Was Sunak’s no show in the vote a mistake? – politicalbetting.com
"Is Rishi Sunak in hiding?"Bob Seely was the poor sap pushed out last night to defend the PM's Commons no-show – and duly got his arse handed to him by Victoria Derbyshire.https://t.co/aFZJxt33LC
The Titanic submarine loss dominates the headlines, effectively burying the news of Rishi's abstention from a vote that will barely command a footnote in history.
Sunak is in office only because the warring factions inside the corruption party can't agree on a replacement. Parliament either is sovereign or it isn't. Yesterday, despite he and so many of his MPs having supported Brexit to make parliament sovereign, he showed that they don't support that kind of sovereignty.
He has a tough gig. But when it is tough you have to lead. Put Up or Shut Up. Not free vote and don't even bother doing that.
Blair Major Thatcher Brown May Cameron Sunak . . . . . Johnson Truss
I mark Thatcher down because she squandered North Sea oil revenues, kept unemployment high for longer than necessary, failed to progress NI peace, tried to block the progress of social liberalism.
What would have been the downside of him voting for the report?
Of course it was a mistake. Weak, weak, weak.
Of the three choices none is perfect, but there are greater dangers for a PM in being found supporting or opposing Boris than there are in standing aside. Of the three it is the most forgettable. It will not figure in the next election, or change minds now.
I was extremely disappointed in Sunak avoiding the vote and on the face of it it was an own goal which his opponents will celebrate
Whether it has traction in the months ahead only time will tell, but the party have to come together and move on as it faces the most intractable of problems, not least the rising mortgage rates
It is clear that there is very little the government can do to ameliorate these increases without scaring the markets and seeing even higher rates
The one stark lesson Truss demonstrated to politicians is propose unfunded tax cuts or increased spending and the markets will act adversely
It is one of the reasons that I expect Starmer to continue to water down his more ambitious spending programmes but notwithstanding, it is time for the country to accept, covid, the war in Ukraine, and indeed in some part Brexit will see years of turmoil and poorer living standards for many, though some as always will prosper
It is not a happy climate for any government, especially one looking to take office, and hard unpopular decisions will be the order of the day
The Titanic submarine loss dominates the headlines, effectively burying the news of Rishi's abstention from a vote that will barely command a footnote in history.
So a pair of sinkings has saved Sunak from being sunk?
What would have been the downside of him voting for the report?
Of course it was a mistake. Weak, weak, weak.
Of the three choices none is perfect, but there are greater dangers for a PM in being found supporting or opposing Boris than there are in standing aside. Of the three it is the most forgettable. It will not figure in the next election, or change minds now.
It won't figure in the next election, but voting against Johnson was a chance to make him look like a strong leader, and win over a few voters. Opportunity missed.
Blair Major Thatcher Brown May Cameron Sunak . . . . . Johnson Truss
I mark Thatcher down because she squandered North Sea oil revenues, kept unemployment high for longer than necessary, failed to progress NI peace, tried to block the progress of social liberalism.
The Titanic submarine loss dominates the headlines, effectively burying the news of Rishi's abstention from a vote that will barely command a footnote in history.
It is very sad that a billionaire and four friends are missing whilst out on a misadventure, but I fail to see why it would be top story on all networks.
Five scallywags missing after a night out in a town on a significant river wouldn't elicit such coverage.
Blair Major Thatcher Brown May Cameron Sunak . . . . . Johnson Truss
I mark Thatcher down because she squandered North Sea oil revenues, kept unemployment high for longer than necessary, failed to progress NI peace, tried to block the progress of social liberalism.
Good analysis, but you still have Truss and Johnson the wrong way around. A-
Not too many people outside the political bubble will be that bothered by this.
Lots of people will be bothered by continuing high inflation, increasing interest rates and the consequent erosion of their real wealth and incomes.
On that, the latest from Which continues to confirm very high [edit] food price inflation at "ordinary family shops in ordinary supermarket" level. A key issue is the relatively high rise in own-label cheap end of the market stuff.
The Titanic submarine loss dominates the headlines, effectively burying the news of Rishi's abstention from a vote that will barely command a footnote in history.
So a pair of sinkings has saved Sunak from being sunk?
I don't think missing yesterday's vote is hugely important for Sunak. Rather, what will do for him in the end is his wooden and repetitive responses to questions, exemplified yesterday when he just kept repeating the same mantra "it's a matter for parliament". He does this all the time, just repeats the same tangential answer regardless of the precise question:
Interviewer: PM, what did you have for lunch today? Sunak: What the British people want us to do is to deliver our 5 key priorities: halving inflation...... stopping the boats. Interviewer: Do you think Boris Johnson will ever return to parliament? Sunak: What the British people want us to do is to deliver our key priorities.......... (and on an on).
It's painful. I remain of the view that Sunak is over-rated, and may well collapse into a gibbering heap under the spotlight of a GE campaign
Blair Major Thatcher Brown May Cameron Sunak . . . . . Johnson Truss
I mark Thatcher down because she squandered North Sea oil revenues, kept unemployment high for longer than necessary, failed to progress NI peace, tried to block the progress of social liberalism.
Also got South Africa wrong. Clearer for me if allowed to cheat and splut Thatcher 79-87ish and Thatcher 87ish-90
The Titanic submarine loss dominates the headlines, effectively burying the news of Rishi's abstention from a vote that will barely command a footnote in history.
It is very sad that a billionaire and four friends are missing whilst out on a misadventure, but I fail to see why it would be top story on all networks.
Five scallywags missing after a night out in a town on a significant river wouldn't elicit such coverage.
Depends if they were recreating a night out based on an Oscar winning blockbuster film based on the most famous night out ever.
Not too many people outside the political bubble will be that bothered by this.
Lots of people will be bothered by continuing high inflation, increasing interest rates and the consequent erosion of their real wealth and incomes.
On that, the latest from Which continues to confirm very high [edit] food price inflation at "ordinary family shops in ordinary supermarket" level. A key issue is the relatively high rise in own-label cheap end of the market stuff.
If food and housing are going up far more than the 5% or whatever Mr Sunak et al loudly proclaim, his statements will be worse tham useless.
Not sure Rishi is going to make the 5% CPI. Given the significant technical falls in CPI which will occur this year due to the elimination of the impact of big energy and fuel increases in 2022, this is very disappointing.
Even 5% CPI is extremely high and corrosive of income and wealth. Not everyone can get pay rises in line with inflation and lots of private pension schemes only increase in response to inflation by a limited extent. Also annuity holders see their income eroded.
The Titanic submarine loss dominates the headlines, effectively burying the news of Rishi's abstention from a vote that will barely command a footnote in history.
It is very sad that a billionaire and four friends are missing whilst out on a misadventure, but I fail to see why it would be top story on all networks.
Five scallywags missing after a night out in a town on a significant river wouldn't elicit such coverage.
Nor did 500 migrants drowning in the Mediterranean, in fact.
The Titanic submarine loss dominates the headlines, effectively burying the news of Rishi's abstention from a vote that will barely command a footnote in history.
It is very sad that a billionaire and four friends are missing whilst out on a misadventure, but I fail to see why it would be top story on all networks.
Five scallywags missing after a night out in a town on a significant river wouldn't elicit such coverage.
Nor did 500 migrants drowning in the Mediterranean, in fact.
Actually that was covered extensively on Sky and the BBC
Terrible tragedy and a very serious problem for the EU as Italy, Greece and others decline help
The Titanic submarine loss dominates the headlines, effectively burying the news of Rishi's abstention from a vote that will barely command a footnote in history.
It is very sad that a billionaire and four friends are missing whilst out on a misadventure, but I fail to see why it would be top story on all networks.
Five scallywags missing after a night out in a town on a significant river wouldn't elicit such coverage.
Nor did 500 migrants drowning in the Mediterranean, in fact.
Actually that was covered extensively on Sky and the BBC
Terrible tragedy and a very serious problem for the EU as Italy, Greece and others decline help
The ones that make it are a problem for the EU (and the UK where some will end up) but the ones that drown... not so much... They are probably a net positive for the EU due to the deterrent effect.
Anyone with an interest in football may want to review the red card Wales received last night. A thing of some wonder. He basically kicked the Turkish player in the nuts. High doesn’t even begin to describe the tackle.
Anyone with an interest in football may want to review the red card Wales received last night. A thing of some wonder. He basically kicked the Turkish player in the nuts. High doesn’t even begin to describe the tackle.
The Titanic submarine loss dominates the headlines, effectively burying the news of Rishi's abstention from a vote that will barely command a footnote in history.
It is very sad that a billionaire and four friends are missing whilst out on a misadventure, but I fail to see why it would be top story on all networks.
Five scallywags missing after a night out in a town on a significant river wouldn't elicit such coverage.
Yes and no. I think if they had driven a car into a river there would be coverage. I get your point (do we care more for wealthy people) but I think there is also the 'unusual' factor involved here too. Also its missing, not confirmed what's happened, so there is mystery too.
