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Meet the don’t knows – politicalbetting.com
Meet the don’t knows – politicalbetting.com
Full analysis and data at: https://t.co/kaJBHMKpUx
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Full analysis and data at: https://t.co/kaJBHMKpUx
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Edit: @JACK_W is back!
In this, like in so many things, most people take a side and then defend it uncritically.
The government said it was focused on habitat restoration and pollution.
Reintroducing extinct species 'not a priority'
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-67230751
Four options:
1) The government are stupid;
2) The government need better proof readers;
3) The BBC need better proof readers;
4) The BBC have given up reporting facts and are trying to make the government look stupid, or at least, even more stupid.
Disturbingly, I honestly don’t know which one it is.
I think that this is a point that Mike has made a few times over recent months in the context of the Labour lead. It looks like he was spot on.
ANC terrorist attacks often led to people on the streets of London and elsewhere supporting the ANC.
It says terrible things about the moral compass of the West.
They don't feel safe. Even here.
It's no wonder they sometimes feel the only people they can rely on are themselves and their community.
On Tuesday, Cummings is due to give evidence at the public inquiry, while the former prime minister is expected to give evidence next month.
Osborne, the former chancellor, said: “I’ve got to be a little bit careful here — it’s a judicial inquiry. But from what I understand, there are some pretty staggering things that have been said on those WhatsApp messages not just by Boris Johnson, but key advisers like Dominic Cummings — really pretty disgusting language and misogynistic language. And I think if you didn’t think very highly of that period of government, you’re gonna feel even less highly after you’ve heard those messages next week.”
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/boris-johnson-and-dominic-cummings-sent-sexist-whatsapps-x36qv6cbq
reasons. They have a natural empathy with other oppressed groups and that includes the Palestinians. So I think it’s fair to say that it has been there for a long time but I have never seen it go mainstream like this. It’s quite hard for an outsider to get their head around.
Maybe @JackW can give a better historical perspective.
She has just now said she won't vote Conservative next time. But she would vote Boris.
They loved Boris. And Boris ain't on the ticket. They're lost to the tories: they aren't coming back.
Professor Jason Leitch deleted all of his WhatsApp communications every day, which meant there were none left to preserve when a “do not destroy” notice was issued by the UK Covid-19 inquiry.
Scottish ministers were castigated for failing to hand over messages to the hearing and were warned that they risked breaking the law by failing to retain records.
The inquiry was told that none of the private messages written during the pandemic by Nicola Sturgeon, then the first minister, or her health or finances ministers had been disclosed.
The deletion of Leitch’s messages is likely to fuel concerns that the Scottish government will avoid full scrutiny at the inquiry.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/jason-leitch-deleted-whatsapp-messages-every-day-during-covid-pandemic-ffwb3thdg
FPT Mr. B, saw your Twitter post on how many times teams have had the plank checked (random):
https://twitter.com/wearetherace/status/1717528247896850848
Unlucky for Mercedes and Ferrari, but that's the nature of randomness.
But once again we seem to be getting embarrassing tranches of material with little obvious relevance other than embarrassment. All future governments will follow the Scottish example of deleting everything.
It would be actually impossible for me to 'feel even less highly' of Cumstain and Massive Johnson.
The difference is perhaps degree vs non degree educated. The latter saw through his schtick.
You get a lot of them round here.
On the day, they will vote Conservative, because that is what they have done before and it is what the Daily Mail tells them to do.
The DKs aren't going to save Sunaks bacon.
Just as supporting Israel is not the same as supporting starving Gaza of fuel, food and water so that hospitals are at the point of switching off life support systems for babies.
People are capable of nuance, even if you are not.
Also iCloud photos is where the real danger is, as a modest chap found out during his first marriage.
Females are however a demographic that leans Labour, and aren't turned on by Culture War issues, for example more tolerant on immigration or Trans issues, and also more pro-education, pro-NHS and pro-environment. They are more Centrist, and more likely to be alienated than reassured by current Tory campaigning on Culture War.
1. Don’t do stuff that you wouldn’t want to be seen.
2. If you do don’t take a f****** picture of it.
To take the last 3 as an example:
YouGov has Refuk on 9% (yeah right) and Green on 5%
Ipsos has Greens on 9% (hmm…). Annoyingly their headline doesn’t quote Ref who are within other 11% implying a medium to lowish score after deducting presumably at least 4% for SNP + PC and 1% for UKIP / random others.
And Savanta gives Ref and Green a measly 5% and 3% respectively.
I didn't support Israeli foreign policy before 7/10, nor do I want them to flatten Gaza now. That doesn't prevent me from calling out 7/10 as a terrorist atrocity. The inability of so many pro-Palestinian voices to do so now speaks volumes.
:
Take the US: the more information that comes out, the more it is clear that there was a concerted plan by Trump and his cronies to overturn the Presidential election. And yet the vast majority of Republicans don't see any evidence of this, no matter what facts are presented.
If you want to change anyone's mind - and changing someone's mind is near impossible - you don't do it by yelling "you're wrong you fool, look at this evidence". You do it by making people empathise with you.
