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Can the LDs become the 3rd party once again? – politicalbetting.com

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  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736
    edited May 2023
    Taz said:

    DougSeal said:

    Something Big G and MoonRabbit to get excited over.

    Labour leads by 17% in the Red Wall.

    Red Wall VI (28 May):

    Labour 48% (-4)
    Conservative 31% (+2)
    Liberal Democrat 7% (–)
    Reform UK 7% (–)
    Green 4% (–)
    Plaid Cymru 1% (–)
    Other 1% (+1)

    Changes +/- 14 May

    Starmer leads Sunak by 8%, his largest lead in the Red Wall since 7 March

    At this moment, which of the following do Red Wall voters think would be the better PM for the UK? (28 May)

    Starmer 41% (+3)
    Sunak 33% (–)
    Don't Know 26% (-3)

    Changes +/- 14 May

    Rishi Sunak's approval rating in the Red Wall is -7%, his joint-highest approval rating in these seats in 2023.

    Rishi Sunak Red Wall Net Approval Rating (28 May):

    Disapprove: 39% (-2)
    Approve: 32% (+4)
    Net: -7% (+6)

    Changes +/- 14 May

    Keir Starmer's approval rating in the Red Wall is +1%, his lowest approval rating in these seats since 4 September 2022 (-5%).

    Keir Starmer Red Wall Net Approval Rating (28 May):

    Approve: 32% (-3)
    Disapprove: 31% (–)
    Net: +1% (-3)

    Changes +/- 14 May

    https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton

    Somewhere BJO is opening his browser...
    Did he explain yesterday's polling?
    I believe he was at Wembley watching the mighty Owls get promoted and was then drinking Bedford dry for the next 6 hours
    Chuffed to bits for Darren Moore. Always seems to be a nice guy. Treated poorly by WBA.
    And by a minority of Owls fans despite his club record 96 pt total, unfortunately.

    I was stood next to a DM hater yesterday turned his back as Darren came to our section of fans and refused to join in all the pro Moore chants yet loudly chanted some shit about what he would like to do to the Pope and the IRA

    Nearly gave him a stiff talking to but someone else beat me to it
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,981

    NEW THREAD

  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,036

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    I know Oxford has lower standards than, say, Cambridge, but how does someone this stupid get in?

    https://twitter.com/RobertBea/status/1663592272972087309

    You can now get into colleges like Lady Margaret Hall at Oxford with just 3 Bs at A level if you are assessed as a 'disadvantaged' student who went to a state school. Cambridge doing similar

    https://www.newstatesman.com/quickfire/2022/05/zahawi-misunderstands-why-oxbridge-lowers-grades-for-students-like-me
    At Cambridge, there has historically been a strong correlation between the proportion of state school pupils and the college's position in the Tompkin's table, with Christ's and Trinity usually topping both the proportion of state school kids and the percentage of firsts.

    Edit to add: there were - of course - plenty of total imbeciles at Cambridge when I was there. People whom one was staggered had made it through A-Levels at all.
    This is still my favourite Tompkins table correlation.



    A graph produced by a Cambridge graduate demonstrates a striking correlation between the wine budgets of Cambridge colleges and the academic attainment of their students.

    Kings, St John’s, Trinity and Jesus – the four colleges with an annual wine budget over £200,000 – all obtained more firsts than the collegiate average during the last academic year. With an annual wine expenditure of £14,033 and only 13.2% of students receiving first class degrees, Hughes Hall represents the lowest point on the graph.

    King’s College is a notable outlier. Its £338,559 wine budget is the largest of any of the colleges, but it obtained markedly fewer first class degrees than some of its more frugal counterparts. The size of the college’s wine budget has already attracted negative publicity in the weeks since the college’s alcohol outlay was originally made public via a Freedom of Information request. The college’s Living Wage campaigners have adopted the slogan ‘Wages not Wine’ as the rallying cry for their protests.

    Grayden Reece-Smith, a student at Churchill College from 2007 to 2010, decided to create the chart after noticing that the colleges with the highest wine budgets were also traditionally those ranked as the best academic performers by in the annual Tompkins Table.


    https://www.varsity.co.uk/news/6827
    Quality (of the wine) is better than quantity (consumed)?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,036
    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Young people are desperately stupid, and getting stupider

    There's no denying it any more

    Old blokes come out with some stupid shit as well.

    Liz Truss would surprise on the upside was quite special as well.
    Watch that video. They are thick as shit
    That's also edited "highlights". Is your daughter smarter or stupider than you were at that age?
    Stupider. All of them are

    Also better behaved and politer, and in some ways much nicer and kinder. I was a drunken hoon

    But stupider? Absolutely. Their music is shit, their art is shit, they are incapable of original thought, the decline in human intelligence is real, and is accelerating
    Early onset dementia is a terrible thing.
    In some ways I say Bring it on, because witnessing the now-undeniable decline is quite painful

    The time is indeed ripe for AI to take over
    We had planned to move house recently, and I found a collection of old school books from when I was 13 to 17 years old. I spent a happy hour going through them, and my conclusion is that my daughter is about 18 months ahead of where I was.