France has too many tourists, apparently, so expect the Gazette's top travel writers (Monsieur @Leon in particular) to steer visitors to the less exposed parts of the country. Thank Dieu that no bloody fool has arranged to hold the Olympics in Paris. Oh, they have. Damn.
The Titanic submarine loss dominates the headlines, effectively burying the news of Rishi's abstention from a vote that will barely command a footnote in history.
It is very sad that a billionaire and four friends are missing whilst out on a misadventure, but I fail to see why it would be top story on all networks.
Five scallywags missing after a night out in a town on a significant river wouldn't elicit such coverage.
Nor did 500 migrants drowning in the Mediterranean, in fact.
Actually that was covered extensively on Sky and the BBC
Terrible tragedy and a very serious problem for the EU as Italy, Greece and others decline help
The ones that make it are a problem for the EU (and the UK where some will end up) but the ones that drown... not so much... They are probably a net positive for the EU due to the deterrent effect.
Well, they are an economic loss for the nice chaps who run this
France has too many tourists, apparently, so expect the Gazette's top travel writers (Monsieur @Leon in particular) to steer visitors to the less exposed parts of the country. Thank Dieu that no bloody fool has arranged to hold the Olympics in Paris. Oh, they have. Damn.
The French will put up as much resistance as they did in May/June 1940.
This French bluster is all fart and no follow through.
Blair Major Thatcher Brown May Cameron Sunak . . . . . Johnson Truss
I mark Thatcher down because she squandered North Sea oil revenues, kept unemployment high for longer than necessary, failed to progress NI peace, tried to block the progress of social liberalism.
The Titanic submarine loss dominates the headlines, effectively burying the news of Rishi's abstention from a vote that will barely command a footnote in history.
It is very sad that a billionaire and four friends are missing whilst out on a misadventure, but I fail to see why it would be top story on all networks.
Five scallywags missing after a night out in a town on a significant river wouldn't elicit such coverage.
Yes and no. I think if they had driven a car into a river there would be coverage. I get your point (do we care more for wealthy people) but I think there is also the 'unusual' factor involved here too. Also its missing, not confirmed what's happened, so there is mystery too.
What the new organisations are hoping for is a "race against time" to rescue a sunken sub.
Carbon fibre is an interesting choice for a pressure vessel.
"He described being initially hesitant about going aboard the sub at all because some of the components appeared "off the shelf, sort of improvised". "You steer this sub with an Xbox game controller, some of the ballast is abandoned construction pipes." Pogue said he had been reassured by Titan's inventor and OceanGate's CEO, Stockton Rush, that the carbon-fibre main capsule had been co-designed with Nasa and the University of Washington and was "rock solid".
What would have been the downside of him voting for the report?
Of course it was a mistake. Weak, weak, weak.
I don't believe you understand Sunak's impressive game of 4D chess.
(I am not sure he does either.)
Sunak is spineless and that is his issue. None of the recent PMs have shown much spine. TMay looked like she had some spine but it transpired that what she really had was total deafness. Truss was an idiot (no shock there) and Boris runs from every hard problem that comes along. Even Cameron was lazy.
Starmer needs to show some backbone and leadership. If he does that he will get a easy second term.
The Titanic submarine loss dominates the headlines, effectively burying the news of Rishi's abstention from a vote that will barely command a footnote in history.
It is very sad that a billionaire and four friends are missing whilst out on a misadventure, but I fail to see why it would be top story on all networks.
Five scallywags missing after a night out in a town on a significant river wouldn't elicit such coverage.
Yes and no. I think if they had driven a car into a river there would be coverage. I get your point (do we care more for wealthy people) but I think there is also the 'unusual' factor involved here too. Also its missing, not confirmed what's happened, so there is mystery too.
What the new organisations are hoping for is a "race against time" to rescue a sunken sub.
Carbon fibre is an interesting choice for a pressure vessel.
"He described being initially hesitant about going aboard the sub at all because some of the components appeared "off the shelf, sort of improvised". "You steer this sub with an Xbox game controller, some of the ballast is abandoned construction pipes." Pogue said he had been reassured by Titan's inventor and OceanGate's CEO, Stockton Rush, that the carbon-fibre main capsule had been co-designed with Nasa and the University of Washington and was "rock solid".
Blair Major Thatcher Brown May Cameron Sunak . . . . . Johnson Truss
I mark Thatcher down because she squandered North Sea oil revenues, kept unemployment high for longer than necessary, failed to progress NI peace, tried to block the progress of social liberalism.
Spot on.
She actually started the modern NI peace process.
It was a twin track effort - reaching out to the Irish government, killing off the hardline terrorists on both sides. The later was accomplished by using double agents - who rose to positions of power in the various organisations. And worked to kill off the hardliners who didn't want peace.
The Titanic submarine loss dominates the headlines, effectively burying the news of Rishi's abstention from a vote that will barely command a footnote in history.
It is very sad that a billionaire and four friends are missing whilst out on a misadventure, but I fail to see why it would be top story on all networks.
Five scallywags missing after a night out in a town on a significant river wouldn't elicit such coverage.
Yes and no. I think if they had driven a car into a river there would be coverage. I get your point (do we care more for wealthy people) but I think there is also the 'unusual' factor involved here too. Also its missing, not confirmed what's happened, so there is mystery too.
What the new organisations are hoping for is a "race against time" to rescue a sunken sub.
Carbon fibre is an interesting choice for a pressure vessel.
"He described being initially hesitant about going aboard the sub at all because some of the components appeared "off the shelf, sort of improvised". "You steer this sub with an Xbox game controller, some of the ballast is abandoned construction pipes." Pogue said he had been reassured by Titan's inventor and OceanGate's CEO, Stockton Rush, that the carbon-fibre main capsule had been co-designed with Nasa and the University of Washington and was "rock solid".
The Titanic was actually built from the finest materials (Admiralty spec steel for the hull etc) available on a cost plus basis* by Harland & Wolf. Who were one of the best yards in the UK.
*H&W and White Star line were very closely aligned organisations.
Blair Major Thatcher Brown May Cameron Sunak . . . . . Johnson Truss
I mark Thatcher down because she squandered North Sea oil revenues, kept unemployment high for longer than necessary, failed to progress NI peace, tried to block the progress of social liberalism.
Spot on.
She actually started the modern NI peace process.
It was a twin track effort - reaching out to the Irish government, killing off the hardline terrorists on both sides. The later was accomplished by using double agents - who rose to positions of power in the various organisations. And worked to kill off the hardliners who didn't want peace.
Freddie Scappaticci deserves a sainthood for his role in the peace process.
The UK’s finest double agent, up there with Nicola Sturgeon.
The Titanic submarine loss dominates the headlines, effectively burying the news of Rishi's abstention from a vote that will barely command a footnote in history.
It is very sad that a billionaire and four friends are missing whilst out on a misadventure, but I fail to see why it would be top story on all networks.
Five scallywags missing after a night out in a town on a significant river wouldn't elicit such coverage.
Yes and no. I think if they had driven a car into a river there would be coverage. I get your point (do we care more for wealthy people) but I think there is also the 'unusual' factor involved here too. Also its missing, not confirmed what's happened, so there is mystery too.
What the new organisations are hoping for is a "race against time" to rescue a sunken sub.
Carbon fibre is an interesting choice for a pressure vessel.
"He described being initially hesitant about going aboard the sub at all because some of the components appeared "off the shelf, sort of improvised". "You steer this sub with an Xbox game controller, some of the ballast is abandoned construction pipes." Pogue said he had been reassured by Titan's inventor and OceanGate's CEO, Stockton Rush, that the carbon-fibre main capsule had been co-designed with Nasa and the University of Washington and was "rock solid".
Who the fuck is going to get them off the bottom at 4,000m by Thursday lunchtime? The US Navy recovered a Knighthawk from 5,800m in the Pacific but that's salvaging the wreckage and very different from a hatch rescue of a DISSUB. They 'only' attempt that down to 600m.
The Titanic was actually built from the finest materials (Admiralty spec steel for the hull etc) available on a cost plus basis* by Harland & Wolf. Who were one of the best yards in the UK.
*H&W and White Star line were very closely aligned organisations.
I read recently there is some speculation that not all of the rivets were as strong as they should have been
The Titanic submarine loss dominates the headlines, effectively burying the news of Rishi's abstention from a vote that will barely command a footnote in history.
It is very sad that a billionaire and four friends are missing whilst out on a misadventure, but I fail to see why it would be top story on all networks.
Five scallywags missing after a night out in a town on a significant river wouldn't elicit such coverage.
Yes and no. I think if they had driven a car into a river there would be coverage. I get your point (do we care more for wealthy people) but I think there is also the 'unusual' factor involved here too. Also its missing, not confirmed what's happened, so there is mystery too.
What the new organisations are hoping for is a "race against time" to rescue a sunken sub.
Carbon fibre is an interesting choice for a pressure vessel.
