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Sunak vs. Starmer – the polling trend – politicalbetting.com

All three charts are from the latest Redfield & Wilson poll which was published yesterday.
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I remain of the view a hung parliament is certainly still possible. The Labour lead now for Starmer is about the same as the Tory lead for Cameron in 2008 but ex Chancellor PM Brown narrowed the gap. Maybe ex Chancellor PM Sunak will too even if Starmer like Cameron ends up with most seats?
Disband the BBC now.
We’re all just waiting for the inevitable now
Apparently all Thatcher's fault that the Welsh voted against devolution in the 1970s.
Batteries are over 90%
He says ONS plans to hide the true stats in future
https://twitter.com/Nigel_Farage/status/1597626503432671233?s=20&t=jAJ0CAJLtPRuOSagpcLbOA
The rest is the usual rubbish, but it is quite common in Wales. Almost as common as it is in Yorkshire.
It needs to be re-thought, not least also to discourage bigots from both sides of the political and ethnic divide who also think exclusively "white=british".
We really should talk about the thing Thatcher closed down a lot.
Grammar schools, she deserves sainthood for that alone.
Put it another way, how much battery capacity would be needed to store the UK electricity needs for several weeks through a potential worse-case calm period?
I cannot imagine why Farage likes Donald Trump so much.
The failure to find that properly (Dilnot was over a decade ago) has left the bill on Council Tax.
And the spreading midriff of social care spending has been struggling to fit into the pre-lockdown trousers of capped Council Tax for a while now.
Thurrock was just one of those trouser extending buttons going ping in public. It's bad, but the worst sin is being caught.
From the Guardian: Some tw*t at the Guardian has received a government press release and looked stuff up on the internet! This is assuming the above waffle wasn't in the PR already under "Notes for editors", after some tw*t working for the government did the same.
I predicted Wales would finish bottom of Group B, and it looks like I am going to be right.
This could end up being quite a big scoreline but I actually think England might stop when they get to three goals because they will feel sorry for the Welsh.
I'm confident. It's a football match not a singing contest
Which is why batteries have comprehensively defeated hydrogen for storage, so far. And batteries are getting cheaper all the time.
EDIT - other storage system may well win out for bulk. There are other battery chemistries, for example. But hydrogen from electrolysis is one of the worst options.
Not too popular a view in Scotland and Wales, I know.
Once again, doing the nation a favour and avoiding the football.
The situation at Thurrock has been doing the rounds in local Government circles for some time. They've not yet issued a Section 114 notice which is a good sign of a council in real financial trouble.
How have they got here? Councils are remarkably constrained as to how they can generate income outside the usual cash-cows that are residents or businesses. Some have gone into the Investment Property market using money loaned from the Public Works Loan Board (PWLB) and those who got in first and quick around 2009-10 have been able to build a decent portfolio but the rental yields aren't spectacular and it's not much of a help.
Other Councils have been more inventive in terms of seeking out opportunities but you have to do your due diligence (or should at any rate). One of the problems can be Councillors who try to persuade Officers going down this route is a sure-fire winner without risk. Council officers can and do recommend caution but ultimately if Councillors want to do something Officers have to comply.
From what I hear, the leadership of Thurrock Council (both Officer and Member) have a lot of questions to answer - perhaps the relationship had become too cosy or too dominated by one side or the other.
I suspect local council finances won't be far from the headlines over the next few months.
https://twitter.com/Telegraph/status/1597671750351073280
I even prefer England-Wales football matches to hearing more about Herr Faragae.
WATCH: Ron DeSantis says Apple removing @elonmusk's Twitter from app store warrants Congressional response
"That would be a huge, huge mistake, and it would be a really raw exercise of monopolistic power that I think would merit a response from the United States Congress."
https://twitter.com/FLVoiceNews/status/1597619967062863874
Same explains the rise of Trump, Meloni, Le Pen or Sweden Democrats
- Covid admissions a bit up - R below 1, though
- Deaths down
- In hospital down
- A small spike in MV beds - is the decline stopping?
But 50 SNP seats is an awfully big handicap. There's a decent space where the Conservatives lose badly but Labour don't really win.
We are around two years from polling and the current crop of polls show a steady 20-23% Labour lead with the Labour-Conservative combined vote share between 73 and 77%.
Putting some of these numbers through Baxter and today's YouGov would mean a Labour majority of between 274 and 340 on the new boundaries (depending on the amount of tactical voting). The swing from Conservative to Labour is around 16% across the polls. R&W have a 20% swing in the Blue Wall (16% in the Red Wall) suggesting Labour may be piling up more votes in safer Conservative areas in the south.
Why would they deal with a bunch of small-minded xenophobes obsessed with one issue that was officially out to bed for good ages ago and are clapped out by a long time in office?
Which party I am talking about there I leave to your imagination...
I don't see that being reversed with the current crop of Conservative MPs. That all points to 1997 to me, rather than 1992
On top of that I took the tip of Iran to win the group!
We can turn it round second half, lads...
Before that, Wales to win the Euros in 2034.
Quite apart from the headline figures, in recent times the grid has deliberately switched to constraining gas not wind, so a large portion of the constraint payments are going to gas providers, but they are still costs relating to the intermittency of wind.
The discussion about power storage in the previous thread was an interesting one. There are other ways of storing power, like this pumped storage project:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-highlands-islands-57510870
This is stalled because nobody is investing in it. How quickly would it be invested in and built if wind providers were not getting constraint payments? *That* is why they are so important.
I've often said the status quo suits both the Conservatives and SNP quite well - would Sturgeon find it as easy to demonise a Labour Government in Westminster as she can a Conservative Government?
Would she retain her leadership for five minutes or the SNP a single seat at the following election if they propped up the Tories?
Also no.
This would suit the SNP (and her) even less well.
The minor detail that the SNP are very like the Tories in many crucial respects makes it all the more important to keep a healthy distance from them.
2. man c
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5. Trafford Rangers