Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Sunak continues to struggle with favourability – politicalbetting.com

1235789

Comments

  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,035
    Do we know where @leon is in the world at the moment? I might be about to trump him in the best view at sunset today award.
  • MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855
    viewcode said:

    https://arstechnica.com/space/2023/07/viasats-new-broadband-satellite-could-be-a-total-loss/

    Short version - legacy satellite data provider is looking at big loss. They are stuffed long term - this will make their demise faster.

    If only we had a simple and robust ability to send somebody up quickly with a spanner. :(
    There's a lesson here about modularity. Pretty sure a single Starlink sat does not cost 700m.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,987
    edited July 2023
    Andy_JS said:

    Uxbridge is the political event that could turn Sunak's fortunes around. I'd concentrate on that one and not put too much effort into the other two in Somerton and Selby.

    I am going to Uxbridge tomorrow, first by election I have helped in since Old Bexley and Sidcup. Both those seats were Tory holds even in 1997, unlike Somerton and Selby and Labour are/were the challengers not the LDs, best conditions for a Tory by election hold. Plus ULEZ issue in Uxbridge too
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,167

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.

    Self praise is no praise.

    If it's widely read the evidence suggests those high enders immediately forget all the self regarding wisdom available on here.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,778
    Sandpit said:

    Do we know where @leon is in the world at the moment? I might be about to trump him in the best view at sunset today award.

    Don't worry. You are never more than 72 hours away from an interminable Old Man Gets Drunk On His Own In A Foreign Country photo essay.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,976
    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    Oh indeed, but you’re going to be a lot more subtle if you want to actually change mind on this forum, rather than charging in like a bull in a china shop of propaganda.
    Youwould have thought they would have read my headers and learned how to be subtle.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,606
    Dura_Ace said:

    Sandpit said:

    Do we know where @leon is in the world at the moment? I might be about to trump him in the best view at sunset today award.

    Don't worry. You are never more than 72 hours away from an interminable Old Man Gets Drunk On His Own In A Foreign Country photo essay.
    About 48 hours, actually
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,153
    A
    Miklosvar said:

    viewcode said:

    https://arstechnica.com/space/2023/07/viasats-new-broadband-satellite-could-be-a-total-loss/

    Short version - legacy satellite data provider is looking at big loss. They are stuffed long term - this will make their demise faster.

    If only we had a simple and robust ability to send somebody up quickly with a spanner. :(
    There's a lesson here about modularity. Pretty sure a single Starlink sat does not cost 700m.
    They are making 6 Starlink satellites per *day*, IIRC

    The biggest problem with the satellite above is replacing it. SpaceX could probably squeeze in another launch this year - they are the only non-Chinese/Russian launch company with the capacity and flexibility to launch on shorter notice than several years.

    But building a sat like that would take years.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,153

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    Oh indeed, but you’re going to be a lot more subtle if you want to actually change mind on this forum, rather than charging in like a bull in a china shop of propaganda.
    Youwould have thought they would have read my headers and learned how to be subtle.
    Also modesty and how to dress quietly.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 72,263
    HYUFD said:

    PJH said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Regarding Squareroot's view that things were equally bad, or worse in 2010: I appreciate that this is a not uncommon view.

    Never mind attacking Sunak, Labour should produce a set of posters and adverts which clearly paint the picture of how much better the period 1997-2010 was for the UK than 2010-2023/24 has been. It really wouldn't be hard, some simple graphs or simple statements of things like:

    - NHS waiting times
    - Real income
    - Debt (seriously, who'd have thought would be a higher share of GDP now than in 2010?)
    - Growth
    - Inflation
    - Immigration
    - House ownership %
    - Days lost to strikes

    I am sure PBers can think of a few others (number of Cabinet members prosecuted?)

    You'd have to exclude the 2008-10 period.

    The economy was in better shape, pre-2008, than now.
    Not only that but ignore the effects of Brexit, covid and war in Ukraine all in the last 3 years, which are the unique drivers to where we are today
    More excuses than a pregnant nun!
    Hard to face reality then
    I'm sure you were arguing that we should ignore the Global Financial Crisis when thinking about howe to vote back in 2010, Big_G ;-)

    In truth, every government faces unexpected events. Labour had 9/11, 7/7 and the GFC; Tories had Brexit, Covid, Ukraine.
    But Brexit was entirely of the Conservative Government's making.

    You can't put that down as an "act of God" unless your god is called Boris Johnson.
    Indeed true, but Big_G was using it as a reason for the Tories utter screw-up of the economy over the past 13 years, so I allowed him that one.

    Some Tories, of course, still cling to the idea that the GFC was all Labour's fault (in which case they had a mighty impressive ability to influence the global economy).

    Bottom line though, are there any PB posters, of whatever persuasion, who think the Tories have managed the economy at all well?
    I'd say that their economic management has been about average, for rich world governments, from 2010 to date.

    Almost every rich country has been dealt a rotten hand, over the past 13 years.

    Real criticism of the government lies elsewhere, IMHO. The corruption, the infighting, and the very odd sense of priorities, in terms of public spending. The almost wilful ineptititude with which they run institutions.
    I am curious about how the Tories get their reputation for good management of the economy? In my adult lifetime the only period of sustained econmic growth has come under Labour (1997-2007).

    I entered adulthood in the Thatcher years in the middle of a long recession. I started work on 1988 on a slight economic upswing from a low base but by the time we got to February 1989 things were on the down again and my friends seeking work a year behind me all really struggled to find jobs. We also had a burst of 10% inflation.

    The early 90s were grim, we fell out of the ERM, there was a property bust, and I lost my job twice in that period, and of my friends wasn't alone. I will concede that having made a complete pig's ear of everything Major and Clarke provided a steadier hand at the tiller from about 94 onwards but by then their reputation was in tatters anyway.

    The we get to 2010. I felt at the time that some austerity was needed for a while to balance the books. It was probably too much for too long even under the coalition, but once the restraining had of the LDs was removed it has been an utter shitshow.

    On the other hand under Labour not only did the economy grow, the public realm also visibly improved. The GFC revealed that they hadn't been attentive enough in building up reserves for a rainy day, as in fact they had done in the first few years. But overall 1997-2010 is a far better record than anything the Tories can point at, without even having to bother to look up statistics.

    Looking at the current Labour leadership, Starmer seems more of a conservative than anyone in the current Conservative Party. Yet "everyone" is scared of Labour trashing the economy. Why?
    Well Thatcher did cut strikes, slash the top income tax rate, rejuvinate Docklands, expand working class property ownership via council house sales and privatise inefficient nationalise industries. Major cut inflation.

    Unemployment now at 4% half the 8% unemployment Labour left in 2010
    Quite a lot of the money for slashing taxes came from those council house sales - a huge transfer of capital from local to central government, which was used to finance current account spending.
    Likewise the privatisation of what were regional utilities.

    Conservatives rightly criticised Brown for borrowing to finance current account spending; Thatcher was doing much the same.
    And bore a greater responsibility for growing the economy of L9ndon at the expense of the rest of the country.

    A very mixed record. Short term successes, but setting up long term, intractable problems.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,153
    edited July 2023

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.

    Self praise is no praise.

    If it's widely read the evidence suggests those high enders immediately forget all the self regarding wisdom available on here.
    The people in power keep doing the stupid stuff in a remarkable way. Putin is 300 days into a 3 day war.

    Part of this is process - “turning the supertanker”.

    One thing that Thatcher had a gift for was overcoming the system inertia and creating a new policy direction.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    edited July 2023
    HYUFD said:

    Amazon said:

    picture is worth a thousand words.

    NATO have turned their backs on Zelensky.

    Without NATO’s direct military intervention, Ukraine will perish, making Zelensky a dead man walking.

    The West sacrificed Ukraine and it’s People in an attempt to weaken Russia.

    They failed.

    https://twitter.com/Raymond82310289/status/1679094169640349696?s=20

    Putin was supposed to have captured Kyiv within a week, 17 months later he still hasn't.

    NATO doesn't need to launch WW3 with Russia to keep Ukraine supplied with weapons and sanctions on Moscow
    NO THANKS TO YOU, as we recall.
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,188
    HYUFD said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Uxbridge is the political event that could turn Sunak's fortunes around. I'd concentrate on that one and not put too much effort into the other two in Somerton and Selby.

    I am going to Uxbridge tomorrow, first by election I have helped in since Old Bexley and Sidcup. Both those seats were Tory holds even in 1997, unlike Somerton and Selby and Labour are/were the challengers not the LDs, best conditions for a Tory by election hold. Plus ULEZ issue in Uxbridge too
    Do not forget to speak only to True Conservatives - those who have never, ever voted for any other party.

    You do not want to be wasting your valuable time dealing with turncoats and the impure....
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 72,263
    .
    Leon said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Sandpit said:

    Do we know where @leon is in the world at the moment? I might be about to trump him in the best view at sunset today award.

    Don't worry. You are never more than 72 hours away from an interminable Old Man Gets Drunk On His Own In A Foreign Country photo essay.
    About 48 hours, actually
    You’ve had bans longer than that.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,778
    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    Oh indeed, but you’re going to be a lot more subtle if you want to actually change mind on this forum, rather than charging in like a bull in a china shop of propaganda.
    Has anybody ever changed their mind about anything on here? Even Billy G's damascene conversion to the political philosophy of an asphasiac Hartlepudlian publican was after the brexit nabka.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 11,947

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    My Indian colleagues in IT joke about the attitude in the low end contracting stuff from Mumbai. They cheerlead for whatever the guy who pays, says.

    So vehement enthusiast for NoSQL on one project. While Oracle is the Only Way on another project they are working on. At the same time.

    The acting level is very good - to a naive person it would, indeed, seem like belief.
    I saw the same many decades ago at a large computer company I worked at. At the product release (to the salesmen) the salesman used to lap it up. Loads of whooping. Sometime later when I got to know a few of them I asked them about it and the response was they know it is all bollocks and they are just having fun. One wonders if the management actually knew they were taking the piss and that they really didn't have to put on a razzmatazz release. They actually weren't motivating the sales guys at all.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,417
    Leon said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Sandpit said:

    Do we know where @leon is in the world at the moment? I might be about to trump him in the best view at sunset today award.

    Don't worry. You are never more than 72 hours away from an interminable Old Man Gets Drunk On His Own In A Foreign Country photo essay.
    About 48 hours, actually
    If you take a picture, take yourself out of it. Your pictures of empty streets were interesting. Your pictures with your laptop or your table or your hand or your food are not interesting. Your art is better without you in it.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,417
    Miklosvar said:

    viewcode said:

    https://arstechnica.com/space/2023/07/viasats-new-broadband-satellite-could-be-a-total-loss/

    Short version - legacy satellite data provider is looking at big loss. They are stuffed long term - this will make their demise faster.

    If only we had a simple and robust ability to send somebody up quickly with a spanner. :(
    There's a lesson here about modularity. Pretty sure a single Starlink sat does not cost 700m.
    Eggs. Basket. Whoops.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,149
    edited July 2023
    Which of the Scots PBers kept asking me if I'd "done" Reston station (near the Border on the ECML)? @Theuniondivvie? @carnyx? @fairliered? Well, I visited it yesterday on my way back to London :)



  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,188

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    My Indian colleagues in IT joke about the attitude in the low end contracting stuff from Mumbai. They cheerlead for whatever the guy who pays, says.

    So vehement enthusiast for NoSQL on one project. While Oracle is the Only Way on another project they are working on. At the same time.

    The acting level is very good - to a naive person it would, indeed, seem like belief.
    When I used to have to manage Indian software teams in London (early 2000s) I found much the same. They would never disagree with the end-user management no matter what was proposed, but amongst themselves they would argue like fishwives. They also had an alarming propensity to completely misinterpret even written instructions and deliver complete tripe.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,167
    Sandpit said:

    Do we know where @leon is in the world at the moment? I might be about to trump him in the best view at sunset today award.

    He’s an old Gloucesterian I believe, has he been spotted there?
  • kjhkjh Posts: 11,947
    Dura_Ace said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    Oh indeed, but you’re going to be a lot more subtle if you want to actually change mind on this forum, rather than charging in like a bull in a china shop of propaganda.
    Has anybody ever changed their mind about anything on here? Even Billy G's damascene conversion to the political philosophy of an asphasiac Hartlepudlian publican was after the brexit nabka.
    I'm sure I have but I'm struggling to think what. I have certainly read some thought proking posts from many and not necessarily from my political view point.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,232
    HYUFD said:

    PJH said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Regarding Squareroot's view that things were equally bad, or worse in 2010: I appreciate that this is a not uncommon view.

    Never mind attacking Sunak, Labour should produce a set of posters and adverts which clearly paint the picture of how much better the period 1997-2010 was for the UK than 2010-2023/24 has been. It really wouldn't be hard, some simple graphs or simple statements of things like:

    - NHS waiting times
    - Real income
    - Debt (seriously, who'd have thought would be a higher share of GDP now than in 2010?)
    - Growth
    - Inflation
    - Immigration
    - House ownership %
    - Days lost to strikes

    I am sure PBers can think of a few others (number of Cabinet members prosecuted?)

    You'd have to exclude the 2008-10 period.

    The economy was in better shape, pre-2008, than now.
    Not only that but ignore the effects of Brexit, covid and war in Ukraine all in the last 3 years, which are the unique drivers to where we are today
    More excuses than a pregnant nun!
    Hard to face reality then
    I'm sure you were arguing that we should ignore the Global Financial Crisis when thinking about howe to vote back in 2010, Big_G ;-)

    In truth, every government faces unexpected events. Labour had 9/11, 7/7 and the GFC; Tories had Brexit, Covid, Ukraine.
    But Brexit was entirely of the Conservative Government's making.

    You can't put that down as an "act of God" unless your god is called Boris Johnson.
    Indeed true, but Big_G was using it as a reason for the Tories utter screw-up of the economy over the past 13 years, so I allowed him that one.

    Some Tories, of course, still cling to the idea that the GFC was all Labour's fault (in which case they had a mighty impressive ability to influence the global economy).

    Bottom line though, are there any PB posters, of whatever persuasion, who think the Tories have managed the economy at all well?
    I'd say that their economic management has been about average, for rich world governments, from 2010 to date.