"He described being initially hesitant about going aboard the sub at all because some of the components appeared "off the shelf, sort of improvised". "You steer this sub with an Xbox game controller, some of the ballast is abandoned construction pipes." Pogue said he had been reassured by Titan's inventor and OceanGate's CEO, Stockton Rush, that the carbon-fibre main capsule had been co-designed with Nasa and the University of Washington and was "rock solid".
Who the fuck is going to get them off the bottom at 4,000m by Thursday lunchtime? The US Navy recovered a Knighthawk from 5,800m in the Pacific but that's salvaging the wreckage and very different from a hatch rescue of a DISSUB. They 'only' attempt that down to 600m.
Send another submersible or UUV to attach a lift bag. The US Navy has lift bags that function down that deep, for recovering mislaid items - theirs and other peoples.
I would very much doubt that the hatch is compatible with any rescue sub - and the depth is way beyond rescue sub depth, as you say.
Thatcher Blair Major Cameron May Brown Sunak Johnson Truss
You are very kind to Cameron, who I think is the PM whose stock has fallen the most since leaving office.
My list would be
Blair (despite Iraq) Thatcher Major Brown May Sunak Cameron Johnson Truss
Fun game.
My list would be.
Thatcher Cameron Major Johnson Blair Sunak May Truss Brown
And yes, I wanted Johnson out before he left and would not want him back, but I'd say the same to everyone I ranked below him too.
Truss above Brown for what reason? Colour of rosette?
No, not colour of rosette, I put Blair ahead of Sunak, May and Truss.
Truss ahead of Brown as she was removed before she did too much damage. She was bad, I called for her to resign before she did, but she was quickly ousted before much worse happened.
Her Premiership was like stepping on a piece of Lego. Short and painful but quickly over.
The legacy of Gordon Brown was far more toxic and far more long-lasting. It needed a decade of austerity to clean up his mess.
Blair Major Thatcher Brown May Cameron Sunak . . . . . Johnson Truss
I mark Thatcher down because she squandered North Sea oil revenues, kept unemployment high for longer than necessary, failed to progress NI peace, tried to block the progress of social liberalism.
Spot on.
She actually started the modern NI peace process.
It was a twin track effort - reaching out to the Irish government, killing off the hardline terrorists on both sides. The later was accomplished by using double agents - who rose to positions of power in the various organisations. And worked to kill off the hardliners who didn't want peace.
Yes, agreed. I also give Major rather more credit than Blair. My problem with Mo Mowlam's approach was that she ended up rewarding the hardliners on both sides and marginalising the moderates.
My favourite NI secretary was Roy Mason. Treat criminals as criminals.
I think if Sunak knew the vote was going to be so one sided it would have been easy to make the decision to vote for the report - if only seven Tory MPs were willing to vote to defend Johnson and they wanted to resign over the issue that feels like it would be part and parcel with the current state of the Tory party, whilst as you say this weakness pleases nobody. If this was an attempt to please backbenchers who like Johnson - where were they for this vote? And if it was an attempt to appease voters, I think he has the mood of the country wrong. And signs of weakness are bad for a PM in this kind of situation, it suggests to the Johnsonites that they can still push and it suggests to those that are tired of them that the PM will do nothing about them.
I don't think missing yesterday's vote is hugely important for Sunak. Rather, what will do for him in the end is his wooden and repetitive responses to questions, exemplified yesterday when he just kept repeating the same mantra "it's a matter for parliament". He does this all the time, just repeats the same tangential answer regardless of the precise question:
Interviewer: PM, what did you have for lunch today? Sunak: What the British people want us to do is to deliver our 5 key priorities: halving inflation...... stopping the boats. Interviewer: Do you think Boris Johnson will ever return to parliament? Sunak: What the British people want us to do is to deliver our key priorities.......... (and on an on).
It's painful. I remain of the view that Sunak is over-rated, and may well collapse into a gibbering heap under the spotlight of a GE campaign
All politicians answer the question they wanted to be asked, rather than the one they were asked. And all politicians repeat the same talking points - by the time they've said it a thousand times, the general public is starting to listen.
But a good politician is able to make it seem more natural. Blair, Boris, Cameron etc did it all the time but they did it in a way that carried their version of the public with them - even if it infuriated others. Sunak doesn't seem able to do that in the same way, and its a real weakness.
But he's facing Keir Starmer who doesn't seem able to either. So it might cancel out.
The Titanic was actually built from the finest materials (Admiralty spec steel for the hull etc) available on a cost plus basis* by Harland & Wolf. Who were one of the best yards in the UK.
*H&W and White Star line were very closely aligned organisations.
I read recently there is some speculation that not all of the rivets were as strong as they should have been
There is a whole industry of creating "New" Titanic stories. No, the steel wasn't especially brittle. The transition temperature of the steel that the Titanic (and nearly all ships of the time) were built from had a transition temperature to its brittle phase at 20c.
Which meant that from the moment it cooled the steel was in the brittle phase. That still was more brittle than wrought iron was a known thing (if not the reason) and was allowed for in the construction of ships.
The other one was that the rivets in some areas of the ship were not easy to machine hammer - the riveting machine was something line a pneumatic drill. So sometime they were less well "knocked up". This was , again accounted for in design and construction, and replacing loose rivets a standard piece of work when you docked the ship.
The famous Liberty ship problem was caused by 2 things. The newer steel had a much lower transition temperature - below zero. So when built, tested and often sailed, the steel was not in its brittle zone. So the design didn't take into account the effects, when exposed to sub zero temperatures. The other factor was welding - on a riveted ship, the cracks usually stop at a rivet line. On a welded ship, they keep on going....
I think if Sunak knew the vote was going to be so one sided it would have been easy to make the decision to vote for the report - if only seven Tory MPs were willing to vote to defend Johnson and they wanted to resign over the issue that feels like it would be part and parcel with the current state of the Tory party, whilst as you say this weakness pleases nobody. If this was an attempt to please backbenchers who like Johnson - where were they for this vote? And if it was an attempt to appease voters, I think he has the mood of the country wrong. And signs of weakness are bad for a PM in this kind of situation, it suggests to the Johnsonites that they can still push and it suggests to those that are tired of them that the PM will do nothing about them.
Most of the cabinet went into hiding too including Rat Eyes, the Albino, Stupidly, Swella and Sir Wallace of the Shiny Pate.
On topic, no it was not a mistake. Nor would voting in favour have been a mistake either. It was irrelevant either way. All but six Tory MPs either voted in favour of the report, or abstained to let the report be accepted.
Some people have been acting crazy here acting like anyone who abstained was like Trumpists storming the Capitol on 6 January. In our adversarial Parliamentary system if people from one party abstain while the opposition is voting then that's effectively siding with the opposition by stepping out of their way and letting them win by default.
The number that matters is how many voted against and that was a pathetic, meagre 7.
7 oddballs within a Government is nothing and is perfectly manageable in any party except one as small as the Lib Dems.
I think if Sunak knew the vote was going to be so one sided it would have been easy to make the decision to vote for the report - if only seven Tory MPs were willing to vote to defend Johnson and they wanted to resign over the issue that feels like it would be part and parcel with the current state of the Tory party, whilst as you say this weakness pleases nobody. If this was an attempt to please backbenchers who like Johnson - where were they for this vote? And if it was an attempt to appease voters, I think he has the mood of the country wrong. And signs of weakness are bad for a PM in this kind of situation, it suggests to the Johnsonites that they can still push and it suggests to those that are tired of them that the PM will do nothing about them.
I think the calculation was "Not being seen to put the boot in". A whipped vote could turn into a Boris Martyrdom story, wheeling out the whole cabinet to vote for it, the same.
Blair Major Thatcher Brown May Cameron Sunak . . . . . Johnson Truss
I mark Thatcher down because she squandered North Sea oil revenues, kept unemployment high for longer than necessary, failed to progress NI peace, tried to block the progress of social liberalism.
Spot on.
She actually started the modern NI peace process.
It was a twin track effort - reaching out to the Irish government, killing off the hardline terrorists on both sides. The later was accomplished by using double agents - who rose to positions of power in the various organisations. And worked to kill off the hardliners who didn't want peace.
The peace process was probably started (Downing Street Declaration, Anglo-Irish Agreement) by John Major and Albert Reynolds, two Prime Ministers with a background in street bookmaking. Today is the first day of Royal Ascot.
I think if Sunak knew the vote was going to be so one sided it would have been easy to make the decision to vote for the report - if only seven Tory MPs were willing to vote to defend Johnson and they wanted to resign over the issue that feels like it would be part and parcel with the current state of the Tory party, whilst as you say this weakness pleases nobody. If this was an attempt to please backbenchers who like Johnson - where were they for this vote? And if it was an attempt to appease voters, I think he has the mood of the country wrong. And signs of weakness are bad for a PM in this kind of situation, it suggests to the Johnsonites that they can still push and it suggests to those that are tired of them that the PM will do nothing about them.
I think the calculation was "Not being seen to put the boot in". A whipped vote could turn into a Boris Martyrdom story, wheeling out the whole cabinet to vote for it, the same.
Yes. By his actions and letting it be a free vote, Rishi has shown quite authentically that Boris is an irrelevant has-been now who has no support within the Parliamentary Party.
