I don't understand the odds on the other three. You are literally betting on whether Biden or Trump will die in the next 18 months because that’s the only way one of those two isn't going to be POTUS at the end of Jan '24.
It literally isn't.
Either could be incapacitated - and Trump could conceivably be convicted, or so badly damaged by one or more of the ongoing criminal cases that the Republicans replace him. You might think the latter event impossible, but it isn't.
Events
1) Biden death from age related stuff. 80 years - 6% or so in the next year 2) Trump death from age related stuff. 77 years - 5% or so in the next year
P(A or = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and
= 0.06 + 0.05 - (0.06*0.05)
= 0.11 - 0.003
= 0.107
10.7% probability than *one* of them keels over in the next year....
Someone tell me I am wrong, please?
Well, I definitely don't think this is one for sunglasses.
I don't understand the odds on the other three. You are literally betting on whether Biden or Trump will die in the next 18 months because that’s the only way one of those two isn't going to be POTUS at the end of Jan '24.
It literally isn't.
Either could be incapacitated - and Trump could conceivably be convicted, or so badly damaged by one or more of the ongoing criminal cases that the Republicans replace him. You might think the latter event impossible, but it isn't.
Events
1) Biden death from age related stuff. 80 years - 6% or so in the next year 2) Trump death from age related stuff. 77 years - 5% or so in the next year
P(A or = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and
= 0.06 + 0.05 - (0.06*0.05)
= 0.11 - 0.003
= 0.107
10.7% probability than *one* of them keels over in the next year....
Someone tell me I am wrong, please?
Well, I definitely don't think this is one for sunglasses.
Greetings from Irish Pub, Zhytomyr, Ukraine, where they have Guinness on tap - and we’ve just had a pint of the Irish, a pint of the local, and a bacon cheeseburger, for about £8 a head. Cheers! 🍻
I don't understand the odds on the other three. You are literally betting on whether Biden or Trump will die in the next 18 months because that’s the only way one of those two isn't going to be POTUS at the end of Jan '24.
It literally isn't.
Either could be incapacitated - and Trump could conceivably be convicted, or so badly damaged by one or more of the ongoing criminal cases that the Republicans replace him. You might think the latter event impossible, but it isn't.
Events
1) Biden death from age related stuff. 80 years - 6% or so in the next year 2) Trump death from age related stuff. 77 years - 5% or so in the next year
P(A or = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and
= 0.06 + 0.05 - (0.06*0.05)
= 0.11 - 0.003
= 0.107
10.7% probability than *one* of them keels over in the next year....
Someone tell me I am wrong, please?
Well, I definitely don't think this is one for sunglasses.
If Trump avoids conviction next year then he has an excellent chance of beating Biden, at least by winning the EC. Biden's approval rating currently is well under 50%.
If Trump is convicted in any of his cases next year however Biden equally has an excellent chance of re election. Polls show even many Republicans would not vote for Trump again if convicted of criminal charges so either he loses the nomination or the RNC change the rules pre convention to replace him with another candidate, probably Pence or DeSantis, if Trump is convicted.
Those 2 however would probably see Trump diehards stay home on polling day rather than vote for them or Biden while also being too hardline to have much appeal to suburban Independent swing voters who switched to Biden in 2020 after voting for Trump in 2016
Why are you so keen to see Trump re-elected? Do you not care what he did on January 6? Are you aware of what he will do if he gets a second bite of the cherry? Do you want to witness the end of U.S. democracy? Do you want to see Europe destabilised by an emboldened Putin?
The extreme right are not one nation Tories. They are not your friends!
I didn't say anything about wanting Trump to be elected again but the fact of the matter is Biden currently has an approval rating of just 40.3% with US voters, which is not only below the 45% Obama was on at this stage of his presidency but even below the 41.2% Trump was on at this stage of his presidency. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/
If Trump avoids criminal convictions next year then as I said he has a good chance of beating Biden and returning to the White House
We should absolutely compare ourselves with Canada etc.
I would say there are different varieties of capitalism to compare ourselves against, and learn from. We can’t precisely replicate another model, but there are always useful things to learn.
Rough ranking as follows:
Switzerland USA Scandinavia (ex Norway) Germany/Austria Netherlands Canada/Australia/NZ South Korea France/Belgium *UK* Japan Spain/Portugal Italy New Europe (Czech, Poland, Baltics, maybe Hungary)
Against this bundle, UK is middling and definitely bottom half.
We are above France/Belgium and South Korea too and if you are unemployed or have a serious illness or injury you are far better off in the UK than US in terms of accessing state support and state healthcare if you are not a high earner who can afford private healthcare anyway.
We also have a global city in London that only really NYC can rival
We are a first rate city with a third rate country attached.
Admirable though it is, I think it's going a bit far to call Lichfield first rate.
I've been to Lichfield Trent Valley, but not Lichfield City (only passed through).
If Trump avoids conviction next year then he has an excellent chance of beating Biden, at least by winning the EC. Biden's approval rating currently is well under 50%.
If Trump is convicted in any of his cases next year however Biden equally has an excellent chance of re election. Polls show even many Republicans would not vote for Trump again if convicted of criminal charges so either he loses the nomination or the RNC change the rules pre convention to replace him with another candidate, probably Pence or DeSantis, if Trump is convicted.
Those 2 however would probably see Trump diehards stay home on polling day rather than vote for them or Biden while also being too hardline to have much appeal to suburban Independent swing voters who switched to Biden in 2020 after voting for Trump in 2016
Why are you so keen to see Trump re-elected? Do you not care what he did on January 6? Are you aware of what he will do if he gets a second bite of the cherry? Do you want to witness the end of U.S. democracy? Do you want to see Europe destabilised by an emboldened Putin?
The extreme right are not one nation Tories. They are not your friends!
I didn't say anything about wanting Trump to be elected again but the fact of the matter is Biden currently has an approval rating of just 40.3% with US voters, which is not only below the 45% Obama was on at this stage of his presidency but even below the 41.2% Trump was on at this stage of his presidency. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/
If Trump avoids criminal convictions next year then as I said he has a good chance of beating Biden and returning to the White House
Conservative Central Office wound your spring too tight today!
The problem with "news" about Biden's possible stepping down is that it's utterly, utterly infested with the worst sort of wishcasting wish is actively misleading and unhelpful for punters. No market for a piece stating the likely truth that Biden will, in fact, probably stand. Far more for puff pieces hyping Newsom, Michelle Obama or whichever Democrat wannabe the journalist wants to promote.
Greetings from Irish Pub, Zhytomyr, Ukraine, where they have Guinness on tap - and we’ve just had a pint of the Irish, a pint of the local, and a bacon cheeseburger, for about £8 a head. Cheers! 🍻
Strong goatse energy on the logo.
Had to look that one up.
Honest.
Hope you just looked at a wiki page, and not anything else!
Goatse, is the reason that many of us were happy when Rickrolling came around.
We should absolutely compare ourselves with Canada etc.
I would say there are different varieties of capitalism to compare ourselves against, and learn from. We can’t precisely replicate another model, but there are always useful things to learn.
Rough ranking as follows:
Switzerland USA Scandinavia (ex Norway) Germany/Austria Netherlands Canada/Australia/NZ South Korea France/Belgium *UK* Japan Spain/Portugal Italy New Europe (Czech, Poland, Baltics, maybe Hungary)
Against this bundle, UK is middling and definitely bottom half.
We are above France/Belgium and South Korea too and if you are unemployed or have a serious illness or injury you are far better off in the UK than US in terms of accessing state support and state healthcare if you are not a high earner who can afford private healthcare anyway.
We also have a global city in London that only really NYC can rival
We are a first rate city with a third rate country attached.
Admirable though it is, I think it's going a bit far to call Lichfield first rate.
I've been to Lichfield Trent Valley, but not Lichfield City (only passed through).
Interesting station.
The rest of Lichfield is a must visit if you like old buildings and Victorian parks.
However, if you don't - don't bother, as there's nothing else worth visiting.
If Trump avoids conviction next year then he has an excellent chance of beating Biden, at least by winning the EC. Biden's approval rating currently is well under 50%.
If Trump is convicted in any of his cases next year however Biden equally has an excellent chance of re election. Polls show even many Republicans would not vote for Trump again if convicted of criminal charges so either he loses the nomination or the RNC change the rules pre convention to replace him with another candidate, probably Pence or DeSantis, if Trump is convicted.
Those 2 however would probably see Trump diehards stay home on polling day rather than vote for them or Biden while also being too hardline to have much appeal to suburban Independent swing voters who switched to Biden in 2020 after voting for Trump in 2016
Why are you so keen to see Trump re-elected? Do you not care what he did on January 6? Are you aware of what he will do if he gets a second bite of the cherry? Do you want to witness the end of U.S. democracy? Do you want to see Europe destabilised by an emboldened Putin?
The extreme right are not one nation Tories. They are not your friends!
I didn't say anything about wanting Trump to be elected again but the fact of the matter is Biden currently has an approval rating of just 40.3% with US voters, which is not only below the 45% Obama was on at this stage of his presidency but even below the 41.2% Trump was on at this stage of his presidency. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/
If Trump avoids criminal convictions next year then as I said he has a good chance of beating Biden and returning to the White House
Conservative Central Office wound your spring too tight today!
As I have said before I would have voted for Hillary in 2016 and Biden in 2020 (the last Republican presidential candidate I would have voted for was Bush in 2000) but the UK is not the US is it.
If the UK was a US state the Democrats would have won most votes in every presidential election here since 2000, we are basically just a North Eastern US state in culture but it is the Midwestern swing states that decide US elections
I don't understand the odds on the other three. You are literally betting on whether Biden or Trump will die in the next 18 months because that’s the only way one of those two isn't going to be POTUS at the end of Jan '24.
It literally isn't.
Either could be incapacitated - and Trump could conceivably be convicted, or so badly damaged by one or more of the ongoing criminal cases that the Republicans replace him. You might think the latter event impossible, but it isn't.
