Labour 47% (+3 from May) Conservatives 25% (-3) Lib Dems 13% (-) Greens 8% (+2) Other 8% (-)
1,003 GB adults interviewed by telephone 14-20 June
Short 🧵
Still no sign of that single digit lead for Labour that was predicted three months ago by many on here.
Oh those heady days of spring when the Daily Mail and camp followers like Casino Royale attempted to spread the narrative that the Tory recovery had begun.
Joining EEA/EFTA (the Norway option) thus retaining Brexit and doing most of what most people now want looks a bit of a no-brainer. Very interesting that the possibility is being ignored on all sides. Is Labour keeping it for after the election?
It's not a no-brainer, because when asked about Freedom of Movement even most Remainers didn't want that. The UK public wants to access the single market without complying with the laws of the single market. The only no-brainer is the EU saying "no" to any such deal.
Of course. But to support 'Rejoin' is of course to support FOM. The old dilemma remains - in the UK we want the trade but not the politics, and FOM counts as trade not politics for the EU, and politics not trade for most in the UK.
There would be away round this, if one thinks John Majorishly.
One upon a time we negotiated a 'permanent' opt out from the Euro. It is axiomatic that for pro EU types the Euro is part of the project and a good thing - that's why it exists. But we got an opt out. Silly old UK, but we can still sell them cars in exchange for Scottish lobsters.
FOM should be seen similarly within the pro EU world - it is axiomatically a good things or we would not do it. Anyone bilaterally out of it will suffer. So, just as with the Euro, if the UK wants to have a less good membership, so be it. No-one else will be so crazy, as FOM is a good thing for all the others. Silly old UK missing out on all the French bankers in London, and being able to teach physics in Bulgaria.
Admittedly the chances of me voting Tory were pretty slim anyway, but I will never, ever forgive them for robbing me of my European citizenship and FOM to appease a load of embittered, ignorant and racist pensioners. Pensioners who are largely insulated from the penury they are inflicting on their children and grandchildren in pursuit of returning to some imagined golden age of 1958 or some such horseshit.
God I fucking hate what’s been done to this country. Berlin was mine, Paris was mine. The continent was mine. Gone, sacrificed on the alter of Faragism.
And yet I have been to Paris and Berlin and many other places In Europe since Brexit with no issue at all. And I have been working in the EU and EEA.
This whining bollocks about 'what I have lost' is just self pitying garbage by those who have only discovered their supposed 'European' identity since Brexit.
So Sunak's government now has a net satisfaction rating higher than Major's in 1997 and higher than Truss and May's, even if slightly worse than Boris'
A result a bit better than than Major in 1997 is still a disaster for the Tories.
Given the Tories were heading for a 1993 Canadian Tories style wipeout and less than 50 seats under Truss last autumn, many Tory MPs would have bitten your hand off for a slightly better than Major 1997 result back then
So Sunak's government now has a net satisfaction rating higher than Major's in 1997 and higher than Truss and May's, even if slightly worse than Boris'
Actually, by 1997, net satisfaction with Major's government had perked up a bit to -46 (23 69 ; it was 8 86 at the nadir). Not that it did him much good.
Part of Sunak's problem is that there's so much time left. And whilst that might be time to make things better, it might also make things a whole lot worse.
So Sunak's government now has a net satisfaction rating higher than Major's in 1997 and higher than Truss and May's, even if slightly worse than Boris'
A result a bit better than than Major in 1997 is still a disaster for the Tories.
Given the Tories were heading for a 1993 Canadian Tories style wipeout and less than 50 seats under Truss last autumn, many Tory MPs would have bitten your hand off for a slightly better than Major 1997 result back then
They were not heading for that - polling is a snapshot not a prediction, as you will know.
Your threadbare Sunak ramping as he marches the Tory Party to crushing defeat is embarrassing.
Joining EEA/EFTA (the Norway option) thus retaining Brexit and doing most of what most people now want looks a bit of a no-brainer. Very interesting that the possibility is being ignored on all sides. Is Labour keeping it for after the election?
It's not a no-brainer, because when asked about Freedom of Movement even most Remainers didn't want that. The UK public wants to access the single market without complying with the laws of the single market. The only no-brainer is the EU saying "no" to any such deal.
Of course. But to support 'Rejoin' is of course to support FOM. The old dilemma remains - in the UK we want the trade but not the politics, and FOM counts as trade not politics for the EU, and politics not trade for most in the UK.
There would be away round this, if one thinks John Majorishly.
One upon a time we negotiated a 'permanent' opt out from the Euro. It is axiomatic that for pro EU types the Euro is part of the project and a good thing - that's why it exists. But we got an opt out. Silly old UK, but we can still sell them cars in exchange for Scottish lobsters.
FOM should be seen similarly within the pro EU world - it is axiomatically a good things or we would not do it. Anyone bilaterally out of it will suffer. So, just as with the Euro, if the UK wants to have a less good membership, so be it. No-one else will be so crazy, as FOM is a good thing for all the others. Silly old UK missing out on all the French bankers in London, and being able to teach physics in Bulgaria.
Admittedly the chances of me voting Tory were pretty slim anyway, but I will never, ever forgive them for robbing me of my European citizenship and FOM to appease a load of embittered, ignorant and racist pensioners. Pensioners who are largely insulated from the penury they are inflicting on their children and grandchildren in pursuit of returning to some imagined golden age of 1958 or some such horseshit.
God I fucking hate what’s been done to this country. Berlin was mine, Paris was mine. The continent was mine. Gone, sacrificed on the alter of Faragism.
And yet I have been to Paris and Berlin and many other places In Europe since Brexit with no issue at all. And I have been working in the EU and EEA.
This whining bollocks about 'what I have lost' is just self pitying garbage by those who have only discovered their supposed 'European' identity since Brexit.
So Sunak's government now has a net satisfaction rating higher than Major's in 1997 and higher than Truss and May's, even if slightly worse than Boris'
Looks like it is understating the yellow peril a bit. Wells, Yeovil and Norfolk North will be back in the Lib Dem column come the next GE - the safest seat for the Tories I reckon... Castle Point.
We could have used him at Edgbaston – the track there was very reminiscent of subcontinental wickets. Weather looks much more murky at Lord's in contrast (so you'd assume more seamer friendly).
So Sunak's government now has a net satisfaction rating higher than Major's in 1997 and higher than Truss and May's, even if slightly worse than Boris'
A result a bit better than than Major in 1997 is still a disaster for the Tories.
Given the Tories were heading for a 1993 Canadian Tories style wipeout and less than 50 seats under Truss last autumn, many Tory MPs would have bitten your hand off for a slightly better than Major 1997 result back then
They were not heading for that - polling is a snapshot not a prediction, as you will know.
Your threadbare Sunak ramping as he marches the Tory Party to crushing defeat is embarrassing.
The CEO didn't want 50-year old white guys. So it's a woke tragedy as well as a people have too much money tragedy.
Everything about it sounds horrific. The comparisons with NASA and Apollo 1 are well made. NASA's first question on everything is "and how does it fail?"
That's nothing about wokery - that's about the "tech disruptor" mindset; "we don't need specialists or experts to build a submarine, we're going to be pioneers and do it ourselves"
Also, like, it's a good way to make sure your labour is cheap
This is another sad example of something I've mentioned before: that far too many people come up with new schemes that replace the old, yet put 'safety' into the magic category.
As an example of how things should be done: railways. Railways have large, often redundant, safety systems, which has led to an unprecedented safety record on our railway network. These systems are *very* expensive, and have been developed because of hard lessons taught in blood.
So someone comes up with a new system. They realise safety is expensive, but of course, their system is safer. Therefore safety gets, at best, a hand-wave.
