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Punters give Sunak a 23% chance of winning the general election – politicalbetting.com

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  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited November 2022
    I don't know if there is anything more cringe than PB discussing contemporary music. The scientific community is deeply divided on the issue.
  • Andy_JS said:

    Imagine if Starmer said that asylum seekers to the UK would have their valuables confiscated in order to pay for their accommodation, and that no neighbourhood could have more than a certain percentage of migrants. That's the official policy of the Social Democrat government in Denmark AFAIK.

    If Starmer proposed that we'd be hearing far fewer complaints about it.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,779
    Andy_JS said:

    Imagine if Starmer said that asylum seekers to the UK would have their valuables confiscated in order to pay for their accommodation, and that no neighbourhood could have more than a certain percentage of migrants. That's the official policy of the Social Democrat government in Denmark AFAIK.

    I think we might go with something like 'All asylum seekers other than bordering nations should be turned away.'

    Admittedly there will be future issues with the French.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    NH had deffo been on my suprise complacency watch list.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061

    I blame the sick fucks who put pineapple on pizza for this insanity.


    🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮




    Wokery has done this. Tofu eating wokerati thinking anything is acceptable.
    Thin end of the wedge. Open the reeducation camps and fill the coaches. Now.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 17,241
    edited November 2022

    Jonathan said:

    I notice yougov have 42%/37% support Rwanda policy

    I think that may come as a surprise to some and not sure but Braverman may have hit a cord with her much criticised 'invasion'

    It is certainly divisive and not easily resolved

    Although strongly oppose is just ahead of strongly support - and both are in the mid-20s.

    It doesn't alter the fact that the policy is not as unpopular with the public as many would have you believe, and of course it is legal challenges that are preventing its implementation
    Hanging is popular, but that doesn’t make it right.
    Hanging does not have 42% support
    Out of curiosity, I checked:

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/explore/topic/Death_Penalty?content=all

    In certain circumstances (terrorist murder, murder of a child, multiple murder) the death penalty is more popular than 42%.

    A panicking Conservative government will find it very hard to avoid pressing that button, won't they?

    #afraidveryafraid
  • stodgestodge Posts: 13,899
    Just glancing at the current "blue wall" poll and beyond the top line figures (and let's not forget LD vote retention is always dismal between elections), 62% of Labour and 60% of LD supporters willing to vote tactically so the incumbent Conservatives facing tactical voting which could mean losses beyond those suggested by UNS.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,164

    If people are supportive of the Rwanda policy, they are supportive of something that isn't working. The deal was signed six months ago. Thus far, zero refugees have gone to Rwanda. The prospects of that improving significantly look bleak. And it's costing a fair bit of taxpayers' money.

    Regardless of ideology, if you judge a policy on outcomes, then Rwanda is a poor policy. Not much more to say really, is there?

    But how many people who are supportive of the Rwanda policy actually know or care what it involves?

    They just don't like immigrants, and anything hostile to them must be good. That's all they care about and all they need to know.
    Simply not true and good evidence of the tendency of some on the left to snear at people with alternative outlooks to themselves. You have no special imsight into the thoughts of others to be able to make such judgements. You display just the sort of arrogance which leads people to resent politicians.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    Alistair said:

    I don't know if there is anything more cringe than PB discussing contemporary music. The scientific community is deeply divided on the issue.

    Im just pleased that i can now get blues with my rhythm and bass with my drum. I feel blessed.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    It's literally the first of Nov and nevafa don't have their October voter reg figures up yet.

    What kind of two bit operation are they running?
  • I blame the sick fucks who put pineapple on pizza for this insanity.


    🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮




    I despise beans and think it looks disgusting

    But how is it different from disgusting beans and cheese on toast?
  • DriverDriver Posts: 4,963

    Our neighbour is putting up his Christmas lights

    Seems very early to be honest

    Oh dear.


  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,719
    edited November 2022
    @disclosetv
    Biden: "Inflation is a worldwide problem right now because of a war in Iraq... excuse me, the war in Ukraine. I'm thinking about Iraq because that's where my son died."


    https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/1587524435925417989
  • Our neighbour is putting up his Christmas lights

    Seems very early to be honest

    Alistair said:

    I don't know if there is anything more cringe than PB discussing contemporary music. The scientific community is deeply divided on the issue.

    You're beautiful, it's true.
  • RH1992RH1992 Posts: 788
    edited November 2022

    I blame the sick fucks who put pineapple on pizza for this insanity.


    🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮




    Our local pizza shop does this although I've never tried it. (I don't like baked beans.)

    From their online menu:


  • felixfelix Posts: 15,164

    Our neighbour is putting up his Christmas lights

    Seems very early to be honest

    Doesn't Christmas start in September now?!
    It ought to be grounds for requiting them to pay back the government energy handouts!
  • Our neighbour is putting up his Christmas lights

    Seems very early to be honest

    Alistair said:

    I don't know if there is anything more cringe than PB discussing contemporary music. The scientific community is deeply divided on the issue.

    You're beautiful, it's true.
    But who is saying "my life is brilliant" right now?
  • Andy_JS said:

    The Danish election doesn't seem to be causing much of a stir on here.

    It's probably not causing much of a stir in Denmark either.
    I'm up for a punt if there is a betting angle. After a good run on Rishi and Lula my politics betting bank is well charged. Though I went down badly on Truss, I really did not expect that.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    edited November 2022

    I blame the sick fucks who put pineapple on pizza for this insanity.


    🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮




    I despise beans and think it looks disgusting

    But how is it different from disgusting beans and cheese on toast?
    On toast they were keeping it within their own community, they are trying to push their sick pecadillo onto the pizza pie community. Violence will surely follow
  • Andy_JS said:

    The Danish election doesn't seem to be causing much of a stir on here.

    It's probably not causing much of a stir in Denmark either.
    Well it's 87% turnout for results so far, I don't think the UK has managed that since at least 1950....
  • I blame the sick fucks who put pineapple on pizza for this insanity.


    🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮




    I despise beans and think it looks disgusting

    But how is it different from disgusting beans and cheese on toast?
    On toast they were keeping it within their own community, they are trying to push their sick pecadillo onto the pizza pie community. Violence will surely follow
    Tell you what's fucking delicious - Hawaiian Naan
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    stodge said:

    Just glancing at the current "blue wall" poll and beyond the top line figures (and let's not forget LD vote retention is always dismal between elections), 62% of Labour and 60% of LD supporters willing to vote tactically so the incumbent Conservatives facing tactical voting which could mean losses beyond those suggested by UNS.

    And, weirdly, 45% of Tories. Im not sure who they are tactically voting for in straight defence.
  • I blame the sick fucks who put pineapple on pizza for this insanity.


    🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮




    Why are you so wound up about pizzas? if people want to eat pizzas with ridiculous toppings isn't that their business? Despite the best efforts of Suella Braverman this is still a free country.
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,392
    edited November 2022
    It's like banging your head against a brick wall. If the Rwanda scheme is failing because of legal challenges (lefty lawyers if you prefer) then it is a bad policy. Because a competent government would have anticipated that and either overcome it in advance, changed the law, or come up with a different policy. Don't blame the lawyers - blame the policy makers.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 13,008
    edited November 2022

    Jonathan said:

    I notice yougov have 42%/37% support Rwanda policy

    I think that may come as a surprise to some and not sure but Braverman may have hit a cord with her much criticised 'invasion'

    It is certainly divisive and not easily resolved

    Although strongly oppose is just ahead of strongly support - and both are in the mid-20s.

    It doesn't alter the fact that the policy is not as unpopular with the public as many would have you believe, and of course it is legal challenges that are preventing its implementation
    Hanging is popular, but that doesn’t make it right.
    Hanging does not have 42% support
    Out of curiosity, I checked:

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/explore/topic/Death_Penalty?content=all

    In certain circumstances (terrorist murder, murder of a child, multiple murder) the death penalty is more popular than 42%.

    A panicking Conservative government will find it very hard to avoid pressing that button, won't they?

    #afraidveryafraid
    That’s the Tories’ Putin nukes. The final terror weapon to be deployed when all else fails. I’m hopeful that most Tories will have just shrugged and accepted a period in opposition before that happens. The hang-em and flog-em brigade has always been present in the Conservative Party and I’m not sure it’s any more prevalent now than in the past. It’s the nationalistic element that has grown in influence.
  • ...and Israel

    https://13tv.co.il/live/

    https://votes25.bechirot.gov.il/

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Israeli_legislative_election

    Unlike Denmark which will probably finish counting in 3-4 hours after poll closing, Israel counts slowly and we aren't likely to get any results for a while.

    Thanks,

    DC
  • NewThread

  • Andy_JS said:

    The Danish election doesn't seem to be causing much of a stir on here.

    It's probably not causing much of a stir in Denmark either.
    Though I went down badly on Truss, I really did not expect that.
    Christ, is there anyone who didn't?
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,435
    This thread is an ex thread. It is no more.
  • AlistairMAlistairM Posts: 2,005

    I blame the sick fucks who put pineapple on pizza for this insanity.


    🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮




    Heinz made one years ago.


  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,488
    ...

    @disclosetv
    Biden: "Inflation is a worldwide problem right now because of a war in Iraq... excuse me, the war in Ukraine. I'm thinking about Iraq because that's where my son died."


    https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/1587524435925417989

    It is where his son died isn't it?
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,362
    Taz said:

    In 51st state news, the BBC website has been offering "live coverage of the tributes to Takeoff, who was shot dead early this morning in Houston, Texas".

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/63471396

    The reach of BBC News probably means only 4 people watching know who Takeoff is.

    And 2 of them don't give a shiny shit.
    Apparently his band were ‘the Beatles of their generation’ according to that BBC live feed.

    I guess that makes this unfortunate chap their John Lennon.
    Think it just confirms the BBC are bollox and a waste of money. Make the feckers survive or die commercially.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,362

    Taz said:

    In 51st state news, the BBC website has been offering "live coverage of the tributes to Takeoff, who was shot dead early this morning in Houston, Texas".

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/63471396

    The reach of BBC News probably means only 4 people watching know who Takeoff is.

    And 2 of them don't give a shiny shit.
    Apparently his band were ‘the Beatles of their generation’ according to that BBC live feed.

    I guess that makes this unfortunate chap their John Lennon.
    You think anybody will know who he was in 40 years time?
    Who knew him now , bet most people had never heard of him and still don't.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,424

    ...

    @disclosetv
    Biden: "Inflation is a worldwide problem right now because of a war in Iraq... excuse me, the war in Ukraine. I'm thinking about Iraq because that's where my son died."


    https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/1587524435925417989

    It is where his son died isn't it?
    Not unless Delaware has moved an awfully long way.

    Joe blames some of the chemicals Beau was exposed to in Iraq for his fatal brain tumour, which is I think the link in his mind. But he died in the United States.
This discussion has been closed.