The rips of the bandage more than covering up real support with a fake whipped vote.
May made a good speech in yesterday's debate. It is the speech which Sunak should have made.
The vote may not be uppermost in voters' minds. But it was an opportunity for Sunak to draw a clear line under the Johnson past and to retrieve some sense of integrity and honour for the Tory party for the future. A sort of clause 4 moment. And he fluffed it - because he is weak and because (and this comes as no surprise to me knowing what I know of the places where he worked before he became an MP) he has no instinctive understanding of what integrity and good judgment are and why they matter.
So it will up to another Tory leader to rebuild the moral character of the Tory party. God knows who that will be.
I think if Sunak knew the vote was going to be so one sided it would have been easy to make the decision to vote for the report - if only seven Tory MPs were willing to vote to defend Johnson and they wanted to resign over the issue that feels like it would be part and parcel with the current state of the Tory party, whilst as you say this weakness pleases nobody. If this was an attempt to please backbenchers who like Johnson - where were they for this vote? And if it was an attempt to appease voters, I think he has the mood of the country wrong. And signs of weakness are bad for a PM in this kind of situation, it suggests to the Johnsonites that they can still push and it suggests to those that are tired of them that the PM will do nothing about them.
I think the calculation was "Not being seen to put the boot in". A whipped vote could turn into a Boris Martyrdom story, wheeling out the whole cabinet to vote for it, the same.
Sure, but there is a difference between whipping and turning up for a free vote. Hell, he could have even turned up and abstained and made a case for abstention - but he didn't. He didn't face the issue. Which is a sign of weakness.
Thatcher Blair Major Cameron May Brown Sunak Johnson Truss
You are very kind to Cameron, who I think is the PM whose stock has fallen the most since leaving office.
My list would be
Blair (despite Iraq) Thatcher Major Brown May Sunak Cameron Johnson Truss
Fun game.
My list would be.
Thatcher Cameron Major Johnson Blair Sunak May Truss Brown
And yes, I wanted Johnson out before he left and would not want him back, but I'd say the same to everyone I ranked below him too.
Truss above Brown for what reason? Colour of rosette?
No, not colour of rosette, I put Blair ahead of Sunak, May and Truss.
Truss ahead of Brown as she was removed before she did too much damage. She was bad, I called for her to resign before she did, but she was quickly ousted before much worse happened.
Her Premiership was like stepping on a piece of Lego. Short and painful but quickly over.
The legacy of Gordon Brown was far more toxic and far more long-lasting. It needed a decade of austerity to clean up his mess.
Yet Austerity beget Brexit....
And Austerity wasn't really that necessary so my list would be
Thatcher Blair Major May Brown Sunak Cameron Johnson Truss
But once you get beyond that top 3 all the others have pros and cons that could put them anywhere in the list...
Thatcher Blair Major Cameron May Brown Sunak Johnson Truss
You are very kind to Cameron, who I think is the PM whose stock has fallen the most since leaving office.
My list would be
Blair (despite Iraq) Thatcher Major Brown May Sunak Cameron Johnson Truss
Fun game.
My list would be.
Thatcher Cameron Major Johnson Blair Sunak May Truss Brown
And yes, I wanted Johnson out before he left and would not want him back, but I'd say the same to everyone I ranked below him too.
Truss above Brown for what reason? Colour of rosette?
No, not colour of rosette, I put Blair ahead of Sunak, May and Truss.
Truss ahead of Brown as she was removed before she did too much damage. She was bad, I called for her to resign before she did, but she was quickly ousted before much worse happened.
Her Premiership was like stepping on a piece of Lego. Short and painful but quickly over.
The legacy of Gordon Brown was far more toxic and far more long-lasting. It needed a decade of austerity to clean up his mess.
It's difficult to separate the damage he did as PM from the damage he did as chancellor. We are still suffering from both, thirteen years later: economically, from the swollen state; and politically, from the left-wing placemen who have been peppered throughout the state and quasi-state. The Conservatives haven't really managed to deal with either (it should be acknowledged that it's very hard to do so, but they've barely touched the dial.)
That's my view. However, one of the most furiously anti-Labour people I know (I don't know very many - my home is the middle class urban public sector north) reckons Gordon Brown the best chancellor of his lifetime (principally because as an owner of a SME GB allowed him more of his own money).
LOL Interesting development. Could the Privileges Committee be made subject to court challenge - a Judicial Review - on its procedural irregularities? Parliament is above the law thanks to the 1689 Bill of Rights; but surely common law rights still apply?
Thatcher Blair Major Cameron May Brown Sunak Johnson Truss
You are very kind to Cameron, who I think is the PM whose stock has fallen the most since leaving office.
My list would be
Blair (despite Iraq) Thatcher Major Brown May Sunak Cameron Johnson Truss
Fun game.
My list would be.
Thatcher Cameron Major Johnson Blair Sunak May Truss Brown
And yes, I wanted Johnson out before he left and would not want him back, but I'd say the same to everyone I ranked below him too.
Truss above Brown for what reason? Colour of rosette?
No, not colour of rosette, I put Blair ahead of Sunak, May and Truss.
Truss ahead of Brown as she was removed before she did too much damage. She was bad, I called for her to resign before she did, but she was quickly ousted before much worse happened.
Her Premiership was like stepping on a piece of Lego. Short and painful but quickly over.
The legacy of Gordon Brown was far more toxic and far more long-lasting. It needed a decade of austerity to clean up his mess.
Yet Austerity beget Brexit....
And Austerity wasn't really that necessary so my list would be
Thatcher Blair Major May Brown Sunak Cameron Johnson Truss
But once you get beyond that top 3 all the others have pros and cons that could put them anywhere in the list...
If the increase in government spending hadn't slowed, we would have been into a bond auction problem with government debt quite rapidly - The rate of increase in the debt was pretty extreme.
I think if Sunak knew the vote was going to be so one sided it would have been easy to make the decision to vote for the report - if only seven Tory MPs were willing to vote to defend Johnson and they wanted to resign over the issue that feels like it would be part and parcel with the current state of the Tory party, whilst as you say this weakness pleases nobody. If this was an attempt to please backbenchers who like Johnson - where were they for this vote? And if it was an attempt to appease voters, I think he has the mood of the country wrong. And signs of weakness are bad for a PM in this kind of situation, it suggests to the Johnsonites that they can still push and it suggests to those that are tired of them that the PM will do nothing about them.
I think the calculation was "Not being seen to put the boot in". A whipped vote could turn into a Boris Martyrdom story, wheeling out the whole cabinet to vote for it, the same.
Yes. By his actions and letting it be a free vote, Rishi has shown quite authentically that Boris is an irrelevant has-been now who has no support within the Parliamentary Party.
The rips of the bandage more than covering up real support with a fake whipped vote.
The fact that he couldn't be bothered to turn up and vote suggests he holds the Commons in as much contempt as Johnson does and that he has no understanding of the integrity required for his role as prime minister. I was actually quite shocked that he didn't vote to endorse the report, it is an utter failure of leadership on his part.
LOL Interesting development. Could the Privileges Committee be made subject to court challenge - a Judicial Review - on its procedural irregularities? Parliament is above the law thanks to the 1689 Bill of Rights; but surely common law rights still apply?
I don't think missing yesterday's vote is hugely important for Sunak. Rather, what will do for him in the end is his wooden and repetitive responses to questions, exemplified yesterday when he just kept repeating the same mantra "it's a matter for parliament". He does this all the time, just repeats the same tangential answer regardless of the precise question:
Interviewer: PM, what did you have for lunch today? Sunak: What the British people want us to do is to deliver our 5 key priorities: halving inflation...... stopping the boats. Interviewer: Do you think Boris Johnson will ever return to parliament? Sunak: What the British people want us to do is to deliver our key priorities.......... (and on an on).
It's painful. I remain of the view that Sunak is over-rated, and may well collapse into a gibbering heap under the spotlight of a GE campaign
All politicians answer the question they wanted to be asked, rather than the one they were asked. And all politicians repeat the same talking points - by the time they've said it a thousand times, the general public is starting to listen.
But a good politician is able to make it seem more natural. Blair, Boris, Cameron etc did it all the time but they did it in a way that carried their version of the public with them - even if it infuriated others. Sunak doesn't seem able to do that in the same way, and its a real weakness.
But he's facing Keir Starmer who doesn't seem able to either. So it might cancel out.
Rishi would do well to take PMQs more seriously and address the questions asked, rather than swing for the boundary with a Boris-style content-free rant. He needs to develop the skill of answering questions before the general election.
I don't think missing yesterday's vote is hugely important for Sunak. Rather, what will do for him in the end is his wooden and repetitive responses to questions, exemplified yesterday when he just kept repeating the same mantra "it's a matter for parliament". He does this all the time, just repeats the same tangential answer regardless of the precise question:
Interviewer: PM, what did you have for lunch today? Sunak: What the British people want us to do is to deliver our 5 key priorities: halving inflation...... stopping the boats. Interviewer: Do you think Boris Johnson will ever return to parliament? Sunak: What the British people want us to do is to deliver our key priorities.......... (and on an on).
