Even by recent Tory standards this would be insane .

    And your point is?
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,876
    Foxy said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @RobDotHutton
    "And you promise this won't make us look ridiculous?"


    I "raise" you this:

    image
    Which raise another question. Given Rishi Sunak owns more pound coins than the Post Office, why can't he buy a suit that fits?
    The button is placed an inch or two too low, perhaps deliberately to give the impression of a longer torso. Otherwise its not a bad suit.
    Rishi can barely fasten the button, and is not fat (and as you say, the cut is odd too with the button too low).
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479
    Nigelb said:

    Has the moment come for Liz Truss?

    And gone.
    No. The moment for T R U S S is ever present.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,802
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    dixiedean said:

    Tory source confirms Sir Simon Clarke is calling for a new PM tonight.

    https://twitter.com/MrHarryCole/status/1749896775484232116

    Calling for 'a new PM' is all very well but 'generic Tory' isn't an option. Indeed, 'generic Tory' is pretty much the incumbent. If you want a replacement, you really ought to say who that replacement should be.
    This is from last month.

    — plots to oust Sunak are bubbling away under the surface

    — allies of Liz Truss have held talks about coordinating letters

    some of them want Simon Clarke to be the candidate to replace him

    — Truss denies plotting. Clarke says he wants govt to succeed


    https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1733417742001156162
    If the answer is Simon Clarke then you're asking the wrong question.
    Unless the question is name a tall Tory who nobody approaching normal has ever heard of?
    And who divorced his wife for a Westminster colleague

    'The 6ft 7in Tory nicknamed Stilts stepped down as minister for regional growth and local government “for personal reasons”.

    But the MP for Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland is “head over heels in lust”.

    His teary wife Hannah looked devastated outside their Teesside home yesterday.

    She and Mr Clarke, 35, have a young son together.'
    'https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/12648544/married-tory-quit-cheating-wife/
    For a moment I thought you were talking about Boris Johnson.

    You don't choose who you love, love chooses you.
    You do when you are married, you take your vows for life (and Boris at least had charisma for all his flaws in his personal life, unlike Clarke)
    In our case 60 years in May, but if you genuinely believe marriage vows bind you for life then you are incredibly naive and does not reflect reality
    If you aren't committed to keeping them, what is the point of making the vows in the first place?
    Vows are spoken
    To be broken
    Feelings are intense
    Words are trivial
    Pleasures remain
    So does the pain
    Words are meaningless
    And forgettable

    All I ever wanted
    All I ever needed is here in my arms
    Words are very unnecessary
    They can only do harm
    He broke his marriage vow and left his wife and young child for a younger model he met at Westminster, now he doesn't need to be arrested for that but he shouldn't be applauded for it either
    Surely he needs to be stoned to death? Leviticus chapter 20 verse 10?
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,125

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    There is absolutely no way this is true.
    I disagree.

    Pretty much any new leader would make this lifelong Tory voter and activist more likely to vote Tory. At present, I won't be voting for a Rishi led party.

    I said it right at the start, and have been proved right. Rishi is a dud.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479
    biggles said:

    DavidL said:

    Only in Scotland would this man still be in office:
    https://www.msn.com/en-gb/health/other/official-advised-humza-yousaf-on-how-to-avoid-wearing-mask-uk-covid-inquiry-hears/ar-BB1h8apF?ocid=msedgntp&pc=DCTS&cvid=b43fa120c2b848d6a3525a92aff16b39&ei=8

    He is the one who claimed today that his advice to a colleague to delete his snapchats to avoid FOI requests was a joke but the punchline is that he did indeed delete all his snapchats.

    Hang on, I accept I am way out of date here, but I though Snapchat was what kids used to share “one time only” photos? Is it now a messaging thing too?
    I thought it was that daft app that morphed your face into a lion/tiger. Thought it became passé several years ago.
  • Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    There is absolutely no way this is true.
    We don't often agree but on this it is utter nonsense and must be seen in the context of the recent telegraph poll and the plotting by the right wingers through the telegraph
  • Nigelb said:

    Has the moment come for Liz Truss?

    And gone.
    All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain...
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    kle4 said:

    Anyway, how big a win is Trump getting in New Hampshire as a whole?

    Except for midnight vote from Dixville, polling places across New Hampshire are still open, until 7pm (eastern) most places though in a few towns closing time is 8pm.