We saw this with the German Maglev system, where the operators claimed collisions were impossible because of the way the system was designed. That was right before the Lathen collision that killed 23 people (1).
We see this with (say) Hyperloop, a brain-dead scheme that gave f-all thought to safety, and would have been a human jam-maker. We see this with this submarine, where safety was very much not at the forefront of the operator's mind, and lessons from previous experience ignored (there are apparently safer deep submersibles out there). We see it with autonomous driving, where beta-testing is put on the roads with the public. etc, etc.
Once a bedsore develops, it can take days, months, or even years to heal. It can also become infected, causing fever and chills. An infected bedsore can take a long time to clear up. As the infection spreads through your body, it can also cause mental confusion, a fast heartbeat, and generalized weakness.
As, sadly, Christopher Reeve could attest...
Not just him, by a long chalk. Lots of the very old die limbless because bedsores have got into the bone:
I am increasingly of the view that when I pass age X, I will book a place in Dignitas for, say, 3-5 years out, and just try to be as productive as I can in the time remaining. The last 3-5 years of life seems to be an increasingly large pile of pain and utter indignities and to be frank I just don't want it.
We are at 47.4% fossil fuels, and 20.6% renewables.
Given on windy days we can easily see these figures reversed, it's clear that a workable form of energy storage (preferably medium-term storage) is vital. Goodness knows what form that will be, though.
Store the excess energy as heat. I think 1970's storage heaters controllable by internet for weather conditions and best spot rates for domestic use. Heated sand for industrial storage. Sand is the cheapest material and has a massive heat capacity.
So Sunak's government now has a net satisfaction rating higher than Major's in 1997 and higher than Truss and May's, even if slightly worse than Boris'
A result a bit better than than Major in 1997 is still a disaster for the Tories.
Given the Tories were heading for a 1993 Canadian Tories style wipeout and less than 50 seats under Truss last autumn, many Tory MPs would have bitten your hand off for a slightly better than Major 1997 result back then
They were not heading for that - polling is a snapshot not a prediction, as you will know.
Your threadbare Sunak ramping as he marches the Tory Party to crushing defeat is embarrassing.
They were. Truss resigned on 21 October last year, all polls in the week before her resignation had the Tories under 25%. One People Polling poll had the Tories on just 14%, Redfield had the Tories on just 19%. Results which would have left the Tories nearer 0 than 50 seats under FPTP
Right-wing idiots joining the left-wing idiots from yesterday, in tying to make political capital from a tragedy.
Can people no longer think before opening their mouths online?
The guy who built the sub was one of the victims, he wouldn’t have been there if he thought it was unsafe. That said, deep-sea exploration is unfathomably (sic) dangerous, and they all knew there was a chance of catastrophic failure.
I sympathise with the sentiment that these deaths should not be used to make cheap political points. I feel particularly awful about the University of Strathclyde student who went on the trip with his Dad as a Father's Day present and was apparently terrified.
Nevertheless, I think I don't think we can shy away from discussing the fact that this tragedy has resulted in eye watering amounts of public money (largely North American public money) being spent on rescue efforts and the diversion of military resources. To get on a ski slope in most places you have to take out insurance to cover the chances of something going wrong. Doing something this inherently dangerous (I read that the disclaimer mentioned 'death' three times on the first page) needs to have some sort of financial scheme to cover these eventualities. Isn't there a £10k fee for climbing Everest now?
Also, the Titanic is a resting place for about 1500 people. Can we not leave them in peace as we do Military Maritime Graves under the Protection of Military Remains Act 1986 (although perhaps that doesn't stop tourism)?
Most of that American money was spent anyway. It's not like they hurriedly built some ships and press-ganged some new sailors.
In general terms, militaries usually love having a civilian emergency to deal with. For the men on the ground, it’s a chance to show off their capability, skills, and training; and for the brass hats, it’s a chance to show their value to the politicians who sign the cheques.
It’s a different equation when volunteer rescuers are involved though - ask the mountain rescue folks, what they think of the idiots who climb a mountain in shorts and flip-flops, when it’s almost freezing at the top and fog was forecast.
In USA, in mountain other similar rescue situations, public agencies are (mostly) the core of rescue efforts, aided by (plenty) of volunteers.
And generally agencies such as local sheriff's departments and the like, have the ability to charge those they rescue for costs incurred. Though reckon that 90% plus of the time, they don't.
Though you never hear of the volunteer mountain rescue or lifeboat crews, in the U.K., saying “Screw those stupid people.”
They always go. Though you hear stories of people speaking their minds to the rescued.
Joining EEA/EFTA (the Norway option) thus retaining Brexit and doing most of what most people now want looks a bit of a no-brainer. Very interesting that the possibility is being ignored on all sides. Is Labour keeping it for after the election?
It's not a no-brainer, because when asked about Freedom of Movement even most Remainers didn't want that. The UK public wants to access the single market without complying with the laws of the single market. The only no-brainer is the EU saying "no" to any such deal.
Of course. But to support 'Rejoin' is of course to support FOM. The old dilemma remains - in the UK we want the trade but not the politics, and FOM counts as trade not politics for the EU, and politics not trade for most in the UK.
There would be away round this, if one thinks John Majorishly.
One upon a time we negotiated a 'permanent' opt out from the Euro. It is axiomatic that for pro EU types the Euro is part of the project and a good thing - that's why it exists. But we got an opt out. Silly old UK, but we can still sell them cars in exchange for Scottish lobsters.
FOM should be seen similarly within the pro EU world - it is axiomatically a good things or we would not do it. Anyone bilaterally out of it will suffer. So, just as with the Euro, if the UK wants to have a less good membership, so be it. No-one else will be so crazy, as FOM is a good thing for all the others. Silly old UK missing out on all the French bankers in London, and being able to teach physics in Bulgaria.
Admittedly the chances of me voting Tory were pretty slim anyway, but I will never, ever forgive them for robbing me of my European citizenship and FOM to appease a load of embittered, ignorant and racist pensioners. Pensioners who are largely insulated from the penury they are inflicting on their children and grandchildren in pursuit of returning to some imagined golden age of 1958 or some such horseshit.
God I fucking hate what’s been done to this country. Berlin was mine, Paris was mine. The continent was mine. Gone, sacrificed on the alter of Faragism.
Well then you shoulda given us a referendum on Maastricht, or the Constitution, or Lisbon AS PROMISED BY ALL MAJOR PARTIES
We would have voted No, that would have been an end to greater integration, for the UK - but we would have remained in the EU, thus avoiding Brexit
But no, europhilies like you, in your wisdom, kept denying us a vote as our democracy was stripped away, so we ended up with your worst nightmare: Brexit
This is post-Truss orthodoxy. Truss sidelined the BoE, OBR, Treasury and any other financial institution that comes to mind and crashed the markets. That is why Reeves dare not criticise anyone at all.
We are at 47.4% fossil fuels, and 20.6% renewables.
Given on windy days we can easily see these figures reversed, it's clear that a workable form of energy storage (preferably medium-term storage) is vital. Goodness knows what form that will be, though.
Store the excess energy as heat. I think 1970's storage heaters controllable by internet for weather conditions and best spot rates for domestic use. Heated sand for industrial storage. Sand is the cheapest material and has a massive heat capacity.
People have been trying to build such systems for years. Lots of detail problems to solve.
A very impressive open top sports car is idling at the lights and playing Warren Zevon at 30000 decibels. right outside my flat. In the heat and the sun London suddenly feels like Santa Monica, Los Angeles, in about 1985
Interesting, didn't know Hurd followed US politics so closely from the Lords.
