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I hope Nadine Dorries is right – politicalbetting.com

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  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,582

    Andy_JS said:

    "The man supposed to stop Donald Trump is an unpopular 81-year-old
    In failing to look past Joe Biden, Democrats have shown cowardice and complacency"

    https://www.economist.com/leaders/2024/01/04/the-man-supposed-to-stop-donald-trump-is-an-unpopular-81-year-old

    Who are "the democrats"? The incumbent president decides whether to run, and if he decides not to he has no idea whether the primary voters will pick someone electable instead. If any individual runs against the incumbent or supports someone who does, they risk losing but damaging the incumbent in the process.

    If pb got to pick the candidate we'd probably get someone more electable than whoever the Dems end up running, but this is true of nearly every election.
    One can understand why, for a term-limited role, you’d let the incumbent have an unopposed second run if he wants it - but the risk is that your party gets stuck with an unpopular candidate who doesn’t want to stand down, leading to electoral defeat.

    I’m still amazed that, out of a couple of hundred million eligible candidates, it looks like we’re going to have Biden and Trump again as the nominees. Both parties could have done a lot better, but at least the Republicans are actually holding their primaries properly and having the debate among themselves.
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