    Almost every rich country has been dealt a rotten hand, over the past 13 years.

    Real criticism of the government lies elsewhere, IMHO. The corruption, the infighting, and the very odd sense of priorities, in terms of public spending. The almost wilful ineptititude with which they run institutions.
    I am curious about how the Tories get their reputation for good management of the economy? In my adult lifetime the only period of sustained econmic growth has come under Labour (1997-2007).

    I entered adulthood in the Thatcher years in the middle of a long recession. I started work on 1988 on a slight economic upswing from a low base but by the time we got to February 1989 things were on the down again and my friends seeking work a year behind me all really struggled to find jobs. We also had a burst of 10% inflation.

    The early 90s were grim, we fell out of the ERM, there was a property bust, and I lost my job twice in that period, and of my friends wasn't alone. I will concede that having made a complete pig's ear of everything Major and Clarke provided a steadier hand at the tiller from about 94 onwards but by then their reputation was in tatters anyway.

    The we get to 2010. I felt at the time that some austerity was needed for a while to balance the books. It was probably too much for too long even under the coalition, but once the restraining had of the LDs was removed it has been an utter shitshow.

    On the other hand under Labour not only did the economy grow, the public realm also visibly improved. The GFC revealed that they hadn't been attentive enough in building up reserves for a rainy day, as in fact they had done in the first few years. But overall 1997-2010 is a far better record than anything the Tories can point at, without even having to bother to look up statistics.

    Looking at the current Labour leadership, Starmer seems more of a conservative than anyone in the current Conservative Party. Yet "everyone" is scared of Labour trashing the economy. Why?
    Well Thatcher did cut strikes, slash the top income tax rate, rejuvinate Docklands, expand working class property ownership via council house sales and privatise inefficient nationalise industries. Major cut inflation.

    Unemployment now at 4% half the 8% unemployment Labour left in 2010
    AKA:

    Took away workers' rights
    Gave tax cuts to the rich
    Allowed the proceeds of a bullion robbery to be laundered through property development
    Sold off public assets on the cheap
    Sold off even more public assets on the cheap and pissed away the money
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,395

    Which of the Scots PBers kept asking me if I'd "done" Reston station (near the Border on the ECML)? @Theuniondivvie? @carnyx? @fairliered? Well, I visited it yesterday on my way back to London :)



    Possibly me, and congratulations! Nice photos again. Wonder where the stone is from? Could even be local-ish, as it seems to be a red sandstone.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,959
    The Wimbledon final is number 6 versus 42 in terms of ranking.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,913

    HYUFD said:

    PJH said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Regarding Squareroot's view that things were equally bad, or worse in 2010: I appreciate that this is a not uncommon view.

    Never mind attacking Sunak, Labour should produce a set of posters and adverts which clearly paint the picture of how much better the period 1997-2010 was for the UK than 2010-2023/24 has been. It really wouldn't be hard, some simple graphs or simple statements of things like:

    - NHS waiting times
    - Real income
    - Debt (seriously, who'd have thought would be a higher share of GDP now than in 2010?)
    - Growth
    - Inflation
    - Immigration
    - House ownership %
    - Days lost to strikes

    I am sure PBers can think of a few others (number of Cabinet members prosecuted?)

    You'd have to exclude the 2008-10 period.

    The economy was in better shape, pre-2008, than now.
    Not only that but ignore the effects of Brexit, covid and war in Ukraine all in the last 3 years, which are the unique drivers to where we are today
    More excuses than a pregnant nun!
    Hard to face reality then
    I'm sure you were arguing that we should ignore the Global Financial Crisis when thinking about howe to vote back in 2010, Big_G ;-)

    In truth, every government faces unexpected events. Labour had 9/11, 7/7 and the GFC; Tories had Brexit, Covid, Ukraine.
    But Brexit was entirely of the Conservative Government's making.

    You can't put that down as an "act of God" unless your god is called Boris Johnson.
    Indeed true, but Big_G was using it as a reason for the Tories utter screw-up of the economy over the past 13 years, so I allowed him that one.

    Some Tories, of course, still cling to the idea that the GFC was all Labour's fault (in which case they had a mighty impressive ability to influence the global economy).

    Bottom line though, are there any PB posters, of whatever persuasion, who think the Tories have managed the economy at all well?
    I'd say that their economic management has been about average, for rich world governments, from 2010 to date.

    Almost every rich country has been dealt a rotten hand, over the past 13 years.

    Real criticism of the government lies elsewhere, IMHO. The corruption, the infighting, and the very odd sense of priorities, in terms of public spending. The almost wilful ineptititude with which they run institutions.
    I am curious about how the Tories get their reputation for good management of the economy? In my adult lifetime the only period of sustained econmic growth has come under Labour (1997-2007).

    I entered adulthood in the Thatcher years in the middle of a long recession. I started work on 1988 on a slight economic upswing from a low base but by the time we got to February 1989 things were on the down again and my friends seeking work a year behind me all really struggled to find jobs. We also had a burst of 10% inflation.

    The early 90s were grim, we fell out of the ERM, there was a property bust, and I lost my job twice in that period, and of my friends wasn't alone. I will concede that having made a complete pig's ear of everything Major and Clarke provided a steadier hand at the tiller from about 94 onwards but by then their reputation was in tatters anyway.

    The we get to 2010. I felt at the time that some austerity was needed for a while to balance the books. It was probably too much for too long even under the coalition, but once the restraining had of the LDs was removed it has been an utter shitshow.

    On the other hand under Labour not only did the economy grow, the public realm also visibly improved. The GFC revealed that they hadn't been attentive enough in building up reserves for a rainy day, as in fact they had done in the first few years. But overall 1997-2010 is a far better record than anything the Tories can point at, without even having to bother to look up statistics.

    Looking at the current Labour leadership, Starmer seems more of a conservative than anyone in the current Conservative Party. Yet "everyone" is scared of Labour trashing the economy. Why?
    Well Thatcher did cut strikes, slash the top income tax rate, rejuvinate Docklands, expand working class property ownership via council house sales and privatise inefficient nationalise industries. Major cut inflation.

    Unemployment now at 4% half the 8% unemployment Labour left in 2010
    AKA:

    Took away workers' rights
    Gave tax cuts to the rich
    Allowed the proceeds of a bullion robbery to be laundered through property development
    Sold off public assets on the cheap
    Sold off even more public assets on the cheap and pissed away the money
    Could you give me an example of a public asset sold cheaply?
  • ClippPClippP Posts: 1,920

    HYUFD said:

    PJH said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Regarding Squareroot's view that things were equally bad, or worse in 2010: I appreciate that this is a not uncommon view.

    Never mind attacking Sunak, Labour should produce a set of posters and adverts which clearly paint the picture of how much better the period 1997-2010 was for the UK than 2010-2023/24 has been. It really wouldn't be hard, some simple graphs or simple statements of things like:

    - NHS waiting times
    - Real income
    - Debt (seriously, who'd have thought would be a higher share of GDP now than in 2010?)
    - Growth
    - Inflation
    - Immigration
    - House ownership %
    - Days lost to strikes

    I am sure PBers can think of a few others (number of Cabinet members prosecuted?)

    You'd have to exclude the 2008-10 period.

    The economy was in better shape, pre-2008, than now.
    Not only that but ignore the effects of Brexit, covid and war in Ukraine all in the last 3 years, which are the unique drivers to where we are today
    More excuses than a pregnant nun!
    Hard to face reality then
    I'm sure you were arguing that we should ignore the Global Financial Crisis when thinking about howe to vote back in 2010, Big_G ;-)

    In truth, every government faces unexpected events. Labour had 9/11, 7/7 and the GFC; Tories had Brexit, Covid, Ukraine.
    But Brexit was entirely of the Conservative Government's making.

    You can't put that down as an "act of God" unless your god is called Boris Johnson.
    Indeed true, but Big_G was using it as a reason for the Tories utter screw-up of the economy over the past 13 years, so I allowed him that one.

    Some Tories, of course, still cling to the idea that the GFC was all Labour's fault (in which case they had a mighty impressive ability to influence the global economy).

    Bottom line though, are there any PB posters, of whatever persuasion, who think the Tories have managed the economy at all well?
    I'd say that their economic management has been about average, for rich world governments, from 2010 to date.

    Almost every rich country has been dealt a rotten hand, over the past 13 years.

    Real criticism of the government lies elsewhere, IMHO. The corruption, the infighting, and the very odd sense of priorities, in terms of public spending. The almost wilful ineptititude with which they run institutions.
    I am curious about how the Tories get their reputation for good management of the economy? In my adult lifetime the only period of sustained econmic growth has come under Labour (1997-2007).

    I entered adulthood in the Thatcher years in the middle of a long recession. I started work on 1988 on a slight economic upswing from a low base but by the time we got to February 1989 things were on the down again and my friends seeking work a year behind me all really struggled to find jobs. We also had a burst of 10% inflation.

    The early 90s were grim, we fell out of the ERM, there was a property bust, and I lost my job twice in that period, and of my friends wasn't alone. I will concede that having made a complete pig's ear of everything Major and Clarke provided a steadier hand at the tiller from about 94 onwards but by then their reputation was in tatters anyway.

    The we get to 2010. I felt at the time that some austerity was needed for a while to balance the books. It was probably too much for too long even under the coalition, but once the restraining had of the LDs was removed it has been an utter shitshow.

    On the other hand under Labour not only did the economy grow, the public realm also visibly improved. The GFC revealed that they hadn't been attentive enough in building up reserves for a rainy day, as in fact they had done in the first few years. But overall 1997-2010 is a far better record than anything the Tories can point at, without even having to bother to look up statistics.

    Looking at the current Labour leadership, Starmer seems more of a conservative than anyone in the current Conservative Party. Yet "everyone" is scared of Labour trashing the economy. Why?
    Well Thatcher did cut strikes, slash the top income tax rate, rejuvinate Docklands, expand working class property ownership via council house sales and privatise inefficient nationalise industries. Major cut inflation.

    Unemployment now at 4% half the 8% unemployment Labour left in 2010
    AKA:

    Took away workers' rights
    Gave tax cuts to the rich
    Allowed the proceeds of a bullion robbery to be laundered through property development
    Sold off public assets on the cheap
    Sold off even more public assets on the cheap and pissed away the money
    And squandered all the proceeds from North Sea Oil.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,167
    kjh said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    Oh indeed, but you’re going to be a lot more subtle if you want to actually change mind on this forum, rather than charging in like a bull in a china shop of propaganda.
    Has anybody ever changed their mind about anything on here? Even Billy G's damascene conversion to the political philosophy of an asphasiac Hartlepudlian publican was after the brexit nabka.
    I'm sure I have but I'm struggling to think what. I have certainly read some thought proking posts from many and not necessarily from my political view point.
    Ghastly as the Tory party is, I did hold an instinctive superstition that some form of pragmatic competence lurked under their scaly, saurian skin. Completely changed my mind on that.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,395
    Omnium said:

    HYUFD said:

    PJH said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Regarding Squareroot's view that things were equally bad, or worse in 2010: I appreciate that this is a not uncommon view.

    Never mind attacking Sunak, Labour should produce a set of posters and adverts which clearly paint the picture of how much better the period 1997-2010 was for the UK than 2010-2023/24 has been. It really wouldn't be hard, some simple graphs or simple statements of things like:

    - NHS waiting times
    - Real income
    - Debt (seriously, who'd have thought would be a higher share of GDP now than in 2010?)
    - Growth
    - Inflation
    - Immigration
    - House ownership %
    - Days lost to strikes

    I am sure PBers can think of a few others (number of Cabinet members prosecuted?)

    You'd have to exclude the 2008-10 period.

    The economy was in better shape, pre-2008, than now.
    Not only that but ignore the effects of Brexit, covid and war in Ukraine all in the last 3 years, which are the unique drivers to where we are today
    More excuses than a pregnant nun!
    Hard to face reality then
    I'm sure you were arguing that we should ignore the Global Financial Crisis when thinking about howe to vote back in 2010, Big_G ;-)

    In truth, every government faces unexpected events. Labour had 9/11, 7/7 and the GFC; Tories had Brexit, Covid, Ukraine.
    But Brexit was entirely of the Conservative Government's making.

    You can't put that down as an "act of God" unless your god is called Boris Johnson.
    Indeed true, but Big_G was using it as a reason for the Tories utter screw-up of the economy over the past 13 years, so I allowed him that one.

    Some Tories, of course, still cling to the idea that the GFC was all Labour's fault (in which case they had a mighty impressive ability to influence the global economy).

    Bottom line though, are there any PB posters, of whatever persuasion, who think the Tories have managed the economy at all well?
    I'd say that their economic management has been about average, for rich world governments, from 2010 to date.

    Almost every rich country has been dealt a rotten hand, over the past 13 years.

    Real criticism of the government lies elsewhere, IMHO. The corruption, the infighting, and the very odd sense of priorities, in terms of public spending. The almost wilful ineptititude with which they run institutions.
    I am curious about how the Tories get their reputation for good management of the economy? In my adult lifetime the only period of sustained econmic growth has come under Labour (1997-2007).

    I entered adulthood in the Thatcher years in the middle of a long recession. I started work on 1988 on a slight economic upswing from a low base but by the time we got to February 1989 things were on the down again and my friends seeking work a year behind me all really struggled to find jobs. We also had a burst of 10% inflation.

    The early 90s were grim, we fell out of the ERM, there was a property bust, and I lost my job twice in that period, and of my friends wasn't alone. I will concede that having made a complete pig's ear of everything Major and Clarke provided a steadier hand at the tiller from about 94 onwards but by then their reputation was in tatters anyway.

    The we get to 2010. I felt at the time that some austerity was needed for a while to balance the books. It was probably too much for too long even under the coalition, but once the restraining had of the LDs was removed it has been an utter shitshow.

    On the other hand under Labour not only did the economy grow, the public realm also visibly improved. The GFC revealed that they hadn't been attentive enough in building up reserves for a rainy day, as in fact they had done in the first few years. But overall 1997-2010 is a far better record than anything the Tories can point at, without even having to bother to look up statistics.