    Note that some towns are planning to first count and report Republican primary results, then turn to Democratic primary, where expected sizable number of write-in votes for Biden will slow down the count.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,011

    Nigelb said:

    Has the moment come for Liz Truss?

    And gone.
    No. The moment for T R U S S is ever present.
    Time for her second coming.
  • Mortimer said:

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    There is absolutely no way this is true.
    I disagree.

    Pretty much any new leader would make this lifelong Tory voter and activist more likely to vote Tory. At present, I won't be voting for a Rishi led party.

    I said it right at the start, and have been proved right. Rishi is a dud.
    And it would make this lifelong conservative vote elsewhere
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,051
    Mortimer said:

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    There is absolutely no way this is true.
    I disagree.

    Pretty much any new leader would make this lifelong Tory voter and activist more likely to vote Tory. At present, I won't be voting for a Rishi led party.

    I said it right at the start, and have been proved right. Rishi is a dud.
    I think a generic leader with charisma, and backed with a bit of unity, could get 35% and stop a Starmer majority (though I still think Sunak might manage that). Except the act of desposing Sunak precludes the unity party.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,814

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    There is absolutely no way this is true.
    Scotland independent? No, not that I've noticed. For that matter, NI as well.

  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,643
    PMQs should be a good laugh.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479
    Who cares how tall Clarkey and Rishy are? Both are 100% helmet and that is the only measurement that matters
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,903
    edited January 23

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    'When people were asked who they would prefer as prime minister –Sir Keir or a new, tax-cutting Tory leader with a tougher approach to legal and illegal migration – voters in 322 constituencies in England and Wales preferred a new Tory leader, while Sir Keir came out on top in only 164 seats.

    In 89 constituencies the most common answer was “not sure”. If the “not sure” respondents are stripped out, a new Tory is most popular in 375 constituencies to 200.'

    If you believe that and of course the alternative Tory leader wasn't named....'The poll did not present respondents with names of possible alternative Tory leaders, but asked if they would prefer as prime minister: Sir Keir or a new Tory leader who was stronger on crime and migration, who cut taxes and got NHS waiting lists down.'
    So basically if Sunak achieved that it could even be him
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/01/23/oust-sunak-election-massacre-warns-cabinet-ally-simon-clark/
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,400

    Nigelb said:

    Has the moment come for Liz Truss?

    And gone.
    All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain...
    Always thought was parsed wrong. Should surely be ‘like tears in THE rain’.
  • CleitophonCleitophon Posts: 480
    It is almost like I called it this morning 🤔
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,708
    What time do we start getting results from NH? (I mean the rest of the the votes, not just the first 6)
  • Mortimer said:

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    There is absolutely no way this is true.
    I disagree.

    Pretty much any new leader would make this lifelong Tory voter and activist more likely to vote Tory. At present, I won't be voting for a Rishi led party.

    I said it right at the start, and have been proved right. Rishi is a dud.
    And it would make this lifelong conservative vote elsewhere
    I thought you were already voting elsewhere?

    Or are you voting for this nonsense that we have at the moment?
  • eekeek Posts: 28,367
    edited January 23

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    There is absolutely no way this is true.
    Oh the survey is true because it's Bexit mark 2.

    Do you prefer SKS or an imaginary PM giving you everything you want (more Government spending, no immigrants, and less tax, insert all your pet unicorns here)...
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541
    A fourth leader this Parliament. That will assist the Tory brand no end.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,051

    kle4 said:

    Anyway, how big a win is Trump getting in New Hampshire as a whole?

    Except for midnight vote from Dixville, polling places across New Hampshire are still open, until 7pm (eastern) most places though in a few towns closing time is 8pm.

    Note that some towns are planning to first count and report Republican primary results, then turn to Democratic primary, where expected sizable number of write-in votes for Biden will slow down the count.
    7pm? If we did that here I would never get home from work in time.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,814
    HYUFD said:

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    'When people were asked who they would prefer as prime minister –Sir Keir or a new, tax-cutting Tory leader with a tougher approach to legal and illegal migration – voters in 322 constituencies in England and Wales preferred a new Tory leader, while Sir Keir came out on top in only 164 seats.

    In 89 constituencies the most common answer was “not sure”. If the “not sure” respondents are stripped out, a new Tory is most popular in 375 constituencies to 200.'

