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Thank you Tories for all the betting opportunities – politicalbetting.com
Thank you Tories for all the betting opportunities – politicalbetting.com
? No10 braced for leadership onslaught tonight. Aides expecting incoming fire from senior party figures going public imminently ?
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Not just his initials but his ego.
https://conservativehome.com/2024/01/23/peter-franklin-why-we-shouldnt-rule-out-changing-prime-ministers-again/
I'm sure it's right Rishi would win a challenge because of lack of clear alternatives, but we also know winning a challenge doesn't end discontent in leadership, and there is not much time to turn perceptions round after a year of at best treading water and at worst going backwards.
Who coming out now would make a big splash?
Lord Cameron of Chipping Norton.
The problem is he’s not in the House.
There will be no opportunity for the SNP to try to stymie the Rwanda bill as it makes its way through the Lords despite the party’s strong opposition to the proposals.
It is understood that there have been multiple occasions in recent years where senior SNP figures have had to approach “friendly” peers to put forward amendments to legislation on behalf of the nationalists.
There have been growing calls among independence supporters for the SNP to revise its policy of refusing to engage with the Lords. In December, Stephen Noon, the chief strategist of the Yes campaign during the 2014 independence referendum, argued that there needed to be “ambassadors for independence in the institutional heart of the UK”.
Still. Doesn't help.
In the seventeen years since there have been seven (if we count Rudd twice).
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2009/jun/04/james-purnell-resigns-gordon-brown-cabinet
I'm suspecting some folk have deliberately misunderstood the wording of those statements. Some of us can't imagine 'engaging' with the second house without taking part in the pseudo-aristocratic shite that constitutes an essentual element of the official UK's idea of a modern democratic state.
.
The only moment for anyone might be for Penny Mordaunt but I doubt she has the numbers
"Accepting a peerage to an unelected house does not make it democratic it simply enshrines entitlement and privilege. To quote a phrase lording it over the rest of us."
Having a go at Ruth Davidson. Its amazing how perceptions can change.
Three weeks on Thursday to the next pair of Tory by-election defences, by the way.
This way he can play the martyr, but cannot launch a reverse coup because the Leader has to be an MP. So the moment he decided to quit was probably a sign he did not see a way back for the party, and wanted to be ready to pick up the pieces afterwards (in theory at any rate, they'll probably be on to the next generation by then).
Scott Morrison also never faced a spill challenging him as PM before he lost to Albanese in 2022.
The fact there were so many spills for PM between 2010 and 2018 was more due to the personality clashes and warring camps of Rudd v Gillard in Labor and Abbott v Turnbull in the Liberals
One result of this would be severely discomfiting the SNP and their stance of not accepting peerages, for the reasons Blackford gives. How can you say the UK is a stitch up against Scotland when you're not taking up the representation to which you're entitled?
However, it can't really work with him not being a MP anymore - you can't do PMQs from the Lords nor offer a prospectus to the British people without putting yourself up for election.
Hope not, cos I did my big shop and popcorn wasn't on the list.
Wings is furious of course
https://wingsoverscotland.com/the-changing-times/
@GBNEWS understands a senior Tory MP is to call for Rishi Sunak to quit as Conservative leader in an article in a national newspaper tonight.
One rebel source said: “Someone who the PM really looks up to is calling time on the doom loop.”
https://twitter.com/christopherhope/status/1749897061695148342
Though yes in reality he would have to stand as an MP again and I doubt he can be bothered, even his former constituency of Witney is a top 50 LD target seat next time
Never heard of him!
Today, 23rd Jan, there’s just two political bets worth acting on.