It's painful. I remain of the view that Sunak is over-rated, and may well collapse into a gibbering heap under the spotlight of a GE campaign
All politicians answer the question they wanted to be asked, rather than the one they were asked. And all politicians repeat the same talking points - by the time they've said it a thousand times, the general public is starting to listen.
But a good politician is able to make it seem more natural. Blair, Boris, Cameron etc did it all the time but they did it in a way that carried their version of the public with them - even if it infuriated others. Sunak doesn't seem able to do that in the same way, and its a real weakness.
But he's facing Keir Starmer who doesn't seem able to either. So it might cancel out.
Yes. There is a real distinction between that small group of politicians you listen to, in some sort of positive way, because you want to know what they are saying and how they are saying it, and everyone else. (Obama, Blair, Hague, Thatcher, Ken Clarke, Kemi Badenoch (? jury is out), Bill but not Hilary Clinton).
Few if any around at the moment, but a plethora of those you listen to with horror. Trump, Boris as he has become, JRM, a number of Lab and Tory MPs.
Best around of a bad lot: Kate Forbes, Streeting, Gove, Liz Kendall, Penny M.
The unfilled hole is that no-one at all can speak coherently and well about the development and meaning of the post Brexit UK.
Blair Major Thatcher Brown May Cameron Sunak . . . . . Johnson Truss
I mark Thatcher down because she squandered North Sea oil revenues, kept unemployment high for longer than necessary, failed to progress NI peace, tried to block the progress of social liberalism.
For most of Thatcher’s premiership, PIRA still thought they could win. Therefore resistance to them was a necessity.
Most people won't care, they'll be more interested in why their mortgage is going to shoot up. Which Sunak will also cop the blame for.
I said exactly this in the prior thread. People care about what is impacting their life on a daily basis far more than this Westminster trivia and Newsnight is pretty irrelevant too. How many people watch it these days ?
Most people won't care, they'll be more interested in why their mortgage is going to shoot up. Which Sunak will also cop the blame for.
I said exactly this in the prior thread. People care about what is impacting their life on a daily basis far more than this Westminster trivia and Newsnight is pretty irrelevant too. How many people watch it these days ?
Blair Major Thatcher Brown May Cameron Sunak . . . . . Johnson Truss
I mark Thatcher down because she squandered North Sea oil revenues, kept unemployment high for longer than necessary, failed to progress NI peace, tried to block the progress of social liberalism.
Spot on.
She actually started the modern NI peace process.
It was a twin track effort - reaching out to the Irish government, killing off the hardline terrorists on both sides. The later was accomplished by using double agents - who rose to positions of power in the various organisations. And worked to kill off the hardliners who didn't want peace.
Yes, agreed. I also give Major rather more credit than Blair. My problem with Mo Mowlam's approach was that she ended up rewarding the hardliners on both sides and marginalising the moderates.
My favourite NI secretary was Roy Mason. Treat criminals as criminals.
Thatcher Blair Major Cameron May Brown Sunak Johnson Truss
You are very kind to Cameron, who I think is the PM whose stock has fallen the most since leaving office.
My list would be
Blair (despite Iraq) Thatcher Major Brown May Sunak Cameron Johnson Truss
Fun game.
My list would be.
Thatcher Cameron Major Johnson Blair Sunak May Truss Brown
And yes, I wanted Johnson out before he left and would not want him back, but I'd say the same to everyone I ranked below him too.
Truss above Brown for what reason? Colour of rosette?
No, not colour of rosette, I put Blair ahead of Sunak, May and Truss.
Truss ahead of Brown as she was removed before she did too much damage. She was bad, I called for her to resign before she did, but she was quickly ousted before much worse happened.
Her Premiership was like stepping on a piece of Lego. Short and painful but quickly over.
The legacy of Gordon Brown was far more toxic and far more long-lasting. It needed a decade of austerity to clean up his mess.
It's difficult to separate the damage he did as PM from the damage he did as chancellor. We are still suffering from both, thirteen years later: economically, from the swollen state; and politically, from the left-wing placemen who have been peppered throughout the state and quasi-state. The Conservatives haven't really managed to deal with either (it should be acknowledged that it's very hard to do so, but they've barely touched the dial.)
That's my view. However, one of the most furiously anti-Labour people I know (I don't know very many - my home is the middle class urban public sector north) reckons Gordon Brown the best chancellor of his lifetime (principally because as an owner of a SME GB allowed him more of his own money).
Its not "left wing", as ignorance masquerading as expertise.
Just the other day, I was talking to a chap who works for the civil service, at a fairly senior level. His view is that Rishi is excessively interested in "wasting" money on investment in productivity. Which only increases unemployment.
Thatcher Blair Major Cameron May Brown Sunak Johnson Truss
You are very kind to Cameron, who I think is the PM whose stock has fallen the most since leaving office.
My list would be
Blair (despite Iraq) Thatcher Major Brown May Sunak Cameron Johnson Truss
Fun game.
My list would be.
Thatcher Cameron Major Johnson Blair Sunak May Truss Brown
And yes, I wanted Johnson out before he left and would not want him back, but I'd say the same to everyone I ranked below him too.
Truss above Brown for what reason? Colour of rosette?
No, not colour of rosette, I put Blair ahead of Sunak, May and Truss.
Truss ahead of Brown as she was removed before she did too much damage. She was bad, I called for her to resign before she did, but she was quickly ousted before much worse happened.
Her Premiership was like stepping on a piece of Lego. Short and painful but quickly over.
The legacy of Gordon Brown was far more toxic and far more long-lasting. It needed a decade of austerity to clean up his mess.
But the toxic legacy of Gordon Brown was more due to his time as Chancellor than that of his time as PM.
I don't think missing yesterday's vote is hugely important for Sunak. Rather, what will do for him in the end is his wooden and repetitive responses to questions, exemplified yesterday when he just kept repeating the same mantra "it's a matter for parliament". He does this all the time, just repeats the same tangential answer regardless of the precise question:
Interviewer: PM, what did you have for lunch today? Sunak: What the British people want us to do is to deliver our 5 key priorities: halving inflation...... stopping the boats. Interviewer: Do you think Boris Johnson will ever return to parliament? Sunak: What the British people want us to do is to deliver our key priorities.......... (and on an on).
It's painful. I remain of the view that Sunak is over-rated, and may well collapse into a gibbering heap under the spotlight of a GE campaign
All politicians answer the question they wanted to be asked, rather than the one they were asked. And all politicians repeat the same talking points - by the time they've said it a thousand times, the general public is starting to listen.
But a good politician is able to make it seem more natural. Blair, Boris, Cameron etc did it all the time but they did it in a way that carried their version of the public with them - even if it infuriated others. Sunak doesn't seem able to do that in the same way, and its a real weakness.
But he's facing Keir Starmer who doesn't seem able to either. So it might cancel out.
Yes. There is a real distinction between that small group of politicians you listen to, in some sort of positive way, because you want to know what they are saying and how they are saying it, and everyone else. (Obama, Blair, Hague, Thatcher, Ken Clarke, Kemi Badenoch (? jury is out), Bill but not Hilary Clinton).
Few if any around at the moment, but a plethora of those you listen to with horror. Trump, Boris as he has become, JRM, a number of Lab and Tory MPs.
Best around of a bad lot: Kate Forbes, Streeting, Gove, Liz Kendall, Penny M.
The unfilled hole is that no-one at all can speak coherently and well about the development and meaning of the post Brexit UK.
That is a reflection on the nature of Brexit. Any politician who isn't an idiot thinks it is a historic mistake, but they know it's not yet politically correct to say it so we just get this meaningless guff.
I think if Sunak knew the vote was going to be so one sided it would have been easy to make the decision to vote for the report - if only seven Tory MPs were willing to vote to defend Johnson and they wanted to resign over the issue that feels like it would be part and parcel with the current state of the Tory party, whilst as you say this weakness pleases nobody. If this was an attempt to please backbenchers who like Johnson - where were they for this vote? And if it was an attempt to appease voters, I think he has the mood of the country wrong. And signs of weakness are bad for a PM in this kind of situation, it suggests to the Johnsonites that they can still push and it suggests to those that are tired of them that the PM will do nothing about them.
I think the calculation was "Not being seen to put the boot in". A whipped vote could turn into a Boris Martyrdom story, wheeling out the whole cabinet to vote for it, the same.
He is nevertheless an MP. Not turning up was pitiful.
And no one has argued for a whipped vote; that a straw man. Most cabinet members made their own - similarly poor - decisions.
May made a good speech in yesterday's debate. It is the speech which Sunak should have made.
The vote may not be uppermost in voters' minds. But it was an opportunity for Sunak to draw a clear line under the Johnson past and to retrieve some sense of integrity and honour for the Tory party for the future. A sort of clause 4 moment. And he fluffed it - because he is weak and because (and this comes as no surprise to me knowing what I know of the places where he worked before he became an MP) he has no instinctive understanding of what integrity and good judgment are and why they matter.