    If you believe that and of course the alternative Tory leader wasn't named....'The poll did not present respondents with names of possible alternative Tory leaders, but asked if they would prefer as prime minister: Sir Keir or a new Tory leader who was stronger on crime and migration, who cut taxes and got NHS waiting lists down.'
    So basically if Sunak achieved that it could even be him
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/01/23/oust-sunak-election-massacre-warns-cabinet-ally-simon-clark/
    So they've added the DKs basically on their side. Would have thought you'd love that.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,814

    Who cares how tall Clarkey and Rishy are? Both are 100% helmet and that is the only measurement that matters

    Er ... decidedly ambiguous, that.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    What a shame for them that 'New Tory Leader' will not be on the ballot paper, but 'Old Codger past his prime' 'Youthful cad' 'silly ideologue' and 'Suella Braverman' will be.

    Any Leader inherits a party divided - if Sunak could enact policies everyone liked and supported he'd have done it already.
  • AverageNinjaAverageNinja Posts: 1,169
    I cannot believe this is happening.

    How can anyone now not justify a general election?
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,988
    @robfordmancs
    “An amalgam of Margaret Thatcher and Winston Churchill who will give tax cuts to everyone, shut up the youngsters and restore Britain’s rightful place in the world. Or Rishi Sunak. Choose!”
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071

    I cannot believe this is happening.

    How can anyone now not justify a general election?

    People with money on the election being in the autumn?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479

    Nigelb said:

    Has the moment come for Liz Truss?

    And gone.
    No. The moment for T R U S S is ever present.
    Time for her second coming.
    She never went away. Omnipresent, a goddess who walks among us.
  • Mortimer said:

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    There is absolutely no way this is true.
    I disagree.

    Pretty much any new leader would make this lifelong Tory voter and activist more likely to vote Tory. At present, I won't be voting for a Rishi led party.

    I said it right at the start, and have been proved right. Rishi is a dud.
    And it would make this lifelong conservative vote elsewhere
    I thought you were already voting elsewhere?

    Or are you voting for this nonsense that we have at the moment?
    I have no idea who I will vote for at GE24 but the wider point is the one nation tories would desert a right wing conservative party
  • I cannot believe this is happening.

    How can anyone now not justify a general election?

    Because its not due yet and there's still a majority in the Commons. Its as simple as that.

    But you should be glad. The longer this shower of shit goes on for, the more it salts the Earth for the Tory Party to come back from.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,631
    edited January 23

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    I really don't think such a fantasy would swing Leicester East blue.

    Who did this survey for them? Surely it isn't Yougov? Not after last week's one?
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,988
    @StarSports_Bet
    🇬🇧 | BRITISH POLITICS

    Latest odds:

    Sunak to face a Vote of No Confidence before next GE: 10/3

    Sunak to be replaced as Tory leader in…

    2024: 6/5
    2025: 8/13

    Simon Clarke next Tory leader: 50/1
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    Scott_xP said:

    @robfordmancs
    “An amalgam of Margaret Thatcher and Winston Churchill who will give tax cuts to everyone, shut up the youngsters and restore Britain’s rightful place in the world. Or Rishi Sunak. Choose!”

    “Who would make the best Prime Minister?” 1. Rishi Sunak 2. The projection onto a blank canvas of everything you want in a Prime Minister?

    Well, when he puts it like that it's almost as if the question is bloody silly.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,051

    I cannot believe this is happening.

    How can anyone now not justify a general election?

    Ooo I’ll bite. Is the answer “because the Tories prefer being in Gvt to not being in Gvt and they will stop being in Gvt on polling day, so will push it back, and push it back; and end up going in Jan”?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
  • Mortimer said:

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    There is absolutely no way this is true.
    I disagree.

    Pretty much any new leader would make this lifelong Tory voter and activist more likely to vote Tory. At present, I won't be voting for a Rishi led party.

    I said it right at the start, and have been proved right. Rishi is a dud.
    And it would make this lifelong conservative vote elsewhere
    I thought you were already voting elsewhere?

    Or are you voting for this nonsense that we have at the moment?
    I have no idea who I will vote for at GE24 but the wider point is the one nation tories would desert a right wing conservative party
    This one nation ex-Tory has already abandoned the party and so have most others I know, I thought you had too.

    Sunak banging on about Rwanda and doing absolutely nothing positive isn't changing that any time soon.

    An alternative Tory party will probably deserve to lose at the minute.

    A Sunak-led Tory party definitely deserves to lose at the minute.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,988
    kle4 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @robfordmancs
    “An amalgam of Margaret Thatcher and Winston Churchill who will give tax cuts to everyone, shut up the youngsters and restore Britain’s rightful place in the world. Or Rishi Sunak. Choose!”