Events
1) Biden death from age related stuff. 80 years - 6% or so in the next year 2) Trump death from age related stuff. 77 years - 5% or so in the next year
P(A or = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and
= 0.06 + 0.05 - (0.06*0.05)
= 0.11 - 0.003
= 0.107
10.7% probability than *one* of them keels over in the next year....
I don't understand the odds on the other three. You are literally betting on whether Biden or Trump will die in the next 18 months because that’s the only way one of those two isn't going to be POTUS at the end of Jan '24.
It literally isn't.
Either could be incapacitated - and Trump could conceivably be convicted, or so badly damaged by one or more of the ongoing criminal cases that the Republicans replace him. You might think the latter event impossible, but it isn't.
Events
1) Biden death from age related stuff. 80 years - 6% or so in the next year 2) Trump death from age related stuff. 77 years - 5% or so in the next year
P(A or = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and
= 0.06 + 0.05 - (0.06*0.05)
= 0.11 - 0.003
= 0.107
10.7% probability than *one* of them keels over in the next year....
Someone tell me I am wrong, please?
Well, I definitely don't think this is one for sunglasses.
B brackets
Yes, I know. But it looks a bit odd
You saying that Trump keeling over *wouldn't* be a "Sunglasses in the pub beer garden" moment?
A conviction would be no legal impediment to DJT, though it may have practical and political consequences. He just couldn't vote for himself because felons can't vote in Florida.
I don't understand the odds on the other three. You are literally betting on whether Biden or Trump will die in the next 18 months because that’s the only way one of those two isn't going to be POTUS at the end of Jan '24.
It literally isn't.
Either could be incapacitated - and Trump could conceivably be convicted, or so badly damaged by one or more of the ongoing criminal cases that the Republicans replace him. You might think the latter event impossible, but it isn't.
Events
1) Biden death from age related stuff. 80 years - 6% or so in the next year 2) Trump death from age related stuff. 77 years - 5% or so in the next year
P(A or = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and
= 0.06 + 0.05 - (0.06*0.05)
= 0.11 - 0.003
= 0.107
10.7% probability than *one* of them keels over in the next year....
Someone tell me I am wrong, please?
Well, I definitely don't think this is one for sunglasses.
B brackets
Yes, I know. But it looks a bit odd
You saying that Trump keeling over *wouldn't* be a "Sunglasses in the pub beer garden" moment?
Greetings from Irish Pub, Zhytomyr, Ukraine, where they have Guinness on tap - and we’ve just had a pint of the Irish, a pint of the local, and a bacon cheeseburger, for about £8 a head. Cheers! 🍻
Strong goatse energy on the logo.
Had to look that one up.
Honest.
Me too, if that helps. "Unsavoury thing I learned on PB today".
I don't understand the odds on the other three. You are literally betting on whether Biden or Trump will die in the next 18 months because that’s the only way one of those two isn't going to be POTUS at the end of Jan '24.
It literally isn't.
Either could be incapacitated - and Trump could conceivably be convicted, or so badly damaged by one or more of the ongoing criminal cases that the Republicans replace him. You might think the latter event impossible, but it isn't.
Events
1) Biden death from age related stuff. 80 years - 6% or so in the next year 2) Trump death from age related stuff. 77 years - 5% or so in the next year
P(A or = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and
= 0.06 + 0.05 - (0.06*0.05)
= 0.11 - 0.003
= 0.107
10.7% probability than *one* of them keels over in the next year....
Someone tell me I am wrong, please?
You are wrong, you are reading or as XOR
True.. hmmm - but that brings us back to 11% for one or both.
Which seems rather high to me. Certainly something worth figuring into bets.
The next 26 parliamentary seats Conservative candidate applications now open for:
Alyn and Deeside (Wales) Bridlington and The Wolds (Yorkshire and the Humber) Bristol North West (South West) Bury South (North West) Clwyd North (Wales) Colchester (Eastern) Crawley (South East) Croydon East (London) Doncaster North (Yorkshire and the Humber) Dorking and Horley (South East) Frome and East Somerset (South West) Glastonbury and Somerton (South West) Heywood and Middleton North (North West) Huntingdon (Eastern) Leeds East (Yorkshire and the Humber) Leeds West and Pudsey (Yorkshire and the Humber) Mid Cheshire (North West) North West Leicestershire (East Midlands) Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley (Yorkshire and the Humber) Richmond Park (London) Sittingbourne and Sheppey (South East) Southampton Itchen (South East) St Albans (Eastern) Wakefield and Rothwell (Yorkshire and the Humber) Waveney Valley (Eastern) Wirral West (North West) https://conservativehome.com/2023/08/11/the-next-twenty-six-seats-opening-for-candidate-selections/
I don't understand the odds on the other three. You are literally betting on whether Biden or Trump will die in the next 18 months because that’s the only way one of those two isn't going to be POTUS at the end of Jan '24.
It literally isn't.
Either could be incapacitated - and Trump could conceivably be convicted, or so badly damaged by one or more of the ongoing criminal cases that the Republicans replace him. You might think the latter event impossible, but it isn't.
Events
1) Biden death from age related stuff. 80 years - 6% or so in the next year 2) Trump death from age related stuff. 77 years - 5% or so in the next year
P(A or = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and
= 0.06 + 0.05 - (0.06*0.05)
= 0.11 - 0.003
= 0.107
10.7% probability than *one* of them keels over in the next year....
Someone tell me I am wrong, please?
Well, I definitely don't think this is one for sunglasses.
B brackets
Yes, I know. But it looks a bit odd
You saying that Trump keeling over *wouldn't* be a "Sunglasses in the pub beer garden" moment?
No, it would be ROFLMFAO moment.
But there is no emoji that does justice to that.
I have a nasty feeling that whatever replaces him as the Republican nominee would be worse. As in wearing an "apparently sane person" suit. And thus able to get more and worse things done.
On the upside they would probably be much easier to beat.
The next 26 parliamentary seats Conservative candidate applications now open for:
Alyn and Deeside (Wales) Bridlington and The Wolds (Yorkshire and the Humber) Bristol North West (South West) Bury South (North West) Clwyd North (Wales) Colchester (Eastern) Crawley (South East) Croydon East (London) Doncaster North (Yorkshire and the Humber) Dorking and Horley (South East) Frome and East Somerset (South West) Glastonbury and Somerton (South West) Heywood and Middleton North (North West) Huntingdon (Eastern) Leeds East (Yorkshire and the Humber) Leeds West and Pudsey (Yorkshire and the Humber) Mid Cheshire (North West) North West Leicestershire (East Midlands) Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley (Yorkshire and the Humber) Richmond Park (London) Sittingbourne and Sheppey (South East) Southampton Itchen (South East) St Albans (Eastern) Wakefield and Rothwell (Yorkshire and the Humber) Waveney Valley (Eastern) Wirral West (North West) https://conservativehome.com/2023/08/11/the-next-twenty-six-seats-opening-for-candidate-selections/
Colchester, or St Albans followed by Huntingdon would be geographically quite handy for you I would have thought. Dorking and Horley could be another for you to eye up. Although do you have to have a dry run in Pontefract or Wakefield first?
The next 26 parliamentary seats Conservative candidate applications now open for:
Alyn and Deeside (Wales) Bridlington and The Wolds (Yorkshire and the Humber) Bristol North West (South West) Bury South (North West) Clwyd North (Wales) Colchester (Eastern) Crawley (South East) Croydon East (London) Doncaster North (Yorkshire and the Humber) Dorking and Horley (South East) Frome and East Somerset (South West) Glastonbury and Somerton (South West) Heywood and Middleton North (North West) Huntingdon (Eastern) Leeds East (Yorkshire and the Humber) Leeds West and Pudsey (Yorkshire and the Humber) Mid Cheshire (North West) North West Leicestershire (East Midlands) Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley (Yorkshire and the Humber) Richmond Park (London) Sittingbourne and Sheppey (South East) Southampton Itchen (South East) St Albans (Eastern) Wakefield and Rothwell (Yorkshire and the Humber) Waveney Valley (Eastern) Wirral West (North West) https://conservativehome.com/2023/08/11/the-next-twenty-six-seats-opening-for-candidate-selections/
You just have to watch an interview with Trump to realise that his age simply does not matter.
There has been no obvious decline in his faculties and he retains all the weird energy he had before. Meanwhile, Biden...
You must thus be implying Trump has been as mad as a March Hare for an awfully long time.
I am more comfortable with a few minor senior Presidential moments each day than someone who should never be allowed to leave his padded cell.
Biden's been doing the "senior" moments for much of his life. He seems to just make that kind of gaffe.
If they are made by left-wing Presidents like Biden they are sweet, senior moments, or just ignored altogether, and you're an ageist asshole for even noticing them. If they are made by right-wing Presidents like Reagan, George W Bush or Donald Trump they are evidence of lunacy, idiocy or just plain evil.
The double standard is completely obvious - the same reason you never get statues of Republican Presidents in Western Europe (Lincoln excepted).
I see Cruella's gameplan here. Floating petri dishes could well reduce the numbers of asylum seekers significantly.
Your inference ... not sure they are that organised. But there is also tuberculosis, presumably, given the news yesterday. Or is that too slow? Probably not if one gets a really virulent strain combined with poor food.
Interesting to follow the fantasises of those who really dislike the current government.
They really should just sink the boats like the Greeks, or pay the Libyan Coastguard to enslave the migrant. Like proper Europeans.
Maybe unfair to blame the government for legionella in asylum seekers' accommodation, or for using barges as temporary accommodation. But as they go for cruel performative nonsense on migration they shouldn't expect their mostly justified critics to suddenly discover nuance, when they certainly don't have any.