So it will up to another Tory leader to rebuild the moral character of the Tory party. God knows who that will be.
Maybe someone who’s not even born yet, or at least someone who’s not in parliament yet. I can’t see current Tory MP able to taken on the challenge, apart from maybe Aaron Bell if he hangs onto his seat.
LOL Interesting development. Could the Privileges Committee be made subject to court challenge - a Judicial Review - on its procedural irregularities? Parliament is above the law thanks to the 1689 Bill of Rights; but surely common law rights still apply?
Off-topic, but on a topic that's frequently discussed here: I had lunch yesterday with a nurse who works at a residential mental hospital in England for children and adolescents aged 12-18. The institution contains a school. It does not specialise in caring for patients who have been diagnosed with any specific illness, except that every patient must have been diagnosed as having a mental illness for which they require residential care. About half of its ~40 patients are girls.
She tells me that ALL of the girls apart from one who suffers from psychosis are identifying either as "they" for non-binary, or as "he".
I don't think missing yesterday's vote is hugely important for Sunak. Rather, what will do for him in the end is his wooden and repetitive responses to questions, exemplified yesterday when he just kept repeating the same mantra "it's a matter for parliament". He does this all the time, just repeats the same tangential answer regardless of the precise question:
Interviewer: PM, what did you have for lunch today? Sunak: What the British people want us to do is to deliver our 5 key priorities: halving inflation...... stopping the boats. Interviewer: Do you think Boris Johnson will ever return to parliament? Sunak: What the British people want us to do is to deliver our key priorities.......... (and on an on).
It's painful. I remain of the view that Sunak is over-rated, and may well collapse into a gibbering heap under the spotlight of a GE campaign
All politicians answer the question they wanted to be asked, rather than the one they were asked. And all politicians repeat the same talking points - by the time they've said it a thousand times, the general public is starting to listen.
But a good politician is able to make it seem more natural. Blair, Boris, Cameron etc did it all the time but they did it in a way that carried their version of the public with them - even if it infuriated others. Sunak doesn't seem able to do that in the same way, and its a real weakness.
But he's facing Keir Starmer who doesn't seem able to either. So it might cancel out.
Rishi would do well to take PMQs more seriously and address the questions asked, rather than swing for the boundary with a Boris-style content-free rant. He needs to develop the skill of answering questions before the general election.
In order to answer questions when in government (since 2010) you have to have a general narrative of how things are actually getting better for people in accord with you and your governing party's core principles and actual bedrock achievements. At the moment this is tricky.
Try answering a basic and simple question like: What is the Tory policy and practice since 2010 on industrial strategy.
LOL Interesting development. Could the Privileges Committee be made subject to court challenge - a Judicial Review - on its procedural irregularities? Parliament is above the law thanks to the 1689 Bill of Rights; but surely common law rights still apply?
Thatcher Blair Major Cameron May Brown Sunak Johnson Truss
You are very kind to Cameron, who I think is the PM whose stock has fallen the most since leaving office.
My list would be
Blair (despite Iraq) Thatcher Major Brown May Sunak Cameron Johnson Truss
Fun game.
My list would be.
Thatcher Cameron Major Johnson Blair Sunak May Truss Brown
And yes, I wanted Johnson out before he left and would not want him back, but I'd say the same to everyone I ranked below him too.
Truss above Brown for what reason? Colour of rosette?
No, not colour of rosette, I put Blair ahead of Sunak, May and Truss.
Truss ahead of Brown as she was removed before she did too much damage. She was bad, I called for her to resign before she did, but she was quickly ousted before much worse happened.
Her Premiership was like stepping on a piece of Lego. Short and painful but quickly over.
The legacy of Gordon Brown was far more toxic and far more long-lasting. It needed a decade of austerity to clean up his mess.
But the toxic legacy of Gordon Brown was more due to his time as Chancellor than that of his time as PM.
It is judging of them as PM not overall.
Indeed, it is hard to separate the two, which is why I rated Blair down in only 5th spot, he's down-rated due to Brown's legacy as Chancellor. Had it not been for Brown as Chancellor I'd have Blair up higher.
But Brown made matters even worse as PM. He completely botched the financial crisis by bailing out the failed banks, rather than allowing them to go bust and protecting guaranteed creditors instead like Iceland did.
That added much more debt than was necessary to an already bad problem and completely warped the market by suggesting that firms were too big to fail and making moral hazard a major problem.
Off-topic, but on a topic that's frequently discussed here: I had lunch yesterday with a nurse who works at a residential mental hospital in England for children and adolescents aged 12-18. The institution contains a school. It does not specialise in caring for patients who have been diagnosed with any specific illness, other than that the illness must be mental and they must be diagnosed as needing residential care for it. About half of its ~40 patients are girls.
She tells me that ALL of the girls apart from one who suffers from psychosis are identifying either as "they" for non-binary, or as "he".
Approaching Edgbaston and the weather is awful. Raining quite heavily atm.
Its a good job England have been so aggressive in this Test, with the declaration and the batting.
Hopefully we get enough play to get the seven wickets. I believe the forecast is for it to dry up by lunchtime, hopefully that's not too little, too late.
I don't think missing yesterday's vote is hugely important for Sunak. Rather, what will do for him in the end is his wooden and repetitive responses to questions, exemplified yesterday when he just kept repeating the same mantra "it's a matter for parliament". He does this all the time, just repeats the same tangential answer regardless of the precise question:
Interviewer: PM, what did you have for lunch today? Sunak: What the British people want us to do is to deliver our 5 key priorities: halving inflation...... stopping the boats. Interviewer: Do you think Boris Johnson will ever return to parliament? Sunak: What the British people want us to do is to deliver our key priorities.......... (and on an on).
It's painful. I remain of the view that Sunak is over-rated, and may well collapse into a gibbering heap under the spotlight of a GE campaign
All politicians answer the question they wanted to be asked, rather than the one they were asked. And all politicians repeat the same talking points - by the time they've said it a thousand times, the general public is starting to listen.
But a good politician is able to make it seem more natural. Blair, Boris, Cameron etc did it all the time but they did it in a way that carried their version of the public with them - even if it infuriated others. Sunak doesn't seem able to do that in the same way, and its a real weakness.
But he's facing Keir Starmer who doesn't seem able to either. So it might cancel out.
Yes. There is a real distinction between that small group of politicians you listen to, in some sort of positive way, because you want to know what they are saying and how they are saying it, and everyone else. (Obama, Blair, Hague, Thatcher, Ken Clarke, Kemi Badenoch (? jury is out), Bill but not Hilary Clinton).
Few if any around at the moment, but a plethora of those you listen to with horror. Trump, Boris as he has become, JRM, a number of Lab and Tory MPs.
Best around of a bad lot: Kate Forbes, Streeting, Gove, Liz Kendall, Penny M.
The unfilled hole is that no-one at all can speak coherently and well about the development and meaning of the post Brexit UK.
That is a reflection on the nature of Brexit. Any politician who isn't an idiot thinks it is a historic mistake, but they know it's not yet politically correct to say it so we just get this meaningless guff.
Two points. The historic mistake is not Brexit but failing to join EEA/EFTA, so as to maximally separate political union from trade relationships.
Secondly, the leadership genius we need in parliament and government makes the weather of political correctness, and doesn't just follow it.
Off-topic, but on a topic that's frequently discussed here: I had lunch yesterday with a nurse who works at a residential mental hospital in England for children and adolescents aged 12-18. The institution contains a school. It does not specialise in caring for patients who have been diagnosed with any specific illness, except that a patient's illness must be mental and they must be diagnosed as needing residential care for it. About half of its ~40 patients are girls.
She tells me that ALL of the girls apart from one who suffers from psychosis are identifying either as "they" for non-binary, or as "he".
On which subject, the story yesterday about the school in Sussex where the teacher was sacked for refusing to accede to the child's demand to be identified as a cat - surely there is more to the story than this? As my wife said, it's almost impossible to sack a teacher: this seems a very strange reason to lose a job.
On topic, no it was not a mistake. Nor would voting in favour have been a mistake either. It was irrelevant either way. All but six Tory MPs either voted in favour of the report, or abstained to let the report be accepted.
Some people have been acting crazy here acting like anyone who abstained was like Trumpists storming the Capitol on 6 January. In our adversarial Parliamentary system if people from one party abstain while the opposition is voting then that's effectively siding with the opposition by stepping out of their way and letting them win by default.
The number that matters is how many voted against and that was a pathetic, meagre 7.
7 oddballs within a Government is nothing and is perfectly manageable in any party except one as small as the Lib Dems.
I don't think it is on par with that, but I do think it is a sign of weakness. When there was such an overwhelming vote against Johnson in the end, not attending the vote sends a message all of it's own. If they wanted to defend him they should have been there and made that argument, if they wanted to condemn him the same, and if they truly thought abstention was the right position they should have defended that. Just not attending is cowardly. And it is even more so for the PM, who has little political capital as it is. This won't appease the public, they either don't care or have a firm view, this won't appease the house, because he didn't really explain himself, and it almost certainly didn't appease his backbenchers, who are split on the issue and probably could have done with some leadership.