    “Who would make the best Prime Minister?” 1. Rishi Sunak 2. The projection onto a blank canvas of everything you want in a Prime Minister?

    Well, when he puts it like that it's almost as if the question is bloody silly.
    What do you want?

    1. Rishi Sunak
    2. A pony...
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,703
    Charles to refuse to swear in the new PM and tell them it is high time for a GE?
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,400

    Who cares how tall Clarkey and Rishy are? Both are 100% helmet and that is the only measurement that matters

    I have no idea why race, religion etc are protected characteristics, but people think it’s fine to mock someone over their height. You get the hand you get.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479
    If there was a general election tomorrow would you prefer a) Sir Keir “Royale” Starmer as PM or b) a leader who would:

    • cut taxes
    • deliver world-class public services
    • resolve immigration problems
    • offer nightly orgies hosted by a celebrity of your choice

  • Who cares how tall Clarkey and Rishy are? Both are 100% helmet and that is the only measurement that matters

    I have no idea why race, religion etc are protected characteristics, but people think it’s fine to mock someone over their height. You get the hand you get.
    Making religion a protected characteristic was a terrible mistake.

    People choose their beliefs.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,988
    @SimonClarkeMP

    Oct 25, 2022

    My loyalty to @trussliz and @BorisJohnson was sincere to the last and I appreciate deeply the opportunity they gave me. But I meant every word that I said yesterday:
    @Conservatives must unite under our new PM and should all work to ensure
    @RishiSunak succeeds. He has my support.
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,652
    HYUFD said:

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    'When people were asked who they would prefer as prime minister –Sir Keir or a new, tax-cutting Tory leader with a tougher approach to legal and illegal migration – voters in 322 constituencies in England and Wales preferred a new Tory leader, while Sir Keir came out on top in only 164 seats.

    In 89 constituencies the most common answer was “not sure”. If the “not sure” respondents are stripped out, a new Tory is most popular in 375 constituencies to 200.'

    If you believe that and of course the alternative Tory leader wasn't named....'The poll did not present respondents with names of possible alternative Tory leaders, but asked if they would prefer as prime minister: Sir Keir or a new Tory leader who was stronger on crime and migration, who cut taxes and got NHS waiting lists down.'
    So basically if Sunak achieved that it could even be him
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/01/23/oust-sunak-election-massacre-warns-cabinet-ally-simon-clark/
    All he needs to do is cut taxes, deport half the NHS staff, then cut waiting times.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,400
    Foxy said:

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    I really don't think such a fantasy would swing Leicester East blue.

    Who did this survey for them? Surely it isn't Yougov? Not after last week's one?
    Was the question ‘If Starmer was replaced by Corbyn, and a new Tory leader offering free owls to all put in place, how would you vote?’
  • paulyork64paulyork64 Posts: 2,507
    BBC 10.o clock news map renames Vermont as New Hampshire. Embarrassing.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    Who is funding the shadowy 'Conservative British Alliance', the group that seems to be behind this coup?

    I suspect his initials may be VP.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541

    BBC 10.o clock news map renames Vermont as New Hampshire. Embarrassing.

    I know Americans who do that.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,703
    More popcorn needed!!!
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071

    Who cares how tall Clarkey and Rishy are? Both are 100% helmet and that is the only measurement that matters

    I have no idea why race, religion etc are protected characteristics, but people think it’s fine to mock someone over their height. You get the hand you get.
    I'm the same height as Rishi, so I consider him fair game to make fun of for that reason. It is amusing when someone towers over another like that as an adult, I often feel like I have to step back to remain in some hypothetical framed shot with someone.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,400

    I cannot believe this is happening.

    How can anyone now not justify a general election?

    There was an impotent poster up in a window on my walk into town a year ago wailing ‘general election now’. That’s not how it works. It won’t be how it works at the fag end of the next failing labour government either.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,703
    DougSeal said:

    BBC 10.o clock news map renames Vermont as New Hampshire. Embarrassing.

    I know Americans who do that.
    I thought that map looked odd.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,988
    @JAHeale
    New: on the Tory WhatsApp group, MPs are tonight publicly rowing in behind Rishi Sunak

    Bob Seely: ‘To those who wanna do this: get a bloody life.’