Latest GOP minnow to declare. Former Congressman and CIA undercover operative from Texas.
...The comment came when Hurd was asked whether he would sign the Republican National Committee-issued pledge to support the party’s presidential nominee, as former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson have said they would.
The former lawmaker took it a step further, saying Trump “100 percent” betrayed the nation if the allegations of Trump mishandling sensitive U.S. intelligence are true — stressing that he is innocent until proven guilty...
Anyone running against Trump who doesn't say he's unfit to govern might as well not run, IMO.
Well, anyone running on that basis is very very unlikely to win, but the attempts to thread the needle on not backing him wholeheartedly, whilst only very rarely criticising him directly and coming to his defence whenever he demands it, has not been very gratifying to witness. Some are hoping to benefit if he does self combust, but others make little sense why they oppose him.
It's also fair to say not everyone who says they would support the nominee really will - if Trump says he will would anyone believe that, in the event the nominee was not him? But if they are making people pledge it to get in a debate, of course.
Right-wing idiots joining the left-wing idiots from yesterday, in tying to make political capital from a tragedy.
Can people no longer think before opening their mouths online?
The guy who built the sub was one of the victims, he wouldn’t have been there if he thought it was unsafe. That said, deep-sea exploration is unfathomably (sic) dangerous, and they all knew there was a chance of catastrophic failure.
I sympathise with the sentiment that these deaths should not be used to make cheap political points. I feel particularly awful about the University of Strathclyde student who went on the trip with his Dad as a Father's Day present and was apparently terrified.
Nevertheless, I think I don't think we can shy away from discussing the fact that this tragedy has resulted in eye watering amounts of public money (largely North American public money) being spent on rescue efforts and the diversion of military resources. To get on a ski slope in most places you have to take out insurance to cover the chances of something going wrong. Doing something this inherently dangerous (I read that the disclaimer mentioned 'death' three times on the first page) needs to have some sort of financial scheme to cover these eventualities. Isn't there a £10k fee for climbing Everest now?
Also, the Titanic is a resting place for about 1500 people. Can we not leave them in peace as we do Military Maritime Graves under the Protection of Military Remains Act 1986 (although perhaps that doesn't stop tourism)?
Most of that American money was spent anyway. It's not like they hurriedly built some ships and press-ganged some new sailors.
In general terms, militaries usually love having a civilian emergency to deal with. For the men on the ground, it’s a chance to show off their capability, skills, and training; and for the brass hats, it’s a chance to show their value to the politicians who sign the cheques.
It’s a different equation when volunteer rescuers are involved though - ask the mountain rescue folks, what they think of the idiots who climb a mountain in shorts and flip-flops, when it’s almost freezing at the top and fog was forecast.
In USA, in mountain other similar rescue situations, public agencies are (mostly) the core of rescue efforts, aided by (plenty) of volunteers.
And generally agencies such as local sheriff's departments and the like, have the ability to charge those they rescue for costs incurred. Though reckon that 90% plus of the time, they don't.
Though you never hear of the volunteer mountain rescue or lifeboat crews, in the U.K., saying “Screw those stupid people.”
They always go. Though you hear stories of people speaking their minds to the rescued.
Volunteer means what it says. Presumably they don’t sign up in the expectation of rescuing Chris Bonington or Ben Ainslie.
Joining EEA/EFTA (the Norway option) thus retaining Brexit and doing most of what most people now want looks a bit of a no-brainer. Very interesting that the possibility is being ignored on all sides. Is Labour keeping it for after the election?
It's not a no-brainer, because when asked about Freedom of Movement even most Remainers didn't want that. The UK public wants to access the single market without complying with the laws of the single market. The only no-brainer is the EU saying "no" to any such deal.
According to Perter Kellner on radio 4 yesterday that is incorrect. Only 23% now don't want freedom of movement for EU citizens. Well worth reading his piece in the European.
Yes let's have that back please. Freedom to live and work almost anywhere in Europe. How can it be progress to lose that?
In the spirit of fraternal love, I will reach across the divide here, and agree with you. For a Leaver like me, the one thing I deeply regret about Brexit is losing FoM. It was a wonderful thing. It nearly swung me to vote Remain, but in the end sovereignty and democracy edged it. Close call
I hoped that we would end up with a Brexit somehow in the SM, so we kept FoM. However I also accept that my job was not menaced by millions of Bulgarian dildo knappers coming over to Britain undercutting my trade, and I entirely accept that others felt differently. Voting Leave to lower immigration and control the borders was a legitimate aspiration, certainly not inherently "racist"
That said, the Tories have failed to lower immigration - it is now higher than ever (albeit we are getting more skilled migrants than unskilled, which is good); and nor do we have control of the border, the boats cross the Channel every day, apparently unstoppable
In that light, who cares about European migration on top of that? They won't come here in any greater numbers than they do already, coz the economy has cratered
A reformed Brexit where we regained FoM in some form would seem to satisfy most people. We would still be sovereign and independent, BUT people like @northern_monkey and @roger would get their precious European identity back. If Starmer can sort this out (not gonna be easy) I might actively support his party
Incidentally at the moment the same data sources would give £286,000/£32,300 = 8.9x, down from 9.1x. One to keep an eye on because flat prices and wage increases should help bring things down... a bit.
Republicans complaining that, after being found liable for defamation, you can't continue to libel the plaintiff without consequences.
This is the chief political correspondent of the Washington Examiner. Who is clearly very stupid indeed.
https://twitter.com/ByronYork/status/1672225672314404867 By the low standards of a civil case, a jury found Trump guilty of a decades-old instance of 'sexual abuse.' He maintains he is innocent and that his accuser is lying, or mistaken, or delusional, or something. Now, he will be tried again for saying that...
...After criminal convictions in very serious matters, isn't it common for defendants to continue to maintain their innocence? To say that their accusers are lying, or mistaken, or delusional, or something? Should they face additional charges for maintaining their innocence?
That is some excellent research. One of the features of the Industrial Revolution was the continuous fall in the prices of manufactured goods, from increased productivity.
Before the IR, a simple shirt cost as much as an expensive Paul Smith t-shirt. Industrialisation gave us Primark.
Would the Remoaners on here finally STFU if we got a reformed Brexit that gave us back Freedom of Movement?
It seems to be the most emotive and profound loss, from Brexit, for a majority of Remainery people (and I share some of the pain, as I say). Perhaps that is the place where Britain could finally reconcile. Brexit Plus. Brexit Plus Freedom of Movement
It's worse than that. She was competent at fighting the last war. She was well-trained, well prepared. She'd read the text books, learned the lessons. She knew what the problem was and how to fix it. She placed allies in command positions and started the battle.
And died.
We've been here before. People launch wars, start conflicts, fly planes and pilot ships. And when the rules change and things stop working like they used to, they get baffled, confused, still fight using old techniques, and then die. Sound barrier? You pull the yoke down, not up. Machine guns? Stop marching towards them and build trenches. Atomic weapons? Remove them from theatre commanders and fight wars thru proxies instead of directly.
The neoliberal consensus 1979?-2015? doesn't work any more. We'll work out what works eventually, but right now we don't know what we're doing.
Both Rishi Sunak and Rachel Reeves are intelligent, well dressed apparachiks who don't understand the world has changed, and they're going to drive us straight into the cliff. And die baffled, while we pick up the pieces.
So Sunak's government now has a net satisfaction rating higher than Major's in 1997 and higher than Truss and May's, even if slightly worse than Boris'
Actually, by 1997, net satisfaction with Major's government had perked up a bit to -46 (23 69 ; it was 8 86 at the nadir). Not that it did him much good.