The next 26 parliamentary seats Conservative candidate applications now open for:
Alyn and Deeside (Wales) Bridlington and The Wolds (Yorkshire and the Humber) Bristol North West (South West) Bury South (North West) Clwyd North (Wales) Colchester (Eastern) Crawley (South East) Croydon East (London) Doncaster North (Yorkshire and the Humber) Dorking and Horley (South East) Frome and East Somerset (South West) Glastonbury and Somerton (South West) Heywood and Middleton North (North West) Huntingdon (Eastern) Leeds East (Yorkshire and the Humber) Leeds West and Pudsey (Yorkshire and the Humber) Mid Cheshire (North West) North West Leicestershire (East Midlands) Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley (Yorkshire and the Humber) Richmond Park (London) Sittingbourne and Sheppey (South East) Southampton Itchen (South East) St Albans (Eastern) Wakefield and Rothwell (Yorkshire and the Humber) Waveney Valley (Eastern) Wirral West (North West) https://conservativehome.com/2023/08/11/the-next-twenty-six-seats-opening-for-candidate-selections/
Colchester, or St Albans followed by Huntingdon would be geographically quite handy for you I would have thought. Dorking and Horley could be another for you to eye up. Although do you have to have a dry run in Pontefract or Wakefield first?
Wakefield and Rothwell should be quite a tempting seat for a prospective Tory candidate fancying testing their mettle. It's been trending Tory for years and although there was some - ahem - embarrassment there recently with a certain Tory MP there's no reason that couldn't be reversed with patience and a willingness to work hard.
Similarly, Alyn and Deeside might be tempting to a Tory who wants a seat they're not certain or even likely to win but could make a decent showing in.
You just have to watch an interview with Trump to realise that his age simply does not matter.
There has been no obvious decline in his faculties and he retains all the weird energy he had before. Meanwhile, Biden...
You must thus be implying Trump has been as mad as a March Hare for an awfully long time.
I am more comfortable with a few minor senior Presidential moments each day than someone who should never be allowed to leave his padded cell.
Biden's been doing the "senior" moments for much of his life. He seems to just make that kind of gaffe.
If they are made by left-wing Presidents like Biden they are sweet, senior moments, or just ignored altogether, and you're an ageist asshole for even noticing them. If they are made by right-wing Presidents like Reagan, George W Bush or Donald Trump they are evidence of lunacy, idiocy or just plain evil.
The double standard is completely obvious - the same reason you never get statues of Republican Presidents in Western Europe (Lincoln excepted).
George Bush Jnr. was but 53/54 when he was indulging in his most egregious senior moments.
I see Cruella's gameplan here. Floating petri dishes could well reduce the numbers of asylum seekers significantly.
Your inference ... not sure they are that organised. But there is also tuberculosis, presumably, given the news yesterday. Or is that too slow? Probably not if one gets a really virulent strain combined with poor food.
Interesting to follow the fantasises of those who really dislike the current government.
They really should just sink the boats like the Greeks, or pay the Libyan Coastguard to enslave the migrant. Like proper Europeans.
Maybe unfair to blame the government for legionella in asylum seekers' accommodation, or for using barges as temporary accommodation. But as they go for cruel performative nonsense on migration they shouldn't expect their mostly justified critics to suddenly discover nuance, when they certainly don't have any.
The other advantage of fantasy exaggerations is that they can cover up real abuses - such at the Libyan Coastguard project.
I see Cruella's gameplan here. Floating petri dishes could well reduce the numbers of asylum seekers significantly.
Your inference ... not sure they are that organised. But there is also tuberculosis, presumably, given the news yesterday. Or is that too slow? Probably not if one gets a really virulent strain combined with poor food.
Interesting to follow the fantasises of those who really dislike the current government.
They really should just sink the boats like the Greeks, or pay the Libyan Coastguard to enslave the migrant. Like proper Europeans.
Maybe unfair to blame the government for legionella in asylum seekers' accommodation, or for using barges as temporary accommodation. But as they go for cruel performative nonsense on migration they shouldn't expect their mostly justified critics to suddenly discover nuance, when they certainly don't have any.
Why? Didn't they think to flush the system?
That's actually basic. Buy to let landlords have to do it, dammit.
The next 26 parliamentary seats Conservative candidate applications now open for:
Alyn and Deeside (Wales) Bridlington and The Wolds (Yorkshire and the Humber) Bristol North West (South West) Bury South (North West) Clwyd North (Wales) Colchester (Eastern) Crawley (South East) Croydon East (London) Doncaster North (Yorkshire and the Humber) Dorking and Horley (South East) Frome and East Somerset (South West) Glastonbury and Somerton (South West) Heywood and Middleton North (North West) Huntingdon (Eastern) Leeds East (Yorkshire and the Humber) Leeds West and Pudsey (Yorkshire and the Humber) Mid Cheshire (North West) North West Leicestershire (East Midlands) Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley (Yorkshire and the Humber) Richmond Park (London) Sittingbourne and Sheppey (South East) Southampton Itchen (South East) St Albans (Eastern) Wakefield and Rothwell (Yorkshire and the Humber) Waveney Valley (Eastern) Wirral West (North West) https://conservativehome.com/2023/08/11/the-next-twenty-six-seats-opening-for-candidate-selections/
Colchester, or St Albans followed by Huntingdon would be geographically quite handy for you I would have thought. Dorking and Horley could be another for you to eye up. Although do you have to have a dry run in Pontefract or Wakefield first?
I am not on the CCHQ approved candidates' list and not interested in applying for the moment, though I know a few who are on the list who will be interested in the seats approved candidates can now apply for
I see Cruella's gameplan here. Floating petri dishes could well reduce the numbers of asylum seekers significantly.
Your inference ... not sure they are that organised. But there is also tuberculosis, presumably, given the news yesterday. Or is that too slow? Probably not if one gets a really virulent strain combined with poor food.
Interesting to follow the fantasises of those who really dislike the current government.
They really should just sink the boats like the Greeks, or pay the Libyan Coastguard to enslave the migrant. Like proper Europeans.
Maybe unfair to blame the government for legionella in asylum seekers' accommodation, or for using barges as temporary accommodation. But as they go for cruel performative nonsense on migration they shouldn't expect their mostly justified critics to suddenly discover nuance, when they certainly don't have any.
Why? Didn't they think to flush the system?
That's actually basic. Buy to let landlords have to do it, dammit.
A conviction would be no legal impediment to DJT, though it may have practical and political consequences. He just couldn't vote for himself because felons can't vote in Florida.
The latter is key, half of Republicans say they wouldn't vote for Trump again if he is convicted and the RNC would likely ensure he is replaced at the convention even if he wins most delegates in the primaries and caucuses by barring convicted criminals from being nominee
We should absolutely compare ourselves with Canada etc.
I would say there are different varieties of capitalism to compare ourselves against, and learn from. We can’t precisely replicate another model, but there are always useful things to learn.
Rough ranking as follows:
Switzerland USA Scandinavia (ex Norway) Germany/Austria Netherlands Canada/Australia/NZ South Korea France/Belgium *UK* Japan Spain/Portugal Italy New Europe (Czech, Poland, Baltics, maybe Hungary)
Against this bundle, UK is middling and definitely bottom half.
We are above France/Belgium and South Korea too and if you are unemployed or have a serious illness or injury you are far better off in the UK than US in terms of accessing state support and state healthcare if you are not a high earner who can afford private healthcare anyway.
We also have a global city in London that only really NYC can rival
We are a first rate city with a third rate country attached.
Admirable though it is, I think it's going a bit far to call Lichfield first rate.
I've been to Lichfield Trent Valley, but not Lichfield City (only passed through).
Interesting station.
The rest of Lichfield is a must visit if you like old buildings and Victorian parks.
However, if you don't - don't bother, as there's nothing else worth visiting.
Erasmus Darwin House is worth visiting IMO. Father of Charles.
Greetings from Irish Pub, Zhytomyr, Ukraine, where they have Guinness on tap - and we’ve just had a pint of the Irish, a pint of the local, and a bacon cheeseburger, for about £8 a head. Cheers! 🍻
Strong goatse energy on the logo.
Had to look that one up.
Honest.
As long as you didn’t have to look up one. Unless your proclivities or trade lean that way of course.
Bibby Stockholm project running like clockwork I see.
So some Tory MPs are demanding "pushback" is on the agenda again.
Once the legionnaires is cleared up and water supply clean again the asylum seekers will be returned to the barge
That will not be the end of it.
This utterly predictable foul up is the result of a stupid and stupidly expensive policy that cannot and will not work and the stunningly incompetent execution of this travesty is simply making everyone just roll their eyes. The Tory Party might as well be King Canute for all its pathetic attempts to stem a tide that its own arrogance and idiocy vis-a-vis France has made 100 times worse. Rwanda is a sick joke, the Armed forces will not permit Ascension, and the truth is that trying to ape Australian dumbfuckery and cruelty is about as effective as the proverbial confectionery brew apparatus when you face a crossing of 25 miles rather than 2000 miles and your own policies wink at the thugs who control the trafficking.
I know you think that it is just a matter of time and then things will be "back to normal", but actually even the friends of the Conservative Party now just want to put it out of our misery.
Sue Ellen and all the other cretins can grandstand and gimmick all they like but it will remain a policy failure and a national disgrace for as long as these complete no hopers remain- God Help Us!- in charge.
I see Cruella's gameplan here. Floating petri dishes could well reduce the numbers of asylum seekers significantly.
Your inference ... not sure they are that organised. But there is also tuberculosis, presumably, given the news yesterday. Or is that too slow? Probably not if one gets a really virulent strain combined with poor food.
Interesting to follow the fantasises of those who really dislike the current government.
They really should just sink the boats like the Greeks, or pay the Libyan Coastguard to enslave the migrant. Like proper Europeans.
Maybe unfair to blame the government for legionella in asylum seekers' accommodation, or for using barges as temporary accommodation. But as they go for cruel performative nonsense on migration they shouldn't expect their mostly justified critics to suddenly discover nuance, when they certainly don't have any.
Why? Didn't they think to flush the system?