A cast iron winner on GE date by quarter 2 at 9-2. And the slightly longer punt of NOM at 9-2, that could come into play with tightening during the campaign. I don’t buy this 11% Ref is getting being anti Tory when push comes to shove, my reasoning is firstly despite talking big and getting the Tory votes in elections up to the last GE, soon as starting gun fired, they were Tory voters, and secondly the idea a third of the 11% will likely split Labour is for the birds, Reform up 2 since Christmas Tories down 2, And you are arguing not all that 2 can go straight back to Tories, a third is now Labour? See how ludicrous it sounds? As ref krept up into double figures and Tory’s stood still despite pre election drift to them from Labour, where are you drawing the line a third of that ref pile will now vote Labour? You don’t know how much of that R will be swallowed by C in the closing stages of the campaign period. The truth is, you just don’t know. No one knows. Not this side of, at least the exit poll.
6th March is budget day, 42 days away. There’s 12 working week days in parliament between 7th March and the date of the dissolution on the 26th for 2nd May election.
https://twitter.com/MrHarryCole/status/1749896775484232116
https://x.com/MrHarryCole/status/1749896775484232116?s=20
Changing (or "spilling" as I think it's called) in Australia doesn't always work. In New Zealand the opposition Labour party were heading for defeat when they dumped the uninspiring Andrew Little for Jacinda Ardern. She improved Labour's position from what had seemed likely and became Prime Minister after successfully forming a coalition with Winston Peters of NZ First.
The theory may be a change of leader close to the election (Boris Johnson took over only six months before in 2019) might create the image of a "new broom" with the new leader enjoying a honeymoon with the electorate during which the election could be either fought and won or (more likely) losses would be mitigated.
But will repeat my very trivial question
Q - Which two candidates on the 1976 New Hampshire primary ballot were fraternity brothers while attending the same Ivy League university? clue - Along with two future SCOTUS and a future US Secretary of State.
MoonRabbit asked IF the NH Primary was conducted by official officials OR if it was rigged.
Personally think it IS possible for PARTY organizations to conduct free and fair elections IF they wish. For example, as far as I can tell, last week's Iowa Republican precinct caucus voting was both well organized AND on the up-and-up.
As for New Hampshire, today's primary is conducted by public officials in each town, of which there are 271 including a few that are unorganized and have zero voters, also some with VERY few, for example Dixville (Notch) = 6 voters today.
Addendum - Would add, that last night I actually read through an election audit report by NH Secretary of State, on elections conducted in a particular town; the audit was called for by SOS due to discrepancies in reported election numbers, which turned out to be human error.
Some cruel people thought that pairing them was a Johnson jape.
I mean, he’s a principled man right? He only supports causes/governments he believes in?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-68068503
I'll look up those Standing Orders.
(Joking aside, I only mock him in particular because of the hyperbole he used as leader of the remain campaign. It is quite funny to watch him have be a major part of a Government post-Brexit when we’re doing really well vs his strawman).
https://x.com/frankmpaul/status/1749738035946668337?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
— plots to oust Sunak are bubbling away under the surface
— allies of Liz Truss have held talks about coordinating letters
— some of them want Simon Clarke to be the candidate to replace him
— Truss denies plotting. Clarke says he wants govt to succeed
https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1733417742001156162
You are very valuable to the site.
Unless the question is name a tall Tory who nobody approaching normal has ever heard of?
I'm on.
Get him back!
Don't you understand what we're trying to say
Can't you feel the fear we're feeling today?
When the election is called, there'll be no running away
There'll be no seats saved from your latest brainwave
Take a look at the polls, they're bound to scare your soul
And you tell me
Over and over and over again, my friend
How you don't believe
We're on the eve of destruction
“We have a clear choice. Stick with Rishi Sunak, take the inevitable electoral consequences, and give the Left a blank cheque to change Britain as they see fit.
Or we can change leader, and give our country and party a fighting chance.”
https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1749901132569219254
I don't believe age and experience automatically lead to wisdom, but I think pitching for younger and younger PMs is a strategy which does not work when the PM is already the youngest we'd had in 200 years.
'The 6ft 7in Tory nicknamed Stilts stepped down as minister for regional growth and local government “for personal reasons”.
But the MP for Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland is “head over heels in lust”.
His teary wife Hannah looked devastated outside their Teesside home yesterday.
She and Mr Clarke, 35, have a young son together.'
'https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/12648544/married-tory-quit-cheating-wife/