Off-topic, but on a topic that's frequently discussed here: I had lunch yesterday with a nurse who works at a residential mental hospital in England for children and adolescents aged 12-18. The institution contains a school. It does not specialise in caring for patients who have been diagnosed with any specific illness, except that a patient's illness must be mental and they must be diagnosed as needing residential care for it. About half of its ~40 patients are girls.
She tells me that ALL of the girls apart from one who suffers from psychosis are identifying either as "they" for non-binary, or as "he".
On which subject, the story yesterday about the school in Sussex where the teacher was sacked for refusing to accede to the child's demand to be identified as a cat - surely there is more to the story than this? As my wife said, it's almost impossible to sack a teacher: this seems a very strange reason to lose a job.
There is always more to the story - like the famous one about a headmaster "banning Muslim dress for girls".
Thatcher Blair Major Cameron May Brown Sunak Johnson Truss
You are very kind to Cameron, who I think is the PM whose stock has fallen the most since leaving office.
My list would be
Blair (despite Iraq) Thatcher Major Brown May Sunak Cameron Johnson Truss
Fun game.
My list would be.
Thatcher Cameron Major Johnson Blair Sunak May Truss Brown
And yes, I wanted Johnson out before he left and would not want him back, but I'd say the same to everyone I ranked below him too.
Truss above Brown for what reason? Colour of rosette?
No, not colour of rosette, I put Blair ahead of Sunak, May and Truss.
Truss ahead of Brown as she was removed before she did too much damage. She was bad, I called for her to resign before she did, but she was quickly ousted before much worse happened.
Her Premiership was like stepping on a piece of Lego. Short and painful but quickly over.
The legacy of Gordon Brown was far more toxic and far more long-lasting. It needed a decade of austerity to clean up his mess.
But the toxic legacy of Gordon Brown was more due to his time as Chancellor than that of his time as PM.
It is judging of them as PM not overall.
Indeed, it is hard to separate the two, which is why I rated Blair down in only 5th spot, he's down-rated due to Brown's legacy as Chancellor. Had it not been for Brown as Chancellor I'd have Blair up higher.
But Brown made matters even worse as PM. He completely botched the financial crisis by bailing out the failed banks, rather than allowing them to go bust and protecting guaranteed creditors instead like Iceland did.
That added much more debt than was necessary to an already bad problem and completely warped the market by suggesting that firms were too big to fail and making moral hazard a major problem.
On the one hand, the great financial centres, the City and Wall Street, on the other hand, Iceland, a country of less than half a million people. You also miss that it was the Federal Reserve's decision not to bail out Lehman Brothers (and, if you must, our Labour government's refusal to let Barclays take it over) that tipped the world into crisis.
Off-topic, but on a topic that's frequently discussed here: I had lunch yesterday with a nurse who works at a residential mental hospital in England for children and adolescents aged 12-18. The institution contains a school. It does not specialise in caring for patients who have been diagnosed with any specific illness, except that a patient's illness must be mental and they must be diagnosed as needing residential care for it. About half of its ~40 patients are girls.
She tells me that ALL of the girls apart from one who suffers from psychosis are identifying either as "they" for non-binary, or as "he".
On which subject, the story yesterday about the school in Sussex where the teacher was sacked for refusing to accede to the child's demand to be identified as a cat - surely there is more to the story than this? As my wife said, it's almost impossible to sack a teacher: this seems a very strange reason to lose a job.
Reading the transcript the teacher sounds very Deidre Spart.
I suppose some people are just designed to say things in such a way, and with such an attitude, that instantly makes people adopt the opposite position.
Emma Thompson is one such better known example of this.
Thatcher Blair Major Cameron May Brown Sunak Johnson Truss
You are very kind to Cameron, who I think is the PM whose stock has fallen the most since leaving office.
My list would be
Blair (despite Iraq) Thatcher Major Brown May Sunak Cameron Johnson Truss
Fun game.
My list would be.
Thatcher Cameron Major Johnson Blair Sunak May Truss Brown
And yes, I wanted Johnson out before he left and would not want him back, but I'd say the same to everyone I ranked below him too.
Truss above Brown for what reason? Colour of rosette?
No, not colour of rosette, I put Blair ahead of Sunak, May and Truss.
Truss ahead of Brown as she was removed before she did too much damage. She was bad, I called for her to resign before she did, but she was quickly ousted before much worse happened.
Her Premiership was like stepping on a piece of Lego. Short and painful but quickly over.
The legacy of Gordon Brown was far more toxic and far more long-lasting. It needed a decade of austerity to clean up his mess.
But the toxic legacy of Gordon Brown was more due to his time as Chancellor than that of his time as PM.
It is judging of them as PM not overall.
Indeed, it is hard to separate the two, which is why I rated Blair down in only 5th spot, he's down-rated due to Brown's legacy as Chancellor. Had it not been for Brown as Chancellor I'd have Blair up higher.
But Brown made matters even worse as PM. He completely botched the financial crisis by bailing out the failed banks, rather than allowing them to go bust and protecting guaranteed creditors instead like Iceland did.
That added much more debt than was necessary to an already bad problem and completely warped the market by suggesting that firms were too big to fail and making moral hazard a major problem.
Don't forget Brown is a war criminal who should be in the dock at the Hague alongside Blair.
As for Cameron, in his farewell speech to the Commons he focused on the introduction of gay marriage as a major achievement of his seven years in office. He only looks good compared with the four incompetents who succeeded him. And insofar as he was on the right side of the argument about EU membership.
Off-topic, but on a topic that's frequently discussed here: I had lunch yesterday with a nurse who works at a residential mental hospital in England for children and adolescents aged 12-18. The institution contains a school. It does not specialise in caring for patients who have been diagnosed with any specific illness, except that a patient's illness must be mental and they must be diagnosed as needing residential care for it. About half of its ~40 patients are girls.
She tells me that ALL of the girls apart from one who suffers from psychosis are identifying either as "they" for non-binary, or as "he".
On which subject, the story yesterday about the school in Sussex where the teacher was sacked for refusing to accede to the child's demand to be identified as a cat - surely there is more to the story than this? As my wife said, it's almost impossible to sack a teacher: this seems a very strange reason to lose a job.
I haven't seen or heard that story before, but it instantly smells like bovine manure.
Reminds me of the nutjob who was recently claiming to have been sacked as a teacher for "misgendering" a pupil, then went to speak to Piers Morgan to say that all sinners should get the death penalty ...
LOL Interesting development. Could the Privileges Committee be made subject to court challenge - a Judicial Review - on its procedural irregularities? Parliament is above the law thanks to the 1689 Bill of Rights; but surely common law rights still apply?
Off-topic, but on a topic that's frequently discussed here: I had lunch yesterday with a nurse who works at a residential mental hospital in England for children and adolescents aged 12-18. The institution contains a school. It does not specialise in caring for patients who have been diagnosed with any specific illness, except that a patient's illness must be mental and they must be diagnosed as needing residential care for it. About half of its ~40 patients are girls.
She tells me that ALL of the girls apart from one who suffers from psychosis are identifying either as "they" for non-binary, or as "he".
On which subject, the story yesterday about the school in Sussex where the teacher was sacked for refusing to accede to the child's demand to be identified as a cat - surely there is more to the story than this? As my wife said, it's almost impossible to sack a teacher: this seems a very strange reason to lose a job.
I haven't seen or heard that story before, but it instantly smells like bovine manure.
Reminds me of the nutjob who was recently claiming to have been sacked as a teacher for "misgendering" a pupil, then went to speak to Piers Morgan to say that all sinners should get the death penalty ...
The teacher went off on one at a pupil who said there were only two genders.
Comments
(And first)
What would have been the downside of him voting for the report?
Of course it was a mistake. Weak, weak, weak.
Sunak’s cowardice is long established.
You just know he’s going to skip next year’s debates because he doesn’t want his arse handed to him by Starmer.
(I am not sure he does either.)
He has a tough gig. But when it is tough you have to lead. Put Up or Shut Up. Not free vote and don't even bother doing that.
And probably Boris.
My list would be
Blair
Major
Thatcher
Brown
May
Cameron
Sunak
.
.
.
.
.
Johnson
Truss
I mark Thatcher down because she squandered North Sea oil revenues, kept unemployment high for longer than necessary, failed to progress NI peace, tried to block the progress of social liberalism.
Glad to see my Tory MP had the decency to support the committee recommendation.