    Looking at the current Labour leadership, Starmer seems more of a conservative than anyone in the current Conservative Party. Yet "everyone" is scared of Labour trashing the economy. Why?
    Well Thatcher did cut strikes, slash the top income tax rate, rejuvinate Docklands, expand working class property ownership via council house sales and privatise inefficient nationalise industries. Major cut inflation.

    Unemployment now at 4% half the 8% unemployment Labour left in 2010
    AKA:

    Took away workers' rights
    Gave tax cuts to the rich
    Allowed the proceeds of a bullion robbery to be laundered through property development
    Sold off public assets on the cheap
    Sold off even more public assets on the cheap and pissed away the money
    Could you give me an example of a public asset sold cheaply?
    Council house. Much more cheaply than any discount for sitting tenant would justify.

    And, more recently, up north - vide Private Eye on Teesside.
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,188
    Dura_Ace said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    Oh indeed, but you’re going to be a lot more subtle if you want to actually change mind on this forum, rather than charging in like a bull in a china shop of propaganda.
    Has anybody ever changed their mind about anything on here? Even Billy G's damascene conversion to the political philosophy of an asphasiac Hartlepudlian publican was after the brexit nabka.
    I have changed my political viewpoint. I used to think that the Conservative philosophy was more effective and practical than Labour's. I loathed Tony Blair (and still do). I was mildly BOO as far as Europe was concerned.

    Nowadays, you would only make me vote Conservative if you used branding irons on me and I am as far from BOO as I possibly can be.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,395

    kjh said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    Oh indeed, but you’re going to be a lot more subtle if you want to actually change mind on this forum, rather than charging in like a bull in a china shop of propaganda.
    Has anybody ever changed their mind about anything on here? Even Billy G's damascene conversion to the political philosophy of an asphasiac Hartlepudlian publican was after the brexit nabka.
    I'm sure I have but I'm struggling to think what. I have certainly read some thought proking posts from many and not necessarily from my political view point.
    Ghastly as the Tory party is, I did hold an instinctive superstition that some form of pragmatic competence lurked under their scaly, saurian skin. Completely changed my mind on that.
    Unfair to Komodo monitors?
  • PhilPhil Posts: 2,337

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    We know Cameron used to read this site. Still does, perhaps.

    Has anyone else in high level politics admitted to a PB addiction?
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,690
    Carnyx said:

    Which of the Scots PBers kept asking me if I'd "done" Reston station (near the Border on the ECML)? @Theuniondivvie? @carnyx? @fairliered? Well, I visited it yesterday on my way back to London :)



    Possibly me, and congratulations! Nice photos again. Wonder where the stone is from? Could even be local-ish, as it seems to be a red sandstone.
    The local stone is Devonian Old Red Sandstone. Looks a good match.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,167
    Carnyx said:

    kjh said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    Oh indeed, but you’re going to be a lot more subtle if you want to actually change mind on this forum, rather than charging in like a bull in a china shop of propaganda.
    Has anybody ever changed their mind about anything on here? Even Billy G's damascene conversion to the political philosophy of an asphasiac Hartlepudlian publican was after the brexit nabka.
    I'm sure I have but I'm struggling to think what. I have certainly read some thought proking posts from many and not necessarily from my political view point.
    Ghastly as the Tory party is, I did hold an instinctive superstition that some form of pragmatic competence lurked under their scaly, saurian skin. Completely changed my mind on that.
    Unfair to Komodo monitors?
    At least Komodos only have toxic saliva, these feckers poison everything they touch.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,806

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    Oh indeed, but you’re going to be a lot more subtle if you want to actually change mind on this forum, rather than charging in like a bull in a china shop of propaganda.
    Youwould have thought they would have read my headers and learned how to be subtle.
    Of course we really sophisticated Russian trolls are biding our time, waiting until we get to 30,000+ posts before subtly undermining western democracy... Oh дерьмо!
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,417
    Dura_Ace said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    Oh indeed, but you’re going to be a lot more subtle if you want to actually change mind on this forum, rather than charging in like a bull in a china shop of propaganda.
    Has anybody ever changed their mind about anything on here? Even Billy G's damascene conversion to the political philosophy of an asphasiac Hartlepudlian publican was after the brexit nabka.
    i) The virtue of AV/PR.
    • Before: AV/PR is necessary to increase politial engagement
    • After: Dramatically increasing the number of FPTP constituencies (at least to 900 seats) is the way forward
    ii) House of Lords reform
    • Before: The lack of popular election is undemocratic
    • After: Two competing legislative bodies elected from the same demos is a recipe for stasis. The HoL should be reformed by appointing bodies from different demos, such as guilds, unions, universities, business, quangos, and even politics.
    There may be one or two others, but I can't think of them, and the two I've mentioned were initiated by links provided by PBers rather than themselves.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,690
    ClippP said:

    HYUFD said:

    PJH said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Regarding Squareroot's view that things were equally bad, or worse in 2010: I appreciate that this is a not uncommon view.

    Never mind attacking Sunak, Labour should produce a set of posters and adverts which clearly paint the picture of how much better the period 1997-2010 was for the UK than 2010-2023/24 has been. It really wouldn't be hard, some simple graphs or simple statements of things like:

    - NHS waiting times
    - Real income
    - Debt (seriously, who'd have thought would be a higher share of GDP now than in 2010?)
    - Growth
    - Inflation
    - Immigration
    - House ownership %
    - Days lost to strikes

    I am sure PBers can think of a few others (number of Cabinet members prosecuted?)

    You'd have to exclude the 2008-10 period.

    The economy was in better shape, pre-2008, than now.
    Not only that but ignore the effects of Brexit, covid and war in Ukraine all in the last 3 years, which are the unique drivers to where we are today
    More excuses than a pregnant nun!
    Hard to face reality then
    I'm sure you were arguing that we should ignore the Global Financial Crisis when thinking about howe to vote back in 2010, Big_G ;-)

    In truth, every government faces unexpected events. Labour had 9/11, 7/7 and the GFC; Tories had Brexit, Covid, Ukraine.
    But Brexit was entirely of the Conservative Government's making.

    You can't put that down as an "act of God" unless your god is called Boris Johnson.
    Indeed true, but Big_G was using it as a reason for the Tories utter screw-up of the economy over the past 13 years, so I allowed him that one.

    Some Tories, of course, still cling to the idea that the GFC was all Labour's fault (in which case they had a mighty impressive ability to influence the global economy).

    Bottom line though, are there any PB posters, of whatever persuasion, who think the Tories have managed the economy at all well?
    I'd say that their economic management has been about average, for rich world governments, from 2010 to date.

    Almost every rich country has been dealt a rotten hand, over the past 13 years.

    Real criticism of the government lies elsewhere, IMHO. The corruption, the infighting, and the very odd sense of priorities, in terms of public spending. The almost wilful ineptititude with which they run institutions.
    I am curious about how the Tories get their reputation for good management of the economy? In my adult lifetime the only period of sustained econmic growth has come under Labour (1997-2007).

    I entered adulthood in the Thatcher years in the middle of a long recession. I started work on 1988 on a slight economic upswing from a low base but by the time we got to February 1989 things were on the down again and my friends seeking work a year behind me all really struggled to find jobs. We also had a burst of 10% inflation.

    The early 90s were grim, we fell out of the ERM, there was a property bust, and I lost my job twice in that period, and of my friends wasn't alone. I will concede that having made a complete pig's ear of everything Major and Clarke provided a steadier hand at the tiller from about 94 onwards but by then their reputation was in tatters anyway.

    The we get to 2010. I felt at the time that some austerity was needed for a while to balance the books. It was probably too much for too long even under the coalition, but once the restraining had of the LDs was removed it has been an utter shitshow.

    On the other hand under Labour not only did the economy grow, the public realm also visibly improved. The GFC revealed that they hadn't been attentive enough in building up reserves for a rainy day, as in fact they had done in the first few years. But overall 1997-2010 is a far better record than anything the Tories can point at, without even having to bother to look up statistics.

    Looking at the current Labour leadership, Starmer seems more of a conservative than anyone in the current Conservative Party. Yet "everyone" is scared of Labour trashing the economy. Why?
    Well Thatcher did cut strikes, slash the top income tax rate, rejuvinate Docklands, expand working class property ownership via council house sales and privatise inefficient nationalise industries. Major cut inflation.

    Unemployment now at 4% half the 8% unemployment Labour left in 2010
    AKA:

    Took away workers' rights
    Gave tax cuts to the rich
    Allowed the proceeds of a bullion robbery to be laundered through property development
    Sold off public assets on the cheap
    Sold off even more public assets on the cheap and pissed away the money
    And squandered all the proceeds from North Sea Oil.
    Used the proceeds from North Sea Oil to deal with the transformation and modernisation of the economy away from uncompetitive heavy industries.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,395

    Carnyx said:

    Which of the Scots PBers kept asking me if I'd "done" Reston station (near the Border on the ECML)? @Theuniondivvie? @carnyx? @fairliered? Well, I visited it yesterday on my way back to London :)



    Possibly me, and congratulations! Nice photos again. Wonder where the stone is from? Could even be local-ish, as it seems to be a red sandstone.
    The local stone is Devonian Old Red Sandstone. Looks a good match.
    Exactly what I was thinking. But it could be New Red from over west - somewhere like Locharbriggs. Fits well into the area, anyway, with a decent visual match as you say.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,806
    Nigelb said:

    Miklosvar said:

    Bezos will be gutted that Amazon has failed to deliver.

    I had hoped he would be on the site for longer, but he was struck down in his Prime.
    Red rather than blue origin, though.
    Interesting point. Is Russia a left-wing state or a right-wing state?

    (I think we all know the answer to that one.)
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,806

    ClippP said:

    HYUFD said:

    PJH said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Regarding Squareroot's view that things were equally bad, or worse in 2010: I appreciate that this is a not uncommon view.

    Never mind attacking Sunak, Labour should produce a set of posters and adverts which clearly paint the picture of how much better the period 1997-2010 was for the UK than 2010-2023/24 has been. It really wouldn't be hard, some simple graphs or simple statements of things like:

    - NHS waiting times
    - Real income
    - Debt (seriously, who'd have thought would be a higher share of GDP now than in 2010?)
    - Growth
    - Inflation
    - Immigration
    - House ownership %
    - Days lost to strikes

    I am sure PBers can think of a few others (number of Cabinet members prosecuted?)

    You'd have to exclude the 2008-10 period.

    The economy was in better shape, pre-2008, than now.
    Not only that but ignore the effects of Brexit, covid and war in Ukraine all in the last 3 years, which are the unique drivers to where we are today
    More excuses than a pregnant nun!
    Hard to face reality then
    I'm sure you were arguing that we should ignore the Global Financial Crisis when thinking about howe to vote back in 2010, Big_G ;-)

    In truth, every government faces unexpected events. Labour had 9/11, 7/7 and the GFC; Tories had Brexit, Covid, Ukraine.
    But Brexit was entirely of the Conservative Government's making.

    You can't put that down as an "act of God" unless your god is called Boris Johnson.
    Indeed true, but Big_G was using it as a reason for the Tories utter screw-up of the economy over the past 13 years, so I allowed him that one.

    Some Tories, of course, still cling to the idea that the GFC was all Labour's fault (in which case they had a mighty impressive ability to influence the global economy).

    Bottom line though, are there any PB posters, of whatever persuasion, who think the Tories have managed the economy at all well?
    I'd say that their economic management has been about average, for rich world governments, from 2010 to date.

    Almost every rich country has been dealt a rotten hand, over the past 13 years.

    Real criticism of the government lies elsewhere, IMHO. The corruption, the infighting, and the very odd sense of priorities, in terms of public spending. The almost wilful ineptititude with which they run institutions.
    I am curious about how the Tories get their reputation for good management of the economy? In my adult lifetime the only period of sustained econmic growth has come under Labour (1997-2007).

    I entered adulthood in the Thatcher years in the middle of a long recession. I started work on 1988 on a slight economic upswing from a low base but by the time we got to February 1989 things were on the down again and my friends seeking work a year behind me all really struggled to find jobs. We also had a burst of 10% inflation.

    The early 90s were grim, we fell out of the ERM, there was a property bust, and I lost my job twice in that period, and of my friends wasn't alone. I will concede that having made a complete pig's ear of everything Major and Clarke provided a steadier hand at the tiller from about 94 onwards but by then their reputation was in tatters anyway.

    The we get to 2010. I felt at the time that some austerity was needed for a while to balance the books. It was probably too much for too long even under the coalition, but once the restraining had of the LDs was removed it has been an utter shitshow.

    On the other hand under Labour not only did the economy grow, the public realm also visibly improved. The GFC revealed that they hadn't been attentive enough in building up reserves for a rainy day, as in fact they had done in the first few years. But overall 1997-2010 is a far better record than anything the Tories can point at, without even having to bother to look up statistics.

    Looking at the current Labour leadership, Starmer seems more of a conservative than anyone in the current Conservative Party. Yet "everyone" is scared of Labour trashing the economy. Why?
    Well Thatcher did cut strikes, slash the top income tax rate, rejuvinate Docklands, expand working class property ownership via council house sales and privatise inefficient nationalise industries. Major cut inflation.

    Unemployment now at 4% half the 8% unemployment Labour left in 2010
    AKA:

    Took away workers' rights
    Gave tax cuts to the rich
    Allowed the proceeds of a bullion robbery to be laundered through property development
    Sold off public assets on the cheap
    Sold off even more public assets on the cheap and pissed away the money
    And squandered all the proceeds from North Sea Oil.
    Used the proceeds from North Sea Oil to deal with the transformation and modernisation of the economy away from uncompetitive heavy industries.
    Uh-huh? Good job Germany had all that North Sea Oil too then.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 72,263
    Omnium said:

    HYUFD said:

    PJH said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Regarding Squareroot's view that things were equally bad, or worse in 2010: I appreciate that this is a not uncommon view.

    Never mind attacking Sunak, Labour should produce a set of posters and adverts which clearly paint the picture of how much better the period 1997-2010 was for the UK than 2010-2023/24 has been. It really wouldn't be hard, some simple graphs or simple statements of things like:

    - NHS waiting times
    - Real income
    - Debt (seriously, who'd have thought would be a higher share of GDP now than in 2010?)
    - Growth
    - Inflation
    - Immigration
    - House ownership %
    - Days lost to strikes

    I am sure PBers can think of a few others (number of Cabinet members prosecuted?)

