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Starmer gets the best Ipsos ratings – Truss the worst – politicalbetting.com
Starmer gets the best Ipsos ratings – Truss the worst – politicalbetting.com
Keir Starmer is seen most favourably, with 32% favourable and 39% unfavourable he achieves a Net score of -7. In comparison, the current Prime Minister, Rishi Sunak, is seen favourably by 27% of Britons while 46% disagree, giving a score of -19. Starmer’s numbers are unchanged from January but Rishi Sunak has seen falling scores (January: 30% favourable and 39% unfavourable).
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I wish I knew the distribution of length of membership in the SNP in relation to the old days up to indyref, the big jump after indyref and the slower change to pro-Green/leftie social identity stuff under Ms Sturgeon. I'd be in a much better position to judge that.
Anyway, 24 hours to go before noms close.
2219 online users surveyed. Likely underrepresentation of CP voters I'd guess. Favourables: Starmer 32% - well 90% of LP voters would be in that figure? Sunak 27% - will exclude those still pissed off by the ousting of Johnson and will include next to no other party voters.
Poll pretty worthless I'd say. But if pushed I'd say Sunak comes out OK in it.
Starmer only 4% ahead of Johnson on favourable side!
The commission said it was implementing the measure to "protect data and increase cybersecurity".
https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-64743991
You could also argue his current ratings are improved by not being in the hot seat. Quite a lot of downside if the Tories are mad enough, IMO.
Can anyone improve on their suggestions ?
https://www.theguardian.com/film/2023/feb/23/the-20-best-time-travel-movies-ranked
Edit: as it did in 1997
And all we needed was a spending plan and who knows what might have happened.
With a net score of+2, the Labour Party appears the most popular political party currently, 38% have a favourable opinion of the Opposition party (+3 pts from Jan) while 36% are unfavourable (no change). With 28% positive towards the Green Party (+5 pts) and 30% negative (-2), they see a net score of -2. The Conservatives see the lowest score with -29, 25% are favourable towards them (unchanged) while 54% are unfavourable (+3). The Liberal Democrats see a score of -17 while Reform UK (new to our list) score -24. However, many are neutral or do not have an opinion of each.
https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/rishi-sunak-registers-lowest-favourability-scores-prime-minister
44/31
It’s a classic.
No Star Trek IV: The Voyage Home nod Star Trek: First Contact.
Truss' just 9% favourable rating confirms she had to be removed for the Tories to avoid annihilation
1. A charismatic, entertaining, tub-thumping, JCB-driving, Britain-boosting optimist with huge appeal to voters who aren't particularly interested in politics but like their celebrities to be a bit of a giggle.
2. A rather seedy, lying, conniving, entitled upper-class man who can't be trusted an inch, who will say absolutely anything to get his way, who thinks norms and rules are for others, who would betray anybody if it suited him, and whose ego is so large that nothing and nobody can deflate it.
I'm inclined to think that 2. has now defeated 1. in the eyes of the public, and there is no way back for him. Hope I'm right.
You’re sounding like a Guardian BTLer… several of whom agree with you.
She said explicitly during the leadership contest that she would pay for the tax cuts with extra borrowing, and not only that, but that she would renegotiate the Covid debt so that we could pay it back over a longer period so that the extra borrowing wouldn't even cost us a penny more in extra debt interest payments. It was sub-Corbynite rubbish that not even McDonnell dates to touch and it received exactly the market reaction you would expect.
Hopefully everyone here can agree that will be a terrible scenario.
This election is about independence, who is best equipped, and who has the best plan to achieve it. It is also about the society we want Scotland to be – where tolerance is the ruling ethic, poverty becomes history, equality of opportunity is the birth right of every child. /1
https://twitter.com/_KateForbes/status/1628724964605014017?s=20
(BTW, that joke was hilarious. If I had a top hat on, I'd doff it to you.)
I totally agree with you, Keir wins by default.
Foreign aid and diversity offices don't begin to touch the sides.
https://twitter.com/otto_english/status/1628709274976153601?s=61&t=t6v9Ta4h-SMABSvwj2rQFg
Starmer has done some waffle this morning - got some awful media coverage of it actually - what he said both Stalin and Donald Trump could have said. Ed Milliband chipped the same promises into stone.
Where HY is completely wrong in assumptions posted here, someone with a crown on their head always will be seen and thought of differently than everyone else without a crown on their head. It’s a matter of evidential fact now, a crowned Boris will pull in many more votes at next election than a crowned Sunak can.
Until recently, they didn’t even have a word for part time job. The word they came up with is a straight transliteration of the German ‘Arbeiter’.
Hope yours is well, btw.
Provided they sounded serious enough about it then it would have been enough to buy them sooner credibility and time with the markets while they worked out the details (and hoped tax receipts were better than forecast so they had no need to fully go through with it.)
I don't know how they would have been able to do it and avoid massive public unpopularity, but politics is a bit mysterious. Osborne managed to win public support for public spending cuts by winning the political arguments over their necessity and targeting them carefully. Maybe Truss would have failed to achieve the same, but it would have been a better way to fail than the moronic way she chose.
Amongst actual Tory supporters we now see deep depression, combined with an angry doubling down from his backers about how awful Truss was, based upon nothing more than cussed refusual to admit that he's fucking useless and always was. If the PCP ends up being just Michael Fabricant, they will still be posting 'Imagine how much worse it would have been under Truss!!' the silly farts.
My take on it is it’s amazing to think new leader can be one of these three. Why did Nicola have to resign if opening Pandora’s Box is the outcome? SNP opponents are laughing their heads off one of these three as the new leader. So maybe the winner has’t declared yet. If Cherry enters for example, she wins.
Regan won’t win this. But she could get a good position from it and then sink or swim from what she does with this publicity and any cabinet Posts which come from this. And all that is dependent on the new leader ripping up Sturgeons position on trans rights, or so many promising talents stay outside the cabinet.
Kate should have won this by a country mile over Humza , but now it’s neck and neck between the two, very tight result. So even once it’s over, with such a split party it’s still not over.
The only certainty is currently betting markets haven’t a scooby Dooby cluesy what’s going on in this one.
But there’s no clear way around the fact that it’s not obvious who would challenge him if he decides to run again, and even less so who might do so successfully.
Feels as if Forbes and Regan would transfer to each other whereas under FPTP they will split the vote to give Yousaf easy win.
I find it possible to imagine that things would be quite different if he were twenty years younger, but then I wonder whether part of the issue is the nature of the times and it's extreme partisanship.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_Joyce
I have to love any film that causes fans to create a chart like the one below just to understand what's going on. There were probably nine timelines in the film (though some seem to disagree):
https://unrealitymag.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/primer-chart.jpg
Yet the film was watchable without it: it's only when you watch it again and notice the subtle details that lead you into its depths.
Outraged.
Hard to imagine why Cherry is not in , though she may have been waiting to see which of the roasters the Murrells would put up. Macbeth decided he had to keep his head down , so out of the assorted dross Murrells have selected the Hapless Humza as their sockpuppet.
Hard to believe Regan will not win it unless Cherry makes a last minute appearance or the voting is rigged.
John Amery, however...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Scottish_National_Party_leadership_election#:~:text=Election process,-The SNP constitution&text=Every SNP member who was,members as of December 2021.
If "GTTO" is the extent of what Labour stands for, their time in office will be worse than the current government.
@BorisJohnson
Supporting Ukraine now is the best long-term investment we can make in global security.
My piece with @LindseyGrahamSC in the WSJ
https://twitter.com/BorisJohnson/status/1628679259752374272