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The 2024 White House Race – the latest betting – politicalbetting.com
The 2024 White Race – the latest betting – politicalbetting.com
Thanks to the Smarkets betting exchange for their latest betting prices on the November 2024 White Race.
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https://twitter.com/Keir_Starmer/status/1693624227600179583
Not sure he thought that through
I suspect the real fix is very different from the one being suggested which appears to be drag the prisoner kicking and screaming from the prison cell into a van into a holding room and finally into court
In my view SKS is right but his timing is terrible. Poor effort SKS
Northern_Al said:
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Older than you, so fonder memories of BR:
1. Free tickets (thanks, dad).
2. If you were going to Scarborough from, say, London, and your train was a bit late, the connecting train from York to Scarborough would actually be delayed for the London train to arrive.
Happy days.
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Anabob replied:
Yes, I remembered that when I ran at top speed (along with dozens of others) to make a connection in Newport recently after the London train was 12 minutes late. The next train was an hour or more later. The fastest runners among us held the doors for the slower people, which included mums with pushchairs, and received much abuse from the station staff for our efforts.
It worked, everyone made the change. But would have been better (and much less sweaty) if the two train 'companies' had simply co-operated. The whole episode was a nasty consequence of a fragmented system.
This morning in Seattle air quality has been slowly improving, and is now rated moderate in my locale, though still unhealthy for sensitive groups in most of King Co.
Also some improvement in Spokane, where the air is now merely rated "unhealthy" for everybody.
However, situation remains bad for folks in Grand Coulee area, Wenatchee, Yakima and Tri-Cities, where AQI is rated "very unhealthy" with a few stations downright "hazardous" to health.
Good news is that push of marine air off the North Pacific is expected to clear the wildfire smoke from Puget Sound this evening into tomorrow, with Eastern Washington getting relief day or so later.
The OTHER big weather news from US West Coast is of course Hurricane (now Post Tropical Cyclone) Hilary which is dumping lots of rain onto Southern California. On top of the 5.1 magnitude Ojai Earthquake in Ventura Co northwest of El Lay.
Flanner said:
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One of the reasons my train connection into London is a million times better than it was in the 1960s is I now have a choice between a 10 minute walk to my own station (with direct trains to Paddington four times more frequent than 60 years ago) and a 15 minute drive to Oxford Parkway (which didn't have a direct connection to London then).
On both direct trains to London and the complexities of travel to elsewhere in Britain, it's the real choice privatisation has brought that makes the present system so much better than relying entirely on the UK government.
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Anabob replied:
Er, the stations are nationalised. So your post is an example in favour of a state-run railway...
"You are only making it worse for yourself"
"Worse? How could it be worse. Jehovah, Jehovah"
Voyager class 220 27%
...
A few stations are managed by network rail. Most are managed and staffed by the appropriate train operator...
Along with Nikki Haley and Vivek Ramaswamy, leastways in the (Anglo-) American context!
I have to say the ones that are managed by NR feel a lot better in my view.
Reading for example is really nice now it has been re-built. I also like Liverpool Street and Waterloo.
I had my first post in agreement with @Sandpit today, pigs truly are flying!
Britain Elects
Westminster voting intention:
LAB: 42% (-6)
CON: 27% (-1)
LDEM: 13% (+3)
REF: 7% (+2)
GRN: 6% (+2)
@RedfieldWilton
20 Aug
Chgs. w/ 13 Aug
At first blush, it looks like a quasi-nationalisation of sorts albeit with a concession system for the TOC(s).
Anyone got, er, the inside track (sorry) on what's happened to the timetable (sorry again)?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_British_Railways
Rishi Sunak Approval Rating (20 August):
Disapprove: 47%
Approve: 29%
Net: -18%
https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1693661792470278393
Whomp whomp, is Rishi a dud?
Starmer leads Sunak by 7%.
At this moment, which of the following do Britons think would be the better Prime Minister for the UK? (20 August)
Keir Starmer 40%
Rishi Sunak 33%
https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1693656755190812954
Starmer vs Sunak (20 August):
Starmer leads Sunak on 15 of 17 leadership characteristic polled, including:
Cares about people like me (40% | 26%)
Stands up for the interests of the UK (42% | 29%)
Is a strong leader (37% | 30%)
Knows how to get things done (34% | 32%)
https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1693659273425830085
Have a look at Japan for one of the world's most successful networks, that was privatised, operates successfully and privately, takes one of the highest shares of transportation in any country on the planet, and does so with zero subsidies on the mainland.
Because, in addition to opposing coercion of belief and thus supporting religious freedom, Williams also spoke out AND actively repudiated the theft of land and whatever else colonists wanted from the Native Americans.
Instead, he paid for the lands he and his followers occupied, and took the effort to learn something of their languages and beliefs while negotiating and trading with the Indians.
But nothing for Sunak to get excited about.
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/joe-biden-administration-approval-ratings-and-hypothetical-voting-intention-5-6-august-2023/
Albeit there are also polls showing if Trump is convicted in his cases next year Independents and Moderate Republicans will desert him
At this moment, which of the following do Britons think would be the better Prime Minister for the UK? (20 August)
Keir Starmer 40%
Rishi Sunak 33%
https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1693656755190812954 I see our pirate is back! Hello friend!
PACER: 42% (-6)
VOYAGER: 27% (-1)
LDEM: 13% (+3)
REF: 7% (+2)
GRN: 6% (+2)
More evidence is required but a 6 point drop is more than MOE
As far as Sunak is concerned it is recognised he has a mountain to climb but overconfidence by labour would be unwise
In any case it isn't a matter of just keeping out criminals, immigrants generally fleeing persecution or with skills we need are welcome here
Which is why neither Starmer nor his followers are showing a scintilla of it.