That's actually basic. Buy to let landlords have to do it, dammit.
We should absolutely compare ourselves with Canada etc.
I would say there are different varieties of capitalism to compare ourselves against, and learn from. We can’t precisely replicate another model, but there are always useful things to learn.
Rough ranking as follows:
Switzerland USA Scandinavia (ex Norway) Germany/Austria Netherlands Canada/Australia/NZ South Korea France/Belgium *UK* Japan Spain/Portugal Italy New Europe (Czech, Poland, Baltics, maybe Hungary)
Against this bundle, UK is middling and definitely bottom half.
We are above France/Belgium and South Korea too and if you are unemployed or have a serious illness or injury you are far better off in the UK than US in terms of accessing state support and state healthcare if you are not a high earner who can afford private healthcare anyway.
We also have a global city in London that only really NYC can rival
We are a first rate city with a third rate country attached.
Admirable though it is, I think it's going a bit far to call Lichfield first rate.
I've been to Lichfield Trent Valley, but not Lichfield City (only passed through).
Interesting station.
The rest of Lichfield is a must visit if you like old buildings and Victorian parks.
However, if you don't - don't bother, as there's nothing else worth visiting.
Erasmus Darwin House is worth visiting IMO. Father of Charles.
Isn't there a museum for Samuel Johnson? Never been, though. Should go sometime if only because I have read a fair bit about the Lunar Society and E. Darwin.
The next 26 parliamentary seats Conservative candidate applications now open for:
Alyn and Deeside (Wales) Bridlington and The Wolds (Yorkshire and the Humber) Bristol North West (South West) Bury South (North West) Clwyd North (Wales) Colchester (Eastern) Crawley (South East) Croydon East (London) Doncaster North (Yorkshire and the Humber) Dorking and Horley (South East) Frome and East Somerset (South West) Glastonbury and Somerton (South West) Heywood and Middleton North (North West) Huntingdon (Eastern) Leeds East (Yorkshire and the Humber) Leeds West and Pudsey (Yorkshire and the Humber) Mid Cheshire (North West) North West Leicestershire (East Midlands) Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley (Yorkshire and the Humber) Richmond Park (London) Sittingbourne and Sheppey (South East) Southampton Itchen (South East) St Albans (Eastern) Wakefield and Rothwell (Yorkshire and the Humber) Waveney Valley (Eastern) Wirral West (North West) https://conservativehome.com/2023/08/11/the-next-twenty-six-seats-opening-for-candidate-selections/
Colchester, or St Albans followed by Huntingdon would be geographically quite handy for you I would have thought. Dorking and Horley could be another for you to eye up. Although do you have to have a dry run in Pontefract or Wakefield first?
I am not on the CCHQ approved candidates' list and not interested in applying for the moment, though I know a few who are on the list who will be interested in the seats approved candidates can now apply for
I can't imagine a more diligent local MP.
Bearing in mind some of the utter dross that have become Conservative candidates and MPs I am surprised you haven't thrown your hat into the ring. (Edit: them not you!)
Time ticks by young HY. But only a few years ago I left University in my 20s. I turned around twice and before I knew it I became eligible for my Welsh bus pass.
If the Tories do crash and burn at the next GE, being in pole position for the rebuild wouldn't be a bad place to be.
I see Cruella's gameplan here. Floating petri dishes could well reduce the numbers of asylum seekers significantly.
Your inference ... not sure they are that organised. But there is also tuberculosis, presumably, given the news yesterday. Or is that too slow? Probably not if one gets a really virulent strain combined with poor food.
Interesting to follow the fantasises of those who really dislike the current government.
They really should just sink the boats like the Greeks, or pay the Libyan Coastguard to enslave the migrant. Like proper Europeans.
Maybe unfair to blame the government for legionella in asylum seekers' accommodation, or for using barges as temporary accommodation. But as they go for cruel performative nonsense on migration they shouldn't expect their mostly justified critics to suddenly discover nuance, when they certainly don't have any.
Why? Didn't they think to flush the system?
That's actually basic. Buy to let landlords have to do it, dammit.
I see Cruella's gameplan here. Floating petri dishes could well reduce the numbers of asylum seekers significantly.
Your inference ... not sure they are that organised. But there is also tuberculosis, presumably, given the news yesterday. Or is that too slow? Probably not if one gets a really virulent strain combined with poor food.
Interesting to follow the fantasises of those who really dislike the current government.
They really should just sink the boats like the Greeks, or pay the Libyan Coastguard to enslave the migrant. Like proper Europeans.
Maybe unfair to blame the government for legionella in asylum seekers' accommodation, or for using barges as temporary accommodation. But as they go for cruel performative nonsense on migration they shouldn't expect their mostly justified critics to suddenly discover nuance, when they certainly don't have any.
Why? Didn't they think to flush the system?
That's actually basic. Buy to let landlords have to do it, dammit.
We should absolutely compare ourselves with Canada etc.
I would say there are different varieties of capitalism to compare ourselves against, and learn from. We can’t precisely replicate another model, but there are always useful things to learn.
Rough ranking as follows:
Switzerland USA Scandinavia (ex Norway) Germany/Austria Netherlands Canada/Australia/NZ South Korea France/Belgium *UK* Japan Spain/Portugal Italy New Europe (Czech, Poland, Baltics, maybe Hungary)
Against this bundle, UK is middling and definitely bottom half.
We are above France/Belgium and South Korea too and if you are unemployed or have a serious illness or injury you are far better off in the UK than US in terms of accessing state support and state healthcare if you are not a high earner who can afford private healthcare anyway.
We also have a global city in London that only really NYC can rival
We are a first rate city with a third rate country attached.
Admirable though it is, I think it's going a bit far to call Lichfield first rate.
I've been to Lichfield Trent Valley, but not Lichfield City (only passed through).
Interesting station.
The rest of Lichfield is a must visit if you like old buildings and Victorian parks.
However, if you don't - don't bother, as there's nothing else worth visiting.
Erasmus Darwin House is worth visiting IMO. Father of Charles.
Isn't there a museum for Samuel Johnson? Never been, though. Should go sometime if only because I have read a fair bit about the Lunar Society and E. Darwin.
I see Cruella's gameplan here. Floating petri dishes could well reduce the numbers of asylum seekers significantly.
Your inference ... not sure they are that organised. But there is also tuberculosis, presumably, given the news yesterday. Or is that too slow? Probably not if one gets a really virulent strain combined with poor food.
Interesting to follow the fantasises of those who really dislike the current government.
They really should just sink the boats like the Greeks, or pay the Libyan Coastguard to enslave the migrant. Like proper Europeans.
Maybe unfair to blame the government for legionella in asylum seekers' accommodation, or for using barges as temporary accommodation. But as they go for cruel performative nonsense on migration they shouldn't expect their mostly justified critics to suddenly discover nuance, when they certainly don't have any.
Why? Didn't they think to flush the system?
That's actually basic. Buy to let landlords have to do it, dammit.
Attention turned to the second, more general, concern: why on earth was this eye-wateringly expensive and seemingly inappropriate village chosen? Surely a cheaper and larger location would be more appropriate economically? Parishioners were struggling with the maths. Some are smart cookies.
Parishioner: This makes no sense economically.
Rep: There is only a small profit margin and details are commercially confidential.
Parishioner: Are you a charity? I guess you fund this partly from donations?
Rep: No we are a private business. We have no donations. The only funding we have is council-funding.
Parishioner: Then what aren’t you telling us? 6 F/T staff plus 1 P/T plus 2 cars plus upkeep and other costs, plus insurance plus the commercial rent of a 1.5M house at £50k pa? For 2 children? The council pay? You are kidding us? Etc Etc
The parishioners left the meeting feeling bewildered about the economics of it rather than being overly concerned about the change of use. What was being concealed?
I’ve been mulling this over for two weeks now. I reckon this property will cost £0.5M pa to run, purely council-funded.
For two children.
We often talk of the cost of nursing homes for the elderly. We need to pay attention to child social care costs. It is no wonder that councils are going bust.
Hence the old joke that sending all the children in care to Eton and Winchester would be cheaper.
It’s actually been done before, where the social workers have discovered kids that are very bright but held back by circumstance.
On the original point. Yes, putting two kids in a massive house is totally bonkers. They’d be better off building something that looks like a boarding school on former military base.
No. They absolutely would not be better off in institutional care.
For these kinds of cases - which are a comparatively small number - bespoke care packages are absolutely the right approach
On topic, some comments from Carville. Entertaining, if nothing else.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4146142-james-carvilles-uncensored-thoughts-on-trump-no-labels-and-democrats-future/ ..“First of all, I don’t know how much longer he can live at this rate and this kind of stress,” Carville said. “If something happened, he’s convicted — I don’t know what — I think they hate everybody in the field, and everybody that’s run against him, in their mind, is aiding and abetting the enemy.” The Democratic strategist offered some compliments for biotech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, the upstart GOP candidate he suggested was running a smart race. “The only one with a kind of a halfway smart message is Ramaswamy,” said Carville, who added that it was “actually more appealing” than Trump’s message. “And his message is kind of, look if something happens to Trump, I’m here for you,” he said. He noted Ramaswamy has said he would pardon Trump and has condemned the indictments against the former president. All the other candidates, Carville said, have crossed Trump just by running for the office. Carville was relatively dismissive of Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.), who has recently won some media and GOP donor attention. “I love the Tim Scott boom. But it’s free parking,” Carville said. “And every time I get one of these kind of Republicans that you can tell don’t like Trump, they might be interested in Tim Scott. He’s got a good way about him … OK fine. He’s never passed a bill and believes in celibacy. I don’t think that’s the way most people are. But what do I know?” ..
Attention turned to the second, more general, concern: why on earth was this eye-wateringly expensive and seemingly inappropriate village chosen? Surely a cheaper and larger location would be more appropriate economically? Parishioners were struggling with the maths. Some are smart cookies.