    You'd have to exclude the 2008-10 period.

    The economy was in better shape, pre-2008, than now.
    Not only that but ignore the effects of Brexit, covid and war in Ukraine all in the last 3 years, which are the unique drivers to where we are today
    More excuses than a pregnant nun!
    Hard to face reality then
    I'm sure you were arguing that we should ignore the Global Financial Crisis when thinking about howe to vote back in 2010, Big_G ;-)

    In truth, every government faces unexpected events. Labour had 9/11, 7/7 and the GFC; Tories had Brexit, Covid, Ukraine.
    But Brexit was entirely of the Conservative Government's making.

    You can't put that down as an "act of God" unless your god is called Boris Johnson.
    Indeed true, but Big_G was using it as a reason for the Tories utter screw-up of the economy over the past 13 years, so I allowed him that one.

    Some Tories, of course, still cling to the idea that the GFC was all Labour's fault (in which case they had a mighty impressive ability to influence the global economy).

    Bottom line though, are there any PB posters, of whatever persuasion, who think the Tories have managed the economy at all well?
    I'd say that their economic management has been about average, for rich world governments, from 2010 to date.

    Almost every rich country has been dealt a rotten hand, over the past 13 years.

    Real criticism of the government lies elsewhere, IMHO. The corruption, the infighting, and the very odd sense of priorities, in terms of public spending. The almost wilful ineptititude with which they run institutions.
    I am curious about how the Tories get their reputation for good management of the economy? In my adult lifetime the only period of sustained econmic growth has come under Labour (1997-2007).

    I entered adulthood in the Thatcher years in the middle of a long recession. I started work on 1988 on a slight economic upswing from a low base but by the time we got to February 1989 things were on the down again and my friends seeking work a year behind me all really struggled to find jobs. We also had a burst of 10% inflation.

    The early 90s were grim, we fell out of the ERM, there was a property bust, and I lost my job twice in that period, and of my friends wasn't alone. I will concede that having made a complete pig's ear of everything Major and Clarke provided a steadier hand at the tiller from about 94 onwards but by then their reputation was in tatters anyway.

    The we get to 2010. I felt at the time that some austerity was needed for a while to balance the books. It was probably too much for too long even under the coalition, but once the restraining had of the LDs was removed it has been an utter shitshow.

    On the other hand under Labour not only did the economy grow, the public realm also visibly improved. The GFC revealed that they hadn't been attentive enough in building up reserves for a rainy day, as in fact they had done in the first few years. But overall 1997-2010 is a far better record than anything the Tories can point at, without even having to bother to look up statistics.

    Looking at the current Labour leadership, Starmer seems more of a conservative than anyone in the current Conservative Party. Yet "everyone" is scared of Labour trashing the economy. Why?
    Well Thatcher did cut strikes, slash the top income tax rate, rejuvinate Docklands, expand working class property ownership via council house sales and privatise inefficient nationalise industries. Major cut inflation.

    Unemployment now at 4% half the 8% unemployment Labour left in 2010
    AKA:

    Took away workers' rights
    Gave tax cuts to the rich
    Allowed the proceeds of a bullion robbery to be laundered through property development
    Sold off public assets on the cheap
    Sold off even more public assets on the cheap and pissed away the money
    Could you give me an example of a public asset sold cheaply?
    What were the total receipts for the water companies, and how much have they paid out in dividends ?
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,690

    ClippP said:

    HYUFD said:

    PJH said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Regarding Squareroot's view that things were equally bad, or worse in 2010: I appreciate that this is a not uncommon view.

    Never mind attacking Sunak, Labour should produce a set of posters and adverts which clearly paint the picture of how much better the period 1997-2010 was for the UK than 2010-2023/24 has been. It really wouldn't be hard, some simple graphs or simple statements of things like:

    - NHS waiting times
    - Real income
    - Debt (seriously, who'd have thought would be a higher share of GDP now than in 2010?)
    - Growth
    - Inflation
    - Immigration
    - House ownership %
    - Days lost to strikes

    I am sure PBers can think of a few others (number of Cabinet members prosecuted?)

    You'd have to exclude the 2008-10 period.

    The economy was in better shape, pre-2008, than now.
    Not only that but ignore the effects of Brexit, covid and war in Ukraine all in the last 3 years, which are the unique drivers to where we are today
    More excuses than a pregnant nun!
    Hard to face reality then
    I'm sure you were arguing that we should ignore the Global Financial Crisis when thinking about howe to vote back in 2010, Big_G ;-)

    In truth, every government faces unexpected events. Labour had 9/11, 7/7 and the GFC; Tories had Brexit, Covid, Ukraine.
    But Brexit was entirely of the Conservative Government's making.

    You can't put that down as an "act of God" unless your god is called Boris Johnson.
    Indeed true, but Big_G was using it as a reason for the Tories utter screw-up of the economy over the past 13 years, so I allowed him that one.

    Some Tories, of course, still cling to the idea that the GFC was all Labour's fault (in which case they had a mighty impressive ability to influence the global economy).

    Bottom line though, are there any PB posters, of whatever persuasion, who think the Tories have managed the economy at all well?
    I'd say that their economic management has been about average, for rich world governments, from 2010 to date.

    Almost every rich country has been dealt a rotten hand, over the past 13 years.

    Real criticism of the government lies elsewhere, IMHO. The corruption, the infighting, and the very odd sense of priorities, in terms of public spending. The almost wilful ineptititude with which they run institutions.
    I am curious about how the Tories get their reputation for good management of the economy? In my adult lifetime the only period of sustained econmic growth has come under Labour (1997-2007).

    I entered adulthood in the Thatcher years in the middle of a long recession. I started work on 1988 on a slight economic upswing from a low base but by the time we got to February 1989 things were on the down again and my friends seeking work a year behind me all really struggled to find jobs. We also had a burst of 10% inflation.

    The early 90s were grim, we fell out of the ERM, there was a property bust, and I lost my job twice in that period, and of my friends wasn't alone. I will concede that having made a complete pig's ear of everything Major and Clarke provided a steadier hand at the tiller from about 94 onwards but by then their reputation was in tatters anyway.

    The we get to 2010. I felt at the time that some austerity was needed for a while to balance the books. It was probably too much for too long even under the coalition, but once the restraining had of the LDs was removed it has been an utter shitshow.

    On the other hand under Labour not only did the economy grow, the public realm also visibly improved. The GFC revealed that they hadn't been attentive enough in building up reserves for a rainy day, as in fact they had done in the first few years. But overall 1997-2010 is a far better record than anything the Tories can point at, without even having to bother to look up statistics.

    Looking at the current Labour leadership, Starmer seems more of a conservative than anyone in the current Conservative Party. Yet "everyone" is scared of Labour trashing the economy. Why?
    Well Thatcher did cut strikes, slash the top income tax rate, rejuvinate Docklands, expand working class property ownership via council house sales and privatise inefficient nationalise industries. Major cut inflation.

    Unemployment now at 4% half the 8% unemployment Labour left in 2010
    AKA:

    Took away workers' rights
    Gave tax cuts to the rich
    Allowed the proceeds of a bullion robbery to be laundered through property development
    Sold off public assets on the cheap
    Sold off even more public assets on the cheap and pissed away the money
    And squandered all the proceeds from North Sea Oil.
    Used the proceeds from North Sea Oil to deal with the transformation and modernisation of the economy away from uncompetitive heavy industries.
    Uh-huh? Good job Germany had all that North Sea Oil too then.
    Germany had an industrial base that had been completely rebuilt by the allies only 30 years earlier. There really was no comparison.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,232
    Omnium said:

    HYUFD said:

    PJH said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Regarding Squareroot's view that things were equally bad, or worse in 2010: I appreciate that this is a not uncommon view.

    Never mind attacking Sunak, Labour should produce a set of posters and adverts which clearly paint the picture of how much better the period 1997-2010 was for the UK than 2010-2023/24 has been. It really wouldn't be hard, some simple graphs or simple statements of things like:

    - NHS waiting times
    - Real income
    - Debt (seriously, who'd have thought would be a higher share of GDP now than in 2010?)
    - Growth
    - Inflation
    - Immigration
    - House ownership %
    - Days lost to strikes

    I am sure PBers can think of a few others (number of Cabinet members prosecuted?)

    You'd have to exclude the 2008-10 period.

    The economy was in better shape, pre-2008, than now.
    Not only that but ignore the effects of Brexit, covid and war in Ukraine all in the last 3 years, which are the unique drivers to where we are today
    More excuses than a pregnant nun!
    Hard to face reality then
    I'm sure you were arguing that we should ignore the Global Financial Crisis when thinking about howe to vote back in 2010, Big_G ;-)

    In truth, every government faces unexpected events. Labour had 9/11, 7/7 and the GFC; Tories had Brexit, Covid, Ukraine.
    But Brexit was entirely of the Conservative Government's making.

    You can't put that down as an "act of God" unless your god is called Boris Johnson.
    Indeed true, but Big_G was using it as a reason for the Tories utter screw-up of the economy over the past 13 years, so I allowed him that one.

    Some Tories, of course, still cling to the idea that the GFC was all Labour's fault (in which case they had a mighty impressive ability to influence the global economy).

    Bottom line though, are there any PB posters, of whatever persuasion, who think the Tories have managed the economy at all well?
    I'd say that their economic management has been about average, for rich world governments, from 2010 to date.

    Almost every rich country has been dealt a rotten hand, over the past 13 years.

    Real criticism of the government lies elsewhere, IMHO. The corruption, the infighting, and the very odd sense of priorities, in terms of public spending. The almost wilful ineptititude with which they run institutions.
    I am curious about how the Tories get their reputation for good management of the economy? In my adult lifetime the only period of sustained econmic growth has come under Labour (1997-2007).

    I entered adulthood in the Thatcher years in the middle of a long recession. I started work on 1988 on a slight economic upswing from a low base but by the time we got to February 1989 things were on the down again and my friends seeking work a year behind me all really struggled to find jobs. We also had a burst of 10% inflation.

    The early 90s were grim, we fell out of the ERM, there was a property bust, and I lost my job twice in that period, and of my friends wasn't alone. I will concede that having made a complete pig's ear of everything Major and Clarke provided a steadier hand at the tiller from about 94 onwards but by then their reputation was in tatters anyway.

    The we get to 2010. I felt at the time that some austerity was needed for a while to balance the books. It was probably too much for too long even under the coalition, but once the restraining had of the LDs was removed it has been an utter shitshow.

    On the other hand under Labour not only did the economy grow, the public realm also visibly improved. The GFC revealed that they hadn't been attentive enough in building up reserves for a rainy day, as in fact they had done in the first few years. But overall 1997-2010 is a far better record than anything the Tories can point at, without even having to bother to look up statistics.

    Looking at the current Labour leadership, Starmer seems more of a conservative than anyone in the current Conservative Party. Yet "everyone" is scared of Labour trashing the economy. Why?
    Well Thatcher did cut strikes, slash the top income tax rate, rejuvinate Docklands, expand working class property ownership via council house sales and privatise inefficient nationalise industries. Major cut inflation.

    Unemployment now at 4% half the 8% unemployment Labour left in 2010
    AKA:

    Took away workers' rights
    Gave tax cuts to the rich
    Allowed the proceeds of a bullion robbery to be laundered through property development
    Sold off public assets on the cheap
    Sold off even more public assets on the cheap and pissed away the money
    Could you give me an example of a public asset sold cheaply?
    Council houses. Sold at a discount to market value.

    All those public utilities where the share price took a considerable leap on the first day of trading.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,690

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    Oh indeed, but you’re going to be a lot more subtle if you want to actually change mind on this forum, rather than charging in like a bull in a china shop of propaganda.
    Youwould have thought they would have read my headers and learned how to be subtle.
    Of course we really sophisticated Russian trolls are biding our time, waiting until we get to 30,000+ posts before subtly undermining western democracy... Oh дерьмо!
    Quiet comrade. You will give us away!
  • stodgestodge Posts: 13,992
    Omnium said:

    HYUFD said:

    PJH said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Regarding Squareroot's view that things were equally bad, or worse in 2010: I appreciate that this is a not uncommon view.

    Never mind attacking Sunak, Labour should produce a set of posters and adverts which clearly paint the picture of how much better the period 1997-2010 was for the UK than 2010-2023/24 has been. It really wouldn't be hard, some simple graphs or simple statements of things like:

    - NHS waiting times
    - Real income
    - Debt (seriously, who'd have thought would be a higher share of GDP now than in 2010?)
    - Growth
    - Inflation
    - Immigration
    - House ownership %
    - Days lost to strikes

    I am sure PBers can think of a few others (number of Cabinet members prosecuted?)

    You'd have to exclude the 2008-10 period.

    The economy was in better shape, pre-2008, than now.
    Not only that but ignore the effects of Brexit, covid and war in Ukraine all in the last 3 years, which are the unique drivers to where we are today
    More excuses than a pregnant nun!
    Hard to face reality then
    I'm sure you were arguing that we should ignore the Global Financial Crisis when thinking about howe to vote back in 2010, Big_G ;-)

    In truth, every government faces unexpected events. Labour had 9/11, 7/7 and the GFC; Tories had Brexit, Covid, Ukraine.
    But Brexit was entirely of the Conservative Government's making.

    You can't put that down as an "act of God" unless your god is called Boris Johnson.
    Indeed true, but Big_G was using it as a reason for the Tories utter screw-up of the economy over the past 13 years, so I allowed him that one.

    Some Tories, of course, still cling to the idea that the GFC was all Labour's fault (in which case they had a mighty impressive ability to influence the global economy).

    Bottom line though, are there any PB posters, of whatever persuasion, who think the Tories have managed the economy at all well?
    I'd say that their economic management has been about average, for rich world governments, from 2010 to date.

    Almost every rich country has been dealt a rotten hand, over the past 13 years.

    Real criticism of the government lies elsewhere, IMHO. The corruption, the infighting, and the very odd sense of priorities, in terms of public spending. The almost wilful ineptititude with which they run institutions.
    I am curious about how the Tories get their reputation for good management of the economy? In my adult lifetime the only period of sustained econmic growth has come under Labour (1997-2007).