Part of Sunak's problem is that there's so much time left. And whilst that might be time to make things better, it might also make things a whole lot worse.
Also, and you pointed this out the other day, Sunak is not Major.
Major evinced a certain empathy. He was a “decent man” who had been dealt a bad hand, and was surrounded by bastards. Also, he had been elected in 1992.
Sunak, while grudgingly assumed to be more level-headed than his predecessors, can’t shake off the image of an out-of-depth and overly self-regarding junior management consultant. Who was foisted upon the country by the hated Tory party.
What is the point of BoE independence if the person who is quite likely to Chancellor within a year pontificates publicly on its decisions?
You are weirdly obsessed with Keir and now Rachel – a diversion strategy presumably given the latest polling.
BJOFPX
Why is the Governor of the BoE still in post.
He is as shit at his job as SKS is at keeping pledges
Bailey decisions and indeed whether he is the right man for the job can certainly be questioned, but that's a behind the scenes matter for a shadow minister talking about a public official. Not that it's stopped the Tory press having a pile in, as they continue to go round like the Spanish inquisition looking for the heretics hexxing this blameless government.
So Sunak's government now has a net satisfaction rating higher than Major's in 1997 and higher than Truss and May's, even if slightly worse than Boris'
A result a bit better than than Major in 1997 is still a disaster for the Tories.
Given the Tories were heading for a 1993 Canadian Tories style wipeout and less than 50 seats under Truss last autumn, many Tory MPs would have bitten your hand off for a slightly better than Major 1997 result back then
They were not heading for that - polling is a snapshot not a prediction, as you will know.
Your threadbare Sunak ramping as he marches the Tory Party to crushing defeat is embarrassing.
They were. Truss resigned on 21 October last year, all polls in the week before her resignation had the Tories under 25%. One People Polling poll had the Tories on just 14%, Redfield had the Tories on just 19%. Results which would have left the Tories nearer 0 than 50 seats under FPTP
They were not, because a GE was not due to take place in the week before/after her resignation. Had a GE been imminent, then yes, your point would have some validity.
Under Sunak, the Tories have made a modest recovery which indicates little except some died in the wool Tory supporters reverting to type. There is no indication that had Truss stayed, this wouldn't still have happened.
Apparently the new extension to the trams in Edinburgh has doubled passenger numbers, including on the original line. The extension runs down Leith Walk, one of the most densely populated and low car ownership areas in Scotland.
Build it and they will come. The lack of infrastructure investment in the UK, whether it's HS2, Northern Powerhouse, trams, cycle lanes, ferries, or even roads (the A9) drives me crazy.
I'd like to think there is a PB consensus about diverting more public spending into this kinda stuff. And retaining the workforce, skills and supply chains for it - why isn't the next extension to the tram already starting? Once the first bit is done, keep going and going and going.
So Sunak's government now has a net satisfaction rating higher than Major's in 1997 and higher than Truss and May's, even if slightly worse than Boris'
A result a bit better than than Major in 1997 is still a disaster for the Tories.
Given the Tories were heading for a 1993 Canadian Tories style wipeout and less than 50 seats under Truss last autumn, many Tory MPs would have bitten your hand off for a slightly better than Major 1997 result back then
They were not heading for that - polling is a snapshot not a prediction, as you will know.
Your threadbare Sunak ramping as he marches the Tory Party to crushing defeat is embarrassing.
They were. Truss resigned on 21 October last year, all polls in the week before her resignation had the Tories under 25%. One People Polling poll had the Tories on just 14%, Redfield had the Tories on just 19%. Results which would have left the Tories nearer 0 than 50 seats under FPTP
They were not, because a GE was not due to take place in the week before/after her resignation. Had a GE been imminent, then yes, your point would have some validity.
Under Sunak, the Tories have made a modest recovery which indicates little except some died in the wool Tory supporters reverting to type. There is no indication that had Truss stayed, this wouldn't still have happened.
The minor recovery has only happened under Sunak, had Truss stayed the polling evidence is the Tories would not only have lost to Labour by a landslide but ceased to be the main Opposition. The LDs or SNP may well have won more MPs than the Truss Tories would have
What is the point of BoE independence if the person who is quite likely to Chancellor within a year pontificates publicly on its decisions?
You are weirdly obsessed with Keir and now Rachel – a diversion strategy presumably given the latest polling.
BJOFPX
A braver politician might have said that she was looking forward to discussing these things with Andrew Bailey and the MPC, and that it was important to establish whether the Bank's current mandate was serving the economy as it should be.
Rishi and Hunt have put aside £49billion of taxpayers money this year alone, to fund the Bank selling UK Government bonds off at a loss, which in turn destabilises the bond market and leads to the borrowing costs we've seen. That should be stopped now, and it inspires zero confidence in Reeve's character or ability that she hasn't promised to examine this.
Would the Remoaners on here finally STFU if we got a reformed Brexit that gave us back Freedom of Movement?
It seems to be the most emotive and profound loss, from Brexit, for a majority of Remainery people (and I share some of the pain, as I say). Perhaps that is the place where Britain could finally reconcile. Brexit Plus. Brexit Plus Freedom of Movement
In other words single market, which even Starmer won't touch for now for fear of losing the redwall marginals again
Would the Remoaners on here finally STFU if we got a reformed Brexit that gave us back Freedom of Movement?
It seems to be the most emotive and profound loss, from Brexit, for a majority of Remainery people (and I share some of the pain, as I say). Perhaps that is the place where Britain could finally reconcile. Brexit Plus. Brexit Plus Freedom of Movement
In other words single market, which even Starmer won't touch for now for fear of losing the redwall marginals again
No, I am talking about some bespoke arrangement, perhaps NOT in the Single Market (as @williamglenn rightly ponts out, that comes with a lot of hassles). A special arrangement where the UK agrees to FoM, and that's it. We might have to pay for it. The EU might welcome it. Who knows. Worth trying
We are at 47.4% fossil fuels, and 20.6% renewables.
Given on windy days we can easily see these figures reversed, it's clear that a workable form of energy storage (preferably medium-term storage) is vital. Goodness knows what form that will be, though.
Store the excess energy as heat. I think 1970's storage heaters controllable by internet for weather conditions and best spot rates for domestic use. Heated sand for industrial storage. Sand is the cheapest material and has a massive heat capacity.
People have been trying to build such systems for years. Lots of detail problems to solve.
What are the main problems with sand based heat storage for excess electricity production, bearing in mind the economic case only has to be justified on the marginal cost at peak prices?
Would the Remoaners on here finally STFU if we got a reformed Brexit that gave us back Freedom of Movement?
It seems to be the most emotive and profound loss, from Brexit, for a majority of Remainery people (and I share some of the pain, as I say). Perhaps that is the place where Britain could finally reconcile. Brexit Plus. Brexit Plus Freedom of Movement
In other words single market, which even Starmer won't touch for now for fear of losing the redwall marginals again
No, I am talking about some bespoke arrangement, perhaps NOT in the Single Market (as @williamglenn rightly ponts out, that comes with a lot of hassles). A special arrangement where the UK agrees to FoM, and that's it. We might have to pay for it. The EU might welcome it. Who knows. Worth trying
You mean an agreement like the EU has with Switzerland?
Would the Remoaners on here finally STFU if we got a reformed Brexit that gave us back Freedom of Movement?