    I didn't do calculus until A-Level maths; she's doing it in the equivalent of the old Fourth Year (year nine). My essays - until A-Level - were woeful. She is quite able to write 800 words in proper paragraphs, and with decent structure.

    They’re doing calculus in the 4th year these days? Wow, that’s impressive. Lower VI for me too, a few years behind you. I wonder when the change happened?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,036

    Off Topic can any JDW Fans please explain how Tim Martins pubs can sell a pint of Ruddles Bitter for £1.51

    Mostly two reasons:

    1. JDW are the largest chain of free houses in the country, so they have enormous buying power.

    2. They don’t care an awful lot about what they actually buy, so they’ll pick up whatever hasn’t sold elsewhere, often with only a week or two before it expires, and at a good discount. Beer that would otherwise be given away to make steak and ale pie ready meals.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,177
    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    I know Oxford has lower standards than, say, Cambridge, but how does someone this stupid get in?

    https://twitter.com/RobertBea/status/1663592272972087309

    You can now get into colleges like Lady Margaret Hall at Oxford with just 3 Bs at A level if you are assessed as a 'disadvantaged' student who went to a state school. Cambridge doing similar

    https://www.newstatesman.com/quickfire/2022/05/zahawi-misunderstands-why-oxbridge-lowers-grades-for-students-like-me
    Also: both Cambridge and Oxford have been very happy to give EE offers to students who impressed enormously at interview. (And, indeed, I got a EE offer from UCL.)
    Slacker. I got a UU offer from UCL.

    For those who weren’t around in the 90s, UCL would do this with groups of students with very high predicted grades. According to a prof, the actual results didn’t drop off much, if at all.

    Since I’d taken 2 A levels a year early, I got a place on the spot….
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,690
    Sandpit said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Young people are desperately stupid, and getting stupider

    There's no denying it any more

    Old blokes come out with some stupid shit as well.

    Liz Truss would surprise on the upside was quite special as well.
    Watch that video. They are thick as shit
    That's also edited "highlights". Is your daughter smarter or stupider than you were at that age?
    Stupider. All of them are

    Also better behaved and politer, and in some ways much nicer and kinder. I was a drunken hoon

    But stupider? Absolutely. Their music is shit, their art is shit, they are incapable of original thought, the decline in human intelligence is real, and is accelerating
    Early onset dementia is a terrible thing.
    In some ways I say Bring it on, because witnessing the now-undeniable decline is quite painful

    The time is indeed ripe for AI to take over
    We had planned to move house recently, and I found a collection of old school books from when I was 13 to 17 years old. I spent a happy hour going through them, and my conclusion is that my daughter is about 18 months ahead of where I was.

    I didn't do calculus until A-Level maths; she's doing it in the equivalent of the old Fourth Year (year nine). My essays - until A-Level - were woeful. She is quite able to write 800 words in proper paragraphs, and with decent structure.

    They’re doing calculus in the 4th year these days? Wow, that’s impressive. Lower VI for me too, a few years behind you. I wonder when the change happened?
    It seems to change with the winds. I did calculus as part of my O levels back in the early 80s. Yet my son sitting his GCSEs right now has no calculus even in the higher papers.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,690
    Sandpit said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Young people are desperately stupid, and getting stupider

    There's no denying it any more

    Old blokes come out with some stupid shit as well.

    Liz Truss would surprise on the upside was quite special as well.
    Watch that video. They are thick as shit
    That's also edited "highlights". Is your daughter smarter or stupider than you were at that age?
    Stupider. All of them are

    Also better behaved and politer, and in some ways much nicer and kinder. I was a drunken hoon

    But stupider? Absolutely. Their music is shit, their art is shit, they are incapable of original thought, the decline in human intelligence is real, and is accelerating
    Early onset dementia is a terrible thing.
    In some ways I say Bring it on, because witnessing the now-undeniable decline is quite painful

    The time is indeed ripe for AI to take over
    We had planned to move house recently, and I found a collection of old school books from when I was 13 to 17 years old. I spent a happy hour going through them, and my conclusion is that my daughter is about 18 months ahead of where I was.

    I didn't do calculus until A-Level maths; she's doing it in the equivalent of the old Fourth Year (year nine). My essays - until A-Level - were woeful. She is quite able to write 800 words in proper paragraphs, and with decent structure.

    They’re doing calculus in the 4th year these days? Wow, that’s impressive. Lower VI for me too, a few years behind you. I wonder when the change happened?
    Also Robert is in the US. So it depends on what exams his daughter is doing. Is calculus still part of the IB these days?
This discussion has been closed.