Parishioner: This makes no sense economically.
Rep: There is only a small profit margin and details are commercially confidential.
Parishioner: Are you a charity? I guess you fund this partly from donations?
Rep: No we are a private business. We have no donations. The only funding we have is council-funding.
Parishioner: Then what aren’t you telling us? 6 F/T staff plus 1 P/T plus 2 cars plus upkeep and other costs, plus insurance plus the commercial rent of a 1.5M house at £50k pa? For 2 children? The council pay? You are kidding us? Etc Etc
The parishioners left the meeting feeling bewildered about the economics of it rather than being overly concerned about the change of use. What was being concealed?
I’ve been mulling this over for two weeks now. I reckon this property will cost £0.5M pa to run, purely council-funded.
For two children.
We often talk of the cost of nursing homes for the elderly. We need to pay attention to child social care costs. It is no wonder that councils are going bust.
Hence the old joke that sending all the children in care to Eton and Winchester would be cheaper.
It’s actually been done before, where the social workers have discovered kids that are very bright but held back by circumstance.
On the original point. Yes, putting two kids in a massive house is totally bonkers. They’d be better off building something that looks like a boarding school on former military base.
At my rowing club, a kid who'd been excluded from school was introduced to rowing, by his dad who was homeschooling him.
He turned out to be extremely talented. So the club sponsored him, free training etc.
Won a scholarship on the back of Henley wins to one of the top public schools and from there went onto a rowing scholarship at top US university. Unless something goes wrong, you'll see him in the international rowing scene.
Smaller sized care homes are less likely to have the problems that a massed barracks type place will have.
I'd certainly agree with that, but equally, two strikes me as surprisingly low for the staffing numbers. I would have expected it to be maybe four or five.
It is of course possible these are extra-complex cases that are being catered for.
Care packages are negotiate on an individual basis dependent on the needs of the specific child. Additional costs are just passed through so the provider doesn’t make extra money from having an additional member of staff, for example.
I don't understand the odds on the other three. You are literally betting on whether Biden or Trump will die in the next 18 months because that’s the only way one of those two isn't going to be POTUS at the end of Jan '24.
It literally isn't.
Either could be incapacitated - and Trump could conceivably be convicted, or so badly damaged by one or more of the ongoing criminal cases that the Republicans replace him. You might think the latter event impossible, but it isn't.
Events
1) Biden death from age related stuff. 80 years - 6% or so in the next year 2) Trump death from age related stuff. 77 years - 5% or so in the next year
P(A or = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and
= 0.06 + 0.05 - (0.06*0.05)
= 0.11 - 0.003
= 0.107
10.7% probability than *one* of them keels over in the next year....
Someone tell me I am wrong, please?
Well, I definitely don't think this is one for sunglasses.
B brackets
Yes, I know. But it looks a bit odd
You saying that Trump keeling over *wouldn't* be a "Sunglasses in the pub beer garden" moment?
I'd be too pissed on 'push the boat out' champers to make the pub.
I see Cruella's gameplan here. Floating petri dishes could well reduce the numbers of asylum seekers significantly.
Your inference ... not sure they are that organised. But there is also tuberculosis, presumably, given the news yesterday. Or is that too slow? Probably not if one gets a really virulent strain combined with poor food.
Interesting to follow the fantasises of those who really dislike the current government.
They really should just sink the boats like the Greeks, or pay the Libyan Coastguard to enslave the migrant. Like proper Europeans.
Maybe unfair to blame the government for legionella in asylum seekers' accommodation, or for using barges as temporary accommodation. But as they go for cruel performative nonsense on migration they shouldn't expect their mostly justified critics to suddenly discover nuance, when they certainly don't have any.
Why? Didn't they think to flush the system?
That's actually basic. Buy to let landlords have to do it, dammit.
"The BBC understands that routine testing was done before migrants moved on to the vessel, moored in Dorset.
But test results showing traces of the bacteria came back only after migrants had moved to the barge."
Didn't it occur to them to, y'know, wait for the fucking results?
Have they put Acland-Hood in charge or something?
It smacks of Home Office desperation. We have Rishi doing his best to steady the ship (no pun intended) whist Jenrick and Braverman's base wickedness often ends in Dick Dastardly style failure.
I see Cruella's gameplan here. Floating petri dishes could well reduce the numbers of asylum seekers significantly.
Your inference ... not sure they are that organised. But there is also tuberculosis, presumably, given the news yesterday. Or is that too slow? Probably not if one gets a really virulent strain combined with poor food.
Interesting to follow the fantasises of those who really dislike the current government.
They really should just sink the boats like the Greeks, or pay the Libyan Coastguard to enslave the migrant. Like proper Europeans.
Not at all. It's a serious point, because the HO don't screen/check for that before ordering them to move, which also disrupts treatment, which requires a long course of drugs and checks. I recall this from when some time back there was real worry when an antibiotic-resistant strain emerged in homeless people in Edinburgh, and the discussion around that time noted that keeping tabs (so to speak) on the patients was very difficult. They were also malnourished, and that is important becaudse it reduces resistance. From reports the HO do not have a good record in making sure that asylum seeker detainees are actually fed a reasonable diet, though one hopes the barge would be a lot better in this respect than some random third grade hotel.
I’m sure I remember the media / left getting very upset a few years ago when the government suggested health screening of immigrants. Apparently it’s racist or something
Greetings from Irish Pub, Zhytomyr, Ukraine, where they have Guinness on tap - and we’ve just had a pint of the Irish, a pint of the local, and a bacon cheeseburger, for about £8 a head. Cheers! 🍻
Strong goatse energy on the logo.
Had to look that one up.
Honest.
As long as you didn’t have to look up one. Unless your proclivities or trade lean that way of course.
Proctologist?
I'm another unfortunate Googler. I just had an inkling that it was something like that but some sort of grime rapper was another possibility.
I see Cruella's gameplan here. Floating petri dishes could well reduce the numbers of asylum seekers significantly.
Your inference ... not sure they are that organised. But there is also tuberculosis, presumably, given the news yesterday. Or is that too slow? Probably not if one gets a really virulent strain combined with poor food.
Interesting to follow the fantasises of those who really dislike the current government.
They really should just sink the boats like the Greeks, or pay the Libyan Coastguard to enslave the migrant. Like proper Europeans.
Maybe unfair to blame the government for legionella in asylum seekers' accommodation, or for using barges as temporary accommodation. But as they go for cruel performative nonsense on migration they shouldn't expect their mostly justified critics to suddenly discover nuance, when they certainly don't have any.
Why? Didn't they think to flush the system?
That's actually basic. Buy to let landlords have to do it, dammit.
We should absolutely compare ourselves with Canada etc.
I would say there are different varieties of capitalism to compare ourselves against, and learn from. We can’t precisely replicate another model, but there are always useful things to learn.
Rough ranking as follows:
Switzerland USA Scandinavia (ex Norway) Germany/Austria Netherlands Canada/Australia/NZ South Korea France/Belgium *UK* Japan Spain/Portugal Italy New Europe (Czech, Poland, Baltics, maybe Hungary)
Against this bundle, UK is middling and definitely bottom half.
We are above France/Belgium and South Korea too and if you are unemployed or have a serious illness or injury you are far better off in the UK than US in terms of accessing state support and state healthcare if you are not a high earner who can afford private healthcare anyway.
We also have a global city in London that only really NYC can rival
We are a first rate city with a third rate country attached.
Admirable though it is, I think it's going a bit far to call Lichfield first rate.
I've been to Lichfield Trent Valley, but not Lichfield City (only passed through).
Interesting station.
The rest of Lichfield is a must visit if you like old buildings and Victorian parks.
However, if you don't - don't bother, as there's nothing else worth visiting.
Erasmus Darwin House is worth visiting IMO. Father of Charles.
Greetings from Irish Pub, Zhytomyr, Ukraine, where they have Guinness on tap - and we’ve just had a pint of the Irish, a pint of the local, and a bacon cheeseburger, for about £8 a head. Cheers! 🍻
Strong goatse energy on the logo.
Had to look that one up.
Honest.
Hope you just looked at a wiki page, and not anything else!
Goatse, is the reason that many of us were happy when Rickrolling came around.
You missed the previous one which was a link to a page fully of javascript generated chairs that very rapidly crashed your machine if you didn't react in a few seconds...
I see Cruella's gameplan here. Floating petri dishes could well reduce the numbers of asylum seekers significantly.
Your inference ... not sure they are that organised. But there is also tuberculosis, presumably, given the news yesterday. Or is that too slow? Probably not if one gets a really virulent strain combined with poor food.
Interesting to follow the fantasises of those who really dislike the current government.
They really should just sink the boats like the Greeks, or pay the Libyan Coastguard to enslave the migrant. Like proper Europeans.
Maybe unfair to blame the government for legionella in asylum seekers' accommodation, or for using barges as temporary accommodation. But as they go for cruel performative nonsense on migration they shouldn't expect their mostly justified critics to suddenly discover nuance, when they certainly don't have any.
Why? Didn't they think to flush the system?
That's actually basic. Buy to let landlords have to do it, dammit.
I see Cruella's gameplan here. Floating petri dishes could well reduce the numbers of asylum seekers significantly.
Your inference ... not sure they are that organised. But there is also tuberculosis, presumably, given the news yesterday. Or is that too slow? Probably not if one gets a really virulent strain combined with poor food.
Interesting to follow the fantasises of those who really dislike the current government.
They really should just sink the boats like the Greeks, or pay the Libyan Coastguard to enslave the migrant. Like proper Europeans.
Maybe unfair to blame the government for legionella in asylum seekers' accommodation, or for using barges as temporary accommodation. But as they go for cruel performative nonsense on migration they shouldn't expect their mostly justified critics to suddenly discover nuance, when they certainly don't have any.
Why? Didn't they think to flush the system?
That's actually basic. Buy to let landlords have to do it, dammit.