    Andrew Percy: ‘The idea another leadership psychodrama will help any Tory MP is for the birds! For FFS!’
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479

    Who cares how tall Clarkey and Rishy are? Both are 100% helmet and that is the only measurement that matters

    I have no idea why race, religion etc are protected characteristics, but people think it’s fine to mock someone over their height. You get the hand you get.
    Indeed. It’s not as if he can do anything about how tall he is.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,400

    Charles to refuse to swear in the new PM and tell them it is high time for a GE?

    Not his job.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479

    Who cares how tall Clarkey and Rishy are? Both are 100% helmet and that is the only measurement that matters

    I have no idea why race, religion etc are protected characteristics, but people think it’s fine to mock someone over their height. You get the hand you get.
    Making religion a protected characteristic was a terrible mistake.

    People choose their beliefs.
    Very true. Fair comment.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,703

    Who is funding the shadowy 'Conservative British Alliance', the group that seems to be behind this coup?

    I suspect his initials may be VP.

    Yesterday they were 'PopCon'.

    I wish they would decide who they are trying to bring down Sunak for.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,631
    Was this really the question?

    "Lord Frost and friends have asked a fascinatingly skewed YouGov poll question between these 3 options

    1) Rishi Sunak
    2) Keir Starner
    3) imaginary new Conservative leader who stops the boats, cuts immigration, delivers lower taxes, better NHS, lower crime!"

    https://twitter.com/sundersays/status/1749914073766989882?t=UJJXRRdwrHEdTgE4Owscxw&s=19

    If Yougov really asked such a skewed question then they will be the laughing stock of the polling world. That's Trafalgar bad!
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,988
    @MattChorley

    Source close to Liz Truss insists she is NOT supporting Simon Clarke tonight
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,703
    Scott_xP said:

    @SimonClarkeMP

    Oct 25, 2022

    My loyalty to @trussliz and @BorisJohnson was sincere to the last and I appreciate deeply the opportunity they gave me. But I meant every word that I said yesterday:
    @Conservatives must unite under our new PM and should all work to ensure
    @RishiSunak succeeds. He has my support.

    A year is a long time in a sack with a load of other ferrets.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    Foxy said:

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    I really don't think such a fantasy would swing Leicester East blue.

    Who did this survey for them? Surely it isn't Yougov? Not after last week's one?
    Yes, YouGov apparently. "A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour"

    I presume it's the MRP from 4 Jan because they are showing constituency level results on the map, but they could just be applying some universal fantasy swing, I guess.

    Does anyone have a link to the full tables for the YouGov MRP?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,903

    Who cares how tall Clarkey and Rishy are? Both are 100% helmet and that is the only measurement that matters

    I have no idea why race, religion etc are protected characteristics, but people think it’s fine to mock someone over their height. You get the hand you get.
    Making religion a protected characteristic was a terrible mistake.

    People choose their beliefs.
    No it wasn't, ask the survivors of the Holocaust for starters what happened when their religious freedom to be Jewish was not respected by the State
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    Scott_xP said:

    @JAHeale
    New: on the Tory WhatsApp group, MPs are tonight publicly rowing in behind Rishi Sunak

    Bob Seely: ‘To those who wanna do this: get a bloody life.’

    Andrew Percy: ‘The idea another leadership psychodrama will help any Tory MP is for the birds! For FFS!’

    I know it leaks a lot, but is it publicly if it is in their WhatsApp group?

    I feel for them a bit, they are going down and cannot see a way out - some will try something, like Clarke, but others see that as counterproductive or just futile.
  • So is anything actually happening? Or have the Trussites (stop sniggering at the back) actually done something? I am not counting funding the SUNAK WILL KILL US poll or lying about how a hard tack to the right means they win, or this "poll" showing that hard right new leader would deffo win a majority of 704?

    Simon Clarke. Do not go gently into the night. rage, rage against the dying of your seat when you lose by 8,000.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,631

    Foxy said:

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    I really don't think such a fantasy would swing Leicester East blue.

    Who did this survey for them? Surely it isn't Yougov? Not after last week's one?
    Yes, YouGov apparently. "A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour"

    I presume it's the MRP from 4 Jan because they are showing constituency level results on the map, but they could just be applying some universal fantasy swing, I guess.

    Does anyone have a link to the full tables for the YouGov MRP?
    I don't think MRP polls have tables, do they?
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,125

    Mortimer said:

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    There is absolutely no way this is true.
    I disagree.

    Pretty much any new leader would make this lifelong Tory voter and activist more likely to vote Tory. At present, I won't be voting for a Rishi led party.