And the least effective tactic of all: don the armor of moral certainty.
Antisemitism has always been a nasty blemish, a blemish that at one point led to industrial mass murder. And whether you agree or disagree with Israeli foreign policy, it's no excuse for what's happening at the moment.
In the face of that, it is easy to fall into a tribal back-and-forth, which, at least in part, explains why those upholding the pro-Palestinian/Gazan position have been so uncompromising in their opposition to Israel. I found myself explaning away the use of the word "jihad" a few days ago - something I regret now.
Similarly, In the face of a massive terror attack of unimaginable cruelty, it is tempting to be entirely uncompromising in your response.
Politics in the Middle East is complex and provocative, shock.
I'd have said what about partygate, Pincher, Bone? Perhaps she'd never heard of them and wasn't bothered about the cost of living. Didn't sound particularly well off.
That's a valid position to hold. But the issue with it is this: what would you have Israel do? It's fine saying they should not respond in a way like this, but what is your *better* and *realistic* option for them to do, given Hamas's actions and desires?
Tamworth couple charged £11k for gas after 18 years with no bill
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-stoke-staffordshire-67232057
But - why didn't they just sign up with another supplier straight away? That should have terminated any other agreement and if not, would have given them a credit to draw on.
Im not sure the overnight strikes were a sufficient marker, its more likely to put the US on an escalation ladder due to the lack of deterrence value of that effort.
We will soon see.
Meanwhile a senior Hamas official has expressed disappointment at Hizbollahs efforts in opening a second front. Hizbollah has its own motivations and its own reasons not to have gone all in, either so far or indeed at all, not least the damage to itself that it will bring. Hamas is disposable to Iran, Hizbollah is not.
Clearly "mad for it", and they probably can only afford the one set of clothes given the gas bill
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/other/postmen-threatened-to-stop-delivering-to-couples-home-over-claims-their-cat-was-clawing-at-their-fingers-through-the-letterbox/ar-AA1h3tXL
In Tamworth.
He was the MP for Tamworth...
Took about two weeks and that was that. Would occasionally get communication from the previous supplier, but that was trying to switch me back (onto their outrageous continuity rate).
You can't take supply of something for 18 years and just assume you don't need to pay.
I was labelled a Putin apologist for not wanting to see UK troops deployed to Ukraine by some bampot.
Some debates are pointless as the extremes drown out any rational discussion.
"A species of animal or plant that is extinct no longer has any living members, either in the world or in a particular place.
It is 250 years since the wolf became extinct in Britain."
What we did establish was that excessively violent responses such as the Bloody Sunday killings, or blunt responses such as internment without trial are the terrorists best recruiting seargents.
Ultimately peace and security arrive when political discussions allow grievances to be resolved, or at least frozen. The NI peace is certainly imperfect, and getting to where we are there meant accepting some injustices.
Peace is a process, and for a lasting peace that provides security to Israel there needs to be a resolution that provides security to the Palestinians too. The best way of pulling the support away from Hamas would be for Israel to permit a viable alternative Palestinian state to emerge on the West Bank. Instead its policy remains creeping annexation of the West Bank.
I'd have expected YouGov in its tweet to have understood that. The fact that the 'don't knows' tend to be older simply reflects the fact that former Tory voters in general are older, and is unremarkable. If anything the data suggests that the Tories are hanging on to older folks and losing everyone else - a trend for which there is a lot of anecdotal support.
Some people cling on to historic grievances, like a security blanket, decades after they’ve ceased to be relevant.
The path to a long-term solution is not an easy one. There’s not some easy formula that can be dashed off in a PB post. However, it is possible for Israel to strike against Hamas hard without, say, preventing hospitals from working. Israel could take positive measures towards peace, like stopping illegal settlements, expelling from the Cabinet politicians who call for the destruction of Palestine (and who did so before 7 Oct), and committing to removing the blockade of Gaza in due course.
Many terrorist groups and terrifying regimes have changed their ways. We found a resolution with the IRA. Bosnia is perhaps not a great success, but there is peace. One can look at the 1989 and 1991 Paris peace conferences on Cambodia.
Prior Israeli governments did better at this. No, a comprehensive a solution had not be found, but the situation was better and peace closer. They show a better way existed and thus still exists.
Were I CCHQ, I wouldn't be holding my breath that these voters will be returning to the fold any time soon. On the other hand those 'warm and cuddly' LibDems might sense a big opportunity.
But if they really want the electorate's approval then tigers would be the way to go.
“What we don’t have at the moment, between Hamas and Netanyahu, is that either party is a partner for peace”
https://twitter.com/bbcquestiontime/status/1717661322882765123
“So we can’t put more money into nurse’s pockets… but we can put more money into really rich banker’s pockets”
https://twitter.com/bbcquestiontime/status/1717668511953146142
Some - as with Hamas - will just deny utterly that civilians were targeted. One of their spokesmen was being interviewed yesterday, and simply refused to answer when pressed on that, as if he was offended by the very question.