It seems to be the most emotive and profound loss, from Brexit, for a majority of Remainery people (and I share some of the pain, as I say). Perhaps that is the place where Britain could finally reconcile. Brexit Plus. Brexit Plus Freedom of Movement
In other words single market, which even Starmer won't touch for now for fear of losing the redwall marginals again
No, I am talking about some bespoke arrangement, perhaps NOT in the Single Market (as @williamglenn rightly ponts out, that comes with a lot of hassles). A special arrangement where the UK agrees to FoM, and that's it. We might have to pay for it. The EU might welcome it. Who knows. Worth trying
It is the UK agreeing to FOM which the redwall voted against in the first place, they might even have accepted Single Market minus FoM
We are at 47.4% fossil fuels, and 20.6% renewables.
Given on windy days we can easily see these figures reversed, it's clear that a workable form of energy storage (preferably medium-term storage) is vital. Goodness knows what form that will be, though.
Store the excess energy as heat. I think 1970's storage heaters controllable by internet for weather conditions and best spot rates for domestic use. Heated sand for industrial storage. Sand is the cheapest material and has a massive heat capacity.
People have been trying to build such systems for years. Lots of detail problems to solve.
What are the main problems with sand based heat storage for excess electricity production, bearing in mind the economic case only has to be justified on the marginal cost at peak prices?
Well, you now have a pile of red to sand. How do you get the heat back, efficiently?
This leads to molten salts, eutectic (lead/bismuth) etc...
Apparently the new extension to the trams in Edinburgh has doubled passenger numbers, including on the original line. The extension runs down Leith Walk, one of the most densely populated and low car ownership areas in Scotland.
Build it and they will come. The lack of infrastructure investment in the UK, whether it's HS2, Northern Powerhouse, trams, cycle lanes, ferries, or even roads (the A9) drives me crazy.
I'd like to think there is a PB consensus about diverting more public spending into this kinda stuff. And retaining the workforce, skills and supply chains for it - why isn't the next extension to the tram already starting? Once the first bit is done, keep going and going and going.
Absolutely, we need to build more motorways, and then once those are built, build more.
The lack of development of roads is a major problem.
We have a motorway network with a lack of capacity and a lack of redundancy. If the M6 is shut due an an accident then what's the detour? Which motorway runs parallel that can be used as an alternative?
There is none, its like the M6 was built so 'job done' for that and then just use A-roads if there's any issues, which there perpetually are.
So Sunak's government now has a net satisfaction rating higher than Major's in 1997 and higher than Truss and May's, even if slightly worse than Boris'
A result a bit better than than Major in 1997 is still a disaster for the Tories.
Given the Tories were heading for a 1993 Canadian Tories style wipeout and less than 50 seats under Truss last autumn, many Tory MPs would have bitten your hand off for a slightly better than Major 1997 result back then
They were not heading for that - polling is a snapshot not a prediction, as you will know.
Your threadbare Sunak ramping as he marches the Tory Party to crushing defeat is embarrassing.
They were. Truss resigned on 21 October last year, all polls in the week before her resignation had the Tories under 25%. One People Polling poll had the Tories on just 14%, Redfield had the Tories on just 19%. Results which would have left the Tories nearer 0 than 50 seats under FPTP
They were not, because a GE was not due to take place in the week before/after her resignation. Had a GE been imminent, then yes, your point would have some validity.
Under Sunak, the Tories have made a modest recovery which indicates little except some died in the wool Tory supporters reverting to type. There is no indication that had Truss stayed, this wouldn't still have happened.
The minor recovery has only happened under Sunak, had Truss stayed the polling evidence is the Tories would not only have lost to Labour by a landslide but ceased to be the main Opposition. The LDs or SNP may well have won more MPs than the Truss Tories would have
I don't see what polling evidence there could be that could prove this hypothetical situation, but by all means present some.
Truss was prepared to be unpopular (not that unpopular obvs.) in the short term because she believed that there was a pay off in her policies that would manifest itself before the GE - a healthier economy, more affordable childcare, increased energy supply leading to lower bills, increased food supply leading to lower food costs, increased investment from the cancelling of the CT rise etc.
Had those policies borne fruit, a modest, or even non-modest polling recovery could have taken place. Even if they hadn't, one would still expect a small recovery as the mini-budget fiasco died as a news story.
Would the Remoaners on here finally STFU if we got a reformed Brexit that gave us back Freedom of Movement?
It seems to be the most emotive and profound loss, from Brexit, for a majority of Remainery people (and I share some of the pain, as I say). Perhaps that is the place where Britain could finally reconcile. Brexit Plus. Brexit Plus Freedom of Movement
In other words single market, which even Starmer won't touch for now for fear of losing the redwall marginals again
No, I am talking about some bespoke arrangement, perhaps NOT in the Single Market (as @williamglenn rightly ponts out, that comes with a lot of hassles). A special arrangement where the UK agrees to FoM, and that's it. We might have to pay for it. The EU might welcome it. Who knows. Worth trying
You mean an agreement like the EU has with Switzerland?
We are at 47.4% fossil fuels, and 20.6% renewables.
Given on windy days we can easily see these figures reversed, it's clear that a workable form of energy storage (preferably medium-term storage) is vital. Goodness knows what form that will be, though.
Store the excess energy as heat. I think 1970's storage heaters controllable by internet for weather conditions and best spot rates for domestic use. Heated sand for industrial storage. Sand is the cheapest material and has a massive heat capacity.
People have been trying to build such systems for years. Lots of detail problems to solve.
What are the main problems with sand based heat storage for excess electricity production, bearing in mind the economic case only has to be justified on the marginal cost at peak prices?
Well, you now have a pile of red to sand. How do you get the heat back, efficiently?
This leads to molten salts, eutectic (lead/bismuth) etc...
I know you two are going to bang back and forth about energy-to-heat-to-heat-storage-to-energy all day - molten salts! - so I'll just say "you know we can pump water up a mountain and let it flow back down", like we've been doing for forty years, and leave it there
Apparently the new extension to the trams in Edinburgh has doubled passenger numbers, including on the original line. The extension runs down Leith Walk, one of the most densely populated and low car ownership areas in Scotland.
Build it and they will come. The lack of infrastructure investment in the UK, whether it's HS2, Northern Powerhouse, trams, cycle lanes, ferries, or even roads (the A9) drives me crazy.
I'd like to think there is a PB consensus about diverting more public spending into this kinda stuff. And retaining the workforce, skills and supply chains for it - why isn't the next extension to the tram already starting? Once the first bit is done, keep going and going and going.
PC consensus maybe, but Britain is full of NIMBY and BANANA types, and a political class that as a whole is afraid of challenging the electorate, and only offers minor differences in policy, with little to no ambition or planning for the long term.
Does anyone actually believe that the result of the next general election will have even a marginal effect on dealing with the problems we currently face, or those we can easily anticipate? I sure as hell don't.
So Sunak's government now has a net satisfaction rating higher than Major's in 1997 and higher than Truss and May's, even if slightly worse than Boris'
A result a bit better than than Major in 1997 is still a disaster for the Tories.
Given the Tories were heading for a 1993 Canadian Tories style wipeout and less than 50 seats under Truss last autumn, many Tory MPs would have bitten your hand off for a slightly better than Major 1997 result back then
They were not heading for that - polling is a snapshot not a prediction, as you will know.
Your threadbare Sunak ramping as he marches the Tory Party to crushing defeat is embarrassing.
They were. Truss resigned on 21 October last year, all polls in the week before her resignation had the Tories under 25%. One People Polling poll had the Tories on just 14%, Redfield had the Tories on just 19%. Results which would have left the Tories nearer 0 than 50 seats under FPTP
They were not, because a GE was not due to take place in the week before/after her resignation. Had a GE been imminent, then yes, your point would have some validity.
Under Sunak, the Tories have made a modest recovery which indicates little except some died in the wool Tory supporters reverting to type. There is no indication that had Truss stayed, this wouldn't still have happened.