    I said it right at the start, and have been proved right. Rishi is a dud.
    And it would make this lifelong conservative vote elsewhere
    Errr, didn't you vote for Blair?
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,988
    @MattChorley

    Former cabinet minister: "The trouble with the cult of youth in modern politics is that you get a lot of juvenilia"

    Another Tory MP: "OK courageous, as Sir Humphrey would say"
  • HYUFD said:

    Who cares how tall Clarkey and Rishy are? Both are 100% helmet and that is the only measurement that matters

    I have no idea why race, religion etc are protected characteristics, but people think it’s fine to mock someone over their height. You get the hand you get.
    Making religion a protected characteristic was a terrible mistake.

    People choose their beliefs.
    No it wasn't, ask the survivors of the Holocaust for starters what happened when their religious freedom to be Jewish was not respected by the State
    What has that got to do with anything I said?
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,068

    Charles to refuse to swear in the new PM and tell them it is high time for a GE?

    Not his job.
    Um, not sure about that...
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,631
    HYUFD said:

    Who cares how tall Clarkey and Rishy are? Both are 100% helmet and that is the only measurement that matters

    I have no idea why race, religion etc are protected characteristics, but people think it’s fine to mock someone over their height. You get the hand you get.
    Making religion a protected characteristic was a terrible mistake.

    People choose their beliefs.
    No it wasn't, ask the survivors of the Holocaust for starters what happened when their religious freedom to be Jewish was not respected by the State
    The Nazis killed non practicing, atheist and converted Jews enthusiastically. They viewed Jews as an ethnic group, rather than primarily a religion.
  • BBC 10.o clock news map renames Vermont as New Hampshire. Embarrassing.

    I would no more watch a US election night on British TV than I would watch a UK election night on American TV.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,494
    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    'When people were asked who they would prefer as prime minister –Sir Keir or a new, tax-cutting Tory leader with a tougher approach to legal and illegal migration – voters in 322 constituencies in England and Wales preferred a new Tory leader, while Sir Keir came out on top in only 164 seats.

    In 89 constituencies the most common answer was “not sure”. If the “not sure” respondents are stripped out, a new Tory is most popular in 375 constituencies to 200.'

    If you believe that and of course the alternative Tory leader wasn't named....'The poll did not present respondents with names of possible alternative Tory leaders, but asked if they would prefer as prime minister: Sir Keir or a new Tory leader who was stronger on crime and migration, who cut taxes and got NHS waiting lists down.'
    So basically if Sunak achieved that it could even be him
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/01/23/oust-sunak-election-massacre-warns-cabinet-ally-simon-clark/
    So they've added the DKs basically on their side. Would have thought you'd love that.
    Do we ask, who paid for this dumbass unicorn poll?

    A week has hardly gone by since that poll predicting Tory wipeout, prompting us to ask - Who was behind poll predicting Tory wipeout – and what do they want? The immature brains at the Telegraph added such a spin on that one the pollster called them out on it.

    And now another one not just Sunak but Levido too we must say, just don’t need. In fact every member and voter of the Tory party really doesn’t need this in election year. So Apart from presuming its clueless backers of team Boris burning through money in such a way its writing Starmer a bigger blank cheque and leaving Tory’s even further from power for longer, is there an actual strategy being played here by one of the five families?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    Sounds like a wishful thinking conclusion to me - more relevant is that it's an even split of whether they think Biden won in 2020, even in a group that self describes as 64% non-MAGA.

    CNN’s exit poll from the New Hampshire Republican primary:

    Party registration:
    Registered Republicans-49%
    Registered undeclared-47%
    Unregistered before today-3%

    Ideology
    Very conservative-24%
    Somewhat conservative-39%
    Modrate-31%
    Liberal-6%

    Are you part of the MAGA movement?
    Yes-32%
    No-64%

    Do you think Biden won legitimately in 2020?
    Yes-49%
    No-49%

    Encouraging numbers for Nikki Haley

    https://nitter.net/RpsAgainstTrump/status/1749920897215959432#m
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    I really don't think such a fantasy would swing Leicester East blue.

    Who did this survey for them? Surely it isn't Yougov? Not after last week's one?
    Yes, YouGov apparently. "A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour"

    I presume it's the MRP from 4 Jan because they are showing constituency level results on the map, but they could just be applying some universal fantasy swing, I guess.

