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Sunak’s investing too much political capital on “stopping the boats” – politicalbetting.com
Sunak’s investing too much political capital on “stopping the boats” – politicalbetting.com
I sometimes wonder whether having both a Prime Minister and a Home Secretary who are of immigrant origin is a big reason why the government feels it has to take such a high-profile on being seen to be trying to control numbers. It is as though they feel they feel they need to be extra tough on this particular area.
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And aren't these boats acting as dead cats?
It's clear from the polling that the Conservatives need to get a lot of people who voted for them in 2019 to come off the fence and vote for them again. They also could do with squeezing the Reform vote. The boats policy disproportionately aims at both while putting SKS in the position of opposing it and allowing Sunak to claim that if Labour gets in, it's immigration galore.
Blair won in 97 because he persuaded a lot of Tory voters he was unthreatening. Sunak is trying to position it so that Labour and SKS are seen as a threat.
As for the economy, much of that will sort itself out. Inflation will come down, jobs data is still healthy and tax receipts will be strong.
Various groups are working on Hyperloop/vactrain concepts. I think someone got past 250mph a while back.
Or in the case of the Home Secretary……. no, I won’t say it.
1) undocumented entry to the U.K. equals involuntary enlistment in the Royal Navy.
2) hire the Libyan Coastguard to patrol the Channel
3) reconquest of the Pale of Calais.
4) 100k fine for employer, half to migrant giving evidence. Plus indefinite leave to remain
5) pay the smuggling gangs according to the numbers that don’t arrive
6) combine 5) and 2) - create a syndicate of criminals and slavers. We could call it the Honourable West Europe Company….
NEW @JLPartnersPolls of the Red Wall for @Channel4News.
On current numbers, the Conservatives would lose all of their seats in the Red Wall.
BUT – Rishi Sunak’s approval ratings are surging. What's going on? Deep dive thread… (1/18)
https://twitter.com/jamesjohnson252/status/1635657218321252353?s=20
240,000km/h seems a bit over-quick even for a trip to Wick. Suggest moderating the charge a bit.
I know the calculation says the lid evaporated but it would be fun to think there is a surprised manhole cover flying through outer space.
Trust in the Conservatives on immigration and asylum improves, though most still lack confidence
Trust has particularly increased among 2019 Conservative voters, who are now more positive than negative.
https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/trust-conservatives-immigration-and-asylum-improves-though-most-still-lack-confidence
"On who would make the better PM, Rishi Sunak has a 20 point lead over Boris Johnson amongst Red Wall voters. Sunak also leads Johnson with Leave voters and 2019 Tories. (7/18)"
Wasn't one of us saying that Mr Johnson B.'s return was vital to save the Red Wall?
https://news.sky.com/story/andrew-tate-loses-fresh-appeal-to-be-released-from-romanian-prison-amid-human-trafficking-case-12833347
Mind you, wait until he hears about people on bail being given bail. Up to 4 layers has been observed in the wild I believe.
He's been in pre-charge detention for two and a half months. Tony "90 days" Blair would be proud.
In any event, even if it doesn't work (and I think it may), he will have shown Labour is still on the side of immigration. SKS can talk about Labour's plan being more effective but few believe it and a lot in his own party don't want it - which is exactly what this row is showing.
And is it possible to patent the Hyperloop when the Victorians did it all already in the depths of London? General Post Office no less.
But the underlying principle applies, we have pre-trial detention here.
Bird species number 42 in our garden today: Reed Bunting
And still no House Sparrows!
Rishi Sunak brings home stash of Mexican Coke from California
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2023/03/14/rishi-sunak-brings-home-stash-mexican-coke-california/
Now that's a headline you'd expect from me.
https://www.theguardian.com/news/2023/feb/21/andrew-tate-to-be-held-in-romania-for-30-more-days-as-court-extends-detention
Not good, but those are their rules.
Remember "Demon-eyes Bambi"?
This strategy makes as much sense, as Mad Vlad's half-assed re-enactment of Red Army's greatest hits. And the Red Army actually WON in 1945, unlike the Tories in 1997.