    I entered adulthood in the Thatcher years in the middle of a long recession. I started work on 1988 on a slight economic upswing from a low base but by the time we got to February 1989 things were on the down again and my friends seeking work a year behind me all really struggled to find jobs. We also had a burst of 10% inflation.

    The early 90s were grim, we fell out of the ERM, there was a property bust, and I lost my job twice in that period, and of my friends wasn't alone. I will concede that having made a complete pig's ear of everything Major and Clarke provided a steadier hand at the tiller from about 94 onwards but by then their reputation was in tatters anyway.

    The we get to 2010. I felt at the time that some austerity was needed for a while to balance the books. It was probably too much for too long even under the coalition, but once the restraining had of the LDs was removed it has been an utter shitshow.

    On the other hand under Labour not only did the economy grow, the public realm also visibly improved. The GFC revealed that they hadn't been attentive enough in building up reserves for a rainy day, as in fact they had done in the first few years. But overall 1997-2010 is a far better record than anything the Tories can point at, without even having to bother to look up statistics.

    Looking at the current Labour leadership, Starmer seems more of a conservative than anyone in the current Conservative Party. Yet "everyone" is scared of Labour trashing the economy. Why?
    Well Thatcher did cut strikes, slash the top income tax rate, rejuvinate Docklands, expand working class property ownership via council house sales and privatise inefficient nationalise industries. Major cut inflation.

    Unemployment now at 4% half the 8% unemployment Labour left in 2010
    AKA:

    Took away workers' rights
    Gave tax cuts to the rich
    Allowed the proceeds of a bullion robbery to be laundered through property development
    Sold off public assets on the cheap
    Sold off even more public assets on the cheap and pissed away the money
    Could you give me an example of a public asset sold cheaply?
    BP and BT - you can have two.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,395

    Omnium said:

    HYUFD said:

    PJH said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Regarding Squareroot's view that things were equally bad, or worse in 2010: I appreciate that this is a not uncommon view.

    Never mind attacking Sunak, Labour should produce a set of posters and adverts which clearly paint the picture of how much better the period 1997-2010 was for the UK than 2010-2023/24 has been. It really wouldn't be hard, some simple graphs or simple statements of things like:

    - NHS waiting times
    - Real income
    - Debt (seriously, who'd have thought would be a higher share of GDP now than in 2010?)
    - Growth
    - Inflation
    - Immigration
    - House ownership %
    - Days lost to strikes

    I am sure PBers can think of a few others (number of Cabinet members prosecuted?)

    You'd have to exclude the 2008-10 period.

    The economy was in better shape, pre-2008, than now.
    Not only that but ignore the effects of Brexit, covid and war in Ukraine all in the last 3 years, which are the unique drivers to where we are today
    More excuses than a pregnant nun!
    Hard to face reality then
    I'm sure you were arguing that we should ignore the Global Financial Crisis when thinking about howe to vote back in 2010, Big_G ;-)

    In truth, every government faces unexpected events. Labour had 9/11, 7/7 and the GFC; Tories had Brexit, Covid, Ukraine.
    But Brexit was entirely of the Conservative Government's making.

    You can't put that down as an "act of God" unless your god is called Boris Johnson.
    Indeed true, but Big_G was using it as a reason for the Tories utter screw-up of the economy over the past 13 years, so I allowed him that one.

    Some Tories, of course, still cling to the idea that the GFC was all Labour's fault (in which case they had a mighty impressive ability to influence the global economy).

    Bottom line though, are there any PB posters, of whatever persuasion, who think the Tories have managed the economy at all well?
    I'd say that their economic management has been about average, for rich world governments, from 2010 to date.

    Almost every rich country has been dealt a rotten hand, over the past 13 years.

    Real criticism of the government lies elsewhere, IMHO. The corruption, the infighting, and the very odd sense of priorities, in terms of public spending. The almost wilful ineptititude with which they run institutions.
    I am curious about how the Tories get their reputation for good management of the economy? In my adult lifetime the only period of sustained econmic growth has come under Labour (1997-2007).

    I entered adulthood in the Thatcher years in the middle of a long recession. I started work on 1988 on a slight economic upswing from a low base but by the time we got to February 1989 things were on the down again and my friends seeking work a year behind me all really struggled to find jobs. We also had a burst of 10% inflation.

    The early 90s were grim, we fell out of the ERM, there was a property bust, and I lost my job twice in that period, and of my friends wasn't alone. I will concede that having made a complete pig's ear of everything Major and Clarke provided a steadier hand at the tiller from about 94 onwards but by then their reputation was in tatters anyway.

    The we get to 2010. I felt at the time that some austerity was needed for a while to balance the books. It was probably too much for too long even under the coalition, but once the restraining had of the LDs was removed it has been an utter shitshow.

    On the other hand under Labour not only did the economy grow, the public realm also visibly improved. The GFC revealed that they hadn't been attentive enough in building up reserves for a rainy day, as in fact they had done in the first few years. But overall 1997-2010 is a far better record than anything the Tories can point at, without even having to bother to look up statistics.

    Looking at the current Labour leadership, Starmer seems more of a conservative than anyone in the current Conservative Party. Yet "everyone" is scared of Labour trashing the economy. Why?
    Well Thatcher did cut strikes, slash the top income tax rate, rejuvinate Docklands, expand working class property ownership via council house sales and privatise inefficient nationalise industries. Major cut inflation.

    Unemployment now at 4% half the 8% unemployment Labour left in 2010
    AKA:

    Took away workers' rights
    Gave tax cuts to the rich
    Allowed the proceeds of a bullion robbery to be laundered through property development
    Sold off public assets on the cheap
    Sold off even more public assets on the cheap and pissed away the money
    Could you give me an example of a public asset sold cheaply?
    Council houses. Sold at a discount to market value.

    All those public utilities where the share price took a considerable leap on the first day of trading.
    Yes, so much so that even the odd MP was caught out trying to buy houses and share allocations which he shouldn't have been doing.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,806
    Dura_Ace said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    Oh indeed, but you’re going to be a lot more subtle if you want to actually change mind on this forum, rather than charging in like a bull in a china shop of propaganda.
    Has anybody ever changed their mind about anything on here? Even Billy G's damascene conversion to the political philosophy of an asphasiac Hartlepudlian publican was after the brexit nabka.
    I changed my mind about Corbyn mainly due to the arguments on here.

    I might well have realised what an arse he is anyway due to his own actions but there was a time when I thought he might be good for the country.
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,188
    Phil said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    We know Cameron used to read this site. Still does, perhaps.

    Has anyone else in high level politics admitted to a PB addiction?
    It was rumoured that a very well known Labour politician used to post under the handle "Snowflake". Her online blog has not seen any new posts since 2014 (because I just checked)
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,690
    edited July 2023

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    Oh indeed, but you’re going to be a lot more subtle if you want to actually change mind on this forum, rather than charging in like a bull in a china shop of propaganda.
    Youwould have thought they would have read my headers and learned how to be subtle.
    Of course we really sophisticated Russian trolls are biding our time, waiting until we get to 30,000+ posts before subtly undermining western democracy... Oh дерьмо!
    Quiet comrade. You will give us away!
    Which reminds me yet again of a fantastic Stanislaw Lem story. A human spy is sent to a planet inhabited entirely by robots. He is, obviously, disguised as a robot. Every time a human spy is caught he is tortured and killed.

    Eventually the human spy is indeed caught and it is whilst he is being tortured that he finally realises that all the robots torturing him are humans in disguise. They all think everyone else is a robot and so won't dare reveal themselves. He comes to realise there are no robots left on the planet. Only humans pretending. They all have to be as vicious as possible to prevent giving themselves away.

    Given this was written in Poland the middle of the Cold War this was a remarkably brave story.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,606
    Temperatures in Israel. These are extreme



  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,232
    With the rest of the northern hemisphere enduring a heat wave, how come autumn has arrived two months early in Blighty?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,606
    It would be the greatest irony in human history if it turns out NO ONE wants to live in The Promised Land because it is too bloody hot
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,806

    ClippP said:

    HYUFD said:

    PJH said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Regarding Squareroot's view that things were equally bad, or worse in 2010: I appreciate that this is a not uncommon view.

    Never mind attacking Sunak, Labour should produce a set of posters and adverts which clearly paint the picture of how much better the period 1997-2010 was for the UK than 2010-2023/24 has been. It really wouldn't be hard, some simple graphs or simple statements of things like:

    - NHS waiting times
    - Real income
    - Debt (seriously, who'd have thought would be a higher share of GDP now than in 2010?)
    - Growth
    - Inflation
    - Immigration
    - House ownership %
    - Days lost to strikes

    I am sure PBers can think of a few others (number of Cabinet members prosecuted?)

    You'd have to exclude the 2008-10 period.

    The economy was in better shape, pre-2008, than now.
    Not only that but ignore the effects of Brexit, covid and war in Ukraine all in the last 3 years, which are the unique drivers to where we are today
    More excuses than a pregnant nun!
    Hard to face reality then
    I'm sure you were arguing that we should ignore the Global Financial Crisis when thinking about howe to vote back in 2010, Big_G ;-)

    In truth, every government faces unexpected events. Labour had 9/11, 7/7 and the GFC; Tories had Brexit, Covid, Ukraine.
    But Brexit was entirely of the Conservative Government's making.

    You can't put that down as an "act of God" unless your god is called Boris Johnson.
    Indeed true, but Big_G was using it as a reason for the Tories utter screw-up of the economy over the past 13 years, so I allowed him that one.

    Some Tories, of course, still cling to the idea that the GFC was all Labour's fault (in which case they had a mighty impressive ability to influence the global economy).

    Bottom line though, are there any PB posters, of whatever persuasion, who think the Tories have managed the economy at all well?
    I'd say that their economic management has been about average, for rich world governments, from 2010 to date.

    Almost every rich country has been dealt a rotten hand, over the past 13 years.

    Real criticism of the government lies elsewhere, IMHO. The corruption, the infighting, and the very odd sense of priorities, in terms of public spending. The almost wilful ineptititude with which they run institutions.
    I am curious about how the Tories get their reputation for good management of the economy? In my adult lifetime the only period of sustained econmic growth has come under Labour (1997-2007).

    I entered adulthood in the Thatcher years in the middle of a long recession. I started work on 1988 on a slight economic upswing from a low base but by the time we got to February 1989 things were on the down again and my friends seeking work a year behind me all really struggled to find jobs. We also had a burst of 10% inflation.

    The early 90s were grim, we fell out of the ERM, there was a property bust, and I lost my job twice in that period, and of my friends wasn't alone. I will concede that having made a complete pig's ear of everything Major and Clarke provided a steadier hand at the tiller from about 94 onwards but by then their reputation was in tatters anyway.

    The we get to 2010. I felt at the time that some austerity was needed for a while to balance the books. It was probably too much for too long even under the coalition, but once the restraining had of the LDs was removed it has been an utter shitshow.

    On the other hand under Labour not only did the economy grow, the public realm also visibly improved. The GFC revealed that they hadn't been attentive enough in building up reserves for a rainy day, as in fact they had done in the first few years. But overall 1997-2010 is a far better record than anything the Tories can point at, without even having to bother to look up statistics.

    Looking at the current Labour leadership, Starmer seems more of a conservative than anyone in the current Conservative Party. Yet "everyone" is scared of Labour trashing the economy. Why?
    Well Thatcher did cut strikes, slash the top income tax rate, rejuvinate Docklands, expand working class property ownership via council house sales and privatise inefficient nationalise industries. Major cut inflation.

    Unemployment now at 4% half the 8% unemployment Labour left in 2010
    AKA:

    Took away workers' rights
    Gave tax cuts to the rich
    Allowed the proceeds of a bullion robbery to be laundered through property development
    Sold off public assets on the cheap
    Sold off even more public assets on the cheap and pissed away the money
    And squandered all the proceeds from North Sea Oil.
    Used the proceeds from North Sea Oil to deal with the transformation and modernisation of the economy away from uncompetitive heavy industries.
    Uh-huh? Good job Germany had all that North Sea Oil too then.
    Germany had an industrial base that had been completely rebuilt by the allies only 30 years earlier. There really was no comparison.
    Is there then, in your opinion, any possible comparable country? If not, it's hard to prove your incorrect argument without a window into the alternative universe where a UK PM made sensible use of the North Sea Oil bonanza.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,149
    Andy_JS said:

    The Wimbledon final is number 6 versus 42 in terms of ranking.

    They keep breaking each other's serves!
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,149

    With the rest of the northern hemisphere enduring a heat wave, how come autumn has arrived two months early in Blighty?

    I blame @Leon. Or maybe Boris.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,606

    With the rest of the northern hemisphere enduring a heat wave, how come autumn has arrived two months early in Blighty?

    They are related events. A huge anti cyclone is parked over the British isles giving us stiff wind, cool conditions and blustery rain. The exact same winds are ripping up broiling air from Africa and dumping it on the rest of Europe
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,690
    stodge said:

    Omnium said:

    HYUFD said:

    PJH said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Regarding Squareroot's view that things were equally bad, or worse in 2010: I appreciate that this is a not uncommon view.

    Never mind attacking Sunak, Labour should produce a set of posters and adverts which clearly paint the picture of how much better the period 1997-2010 was for the UK than 2010-2023/24 has been. It really wouldn't be hard, some simple graphs or simple statements of things like:

    - NHS waiting times
    - Real income
    - Debt (seriously, who'd have thought would be a higher share of GDP now than in 2010?)
    - Growth
    - Inflation
    - Immigration
    - House ownership %
    - Days lost to strikes

    I am sure PBers can think of a few others (number of Cabinet members prosecuted?)

    You'd have to exclude the 2008-10 period.

    The economy was in better shape, pre-2008, than now.
    Not only that but ignore the effects of Brexit, covid and war in Ukraine all in the last 3 years, which are the unique drivers to where we are today
    More excuses than a pregnant nun!
    Hard to face reality then
    I'm sure you were arguing that we should ignore the Global Financial Crisis when thinking about howe to vote back in 2010, Big_G ;-)

    In truth, every government faces unexpected events. Labour had 9/11, 7/7 and the GFC; Tories had Brexit, Covid, Ukraine.
    But Brexit was entirely of the Conservative Government's making.