Last 3 polls from R&W have been in reverse order: 42, 48, 45
Extending the series back to June we have: 42, 48, 45, 43, 45, 44, 48, 46, 44, 46, 44, 44
Which is all consistent with 45 +/- 3% ... even disregarding the fact that out of 12 polls it wouldn't be surprising to get an outlier, but they're all within that band.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-66570409
And corrected.
We have no alternative but to imprison people for safety of the public.
That's not the case for executing people who are potentially innocent if there's been a miscarriage of justice.
Next big movement probably the October party conferences. Lib Dems may get a boost as they had to cancel the conference last year due to London Bridge. I've had a look at the agenda and there's some interesting stuff in there, once you cut through the inevitable conference guff. Take a read - something on most of the PB hot topics:
https://www.libdems.org.uk/fileadmin/groups/2_Federal_Party/Documents/Conference/Autumn_2023/A23_Conf_Agenda_Web-2.pdf
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/usercode.py?scotcontrol=Y&CON=33&LAB=40&LIB=11&Reform=2&Green=3&UKIP=&TVCON=&TVLAB=&TVLIB=&TVReform=&TVGreen=&TVUKIP=&SCOTCON=18.3&SCOTLAB=33.3&SCOTLIB=8.3&SCOTReform=0&SCOTGreen=0.7&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTNAT=36.3&display=AllChanged&regorseat=(none)&boundary=2019nbbase
The conservatives are not on 33 nor are labour on 40
The difference even today is 15%
I am sure others will have a view
Net net this is a 1% shift from LLLG to RefCon so still not too bad news for Rishi especially given that Ref vote will actually be about 1% come the election, but 27% remains pretty crap.
“I’d like to report a crime against psephology”
Mind, the latest example of compensation (beign charged for board and lodging, HMP Slade grade) isn't exactly helping.
Momentum: Class 141
Corbyn's Labour: LEV1
#geekpower
My Laptop has suddenly become very noisy and I'm pretty certain its one of the fans. Not sure if its the CPU fan, or the GPU fan (gaming Laptop so has dedicated GPU). The noise volume goes up or down, its not consistent, but at its worst its very loud.
I'm taken the case apart and there was quite a bit of grey dust build-up in the fan so I've cleaned what I can access with cotton wool but its hard to access it properly and its still making a noise.
I was thinking of getting some compressed air to clean it with, but had a look at Amazon and I can't find any I trust. Everything on Amazon seems to seems to be dodgy stuff from China and have really mixed reviews with a lot of negative reviews about it just spraying liquid instead which isn't ideal with electronics. Found one on Amazon that looked professional but zooming into the picture there's multiple spelling mistakes on the can so clearly a very dodgy Chinese knock off again who can't afford a spellchecker so who knows what you're actually getting?
Any advice on anything I can get that's reliable?
People imprisoned for victimless crimes I absolutely think its wrong.
But I think people in prison generally do pose a threat to the public, which is why they're there.
Momentum = Deep-level Tube stock*
Corbyn = Glasgow Subway tube stock
* My pet crazy idea is to re-bore the Deep-level Tube lines in London so they can take at least the current sub-surface S Stock.
But don't blame you for being worried. I get mine from the specialist computer shop that built my PC. Take my desktop PC outside [edit] and switched off (cos the pressure generator is inflammable) on a dry day, undo the panels both sides, and blow the dust away carefully. I do it maybe 2-3 times a year. Makes a huge difference to cooling, noise, etc. Edit: it has a long plastic snout WD40 style, for directing the jet.
Here’s an hour of a quite combative podcast interview with a slightly stoned Bill Maher, they end up agreeing on more than they disagree. https://youtube.com/watch?v=lrpW-SUchFo
May have to resort to a hardware store.
https://colorway.com/en_EU/cleaner/product/CW-3333
See for example Darlingtom where the benefit is getting Teesside trains off the ECML...
Starmer is a tedious tactical triangulator.
I wouldn't be surprised if the stuff you buy from the hardware store is made in the same factory as the stuff you buy online.
What on earth is wrong with them?
The A31 between Bentley and Farnham is almost one big pothole nowadays. I note they've also put the speed limit down to a permanent 50 for no reason I can conceive.
Hants Council are equally useless.
Can't wait to get back to London...
Amazon is a nightmare of rip-offs, Chinese tat and fakes these days, but compressed air is hard to get wrong.
My usual technique to remove dust is a big hoover with a small nozzle. Maybe risking static if you aren't careful but it works for me.
For removing gunge, an alcohol based cleaner is fine (or something like this).
(For the record: I am still undecided what the odds should be, partly because of the Republican Party winner-take-all rules, which make it possible for Trump to win all the delegates from some states, with as little as 30 percent of the primary vote. Had the party used proportional rules everywhere in 2016, it is entirely possible that Trump would have lost the nomination, and that the convention would have chosen a compromise candidate.)
I wish there were far more political interviews like this rather than the "gotcha" crap.
If we deal in substance not soundbites we might start to get more politics of substance.
It was all recorded on my dash cam and it is shocking to view it
The UK system's issue is how fragmented it is, thanks to the Tories and then New Labour not fixing it
However a blanket ban with odd exceptions is unacceptable as local businesses, bus services, and taxis all complain
I feel you would be a lot happier with their level of service if it could be achieved here than that achieved either by the semi-private system we have in the UK, or British Rail.
@RochdalePioneers also made a good point above, that if the problem is the fan running flat out all the time, it’s as likely to be a software issue as a hardware one!