‘Female Basil Fawlty’ barrister disbarred after attacking staff at her Devon hotel
Shirley Bothroyd, jailed for 22 weeks in 2017 for string of assaults, was kicked out for ‘behaving in a way likely to diminish public trust’
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/03/14/female-basil-fawlty-barrister-disbarred-attack-staff-devon-hotel/
It is also noticeable how he refused to endorse Sharp, will not intervene to save Johnson , and has invited Biden to NI for the anniversary of the GFA
Sunak in some ways is at the start of a journey like Starmer was, to move the party away from the toxicity of Johnson and Truss and be seen as competent and diligent in total contrast to the last two leaders
It does not surprise me that he has achieved a 17 point improvement in his ratings to +1 and that in this poll he ties with Starmer as best PM
I have maintained for a long time he is the conservative party's best chance of mitigating the next GE result though Starmer is very much the favourite
I would just say his confirmation Hunt will remain COE to the next election is excellent news
You forgot "indefinite internment on the Isle of Man" although perhaps that is a human rights abuse too far.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=12EeoRTWuXA
Ireland winger Mack Hansen has upped the ante ahead of Saturday's Six Nations showdown by claiming that "everybody hates England".
Steve Borthwick's side will travel to Dublin on Saturday in the hope of stopping Ireland, the world's No1 side, claiming a first Grand Slam since 2018.
However, Hansen has declared that Ireland have motivation beyond finishing the tournament unbeaten.
"I think everybody hates England in general! It’s something I was aware of [before coming to Ireland] for sure," said the Australian-born Hansen who qualifies for Andy Farrell's side through his Cork-born mother.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/rugby-union/2023/03/13/everybody-hates-england-says-ireland-wing-mack-hansen/
Labour leads by 2% in the Blue Wall. In 2019, Labour came THIRD in these seats.
Blue Wall Voting Intention (12 March):
Labour 36% (-5)
Conservative 34% (+2)
Liberal Democrat 23% (+5)
Reform UK 4% (–)
Green 3% (-2)
Other 1% (–)
Changes +/- 26 Feb
Plus, there are plenty of - older - voters who remember being hoodwinked by Blair's "I'm a nice guy" crap. Unfortunately for SKS, he also has to deal with the implications of that
The story says they have not been charged. In English law they therefore could not be held in detention for this length of time.
In general principle of natural justice you can't hold people longer than a very short time just on suspicion.
However foreign law is, as they say, a foreign country, they do things differently. Unless you talk to an experienced Romanian defence lawyer who also knows how to translate concepts into an English ways of thinking you won't know the real situation.
Romania I presume is in the ECHR. The right not to be detained unjustly or in an arbitrary manner is fundamental.
Or I could be completely wrong - where Boris is concerned you just never know.
Maybe their position on migrants is being seen as neither fish nor fowl. EIther go hard (Tories) or go soft (LibDems)?
been tempered by the fact she has severe alcohol issues.
"Russian jet collides with US drone over Black Sea"
That seems less than ideal..
Initiate Plan R for Ripper.
Ends.
And raise (at least for me) the following question: how does PM & HMG's policy AND rhetoric re: refugees fit into the picture?
Am thinking in particular, of the very specific promise/threat to deny boat people protections against slavery and torture? Which PM and Co have gone out of their way to emphasize and publicize?
Tough is one thing. Pledging to throw folks to the wolves would appear specifically calculated, to reassure wacked-out Blue Meanies of Rishi Sunak's anti-woke bone fiedes? So they do NOT to flake off and vote for Reform when the next Election Day dawns?
In this context, is Rishi Sunak's ethnicity a factor, as suggested down-thread, in that he and/or others at No. 10 think he needs extra immunization (politically) due to his own heritage? (In way that Boris Johnson never did, oddly enough!)
Personally, tend to agree with OGH. And as ethic argument, would seem (to me anyway) that Suella Braverman is already providing ethno-politico "cover' on that front. By the boatload (to coin a phrase).
I guess the Russians are doing as badly as it appears and needed a distraction.
Is there going to be a race to recover the wreckage?
I quite liked the US response of it being "unprofessional and environmentally damaging" for the Russians to dump fuel in front of it, which does make it sound like they aren't going to take the bait.
Does NOT appear that Mad Vlad's Flying Circus has achieved quite the same level of finesse?
Kent. There were a lot of them. It had been a free pull out in a commemorative edition of the Kent Messenger back in the 70s.
Huh.
