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Sir Keir Starmer: Malleus Scotnatorum? – politicalbetting.com
Sir Keir Starmer: Malleus Scotnatorum? – politicalbetting.com
@scottishlabour extends general election lead over @theSNP to six points, at 38% v 32%, says new @YouGov poll for Scottish Election Study – @severincarrell reports https://t.co/0XWW5U4KhV
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https://www.xcweather.co.uk/m/GB/Map/Wind
Really defined calm centre of the storm, not an eye as such as this isn’t a closed hurricane but similar effect. So if you’re inland you’re probably wondering what the fuss is about.
Morning Greetings to all!
I wonder how Scots view the Gaza-Israel situation. May end up having a disproportionate impact given that the contest there is mostly SNP-Labour (so there's a much reduced 'kick the Conservatives' angle to benefit Labour).
I don’t think that’s his strategy. I think it’s the other way round. He wants to use support for Scottish independence to further the SNP. Right now indy-minded voters are drifting to Labour.
But that linked map suggests there is a second dose of wind coming along the coast!
Although according to windy.com, the worst is already passed
Scottish voters want to punish the Tories and the SNP? Great! So what do I do in the new Aberdeen North and Moray East seat? Want rid of the lickspittle David Duguid, but don't want to vote for the NippieNats either.
Lab and LD both well down in previous elections in both seats that merge into the new one. So on paper we will have the corrupt Tories and the corrupt SNP getting a shellacking. In favour of whom?
The worst winds have been over Northern France. 120mph recorded in Brittany overnight.
Assuming Labour cut deeply in to SNP seats, it will be interesting to see how they manage things going forward. I have always been of the opinion that SLab constantly grievance mongering about the Tories at Westminster did half of the SNPs job for them. As a result SLab shot themselves in the foot.
They now have a chance to reset the message, but what will they say ?
https://www.politico.eu/article/this-global-right-wing-movement-wants-to-save-the-world-it-just-needs-a-plan/
Just sounds like a gaggle of right wing oddballs.
...ARC was first announced by right-wing commentator Jordan Peterson earlier this year, with the anti-woke mascot revealing in a YouTube video that he had “set up an international consortium in London” and was “trying to put together something like an alternative vision of the future — an alternative to the apocalyptic narrative.”
The event has been closely watched in the U.K. in particular, where, on current polling, the Conservatives look set to lose the coming election. Tellingly, Cabinet ministers Michael Gove and Kemi Badenoch — hotly-tipped as a future Tory leader — put in appearances.
ARC appears to have real clout behind it, too. Paul Marshall, a major investor in the upstart right-wing British broadcaster GB News and funder of the increasingly popular comment and analysis website UnHerd, is one of the directors. Marshall, who is worth £680m according to the Sunday Times Rich List, is rumored to be looking to buy right-leaning staples the Telegraph and the Spectator.
He is joined at the helm of ARC by Alan McCormick, current chairman of GB News, who is also a partner of Dubai-based investment group Legatum, which is partly funding the conference. The list of those backing the event runs long, and includes Former Australian Prime Minister John Howard, and ex-U.S. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy...
I think the Sindy ship has sailed. A fever dream dissipated by the realities of Brexit. We would need a far more convincing set of politicians than the SNP or (stop giggling) Alba to persuade people to hurl themselves off the cliff into darkness.
Vote for the party that you want. It might be more clear after the next GE who is the best alternative to the Blue Meanies for a Unionist voter.
It looks like the worst was further south.
I envisage that the new MPs elected will have been directed to do the basics this time, which will boost their chances of reelection. As for relations with the Scottish Tories it depends on what the SCons say and do. They have had some good leaders (Davidson) and some terrible leaders (DRoss). If they pick Duguid next, they are truly doomed.