I see Cruella's gameplan here. Floating petri dishes could well reduce the numbers of asylum seekers significantly.
Your inference ... not sure they are that organised. But there is also tuberculosis, presumably, given the news yesterday. Or is that too slow? Probably not if one gets a really virulent strain combined with poor food.
Interesting to follow the fantasises of those who really dislike the current government.
They really should just sink the boats like the Greeks, or pay the Libyan Coastguard to enslave the migrant. Like proper Europeans.
Maybe unfair to blame the government for legionella in asylum seekers' accommodation, or for using barges as temporary accommodation. But as they go for cruel performative nonsense on migration they shouldn't expect their mostly justified critics to suddenly discover nuance, when they certainly don't have any.
Why? Didn't they think to flush the system?
That's actually basic. Buy to let landlords have to do it, dammit.
I see Cruella's gameplan here. Floating petri dishes could well reduce the numbers of asylum seekers significantly.
Your inference ... not sure they are that organised. But there is also tuberculosis, presumably, given the news yesterday. Or is that too slow? Probably not if one gets a really virulent strain combined with poor food.
Interesting to follow the fantasises of those who really dislike the current government.
They really should just sink the boats like the Greeks, or pay the Libyan Coastguard to enslave the migrant. Like proper Europeans.
Maybe unfair to blame the government for legionella in asylum seekers' accommodation, or for using barges as temporary accommodation. But as they go for cruel performative nonsense on migration they shouldn't expect their mostly justified critics to suddenly discover nuance, when they certainly don't have any.
Why? Didn't they think to flush the system?
That's actually basic. Buy to let landlords have to do it, dammit.
You just have to watch an interview with Trump to realise that his age simply does not matter.
There has been no obvious decline in his faculties and he retains all the weird energy he had before. (snip)
In yet another demo of my almost freaky detachment and fairmindedness, PB's biggest Trump hater (me) would agree with you here.
Trump has wisely avoided too many injudicious facial interventions. Biden's face is tight as a drum, but it actually ages him more.
Trump also benefits more than most from wearing clothes. He'd look much worse naked. It's a real stroke of fortune for him that he's able to hide this from the electorate.
You just have to watch an interview with Trump to realise that his age simply does not matter.
There has been no obvious decline in his faculties and he retains all the weird energy he had before. (snip)
In yet another demo of my almost freaky detachment and fairmindedness, PB's biggest Trump hater (me) would agree with you here.
Trump has wisely avoided too many injudicious facial interventions. Biden's face is tight as a drum, but it actually ages him more.
Trump also benefits more than most from wearing clothes. He'd look much worse naked. It's a real stroke of fortune for him that he's able to hide this from the electorate.
Hard to disagree with, though I don't think many are clamouring to see Biden in the altogether either.
You just have to watch an interview with Trump to realise that his age simply does not matter.
There has been no obvious decline in his faculties and he retains all the weird energy he had before. (snip)
In yet another demo of my almost freaky detachment and fairmindedness, PB's biggest Trump hater (me) would agree with you here.
Trump has wisely avoided too many injudicious facial interventions. Biden's face is tight as a drum, but it actually ages him more.
Trump also benefits more than most from wearing clothes. He'd look much worse naked. It's a real stroke of fortune for him that he's able to hide this from the electorate.
I am not on the CCHQ approved candidates' list and not interested in applying for the moment, though I know a few who are on the list who will be interested in the seats approved candidates can now apply for
I can't imagine a more diligent local MP.
Bearing in mind some of the utter dross that have become Conservative candidates and MPs I am surprised you haven't thrown your hat into the ring. (Edit: them not you!)
Time ticks by young HY. But only a few years ago I left University in my 20s. I turned around twice and before I knew it I became eligible for my Welsh bus pass.
If the Tories do crash and burn at the next GE, being in pole position for the rebuild wouldn't be a bad place to be.
I think HYUFD would be a good Tory MP - dependable, intelligent, loyal but not dumb. They could do a lot worse (and frequently do).
I am not on the CCHQ approved candidates' list and not interested in applying for the moment, though I know a few who are on the list who will be interested in the seats approved candidates can now apply for
I can't imagine a more diligent local MP.
Bearing in mind some of the utter dross that have become Conservative candidates and MPs I am surprised you haven't thrown your hat into the ring. (Edit: them not you!)
Time ticks by young HY. But only a few years ago I left University in my 20s. I turned around twice and before I knew it I became eligible for my Welsh bus pass.
If the Tories do crash and burn at the next GE, being in pole position for the rebuild wouldn't be a bad place to be.
I think HYUFD would be a good Tory MP - dependable, intelligent, loyal but not dumb. They could do a lot worse (and frequently do).
I agree. He would, however, need to keep the 'invade Scotland' rhetoric out of the chamber and keep it for the fringe. Perhaps a newly formed Scottish Research Group.
I am not on the CCHQ approved candidates' list and not interested in applying for the moment, though I know a few who are on the list who will be interested in the seats approved candidates can now apply for
I can't imagine a more diligent local MP.
Bearing in mind some of the utter dross that have become Conservative candidates and MPs I am surprised you haven't thrown your hat into the ring. (Edit: them not you!)
Time ticks by young HY. But only a few years ago I left University in my 20s. I turned around twice and before I knew it I became eligible for my Welsh bus pass.
If the Tories do crash and burn at the next GE, being in pole position for the rebuild wouldn't be a bad place to be.
I think HYUFD would be a good Tory MP - dependable, intelligent, loyal but not dumb. They could do a lot worse (and frequently do).
If the Conservatives don't adopt him as a candidate quickly, perhaps Plaid Cymru could.
I am not on the CCHQ approved candidates' list and not interested in applying for the moment, though I know a few who are on the list who will be interested in the seats approved candidates can now apply for
I can't imagine a more diligent local MP.
Bearing in mind some of the utter dross that have become Conservative candidates and MPs I am surprised you haven't thrown your hat into the ring. (Edit: them not you!)
Time ticks by young HY. But only a few years ago I left University in my 20s. I turned around twice and before I knew it I became eligible for my Welsh bus pass.
If the Tories do crash and burn at the next GE, being in pole position for the rebuild wouldn't be a bad place to be.
I think HYUFD would be a good Tory MP - dependable, intelligent, loyal but not dumb. They could do a lot worse (and frequently do).
I agree. He would, however, need to keep the 'invade Scotland' rhetoric out of the chamber and keep it for the fringe. Perhaps a newly formed Scottish Research Group.
I am not on the CCHQ approved candidates' list and not interested in applying for the moment, though I know a few who are on the list who will be interested in the seats approved candidates can now apply for
I can't imagine a more diligent local MP.
Bearing in mind some of the utter dross that have become Conservative candidates and MPs I am surprised you haven't thrown your hat into the ring. (Edit: them not you!)
Time ticks by young HY. But only a few years ago I left University in my 20s. I turned around twice and before I knew it I became eligible for my Welsh bus pass.
If the Tories do crash and burn at the next GE, being in pole position for the rebuild wouldn't be a bad place to be.
I think HYUFD would be a good Tory MP - dependable, intelligent, loyal but not dumb. They could do a lot worse (and frequently do).
Damned by faint praise. "They could do a lot worse (and frequently do)", whilst being true for Tories and Labour, it is not the endorsement I would like for anyone standing for the Mother of Parliaments.
There are aspects of HY that I quite like. There are lots that I do not, and his inability to do anything other than toe the party line is the main one. The Tory Party in particular desperately needs intelligent independent thinkers rather than groupspeakers. SO for that reason, "I'm out".
I am not on the CCHQ approved candidates' list and not interested in applying for the moment, though I know a few who are on the list who will be interested in the seats approved candidates can now apply for
I can't imagine a more diligent local MP.
Bearing in mind some of the utter dross that have become Conservative candidates and MPs I am surprised you haven't thrown your hat into the ring. (Edit: them not you!)
Time ticks by young HY. But only a few years ago I left University in my 20s. I turned around twice and before I knew it I became eligible for my Welsh bus pass.
If the Tories do crash and burn at the next GE, being in pole position for the rebuild wouldn't be a bad place to be.
I think HYUFD would be a good Tory MP - dependable, intelligent, loyal but not dumb. They could do a lot worse (and frequently do).
Damned by faint praise. "They could do a lot worse (and frequently do)", whilst being true for Tories and Labour, it is not the endorsement I would like for anyone standing for the Mother of Parliaments.
There are aspects of HY that I quite like. There are lots that I do not, and his inability to do anything other than toe the party line is the main one. The Tory Party in particular desperately needs intelligent independent thinkers rather than groupspeakers. SO for that reason, "I'm out".
You just have to watch an interview with Trump to realise that his age simply does not matter.
There has been no obvious decline in his faculties and he retains all the weird energy he had before. (snip)
In yet another demo of my almost freaky detachment and fairmindedness, PB's biggest Trump hater (me) would agree with you here.
Trump will keel over in mid-rant. At some point.
Those final 3 words would win Olympic weightlifting gold at a canter.
The stats say something like a 5% chance this year...
I don't think he'll fade away, it'll be sudden.
Yep that's a solid enough call. Re the 5% it's worth noting it's not only death that would knock him out of WH24 on health grounds. So would a whole host of medical events. It's not a bad idea to list them and assign a probability to each - although maybe not on here.
I am not on the CCHQ approved candidates' list and not interested in applying for the moment, though I know a few who are on the list who will be interested in the seats approved candidates can now apply for
I can't imagine a more diligent local MP.
Bearing in mind some of the utter dross that have become Conservative candidates and MPs I am surprised you haven't thrown your hat into the ring. (Edit: them not you!)
Time ticks by young HY. But only a few years ago I left University in my 20s. I turned around twice and before I knew it I became eligible for my Welsh bus pass.
If the Tories do crash and burn at the next GE, being in pole position for the rebuild wouldn't be a bad place to be.
I think HYUFD would be a good Tory MP - dependable, intelligent, loyal but not dumb. They could do a lot worse (and frequently do).