    Does anyone have a link to the full tables for the YouGov MRP?
    I don't think MRP polls have tables, do they?
    Ah, maybe not. The question remains how did the Telegraph create these results.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,984
    EPG said:

    HYUFD said:

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    'When people were asked who they would prefer as prime minister –Sir Keir or a new, tax-cutting Tory leader with a tougher approach to legal and illegal migration – voters in 322 constituencies in England and Wales preferred a new Tory leader, while Sir Keir came out on top in only 164 seats.

    In 89 constituencies the most common answer was “not sure”. If the “not sure” respondents are stripped out, a new Tory is most popular in 375 constituencies to 200.'

    If you believe that and of course the alternative Tory leader wasn't named....'The poll did not present respondents with names of possible alternative Tory leaders, but asked if they would prefer as prime minister: Sir Keir or a new Tory leader who was stronger on crime and migration, who cut taxes and got NHS waiting lists down.'
    So basically if Sunak achieved that it could even be him
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/01/23/oust-sunak-election-massacre-warns-cabinet-ally-simon-clark/
    All he needs to do is cut taxes, deport half the NHS staff, then cut waiting times.
    It’s a hilarious poll, but it does demonstrate that the Conservative brand is not totally destroyed. Just as the Labour brand wasn’t destroyed under Corbyn or Foot.

    It would be very interesting to run a poll comparing a fantasy perfect Tory leader with a fantasy perfect Labour leader. But with each having a different party-appropriate imaginary superpower. So for example the Tory would cut taxes for everyone, abolish wokery and slash immigration. The Labour PM would cut NHS waiting lists, abolish homelessness and make the trains go on time.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,125
    kle4 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @JAHeale
    New: on the Tory WhatsApp group, MPs are tonight publicly rowing in behind Rishi Sunak

    Bob Seely: ‘To those who wanna do this: get a bloody life.’

    Andrew Percy: ‘The idea another leadership psychodrama will help any Tory MP is for the birds! For FFS!’

    I know it leaks a lot, but is it publicly if it is in their WhatsApp group?

    I feel for them a bit, they are going down and cannot see a way out - some will try something, like Clarke, but others see that as counterproductive or just futile.
    My feeling is a lot of people have invested a lot of political capital in securing Rishi the PM job.

    I have no idea why, as he isn't very good at it, and it has led to no better position for the average backbench Tory.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,988
    @MattChorley

    Former minister: "Madness. The final descent of this Party into a fratricidal cult of warring tribes of posturing populists putting ideology ahead of governing in the mainstream interest. It’s beyond parody."

    Tory MP: "More coming... They’ve gone tonto"
  • glwglw Posts: 9,906
    I don't know what is more bonkers that the GOP is going to nominate Traitor Trump again, or that there are some absolute melons in the Tory Party that think a change of leader is going to save their skins.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071

    BBC 10.o clock news map renames Vermont as New Hampshire. Embarrassing.

    I would no more watch a US election night on British TV than I would watch a UK election night on American TV.
    Sounds like it would be a good laugh at least for those who know enough to see how wrong things are.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,703
    Simon Clarke wont be an MP by this time next year as he only as a majority of 11K.

    Bye.

    Thanks for the laughs.

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Who cares how tall Clarkey and Rishy are? Both are 100% helmet and that is the only measurement that matters

    I have no idea why race, religion etc are protected characteristics, but people think it’s fine to mock someone over their height. You get the hand you get.
    Making religion a protected characteristic was a terrible mistake.

    People choose their beliefs.
    No it wasn't, ask the survivors of the Holocaust for starters what happened when their religious freedom to be Jewish was not respected by the State
    The Nazis killed non practicing, atheist and converted Jews enthusiastically. They viewed Jews as an ethnic group, rather than primarily a religion.
    Yes, mere religion you can change, but that did not save people.
  • kle4 said:

    Sounds like a wishful thinking conclusion to me - more relevant is that it's an even split of whether they think Biden won in 2020, even in a group that self describes as 64% non-MAGA.

    CNN’s exit poll from the New Hampshire Republican primary:

    Party registration:
    Registered Republicans-49%
    Registered undeclared-47%
    Unregistered before today-3%

    Ideology
    Very conservative-24%
    Somewhat conservative-39%
    Modrate-31%
    Liberal-6%

    Are you part of the MAGA movement?
    Yes-32%
    No-64%

    Do you think Biden won legitimately in 2020?
    Yes-49%
    No-49%

    Encouraging numbers for Nikki Haley

    https://nitter.net/RpsAgainstTrump/status/1749920897215959432#m

    49% thinking Biden did not win in 2020 is awful numbers for Nikki Haley.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,659
    HYUFD said:

    Er... really?