EXCLUSIVE: Microsoft Team chat messages within Scottish Government auto-delete after just five days, raising fresh concerns about government transparency and records keeping
https://twitter.com/conor_matchett/status/1719988325698662523
I mean, why the fuck are they using Microsoft Teams?
https://www.flannels.com/christian-louboutin-christian-louboutin-disco-spark-trainers-mens-119600#colcode=11960099
There's a piece in drafts that compares the SNP rule 2007 to 2024 to the first part of the Second Punic War.
Obviously Yousaf = Hannibal and Starmer = Scipio Africanus.
And it's pretty daft to suggest Labour makes common cause with the Tories in Scotland. Independence will always be there as an issue, but as a realistic prospect, is likely gone for the next decade.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-67294809
The centrist dads’ latest line on Starmer ferreting all over the place on Gaza is what does it matter what the leader of the opposition says on the issue, it changes nothing (but that weirdly doesn’t seem to translate to Corbyn). I imagine that applies even more to the Scottish sub branch manager.
The fact that it's in the in-house journal of the CIA probably means something but I can't decide what. Maybe they are prepping him for the succession when the bin liner full of green t-shirts goes off to the charity shop.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/egos-tantrums-and-the-life-of-the-hollywood-pa-8vb78nfqz
Two that come out well: Kate Winslet and Meryl Streep. Also Jennifer Lawrence and Matthew Perry. The rest, not so much.
My musing this morning is whether Rishi Sunak is the unluckiest General since ... I don't know ... John Major?
On top of all the failed Hail Mary passes, including the "Long Term Decisions (LOL) for a Brighter Future", and ULEZ showing signs of working better than I for one was expecting, is Rishi now going to have continual revelations of the moral turpitude of the Governments he served in as the soundtrack to the period from now to the General Election?
Smacking slightly of a man trying to use the paddle inside his own canoe, knocking holes in the bottom.
Thanks for the header. Tory share in Scotland ticking up slightly? Hmmm.
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/calcwork23.py?seat=Aberdeenshire North and Moray East
Assuming a 7 point Con-Lab swing and a 5 point SNP-Lab swing - both fairly modest assumptions on current polling - it looks like a Labour gain. If you don't want to vote Con or SNP it's certainly the best bet.
Perhaps you might even consider rejoining? Lots of people who left in 2019 have, not least a recent by-election winner.
Quite telling that someone like Badenoch sounds positively restrained in that company.
One party is corrupt, the other is corrupt. One party is incompetent, the other is incompetent. They *both* need to lose. Badly lose.
Though some of my apologies do need some work
‘I am sorry for calling you stupid, I thought you knew.’
That's a predicted result based on current polling.
Not the implied 2019 result.
Your Cheat Sheet to the 2023 General Elections
https://boltsmag.org/whats-on-the-ballot/2023-general-election/
I never apologise in letters or emails anymore. I thank the recipient for their patience.
I am hopeful that the Labour government of the next 10 years or so will undermine the SNP who will no longer be able to say that Scotland has a government that they did not vote for. That should make the Union safe. But at the end of the day in your position I would vote Labour even although I think Nick's calculation is somewhat optimistic.
But he's reading rather a lot into what sounds like a fairly straightforward plea for more (and more advanced) weaponry from the US.
I've heard that you're not averse to doing a bit of 'research' on other posters. Lucky escape for me I suppose.
Banff & Buchan: Labour 4th.
Moray East: Labour 3rd, only 163 votes ahead of LD in 4th.
There are some interesting predictions in their maths, including adding parties who are unlikely to run. Their ward predictions look interesting too - apparently the LD vote in the Troup ward will be 94. I got 260 there last year and that was a council election.
Appreciate the "why not rejoin" offer. I don't think my politics and Labour's were that well aligned towards the back end of my time there and I've drifted more to the radical centre since.
Besides which from what I can see there isn't a Labour Party up here to join. They don't have a presence at all, no candidates run for council etc. We want the Tories out, and I know you're not a Labour absolutist Nick...
They store that for years and use it against you whenever they are wrong.
Which would be great if cost of living / inflation / interest rates weren't so much higher.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/11/02/hamas-using-ukraine-war-tactics-ambush-soldiers-gaza/