Damned by faint praise. "They could do a lot worse (and frequently do)", whilst being true for Tories and Labour, it is not the endorsement I would like for anyone standing for the Mother of Parliaments.
There are aspects of HY that I quite like. There are lots that I do not, and his inability to do anything other than toe the party line is the main one. The Tory Party in particular desperately needs intelligent independent thinkers rather than groupspeakers. SO for that reason, "I'm out".
Intellectually rigid?
Without wishing to be mean, I think just "rigid" would suffice.
This is not a shock. Rebuilding the leaning tower of Pisa exactly as it is now would take some doing too.
Sure. Also interesting seeing how they do it, properly I mean, not like the late lamented pub.
There's plenty of documentaries out there of rebuilding stuff from ridiculously little remains.
The Japanese Zero that was rebuilt, to flying condition, from the burn wreckage left in a jungle for 40 years, for example.
They did have plans to work from. Bit tricky without. Not so bad for a pub where one can fill in behind the facade with old or broken brick, but with such an [edit] distorted bent one ... I'd be surprised if anyone had done a raster laser scan of the Crooked Billet, which would be ideal!
Apparently the government put more migrants on board before test results were received .
The government is fxcking clueless aswell as being utterly vile.
Breaches under HASAWA, RIDDOR,The Management of Health and Safety at Work Regulations 1999 (Screws have rights too) The Water Supply (Water Quality) Regulations 2018, The Prison (Amendment) Rules 2000, for starters.
Apparently the government put more migrants on board before test results were received .
The government is fxcking clueless aswell as being utterly vile.
Breaches under HASAWA, RIDDOR,The Management of Health and Safety at Work Regulations 1999 (Screws have rights too) The Water Supply (Water Quality) Regulations 2018, The Prison (Amendment) Rules 2000, for starters.
Apparently the government put more migrants on board before test results were received .
The government is fxcking clueless aswell as being utterly vile.
Breaches under HASAWA, RIDDOR,The Management of Health and Safety at Work Regulations 1999 (Screws have rights too) The Water Supply (Water Quality) Regulations 2018, The Prison (Amendment) Rules 2000, for starters.
The HSE should be over this ship like a rash.
It sounds like some protest group called Legionella Bacterium already is.
You just have to watch an interview with Trump to realise that his age simply does not matter.
There has been no obvious decline in his faculties and he retains all the weird energy he had before. (snip)
In yet another demo of my almost freaky detachment and fairmindedness, PB's biggest Trump hater (me) would agree with you here.
Trump has wisely avoided too many injudicious facial interventions. Biden's face is tight as a drum, but it actually ages him more.
Biden looks and acts older than he is. He could easily pass for 90.
I think it's more he looks his age. These days everybody over 50 strains to look younger than they are - 70 is the new 25 and all of that nonsense - and so somebody just looking their age is deemed to have let themselves go.
I am not on the CCHQ approved candidates' list and not interested in applying for the moment, though I know a few who are on the list who will be interested in the seats approved candidates can now apply for
I can't imagine a more diligent local MP.
Bearing in mind some of the utter dross that have become Conservative candidates and MPs I am surprised you haven't thrown your hat into the ring. (Edit: them not you!)
Time ticks by young HY. But only a few years ago I left University in my 20s. I turned around twice and before I knew it I became eligible for my Welsh bus pass.
If the Tories do crash and burn at the next GE, being in pole position for the rebuild wouldn't be a bad place to be.
I think HYUFD would be a good Tory MP - dependable, intelligent, loyal but not dumb. They could do a lot worse (and frequently do).
Damned by faint praise. "They could do a lot worse (and frequently do)", whilst being true for Tories and Labour, it is not the endorsement I would like for anyone standing for the Mother of Parliaments.
There are aspects of HY that I quite like. There are lots that I do not, and his inability to do anything other than toe the party line is the main one. The Tory Party in particular desperately needs intelligent independent thinkers rather than groupspeakers. SO for that reason, "I'm out".
You just have to watch an interview with Trump to realise that his age simply does not matter.
There has been no obvious decline in his faculties and he retains all the weird energy he had before. (snip)
In yet another demo of my almost freaky detachment and fairmindedness, PB's biggest Trump hater (me) would agree with you here.
Trump will keel over in mid-rant. At some point.
Those final 3 words would win Olympic weightlifting gold at a canter.
The stats say something like a 5% chance this year...
I don't think he'll fade away, it'll be sudden.
Yep that's a solid enough call. Re the 5% it's worth noting it's not only death that would knock him out of WH24 on health grounds. So would a whole host of medical events. It's not a bad idea to list them and assign a probability to each - although maybe not on here.
Why not? - we are a betting site. The fact that two quite elderly men are the front runners is signifiant. Trump is in poor physical shape, but active. Biden looks physically healthier.
As I noted earlier - we are looking at a ~10% probability that one (or both) of them keels over before election day.
You just have to watch an interview with Trump to realise that his age simply does not matter.
There has been no obvious decline in his faculties and he retains all the weird energy he had before. (snip)
In yet another demo of my almost freaky detachment and fairmindedness, PB's biggest Trump hater (me) would agree with you here.
Trump has wisely avoided too many injudicious facial interventions. Biden's face is tight as a drum, but it actually ages him more.
Biden looks and acts older than he is. He could easily pass for 90.
I think it's more he looks his age. These days everybody over 50 strains to look younger than they are - 70 is the new 25 and all of that nonsense - and so somebody just looking their age is deemed to have let themselves go.
I couldn't give a shit how old he is so long as he can do the job. He seems to be doing quite well.
I am not on the CCHQ approved candidates' list and not interested in applying for the moment, though I know a few who are on the list who will be interested in the seats approved candidates can now apply for
I can't imagine a more diligent local MP.
Bearing in mind some of the utter dross that have become Conservative candidates and MPs I am surprised you haven't thrown your hat into the ring. (Edit: them not you!)
Time ticks by young HY. But only a few years ago I left University in my 20s. I turned around twice and before I knew it I became eligible for my Welsh bus pass.
If the Tories do crash and burn at the next GE, being in pole position for the rebuild wouldn't be a bad place to be.
I think HYUFD would be a good Tory MP - dependable, intelligent, loyal but not dumb. They could do a lot worse (and frequently do).
Damned by faint praise. "They could do a lot worse (and frequently do)", whilst being true for Tories and Labour, it is not the endorsement I would like for anyone standing for the Mother of Parliaments.
There are aspects of HY that I quite like. There are lots that I do not, and his inability to do anything other than toe the party line is the main one. The Tory Party in particular desperately needs intelligent independent thinkers rather than groupspeakers. SO for that reason, "I'm out".
When you look at some MPS who have taken the shilling and done nothing for their constituents. Hat tips go to jailbird Jared, Mad Nad and Bozo, By comparison I would imagine HY's constituents would get a top quality service.
You just have to watch an interview with Trump to realise that his age simply does not matter.
There has been no obvious decline in his faculties and he retains all the weird energy he had before. Meanwhile, Biden...
You must thus be implying Trump has been as mad as a March Hare for an awfully long time.
I am more comfortable with a few minor senior Presidential moments each day than someone who should never be allowed to leave his padded cell.
Biden's been doing the "senior" moments for much of his life. He seems to just make that kind of gaffe.
He has, yes. Anyone pointing to one of them as evidence of mental decline is stupid.
But you don't have to watch much video of Biden to realise that he is very old, and he could write suddenly become frail. I mean there's still about a tenth of the Senate, or so, who he could probably beat in a sprint, but that just goes to show that the gerentocracy extends way beyond the White House.
This is not a shock. Rebuilding the leaning tower of Pisa exactly as it is now would take some doing too.
Sure. Also interesting seeing how they do it, properly I mean, not like the late lamented pub.
There's plenty of documentaries out there of rebuilding stuff from ridiculously little remains.
The Japanese Zero that was rebuilt, to flying condition, from the burn wreckage left in a jungle for 40 years, for example.
They did have plans to work from. Bit tricky without. Not so bad for a pub where one can fill in behind the facade with old or broken brick, but with such an [edit] distorted bent one ... I'd be surprised if anyone had done a raster laser scan of the Crooked Billet, which would be ideal!
Zillions of tourist photos - there are programs that can cut and paste such, now and build up a 3D of the interior. IIRC such has been used on other restorations - I believe Notre Dame is one of them.
You just have to watch an interview with Trump to realise that his age simply does not matter.
There has been no obvious decline in his faculties and he retains all the weird energy he had before. (snip)
In yet another demo of my almost freaky detachment and fairmindedness, PB's biggest Trump hater (me) would agree with you here.
Trump has wisely avoided too many injudicious facial interventions. Biden's face is tight as a drum, but it actually ages him more.
Trump also benefits more than most from wearing clothes. He'd look much worse naked. It's a real stroke of fortune for him that he's able to hide this from the electorate.
More mind bleach required.
Ok yes, sorry. Now it's hard to shift a mental image of him sumo wrestling with Putin, the both in tiny little loincloths. When Two Tribes ...
"How does it feel to live without a smartphone? ‘Almost spiritual’
For most, giving up a smartphone in 2023 would be an almost inconceivable inconvenience. But those who’ve done it say they found delight with dumber devices"
You just have to watch an interview with Trump to realise that his age simply does not matter.
There has been no obvious decline in his faculties and he retains all the weird energy he had before. (snip)
In yet another demo of my almost freaky detachment and fairmindedness, PB's biggest Trump hater (me) would agree with you here.
Trump has wisely avoided too many injudicious facial interventions. Biden's face is tight as a drum, but it actually ages him more.
Biden looks and acts older than he is. He could easily pass for 90.
I think it's more he looks his age. These days everybody over 50 strains to look younger than they are - 70 is the new 25 and all of that nonsense - and so somebody just looking their age is deemed to have let themselves go.
The Presidency ages people pretty hard as well.