I was extremely disappointed in Sunak avoiding the vote and on the face of it it was an own goal which his opponents will celebrate
Whether it has traction in the months ahead only time will tell, but the party have to come together and move on as it faces the most intractable of problems, not least the rising mortgage rates
It is clear that there is very little the government can do to ameliorate these increases without scaring the markets and seeing even higher rates
The one stark lesson Truss demonstrated to politicians is propose unfunded tax cuts or increased spending and the markets will act adversely
It is one of the reasons that I expect Starmer to continue to water down his more ambitious spending programmes but notwithstanding, it is time for the country to accept, covid, the war in Ukraine, and indeed in some part Brexit will see years of turmoil and poorer living standards for many, though some as always will prosper
It is not a happy climate for any government, especially one looking to take office, and hard unpopular decisions will be the order of the day
Lots of people will be bothered by continuing high inflation, increasing interest rates and the consequent erosion of their real wealth and incomes.
Five scallywags missing after a night out in a town on a significant river wouldn't elicit such coverage.
https://www.which.co.uk/news/article/cost-of-cooking-a-family-meal-soars-by-up-to-27-as-price-of-some-ingredients-doubles-aA3K74w0eh7b
If food and housing are going up far more than the 5% or whatever Mr Sunak et al loudly proclaim, his statements will be worse tham useless.
Interviewer: PM, what did you have for lunch today?
Sunak: What the British people want us to do is to deliver our 5 key priorities: halving inflation...... stopping the boats.
Interviewer: Do you think Boris Johnson will ever return to parliament?
Sunak: What the British people want us to do is to deliver our key priorities.......... (and on an on).
It's painful. I remain of the view that Sunak is over-rated, and may well collapse into a gibbering heap under the spotlight of a GE campaign
Blair
Thatcher 79-87
Major
Cameron
Gap
Brown
May
Sunak
Thatcher 87-90
Big Gap
Johnson
Gap
Truss
Even 5% CPI is extremely high and corrosive of income and wealth. Not everyone can get pay rises in line with inflation and lots of private pension schemes only increase in response to inflation by a limited extent. Also annuity holders see their income eroded.
Terrible tragedy and a very serious problem for the EU as Italy, Greece and others decline help
Sunak = Marcus Licinius Crassus
GE24 = The battle of Carrhae.
Are the media moving on ?
Foreign social media 'influencers' will be used to push visitors away from Mont-Saint-Michel or the cliffs of Étretat
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/06/20/france-british-tourist-campaign-mont-saint-michel-crowd/ (£££)
France has too many tourists, apparently, so expect the Gazette's top travel writers (Monsieur @Leon in particular) to steer visitors to the less exposed parts of the country. Thank Dieu that no bloody fool has arranged to hold the Olympics in Paris. Oh, they have. Damn.
This French bluster is all fart and no follow through.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ace_in_the_Hole_(1951_film)
Carbon fibre is an interesting choice for a pressure vessel.
"He described being initially hesitant about going aboard the sub at all because some of the components appeared "off the shelf, sort of improvised".
"You steer this sub with an Xbox game controller, some of the ballast is abandoned construction pipes."
Pogue said he had been reassured by Titan's inventor and OceanGate's CEO, Stockton Rush, that the carbon-fibre main capsule had been co-designed with Nasa and the University of Washington and was "rock solid".
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-65957709
Starmer needs to show some backbone and leadership. If he does that he will get a easy second term.
It was a twin track effort - reaching out to the Irish government, killing off the hardline terrorists on both sides. The later was accomplished by using double agents - who rose to positions of power in the various organisations. And worked to kill off the hardliners who didn't want peace.
*H&W and White Star line were very closely aligned organisations.
The UK’s finest double agent, up there with Nicola Sturgeon.
I would very much doubt that the hatch is compatible with any rescue sub - and the depth is way beyond rescue sub depth, as you say.
Truss ahead of Brown as she was removed before she did too much damage. She was bad, I called for her to resign before she did, but she was quickly ousted before much worse happened.
Her Premiership was like stepping on a piece of Lego. Short and painful but quickly over.
The legacy of Gordon Brown was far more toxic and far more long-lasting. It needed a decade of austerity to clean up his mess.
I also give Major rather more credit than Blair. My problem with Mo Mowlam's approach was that she ended up rewarding the hardliners on both sides and marginalising the moderates.
My favourite NI secretary was Roy Mason. Treat criminals as criminals.
But a good politician is able to make it seem more natural. Blair, Boris, Cameron etc did it all the time but they did it in a way that carried their version of the public with them - even if it infuriated others. Sunak doesn't seem able to do that in the same way, and its a real weakness.
But he's facing Keir Starmer who doesn't seem able to either. So it might cancel out.
Which meant that from the moment it cooled the steel was in the brittle phase. That still was more brittle than wrought iron was a known thing (if not the reason) and was allowed for in the construction of ships.
The other one was that the rivets in some areas of the ship were not easy to machine hammer - the riveting machine was something line a pneumatic drill. So sometime they were less well "knocked up". This was , again accounted for in design and construction, and replacing loose rivets a standard piece of work when you docked the ship.
The famous Liberty ship problem was caused by 2 things. The newer steel had a much lower transition temperature - below zero. So when built, tested and often sailed, the steel was not in its brittle zone. So the design didn't take into account the effects, when exposed to sub zero temperatures. The other factor was welding - on a riveted ship, the cracks usually stop at a rivet line. On a welded ship, they keep on going....
Some people have been acting crazy here acting like anyone who abstained was like Trumpists storming the Capitol on 6 January. In our adversarial Parliamentary system if people from one party abstain while the opposition is voting then that's effectively siding with the opposition by stepping out of their way and letting them win by default.
The number that matters is how many voted against and that was a pathetic, meagre 7.
7 oddballs within a Government is nothing and is perfectly manageable in any party except one as small as the Lib Dems.
He's done very little to get away from that with these actions.
The rips of the bandage more than covering up real support with a fake whipped vote.
May made a good speech in yesterday's debate. It is the speech which Sunak should have made.
The vote may not be uppermost in voters' minds. But it was an opportunity for Sunak to draw a clear line under the Johnson past and to retrieve some sense of integrity and honour for the Tory party for the future. A sort of clause 4 moment. And he fluffed it - because he is weak and because (and this comes as no surprise to me knowing what I know of the places where he worked before he became an MP) he has no instinctive understanding of what integrity and good judgment are and why they matter.
So it will up to another Tory leader to rebuild the moral character of the Tory party. God knows who that will be.
And Austerity wasn't really that necessary so my list would be
Thatcher
Blair
Major
May
Brown
Sunak
Cameron
Johnson
Truss
But once you get beyond that top 3 all the others have pros and cons that could put them anywhere in the list...
That's my view. However, one of the most furiously anti-Labour people I know (I don't know very many - my home is the middle class urban public sector north) reckons Gordon Brown the best chancellor of his lifetime (principally because as an owner of a SME GB allowed him more of his own money).
Interesting development. Could the Privileges Committee be made subject to court challenge - a Judicial Review - on its procedural irregularities? Parliament is above the law thanks to the 1689 Bill of Rights; but surely common law rights still apply?
Nonsense. The Bill of Rights is statute law you silly boy
https://twitter.com/RhonddaBryant/status/1671068405657481216
How would you have dealt with that?
Few if any around at the moment, but a plethora of those you listen to with horror. Trump, Boris as he has become, JRM, a number of Lab and Tory MPs.
Best around of a bad lot: Kate Forbes, Streeting, Gove, Liz Kendall, Penny M.
The unfilled hole is that no-one at all can speak coherently and well about the development and meaning of the post Brexit UK.
Just the other day, I was talking to a chap who works for the civil service, at a fairly senior level. His view is that Rishi is excessively interested in "wasting" money on investment in productivity. Which only increases unemployment.
It is judging of them as PM not overall.
Not turning up was pitiful.
And no one has argued for a whipped vote; that a straw man.
Most cabinet members made their own - similarly poor - decisions.
What did you expect?
She tells me that ALL of the girls apart from one who suffers from psychosis are identifying either as "they" for non-binary, or as "he".
Try answering a basic and simple question like: What is the Tory policy and practice since 2010 on industrial strategy.
But Brown made matters even worse as PM. He completely botched the financial crisis by bailing out the failed banks, rather than allowing them to go bust and protecting guaranteed creditors instead like Iceland did.
That added much more debt than was necessary to an already bad problem and completely warped the market by suggesting that firms were too big to fail and making moral hazard a major problem.
Hopefully we get enough play to get the seven wickets. I believe the forecast is for it to dry up by lunchtime, hopefully that's not too little, too late.
Secondly, the leadership genius we need in parliament and government makes the weather of political correctness, and doesn't just follow it.
I suppose some people are just designed to say things in such a way, and with such an attitude, that instantly makes people adopt the opposite position.
Emma Thompson is one such better known example of this.
As for Cameron, in his farewell speech to the Commons he focused on the introduction of gay marriage as a major achievement of his seven years in office. He only looks good compared with the four incompetents who succeeded him. And insofar as he was on the right side of the argument about EU membership.
Reminds me of the nutjob who was recently claiming to have been sacked as a teacher for "misgendering" a pupil, then went to speak to Piers Morgan to say that all sinners should get the death penalty ...
https://www.sussexexpress.co.uk/news/people/east-sussex-teacher-calls-pupils-opinion-despicable-after-classmates-claim-she-identifies-as-a-cat-4187907