    @Telegraph
    🔵 Oust Sunak or Tories face election massacre, warns former Cabinet ally

    A YouGov poll suggests that a new Tory leader could secure a convincing victory over Labour


    image

    https://x.com/Telegraph/status/1749907390948909452?s=20

    'When people were asked who they would prefer as prime minister –Sir Keir or a new, tax-cutting Tory leader with a tougher approach to legal and illegal migration – voters in 322 constituencies in England and Wales preferred a new Tory leader, while Sir Keir came out on top in only 164 seats.

    In 89 constituencies the most common answer was “not sure”. If the “not sure” respondents are stripped out, a new Tory is most popular in 375 constituencies to 200.'

    If you believe that and of course the alternative Tory leader wasn't named....'The poll did not present respondents with names of possible alternative Tory leaders, but asked if they would prefer as prime minister: Sir Keir or a new Tory leader who was stronger on crime and migration, who cut taxes and got NHS waiting lists down.'
    So basically if Sunak achieved that it could even be him
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/01/23/oust-sunak-election-massacre-warns-cabinet-ally-simon-clark/
    SKS fans please explain why your boy can't beat the Telegraph wet dream non existent leader!!
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,988
    Mortimer said:

    My feeling is a lot of people have invested a lot of political capital in securing Rishi the PM job.

    Eh?

    He lost to Truss, who lost to a lettuce.

    He was literally the last choice. No capital was expended by anyone at that point.

    They just wanted the chaos to stop.
  • glw said:

    I don't know what is more bonkers that the GOP is going to nominate Traitor Trump again, or that there are some absolute melons in the Tory Party that think a change of leader is going to save their skins.

    Any port in a storm.

    Changing leader probably won't save their skin.

    Keeping the leader definitely won't save their skin.

    Mathematically probably won is better than definitely won't.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    glw said:

    I don't know what is more bonkers that the GOP is going to nominate Traitor Trump again, or that there are some absolute melons in the Tory Party that think a change of leader is going to save their skins.

    Changing leader again requires a lot of wishful thinking, but doesn't require ignoring an aspiring authoritarian trying to hold onto power in one of the world's oldest democracies, and in fact enthusiastically supporting that person. The bonkers quotient is way higher for the latter.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,549
    "Sunak must be replaced as PM, says former cabinet minister Sir Simon Clarke"

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-68077142
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,400
    viewcode said:

    Charles to refuse to swear in the new PM and tell them it is high time for a GE?

    Not his job.
    Um, not sure about that...
    Which bit? Charles is a figurehead. It’s not up to him to tell someone who can command a majority in the house that they shouldn’t, and should hold an election.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    Scott_xP said:

    @MattChorley

    Source close to Liz Truss insists she is NOT supporting Simon Clarke tonight

    Truss is just a backbencher (albeit an ex-PM backbencher_), why does she need to feed her opinions to pundits via 'sources close to X'?
  • QuincelQuincel Posts: 4,042
    edited January 23
    Exit polls in New Hampshire show a higher Independent/Dem vote than in the GOP 2016 primary, and 2:1 voters describing themselves as not MAGA.

    Suspect Trump wins anyway, but if he doesn't then these were the straws in the wind.

    EDIT: I see fuller poll results have been posted below.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,659
    Trump in trouble after 6 vote counted!

    New Hampshire Republican primary: Results
    22 delegates


    Votes
    Votes
    Pledged
    Haley
    100.0%
    6
    ---
    Trump
    ---
    ---
    ---
    Binkley
    ---
    ---
    ---
    Last updated: 5:10 GMT Jan 23, 2024
    0% of votes counted. Data via NEP

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    Andy_JS said:

    "Sunak must be replaced as PM, says former cabinet minister Sir Simon Clarke"

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-68077142

    Former (very briefly) Cabinet Minister.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,399
    I would prefer blowjobs on demand from Margot Robbie, the Minogue Sisters and Emma Stone to Keir as PM.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,549
    edited January 23
    HYUFD said:

    This has shades of the 2009 botched coup for David Miliband v Gordon Brown which got nowhere.
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2009/jun/04/james-purnell-resigns-gordon-brown-cabinet

    But should have done, from a Labour point of view. Miliband would have won more seats than Brown in 2010.
This discussion has been closed.