I recall people criticising Bush II and Obama for taking too much time off. Even too much exercise! Given that the President is running the government wherever he is, these days, it just seemed sane to me.
You just have to watch an interview with Trump to realise that his age simply does not matter.
There has been no obvious decline in his faculties and he retains all the weird energy he had before. (snip)
In yet another demo of my almost freaky detachment and fairmindedness, PB's biggest Trump hater (me) would agree with you here.
Trump has wisely avoided too many injudicious facial interventions. Biden's face is tight as a drum, but it actually ages him more.
Biden looks and acts older than he is. He could easily pass for 90.
I think it's more he looks his age. These days everybody over 50 strains to look younger than they are - 70 is the new 25 and all of that nonsense - and so somebody just looking their age is deemed to have let themselves go.
You just have to watch an interview with Trump to realise that his age simply does not matter.
There has been no obvious decline in his faculties and he retains all the weird energy he had before. (snip)
In yet another demo of my almost freaky detachment and fairmindedness, PB's biggest Trump hater (me) would agree with you here.
Trump has wisely avoided too many injudicious facial interventions. Biden's face is tight as a drum, but it actually ages him more.
Trump also benefits more than most from wearing clothes. He'd look much worse naked. It's a real stroke of fortune for him that he's able to hide this from the electorate.
Hard to disagree with, though I don't think many are clamouring to see Biden in the altogether either.
I didn't say they were. My point - if there was one - is that it's Trump who'd stand to lose the most if things went in that direction.
I am not on the CCHQ approved candidates' list and not interested in applying for the moment, though I know a few who are on the list who will be interested in the seats approved candidates can now apply for
I can't imagine a more diligent local MP.
Bearing in mind some of the utter dross that have become Conservative candidates and MPs I am surprised you haven't thrown your hat into the ring. (Edit: them not you!)
Time ticks by young HY. But only a few years ago I left University in my 20s. I turned around twice and before I knew it I became eligible for my Welsh bus pass.
If the Tories do crash and burn at the next GE, being in pole position for the rebuild wouldn't be a bad place to be.
I think HYUFD would be a good Tory MP - dependable, intelligent, loyal but not dumb. They could do a lot worse (and frequently do).
Damned by faint praise. "They could do a lot worse (and frequently do)", whilst being true for Tories and Labour, it is not the endorsement I would like for anyone standing for the Mother of Parliaments.
There are aspects of HY that I quite like. There are lots that I do not, and his inability to do anything other than toe the party line is the main one. The Tory Party in particular desperately needs intelligent independent thinkers rather than groupspeakers. SO for that reason, "I'm out".
Comments
Honest.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/
If Trump avoids criminal convictions next year then as I said he has a good chance of beating Biden and returning to the White House
Goatse, is the reason that many of us were happy when Rickrolling came around.
The rest of Lichfield is a must visit if you like old buildings and Victorian parks.
However, if you don't - don't bother, as there's nothing else worth visiting.
If the UK was a US state the Democrats would have won most votes in every presidential election here since 2000, we are basically just a North Eastern US state in culture but it is the Midwestern swing states that decide US elections
There has been no obvious decline in his faculties and he retains all the weird energy he had before. Meanwhile, Biden...
But there is no emoji that does justice to that.
Which seems rather high to me. Certainly something worth figuring into bets.
Alyn and Deeside (Wales)
Bridlington and The Wolds (Yorkshire and the Humber)
Bristol North West (South West)
Bury South (North West)
Clwyd North (Wales)
Colchester (Eastern)
Crawley (South East)
Croydon East (London)
Doncaster North (Yorkshire and the Humber)
Dorking and Horley (South East)
Frome and East Somerset (South West)
Glastonbury and Somerton (South West)
Heywood and Middleton North (North West)
Huntingdon (Eastern)
Leeds East (Yorkshire and the Humber)
Leeds West and Pudsey (Yorkshire and the Humber)
Mid Cheshire (North West)
North West Leicestershire (East Midlands)
Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley (Yorkshire and the Humber)
Richmond Park (London)
Sittingbourne and Sheppey (South East)
Southampton Itchen (South East)
St Albans (Eastern)
Wakefield and Rothwell (Yorkshire and the Humber)
Waveney Valley (Eastern)
Wirral West (North West)
https://conservativehome.com/2023/08/11/the-next-twenty-six-seats-opening-for-candidate-selections/
On the upside they would probably be much easier to beat.
I am more comfortable with a few minor senior Presidential moments each day than someone who should never be allowed to leave his padded cell.
Although that may be unfair to March hares.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/8/7/could-el-salvadors-gang-crackdown-spread-across-latin-america
https://www.economist.com/films/2023/07/21/inside-el-salvadors-war-on-crime
More importantly and interestingly, how long before it is tried in an advanced western nation with spiraling crime and urban decay?
The self-styled "cool dictator" has stratospheric popularity. People like the Singapore approach. Zero tolerance. String em up or bang em up.
Within a decade we will see a version in the west, is my bet. Prime candidates: the USA, or Sweden. Perhaps Italy or France next
The double standard is completely obvious - the same reason you never get statues of Republican Presidents in Western Europe (Lincoln excepted).
Similarly, Alyn and Deeside might be tempting to a Tory who wants a seat they're not certain or even likely to win but could make a decent showing in.
That's actually basic. Buy to let landlords have to do it, dammit.
"The BBC understands that routine testing was done before migrants moved on to the vessel, moored in Dorset.
But test results showing traces of the bacteria came back only after migrants had moved to the barge."
Unless your proclivities or trade lean that way of course.
This utterly predictable foul up is the result of a stupid and stupidly expensive policy that cannot and will not work and the stunningly incompetent execution of this travesty is simply making everyone just roll their eyes. The Tory Party might as well be King Canute for all its pathetic attempts to stem a tide that its own arrogance and idiocy vis-a-vis France has made 100 times worse. Rwanda is a sick joke, the Armed forces will not permit Ascension, and the truth is that trying to ape Australian dumbfuckery and cruelty is about as effective as the proverbial confectionery brew apparatus when you face a crossing of 25 miles rather than 2000 miles and your own policies wink at the thugs who control the trafficking.
I know you think that it is just a matter of time and then things will be "back to normal", but actually even the friends of the Conservative Party now just want to put it out of our misery.
Sue Ellen and all the other cretins can grandstand and gimmick all they like but it will remain a policy failure and a national disgrace for as long as these complete no hopers remain- God Help Us!- in charge.
Bearing in mind some of the utter dross that have become Conservative candidates and MPs I am surprised you haven't thrown your hat into the ring. (Edit: them not you!)
Time ticks by young HY. But only a few years ago I left University in my 20s. I turned around twice and before I knew it I became eligible for my Welsh bus pass.
If the Tories do crash and burn at the next GE, being in pole position for the rebuild wouldn't be a bad place to be.
Have they put Acland-Hood in charge or something?
For these kinds of cases - which are a comparatively small number - bespoke care packages are absolutely the right approach
Entertaining, if nothing else.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4146142-james-carvilles-uncensored-thoughts-on-trump-no-labels-and-democrats-future/
..“First of all, I don’t know how much longer he can live at this rate and this kind of stress,” Carville said.
“If something happened, he’s convicted — I don’t know what — I think they hate everybody in the field, and everybody that’s run against him, in their mind, is aiding and abetting the enemy.”
The Democratic strategist offered some compliments for biotech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, the upstart GOP candidate he suggested was running a smart race.
“The only one with a kind of a halfway smart message is Ramaswamy,” said Carville, who added that it was “actually more appealing” than Trump’s message.
“And his message is kind of, look if something happens to Trump, I’m here for you,” he said.
He noted Ramaswamy has said he would pardon Trump and has condemned the indictments against the former president. All the other candidates, Carville said, have crossed Trump just by running for the office.
Carville was relatively dismissive of Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.), who has recently won some media and GOP donor attention.
“I love the Tim Scott boom. But it’s free parking,” Carville said. “And every time I get one of these kind of Republicans that you can tell don’t like Trump, they might be interested in Tim Scott. He’s got a good way about him … OK fine. He’s never passed a bill and believes in celibacy. I don’t think that’s the way most people are. But what do I know?” ..
I'm another unfortunate Googler. I just had an inkling that it was something like that but some sort of grime rapper was another possibility.
This week is Migrants Week, so waiting was out of the question.
PS. If Lee Anderson and Suella Braverman became an item, legionella would be a decent portmanteau name for them.
Ingénus, please Google it.
I don't think he'll fade away, it'll be sudden.
The government is fxcking clueless aswell as being utterly vile.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/aug/11/crooked-house-rebuild-would-be-very-complicated-and-costly-endeavour
The Japanese Zero that was rebuilt, to flying condition, from the burn wreckage left in a jungle for 40 years, for example.
There are aspects of HY that I quite like. There are lots that I do not, and his inability to do anything other than toe the party line is the main one. The Tory Party in particular desperately needs intelligent independent thinkers rather than groupspeakers. SO for that reason, "I'm out".
The HSE should be over this ship like a rash.
https://www.missiontoseafarers.org/food
Edit: seeing as it's a foreign registered vessel, which provides interesting scope.
As I noted earlier - we are looking at a ~10% probability that one (or both) of them keels over before election day.
But you don't have to watch much video of Biden to realise that he is very old, and he could write suddenly become frail. I mean there's still about a tenth of the Senate, or so, who he could probably beat in a sprint, but that just goes to show that the gerentocracy extends way beyond the White House.
For most, giving up a smartphone in 2023 would be an almost inconceivable inconvenience. But those who’ve done it say they found delight with dumber devices"
https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2023/aug/12/how-does-it-feel-to-live-without-a-smartphone-almost-spiritual
I recall people criticising Bush II and Obama for taking too much time off. Even too much exercise! Given that the President is running the government wherever he is, these days, it just seemed sane to me.
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/15595866/joe-bidens-face-plastic-surgeons-cosmetic-procedures/