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Time to write off a Mid-Beds by-election? – politicalbetting.com
Time to write off a Mid-Beds by-election? – politicalbetting.com
It has been on the card for months – a by-election in Mid Beds where Nadine Dorries has been MP since GE2010.
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Some of us have already spent our Lib Dems gain Mid Beds winnings.
But how dense is Nads.
1) She believed Boris Johnson
2) She has a different understanding of what immediate effect means to the rest of the UK.
It's also rather bizarre.
I would say it's bringing the Lord's into disrepute but that ship has not so much sailed as is crossing the equator for the second time on its voyage round the world via the Strait of Magellan.
Even Boris just used her.
Eating a kangaroo’s bunghole live on TV still isn’t the most embarrassing thing Dorries has ever done.
Take a bow.
He said it was apt given my love of history and Dad jokes/puns.
Must have been bloody painful for poor Boorman to shoot that scene, leaving aside the fact that to quote Austin Powers the sheer logistics of it defy imagination.
I've no idea what it says. Hopefully something good ...
@tamcohen
PM says he doesn’t want to “ influence anyone” when asked how he’d vote on the report into whether Boris Johnson lied to parliament.
He was speaking as a left Watford hospital where he joined staff on a night shift.
So with Mid Beds off the LDs will I assume just focus on the Somerton and Frome by election for now
https://twitter.com/epkaufm/status/1670006524947595265?s=20
Whilst I disagree with a lot of the analysis (I do think a lot of it is still the economy), it isn't great reading for Tories.
(My argument is that those homeowners are still pretty likely to know and care about other people in their generation who have not been able to get on the housing ladder and still rent / live with family)
I also think climate change is a big issue, and that the internet has had more of an impact on the dissolution of a clear national identity than "woke indoctrination" from schools
“Today, I’ve resigned all the members opposite. Now for some voting.”
I do think that Nadine goes overboard in her enthusiasm for Johnson, but that doesn't make her unpleasant.
Quite persuasively, in my view.
Gerry Adams (IIRC) had formally written a letter of resignation to The Speaker.
They only lost it as recently as 2015
EG that those who change pronouns shouldn't be able to take part in competitive sport? That makes no sense whatsoever.
Saying that biological males can't compete in female categories makes perfect sense. But if a biological female or male wants to be called eg "they" and compete in their own biological category then there is no reason that should be denied.
The convention it seems is you have to commit to resign as an MP in order to get a life peerage. She didn't. That's her own responsibility and nobodies fault but her own.
That age group will almost always mostly vote Labour regardless of personal circumstances (just as most over 65s even in council housing and on the state pension voted Conservative in 2019 and are still voting Tory).
However if Labour get in and inflation and interest rates remain high and higher earners see their tax rise then that will see some under 35s go Tory without the Tories needing to do anything
I think there is a great deal more to this than meets the eye, but at least there is one good outcome - come the next election she will no longer be part of national life.
I can't imagine any sensible policy - because at the end of the day any sensible policy would state "if a teacher believes a student is at risk by being outed they should accept it as a safeguarding risk" and that would seem to be anathema to the entire plan. I would say if a student is out at school but not at home automatically suggests that there is a safeguarding issue - because otherwise the child would be out at home. Children are more likely to know the reaction by parents than the teachers would, so of course you should be led by the pupil and not the parent.
Which was true until the removal of automatic hereditary peerages in the 1990s and is why Benn despite refusing to take his seat in the Lords still had his commons seat declared vacant and was not allowed to remain an MP even though he won the by-election with a 13,000 majority.
So no, its not a nonsense. Its a reasonable safeguard in fact to ask any MP "do you want to cease to be an MP and become a Lord" and require an unequivocal yes before they become a Lord, otherwise what's to stop Rishi Sunak announcing that Sir Keir Starmer is now Lord Starmer?
She was offered the elevation but rejected it. She didn't realise she was rejecting it. That's her own stupidity, not anybody else's.
Either that or an sinister forces biased against scousers born into ‘poverty’ (I suspect a degree of self-mythologising there; though relative to most of her Con mates I daresay it feels like poverty).
https://twitter.com/NadineDorries/status/1667182498042740742
https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1670723829713215489
That seems a genuinely ridiculous system if correct. What's your source for it, if you don't mind my asking?
The competitive sport bit is weird and of dubious legality, however.
The source is multiple reporting at the time, no links now.
I fear today will be suboptimal for my stress levels.
https://twitter.com/NadineDorries/status/1669060242552811520
And what a six from Root!
https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html
Take the pressure to them.
After all, it is Twitter.
Fact checks, geolocates, confirms and weeds out duplicates from all the reports/videos online.
Which is an enormous undertaking.
Getting the sense Sunak doesn’t really care much about standards in public life.
However I don't like Labour's north sea oil and gas policies one bit* - this is the biggest barrier between me and a Lab vote at the next GE currently.
* I note he's managed to annoy those on the other side of me (Pump it all) this morning with the 'Won't oppose Rosebank?' too.
NEW
The average two year fixed rate mortgage has just passed through the 6% threshold. Up to 6.01% according to Moneyfacts. Highest level since 2000. But still rising.
The coming mortgage squeeze now looks like being as bad if not worse than the late 1980s…
https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1670710441645834240
Rishi Sunak must pick a side on Boris Johnson and “show some leadership” by voting on a report by the privileges committee today, Sir Keir Starmer has said.
The prime minister this morning ducked questions about whether he would attend this afternoon’s debate, and is widely expected to abstain, along with most ministers. Allies of Johnson are preparing to condemn the findings of the report and warn it sets a precedent for political targeting of other ministers, but it remains unclear whether they will force a vote.
Sunak said that the privileges committee, which said Johnson should have got a 90-day suspension if he were still an MP, had “done their work thoroughly, and I respect them for that”.
But he refused to say whether he would vote, saying today’s debate was “a matter for the House, not for the government, and that’s why each individual colleague will make up their own mind when the time comes”.
On the face of it sounds like she was stitched up.
I think there's something else going with Sunak and Gove opposing it today. They're worried about precedent and creating an open goal for Labour to refer minister after minister to the Privileges Committee. They worry they'd be doing it over Covid all the way to the GE to create story after story.
I don't necessarily agree with that but it does shed some light on why.