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Can the Tories get hope from opposition to ULEZ? – politicalbetting.com
Can the Tories get hope from opposition to ULEZ? – politicalbetting.com
The High Court has ruled London's planned ULEZ expansion is lawful.Our most recent polling finds 47% of Londoners support and 32% oppose the planned expansion.However, in Outer London, opinion is split (39% each), and more than a quarter of voters (27%) are STRONGLY opposed. pic.twitter.com/y9Jki0Uc9b
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Unlike Jimmy, that's a hat-trick this week.
A dog whistle to the far, far right?
If other countries can do it, why not us?
The Oyster card system was borrowed, largely, from an existing system.
The “fuck the small number of people who’ll get screwed by implementing Our Worthy Goal” is so 1950s. We can do better.
If the Tories put an ad on the side of buses saying that ULEZ is costing “you” £x per day and Labour want that money to spend on gender reassignment for small boat arrivals then it’s job done.
The fact as many oppose ULEZ as back it though in Outer London is far more significant for them. For if the Tories can get half of Outer London to back them at a general election then they could save London suburban seats they would otherwise lose on UNS like Beckenham, Eltham and Chislehurst, Wimbledon, Finchley and Golders Green, Croydon South, Hendon, Harrow East, Bexleyheath and Crayford and even maybe Chingford and Woodford Green and Chipping Barnet as they held Uxbridge and South Ruislip last week.
Khan though does seem to have been very stubborn and really should have extended the time for people to get a compliant car.
I was a longtime sceptic, regularly avoiding it, but I think it's become one of the BBC's acknowledged gems.
Some episodes are better than others, but at its best, it's fantastic.
On a larger scale Central Nottingham, for example, seems to be compliant with the targets for NOx in the air (hence no ULEZ), which I would suggest has something to do with the 12-15 million trips a year on the tram network, and the 1,5 million on the light rail (both still recovering form the pandemic slump), and also their active travel efforts - which are smaller than eg London, but noticeable and prevent a lot of car journeys.
There is also a modest stick for businesses in that there is a workplace parking tax at £522 per employee parking space per year (2023 number) for iirc businesses that provide more than 10 employee parking spaces (blue badges exempt).
But here's a plan B.They could always have a crack at 'getting hope' from governing the country really really well, with high levels of competence, consistency, honour, honesty, equity and transparency.
We could live in the sort of country where babies don't die in prison while being born because no-one was bothered to do anything at all to help the baby at birth. The sort of thing you also read about in horror stories of North Korean gulags.
Rishi Sunak is reading from the wrong script with his aggressive attacks on
Labour, and this will put off moderate voters
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/our-decent-pm-isnt-one-of-natures-shin-kickers-3qb5qn9vv (£££)
Matthew Parris (and I've not read the paywalled column).
It is a common failure of party HQ spin doctors not to notice a change in leader and to keep pumping out scripts for the last one. Gordon Brown was not Tony Blair. Theresa May was not David Cameron. Rishi Sunak is not Boris Johnson and nor should he try to be.
Whilst ULEZ is in reality a good thing it’s very easy to spin it as nanny state, green BS, extra tax. It happened in London under Labour, under Keir Starmer it’s coming to you.
So journos say to SKS “are you rolling out ULEZ everywhere?” If he says no then Londoners ask why they have it but nowhere else, if he says yes he’s fucked and if he tries some BS maybe answer he looks shifty.