The minor recovery has only happened under Sunak, had Truss stayed the polling evidence is the Tories would not only have lost to Labour by a landslide but ceased to be the main Opposition. The LDs or SNP may well have won more MPs than the Truss Tories would have
I don't see what polling evidence there could be that could prove this hypothetical situation, but by all means present some.
Truss was prepared to be unpopular (not that unpopular obvs.) in the short term because she believed that there was a pay off in her policies that would manifest itself before the GE - a healthier economy, more affordable childcare, increased energy supply leading to lower bills, increased food supply leading to lower food costs, increased investment from the cancelling of the CT rise etc.
Had those policies borne fruit, a modest, or even non-modest polling recovery could have taken place. Even if they hadn't, one would still expect a small recovery as the mini-budget fiasco died as a news story.
I have just given you one.
Put in the last Redfield poll under Truss' Premiership and you got Labour 571 seats, SNP 33, LDs 19 and Tories just 6.
Now however the latest Redfield poll gives Labour 469, Tories 105, SNP 33, LD 22. So even on that poll Sunak still doing about 100 MPs better than Truss
Right-wing idiots joining the left-wing idiots from yesterday, in tying to make political capital from a tragedy.
Can people no longer think before opening their mouths online?
The guy who built the sub was one of the victims, he wouldn’t have been there if he thought it was unsafe. That said, deep-sea exploration is unfathomably (sic) dangerous, and they all knew there was a chance of catastrophic failure.
I sympathise with the sentiment that these deaths should not be used to make cheap political points. I feel particularly awful about the University of Strathclyde student who went on the trip with his Dad as a Father's Day present and was apparently terrified.
Nevertheless, I think I don't think we can shy away from discussing the fact that this tragedy has resulted in eye watering amounts of public money (largely North American public money) being spent on rescue efforts and the diversion of military resources. To get on a ski slope in most places you have to take out insurance to cover the chances of something going wrong. Doing something this inherently dangerous (I read that the disclaimer mentioned 'death' three times on the first page) needs to have some sort of financial scheme to cover these eventualities. Isn't there a £10k fee for climbing Everest now?
Also, the Titanic is a resting place for about 1500 people. Can we not leave them in peace as we do Military Maritime Graves under the Protection of Military Remains Act 1986 (although perhaps that doesn't stop tourism)?
Most of that American money was spent anyway. It's not like they hurriedly built some ships and press-ganged some new sailors.
In general terms, militaries usually love having a civilian emergency to deal with. For the men on the ground, it’s a chance to show off their capability, skills, and training; and for the brass hats, it’s a chance to show their value to the politicians who sign the cheques.
It’s a different equation when volunteer rescuers are involved though - ask the mountain rescue folks, what they think of the idiots who climb a mountain in shorts and flip-flops, when it’s almost freezing at the top and fog was forecast.
In USA, in mountain other similar rescue situations, public agencies are (mostly) the core of rescue efforts, aided by (plenty) of volunteers.
And generally agencies such as local sheriff's departments and the like, have the ability to charge those they rescue for costs incurred. Though reckon that 90% plus of the time, they don't.
Though you never hear of the volunteer mountain rescue or lifeboat crews, in the U.K., saying “Screw those stupid people.”
They always go. Though you hear stories of people speaking their minds to the rescued.
Would the Remoaners on here finally STFU if we got a reformed Brexit that gave us back Freedom of Movement?
It seems to be the most emotive and profound loss, from Brexit, for a majority of Remainery people (and I share some of the pain, as I say). Perhaps that is the place where Britain could finally reconcile. Brexit Plus. Brexit Plus Freedom of Movement
We'll be like the ERG in reverse - you'll never appease us with titbit after titbit, grudging morsel after dry crumb. We'll always want more. Pure, hard, diamond-tipped Rejoin. Whatever acronym is the 180 degree opposite of BRINO. I want my EU citizenship back.
Blue flagged, rather than brown-watered, beaches, the Euro, Schengen, the banning of offshore tax havens, the whole shebang please. Coming out hasn't worked, let's go back in full-throttle. If you could make that so I'd be very appreciative.
Incidentally, it was very astute of Question Time to stuff last night's audience full of ill-informed gammon, dribbling out the same tired, discredited Johnsonian garbage. (Didn't watch it, of course, but the QT hashtag throws up a damning verdict from the hive mind.) In a few years when admitting voting Leave in polite company will be akin to squatting down and curling one out on your host's lovely dining table, nice people can shudder and say with a contemptuous titter 'No, of course I didn't vote Leave! It was voted for by those ghastly mouth-breathing idiots who look like they've been sculpted out of pork pie meat. What common accents they have. Like on that Question Time, you remember.'
So Sunak's government now has a net satisfaction rating higher than Major's in 1997 and higher than Truss and May's, even if slightly worse than Boris'
A result a bit better than than Major in 1997 is still a disaster for the Tories.
Given the Tories were heading for a 1993 Canadian Tories style wipeout and less than 50 seats under Truss last autumn, many Tory MPs would have bitten your hand off for a slightly better than Major 1997 result back then
They were not heading for that - polling is a snapshot not a prediction, as you will know.
Your threadbare Sunak ramping as he marches the Tory Party to crushing defeat is embarrassing.
They were. Truss resigned on 21 October last year, all polls in the week before her resignation had the Tories under 25%. One People Polling poll had the Tories on just 14%, Redfield had the Tories on just 19%. Results which would have left the Tories nearer 0 than 50 seats under FPTP
They were not, because a GE was not due to take place in the week before/after her resignation. Had a GE been imminent, then yes, your point would have some validity.
Under Sunak, the Tories have made a modest recovery which indicates little except some died in the wool Tory supporters reverting to type. There is no indication that had Truss stayed, this wouldn't still have happened.
The minor recovery has only happened under Sunak, had Truss stayed the polling evidence is the Tories would not only have lost to Labour by a landslide but ceased to be the main Opposition. The LDs or SNP may well have won more MPs than the Truss Tories would have
I don't see what polling evidence there could be that could prove this hypothetical situation, but by all means present some.
Truss was prepared to be unpopular (not that unpopular obvs.) in the short term because she believed that there was a pay off in her policies that would manifest itself before the GE - a healthier economy, more affordable childcare, increased energy supply leading to lower bills, increased food supply leading to lower food costs, increased investment from the cancelling of the CT rise etc.
Had those policies borne fruit, a modest, or even non-modest polling recovery could have taken place. Even if they hadn't, one would still expect a small recovery as the mini-budget fiasco died as a news story.
I have just given you one.
Put in the last Redfield poll under Truss' Premiership and you got Labour 571 seats, SNP 33, LDs 19 and Tories just 6.
Now however the latest Redfield poll gives Labour 469, Tories 105, SNP 33, LD 22. So even on that poll Sunak still doing about 100 MPs better than Truss
I am not going to lambast you for being stupid, because I know full well that you completely understand the point that I am making; you're just choosing not to acknowledge it.
I will merely reiterate that mid-term polling, especially in the immediate aftermath of a policy crisis like the mini-budget fiasco, cannot predict the outcome of a General Election due to take place more than two years in the future. You know that, I know that, anyone who reads PB knows that.
So you don't have any evidence that had Truss survived, the Tories wouldn't have recovered in the polls - I didn't think you would have.
So Sunak's government now has a net satisfaction rating higher than Major's in 1997 and higher than Truss and May's, even if slightly worse than Boris'
A result a bit better than than Major in 1997 is still a disaster for the Tories.
Given the Tories were heading for a 1993 Canadian Tories style wipeout and less than 50 seats under Truss last autumn, many Tory MPs would have bitten your hand off for a slightly better than Major 1997 result back then
They were not heading for that - polling is a snapshot not a prediction, as you will know.