    You can't put that down as an "act of God" unless your god is called Boris Johnson.
    Indeed true, but Big_G was using it as a reason for the Tories utter screw-up of the economy over the past 13 years, so I allowed him that one.

    Some Tories, of course, still cling to the idea that the GFC was all Labour's fault (in which case they had a mighty impressive ability to influence the global economy).

    Bottom line though, are there any PB posters, of whatever persuasion, who think the Tories have managed the economy at all well?
    I'd say that their economic management has been about average, for rich world governments, from 2010 to date.

    Almost every rich country has been dealt a rotten hand, over the past 13 years.

    Real criticism of the government lies elsewhere, IMHO. The corruption, the infighting, and the very odd sense of priorities, in terms of public spending. The almost wilful ineptititude with which they run institutions.
    I am curious about how the Tories get their reputation for good management of the economy? In my adult lifetime the only period of sustained econmic growth has come under Labour (1997-2007).

    I entered adulthood in the Thatcher years in the middle of a long recession. I started work on 1988 on a slight economic upswing from a low base but by the time we got to February 1989 things were on the down again and my friends seeking work a year behind me all really struggled to find jobs. We also had a burst of 10% inflation.

    The early 90s were grim, we fell out of the ERM, there was a property bust, and I lost my job twice in that period, and of my friends wasn't alone. I will concede that having made a complete pig's ear of everything Major and Clarke provided a steadier hand at the tiller from about 94 onwards but by then their reputation was in tatters anyway.

    The we get to 2010. I felt at the time that some austerity was needed for a while to balance the books. It was probably too much for too long even under the coalition, but once the restraining had of the LDs was removed it has been an utter shitshow.

    On the other hand under Labour not only did the economy grow, the public realm also visibly improved. The GFC revealed that they hadn't been attentive enough in building up reserves for a rainy day, as in fact they had done in the first few years. But overall 1997-2010 is a far better record than anything the Tories can point at, without even having to bother to look up statistics.

    Looking at the current Labour leadership, Starmer seems more of a conservative than anyone in the current Conservative Party. Yet "everyone" is scared of Labour trashing the economy. Why?
    Well Thatcher did cut strikes, slash the top income tax rate, rejuvinate Docklands, expand working class property ownership via council house sales and privatise inefficient nationalise industries. Major cut inflation.

    Unemployment now at 4% half the 8% unemployment Labour left in 2010
    AKA:

    Took away workers' rights
    Gave tax cuts to the rich
    Allowed the proceeds of a bullion robbery to be laundered through property development
    Sold off public assets on the cheap
    Sold off even more public assets on the cheap and pissed away the money
    Could you give me an example of a public asset sold cheaply?
    BP and BT - you can have two.
    BP had already been partially privatised by Labour from 1976 onwards. By the time Thatcher sold the rest the Government holding was only 51% so the value it was sold at was a market value.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,035
    kjh said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    My Indian colleagues in IT joke about the attitude in the low end contracting stuff from Mumbai. They cheerlead for whatever the guy who pays, says.

    So vehement enthusiast for NoSQL on one project. While Oracle is the Only Way on another project they are working on. At the same time.

    The acting level is very good - to a naive person it would, indeed, seem like belief.
    I saw the same many decades ago at a large computer company I worked at. At the product release (to the salesmen) the salesman used to lap it up. Loads of whooping. Sometime later when I got to know a few of them I asked them about it and the response was they know it is all bollocks and they are just having fun. One wonders if the management actually knew they were taking the piss and that they really didn't have to put on a razzmatazz release. They actually weren't motivating the sales guys at all.
    The sales guys know that if they act anything other than massively motivated in front of the managers, they’ll get binned tomorrow.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,232
    Leon said:

    With the rest of the northern hemisphere enduring a heat wave, how come autumn has arrived two months early in Blighty?

    They are related events. A huge anti cyclone is parked over the British isles giving us stiff wind, cool conditions and blustery rain. The exact same winds are ripping up broiling air from Africa and dumping it on the rest of Europe
    You are Michael Fish and I claim my £5!

    (Thank you for the explanation.)
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,959
    Leon said:

    With the rest of the northern hemisphere enduring a heat wave, how come autumn has arrived two months early in Blighty?

    They are related events. A huge anti cyclone is parked over the British isles giving us stiff wind, cool conditions and blustery rain. The exact same winds are ripping up broiling air from Africa and dumping it on the rest of Europe
    45 mph winds in Wimbledon have caused the roof to be closed even though it's not raining.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,606
    Andy_JS said:

    Leon said:

    With the rest of the northern hemisphere enduring a heat wave, how come autumn has arrived two months early in Blighty?

    They are related events. A huge anti cyclone is parked over the British isles giving us stiff wind, cool conditions and blustery rain. The exact same winds are ripping up broiling air from Africa and dumping it on the rest of Europe
    45 mph winds in Wimbledon have caused the roof to be closed even though it's not raining.
    I’m getting on a flight this evening and I’m already getting warnings from BA. Hopefully it won’t be cancelled but eeeesh
  • TimSTimS Posts: 13,215
    edited July 2023

    With the rest of the northern hemisphere enduring a heat wave, how come autumn has arrived two months early in Blighty?

    Very interesting pattern. We have unusually strong westerlies and a stuck pattern bringing coolish (but not that cool) weather to Northern Europe all the way to Finland, and that’s bottling up the heat to the South. The polar opposite of the June pattern where we had high pressure in the North and cool wet weather in the Med.

    Once patterns get established they seem to stick for longer these days. That sounds anecdotal but there is some evidence to support this. Some signs of a pattern change at the end of the month. The current westerlies are at least partly boosted by the inactive phase of the Madden Julian Oscillation in the tropics. If that flips then we may flip too.

    This sort of weather pattern is quite kind to the extreme South East. Kent got 23C yesterday while most of us were cold and wet. Even today it’s been 21C there.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,690

    ClippP said:

    HYUFD said:

    PJH said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Regarding Squareroot's view that things were equally bad, or worse in 2010: I appreciate that this is a not uncommon view.

    Never mind attacking Sunak, Labour should produce a set of posters and adverts which clearly paint the picture of how much better the period 1997-2010 was for the UK than 2010-2023/24 has been. It really wouldn't be hard, some simple graphs or simple statements of things like:

    - NHS waiting times
    - Real income
    - Debt (seriously, who'd have thought would be a higher share of GDP now than in 2010?)
    - Growth
    - Inflation
    - Immigration
    - House ownership %
    - Days lost to strikes

    I am sure PBers can think of a few others (number of Cabinet members prosecuted?)

    You'd have to exclude the 2008-10 period.

    The economy was in better shape, pre-2008, than now.
    Not only that but ignore the effects of Brexit, covid and war in Ukraine all in the last 3 years, which are the unique drivers to where we are today
    More excuses than a pregnant nun!
    Hard to face reality then
    I'm sure you were arguing that we should ignore the Global Financial Crisis when thinking about howe to vote back in 2010, Big_G ;-)

    In truth, every government faces unexpected events. Labour had 9/11, 7/7 and the GFC; Tories had Brexit, Covid, Ukraine.
    But Brexit was entirely of the Conservative Government's making.

    You can't put that down as an "act of God" unless your god is called Boris Johnson.
    Indeed true, but Big_G was using it as a reason for the Tories utter screw-up of the economy over the past 13 years, so I allowed him that one.

    Some Tories, of course, still cling to the idea that the GFC was all Labour's fault (in which case they had a mighty impressive ability to influence the global economy).

    Bottom line though, are there any PB posters, of whatever persuasion, who think the Tories have managed the economy at all well?
    I'd say that their economic management has been about average, for rich world governments, from 2010 to date.

    Almost every rich country has been dealt a rotten hand, over the past 13 years.

    Real criticism of the government lies elsewhere, IMHO. The corruption, the infighting, and the very odd sense of priorities, in terms of public spending. The almost wilful ineptititude with which they run institutions.
    I am curious about how the Tories get their reputation for good management of the economy? In my adult lifetime the only period of sustained econmic growth has come under Labour (1997-2007).

    I entered adulthood in the Thatcher years in the middle of a long recession. I started work on 1988 on a slight economic upswing from a low base but by the time we got to February 1989 things were on the down again and my friends seeking work a year behind me all really struggled to find jobs. We also had a burst of 10% inflation.

    The early 90s were grim, we fell out of the ERM, there was a property bust, and I lost my job twice in that period, and of my friends wasn't alone. I will concede that having made a complete pig's ear of everything Major and Clarke provided a steadier hand at the tiller from about 94 onwards but by then their reputation was in tatters anyway.

    The we get to 2010. I felt at the time that some austerity was needed for a while to balance the books. It was probably too much for too long even under the coalition, but once the restraining had of the LDs was removed it has been an utter shitshow.

    On the other hand under Labour not only did the economy grow, the public realm also visibly improved. The GFC revealed that they hadn't been attentive enough in building up reserves for a rainy day, as in fact they had done in the first few years. But overall 1997-2010 is a far better record than anything the Tories can point at, without even having to bother to look up statistics.

    Looking at the current Labour leadership, Starmer seems more of a conservative than anyone in the current Conservative Party. Yet "everyone" is scared of Labour trashing the economy. Why?
    Well Thatcher did cut strikes, slash the top income tax rate, rejuvinate Docklands, expand working class property ownership via council house sales and privatise inefficient nationalise industries. Major cut inflation.

    Unemployment now at 4% half the 8% unemployment Labour left in 2010
    AKA:

    Took away workers' rights
    Gave tax cuts to the rich
    Allowed the proceeds of a bullion robbery to be laundered through property development
    Sold off public assets on the cheap
    Sold off even more public assets on the cheap and pissed away the money
    And squandered all the proceeds from North Sea Oil.
    Used the proceeds from North Sea Oil to deal with the transformation and modernisation of the economy away from uncompetitive heavy industries.
    Uh-huh? Good job Germany had all that North Sea Oil too then.
    Germany had an industrial base that had been completely rebuilt by the allies only 30 years earlier. There really was no comparison.
    Is there then, in your opinion, any possible comparable country? If not, it's hard to prove your incorrect argument without a window into the alternative universe where a UK PM made sensible use of the North Sea Oil bonanza.
    Again, looking at it in isolation is not realistic. In comparison with the rest of Europe the UK went from 'the sick man of Europe' in the late 70s to one of the leading economies at the end of the 80s. We did make sensible use of North Sea oil. The alternative was to continue as a backward, failing, deindustrialising nation ruled by the unions and facing unsustainable challenges from the rest of the world.

    Did Thatcher do everything (or even most) things right? No. But on the transformation of the economy on a national scale she was spot on.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,976
    Leon said:

    Temperatures in Israel. These are extreme



    Jesus! the weather in Nazareth!
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 72,263

    ClippP said:

    HYUFD said:

    PJH said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Regarding Squareroot's view that things were equally bad, or worse in 2010: I appreciate that this is a not uncommon view.

    Never mind attacking Sunak, Labour should produce a set of posters and adverts which clearly paint the picture of how much better the period 1997-2010 was for the UK than 2010-2023/24 has been. It really wouldn't be hard, some simple graphs or simple statements of things like:

    - NHS waiting times
    - Real income
    - Debt (seriously, who'd have thought would be a higher share of GDP now than in 2010?)
    - Growth
    - Inflation
    - Immigration
    - House ownership %
    - Days lost to strikes

    I am sure PBers can think of a few others (number of Cabinet members prosecuted?)

    You'd have to exclude the 2008-10 period.

    The economy was in better shape, pre-2008, than now.
    Not only that but ignore the effects of Brexit, covid and war in Ukraine all in the last 3 years, which are the unique drivers to where we are today
    More excuses than a pregnant nun!
    Hard to face reality then
    I'm sure you were arguing that we should ignore the Global Financial Crisis when thinking about howe to vote back in 2010, Big_G ;-)

    In truth, every government faces unexpected events. Labour had 9/11, 7/7 and the GFC; Tories had Brexit, Covid, Ukraine.
    But Brexit was entirely of the Conservative Government's making.

    You can't put that down as an "act of God" unless your god is called Boris Johnson.
    Indeed true, but Big_G was using it as a reason for the Tories utter screw-up of the economy over the past 13 years, so I allowed him that one.

    Some Tories, of course, still cling to the idea that the GFC was all Labour's fault (in which case they had a mighty impressive ability to influence the global economy).

    Bottom line though, are there any PB posters, of whatever persuasion, who think the Tories have managed the economy at all well?
    I'd say that their economic management has been about average, for rich world governments, from 2010 to date.

    Almost every rich country has been dealt a rotten hand, over the past 13 years.

    Real criticism of the government lies elsewhere, IMHO. The corruption, the infighting, and the very odd sense of priorities, in terms of public spending. The almost wilful ineptititude with which they run institutions.
    I am curious about how the Tories get their reputation for good management of the economy? In my adult lifetime the only period of sustained econmic growth has come under Labour (1997-2007).

    I entered adulthood in the Thatcher years in the middle of a long recession. I started work on 1988 on a slight economic upswing from a low base but by the time we got to February 1989 things were on the down again and my friends seeking work a year behind me all really struggled to find jobs. We also had a burst of 10% inflation.

    The early 90s were grim, we fell out of the ERM, there was a property bust, and I lost my job twice in that period, and of my friends wasn't alone. I will concede that having made a complete pig's ear of everything Major and Clarke provided a steadier hand at the tiller from about 94 onwards but by then their reputation was in tatters anyway.

    The we get to 2010. I felt at the time that some austerity was needed for a while to balance the books. It was probably too much for too long even under the coalition, but once the restraining had of the LDs was removed it has been an utter shitshow.

    On the other hand under Labour not only did the economy grow, the public realm also visibly improved. The GFC revealed that they hadn't been attentive enough in building up reserves for a rainy day, as in fact they had done in the first few years. But overall 1997-2010 is a far better record than anything the Tories can point at, without even having to bother to look up statistics.