I'd had Tuesday off as my first weekday off in a couple of weeks, even though I'd been asked to work to cover someone else's day off sick, I needed a weekday off to get some things done
So I had double mail on Wednesday. Not a problem, makes my day slightly longer so I earn a bit more - but relevant later
I'd got all of my postbox and customer collections done, and all of my specials except one delivered; but an hour to deliver that (so was noon) and about half an hour's posting to do before I got there
Then I got stung
I'm not sure what stung me. I'd just moved my bundle of mail from my left arm to my right to get my phone that had just buzzed in my pocket, when something landed on my right forearm. I grabbed the bundle back in my left arm and used it to brush off whatever had landed, and then felt the sting
I caught a glimpse of its backside as it buzzed off and it was either a very big wasp or a hornet. I was more worried about the pain in my arm than the taxonomy of its source, so I immediately looked down at my arm and saw a puncture in the skin. I've had wasp stings before and though horrible, I've just carried on in a bit of pain. So I carried on in a bit of pain
A few minutes later the area around the sting had swollen up a bit, which was no surprise. The next sensation was really bizarre; I got a really intense and quite painful itching feeling in the centres of my palms and the soles of my feet. It wasn't quite enough to stop me
I drove on to the next street, only about a hundred yards and got on with the job. Then I noticed I had big red hives in the middle of my palms, and spots appearing up both of my forearms. Then my eyes started itching and feeling like they were bulging
I looked in my wing mirror and my eyes, and all around them, were red. And the edges of my eyelids were swollen and sticking out, quite aggressively. I started to feel a bit woozy so sat down on the kerb. Then I saw that that spots had become a rash all over my arms and had at least reached my stomach
I stopped posting. I called the sorting office assistant manager (the manager is on holiday) after several attempts and a bit of staggering around - phone reception is awful in the new estate I was delivering to; BUILD MORE PHONE MASTS - I got the message through that I needed picking up
tbc
The first responder then arrived. He spent several minutes taking my vitals, and was running out of things to test, when the ambulance arrived. The two lovely lady paramedics did all the same tests and a few more, then gave me a an antihistamine shot that almost immediately cured the breathing and swallowing problems. Their friendliness, calm and professionalism made me able to relax for the first time in an hour
I went straight home and immediately slept for four hours, until six, and woke up still with the rash and my right forearm swollen like an anvil. I had a bit of dinner and went back to bed
I woke in the morning with rash gone and decided to go to work (I think I might have been somewhat delirious) and then had to do triple mail. It took me twelve and a half hours, I felt rough throughout, but got everything delivered
Only had to do nine and a half hours today. My next day off is Thursday
Why do we have ULEZ in the Outer Boroughs?
"Because your Conservative Council has sat on its butt and done NOTHING to reduce emissions, and causing your children to suffer from asthma when it is not necessary".
Unlike much of the stuff from Susan Hall and friends, that has the advantage of not being a presentation based on something that is true.
So if the ULEZ London poll was mirrored at a general election with all opponents voting Conservative and all supporters Labour, there would be a 0.5% swing from Labour to Conservative since 2019
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_United_Kingdom_general_election_in_England
If you go to Boots you can get those little transparent plastic make-up bags that are easily repurposed thus:
- Tbag 1: strong and weak antihistamines, painkillers, various disease-specific medications
- Tbag 2: Oragel, bojela, clove oil, cotton buds
- Tbag 3: shampoo, moisturising soap, allergen-free soap, hairbrush, toothbrush and paste, razors, washing-up liquid (always useful)
- Tbag 4: three USB-C chargers, nail-clippers
They go into Gobag 1, which contains the four Tbags, one medium Lenovo tablet, one wallet containing a map, facemask, lanyards and log-in details, another containing notes for that week's work. The external pockets includes an improving book (this month: Duty of Care by David Hennessy), a small bottle of Diet coke, and a telescopic umbrellaIn Gobag 2 there is two laptops: one secure for secure work, one personal for non-secure work and personal use. The external pockets contain two brick chargers, a four-way plug, two mice and one set of earphones.
In right-hand internal coat pocket is the small Lenovo tablet and three pens which I get from the RSS conference each year
In left hand internal coat pocket is the wallet and phone.
Duplicate keys are in my trousers and coat. The ID badge goes around my neck with a plain lanyard to minimise the shitkicking in trains.
I can get packed in under 30 mins and I carry all that over one hundred miles twice a week via busy trains, which I hate with a passion.
Ya wusses.
2) the goals of the organisation are noble. They even have an abstract piece of glass in the CEOs office proving it.
3) therefore you are hater
Might be worthwhile to verify that it hasn't created an anaphylaxis or similar that may not have existed or is worse than it was before - and you need to keep treatment to hand.
I've never had it happen to me, but have seen similar with family members.
My only comment would be wrt knives with blades that lock open may give trouble in eg Belgium, France, Germany, UK - and I assume that the knives at least go in hold luggage.
I've never taken one abroad, so I'll bow to Leon's experience on security checks.
For extreme weightsaving if that is your thing, Bikepackers are the ones to learn from !
https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bismarck_(Schiff,_1939)
Not that I can speak - had most of a bottle of NZ white witrh some smoked salmon, aubergine, capers and pasta.
Edit: and shallots.
Forgot to add: I also bring a small metal cup. Amazingly useful
To be fair, the campaign against ULEZ, led, not so much by the Conservative Party, but by elements in the media who seem a) resistant to the notion of climate change and b) very hostile to Sadiq Khan, has been a very successful example of how to engender fear and hostility among groups, many of whom won't be in any way affected by the coming of ULEZ.
The Conservatives have, quite late in the day and after being in Boris Johnson's time quite supportive of the concept, seized on ULEZ as the only stick with which they can beat Labour. After all, campaigning on their record in Government sounds like a really good move, doesn't it?