Your threadbare Sunak ramping as he marches the Tory Party to crushing defeat is embarrassing.
They were. Truss resigned on 21 October last year, all polls in the week before her resignation had the Tories under 25%. One People Polling poll had the Tories on just 14%, Redfield had the Tories on just 19%. Results which would have left the Tories nearer 0 than 50 seats under FPTP
They were not, because a GE was not due to take place in the week before/after her resignation. Had a GE been imminent, then yes, your point would have some validity.
Under Sunak, the Tories have made a modest recovery which indicates little except some died in the wool Tory supporters reverting to type. There is no indication that had Truss stayed, this wouldn't still have happened.
The minor recovery has only happened under Sunak, had Truss stayed the polling evidence is the Tories would not only have lost to Labour by a landslide but ceased to be the main Opposition. The LDs or SNP may well have won more MPs than the Truss Tories would have
I don't see what polling evidence there could be that could prove this hypothetical situation, but by all means present some.
Truss was prepared to be unpopular (not that unpopular obvs.) in the short term because she believed that there was a pay off in her policies that would manifest itself before the GE - a healthier economy, more affordable childcare, increased energy supply leading to lower bills, increased food supply leading to lower food costs, increased investment from the cancelling of the CT rise etc.
Had those policies borne fruit, a modest, or even non-modest polling recovery could have taken place. Even if they hadn't, one would still expect a small recovery as the mini-budget fiasco died as a news story.
I have just given you one.
Put in the last Redfield poll under Truss' Premiership and you got Labour 571 seats, SNP 33, LDs 19 and Tories just 6.
Now however the latest Redfield poll gives Labour 469, Tories 105, SNP 33, LD 22. So even on that poll Sunak still doing about 100 MPs better than Truss
I am not going to lambast you for being stupid, because I know full well that you completely understand the point that I am making; you're just choosing not to acknowledge it.
I will merely reiterate that mid-term polling, especially in the immediate aftermath of a policy crisis like the mini-budget fiasco, cannot predict the outcome of a General Election due to take place more than two years in the future. You know that, I know that, anyone who reads PB knows that.
So you don't have any evidence that had Truss survived, the Tories wouldn't have recovered in the polls - I didn't think you would have.
Yes I know you think Truss would have recovered but on the polls before she resigned even Epping Forest would have gone Labour. Brentwood and Ongar (where we now live) would have been one of the handful of Tory seats left (and only because of the rural bits around Ongar, Brentwood itself would also have gone Labour)
Would the Remoaners on here finally STFU if we got a reformed Brexit that gave us back Freedom of Movement?
It seems to be the most emotive and profound loss, from Brexit, for a majority of Remainery people (and I share some of the pain, as I say). Perhaps that is the place where Britain could finally reconcile. Brexit Plus. Brexit Plus Freedom of Movement
We'll be like the ERG in reverse - you'll never appease us with titbit after titbit, grudging morsel after dry crumb. We'll always want more. Pure, hard, diamond-tipped Rejoin. Whatever acronym is the 180 degree opposite of BRINO. I want my EU citizenship back.
Blue flagged, rather than brown-watered, beaches, the Euro, Schengen, the banning of offshore tax havens, the whole shebang please. Coming out hasn't worked, let's go back in full-throttle. If you could make that so I'd be very appreciative.
Incidentally, it was very astute of Question Time to stuff last night's audience full of ill-informed gammon, dribbling out the same tired, discredited Johnsonian garbage. (Didn't watch it, of course, but the QT hashtag throws up a damning verdict from the hive mind.) In a few years when admitting voting Leave in polite company will be akin to squatting down and curling one out on your host's lovely dining table, nice people can shudder and say with a contemptuous titter 'No, of course I didn't vote Leave! It was voted for by those ghastly mouth-breathing idiots who look like they've been sculpted out of pork pie meat. What common accents they have. Like on that Question Time, you remember.'
Aaaaand, this sneering drivel is why you will never get to Rejoin. You immediately alienate a Liberal Leaver like me, and make me yearn for even Harder Brexit so you suffer, again and again
I know you are half joking, but you are only half joking. So I say to the other half: HAHAHAHAHAHA, we're never going back in. Tough shit
Comments
This whining bollocks about 'what I have lost' is just self pitying garbage by those who have only discovered their supposed 'European' identity since Brexit.
Grow up.
Labour 47% (+3 from May)
Conservatives 25% (-3)
Lib Dems 13% (-)
Greens 8% (+2)
Other 8% (-)
1,003 GB adults interviewed by telephone 14-20 June
Short 🧵
https://twitter.com/keiranpedley/status/1672200104759943168
5/ To finish ... worst govt net satisfaction ratings by PM via
@IpsosUK
Thatcher: -63 (Mar 90)
Major: -78 (Dec 94)
Blair: -47 (May / Nov 06)
Brown: -62 (June 09)
Cameron: -45 (Jul 16)
May: -77 (Jun 19)
Johnson: -67 (Sep 19)
Truss: -69 (Oct 22)
_______
Sunak: -68 (Jun 23)
The 18-year-old, who plays his county cricket for Leicestershire, took seven wickets against Pakistan on debut last winter.
He now stands a chance of making his second Test appearance in the match at Lord's, which starts on Wednesday."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/live/cricket/65032548
Part of Sunak's problem is that there's so much time left. And whilst that might be time to make things better, it might also make things a whole lot worse.
Maybe I am talking my own book (my UK mortgage is up for renewal in December)…😱
Your threadbare Sunak ramping as he marches the Tory Party to crushing defeat is embarrassing.
Looks like it is understating the yellow peril a bit. Wells, Yeovil and Norfolk North will be back in the Lib Dem column come the next GE - the safest seat for the Tories I reckon... Castle Point.
Did you also go to London and Munich and if so, were they also talking about pop music?[ouch. It was actually "New York, London, Paris, Munich". Brain not working.]
https://twitter.com/MrBenSellers/status/1672215011081564161
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election
They always go. Though you hear stories of people speaking their minds to the rescued.
What is the point of BoE independence if the person who is quite likely to Chancellor within a year pontificates publicly on its decisions?
You are weirdly obsessed with Keir and now Rachel – a diversion strategy presumably given the latest polling.
BJOFPX
https://twitter.com/Martin_Abrams/status/1672207195377655810
We would have voted No, that would have been an end to greater integration, for the UK - but we would have remained in the EU, thus avoiding Brexit
But no, europhilies like you, in your wisdom, kept denying us a vote as our democracy was stripped away, so we ended up with your worst nightmare: Brexit
SUCK IT UP, LOSER
House prices (as multiple of earnings) are now at their highest since 1876.
But they were consistently higher (and much higher) before then.
https://www.schroders.com/en/global/individual/insights/what-174-years-of-data-tell-us-about-house-price-affordability-in-the-uk/
This is the guy who supported a loser twice in a row and still does.
KS is currently 22 points ahead, I think he knows a lot more about politics than you.
Says all we need to know about Centrist mentality.
He is as shit at his job as SKS is at keeping pledges
It's also fair to say not everyone who says they would support the nominee really will - if Trump says he will would anyone believe that, in the event the nominee was not him? But if they are making people pledge it to get in a debate, of course.
Personally I'd take the chance but of course it could go horribly wrong.