    Looking at the current Labour leadership, Starmer seems more of a conservative than anyone in the current Conservative Party. Yet "everyone" is scared of Labour trashing the economy. Why?
    Well Thatcher did cut strikes, slash the top income tax rate, rejuvinate Docklands, expand working class property ownership via council house sales and privatise inefficient nationalise industries. Major cut inflation.

    Unemployment now at 4% half the 8% unemployment Labour left in 2010
    AKA:

    Took away workers' rights
    Gave tax cuts to the rich
    Allowed the proceeds of a bullion robbery to be laundered through property development
    Sold off public assets on the cheap
    Sold off even more public assets on the cheap and pissed away the money
    And squandered all the proceeds from North Sea Oil.
    Used the proceeds from North Sea Oil to deal with the transformation and modernisation of the economy away from uncompetitive heavy industries.
    Uh-huh? Good job Germany had all that North Sea Oil too then.
    Germany had an industrial base that had been completely rebuilt by the allies only 30 years earlier. There really was no comparison.
    Thatcher didn't do much rebuilding, though.
    And industrial policy was largely letting stuff go bust.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,302

    ClippP said:

    HYUFD said:

    PJH said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Regarding Squareroot's view that things were equally bad, or worse in 2010: I appreciate that this is a not uncommon view.

    Never mind attacking Sunak, Labour should produce a set of posters and adverts which clearly paint the picture of how much better the period 1997-2010 was for the UK than 2010-2023/24 has been. It really wouldn't be hard, some simple graphs or simple statements of things like:

    - NHS waiting times
    - Real income
    - Debt (seriously, who'd have thought would be a higher share of GDP now than in 2010?)
    - Growth
    - Inflation
    - Immigration
    - House ownership %
    - Days lost to strikes

    I am sure PBers can think of a few others (number of Cabinet members prosecuted?)

    You'd have to exclude the 2008-10 period.

    The economy was in better shape, pre-2008, than now.
    Not only that but ignore the effects of Brexit, covid and war in Ukraine all in the last 3 years, which are the unique drivers to where we are today
    More excuses than a pregnant nun!
    Hard to face reality then
    I'm sure you were arguing that we should ignore the Global Financial Crisis when thinking about howe to vote back in 2010, Big_G ;-)

    In truth, every government faces unexpected events. Labour had 9/11, 7/7 and the GFC; Tories had Brexit, Covid, Ukraine.
    But Brexit was entirely of the Conservative Government's making.

    You can't put that down as an "act of God" unless your god is called Boris Johnson.
    Indeed true, but Big_G was using it as a reason for the Tories utter screw-up of the economy over the past 13 years, so I allowed him that one.

    Some Tories, of course, still cling to the idea that the GFC was all Labour's fault (in which case they had a mighty impressive ability to influence the global economy).

    Bottom line though, are there any PB posters, of whatever persuasion, who think the Tories have managed the economy at all well?
    I'd say that their economic management has been about average, for rich world governments, from 2010 to date.

    Almost every rich country has been dealt a rotten hand, over the past 13 years.

    Real criticism of the government lies elsewhere, IMHO. The corruption, the infighting, and the very odd sense of priorities, in terms of public spending. The almost wilful ineptititude with which they run institutions.
    I am curious about how the Tories get their reputation for good management of the economy? In my adult lifetime the only period of sustained econmic growth has come under Labour (1997-2007).

    I entered adulthood in the Thatcher years in the middle of a long recession. I started work on 1988 on a slight economic upswing from a low base but by the time we got to February 1989 things were on the down again and my friends seeking work a year behind me all really struggled to find jobs. We also had a burst of 10% inflation.

    The early 90s were grim, we fell out of the ERM, there was a property bust, and I lost my job twice in that period, and of my friends wasn't alone. I will concede that having made a complete pig's ear of everything Major and Clarke provided a steadier hand at the tiller from about 94 onwards but by then their reputation was in tatters anyway.

    The we get to 2010. I felt at the time that some austerity was needed for a while to balance the books. It was probably too much for too long even under the coalition, but once the restraining had of the LDs was removed it has been an utter shitshow.

    On the other hand under Labour not only did the economy grow, the public realm also visibly improved. The GFC revealed that they hadn't been attentive enough in building up reserves for a rainy day, as in fact they had done in the first few years. But overall 1997-2010 is a far better record than anything the Tories can point at, without even having to bother to look up statistics.

    Looking at the current Labour leadership, Starmer seems more of a conservative than anyone in the current Conservative Party. Yet "everyone" is scared of Labour trashing the economy. Why?
    Well Thatcher did cut strikes, slash the top income tax rate, rejuvinate Docklands, expand working class property ownership via council house sales and privatise inefficient nationalise industries. Major cut inflation.

    Unemployment now at 4% half the 8% unemployment Labour left in 2010
    AKA:

    Took away workers' rights
    Gave tax cuts to the rich
    Allowed the proceeds of a bullion robbery to be laundered through property development
    Sold off public assets on the cheap
    Sold off even more public assets on the cheap and pissed away the money
    And squandered all the proceeds from North Sea Oil.
    Used the proceeds from North Sea Oil to deal with the transformation and modernisation of the economy away from uncompetitive heavy industries.
    Uh-huh? Good job Germany had all that North Sea Oil too then.
    Germany had an industrial base that had been completely rebuilt by the allies only 30 years earlier. There really was no comparison.
    Is there then, in your opinion, any possible comparable country? If not, it's hard to prove your incorrect argument without a window into the alternative universe where a UK PM made sensible use of the North Sea Oil bonanza.
    Again, looking at it in isolation is not realistic. In comparison with the rest of Europe the UK went from 'the sick man of Europe' in the late 70s to one of the leading economies at the end of the 80s. We did make sensible use of North Sea oil. The alternative was to continue as a backward, failing, deindustrialising nation ruled by the unions and facing unsustainable challenges from the rest of the world.

    Did Thatcher do everything (or even most) things right? No. But on the transformation of the economy on a national scale she was spot on.
    I wonder what Thatcherism without EEC membership would have looked like. Possibly a softer landing because British industry would have had some protection from continental imports.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 28,437
    .

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    The Defence Secretary is having his doubts. Have any of our recent trolls mentioned ingratitude?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,035
    Leon said:

    Temperatures in Israel. These are extreme


    It gets hot in the Middle East, really?
  • PeckPeck Posts: 517
    At least Sunak has distanced himself from the defence secretary.
    By-election coming in Wyre and Preston North?
  • PhilPhil Posts: 2,337

    .

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    The Defence Secretary is having his doubts. Have any of our recent trolls mentioned ingratitude?
    He’s been quite comprehensively misquoted hasn’t he?

    The whole episode seems like a good reminder that politicians are best advised not to engage in hypothetical arguments in public, since online idiots with a surfeit of motivated reasoning behind them are guaranteed to take that hypothetical & present it as if it was what the politician really believes.

    Personally, I think Ben Wallace’s stalwart support of Ukraine represents the best of Britishness.

    (I actually do believe this, but if there’s any Ben Wallace online astroturf money to be had, feel free to send some my way.)
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,149
    The weather is always Wetter in Germany.
  • PeckPeck Posts: 517

    .

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    The Defence Secretary is having his doubts. Have any of our recent trolls mentioned ingratitude?
    Have any of them been sarky for example and observed that Wallace with his experience as minister for security and economic crime probably has a better feel than many for what happens when foreign aid flows to mafia states? :-)
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,913

    The weather is always Wetter in Germany.

    Three umbrellas will always keep you drei.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,035
    Miklosvar said:

    The weather is always Wetter in Germany.

    But the children are Kinder.
    Is that a Surprise?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,959

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    Louise Mensch used to post here about 15 years ago apparently.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,232
    Peck said:

    At least Sunak has distanced himself from the defence secretary.
    By-election coming in Wyre and Preston North?

    Man turned down to head up NATO goes off on one at NATO junket.

    Bitter.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,903

    ClippP said:

    HYUFD said:

    PJH said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Regarding Squareroot's view that things were equally bad, or worse in 2010: I appreciate that this is a not uncommon view.

    Never mind attacking Sunak, Labour should produce a set of posters and adverts which clearly paint the picture of how much better the period 1997-2010 was for the UK than 2010-2023/24 has been. It really wouldn't be hard, some simple graphs or simple statements of things like:

    - NHS waiting times
    - Real income
    - Debt (seriously, who'd have thought would be a higher share of GDP now than in 2010?)
    - Growth
    - Inflation
    - Immigration
    - House ownership %
    - Days lost to strikes

    I am sure PBers can think of a few others (number of Cabinet members prosecuted?)

    You'd have to exclude the 2008-10 period.

    The economy was in better shape, pre-2008, than now.
    Not only that but ignore the effects of Brexit, covid and war in Ukraine all in the last 3 years, which are the unique drivers to where we are today
    More excuses than a pregnant nun!
    Hard to face reality then
    I'm sure you were arguing that we should ignore the Global Financial Crisis when thinking about howe to vote back in 2010, Big_G ;-)

    In truth, every government faces unexpected events. Labour had 9/11, 7/7 and the GFC; Tories had Brexit, Covid, Ukraine.
    But Brexit was entirely of the Conservative Government's making.

    You can't put that down as an "act of God" unless your god is called Boris Johnson.
    Indeed true, but Big_G was using it as a reason for the Tories utter screw-up of the economy over the past 13 years, so I allowed him that one.

    Some Tories, of course, still cling to the idea that the GFC was all Labour's fault (in which case they had a mighty impressive ability to influence the global economy).

    Bottom line though, are there any PB posters, of whatever persuasion, who think the Tories have managed the economy at all well?
    I'd say that their economic management has been about average, for rich world governments, from 2010 to date.

    Almost every rich country has been dealt a rotten hand, over the past 13 years.

    Real criticism of the government lies elsewhere, IMHO. The corruption, the infighting, and the very odd sense of priorities, in terms of public spending. The almost wilful ineptititude with which they run institutions.
    I am curious about how the Tories get their reputation for good management of the economy? In my adult lifetime the only period of sustained econmic growth has come under Labour (1997-2007).

    I entered adulthood in the Thatcher years in the middle of a long recession. I started work on 1988 on a slight economic upswing from a low base but by the time we got to February 1989 things were on the down again and my friends seeking work a year behind me all really struggled to find jobs. We also had a burst of 10% inflation.

    The early 90s were grim, we fell out of the ERM, there was a property bust, and I lost my job twice in that period, and of my friends wasn't alone. I will concede that having made a complete pig's ear of everything Major and Clarke provided a steadier hand at the tiller from about 94 onwards but by then their reputation was in tatters anyway.

    The we get to 2010. I felt at the time that some austerity was needed for a while to balance the books. It was probably too much for too long even under the coalition, but once the restraining had of the LDs was removed it has been an utter shitshow.

    On the other hand under Labour not only did the economy grow, the public realm also visibly improved. The GFC revealed that they hadn't been attentive enough in building up reserves for a rainy day, as in fact they had done in the first few years. But overall 1997-2010 is a far better record than anything the Tories can point at, without even having to bother to look up statistics.

    Looking at the current Labour leadership, Starmer seems more of a conservative than anyone in the current Conservative Party. Yet "everyone" is scared of Labour trashing the economy. Why?
    Well Thatcher did cut strikes, slash the top income tax rate, rejuvinate Docklands, expand working class property ownership via council house sales and privatise inefficient nationalise industries. Major cut inflation.

    Unemployment now at 4% half the 8% unemployment Labour left in 2010
    AKA:

    Took away workers' rights
    Gave tax cuts to the rich
    Allowed the proceeds of a bullion robbery to be laundered through property development
    Sold off public assets on the cheap
    Sold off even more public assets on the cheap and pissed away the money
    And squandered all the proceeds from North Sea Oil.
    Used the proceeds from North Sea Oil to deal with the transformation and modernisation of the economy away from uncompetitive heavy industries.
    Uh-huh? Good job Germany had all that North Sea Oil too then.
    Germany had an industrial base that had been completely rebuilt by the allies only 30 years earlier. There really was no comparison.
    Is there then, in your opinion, any possible comparable country? If not, it's hard to prove your incorrect argument without a window into the alternative universe where a UK PM made sensible use of the North Sea Oil bonanza.
    Again, looking at it in isolation is not realistic. In comparison with the rest of Europe the UK went from 'the sick man of Europe' in the late 70s to one of the leading economies at the end of the 80s. We did make sensible use of North Sea oil. The alternative was to continue as a backward, failing, deindustrialising nation ruled by the unions and facing unsustainable challenges from the rest of the world.

    Did Thatcher do everything (or even most) things right? No. But on the transformation of the economy on a national scale she was spot on.
    I wonder what Thatcherism without EEC membership would have looked like. Possibly a softer landing because British industry would have had some protection from continental imports.
    No Nissan factory for a start.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,606
    Sandpit said:

    Leon said:

    Temperatures in Israel. These are extreme


    It gets hot in the Middle East, really?
    Israel is in Europe! See Eurovision passim

    In all seriousness, talking of mind changes I’ve gone from being mildly skeptical about anthro global warming to generally accepting it is happening. And happening quite fast

    PB was a part of the reason I changed (tho there were many other reasons - not least seeing it with my own eyes)
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,606
    TimS said:

    With the rest of the northern hemisphere enduring a heat wave, how come autumn has arrived two months early in Blighty?

    Very interesting pattern. We have unusually strong westerlies and a stuck pattern bringing coolish (but not that cool) weather to Northern Europe all the way to Finland, and that’s bottling up the heat to the South. The polar opposite of the June pattern where we had high pressure in the North and cool wet weather in the Med.

    Once patterns get established they seem to stick for longer these days. That sounds anecdotal but there is some evidence to support this. Some signs of a pattern change at the end of the month. The current westerlies are at least partly boosted by the inactive phase of the Madden Julian Oscillation in the tropics. If that flips then we may flip too.

    This sort of weather pattern is quite kind to the extreme South East. Kent got 23C yesterday while most of us were cold and wet. Even today it’s been 21C there.
    I am near certain we get stuck in prolonged patterns more than we used to

    Like the amazing sunny spring of lockdown 1, or the endless grey cold winter of lockdown 3. Weather that just goes on and on. It’s just not British

    Weakening Gulf Stream?

  • MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855
    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    Leon said:

    Temperatures in Israel. These are extreme


    It gets hot in the Middle East, really?
    Israel is in Europe! See Eurovision passim

    In all seriousness, talking of mind changes I’ve gone from being mildly skeptical about anthro global warming to generally accepting it is happening. And happening quite fast

    PB was a part of the reason I changed (tho there were many other reasons - not least seeing it with my own eyes)
    Nicosia is equally hot, and watch Sicily and Sardinia next week.

    Las Vegas could beat its record today. Lot of it about.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,903
    Dura_Ace said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    Oh indeed, but you’re going to be a lot more subtle if you want to actually change mind on this forum, rather than charging in like a bull in a china shop of propaganda.
    Has anybody ever changed their mind about anything on here? Even Billy G's damascene conversion to the political philosophy of an asphasiac Hartlepudlian publican was after the brexit nabka.
    I haven't but I do find it useful for understanding what other people think and why.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,915

    With the rest of the northern hemisphere enduring a heat wave, how come autumn has arrived two months early in Blighty?

    Energy balance.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,417

    Phil said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    We know Cameron used to read this site. Still does, perhaps.

    Has anyone else in high level politics admitted to a PB addiction?
    It was rumoured that a very well known Labour politician used to post under the handle "Snowflake". Her online blog has not seen any new posts since 2014 (because I just checked)
    There is no https://vf.politicalbetting.com/profile/Snowflake or https://vf.politicalbetting.com/profile/snowflake . Was it before the move from Disqus?
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,232
    viewcode said:

    Phil said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    We know Cameron used to read this site. Still does, perhaps.

    Has anyone else in high level politics admitted to a PB addiction?
    It was rumoured that a very well known Labour politician used to post under the handle "Snowflake". Her online blog has not seen any new posts since 2014 (because I just checked)
    There is no https://vf.politicalbetting.com/profile/Snowflake or https://vf.politicalbetting.com/profile/snowflake . Was it before the move from Disqus?
    Before the move TO disqus.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,081
    Andy_JS said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    Louise Mensch used to post here about 15 years ago apparently.
    We had 2 MPs posting under their own names, even before we speculate about others.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,081
    viewcode said:

    Phil said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    We know Cameron used to read this site. Still does, perhaps.

    Has anyone else in high level politics admitted to a PB addiction?
    It was rumoured that a very well known Labour politician used to post under the handle "Snowflake". Her online blog has not seen any new posts since 2014 (because I just checked)
    There is no https://vf.politicalbetting.com/profile/Snowflake or https://vf.politicalbetting.com/profile/snowflake . Was it before the move from Disqus?
    Yes. Snowflake was, I'd say, roughly 2008- 2012.
  • PeckPeck Posts: 517
    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    Leon said:

    Temperatures in Israel. These are extreme


    It gets hot in the Middle East, really?
    Israel is in Europe! See Eurovision passim

    In all seriousness, talking of mind changes I’ve gone from being mildly skeptical about anthro global warming to generally accepting it is happening. And happening quite fast

    PB was a part of the reason I changed (tho there were many other reasons - not least seeing it with my own eyes)
    You need to have a look at Mill's methods for investigating and showing causation:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mill's_Methods

    How on earth can you say A results from B when A has resulted from not-B so many times?
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,915
    Leon said:

    TimS said:

    With the rest of the northern hemisphere enduring a heat wave, how come autumn has arrived two months early in Blighty?

    Very interesting pattern. We have unusually strong westerlies and a stuck pattern bringing coolish (but not that cool) weather to Northern Europe all the way to Finland, and that’s bottling up the heat to the South. The polar opposite of the June pattern where we had high pressure in the North and cool wet weather in the Med.

    Once patterns get established they seem to stick for longer these days. That sounds anecdotal but there is some evidence to support this. Some signs of a pattern change at the end of the month. The current westerlies are at least partly boosted by the inactive phase of the Madden Julian Oscillation in the tropics. If that flips then we may flip too.

    This sort of weather pattern is quite kind to the extreme South East. Kent got 23C yesterday while most of us were cold and wet. Even today it’s been 21C there.
    I am near certain we get stuck in prolonged patterns more than we used to

    Like the amazing sunny spring of lockdown 1, or the endless grey cold winter of lockdown 3. Weather that just goes on and on. It’s just not British

    Weakening Gulf Stream?

    There's some evidence that one of the influences of low solar activity is more blocking high pressures affecting the Atlantic jet stream. This would lead to more stuck patterns of weather. The last couple of solar cycles have been a bit weaker.

    There's still quite a lot of doubt about this, because no-one has a convincing mechanistic explanation for the connection, there's so much variability that the statistics are weak, and blocking patterns are one of the synoptic features that climate models still struggle most with, but it is at least plausible.
  • PeckPeck Posts: 517
    edited July 2023

    Peck said:

    At least Sunak has distanced himself from the defence secretary.
    By-election coming in Wyre and Preston North?

    Man turned down to head up NATO goes off on one at NATO junket.
    Bitter.
    That kind of thing is what gets my attention most in politics.
    Almost all of the rest of it just a mendacity and bullshit salad.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,606
    Peck said:

    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    Leon said:

    Temperatures in Israel. These are extreme


    It gets hot in the Middle East, really?
    Israel is in Europe! See Eurovision passim

    In all seriousness, talking of mind changes I’ve gone from being mildly skeptical about anthro global warming to generally accepting it is happening. And happening quite fast

    PB was a part of the reason I changed (tho there were many other reasons - not least seeing it with my own eyes)
    You need to have a look at Mill's methods for investigating and showing causation:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mill's_Methods

    How on earth can you say A results from B when A has resulted from not-B so many times?
    That was what I used to think: and was the main basis of my skepticism. What about the medieval warm period, huh? Who was driving all the SUVs in the 12th century, eh? And are we even warming anyway, why did temps flatline from about 1998?

    But then I travelled so much and saw 1 practical evidence of ongoing warming (like glaciers shrinking or wine making shifting) and 2 all the damn people. There are just so many people everywhere. It is hard to believe we are not changing the planet and we are pumping out so much pollution and smoke and whatever…

    AGW makes basic sense. We have altered the planet. Perhaps catastrophically. I am personally more concerned by things like the insect crash and species decline than I am by warming, for the moment

    We can adapt to warmth. It might even be good. But if all the insects die we’re fucked
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,188

    viewcode said:

    Phil said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    We know Cameron used to read this site. Still does, perhaps.

    Has anyone else in high level politics admitted to a PB addiction?
    It was rumoured that a very well known Labour politician used to post under the handle "Snowflake". Her online blog has not seen any new posts since 2014 (because I just checked)
    There is no https://vf.politicalbetting.com/profile/Snowflake or https://vf.politicalbetting.com/profile/snowflake . Was it before the move from Disqus?
    Before the move TO disqus.
    Yikes! What did we have back then? I have forgotten, but I remember nobody liked the migration to disqus
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,915
    Peck said:

    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    Leon said:

    Temperatures in Israel. These are extreme


    It gets hot in the Middle East, really?
    Israel is in Europe! See Eurovision passim

    In all seriousness, talking of mind changes I’ve gone from being mildly skeptical about anthro global warming to generally accepting it is happening. And happening quite fast

    PB was a part of the reason I changed (tho there were many other reasons - not least seeing it with my own eyes)
    You need to have a look at Mill's methods for investigating and showing causation:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mill's_Methods

    How on earth can you say A results from B when A has resulted from not-B so many times?
    We can see that none of the not-B triggers for past climate change have happened recently, so, y'know, kinda leaves CO2 from fossil fuel burning as the only remaining explanation.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,959
    Cookie said:

    viewcode said:

    Phil said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    We know Cameron used to read this site. Still does, perhaps.

    Has anyone else in high level politics admitted to a PB addiction?
    It was rumoured that a very well known Labour politician used to post under the handle "Snowflake". Her online blog has not seen any new posts since 2014 (because I just checked)
    There is no https://vf.politicalbetting.com/profile/Snowflake or https://vf.politicalbetting.com/profile/snowflake . Was it before the move from Disqus?
    Yes. Snowflake was, I'd say, roughly 2008- 2012.
    You can sometimes still read comments from that time on the Internet Archive.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,915

    viewcode said:

    Phil said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    We know Cameron used to read this site. Still does, perhaps.

    Has anyone else in high level politics admitted to a PB addiction?
    It was rumoured that a very well known Labour politician used to post under the handle "Snowflake". Her online blog has not seen any new posts since 2014 (because I just checked)
    There is no https://vf.politicalbetting.com/profile/Snowflake or https://vf.politicalbetting.com/profile/snowflake . Was it before the move from Disqus?
    Before the move TO disqus.
    Yikes! What did we have back then? I have forgotten, but I remember nobody liked the migration to disqus
    I guess it was whatever is bundled with wordpress as standard?
  • MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855
    Peck said:

    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    Leon said:

    Temperatures in Israel. These are extreme


    It gets hot in the Middle East, really?
    Israel is in Europe! See Eurovision passim

    In all seriousness, talking of mind changes I’ve gone from being mildly skeptical about anthro global warming to generally accepting it is happening. And happening quite fast

    PB was a part of the reason I changed (tho there were many other reasons - not least seeing it with my own eyes)
    You need to have a look at Mill's methods for investigating and showing causation:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mill's_Methods

    How on earth can you say A results from B when A has resulted from not-B so many times?
    A under some descriptions has not resulted from *anything* before. If Sicily hits 48 tomorrow that's a unique occurrence in the relevant time frame. New effects need explanation by new causes.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,959
    In the process of searching for a Snowflake comment on PB, I found this interesting one from SeanT from 21st September 2008.

    "To be fair I don’t think all the funny/sharp/articulate PB posters are on the right. I was being satirical!!??!!

    Tyson could be droll, and very acute, in his own weird way (though I note he’s now, er, a Tory). Roger was once capable of very cutting insights (though he’s lost his vim, I fear, and is reduced to oddly inane observations of late). Snowflake was pretty impressive in her determination (but she has fled to the comfortzone of Labour Home).

    And there I think is the problem, as Mike Smithson correctly says. It’s not that the Tories have crowded out the lefties with their gloating and boasting, it’s just that the lefties have lost conviction, due to the moral incoherence of their party, and their concomitant decline in the polls. Their increasingly feeble presence on here is a result of their philosophical and psephological decay, not a symptom of Tory “bullying”.

    But that won’t be forever. I hereby predict that within two or three years of Cameron coming into power, this site will be chocka with angry lefties, fired with anger and conviction, while the righties will be rather less full of themselves.

    Ain’t nobody’s fault. PB.com merely holds up a mirror to the British political soul.

    by seanT September 21st, 2008 at 7:46 pm"

    https://web.archive.org/web/20080922091242/http://politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2008/09/21/four-more-resignations-after-the-conference/
  • PeckPeck Posts: 517
    Leon said:

    Peck said:

    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    Leon said:

    Temperatures in Israel. These are extreme


    It gets hot in the Middle East, really?
    Israel is in Europe! See Eurovision passim

    In all seriousness, talking of mind changes I’ve gone from being mildly skeptical about anthro global warming to generally accepting it is happening. And happening quite fast

    PB was a part of the reason I changed (tho there were many other reasons - not least seeing it with my own eyes)
    You need to have a look at Mill's methods for investigating and showing causation:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mill's_Methods

    How on earth can you say A results from B when A has resulted from not-B so many times?
    That was what I used to think: and was the main basis of my skepticism. What about the medieval warm period, huh? Who was driving all the SUVs in the 12th century, eh? And are we even warming anyway, why did temps flatline from about 1998?

    But then I travelled so much and saw 1 practical evidence of ongoing warming (like glaciers shrinking or wine making shifting) and 2 all the damn people. There are just so many people everywhere. It is hard to believe we are not changing the planet and we are pumping out so much pollution and smoke and whatever…

    AGW makes basic sense. We have altered the planet. Perhaps catastrophically. I am personally more concerned by things like the insect crash and species decline than I am by warming, for the moment

    We can adapt to warmth. It might even be good. But if all the insects die we’re fucked
    What's your reasoning for believing there's a causal link though? No serious person disputes either 1 or 2.
    But heavyweight pro-AGW influencers certainly like to amalgamate AGW scepticism with a rejection of 1. Obama, for example.
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,188

    viewcode said:

    Phil said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    FF43 said:

    Amazon said:

    The confident mocking respinses have gone. Honestly can you guys get anything right...erm no.

    Curious why all these trolls turn up on Saturday mornings. Can't see any reason for it. Are they working off some spreadsheet with a Saturday am cell marked "politicalbetting.com" and nobody can be arsed to change it?
    They are not Russian because their English is not how Russians write and speak in that language.

    I assume they are from anglophone parts of Africa being paid buttons to push the Russian lines and have day jobs or academic commitments Mon-Fri.

    It's a very crude psy-op and the Ukrainian ones (Euromaiden, Visegard24, etc. All that shit that gets reposted here by the credulous.) are much better, presumably with the help of Langley.
    I suspect that too. Possibly also from India. I also suspect at some level they actually believe what they post.
    Agree they’re not Russian. The language isn’t quite right. @Dura_Ace could be right that they’re operating out of English-speaking Africa, with people who can pick up a lot of UK politics relatively quickly.

    Today’s was a particularly bad example though. One of the trainees who goes straight to the propaganda with no attempt to ingratiate themselves in the forum first.

    Quite why they target PB is another question. It’s very unlikely they’re going to change any minds on the subject here.
    PB is widely read in high end politics. MPs etc.
    We know Cameron used to read this site. Still does, perhaps.

    Has anyone else in high level politics admitted to a PB addiction?
    It was rumoured that a very well known Labour politician used to post under the handle "Snowflake". Her online blog has not seen any new posts since 2014 (because I just checked)
    There is no https://vf.politicalbetting.com/profile/Snowflake or https://vf.politicalbetting.com/profile/snowflake . Was it before the move from Disqus?
    Before the move TO disqus.
    Yikes! What did we have back then? I have forgotten, but I remember nobody liked the migration to disqus
    I guess it was whatever is bundled with wordpress as standard?
    Ancient history :D
This discussion has been closed.