Since the U&SR by-election, Khan has been forced into putting more into the scrappage scheme but today's legal victory probably means it'll come to Outer London in the autumn - whether it will have much salience after introduction remains to be seen - it hasn't in Inner London.
As more people come to realise they won't be affected, it's going to be harder for the Conservatives to maintain the momentum of opposition .
I'd also add the news from so many other parts of the world strongly suggesting climate change is real and exists is going to concentrate a lot of minds. If I were looking at a long-term investment now, I'd be looking at coastal property in northern and western Scotland - I'd also start looking at a significant programme of infrastructure improvements because in 50 years time, I suspect a holiday in northern Scotland or the Western Isles is going to be very popular.
Not much to mention from either Omnisis or Techne - we've had seven polls since the by-elections and the Labour lead is around 20 points (between 17 and 23) so very little seems to have changed.
It's as if they get off on ringing cities with signs saying "You are now entering ... Zone".
I note they are now absurdly pricey. Mine cost about £25, now they are £75? Maybe illegal?
https://heinnie.com/spyderco-tenacious
https://www.gov.uk/buying-carrying-knives#Basic laws on knives and weapons
https://www.gov.uk/vehicle-tax-rate-tables/rates-for-cars-registered-on-or-after-1-march-2001
Car sharing, using public transport, wfh, replacing a polluting car with a ULEZ-compliant model, these are all ways people can reduce pollution and reduce any ULEZ charges they might face.
https://twitter.com/MichaelRosenYes/status/1684958948443447296
Michael Rosen 💙💙🎓🎓
@MichaelRosenYes
7/ Meanwhile, as the actors' strike is telling us, it can't be long before we could go to a movie about a long-dead guy like Oppenheimer and AI has reconstructed him from photos and film of the time. Oppenheimer played by Oppenheimer!
This match is set up beautifully: three days (minus weather) for two innings
I think we need to bat all day tomorrow and we'll win
A repeat episode could possibly be quicker onset.
And we’d miss you.
https://twitter.com/HJoyceGender/status/1685014637480124416?s=20
Wes Streeting apologises to Rosie Duffield for treatment by Labour over gender views
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2023/jul/28/wes-streeting-apologises-to-labour-mp-rosie-duffield-who-felt-ostracised-due-to-gender-views?CMP=share_btn_tw
I have a family staying from Limoges this weekend. Friends of friends, never met them before. I gave them (bien sur) some English wine: a Nyetimber 2015 blanc de blancs, along with - of course - shepherds pie.
This is the nth time I’ve either talked about or given English wine to French people. They are never surprised, they don’t turn their noses up, they don’t even go the other way and feign fascination. They approach it like they might approach say Croatian or Greek wine. Slightly exotic but to be respected.
Every time this happens it shocks me. Compare that with Germans. Several times I’ve talked about or attempted to proffer English wine to Germans. Each time utter disbelief and amused bafflement. Sniggering at the back. Fundamentally unserious. Same with the Italians. Laughter and mockery.
Why? Is it that France is that much closer to us so they can do the mental maths to add a few decades of climate change on to champagne? Is it that France has a similar attitude to all foreign impersonations of actual proper wine that England is just another vin étranger? Are they just more polite?
You’d think the French would by reputation be THE most dismissive of English wine but time after time they’re not at all.
In terms of the political effect, interesting seats probably need to do two things.
First is to be outer, outer London- nearer the M25 than the North/South Circular. That's OK, because that's where most Conservative seats are. But in somewhere like Finchley & Golders Green, opposing ULEZ probably harms Conservative chances.
Second is to be marginal enough for the ULEZ effect to flip the result. Most of the remaining Conservative seats have stonking enough majorities to not really be in play. If the national picture were different, perhaps Dagenham & Rainham comes into play if the Brexit vote from 2019 falls into the Conservative column, but otherwise?
[Sorry to hear earlier about your health problems, btw]
Many Germans simply buy into the French Is The Only Wine thing.
I'm on WESTOVER each way at 20/1.
While it may be too soon to say there is a corner of England that is forever France, there is certainly a Gallic thrust towards coming over here and buying up our vineyards.
And with good reason, say the experts, with England’s southern counties being in the vanguard of a boom in sparkling wine production that rivals the best champagne made 100 miles across the Channel.
Leading champagne houses have been snapping up land in southern England, where the chalky soils – similar to those in northern France, and changing climate are yielding top-class bubbly. And the production of top quality red wines may not be far behind.
https://inews.co.uk/inews-lifestyle/heatwave-english-england-sparkling-wine-boom-french-champagne-uk-vineyards-1814496