I hoped that we would end up with a Brexit somehow in the SM, so we kept FoM. However I also accept that my job was not menaced by millions of Bulgarian dildo knappers coming over to Britain undercutting my trade, and I entirely accept that others felt differently. Voting Leave to lower immigration and control the borders was a legitimate aspiration, certainly not inherently "racist"
That said, the Tories have failed to lower immigration - it is now higher than ever (albeit we are getting more skilled migrants than unskilled, which is good); and nor do we have control of the border, the boats cross the Channel every day, apparently unstoppable
In that light, who cares about European migration on top of that? They won't come here in any greater numbers than they do already, coz the economy has cratered
A reformed Brexit where we regained FoM in some form would seem to satisfy most people. We would still be sovereign and independent, BUT people like @northern_monkey and @roger would get their precious European identity back. If Starmer can sort this out (not gonna be easy) I might actively support his party
Incidentally at the moment the same data sources would give £286,000/£32,300 = 8.9x, down from 9.1x. One to keep an eye on because flat prices and wage increases should help bring things down... a bit.
This is the chief political correspondent of the Washington Examiner. Who is clearly very stupid indeed.
https://twitter.com/ByronYork/status/1672225672314404867
By the low standards of a civil case, a jury found Trump guilty of a decades-old instance of 'sexual abuse.' He maintains he is innocent and that his accuser is lying, or mistaken, or delusional, or something. Now, he will be tried again for saying that...
...After criminal convictions in very serious matters, isn't it common for defendants to continue to maintain their innocence? To say that their accusers are lying, or mistaken, or delusional, or something? Should they face additional charges for maintaining their innocence?
Before the IR, a simple shirt cost as much as an expensive Paul Smith t-shirt. Industrialisation gave us Primark.
It seems to be the most emotive and profound loss, from Brexit, for a majority of Remainery people (and I share some of the pain, as I say). Perhaps that is the place where Britain could finally reconcile. Brexit Plus. Brexit Plus Freedom of Movement
And died.
We've been here before. People launch wars, start conflicts, fly planes and pilot ships. And when the rules change and things stop working like they used to, they get baffled, confused, still fight using old techniques, and then die. Sound barrier? You pull the yoke down, not up. Machine guns? Stop marching towards them and build trenches. Atomic weapons? Remove them from theatre commanders and fight wars thru proxies instead of directly.
The neoliberal consensus 1979?-2015? doesn't work any more. We'll work out what works eventually, but right now we don't know what we're doing.
Both Rishi Sunak and Rachel Reeves are intelligent, well dressed apparachiks who don't understand the world has changed, and they're going to drive us straight into the cliff. And die baffled, while we pick up the pieces.
Major evinced a certain empathy. He was a “decent man” who had been dealt a bad hand, and was surrounded by bastards. Also, he had been elected in 1992.
Sunak, while grudgingly assumed to be more level-headed than his predecessors, can’t shake off the image of an out-of-depth and overly self-regarding junior management consultant. Who was foisted upon the country by the hated Tory party.
RR perfectly correct not to play that game.
Under Sunak, the Tories have made a modest recovery which indicates little except some died in the wool Tory supporters reverting to type. There is no indication that had Truss stayed, this wouldn't still have happened.
https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/first-read/poll-61-voters-disapprove-supreme-court-decision-overturning-roe-rcna90415
One appearance, and one wicket in 2018.
Australia made the small matter of 649/7 dec.
https://www.espncricinfo.com/series/england-in-australia-and-new-zealand-2017-18-1072261/australia-vs-england-5th-test-1072309/full-scorecard
Build it and they will come. The lack of infrastructure investment in the UK, whether it's HS2, Northern Powerhouse, trams, cycle lanes, ferries, or even roads (the A9) drives me crazy.
I'd like to think there is a PB consensus about diverting more public spending into this kinda stuff. And retaining the workforce, skills and supply chains for it - why isn't the next extension to the tram already starting? Once the first bit is done, keep going and going and going.
Rishi and Hunt have put aside £49billion of taxpayers money this year alone, to fund the Bank selling UK Government bonds off at a loss, which in turn destabilises the bond market and leads to the borrowing costs we've seen. That should be stopped now, and it inspires zero confidence in Reeve's character or ability that she hasn't promised to examine this.
This leads to molten salts, eutectic (lead/bismuth) etc...
The lack of development of roads is a major problem.
We have a motorway network with a lack of capacity and a lack of redundancy. If the M6 is shut due an an accident then what's the detour? Which motorway runs parallel that can be used as an alternative?
There is none, its like the M6 was built so 'job done' for that and then just use A-roads if there's any issues, which there perpetually are.
Truss was prepared to be unpopular (not that unpopular obvs.) in the short term because she believed that there was a pay off in her policies that would manifest itself before the GE - a healthier economy, more affordable childcare, increased energy supply leading to lower bills, increased food supply leading to lower food costs, increased investment from the cancelling of the CT rise etc.
Had those policies borne fruit, a modest, or even non-modest polling recovery could have taken place. Even if they hadn't, one would still expect a small recovery as the mini-budget fiasco died as a news story.
Does anyone actually believe that the result of the next general election will have even a marginal effect on dealing with the problems we currently face, or those we can easily anticipate? I sure as hell don't.
Put in the last Redfield poll under Truss' Premiership and you got Labour 571 seats, SNP 33, LDs 19 and Tories just 6.
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/magnified-email/issue-53/
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/usercode.py?scotcontrol=Y&CON=19&LAB=55&LIB=12&Reform=4&Green=4&UKIP=&TVCON=&TVLAB=&TVLIB=&TVReform=&TVGreen=&TVUKIP=&SCOTCON=17.4&SCOTLAB=30.7&SCOTLIB=8&SCOTReform=1.4&SCOTGreen=2.7&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTNAT=37.8&display=AllChanged&regorseat=(none)&boundary=2019nbbase
Now however the latest Redfield poll gives Labour 469, Tories 105, SNP 33, LD 22. So even on that poll Sunak still doing about 100 MPs better than Truss
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-18-june-2023/
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/usercode.py?scotcontrol=Y&CON=26&LAB=46&LIB=12&Reform=7&Green=6&UKIP=&TVCON=&TVLAB=&TVLIB=&TVReform=&TVGreen=&TVUKIP=&SCOTCON=17.4&SCOTLAB=30.7&SCOTLIB=8&SCOTReform=1.4&SCOTGreen=2.7&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTNAT=37.8&display=AllChanged&regorseat=(none)&boundary=2019nbbase
Blue flagged, rather than brown-watered, beaches, the Euro, Schengen, the banning of offshore tax havens, the whole shebang please. Coming out hasn't worked, let's go back in full-throttle. If you could make that so I'd be very appreciative.
Incidentally, it was very astute of Question Time to stuff last night's audience full of ill-informed gammon, dribbling out the same tired, discredited Johnsonian garbage. (Didn't watch it, of course, but the QT hashtag throws up a damning verdict from the hive mind.) In a few years when admitting voting Leave in polite company will be akin to squatting down and curling one out on your host's lovely dining table, nice people can shudder and say with a contemptuous titter 'No, of course I didn't vote Leave! It was voted for by those ghastly mouth-breathing idiots who look like they've been sculpted out of pork pie meat. What common accents they have. Like on that Question Time, you remember.'
I will merely reiterate that mid-term polling, especially in the immediate aftermath of a policy crisis like the mini-budget fiasco, cannot predict the outcome of a General Election due to take place more than two years in the future. You know that, I know that, anyone who reads PB knows that.
So you don't have any evidence that had Truss survived, the Tories wouldn't have recovered in the polls - I didn't think you would have.
I know you are half joking, but you are only half joking. So I say to the other half: HAHAHAHAHAHA, we're never going back in. Tough shit
Labour leader’s summer holiday job revealed by university friend"
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/keir-starmer-sold-ice-creams-in-illegally-in-france-as-student-z6j5z9x8r