42 conservative mps abstained last night, though none voted against , and while children are excluded from the legislation expect further changes led by Theresa May
I do not like Braverman but the need to stop the boats, not only in the channel, but the Mediterranean is absolutely the right thing to do
I am not sure that Sunak's ethnicity is relevant to be honest
Stopping the boats will not trump the economy or NHS, but it will be an issue in GE24 as Sunak has made it one
"'I earn £30,000 a year and I'm still struggling'"
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-64824078
https://www.raremaps.com/gallery/detail/67270/second-world-war-v-1-campaign-where-the-doodle-bugs-cr-kent-messanger
Especially as it seems she's been censured plenty already, albeit with cause.
Hospitality industry is a BAD fit for alcoholics, esp. those who typically get "tired and emotional' when drunk.
https://twitter.com/iaanwasere/status/1635660269488599042?t=CRgGof0vp1T7cZkFX0rPlQ&s=19
BTW, here in Seattle, the once red-hot housing market has coooooooooooooled off considerably.
Why? Ain't no economist (thank you Jesus) but reckon combination of interest-rate hikes and tech-sector layoffs has something to do with it.
"Ms Bothroyd was not open and cooperative with her regulator." Doesn't entirely surprise me.
(Apart from Vietnam of course.)
#OTD in 1988, Chinese and Vietnamese forces enaged in a fierce skirmish over the ownership of the Johnson South Reef in the highly disputed Spratly Islands. The outgunned Vietnamese lost 3 ships and more than 60 men in the fight. China now occupies the reef and has fortified it.
https://twitter.com/NavalInstitute/status/1635665451035361280
Reckon they might just want to go the whole hog to 64 teams.
Number one priority is to rid the country of the Tories .
"Several times before the collision, the Su-27s dumped
fuel on and flew in front of the MQ-9 in a reckless, environmentally unsound and unprofessional manner. This incident demonstrates a lack of competence
in addition to being unsafe and unprofessional."
https://twitter.com/laraseligman/status/1635684931140562959
Fortunately, or unfortunately, the Su27 appears to have survived the collision.
In his WWII diaries, Harold Nicholson noted that falling buzz bombs were a regular fact of life in his part of Kent, specifically Sissinghurst.
He was mostly in London, serving as MP (and air-raid warden) but his wife, Vita Sackville-West, was on the scene pretty much full time.
I'd have pitied the German airman unlucky enough to parachute into HER (now world-famous) garden!
Never saw teachers move so fast, getting us into the shelters!
Do we know where it went down and is anyone heading there?
https://www.marinevesseltraffic.com/BLACK-SEA/ship-traffic-tracker
Yep, got my arse handed to me on plate at the Gold Cup today.
A quarter of them. Still doesn't feel that exciting, really.
The teams were accompanied by two 30-man security platoons from the Joint Security Force, who were armed with pistols and axe handles. The 1st Platoon secured the northern entrance to the JSA via the Bridge of No Return, while the 2nd Platoon secured the southern edge of the area.
Concurrently, a team from B Company, commanded by Captain Walter Seifried, had activated the detonation systems for the charges on Freedom Bridge and had the 165mm main gun of the M728 combat engineer vehicle aimed mid-span to ensure that the bridge would fall if the order was given for its destruction. Also, B Company, supporting E Company (bridge), were building M4T6 rafts on the Imjin River if the situation required emergency evacuation by that route.
In addition, a 64-man task force of the South Korean 1st Special Forces Brigade accompanied them, armed with clubs and trained in taekwondo, supposedly without firearms. However, once they parked their trucks near the Bridge of No Return, they started throwing out the sandbags that lined the truck bottoms and handing out M16 rifles and M79 grenade launchers that had been concealed below them.[4] Several of the commandos also had M18 Claymore mines strapped to their chests with the firing mechanism in their hands, and were shouting at the North Koreans to cross the bridge.[13][14]
A US infantry company in 20 utility helicopters and seven Cobra attack helicopters circled behind them. Behind these helicopters, B-52 Stratofortresses came from Guam escorted by US F-4 Phantom IIs from Kunsan Air Base and South Korean F-5 and F-86 fighters were visible flying across the sky at high altitude. F-4Es from Osan AB and Taegu Air Base, South Korea, F-111 bombers of the 366th Tactical Fighter Wing out of Mountain Home Air Force Base, were stationed, and F-4C and F-4D Phantoms from the 18th TFW Kadena Air Base and Clark Air Base were also deployed. The aircraft carrier USS Midway task force had also been moved to a station just offshore.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Korean_axe_murder_incident
I bet you and I are the only ones on this forum with this same experience
So every vote going from LD to Labour in the bluewall helps the Conservatives